1.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
2.Deciphering the Risk of Developing Lung Cancer after the Diagnosis of Gastric Cancer with Genetic Evidence: A European and East Asian Populations–Based Mendelian Randomization Analysis
Jiansheng CHEN ; Aiming ZENG ; Yunzhe YU ; Sida SUN ; Liqun LIAO ; Siwei HUANG ; Zhongshan YANG ; Junfeng ZHOU ; Weijie WU
Cancer Research and Treatment 2026;58(1):242-251
Purpose:
Lung cancer is frequently observed as a second primary malignancy following gastric cancer, yet the genetic causality between them remains uncertain. This study aims to evaluate the causal relationship between gastric and lung cancers using Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.
Materials and Methods:
Single nucleotide polymorphisms associated with gastric and lung cancers were selected from genome-wide association study in East Asian and European populations as instrumental variables. The causal effects between gastric and lung cancers were evaluated using univariable and multivariable MR analysis, with the inverse variance weighted (IVW) method serving as the primary criterion. Heterogeneity and sensitivity analyses were performed to ensure the robustness of the findings.
Results:
Univariable MR analysis demonstrated that genetic susceptibility to gastric cancer in the European population was significantly associated with an increased risk of lung cancer (IVW: odds ratio [OR], 1.285; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.072 to 1.541; p=6.83E-03), which was consistently validated in the East Asian population (IVW: OR, 1.356; 95% CI, 1.114 to 1.651; p=2.40E-03). Multivariable MR analysis further indicated that the significant positive causal relationship between gastric cancer and lung cancer persisted in both populations after adjusting for confounding factors (all p < 0.05). Conversely, no significant causal relationship was observed for the risk of developing gastric cancer following the diagnosis of lung cancer in either population (p > 0.05).
Conclusion
This study confirms that genetic susceptibility to gastric cancer increases the risk of lung cancer. This finding provides a theoretical basis for exploring the underlying biological mechanisms and suggests that enhancing lung cancer screening in patients with gastric cancer may be necessary to improve patient prognosis.
3.Association Between Perioperative Troponin Management and Major Adverse Cardiac Events in Elderly Patients with Colorectal Cancer
Xue LOU ; Chuyi ZHANG ; Jiaojie XUE ; Zhichong CHEN ; Shiyao CHENG ; Weijie ZENG ; Mao OUYANG
Journal of Sun Yat-sen University(Medical Sciences) 2026;47(4):594-600
ObjectiveTo investigate the association between perioperative troponin elevation and the occurrence of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in elderly patients with colorectal cancer, and to provide evidence for optimizing perioperative management strategies. MethodsA total of 268 elderly patients aged 70 years and above who underwent colorectal cancer surgery were retrospectively enrolled. They were divided into a conventional management group (87 cases) and a standardized management group (181 cases) according to the perioperative management strategy. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to identify the independent influencing factors for the occurrence of major adverse cardiac events. P-value ≤ 0.05 was considered statistically significant. ResultsAmong the 268 patients, the overall incidence of perioperative major adverse cardiac events was 4.5% (12/268). The total incidence of major adverse cardiac events in the conventional management group was 8.0% (7/87), which was significantly higher than that in the standardized management group (2.8%, 5/181;P=0.05). Specifically, the incidences of myocardial infarction, heart failure, and death in the conventional management group were markedly higher than those in the standardized management group (8.0% vs. 2.2%, 4.6% vs. 0.6%, 4.6% vs. 0.6%, all P<0.05), while no significant difference was observed in the incidence of cardiogenic shock between the two groups (1.1% vs. 1.1%, P>0.05). Postoperative troponin elevation was significantly associated with the occurrence of perioperative major adverse cardiac events except for cardiogenic shock (including total cardiovascular events, myocardial infarction, heart failure, and death) (all P<0.05), and it was identified as a strong independent risk factor for perioperative major adverse cardiac events in these patients. ConclusionCompared with conventional management, standardized perioperative troponin management can significantly reduce the risks of myocardial infarction, heart failure, and death, and also exhibits a potential protective trend against cardiogenic shock. Postoperative troponin elevation is a strong independent risk factor for the occurrence of perioperative major adverse cardiac events.
4.Chinese expert consensus on the application of jejunal interposition for esophageal reconstruction in complex esophageal cancer surgery (2026 edition)
Wenshu CHEN ; Lilan ZHAO ; Zhaoxian LIN ; Debin OU ; Zhigang LI ; Chengchu ZHU ; Longqi CHEN ; Shuoyan LIU ; Xiangnan LI ; Chao CHENG ; Ni ZHANG ; Songping XIE ; Xufeng GUO ; Xu LI ; Xinyu MEI ; Xuefeng LENG ; Jianqun MA ; Zhijun HUANG ; Guojun GENG ; Lin ZHANG ; Hongyan WANG ; Yi ZHANG ; Weijie WANG ; Jiangbo LIN ; Jinbiao XIE ; Jun GUAN ; Rongqi HE ; Xing LIN ; Xiuhua TU ; Yong LI ; Lijie TAN ; Xiaojie PAN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2026;33(10):1527-1543
Objective Jejunal interposition is an important option for restoring gastrointestinal continuity in patients with complex esophageal cancer in whom the stomach is unavailable for reconstruction due to previous gastrectomy, tumor involvement, failed gastric conduit, or other constraints. Although the jejunum offers a caliber similar to the esophagus, a rich blood supply, and preserved peristaltic function, anatomical variations in mesenteric length and vascular arcades render long-segment and high-level reconstruction susceptible to excessive tension, mesenteric torsion, venous congestion, and inadequate distal perfusion. This consensus aims to provide standardized recommendations for the application of jejunal interposition in this specific patient population. Methods This consensus was developed in accordance with the WHO Handbook for Guideline Development and Chinese national guideline development standards, with reference to the Appraisal of Guidelines for Research & Evaluation Ⅱ(AGREE Ⅱ), Reporting Items for Practice Guidelines in Healthcare (RIGHT), and Scientific, Transparent and Applicable Rankings (STAR) checklists. The project was registered on the international practice guidelines registry platform (PREPARE-2026CN1384). The working group systematically searched Chinese and English evidence addressing 12 clinical questions. Evidence was graded using the Oxford Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine (OCEBM) 2009 system, with structured appraisal of risk of bias, inconsistency, indirectness, and imprecision. Recommendations were formulated through two rounds of Delphi surveys and a face-to-face consensus meeting, with an agreement threshold of ≥75%. Results The consensus generated 12 recommendations covering indications, selection between jejunum and colon, preoperative assessment, surgical approach and reconstruction route, pedicled jejunal interposition (PJI), supercharged pedicled jejunal interposition (SPJ), indocyanine green (ICG) perfusion assessment, perioperative nutrition, management of anastomotic leakage, long-term follow-up, and special treatment scenarios. Given that the available direct evidence is predominantly derived from single-center retrospective cohorts and case series, recommendations extrapolated from general esophagectomy or other gastrointestinal surgical evidence are deliberately phrased with caution. Conclusion Jejunal interposition is a safe and effective approach for digestive tract reconstruction in patients with complex esophageal cancer in whom the stomach is unavailable. This consensus emphasizes that clinical decision-making should be individualized based on the patient's prior treatment history, reconstruction height, vascular anatomy, technical availability, and institutional experience in the Chinese context.
5.Influencing factors of school sports environment on physical activity levels among middle school students
XIE Dan, HOU Xiao, WANG Yunliang, CHEN Weijie, WANG Ying, JI Zhe, LI Hongjuan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(5):685-689
Objective:
To explore the relationship between school sports environment and physical activity levels of middle school students, so as to provide theoretical and empirical support for optimizing school sports environment and enhance adolescent physical activity.
Methods:
Using multi-stage random cluster sampling, from September to December 2023, 1 329 junior and senior high school students from Xuancheng City of Anhui Province, Lianyungang City of Jiangsu Province, Wuhan City of Hubei Province, Qiqihar City and Suihua City of Heilongjiang Province, and Shenzhen City of Guangdong Province were selected. The International Physical Activity Questionnaire-Short Form (IPAQ-SF) assessed students physical activity levels, and the questionnaire on the characteristics of school sports environment was developed to evaluate the factors of school sports environment. Multivariate ordered Logistic regression was performed to analyze the correlation between school sports environment factors and physical activity levels, and the analytic hierarchy process determined the weight of key influencing factors.
Results:
The results showed that weekly vigorous physical activity time was [60 (25, 90)] minutes, moderate physical activity time was [60 (30, 90)] minutes, light physical activity time was [105 (40, 200)] minutes, and sedentary behavior time was [ 3 300 (2 100, 4 500)] minutes, only 10.53% of the students met World Health Organization physical activity recommendations, and 89.69% of the students averaged >8 h daily sedentary time. Multivariate ordered Logistic regression showed that adequate sports equipment significantly promoted physical activity across all intensities and reduced sedentary time ( OR = 4.97, 11.54, 4.03, 0.11); diverse sports activities improved vigorous and moderate physical activity while reducing sedentary time ( OR =4.20, 14.06, 0.17); and peer encouragement was associated with increased low-intensity physical activities and decreased sedentary time ( OR =10.40, 0.15)( P <0.05). The analytic hierarchy process weighting analysis identified the top three influential factors related to physical activity among middle school students: sufficient sports equipment, varied physical education activities, frequent peer encouragement, the influence weight accounts for 23.55% , 14.18% and 11.77% of the total, respectively.
Conclusion
Key school sports environmental factors for adolescent physical activity level include ensuring adequate sports equipment and class availability, diversifying activity content, fostering peer support, and cultivating an active sports culture and a comprehensive approach encourage students participation in extracurricular physical activities.
6.Clinical observation of sulodexide in the treatment of proteinuria after renal transplantation
Linrui DAI ; Zhiyu ZOU ; Song CHEN ; Gang CHEN ; Weijie ZHANG ; Sheng CHANG
Chinese Journal of Organ Transplantation 2025;46(9):650-657
Objective:To evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety of sulodexide soft capsules in treating proteinuria after renal transplantation, as well as its impact on graft function.Methods:The clinical data from 80 recipients who developed proteinuria after renal transplantation and were treated with sulodexide soft capsules during regular follow-up at the outpatient department of Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology from March 1, 2019, to March 1, 2023, were retrospectively analyzed. Proteinuria levels, graft function, safety-related indicators (coagulation function), and adverse events were compared before treatment and at 1, 2, 3, 6, and 12 months after treatment. Based on efficacy, recipients were divided into a satisfactory efficacy group (67 cases) and a general efficacy group (13 cases). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were conducted to stratify baseline data and explore factors influencing efficacy.Results:Among the 80 recipients, 63 (78.75%) had mild proteinuria and 17 (21.25%) had moderate proteinuria. The overall treatment response rate was 91.25% (73/80). Drug-related adverse events occurred in 12 patients (15.0%). Median urinary protein excretion at 1, 2, 3, 6, and 12 months post-treatment was 0.35 (0.20, 0.55) g/24 h, 0.30 (0.17, 0.44) g/24 h, 0.23 (0.15, 0.39) g/24 h, 0.21 (0.13, 0.32) g/24 h, and 0.15 (0.10, 0.23) g/24 h, respectively, all significantly lower than the pre-treatment level of 0.52 (0.43, 0.90) g/24 h (all P<0.001). The median urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratios at the corresponding time points were 99.15 (45.33, 201.13) μg/mg, 77.20 (43.30, 176.20) μg/mg, 57.50 (31.35, 173.75) μg/mg, 53.55 (25.90, 142.00) μg/mg, and 39.05 (20.53, 103.60) μg/mg, also significantly reduced compared to the pre-treatment value of 152.05 (71.90, 271.23) μg/mg ( P=0.012, P=0.003, P<0.001, P<0.001, P<0.001, respectively). At 12 months post-treatment, the serum creatinine level (132.86±36.86 μmol/L) showed a statistically significant improvement compared to the pre-treatment level (146.60±48.42 μmol/L) ( P=0.045). Univariate analysis indicated that satisfactory efficacy was associated with the time of proteinuria onset post-transplantation, the interval between proteinuria onset and treatment initiation, and recipient age ( HR= 1.001, 95% CI: 1.001-1.020, P=0.043; HR = 1.034, 95% CI: 1.009-1.058, P=0.006; HR=1.058, 95% CI: 1.003-1.116, P=0.040). Stratified univariate analysis revealed that proteinuria onset within 2 years post-transplantation, treatment initiation within 2 years of proteinuria onset, and age younger than 45 years were significantly associated with satisfactory efficacy ( HR=5.524, 95% CI: 1.510-20.207, P=0.010; HR= 7.800, 95% CI: 2.104-28.920, P=0.002; HR=5.972, 95% CI: 1.497-23.822, P=0.011). Multivariate analysis identified the interval between proteinuria onset and treatment initiation as an independent factor influencing satisfactory efficacy ( HR=1.025, 95% CI: 1.010-1.093, P=0.015). Conclusions:Sulodexide effectively reduces proteinuria after renal transplantation, particularly in mild-to-moderate or early-onset cases, while maintaining stable allograft function without significant adverse effects
7.Advances in endothelial glycocalyx in rheumatic and immune diseases
Qianjun CHEN ; Weijie LI ; Jing XIE ; Lintao WEN ; Ronghao ZHENG
International Journal of Pediatrics 2025;52(7):461-465
The endothelial glycocalyx(EG)is a villous polyglycoprotein complex that covers the apical membrane of endothelial cells,situated between the blood vessel wall and the bloodstream.Due to its unique physiological position,the EG plays a crucial role in vascular permeability,mechanical conduction,coagulation,inflammation,and other processes.EG injury can cause endothelial barrier dysfunction,increase vascular permeability,and promote inflammation and thrombosis.Recent studies have revealed that the involvement of EG in inflammatory responses may contribute significantly to the pathogenesis of certain rheumatic and immune diseases as well as multi-system inflammatory syndrome,Kawasaki disease,rheumatoid arthritis,systemic lupus erythematosus and antiphospholipid syndrome,etc.This review paper aims to provide an overview of the structure and function of EG while highlighting its research progress in diagnosing and treating rheumatic and immune diseases.
8.Analysis of factors for international normalized ratio levels>3.0 in patients undergoing warfarin anticoagulation therapy after mechanical heart valve replacement
Shengmin ZHAO ; Bo FU ; Fengying ZHANG ; Weijie MA ; Shourui HUANG ; Qian LI ; Huan TAO ; Li DONG ; Jin CHEN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery 2025;32(05):655-662
Objective To investigate the factors influencing international normalized ratio (INR)>3.0 in patients undergoing warfarin anticoagulation therapy after mechanical heart valve replacement. Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on the clinical data of patients who underwent mechanical heart valve replacement surgery and received warfarin anticoagulation therapy at West China Hospital of Sichuan University from January 1, 2011 to June 30, 2022. Based on the discharge INR values, patients were divided into two groups: an INR≤3.0 group and an INR>3.0 group. The factors associated with INR>3.0 at the time of discharge were analyzed. Results A total of 8901 patients were enrolled, including 3409 males and 5492 females, with a median age of 49.3 (43.5, 55.6) years. The gender, body mass index (BMI), New York Heart Association (NYHA) cardiac function grading, INR, glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase, and preoperative prothrombin time (PT) were statistically different between the two groups (P<0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that lower BMI, preoperative PT>15 s, and mitral valve replacement were independent risk factors for INR>3.0 at discharge (P<0.05). Conclusion BMI, preoperative PT, and surgical site are factors influencing INR>3.0 at discharge in patients undergoing warfarin anticoagulation therapy after mechanical heart valve replacement. Special attention should be given to patients with lower BMI, longer preoperative PT, and mitral valve replacement to avoid excessive anticoagulation therapy.
9.Design and Validation of Scoliosis Orthosis Based on Finite Element Model
Jiaxiang LIN ; Yi CHEN ; Guanglin SHI ; Wenfeng WANG ; Kunwu LAN ; Wenjun JIANG ; Zipeng AI ; Weijie PENG
Journal of Medical Biomechanics 2025;40(4):988-995
Objective Based on the finite element simulation analysis of the patient's torso-spine model and combined with theoretical calculation data,an individualized scoliosis orthosis was designed,and the effectiveness of the orthosis was verified through three-dimensional(3D)printing.Methods A patient with idiopathic scoliosis was chosen as the research object.Reverse engineering technology and computer-aided technology were used to establish the torso-spine model of the patient.The finite element method was used to analyze the model,and the optimal position and magnitude of the corrective force were determined by combining literature theory calculation.Based on this,an orthosis was designed.To verify the orthopedic effect,the patient's X-rays before and after wearing the orthosis were compared and evaluated,and the patient was followed up 6 months later.Results The optimal position and magnitude of the initial corrective force were determined through theoretical calculations and finite element simulations.Specifically,a 62.95 N corrective force applied to the L3 vertebral body and the left posterior region corresponding to the upper and lower intervertebral discs in the patient's lateral curvature segment of the spine to achieve the optimal orthopedic effect.On this basis,the orthosis was designed,followed by relevant experimental tests before and after wearing the designed orthosis.By comparing X-ray images of the patient before and after wearing the orthosis and combining them with follow-up data six months later,the optimized design of the orthosis met the expected clinical requirements for orthopedic effects.Conclusions The design of orthosis needs to be personalized according to the specific situation of patients with scoliosis.This study takes a patient with idiopathic scoliosis as the research object,providing new ideas and methods for the design of orthosis for patients with idiopathic scoliosis.
10.Glutamate Receptor Antagonists Attenuate Stereotyped Behaviors via Modulating BDNF Levels in Obsessive-complusive Disorder Model Mice
Weijie WANG ; Yuchong LUO ; Dongmiao HUANG ; Chen YANG ; Jihui YUE ; Xianglan WANG ; Shenglin WEN
Journal of Sun Yat-sen University(Medical Sciences) 2025;46(3):475-485
ObjectiveTo explore whether fluoroethylnormemantine (FENM), an NMDA receptor antagonist, could improve compulsive-like behaviors and to investigate its underlying mechanisms in the RU24969-induced obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD) mouse model. MethodsThirty-two mice were randomly assigned to four groups: Saline (n=8), RU24969 (n=8), RU+FENM (n=8), and FENM (n=8). Mice received FENM or an equivalent volume of saline for pre-treatment, followed by RU24969 or saline for model induction 30 minutes later. Behavioral tests were performed 1 hour after modeling, and serum samples were collected to measure the level of brain-derived neurotrophic factor (BDNF). Evans Blue dye was intravenously injected to assess dye content in brain tissue, thereby evaluating potential blood-brain barrier damage. ResultsFENM treatment significantly improved repetitive stereotyped circling behavior (F=39.850, P<0.001) and alleviated persistent motor activity (F=50.200, P<0.001) in RU24969 model mice. Additionally, FENM treatment significantly increased serum BDNF level in RU24969-induced OCD mice (F=18.930, P<0.001). ConclusionsFENM , an NMDA receptor antagonist, may alleviate compulsive behaviors in OCD mice by modulating BDNF levels , thereby exerting anti-compulsive effects. Neither the RU24969 model nor FENM treatment significantly affectes blood-brain barrier integrity.


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail