Objective To investigate the impact of holiday effects and prevention/control measures on the development characteristics and incidence trends of influenza in Hefei City using a Prophet-LSTM hybrid model, and to validate the applicability of the Prophet-LSTM model in influenza prediction by comparing the performance of different forecasting models. Methods Influenza incidence data from Hefei City (2016–2024) were collected to construct a Prophet-LSTM feature analysis and prediction model to analyze the impact of holiday effects and intervention measures on influenza incidence trends. Comparative models (ARIMA, GRU, and TimeGPT) were established and evaluated on the same test set. Results The data analysis revealed significantly increased influenza incidence during holidays (e.g., New Year's Day, Spring Festival, and National Day), while prevention and control measures led to declining trends. The Prophet-LSTM model demonstrated high consistency between the predicted and actual values, outperforming the comparative models with superior MAE (0.209), MSE (0.195), and IA (0.914), indicating higher prediction accuracy and trend-fitting capability. Conclusion The Prophet-LSTM model effectively captures spatiotemporal characteristics of influenza incidence, exhibits enhanced predictive performance when incorporating holiday effects and intervention measures, and demonstrates significant advantages and application value in influenza forecasting.

ObjectiveTo investigate the mechanisms by which Liuwei Buqi prescription （LWBQ） regulates alveolar macrophage efferocytosis and improves inflammatory responses in rats with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease （COPD） characterized by lung-kidney Qi deficiency based on the nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 （Nrf2）/macrophage receptor with collagenous structure （MARCO） pathway. MethodsSuccessfully modeled rats were randomly divided into a model group， low-dose LWBQ group （LWBQ-L， 2.25 g·kg^-1·d^-1）， medium-dose LWBQ group （LWBQ-M， 4.5 g·kg^-1·d^-1）， high-dose LWBQ group （LWBQ-H， 9 g·kg^-1·d^-1）， and aminophylline group （AMIN， 50 mg·kg^-1·d^-1）， with 8 rats in each group. Another 8 healthy rats were included as the blank group. Except for the blank group， rats in the remaining groups were subjected to smoke exposure combined with forced swimming， intratracheal lipopolysaccharide （LPS） instillation， and subcutaneous hydrocortisone injection to establish a COPD model with lung-kidney Qi deficiency. After successful modeling， rats were administered different doses of LWBQ or AMIN by gavage. Body weight， fur condition， and oral secretions were observed. Pulmonary function was measured using an animal lung function analyzer. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay （ELISA） was used to detect the expression levels of interferon-γ （IFN-γ）， interleukin-6 （IL-6）， interleukin-1 （IL-1）， and tumor necrosis factor-α （TNF-α） in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid （BALF） and serum （SER）. Hematoxylin-eosin （HE） staining was used to examine pathological changes in lung tissue. Giemsa staining was performed to detect eosinophils， basophils， and neutrophils in BALF. Terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick-end labeling （TUNEL） was used to detect apoptosis in lung tissue. Western blot and real-time polymerase chain reaction （Real-time PCR） were employed to determine the protein and mRNA expression levels of efferocytosis-related proteins growth arrest-specific gene 6 （GAS6）， milk fat globule-epidermal growth factor 8 （MFG-E8）， and pathway-related proteins Nrf2 and MARCO in lung tissue. ResultsCompared with the blank group， the model group showed reduced food intake， nasal and oral secretions with sputum， and decreased body weight （P<0.01）， decreased peak expiratory flow （PEF） （P<0.01）， increased forced vital capacity （FVC） （P<0.01）， and decreased forced expiratory volume in 0.3 s/forced vital capacity ［FEV0.3/FVC （%）］ （P<0.01）. The expression levels of IFN-γ， IL-6， IL-1， and TNF-α in BALF and SER were increased （P<0.01）. Lung tissue exhibited structural destruction， hyperplasia， inflammatory exudation， increased apoptotic cells， and increased mean optical density （P<0.01）. The protein and mRNA expression levels of GAS6， MFG-E8， and MARCO， as well as Nrf2 mRNA expression， were increased （P<0.01）. Compared with the model group， the LWBQ groups showed increased food intake， reduced nasal and oral secretions with sputum， and increased body weight （P<0.05， P<0.01）. PEF was increased （P<0.01）. FVC was increased in rats treated with low- and medium-dose LWBQ （P<0.01）， and FEV0.3/FVC （%） was increased in rats treated with medium- and high-dose LWBQ （P<0.05， P<0.01）. The expression levels of IFN-γ， IL-6， IL-1， and TNF-α in BALF and SER were decreased （P<0.01）. Lung tissue structure was relatively intact， with improvement in hyperplasia and inflammatory exudation. The number of apoptotic cells in lung tissue was reduced， and mean optical density was decreased （P<0.05， P<0.01）. The protein and mRNA expression levels of efferocytosis-related proteins GAS6 and MFG-E8 and pathway-related proteins Nrf2 and MARCO were increased （P<0.01）. ConclusionLWBQ can alleviate pulmonary and systemic inflammation， improve lung function， and reduce lung tissue damage in rats with COPD characterized by lung-kidney Qi deficiency. The mechanism may be related to enhancement of alveolar macrophage efferocytosis through regulation of the Nrf2/MARCO pathway.

ObjectiveTo investigate the effects and underlying mechanisms of Shenqi Wenfei prescription （SQWF） on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease （COPD）. MethodsA rat model of COPD with lung Qi deficiency was established using lipopolysaccharide （LPS） combined with cigarette smoke. Forty-eight SD rats were randomly divided into a blank group， a model group， low-， medium-， and high-dose SQWF groups （2.835， 5.67， 11.34 g·kg^-1）， and a Yupingfeng group （1.35 g·kg^-1）. Drug administration began on day 29 after modeling and continued for 2 weeks. The general condition of the rats was observed， and the lung function in each group was assessed. Hematoxylin-eosin （HE） staining was used to observe pathological changes in lung tissue. The proportion of inflammatory cells in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid （BALF） was measured. Apoptosis in lung tissue was examined by terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick end-labeling （TUNEL） staining. The release level of lactate dehydrogenase （LDH） in BALF was detected by a microplate assay. Reactive oxygen species （ROS） levels in lung tissue were detected using fluorescent probes. The levels of malondialdehyde （MDA）， total superoxide dismutase （SOD）， and reduced glutathione （GSH） in BALF were measured by biochemical methods. Ultrastructural changes in lung cells were observed via transmission electron microscopy. Double immunofluorescence staining was performed to detect the expression of thioredoxin-interacting protein （TXNIP） and nucleotide-binding oligomerization domain-like receptor protein 3 （NLRP3） in lung tissue. Western blot analysis was used to detect the protein expression of TXNIP， NLRP3， apoptosis-associated speck-like protein containing a CARD （ASC）， cysteinyl aspartate-specific protease-1 （Caspase-1）， Caspase-1 p20， gasdermin D （GSDMD）， GSDMD N-terminal active fragment （GSDMD-N）， interleukin-1β （IL-1β）， and IL-18 in lung tissue. Serum IL-1β and IL-18 levels were measured by ELISA. ResultsCompared with the blank group， the model group showed lassitude， fatigue， tachypnea， and audible phlegm sounds， and lung function significantly declined （P0.01）. Pulmonary emphysema and inflammatory cell infiltration were obvious. The level of inflammatory cells in BALF increased significantly （P0.05）. The number of TUNEL-positive cells increased （P0.01）. Levels of LDH， ROS， and MDA in BALF increased significantly （P0.01）， while GSH and SOD activities decreased significantly （P0.01）. Lung tissue cells showed irregular morphology， swollen mitochondria， disrupted cell membranes， and abundant vesicles， i.e.， pyroptotic bodies. Protein levels of TXNIP， NLRP3， ASC， Caspase-1， Caspase-1 p20， GSDMD， GSDMD-N， IL-1β， and IL-18 in lung tissue were significantly elevated （P0.01）， and serum IL-1β and IL-18 levels also increased significantly （P0.01）. Compared with the model group， each medication group showed alleviation of qi deficiency symptoms and improved lung function （P0.01）. Pulmonary emphysema and inflammatory cell infiltration were reduced. Inflammatory cell levels decreased （P0.05）. The number of TUNEL-positive cells decreased significantly （P0.01）. Levels of LDH， ROS， and MDA decreased significantly （P0.05）， while GSH and SOD activities significantly increased （P0.01）. Morphological and structural damage in lung tissue was improved to varying degrees. Protein levels of TXNIP， NLRP3， ASC， Caspase-1， Caspase-1 p20， GSDMD， GSDMD-N， IL-1β， and IL-18 in lung tissue significantly decreased （P0.01）， and serum IL-1β and IL-18 levels also decreased significantly （P0.05）. ConclusionSQWF can improve lung function and alleviate inflammatory responses in COPD rats. Its mechanism may be related to regulating the ROS/TXNIP/NLRP3 pathway and inhibiting pyroptosis.

ObjectiveTo investigate the effects and underlying mechanisms of Shenqi Wenfei prescription （SQWF） on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease （COPD）. MethodsA rat model of COPD with lung Qi deficiency was established using lipopolysaccharide （LPS） combined with cigarette smoke. Forty-eight SD rats were randomly divided into a blank group， a model group， low-， medium-， and high-dose SQWF groups （2.835， 5.67， 11.34 g·kg^-1）， and a Yupingfeng group （1.35 g·kg^-1）. Drug administration began on day 29 after modeling and continued for 2 weeks. The general condition of the rats was observed， and the lung function in each group was assessed. Hematoxylin-eosin （HE） staining was used to observe pathological changes in lung tissue. The proportion of inflammatory cells in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid （BALF） was measured. Apoptosis in lung tissue was examined by terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick end-labeling （TUNEL） staining. The release level of lactate dehydrogenase （LDH） in BALF was detected by a microplate assay. Reactive oxygen species （ROS） levels in lung tissue were detected using fluorescent probes. The levels of malondialdehyde （MDA）， total superoxide dismutase （SOD）， and reduced glutathione （GSH） in BALF were measured by biochemical methods. Ultrastructural changes in lung cells were observed via transmission electron microscopy. Double immunofluorescence staining was performed to detect the expression of thioredoxin-interacting protein （TXNIP） and nucleotide-binding oligomerization domain-like receptor protein 3 （NLRP3） in lung tissue. Western blot analysis was used to detect the protein expression of TXNIP， NLRP3， apoptosis-associated speck-like protein containing a CARD （ASC）， cysteinyl aspartate-specific protease-1 （Caspase-1）， Caspase-1 p20， gasdermin D （GSDMD）， GSDMD N-terminal active fragment （GSDMD-N）， interleukin-1β （IL-1β）， and IL-18 in lung tissue. Serum IL-1β and IL-18 levels were measured by ELISA. ResultsCompared with the blank group， the model group showed lassitude， fatigue， tachypnea， and audible phlegm sounds， and lung function significantly declined （P0.01）. Pulmonary emphysema and inflammatory cell infiltration were obvious. The level of inflammatory cells in BALF increased significantly （P0.05）. The number of TUNEL-positive cells increased （P0.01）. Levels of LDH， ROS， and MDA in BALF increased significantly （P0.01）， while GSH and SOD activities decreased significantly （P0.01）. Lung tissue cells showed irregular morphology， swollen mitochondria， disrupted cell membranes， and abundant vesicles， i.e.， pyroptotic bodies. Protein levels of TXNIP， NLRP3， ASC， Caspase-1， Caspase-1 p20， GSDMD， GSDMD-N， IL-1β， and IL-18 in lung tissue were significantly elevated （P0.01）， and serum IL-1β and IL-18 levels also increased significantly （P0.01）. Compared with the model group， each medication group showed alleviation of qi deficiency symptoms and improved lung function （P0.01）. Pulmonary emphysema and inflammatory cell infiltration were reduced. Inflammatory cell levels decreased （P0.05）. The number of TUNEL-positive cells decreased significantly （P0.01）. Levels of LDH， ROS， and MDA decreased significantly （P0.05）， while GSH and SOD activities significantly increased （P0.01）. Morphological and structural damage in lung tissue was improved to varying degrees. Protein levels of TXNIP， NLRP3， ASC， Caspase-1， Caspase-1 p20， GSDMD， GSDMD-N， IL-1β， and IL-18 in lung tissue significantly decreased （P0.01）， and serum IL-1β and IL-18 levels also decreased significantly （P0.05）. ConclusionSQWF can improve lung function and alleviate inflammatory responses in COPD rats. Its mechanism may be related to regulating the ROS/TXNIP/NLRP3 pathway and inhibiting pyroptosis.

OBJECTIVES: To explore the mechanism of Shenqi Buzhong (SQBZ) Formula for alleviating mitochondrial dysfunction in a rat model of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in light of the AMPK/SIRT1/PGC-1α pathway. METHODS: Fifty male SD rat models of COPD, established by intratracheal lipopolysaccharide (LPS) instillation, exposure to cigarette smoke, and gavage of Senna leaf infusion, were randomized into 5 groups (n=10) for treatment with saline (model group), SQBZ Formula at low, moderate and high doses (3.08, 6.16 and 12.32 g/kg, respectively), or aminophylline (0.024 g/kg) by gavage for 4 weeks, with another 10 untreated rats as the control group. Pulmonary function of the rats were tested, and pathologies and ultrastructural changes of the lung tissues were examined using HE staining and transmission electron microscopy. The levels of SOD, ATP, MDA, and mitochondrial membrane potential in the lungs were detected using WST-1, colorimetric assay, TBA, and JC-1 methods. Flow cytometry was used to analyze ROS level in the lung tissues, and the protein expression levels of P-AMPKα, AMPKα, SIRTI, and PGC-1α were detected using Western blotting. RESULTS: The rat models of COPD showed significantly decreased lung function, severe histopathological injuries of the lungs, decreased pulmonary levels of SOD activity, ATP and mitochondrial membrane potential, increased levels of MDA and ROS, and decreased pulmonary expressions of P-AMPKα, SIRTI, and PGC-1α proteins. All these changes were significantly alleviated by treatment with SQBZ Formula and aminophylline, and the efficacy was comparable between high-dose SQBZ Formula group and aminophylline group. CONCLUSIONS SQBZ Formula ameliorates mitochondrial dysfunction in COPD rats possibly by activating the AMPK/SIRT1/PGC-1α pathway.
Animals ; Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive/drug therapy* ; Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use* ; Sirtuin 1/metabolism* ; Peroxisome Proliferator-Activated Receptor Gamma Coactivator 1-alpha ; Rats, Sprague-Dawley ; Male ; Rats ; AMP-Activated Protein Kinases/metabolism* ; Mitochondria/metabolism* ; Disease Models, Animal ; Signal Transduction/drug effects*

Background The prevalence of low back pain among workers using vibrating tools in the automobile manufacturing industry is high; however, research on associated risk factors remains limited. Objective To investigate the association between use of vibrating tools and low back pain among automobile manufacturing workers, and to estimate related population attributable risk percentage (PAR%). Methods A cross-sectional survey was conducted using the Chinese Musculoskeletal Disorders Questionnaire among workers with over one year of service in an automobile manufacturing enterprise. Workers were categorized into an exposed group (vibrating tool users) and a control group (non-users) based on their use of vibrating tools during work. The variables showing statistically significant differences between the two groups were selected as covariates for matching by 1∶2 nearest-neighbor propensity score. Chi-square test was used to compare the prevalence of low back pain between the matched exposed and control groups. Log-binomial regression model was employed to calculate the prevalence ratio (PR), and the PAR% of low back pain attributable to vibrating tool use was subsequently determined. Results A total of 6973 valid questionnaires were collected, comprising 5676 males and 1297 females, with an overall low back pain prevalence of 40.3% (2809/6973). The exposed group included 1255 workers (1134 males, 121 females), with a mean age of (44.2 ± 8.7) years and a mean tenure in the current position of (23.5 ± 9.9) years; the matching control group consisted of 2510 workers (2279 males, 231 females), with a mean age of (44.7 ± 8.6) years and a mean tenure in the current position of (24.0 ± 10.0) years. The prevalence of low back pain was 76.7% (963/1255) in the exposed group, significantly higher than the 29.9% (750/2510) in the control group (P<0.001). The log-binomial regression analysis showed a PR of 2.57 (95%CI: 2.28, 2.90) for the exposed group, with a PAR% of 22.03%. Conclusion The use of vibrating tools among automobile manufacturing workers is positively associated with reporting low back pain. Implementing effective measures to mitigate vibration hazards is crucial for reducing the burden of low back pain in this population.

Objective To investigate the effects of Shenqi Tiaoshen Formula(SQTSF)for alleviating airway inflammation in rats with both chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)and lung-kidney qi deficiency syndrome and explore its therapeutic mechanism.Methods Forty-eight SD rats were randomly divided into control group,model group,low-,medium-,and high-dose SQTSF groups,and aminophylline(APL)group.In all but the control group,rat models of COPD with lung-kidney qi deficiency syndrome were established and treated with saline,SQTSF or APL via daily gavage as indicated(starting from day 30).The rats were observed for changes in body weight,grip strength,lung function,lung pathology,inflammatory cytokines in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid(BALF),oxidative stress levels,iron ion metabolism,cellular and mitochondrial ultrastructural changes in the lung tissue,and expressions of Nrf2/SLC7A11/GPX4 signaling pathway and ferroptosis-related proteins.Results The rats in the model group exhibited obvious symptoms of lung-kidney qi deficiency syndrome with significantly decreased body weight,grip strength,and lung function parameters.Examination of the lung tissue revealed showed significant inflammatory cell infiltration and emphysema with obvious bronchial,perivascular,and alveolar inflammation and alveolar destruction,significantly increased IL-1β,TNF-α,IL-6,and IL-13 levels in BALF,and elevated pulmonary oxidative stress levels and Fe2+and total iron ion concentrations.The rat models also showed characteristic ultrastructural changes of ferroptosis in the lung tissue cells under transmission electron microscope and significantly decreased Nrf2,GPX4,and SLC7A11 and increased ACSL4 expressions in the lung tissue.Treatment with SQTSF significantly improved these pathological changes in the rat models with a better effect than APL.Conclusion SQTSF can effectively improve airway inflammation and oxidative stress in COPD rats with lung-kidney qi deficiency possibly by inhibiting ferroptosis via regulating the Nrf2/SLC7A11/GPX4 signaling pathway.

Objective To explore the therapeutic mechanism of Liuwei Buqi(LWBQ)Formula for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)in rat models.Methods SD rat models of COPD established by cigarette smoking combined with intratracheal lipopolysaccharide(LPS)instillation and hormone injection were treated with LWBQ Formula by gavage with or without intraperitoneal injection of MCC950 for 3 weeks,starting at the 5th week of modeling.After the treatments,the rats were examined for lung pathologies,lung function,total cell count and white blood cell count in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid(BALF),and serum levels of IL-6,TNF-α,IL-18 and NO.The mRNA expressions of NLRP3,ASC,caspase-1,GSDMD-N,IL-1β,and IL-18 in the lung tissue were detected with qRT-PCR.Results Compared with the normal control rats,the COPD rat models had severe lung pathologies and showed significantly decreased lung function,increased total cell and leukocyte subset counts in BALF,and increased serum levels of IL-6,TNF-α,IL-18 and NO and mRNA expressions of pyroptosis-related proteins in the lung tissue.Treatment of the rat models with LWBQ Formula significantly improved lung pathology and lung function,reduced total cell and leukocyte counts in BALF,and decreased serum levels of the inflammatory factors and expressions of pyroptosis-related proteins in the lung tissue.The combined treatment with MCC950 further improved lung pathology and function in spite of a significant difference,but BALF cell counts,serum inflammatory factor levels and pulmonary expressions of pyroptosis-related proteins were all significantly reduced following the treatment.Conclusion LWBQ Formula can delay the progression of COPD in rats possibly by inhibiting lung tissue pyroptosis via regulating the NLRP3/caspase-1/GSDMD pathway to reduce inflammatory response and lung damage.

Objective:To investigate the occurrence of low back work-related musculoskeletal disorders (WMSDs) among workers in a container manufacturing factory, and to explore the influencing factors.Methods:In June 2022, 952 workers from a container factory were selected as the research objects by cluster random sampling. Through questionnaire survey, the incidence of low back WMSDs symptoms among workers in the past one year was collected, and the influencing factors of low back WMSDs were analyzed by logistic regression.Results:The incidence rate of low back WMSDs was 46.7% (445/952). The factors with higher exposure at work were frequent slight bending (77.0%, 733/952), frequent overtime (74.1%, 705/952), and the need to turn around while working (62.3%, 593/952). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age over 40 years old, smoking, drinking, often bending over slightly, sitting for a long time, maintaining a large bending posture for a long time, often working overtime, limited operating space, and there was always a need to complete conflicting things in the container manufacturing factory workers were the risks of increasing the low back WMSDs ( OR=1.68, 1.96, 2.47, 1.49, 1.84, 2.11, 1.90, 1.82, 2.00, P<0.05). Standing at work, always friendly colleagues, and always supportive and helpful leaders were protective factors for low back WMSDs ( OR=0.60, 0.32, 0.40, P<0.05) . Conclusion:The incidence of low back WMSDs symptoms in container manufacturing workers is high, and work-related factors such as frequent slight bending, long time holding large bending posture and limited operating space are the focus of ergonomic intervention in container manufacturing enterprises.

Objective:To explore the risk factors of neck work-related musculoskeletal disorders (WMSDs) among automobile manufacturing enterprise workers, and construct the risk prediction model.Methods:In May 2022, a cluster convenience sampling method was used to selet all front-line workers from an automobile manufacturing factory in Xiangyang City as the research objects. And a questionnaire survey was conducted using the modified Musculoskeletal Disorders Questionnaire to analyze the occurrence and exposure to risk factors of neck WMSDs. Logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of workers' neck WMSDs symptoms, and Nomogram column charts was used to construct the risk prediction model. The accuracy of the model was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, the Bootstrap resampling method was used to verify the model, Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test was used to evaluate the model, and the Calibration curve was drawn.Results:A total of 1783 workers were surveyed, and the incidence of neck WMSDs symptoms was 24.8% (442/1783). Univariate logistic regression showed that age, female, smoking, working in uncomfortable postures, repetitive head movement, feeling constantly stressed at work, and completing conflicting tasks in work could increase the risk of neck WMSDs symptoms in automobile manufacturing enterprise workers ( OR=1.37, 95% CI: 1.16-1.62; OR=2.85, 95% CI: 1.56-5.20; OR=1.50, 95% CI: 1.18-1.91; OR=1.18, 95% CI: 1.02-1.37; OR=1.34, 95% CI: 1.04-1.72; OR=1.62, 95% CI: 1.21-2.17; OR=1.48, 95% CI: 1.13-1.92; P<0.05). While adequate rest time could reduce the risk of neck WMSDs symptoms ( OR=0.56, 95% CI: 0.52-0.86, P<0.05). The risk prediction model of neck WMSDs of workers in automobile manutacturing factory had good prediction efficiency, and the area under the ROC curve was 0.72 (95% CI: 0.70-0.75, P<0.001) . Conclusion:The occurrence of neck WMSDs symptoms of workers in automobile manufacturing factory is relatively high. The risk prediction model constructed in this study can play a certain auxiliary role in predicting neck WMSDs symptoms of workers in automobile manufacturing enterprise workers.