1.Evaluation of Cancer Burden Based on Big Data: Applications and Challenges in Cancer Prevention and Treatment
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;16(2):506-512
Cancer has become one of the most significant diseases threatening human life and health. In 2022, there were 19.97 million new cancer cases and 9.74 million cancer-related deaths worldwide, imposing a heavy burden on society. A systematic and comprehensive understanding of the cancer burden is the cornerstone for formulating effective prevention and control strategies. Open-source databases, represented by the GLOBOCAN database and the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database, provide critical support for obtaining the latest cancer burden data, identifying key areas for prevention and control, guiding screening and early diagnosis and treatment, and evaluating the effectiveness of intervention measures. However, the field of cancer big data also faces challenges, such as insufficient data standardization and inadequate privacy protection mechanisms. In the future, while ensuring patient privacy and security, efforts should be made to further improve data quality, promote data sharing, enhance the equity of cancer prevention and treatment resources, and strengthen international collaboration. These measures will reasonably advance the precision and scientific development of cancer prevention and control strategies, with the aim of reducing the cancer burden and contributing to global health and well-being.
2.Analysis of Disease Burden and Attributable Risk Factors of Early-onset Female Breast Cancer in China and Globally from 1990 to 2021
Danqi HUANG ; Min YANG ; Wei XIONG ; Jingyi LIU ; Wanqing CHEN ; Jingbo ZHAI ; Jiang LI
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2025;16(3):777-784
To analyze the disease burden, temporal trends, and attributable risk factors of early-onset female breast cancer (EOBC) in China and globally from 1990 to 2021. Data on the absolute numbers and crude rates of incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for EOBC (diagnosis age < 50 years) in China and globally were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 database. Attributable DALY proportions for five risk factors (smoking, alcohol use, physical inactivity, high red meat consumption, elevated fasting plasma glucose) and all combined risk factors were obtained. Joinpoint regression analysis was performed to assess temporal trends in age-standardized rates, quantified by annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC). From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized incidence rates of EOBC increased significantly in both China (AAPC=2.25%) and globally (AAPC=0.64%; pairwise comparison, China's age-standardized EOBC incidence is rising rapidly and approaching global levels, while mortality and DALY rates have increased over the past decade, underscoring persistent challenges in disease control. Future efforts should prioritize expanding the coverage of breast cancer screening programs, optimizing screening protocols, and enhancing public awareness of cancer prevention to mitigate the growing burden of EOBC in China.
3.A review of application of mobile health technologies in the field of eating disorders
Chinese Mental Health Journal 2025;39(2):122-127
Eating disorders are becoming an increasingly severe public health issue in China,with an urgent need to update intervention approaches.This paper introduces the role of various forms of mobile health in the pre-vention and treatment of eating disorders.Online psychotherapy has demonstrated efficacy comparable to face-to-face therapy.Mobile applications provide multiple functions,including psychotherapy,self-monitoring,and instant intervention,and their effectiveness has been widely validated.Wearable sensors,as monitoring tools,bring new possibilities for tracking eating behaviors and detecting risk signals.Looking forward,future efforts should prioritize the development of data-driven personalized treatment plans and explore the full potential of mobile health technolo-gies in managing eating disorders across their entire course.
4.Prognostic study of neoadjuvant therapy for pancreatic cancer based on propensity score matching and subgroup analysis
Xiaohao ZHENG ; Jingyu ZHANG ; Xiaojie CHEN ; Zhen HAO ; Jing LIU ; Zewen ZHANG ; Wanqing YU ; Yun YANG
International Journal of Surgery 2025;52(4):230-238
Objective:To investigate whether neoadjuvant therapy can improve the prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer.Methods:A retrospective case-control study analyzed data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database on 12, 103 patients who underwent surgical treatment between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2021. Patients were divided into the neoadjuvant therapy group ( n=3 276) and the upfront surgery group ( n=8 827) based on whether they received neoadjuvant treatment. The neoadjuvant therapy group included 2 342 patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy and 934 patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy. The upfront surgery group consisted of 4 335 patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy, 1 987 patients receiving adjuvant chemoradiotherapy, 63 patients receiving adjuvant radiotherapy, and 2 442 patients undergoing surgery alone. Propensity score matching was used to eliminate group differences and create a cohort with no statistical differences in other clinicopathological features except for the grouping variable. Variables such as age, gender, tumor location, race, population of residence, tumor diameter, household income, TNM stage, and information on radiotherapy and chemotherapy were used for 1∶1 case matching. T stage, N stage, and the use of radiotherapy or chemotherapy were matched exactly. After matching, 1 182 patients were included in each group: the neoadjuvant therapy group contained 1 155 patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy and 27 receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy, while the upfront surgery group comprised 848 patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy and 334 receiving adjuvant chemoradiotherapy. TNM staging was reported according to the 7th edition of the AJCC guidelines. The primary outcome was overall survival. Measurement data with skewed distributions were expressed as M( Q1, Q3), and intergroup comparisons were conducted using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. Categorical data were compared using the chi-square test or the Fisher′s exact test. The Log-rank test and subgroup analyses to assess interactions between neoadjuvant therapy and subgroup in COX regression models were used to compare survival benefits across variables. Landmark analysis was performed to create segmented survival curves, studying the impact of neoadjuvant therapy on prognosis during different follow-up periods. Results:The neoadjuvant therapy group had a higher proportion of T 4 tumor involving celiac axis, superior mesenteric artery, and/or common hepatic artery compared to the upfront surgery group (14.7% vs 2.8%, P<0.001). Additionally, significant differences were observed between groups in terms of race, location, population of residence, age, tumor diameter, tumor stage, and adjuvant therapy regimen ( P<0.05). The median overall survival time in the neoadjuvant therapy group was 30 months, compared to 22 months in the upfront surgery group ( P<0.001). In the neoadjuvant therapy group, the median survival was 30 months for both neoadjuvant chemotherapy and chemoradiotherapy patients; in the upfront surgery group, it was 26 months for both adjuvant chemotherapy and chemoradiotherapy patients, 17 months for adjuvant radiotherapy patients, and 12 months for surgery-only patients. After propensity score matching, there were no differences in the distribution of clinical characteristics between groups ( P>0.05), and all patients in the matched cohort had received chemotherapy. The matched neoadjuvant therapy group had a longer median overall survival compared to the upfront surgery group (30 months vs 27 months, P<0.001). Subgroup interaction analysis revealed that T stage had a significant interaction with neoadjuvant therapy, both before (T 4 stage: HR=0.382, 95% CI: 0.319-0.458; T 2-T 3 stages: HR=0.696, 95% CI: 0.656-0.738; T 1 stage: HR=1.199, 95% CI: 0.867-1.657; interaction P<0.001) and after matching (T 4 stage: HR=0.581, 95% CI: 0.414-0.814; T 2-T 3 stages: HR=0.827, 95% CI: 0.734-0.931; T 1 stage: HR=1.320, 95% CI: 0.716-2.433; interaction P=0.043). Subgroup interaction analysis indicated that T 1 patients did not benefit from neoadjuvant therapy; survival curves plotted for matched T 1 patients showed no difference in survival between the neoadjuvant therapy group and the upfront surgery group ( P=0.323). Conversely, non-T 1 (T 2-T 4) stage patients showed significant survival benefits in both unmatched and matched cohorts ( P<0.001). Landmark analysis showing that the survival benefits occurred mainly in the early postoperative period of up to 3 years ( P<0.001), but there was no difference in overall survival between the neoadjuvant therapy group and the upfront surgery group of >3 years ( P>0.05). Patients with Arterial invasion (T 4 stage compared to T 1-T 3 stages) showed a similarly significant interaction with the benefit of neoadjuvant therapy in both the pre-matching cohort (interaction P<0.001) and the post-matching cohort (interaction P=0.037). Patients with T 4 stage disease in the neoadjuvant therapy group had longer overall survival compared to the upfront surgery group (median overall survival in pre-matching cohort: 30 months vs 13 months, P<0.001; median overall survival in post-matching cohort: 28 months vs 18 months, P=0.001). Among T 4 stage patients in the post-matching cohort, neoadjuvant therapy provided significant survival benefits during the early postoperative period of up to 3 years ( P=0.001). However, there was no difference in overall survival between the neoadjuvant therapy group and the direct surgery group beyond 3 years( P=0.729). Conclusions:The prognosis in the neoadjuvant therapy group was better than in the upfront surgery group. Propensity score matching and subgroup interaction analysis showed that non-T 1 and T 4 stage patients benefited more from neoadjuvant therapy, with benefits mainly seen in the early postoperative period (≤3 years).
5.Predictive modeling of efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy for breast cancer using ultrasound and immunohistochemistry
Zhaoyun LI ; Yue PANG ; Cuijing CHEN ; Jingning MAO ; Rui DU ; Wanqing HAN ; Hongli TIAN ; Yuejuan GAO ; Ling BAI
Military Medical Sciences 2025;49(9):687-693
Objective To establish a model that integrates ultrasound features and immunological characteristics for predicting the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy(NAC)in breast cancer patients.Methods A total of 203 breast cancer patients undergoing preoperative NAC at the Fifth Medical Center of the PLA General Hospital between July 2021 and July 2024 were screened.In line with the inclusion/exclusion criteria,177 patients were included.Data on ultrasound and immunohistochemistry was collected.These patients were divided into pathological complete response(pCR)and non-pathological complete response(non-pCR)groups based on postoperative pathology.Factors with P<0.0 1 in univariate analysis were evaluated using multivariate Logistic regression.Independent predictive factors were used to construct and validate the ultrasound-immunohistochemical model via Bootstrap.Results The reduction rateof the maximum diameter of lesions,posterior echo attenuation,PR status and HER-2 status were identified as independent predictors of pCR(all P<0.05).The model proved to be highly accurate and stable.Conclusion The model that combines ultrasound and immunohistochemical features can effectively evaluatep CR after NAC in breast cancer patients.
6.Disability-adjusted life years for colorectal cancer in China, 2017-2030: A prevalence-based analysis focusing on the impact of screening coverage and the application of local weights.
Yujie WU ; Yanjie LI ; Xin WANG ; Xinyi ZHOU ; Xinxin YAN ; Hong WANG ; Juan ZHU ; Wanqing CHEN ; Jufang SHI
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(8):962-972
BACKGROUND:
Most studies have evaluated disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients based on a set of generic disability weights (DWs). This study aimed to apply local CRC-stage-specific DWs to estimate the burden of DALYs for CRC (CRC-DALYs) in populations in China and consider the influence of local screening coverage of CRC.
METHODS:
A prevalence-based model was constructed using data from various sources. Years lived with disability (YLDs) were estimated mainly via cumulative prevalence data (based on CRC incidence rates, population numbers, and survival rates), stage-specific proportions of CRC, and DWs of the local population. Years of life lost (YLLs) were calculated based on the CRC mortality rates and standard life expectancies. CRC incidence and mortality rates for the years 2020, 2025, and 2030 were estimated by joinpoint regression, and the corresponding DALYs were predicted. The main assumption was made for CRC screening coverage. Sensitivity analyses were used to assess the impact of population, DWs, and coverage.
RESULTS:
In 2017, among the Chinese population, the estimated number of CRC-DALYs was 4,303,314 (11.9% for YLDs). If CRC screening coverage rate in China (2.3%) remains unchanged, the overall DALYs in 2030 are predicted to increase by 37.2% (45.1% of those aged ≥65 years). More optimistically, the DALYs would then decrease by 0.7% in 2030 (from 5,902,454 to 5,860,200) if the coverage could be increased to 25.0%. A sensitivity analysis revealed that using local DWs would change the base-case values by 5.7%.
CONCLUSIONS
The estimated CRC-DALYs in China using population-specific DWs were considerably lower (with a higher percentage of YLDs) than the global burden of disease (GBD) estimates (5,865,004, of 4.6% for YLDs), suggesting the impact extent of applying local parameters. Sustainable scale-up CRC screening needs to be in place to moderate the growth trend of CRC-DALYs in China.
Humans
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Colorectal Neoplasms/diagnosis*
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China/epidemiology*
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Disability-Adjusted Life Years
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Male
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Prevalence
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Female
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Middle Aged
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Aged
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Early Detection of Cancer
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Quality-Adjusted Life Years
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Incidence
7.Corrigendum: Comparative analysis of cancer statistics in China and the United States in 2024.
Yujie WU ; Siyi HE ; Mengdi CAO ; Yi TENG ; Qianru LI ; Nuopei TAN ; Jiachen WANG ; Tingting ZUO ; Tianyi LI ; Yuanjie ZHENG ; Changfa XIA ; Wanqing CHEN
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(10):1260-1260
8.Epidemiological Characteristics of Esophageal Cancer Worldwide and in China,2022
Yuanjie ZHENG ; Yi TENG ; Siyi HE ; Mengdi CAO ; Qianru LI ; Nuopei TAN ; Jiachen WANG ; Tingting ZUO ; Tianyi LI ; Changfa XIA ; Wanqing CHEN
China Cancer 2025;34(3):165-170
[Purpose]To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of esophageal cancer world-wide and in China.[Methods]Data were extracted from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database.The in-cidence and mortality of esophageal cancer worldwide and in China were analyzed,stratified by sex,age group,and human development index(HDI).Spearman correlation analysis was conducted to evaluate the association between the HDI and the mortality-to-incidence ratio(MIR)of esophageal cancer.[Results]In 2022,there were an estimated 511 054 new cases and 445 391 deaths from esophageal cancer globally,with age-standardized incidence and mortality rates(ASIR and ASMR)of 5.0/105 and 4.3/105,respectively.In China,there were an estimated 224 012 new cases and 187 467 deaths accounting for 43.8%and 42.1%of global totals,respectively.Both the new cases and deaths of esophageal cancer in China ranked the first worldwide.The ASIR and ASMR in China were 8.3/105 and 6.7/105,both were as twice as the global average.The ASIR and ASMR for males were higher than those for females.The incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer increased with age,and more than 50%of global cases and deaths in individuals aged over 70 years old occurred in China.Additionally,a significantly negative correlation was ob-served between HDI and MIR of esophageal cancer(ρ=-0.67,P<0.001),and MIR in China(0.81)was comparable to that of countries or regions with a very high HDI.[Conclusion]The burden of esophageal cancer remains significant worldwide and in China,particularly among males and the elderly.The MIR of esophageal cancer in China is still relatively high.The primary and secondary prevention measures should be strengthened to reduce the incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer.
9.Disease Burden of Malignant Tumors in Chinese and Global Non-Smoking Female Population from 1990 to 2021
Danqi HUANG ; Min YANG ; Huilin WANG ; Jingyi LIU ; Wanqing CHEN ; Jinqiu YUAN ; Jingbo ZHAI ; Jiang LI
China Cancer 2025;34(8):636-644
[Purpose]To analyze the disease burden of malignant tumors and its changing trends in Chinese and global non-smoking female population from 1990 to 2021.[Methods]Data of mortality and disability-adjusted life year(DALY)due to malignant tumors for Chinese and global non-smoking female malignant tumors from 1990 to 2021 were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021(GBD 2021),and the average annual percentage change(AAPC)were calculated using Joinpoint regression model.[Results]From 1990 to 2021,the number of deaths for malignant tu-mors in Chinese non-smoking female population increased from 13.7 1×104 to 26.8 1×104,with a higher increased trend compared with the global(China:AAPC=2.19%,95%CI:2.06%~2.33%;Global:AAPC=1.92%,95%CI:1.80%~2.04%,P=0.003);the age-standardized mortality rate decreased from 32.42/105 to 24.58/105,with a higher decreased trend compared with the global(China:AAPC=-0.88%,95%CI:-1.00%~-0.76%;Global:AAPC=-0.59%,95%CI:-0.68%~-0.51%,P<0.001).From 1990 to 2021,the DALY for malignant tumors in Chinese non-smoking female population increased from 412.96×104 to 691.20×104 person-years,with a similar changing trend compared with the global(China:AAPC=1.68%,95%CI:1.56%~1.81%,Global:AAPC=1.63%,95%CI:1.52%~1.75%,P=0.536);the age-standardized DALY rate in Chinese non-smoking female population decreased from 889.58/105 to 642.65/105,with a higher decreased trend compared with the global(China:AAPC=-1.04%,95%CI:-1.15%~-0.92%;Global:AAPC=-0.69%,95%CI:-0.78%~-0.61%,P<0.001).The top five malignant tumors of high age-standardized mor-tality rate in Chinese non-smoking female population in 2021 were tracheal,bronchus and lung cancer,colon and rectum cancer,cervical cancer,breast cancer,and liver cancer.The top five malignant tumors of high age-standardized mortality rate globally in 2021 were cervical cancer,colon and rectum cancer,breast cancer,tracheal,bronchus and lung cancer,and pancreatic cancer.The age-standardized mortality rate and DALY rate of breast cancer,liver cancer,pan-creatic cancer and corpus cancer showed overall upward trends(all P<0.05).[Conclusion]From 1990 to 2021,the number of deaths and DALY of malignant tumors in Chinese and global non-smoking female population showed overall increased trends,and age-standardized mortality rate and DALY rate showed overall decreased trends.In future,more targeted cancer prevention measures are needed to reduce the disease burden of malignant tumors in non-smoking female population.
10.Analysis of the Disease Burden of Gastric Cancer in Chi-na,Japan and Republic of Korea from 1990 to 2021 and Prediction of Trends from 2022 to 2031
Yujie WU ; Siyi HE ; Mengdi CAO ; Yi TENG ; Qianru LI ; Jiachen WANG ; Nuopei TAN ; Tingting ZUO ; Changfa XIA ; Jufang SHI ; Wanqing CHEN
China Cancer 2025;34(8):626-635
[Purpose]To analyze the epidemiology and disease burden of gastric cancer in China,Japan and Republic of Korea from 1990 to 2021 and to predict changing trends from 2022 to 2031.[Methods]Data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease(GBD)database.Age-stan-dardized incidence rate(ASIR),age-standardized mortality rate(ASMR),crude incidence rate(CIR),crude mortality rate(CMR),and disability-adjusted life years(DALY)rate for China,Japan and Republic of Korea from 1990 to 2021 were analyzed.Joinpoint regression software was used to analyze trends and calculate annual percentage changes.The autoregressive integrated moving average(ARIMA)model was applied to predict incidence and mortality from 2022 to 2031.[Results]In 2021,China had 611 799 new gastric cancer cases and 445 013 deaths,with an ASIR of 29.05/105 and an ASMR of 21.51/105,both significantly higher than those in Japan and Republic of Korea.Among men in China,both the ASIR(44.48/105)and ASMR(32.61/105)were the highest among the three countries,exceeding those in Japan(38.77/105,20.26/105)and Re-public of Korea(38.98/105,20.50/105).Among women,China had the highest number of new cases,but its ASIR(15.23/105)was slightly lower than Republic of Korea's(15.57/105)and higher than Japan's(14.66/105).However,China's ASMR among women(12.02/105)remained significantly higher than Japan's(7.64/105)and Republic of Korea's(8.08/105).From 1990 to 2021,ASIR,ASMR and DALY rates for gastric cancer declined in all three countries,but the reduction in China was significantly smaller than that in Japan and Republic of Korea,with Republic of Korea showing the steepest declines across all indicators.ARIMA model predictions indicated significant differences in disease burden among the three countries from 2022 to 2031.ASIR is projected to continue declining in China and Republic of Korea,reaching 22.87/105 and 12.45/105,respectively by 2031,while in Japan it is predicted to rise to 26.55/105.ASMR is projected to decline in all three countries,reaching 13.71/105(China),10.44/105(Japan),and 9.08/105(Republic of Korea)in 2031.[Conclusion]Among China,Japan and Republic of Korea,China had the highest ASIR and ASMR of gastric cancer in 2021.Moreover,from 1990 to 2021,the reductions in ASIR,ASMR and DALY rates for gastric cancer were the smallest in China compared to Japan and Republic of Korea.These findings suggest that the disease burden of gastric cancer remains substantial in China,high-lighting the need for increased efforts in gastric cancer screening and early diagnosis and treatment.

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