1.A prediction model for high-risk cardiovascular disease among residents aged 35 to 75 years
ZHOU Guoying ; XING Lili ; SU Ying ; LIU Hongjie ; LIU He ; WANG Di ; XUE Jinfeng ; DAI Wei ; WANG Jing ; YANG Xinghua
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(1):12-16
Objective:
To establish a prediction model for high-risk cardiovascular disease (CVD) among residents aged 35 to 75 years, so as to provide the basis for improving CVD prevention and control measures.
Methods:
Permanent residents aged 35 to 75 years were selected from Dongcheng District, Beijing Municipality using the stratified random sampling method from 2018 to 2023. Demographic information, lifestyle, waist circumference and blood biochemical indicators were collected through questionnaire surveys, physical examinations and laboratory tests. Influencing factors for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years were identified using a multivariable logistic regression model, and a prediction model for high-risk CVD was established. The predictive effect was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Results:
A total of 6 968 individuals were surveyed, including 2 821 males (40.49%) and 4 147 females (59.51%), and had a mean age of (59.92±9.33) years. There were 1 155 high-risk CVD population, with a detection rate of 16.58%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that gender, age, smoking, central obesity, systolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, triglyceride and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol were influencing factors for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years (all P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve of the established prediction model was 0.849 (95%CI: 0.834-0.863), with a sensitivity of 0.693 and a specificity of 0.863, indicating good discrimination.
Conclusion
The model constructed by eight factors including demographic characteristics, lifestyle and blood biochemical indicators has good predictive value for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years.
2.Application progress of Yttrium-90 microsphere selective internal radiation therapy on metastatic liver cancer
Guanxiang ZHUO ; Linhe GAN ; Jinfeng LIAN ; Yilin WANG
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2025;32(1):15-23
Yttrium-90 microsphere selective internal radiation therapy (90Y-SIRT) has been widely used in the treatment of malignant liver cancers, and its safety and efficacy have been fully validated. As an important local therapeutic method, 90Y-SIRT has been utilized for the treatment of multiple metastatic liver cancers in many cancer diagnosis and treatment centers at home and abroad, demonstrating significant therapeutic potential. This article reviews the basic principle, development history, indications and contraindications of 90Y microsphere, as well as the specific applications in treatment of different types of metastatic liver cancers, aiming to provide references for further research and optimization of treatment strategies.
3.Analysis of risk factors for postpartum hemorrhage in patients with severe preeclampsia
Jinfeng XIANG ; Yixiao WANG ; Ruizhe JIA
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(1):148-152,157
Objective To explore the risk factors for postpartum hemorrhage in the patients with severe preeclampsia.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the data of 767 pregnant women with se-vere preeclampsia admitted and treated in this hospital from January 2021 to July 2023.Among them,80 pa-tients with severe preeclampsia who developed postpartum hemorrhage were included in the observation group,and the remaining 687 patients without PPH were included in the control group.The univariate analysis and binary logistic multivariate regression analysis were used to identify the independent risk factors for post-partum hemorrhage.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was drawn to analyze the effectiveness of these risk factors in predicting postpartum hemorrhage occurrence in the patients with severe preeclampsia.Results The univariate analysis results showed that the incidence rates of assisted reproduction,twin preg-nancy,hypoproteinemia,placenta previa,oligohydramnios,abnormal umbilical cord blood flow and nuchal cord in the observation group were significantly higher than those in the control group(P<0.05).The binary lo-gistic regression analysis results revealed that the large neonatal birth weight,assisted reproduction,hypopro-teinemia,placenta previa and twin pregnancy were the independent risk factors for postpartum hemorrhage oc-currence in the patients with severe preeclampsia.The ROC curve analysis results indicated that the area un-der the curve(AUC)of the above factors for predicting postpartum hemorrhage in the patients with severe preeclampsia was 0.603,0.567,0.528,0.588 and 0.574,respectively.When the combined prediction,AUC was 0.735,the optimal cut-off value was 0.385,the sensitivity was67.5%and specificity was 71.0%.Conclu-sion Large neonatal birth weight,assisted reproduction,hypoproteinemia,placenta previa and twin pregnancy are the independent risk factors for postpartum hemorrhage occurrence in the patients with severe preeclampsia.
4.Lasso-Logistic regression analysis and construction and validation of a nomogram prediction model for hepatic encephalopathy after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt
Peng CHANG ; Pengfei XUE ; Chengxi GUO ; Yaopu WANG ; Bo WANG ; Kai ZHAO ; Jinfeng XUE
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2025;29(7):19-25
Objective To analyze the influencing factors of hepatic encephalopathy(HE)after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt(TIPS)and construct a nomogram prediction model based on these factors.Methods A total of 290 patients with cirrhotic portal hypertensive variceal gastrointestinal bleeding in the Yuncheng Central Hospital Affiliated to Shanxi Medical University from January 2019 to December 2023 were selected and randomly divided into training set of 145 cases and validation set of 145 cases.All patients underwent TIPS treatment,and the incidence of HE within 3 months after TIPS was recorded.In the training set,patients were divided into HE group(n=42)and non-HE group(n=103)based on the occurrence of HE.Clinical materials were compared between the two groups,and Lasso-Logistic regression analysis was applied to explore the influencing factors of HE after TIPS.A nomogram prediction model was constructed based on the influencing factors and validated in both the training set and the validation set for its clinical value in predicting HE after TIPS.Results The overall incidence of HE was 29.31%,with incidence rates of 28.97%and 29.66%respectively in the training set and the validation set.In the training set,the HE group had significantly higher age,C grading of preoperative Child-Pugh ratio,diabetes mellitus ratio,total bilirubin(TBIL),prothrombin time(PT),serum sodium,serum creatinine,interleukin-6(IL-6),interleukin-18(IL-18),blood ammonia,monocyte chemotactic protein-1(MCP-1),postoperative portal venous pressure,and intestinal flora disturbance ratio when compared to the non-HE group,while the preoperative glial fibrillary acidic protein(GFAP)level was significantly lower in the HE group(P<0.05).Lasso-Logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative C grading of Child-Pugh grading,diabetes mellitus,TBIL,PT,IL-6,IL-18,blood ammonia,GFAP,MCP-1 level,and postoperative intestinal flora disturbance were influencing factors for HE after TIPS(P<0.05).A nomogram prediction model was constructed based on ten influencing factors selected by Lasso-Logistic regression analysis.The area under the curve(AUC)of this model for predicting HE after TIPS was 0.933(95%CI,0.889 to 0.976)in the training set and 0.944(95%CI,0.893 to 0.995)in the valida-tion set,with good consistency between the model's prediction and actual observation.Conclusion The nomogram prediction model for HE after TIPS,constructed based on the influencing factors selected by Lasso-Logistic regression analysis,has high predictive efficacy and accuracy.
5.Cost-utility analysis of HIV screening in blood donors using a decision-tree Markov model
Liqin HUANG ; Lilin WANG ; Linfen WU ; Jiahui ZUO ; Jinfeng ZENG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(7):958-963
Objective: To develop a comprehensive health economics evaluation model for HIV blood screening using Markov modeling, so as to evaluate the quality-of-life adjustment years (QALYs) gained by transfusion recipients after implementation of blood HIV screening. Methods: Shenzhen Blood Center was selected as the validation case for model development. Based on historical HIV screening data of Shenzhen Blood Center and published literature, the health economics evaluation of donor HIV screening was performed using cost-utility analysis. The single factor sensitivity analysis was performed on parameters in the model. Results: 3.09 QALYs were gained for each transfusion recipient prevented from HIV infection. During 2020-2023, donor HIV screening at Shenzhen Blood Center saved 506.76 QALYs, and each QALY saved 182 900 yuan. Conclusion: From the perspective of long-term benefit of transfusion recipients, HIV screening of blood donors demonstrates high health and economic value.
6.Evaluation of donor ALT screening strategies based on random sampling simulation with large sample sizes
Liqin HUANG ; Yuanye XUE ; Le CHANG ; Lunan WANG ; Jinfeng ZENG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(8):1094-1100
Objective: To comprehensively evaluate the current alanine aminotransferase (ALT) screening strategies and provide a basis for their optimization. Methods: ALT test results of 21 345 blood samples were collected from 33 blood collection institutions. Multiple probability distribution functions were employed to fit the data, and the akaike information criterion (AIC) was used to determine the optimal fitting model. Based on this model, 1 million random samplings were conducted to simulate the final ALT test results of blood donors under different ALT screening strategies, eligibility criteria, and pre-donation ALT detection deviations. A decision tree was subsequently constructed for health economic analysis. Results: The log-normal distribution with a mean of 2.96 and a variance of 0.65 provided the best fit for the data. When the eligibility criteria was 50 U/L and the pre-donation detection deviation was ±20%, not conducting pre-donation testing increased blood donation by 1.14%. When the pre-donation detection deviation was ±20% and the eligibility criteria was raised from 50 U/L to 100 U/L, conducting and not conducting pre-donation testing increased blood donation by 7.59% and 6.60%, respectively. With a eligibility criteria of 50 U/L and a pre-donation detection deviation of ±20%, 1.14% of eligible blood donors would be disqualified from donating blood. Health economic analysis showed that when the eligibility criteria was adjusted to 56 U/L or higher, not conducting pre-donation ALT testing was the dominant strategy; under other conditions, conducting pre-donation testing was the dominant strategy. Conclusion: The selection of ALT testing strategies is a complex process influenced by multiple factors, and it is necessary to adopt an appropriate ALT screening strategy based on specific testing circumstances.
7.Analysis on the current situation and prospect of chemiluminescence technology in blood screening
Jinfeng ZENG ; Haobiao WANG ; Yingnan DANG ; Liqin HUANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(8):1120-1126
Chemiluminescence immunoassay (CLIA), a non-radioactive immunoassay technology that has developed rapidly over the past three decades, has increasingly demonstrated its application value in blood screening due to its advantages such as high sensitivity, high specificity, rapid detection, and high degree of automation. This article systematically reviews the application status, technical characteristics, differences from traditional methods, influencing factors for promotion and application of CLIA in blood screening at home and abroad, and looks forward to its development prospects. Countries such as the United States, Germany, and Japan have widely adopted CLIA in the screening of pathogens like HBV, HCV, and HIV, predominantly using "1 CLIA test + 1 nucleic acid testing (NAT) test" model. Some regions have also expanded testing items to include anti-HBc and HTLV. In China, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) combined with NAT remains the primary method. CLIA is still in the stage of detection performance comparison. However, domestic reagents have gradually been approved, and more enterprises are accelerating their layout in this field. CLIA is superior to ELISA in terms of sensitivity, detection range, and automation adaptability, which can reduce missed detection and shorten the window period. But it is limited by factors such as high cost, closed system characteristics, and domestic batch release supervision. In the future, CLIA is expected to complement existing technologies, expand the detection of emerging and re-emerging pathogens, and combine with fully automated assembly lines to improve screening quality, providing more comprehensive protection for clinical blood transfusion safety.
8.Cost-utility analysis of HIV screening in blood donors using a decision-tree Markov model
Liqin HUANG ; Lilin WANG ; Linfen WU ; Jiahui ZUO ; Jinfeng ZENG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(7):958-963
Objective: To develop a comprehensive health economics evaluation model for HIV blood screening using Markov modeling, so as to evaluate the quality-of-life adjustment years (QALYs) gained by transfusion recipients after implementation of blood HIV screening. Methods: Shenzhen Blood Center was selected as the validation case for model development. Based on historical HIV screening data of Shenzhen Blood Center and published literature, the health economics evaluation of donor HIV screening was performed using cost-utility analysis. The single factor sensitivity analysis was performed on parameters in the model. Results: 3.09 QALYs were gained for each transfusion recipient prevented from HIV infection. During 2020-2023, donor HIV screening at Shenzhen Blood Center saved 506.76 QALYs, and each QALY saved 182 900 yuan. Conclusion: From the perspective of long-term benefit of transfusion recipients, HIV screening of blood donors demonstrates high health and economic value.
9.Correlation of conventional ultrasound and contrast-enhanced ultrasound features with invasive histological features in T 1a clear cell renal cell carcinoma
Jinghua NIU ; Shaoling YUAN ; Yan ZHANG ; Xinyang GUO ; Jinfeng WANG
Cancer Research and Clinic 2025;37(6):445-450
Objective:To explore the correlation between conventional ultrasound and contrast-enhanced ultrasound features and invasive histological features of T 1a clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). Methods:A retrospective case series study was conducted. Sixty-seven T 1a ccRCC patients who were admitted to Shanxi Province Cancer Hospital from May 2018 to August 2023 were selected. According to the World Health Organization (WHO)/International Society of Urology and Pathology (ISUP) renal tumor grading system, the patients were divided into the low-grade group (WHO/ISUP grades 1-2, 53 cases) and the high-grade group (WHO/ISUP grades 3-4, 14 cases). The conventional ultrasound and contrast-enhanced ultrasound characteristics of two groups of patients were compared. Multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the independent factors of conventional ultrasound and contrast-enhanced ultrasound related to T 1a ccRCC with WHO/ISUP high grade. Results:There were no statistically significant differences in clinical characteristics between the two groups of patients (all P > 0.05). In conventional ultrasound examination, the proportion of patients with tumor exophytic rate <50% in the high-grade group was higher than that in the low-grade group [64.3% (9/14) vs. 34.0% (18/53)], and the difference was statistically significant ( χ2 = 4.23, P = 0.040); there were no statistically significant differences in the distribution of patients with different tumor maximum diameter, laterality, polarity, depth, echo, boundary, and shape between the two groups (all P > 0.05). In contrast-enhanced ultrasound examination, the proportion of patients lack of pseudocapsule sign in the high-grade group was higher than that in the low-grade group [57.1% (8/14) vs. 24.5% (13/53)], and the difference was statistically significant ( χ2 = 4.06, P = 0.044); there were no statistically significant differences in the distribution of patients with different perfusion mode, enhancement degree, enhancement uniformity, and regression mode between the two groups (all P > 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the conventional ultrasound tumor exophytic rate < 50% (compared to exophytic rate ≥ 50%, OR = 3.732, 95% CI: 1.019-13.664, P = 0.047) and the absence of pseudocapsule sign (compared to the presence of pseudocapsule sign, OR = 4.357, 95% CI: 1.201-15.804, P = 0.025) on contrast-enhanced ultrasound were independent risk factors for high-grade T 1a ccRCC. Conclusions:T 1a ccRCC with the exophytic rate <50% and absence of pseudocapsule sign may have invasive histological features.
10.Effect of Serum IRGM,Syndecan-1 Level Expression on Prognosis after PCI in Patients with Acute ST-segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction
Haiyan YANG ; Jieyao WENG ; Yilin QIAN ; Jinfeng WANG ; Kai ZHANG
Journal of Modern Laboratory Medicine 2025;40(3):123-128
Objective To investigate the effect of serum expression of immune-related guanosine triphosphatase M(IRGM)and Syndecan-1levels in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction(ASTEMI)on the prognosis after percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI).Methods 135 patients with ASTEMI admitted to Suzhou Jiulong Hospital of Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine from January 2021 to January 2023(ASTEMI group)were selected and divided into the poor prognosis group(n=37)and the good prognosis group(n=98)after PCI treatment for 3 months,and 65 physically examined and healthy people(control group)were also selected during the same period.The enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA)was used to detect serum IRGM,Syndecan-1 levels,Logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of poor prognosis after PCI in ASTEMI patients,and receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves were plotted to evaluate the predictive value of serum IRGM,Syndecan-1 levels on poor prognosis after PCI in ASTEMI patients.Results Compared with the control group,serum IRGM(6.17±2.50 ng/ml vs 2.59±0.94 ng/ml),Syndecan-1(420.97±123.65 ng/ml vs 278.89±43.06 ng/ml)levels were higher in the ASTEMI group,and the differences were statistically significant(t=14.628,11.932,all P<0.001).During a three-month follow-up,the incidence of poor prognosis after PCI in 135 patients with ASTEMI was 27.41%(37/135).The age,proportion of KILLIP grade≥II,Gensini score,white blood cell count,LDL-C,IRGM and Syndecan-1 levels in the poor prognosis group were higher than those in the good prognosis group,and the LVEF scores was lower than those in the good prognosis group,and the differences were statistically significant(χ2/t/Z=2.119~8.042,all P<0.05).Independent risk factors for poor prognosis after PCI in patients with ASTEMI were KILLIP classification≥II,high Gensini score,high IRGM,high Syndecan-1,and high LVEF were the independent protective factors(Wald χ2=4.225~11.413,all P<0.05).The AUC(95%CI)of serum IRGM combined with Syndecan-1 level in predicting poor prognosis in patients with ASTEMI after PCI was larger than that of IRGM,and Syndecan-1 alone predictsed poor prognosis,and the differences were statistically significant(Z=3.400,2.905,all P<0.05).Conclusion High serum IRGM,Syndecan-1 level is an independent risk factor for poor prognosis after PCI in pa-tients with ASTEMI,and the combination of serum IRGM,Syndecan-1 level has a high predictive value for it.


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