1.Influenza prediction and holiday effects analysis based on Prophet-LSTM model
Wenlin CHENG ; Junjun MAO ; Yizhe WANG ; Jiabing WU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):8-12
Objective To investigate the impact of holiday effects and prevention/control measures on the development characteristics and incidence trends of influenza in Hefei City using a Prophet-LSTM hybrid model, and to validate the applicability of the Prophet-LSTM model in influenza prediction by comparing the performance of different forecasting models. Methods Influenza incidence data from Hefei City (2016–2024) were collected to construct a Prophet-LSTM feature analysis and prediction model to analyze the impact of holiday effects and intervention measures on influenza incidence trends. Comparative models (ARIMA, GRU, and TimeGPT) were established and evaluated on the same test set. Results The data analysis revealed significantly increased influenza incidence during holidays (e.g., New Year's Day, Spring Festival, and National Day), while prevention and control measures led to declining trends. The Prophet-LSTM model demonstrated high consistency between the predicted and actual values, outperforming the comparative models with superior MAE (0.209), MSE (0.195), and IA (0.914), indicating higher prediction accuracy and trend-fitting capability. Conclusion The Prophet-LSTM model effectively captures spatiotemporal characteristics of influenza incidence, exhibits enhanced predictive performance when incorporating holiday effects and intervention measures, and demonstrates significant advantages and application value in influenza forecasting.
2.Effect of Shixiaosan on Neurological Function and Ferroptosis in Rats with Cerebral Ischemia-reperfusion Injury Based on Nrf2/SLC7A11/GPX4 Signaling Pathway
Ying WEI ; Lixia WANG ; Junjun YIN ; Xiaohong CHEN ; Lijuan SONG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(7):22-31
ObjectiveTo investigate whether Shixiaosan can improve neurological function and inhibit ferroptosis in rats with cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury (CIRI) by regulating the nuclear factor E2-related factor 2 (Nrf2)/solute carrier family 7 member 11 (SLC7A11)/glutathione peroxidase 4 (GPX4) pathway. MethodsA rat model of CIRI was established using the intraluminal filament method. Briefly, cervical blood vessels were separated, branches of the external carotid artery were ligated, and the common carotid artery and internal carotid artery were clamped. A nylon filament was inserted through the opening of the external carotid artery to the origin of the middle cerebral artery to block blood flow and induce cerebral ischemia. After 60-120 min of ischemia, the filament was withdrawn to restore blood flow, and the external carotid artery incision was ligated. The rats were divided into a CIRI group, a Shixiaosan low-dose (-L) group (intragastric administration of 1.26 g·kg-1 Shixiaosan), a Shixiaosan high-dose (-H) group (intragastric administration of 2.52 g·kg-1 Shixiaosan), a donepezil hydrochloride tablet (DON) group (intragastric administration of 0.45 mg·kg-1 DON), and a Shixiaosan -H + Nrf2 inhibitor (ML385) group (intragastric administration of 2.52 g·kg-1 Shixiaosan combined with intraperitoneal injection of 30 mg·kg-1 ML385). An additional 12 rats underwent cervical artery separation followed by incision suturing and served as the control group. Equal volumes of double-distilled water were administered to the CIRI and control groups. Neurological function impairment was assessed using the modified Garcia JH score. Magnetic resonance imaging was used to determine the cerebral infarct volume ratio. Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining and Prussian blue staining were performed to observe neuronal injury and iron accumulation in the ischemic penumbra, respectively. Transmission electron microscopy was used to examine the ultrastructure of neuronal mitochondria in the ischemic penumbra. Commercial kits were used to measure ferrous iron (Fe2+), malondialdehyde (MDA), reduced glutathione (GSH) content, and reactive oxygen species (ROS) activity in the ischemic penumbra. The BODIPY (581/591) C11 fluorescent probe was used to detect intracellular lipid peroxidation levels. Western blot was performed to detect protein expression levels of Nrf2, SLC7A11, GPX4, transferrin receptor 1 (TFRC), ferritin heavy chain (FHC), and ferritin light chain (FLC) in the ischemic penumbra. ResultsCompared with the control group, the CIRI group exhibited neuronal injury in the ischemic penumbra, characterized by reduced neuron numbers, nucleolar shrinkage, and interstitial edema. Marked iron accumulation was observed in the tissue. Neuronal mitochondria showed atrophy and rupture, with reduced mitochondrial cristae and increased membrane density. The cerebral infarct volume ratio, Fe2+ content, MDA content, ROS activity, and lipid peroxidation levels were increased, whereas the modified Garcia JH score, GSH content, and protein expression levels of Nrf2, SLC7A11, GPX4, FHC, and FLC were decreased, and TFRC protein expression was increased (P<0.05). Compared with the CIRI group, the Shixiaosan -L group, Shixiaosan -H group, and DON group showed attenuated neuronal injury in the ischemic penumbra, reduced iron accumulation, alleviated mitochondrial damage, decreased cerebral infarct volume ratio, Fe2+ and MDA contents, ROS activity, and lipid peroxidation levels, as well as increased modified Garcia JH scores, GSH content, and protein expression levels of Nrf2, SLC7A11, GPX4, FHC, and FLC, while TFRC protein expression was decreased (P<0.05). The magnitude of changes in all indicators was greater in the Shixiaosan -H group than in the Shixiaosan -L group (P<0.05). Compared with the Shixiaosan -H group, all measured indicators in the Shixiaosan -H + ML385 group showed opposite trends (P<0.05). ConclusionShixiaosan may inhibit ferroptosis and restore neurological function in rats with CIRI by activating the Nrf2/SLC7A11/GPX4 pathway.
3.Qiangjing Tablets Regulate CDK4-E2F Signaling Pathway to Delay Aging of Leydig Cells and Testicular Tissue in Rats
Xiucheng LAN ; Meijing WANG ; Jingyi ZHANG ; Junjun LI ; Liang DONG ; Xujun YU ; Fang YANG ; Degui CHANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(14):328-336
ObjectiveTo reveal the molecular mechanism by which the traditional Chinese medicine compound prescription Qiangjing tablets regulate the aging of the testicular tissue and Leydig cells in rats through the cyclin-dependent kinase 4 (CDK4)-early 2 factor (E2F) signaling pathway. MethodsFor the cell experiment, 2-month-old SPF-grade SD male rats were selected and randomly assigned into a blank control group (administrated with an equal volume of 0.9% sodium chloride injection) and a Qiangjing tablets group (20 rats in each group) according to body weight. The Leydig cell model of aging was established by treatment of TM3 cells with 100 μmol·L-1 H2O2, and the modeling performance was evaluated based on the levels of p16 and p21 determined by Western blot. The antioxidant NAC (1 mmol·L-1) was used as the positive control for eliminating reactive oxygen species (ROS). Cells were intervened with Qiangjing tablets-containing serum at low (2.5%), medium (5%), and high (10%) concentrations. The testosterone level in the cell supernatant was determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), and the protein levels of CDK4, E2F1, and E2F2 were analyzed by Western blot. In the animal experiment, 19-month-old naturally aging rats were used as the model group, and 2-month-old rats as the young control group. The positive control group was subcutaneously injected with 5.21 mg·kg-1·d-1 testosterone propionate. Qiangjing tablets were administered by gavage at low, medium, and high doses of 0.72, 1.44, 2.88 g·kg-1·d-1, respectively. The general conditions of rats were observed, and the protein levels of CDK4, E2F1, and E2F2 in the testicular tissue were determined by Western blot. ResultsIn the cell experiment, compared with the blank control group, the model group showed upregulated expression of CDK4 and E2F1 (P<0.05) and slightly downregulated expression of E2F2. Compared with that in the model group, the expression of CDK4 was upregulated in the NAC group and the low-dose Qiangjing tablets group (P<0.05), slightly upregulated in the medium-dose Qiangjing tablets group, and downregulated in the high-dose Qiangjing tablets group (P<0.05). The NAC group showed downregulated expression of E2F1 (P<0.05) and E2F2, and the low-, medium-, and high-dose Qiangjing tablets groups showed downregulated expression of both E2F1 and E2F2 (P<0.05). Compared with that in the NAC group, the expression of CDK4 was upregulated in the low-dose Qiangjing tablets group and downregulated in the medium-dose and high dose (P<0.05) groups. The expression of E2F1 was down-regulated in all the three dose groups, with statistically significance in the high dose group (P<0.05), and that of E2F2 were downregulated in all the three dose groups (P<0.05). In the animal experiment, compared with the young control group, the model group exhibited downregulated expression of CDK4 (P<0.05) and slightly upregulated expression of E2F1 and E2F2. Compared with that in the model group, the expression of CDK4 decreased in the testosterone propionate group and the low-dose Qiangjing tablets group (P<0.05) but increased in the medium-dose (P<0.05) and high-dose groups. In addition, the expression of E2F1 decreased (P<0.05), and that of E2F2 was slightly elevated. Compared with that in the NAC group, CDK4 expression was elevated in the Qiangjing tablets groups, with statistical significance in the medium- and high-dose groups (P<0.05). Similarly, the E2F1 expression was also upregulated in the Qiangjing tablets groups, with statistical significance in the medium-dose group (P<0.05). The expression of E2F2 was downregulated in all the Qiangjing tablets groups. ConclusionQiangjing tablets delay the aging process of Leydig cells and testicular tissue by up-regulating the expression of CDK4 and lowering the levels of E2F1 and E2F2.
4.Monitoring analysis and model prediction of HFMD in Liangqing District,Nanning City from 2012 to 2023
Shu WEI ; Fengyi WANG ; Zhenbo HUANG ; Renyang ZHAO ; Caiyan WU ; Chunli LIU ; Junjun JIANG
China Modern Doctor 2025;63(20):40-43
Objective To analyze the epidemiological and etiological characteristics of hand,foot and mouth disease(HFMD)in Nanning City,Liangqing District from 2012 to 2023.Methods Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to describe the three distribution characteristics of HFMD,and to predict the incidence trend of HFMD.Results From 2012 to 2023,Liangqing District of Nanning City reported a total of 19 715 cases of HFMD.The incidence rates varied significantly across different years,with statistically significant differences(P<0.01).The urban area reported the highest number of cases.The disease primarily occurred from April to October,with the highest incidence among children aged 6 months to 5 years,mainly among children in daycare and preschools.From 2012 to 2023,a total of 588 cases were diagnosed through laboratory tests,with the highest detection rate of other enteroviruses,and a relatively lower detection rate of EV71.Predictions indicate that the incidence of HFMD in Liangqing District of Nanning City will decrease in 2025 compared to 2023.Conclusion Incidence of HFMD in Liangqing District,Nanning is high,especially among children aged 6 months to 5 years.It is suggested to strengthen the epidemic surveillance,continue to carry out pathogen surveillance.
5.Hemodynamic disturbance and mTORC1 activation:Unveiling the biomechanical pathogenesis of thoracic aortic aneurysms in Marfan syndrome
Ming-Yuan LIU ; Meili WANG ; Junjun LIU ; An-Qiang SUN ; Chang-Shun HE ; Xin CONAG ; Wei KONG ; Wei LI
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(2):459-473
Thoracic aortic aneurysm(TAA)significantly endangers the lives of individuals with Marfan syndrome(MFS),yet the intricacies of their biomechanical origins remain elusive.Our investigation delves into the pivotal role of hemodynamic disturbance in the pathogenesis of TAA,with a particular emphasis on the mechanistic contributions of the mammalian target of rapamycin(mTOR)signaling cascade.We un-covered that activation of the mTOR complex 1(mTORC1)within smooth muscle cells,instigated by the oscillatory wall shear stress(OSS)that stems from disturbed flow(DF),is a catalyst for TAA progression.This revelation was corroborated through both an MFS mouse model(Fbn1+/C1039G)and clinical MFS specimens.Crucially,our research demonstrates a direct linkage between the activation of the mTORC1 pathway and the intensity in OSS.Therapeutic administration of rapamycin suppresses mTORC1 activity,leading to the attenuation of aberrant SMC behavior,reduced inflammatory infiltration,and restoration of extracellular matrix integrity—collectively decelerating TAA advancement in our mouse model.These insights posit the mTORC1 axis as a strategic target for intervention,offering a novel approach to manage TAAs in MFS and potentially pave insights for current treatment paradigms.
6.Summary of the best evidence for pulmonary rehabilitation in stroke patients with tracheostomy
Kexin LI ; Qin WANG ; Ronghui ZHOU ; Yao SHI ; Junjun GU
Academic Journal of Naval Medical University 2025;46(9):1127-1137
Objective To systematically integrate the best evidence on pulmonary rehabilitation nursing for patients with tracheostomy after stroke(TAS),so as to provide evidence-based basis for clinical practice.Methods Following evidence-based medicine principles,we conducted a systematic search of literatures related to pulmonary rehabilitation nursing for patients with TAS in databases including UpToDate,BMJ Best Practice,PubMed,China National Knowledge Infrastructure(CNKI),Wanfang Database,VIP Database,and China Biology Medicine(CBM).Literature types included guidelines,expert consensus,systematic reviews,meta-analyses,evidence summaries,and original studies,with the search period spanning from the inception of the database to Jan.2025.Two researchers independently assessed the quality of the included literatures using standardized tools such as Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation-Ⅱ and Joanna Briggs Institute tools,followed by grading and synthesizing evidences meeting the criteria.Results A total of 20 articles were included,including 6 guidelines,5 expert consensuses,4 meta-analyses,3 clinical decision-making papers,1 systematic review,and 1 randomized controlled trial.A total of 32 recommendations were formed,covering 6 dimensions:airway management(8 items),comprehensive pulmonary rehabilitation training(8 items),basic treatment(5 items),safety management(4 items),extubation nursing(3 items)and prevention of complications during the peri-extubation period(4 items).The evidence grades ranged from grade A(strong recommendation)to grade B(recommendation).Conclusion This study systematically synthesizes core elements of pulmonary rehabilitation nursing for patients with TAS through evidence-based methodology.The established multidimensional evidence framework provides scientific guidance for improving respiratory function,reducing complications,and optimizing extubation decisions.Clinicians are advised to adapt these recommendations to local contexts for practical implementation.
7.New concepts, new indicators and new technologies of lipid management in laboratory medicine: application and prospect
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2025;48(7):791-794
Dyslipidemia is the core pathological basis of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD). Lipid management strategy undergoes the innovation from "single target" to "multi-dimensional precision" now. The application of apolipoprotein B in the risk management of ASCVD is explored in this paper, and it is highlighted that non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol is a more reliable risk stratification indicator instead of high triglyceride level. Meanwhile, it is revealed that with the use of multi-omics technologies, the potential of epigenetic modifications and core molecules of lipid metabolism might serve as new indicators for ASCVD risk assessment. This paper also expands the cross-disciplinary multi-dimensional collaborative mechanisms of "heart-eye lipid metabolism association" and "gut-heart axis association", which is conducive to exploring new approaches for lipid management and intervention in ASCVD.
8.Clinical values of detecting global RNA N 6-methyladenosine (m 6A) modification levels and perilipin 2 site-specific m 6A modification in peripheral blood as novel molecular biomarkers of coronary artery disease
Zhuoying GU ; Jia WU ; Xinran WU ; Yanping MO ; Junjun WANG
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2025;48(7):861-868
Objective:To assess the clinical value of global RNA N6-methyladenosine (m 6A) and perilipin 2 (PLIN2) mRNA site-specific (chr9:19116312) m 6A modification in peripheral blood as novel molecular biomarkers of coronary artery disease (CAD). Methods:Seventy-four patients with coronary artery disease diagnosed at the Eastern Theater General Hospital from June to December 2023, and 60 age-and sex-matched healthy controls during the same period were selected for a retrospective case-control study. The global RNA m 6A modification level in peripheral blood was detected by RNA methylation quantitative detection kit as a preliminary validation, and PLIN2 site-specific (chr9:19116312) m 6A modification level was further detected using the qPCR quantification technique with single-base elongation and ligation as a rescreening validation. Lipid indicators such as total cholesterol (TC) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), routine blood indicators such as neutrophil count and platelet count were detected, and the coronary lesion characteristics were further evaluated by using the Gensini score and SYNTAX score systems in conjunction with coronary arteriography results.The CAD group was divided into a single-branch (25 cases) and a multi-branch lesion subgroup (49 cases) according to the number of vascular lesion branches on coronary angiography. The potential value of global RNA m 6A and PLIN2 site-specific (chr9:19116312) m 6A modification levels in peripheral blood of patients for the adjunctive diagnosis and assessment of coronary artery disease was explored using Spearman correlation analysis, subject operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and logistic regression analysis. Results:Compared with the control group, the levels of global RNA m 6A modification and PLIN2 site-specific (chr9∶19116312) m 6A modification in peripheral blood were significantly decreased in the CAD group (both P<0.05). The levels of global RNA m 6A modification in peripheral blood was also significantly decreased in the single-branch and multi-branch lesion subgroups ( P<0.05), and PLIN2 site-specific (chr9:19116312) m 6A modification in peripheral blood was significantly decreased in the multi-branch lesion subgroup only ( P<0.05). Spearman correlation analysis showed that in both the CAD group and the multi-branch lesion subgroup, global RNA m 6A modification level in peripheral blood was positively correlated with HDL-C ( r=0.246, 0.289, P<0.05) and negatively correlated with SYNTAX score ( r=-0.261, -0.322, P<0.05) and neutrophil count ( r=-0.246, -0.466, P<0.05). In the single-branch lesion subgroup of CAD, PLIN2 site-specific (chr9:19116312) m 6A modification level was negatively correlated with Gensini score ( r=-0.566, P<0.05). In the multi-branch lesion subgroup of CAD, PLIN2 site-specific (chr9:19116312) m 6A modification level was negatively correlated with platelet count ( r=-0.313, P<0.05). The ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of global RNA m 6A and PLIN2 site-specific (chr9:19116312) m 6A modification levels in peripheral blood for distinguishing CAD and coronary artery multi-branch lesions were 0.915 and 0.918, with specificity of 83.3% and 95.0%, and sensitivity of 85.1% and 75.5%, respectively. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting confounding factors such as age, sex, proportion of diabetes and hypertension, and TC, the levels of global RNA m 6A modification ( OR=0.691, P<0.001; OR=0.694, P<0.01), and PLIN2 site-specific (chr9:19116312) m 6A modification levels ( OR=0.345, P<0.05; OR=0.143, P<0.01) in peripheral blood remained independently associated with CAD and coronary artery multi-branch lesions, respectively. Conclusions:The analysis of global RNA m 6A in combination with PLIN2 site-specific (chr9:19116312) m 6A modification levels in peripheral blood is valuable for the adjunctive diagnosis and assessment of patients with CAD and coronary artery multi-branch lesions.
9.The cardioprotective mechanisms of draconis sanguis: An integrated network pharmacology, bioinformatics, and experimental validation study
Keyan Wang ; Rongxin Zhu ; Junjun Li ; Binhua Yuan ; Xiang Li ; Yunlin Li ; Mingyue Huang ; Fangfang Rui ; Chun Li ; Wei Wang
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medical Sciences 2025;2025(3):336-347
ObjectiveTo investigate the potential targets and mechanisms of Draconis Sanguis (DS), a valuable traditional Chinese medicine derived from the resin of the palm tree Daemonorops draco Bl (D. Sanguis, Xue Jie), in the treatment of myocardial infarction (MI).MethodsWe explored the potential mechanisms of DS in the treatment of MI using network pharmacology, bioinformatic techniques, and transcriptomic analysis, followed by validation through in vivo and in vitro experiments.ResultsNetwork pharmacology and bioinformatic analyses identified five genes (Fpr1, Glul, Mme, Mmp9, and Pla2g7) as potential targets for MI treatment. Moreover, DS significantly ameliorated cardiac function, inflammatory responses, and MI-induced myocardial fibrosis in vivo. Transcriptomic and bioinformatic analyses identified Pla2g7 as the most critical target in the DS treatment of MI. Molecular docking revealed that the key active ingredient in DS has a strong affinity for this gene. Furthermore, DS reduced the expression of Pla2g7 (P = .0009), NLRP3 (P = .003), interleukin-18 (P .001), and interleukin-1β (P = .004) mRNAs in vivo.ConclusionsThe results indicate that DS can downregulate the expression of Pla2g7 and reduce the inflammatory response. This demonstrates the potential therapeutic target of DS and the mechanism underlying its cardioprotective effects.
10.Erratum: Author correction to "Up-regulation of glyclipid transfer protein by bicyclol causes spontaneous restriction of hepatitis C virus replication" Acta Pharm Sin B 9 (2019) 769-781.
Menghao HUANG ; Hu LI ; Rong XUE ; Jianrui LI ; Lihua WANG ; Junjun CHENG ; Zhouyi WU ; Wenjing LI ; Jinhua CHEN ; Xiaoqin LV ; Qiang LI ; Pei LAN ; Limin ZHAO ; Yongfeng YANG ; Zonggen PENG ; Jiandong JIANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(3):1721-1721
[This corrects the article DOI: 10.1016/j.apsb.2019.01.013.].


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