Objective Hepatitis C is a kind of infectious disease with great harm and strong concealment.Accurate trend prediction is an important measure to ensure accurate intervention.This paper aims to confirm the effectiveness of multivariate time series prediction method and Internet data and provide a better data and method basis for hepatitis C prediction.Methods The data of the monthly incidence of hepatitis C in Chongqing from 2011 to 2018 were included,including infectious disease incidence data and Internet prediction data.To screen important features,this paper introduces the theoretical basis of feature entropy,and proposes an adaptive correlation entropy weight method(ACEW)for feature selection through the steps of collinearity removal,directional evaluation and information content evaluation.After that,this paper constructed a multivariate time series model(CNN-BILLSTM-Attention)and carried out the characteristic performance test(including prospective evaluation and posterior evaluation)and model efficiency exploration.Results Prospective evaluation revealed that the variables selected by ACEW had low consistency with each other,and the weight distribution calculated by each variable was relatively equal.The posterior evaluation revealed that the feature set screened by ACEW could obtain the best prediction information in each model.In the exploration of model effectiveness,the overall performance of multivariate time series prediction model is significantly better than that of univariate model.When ACEW and CNN-BILSTM-Attention are combined,the MSE,MAE,RMSE,MAPE and R2 on the test set are 0.0223,0.0649,0.0771,5.9285 and 0.9156,respectively.Conclusion In the study of predicting the incidence of hepatitis C,data fusion and method improvement are studied in this paper.The improved feature selection method(ACEW)can provide an opportunity for the regulation of hepatitis C,and the multivariate time series prediction model can improve the performance of hepatitis C trend prediction,to effectively control and prevent hepatitis C,which has better public health prevention and control significance.

Objective Hepatitis C is a kind of infectious disease with great harm and strong concealment.Accurate trend prediction is an important measure to ensure accurate intervention.This paper aims to confirm the effectiveness of multivariate time series prediction method and Internet data and provide a better data and method basis for hepatitis C prediction.Methods The data of the monthly incidence of hepatitis C in Chongqing from 2011 to 2018 were included,including infectious disease incidence data and Internet prediction data.To screen important features,this paper introduces the theoretical basis of feature entropy,and proposes an adaptive correlation entropy weight method(ACEW)for feature selection through the steps of collinearity removal,directional evaluation and information content evaluation.After that,this paper constructed a multivariate time series model(CNN-BILLSTM-Attention)and carried out the characteristic performance test(including prospective evaluation and posterior evaluation)and model efficiency exploration.Results Prospective evaluation revealed that the variables selected by ACEW had low consistency with each other,and the weight distribution calculated by each variable was relatively equal.The posterior evaluation revealed that the feature set screened by ACEW could obtain the best prediction information in each model.In the exploration of model effectiveness,the overall performance of multivariate time series prediction model is significantly better than that of univariate model.When ACEW and CNN-BILSTM-Attention are combined,the MSE,MAE,RMSE,MAPE and R2 on the test set are 0.0223,0.0649,0.0771,5.9285 and 0.9156,respectively.Conclusion In the study of predicting the incidence of hepatitis C,data fusion and method improvement are studied in this paper.The improved feature selection method(ACEW)can provide an opportunity for the regulation of hepatitis C,and the multivariate time series prediction model can improve the performance of hepatitis C trend prediction,to effectively control and prevent hepatitis C,which has better public health prevention and control significance.

Objective To construct a time series analysis fusion tool using multisource internet data and then accurately predict the incidence trend of hepatitis in Chongqing.Methods The incidence rate of hepatitis were obtained from the database of the Centre for Health and Disease Control.Air pollutant data were obtained from the official website of the China Environmental Monitoring Station,climate data were obtained from the National Meteorological Galaxy Center,and network index data were obtained through Baidu search engine.The time duration was from November 2013 to May 2023.Based on existing time series analysis methods,multisource data were used to correct the residual part of the decomposition model.A delayed input neural network(DINN)was constructed based on the respective advantages of non autoregressive(NAR)and long short-term memory(LSTM)recurrent neural networks.Afterwards,optimization modules such as the Nutcracker Optimization Algorithm(NOA)and Joint Quantile Huber Loss(JQHL)were added to the foundation,and then DINN+was constructed.Results Compared to common single-input models and synchronous multi-input models,DINN achieved the best prediction performance.After adding hyperparameters and loss function optimization,the predictive performance of DINN+was further improved,with a mean-square error(MSE)of 0.170 9,a mean absolute error(MAE)of 0.461 2,a root-mean-square error(RMSE)of 0.582 1,a mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)of 0.062 6,and a R-square(R2)of 0.884 0 in a testing set.Conclusion Based on the ideas of diverse methods and multidimensional data fusion,we propose a DINN+optimization model with good accuracy and generalization ability on the basis of previous time series analysis.This model enriches and supplements the methodological research content of using multisource data to calibrate infectious disease time series prediction analysis and can serve as a new benchmark for future analysis of influencing factors and trend prediction of infectious disease public health.

OBJECTIVE To screen out the pharmacodynamic substances of Cistanches Herba aqueous extracts, explore the basis of the pharmacodynamic substances and their mechanism of action in the treatment of diabetic nephropathy(DN), based on the spectral relationship between the mass spectral peak areas of different elution sites of Cistanches Herba aqueous extracts and their anti-DN effects. METHODS UPLC-Orbitrap-MS/MS technique was used to characterise the chromatographic peaks; MTT method was used to detect the effects of different elution sites of Cistanches Herba aqueous extract on the proliferation of high glucose and high fat HK-2 cells; grey correlation analysis and partial least squares method were used to analyse the spectral relationship between mass spectrometry peak area and anti-DN activity. MTT method was used to determine the anti-DN activities of the individual components of Cistanches Herba aqueous extract; biochemical kit and ELISA were used to determine the levels of oxidative indicators(SOD, GSH-P) and inflammatory factors(IL-1β, TNF-α, TGF-β); Western blotting was used to detect the expression of apoptosis-related proteins. RESULTS UPLC-Orbitrap-MS/MS technique speculated and identified 72 common compounds; In Cistanches Herba aqueous extracts, water, 20% ethanol, and 40% ethanol-eluted sites differentially increased the proliferation rate of HK-2 cells in a high-sugar, high-fat environment; Partial least squares and grey correlation analyses showed that the constituents of the aqueous extracts of Cistanches Herba with greater anti-DN contributions were 8-epideoxymatricinic acid, geniposidic acid, pinoresinol, betaine and syringin, et al. MTT assay reveals that 8-epi-deoxystrychnic acid and geniposidic acid had significant proliferative effects on HK-2 cells in a high glucose and high fat environment; Biochemical kit and ELISA showed that 8-epideoxystrychnic acid and geniposidic acid were able to up-regulate the activity of SOD and GSH-Px, and at the same time they had an inhibitory effect on the expression of inflammatory factors IL-1β, TNF-α and TGF-β. Western blotting results showed that 8-epideoxystrychnic acid and geniposidic acid were able to down-regulate and up-regulate the markers of dermal mesenchymal transition: α-SMA, Collagen Ⅰ and E-cadherin, and they could exert anti-DN effects by inhibiting the PI3K-Akt pathway. CONCLUSION The two compounds, 8-epideoxystrychnic acid and geniposidic acid, which are screened by the spectroeffective relationship of anti-DN among the many chemical constituents contained in Cistanches Herba, can affect oxidative stress, inflammation and epithelial-mesenchymal transformation of renal tubular cells by inhibiting the PI3K-Akt signalling pathway, and improve renal pathology, degree of fibrosis and renal function, which will be useful for the in-depth study of aqueous extracts of Cistanches Herba in the treatment of DN.

Objective: This study’s objective is to assess the efficacy and safety of Pulsed Magnetic Therapy System (PMTS) in improving insomnia disorder. Methods: Participants with insomnia disorder were randomly assigned to receive either PMTS or sham treatment for four weeks (n= 153; PMTS: 76, sham: 77). Primary outcomes are the Insomnia Severity Index (ISI) scores at week 0 (baseline), 1, 2, 3, 4 (treatment), and 5 (follow-up). Secondary outcomes are the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index at baseline and week 4, and weekly sleep diary-derived values for sleep latency, sleep efficiency, real sleep time, waking after sleep onset, and sleep duration. Results: The ISI scores of the PMTS group and the sham group were 7.13±0.50, 11.07±0.51 at week 4, respectively. There was a significant group×time interaction for ISI (F3.214, 485.271=24.25, p<0.001, ηp 2=0.138). Only the PMTS group experienced continuous improvement throughout the study; in contrast, the sham group only experienced a modest improvement after the first week of therapy. At the end of the treatment and one week after it, the response of the PMTS group were 69.7% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 58.6%–79.0%), 75.0% (95% CI: 64.1%–83.4%), respectively, which were higher than the response of the sham group (p<0.001). For each of the secondary outcomes, similar group×time interactions were discovered. The effects of the treatment persisted for at least a week. Conclusion PMTS is safe and effective in improving insomnia disorders.

Objective:To observe the effects of four prostaglandin E2 (PGE2) receptors (EP 1-4R) on the activation of inflammasomes and cell damage in human retinal microvascular endothelial cells (hRMEC) in a high glucose environment. Methods:The hRMEC were divided into normal group and high glucose group, and they were cultured in Dulbecco modified Eagle medium containing 5.5 and 30.0 mmol/L glucose, respectively. Flow cytometry was used to observe the apoptosis rate of the high glucose group and the normal group; enzyme chain immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to detect the level of PGE2 in the culture supernatant of hRMEC cells. Western blot was used to detect the protein expression of cyclooxyganese (COX2) and EP 1-4R in hRMEC. Real-time fluorescent quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qRT-PCR) was used to detect the expression of EP 1-4R mRNA in hRMEC. After 72 h of culture, the cells in the high glucose group were divided into control group, PGE2 group, EP 1-4R agonist group, PGE2+EP 1-4R inhibitor group, and dimethylsulfoxide group. According to the group, each group was given the corresponding agonist or inhibitor to continue the culture for 24 h. QRT-PCR was used to detect the expression of nucleotide-binding oligomerization structure-like receptor protein (NLRP3) and pro-interleukin (IL)-1β mRNA in each group of cells. ELISA was used to detect the content of IL-1β and lactic dehydrogenase (LDH) in the cell culture supernatant. Western blot was used to detect the expression of cleaved Caspase-1 in each group of cells. At the same time, hRMEC in a high glucose environment was given IL-1β stimulation for 24 h, and the activity of LDH in the supernatant of the cell culture medium was detected. Results:The apoptotic rate, COX2 protein expression, and PGE2 protein content in hRMEC in the high glucose group were significantly higher than those in the normal group, and they were time-dependent. Compared with the normal group, the expression levels of EP 1R, EP 2R, EP 4R protein and mRNA in hRMEC in the high glucose group were higher than those in the normal group ( P<0.05). Compared with the control group, PGE2 group ( t=4.627, P<0.01), EP 1-4R agonist group ( t=3.889, 3.583, 2.445, 3.216; P<0.05) hRMEC NLRP3 mRNA expression level was significantly increased; the expression level of pro-IL-1β mRNA increased, however the difference was not statistically significant (PGE2 group: t=1.807, P>0.05; EP 1-4R agonist group: t=1.807, 1.477, 0.302, 1.926, P>0.05). Compared with the PGE2 group, the expression of NLRP3 mRNA in hRMEC in the PGE2+EP 2R inhibitor group was significantly reduced ( t=2.812, P<0.05); the expression of pro-IL-1β mRNA in hRMEC in the PGE2+EP 3R inhibitor group was significantly increased ( t=4.113, P<0.01). The protein content of IL-1β in the cell culture supernatant of the PGE2 group, EP 1R agonist group and EP 2R agonist group was significantly higher than that of the control group ( t=5.155, 4.136, 4.817; P<0.01). Compared with PGE2 group, the protein content of IL-1β in the cell culture supernatant of the PGE2+EP 2R inhibitor group and the PGE2+EP 4R inhibitor group were significantly lower than that of the PGE2 group ( t=1.964, 4.765; P<0.05). The expression of cleaved Caspase-1 in hRMEC in the PGE2 group and EP 2R agonist group was significantly higher than that in the control group ( t=5.332, 4.889; P<0.05). The expression of cleaved Caspase-1 in hRMEC in the PGE2+EP 2R inhibitor group was significantly lower than that of the PGE2 group ( t=6.699, P<0.01). The LDH activity in the cell culture supernatant of the PGE2 group and the EP 2R agonist group was significantly higher than that of the control group ( t=4.908, 4.225; P<0.05). The activity of LDH in the cell culture supernatant of the PGE2+EP 2R inhibitor group was significantly lower than that of the PGE2 group ( t=5.301, P<0.01). Compared with the control group, the LDH activity in the culture supernatant of hRMEC cells in the high glucose environment was significantly increased ( t=3.499, P<0.05). Conclusions:The four receptors of PGE2 can activate NLRP3 and its effector molecules to varying degrees. EP 2R mainly mediates hRMEC damage under high glucose environment.

Objective:To observe the effects of miR-146a on human retinal endothelial cell (HREC) under high glucose condition.Methods:Total of 57 cases diagnosed as diabetic mellitus and 40 cases with diabetic retinopathy (DR) in Wuxi People's Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing Medical University from October to December 2013.Forty-one healthy volunteers were enrolled and served as control group.The clinical data and venous blood samples of subjects were collected.HRECs were cultured in normal glucose (5.5 mmol/L) or high glucose medium (30 mmol/L). Real-time PCR was used to detect the expression of miR-146a.The cultured HRECs were transfected with miR-146a mimic, mimic negative control, inhibitor and inhibitor negative control by lipofectamine2000, respectively.The expression of miR-146a and intercellular cell adhesion molecule-1 (ICAM-1) mRNA was examined by real-time PCR and the expression of nuclear factor-кB (NF-кB) p65 and NF-кB p65 Ser536 was detected by Western blot assay. Results:The relative expression of miR-146a mRNA in the diabetic mellitus group and DR group was 0.36±0.08 and 0.27±0.08, respectively, which were significantly lower than 1.00±0.16 in the control group (both at P<0.01). The expression of miR-146a mRNA was 0.37±0.11 in the high glucose group, which was lower than 1.00±0.18 in the normal control group ( t=5.57, P<0.01). The relative expression of miR-146a mRNA in the miR-146a mimic group was 2 540.00±105.00, which was significantly higher than 61.00±17.90 in the miR-146a mimic control group; The relative expression of miR-146a mRNA in the miR-146a inhibitor group was 0.04±0.01, which was significantly lower than 0.88±0.04 in the miR-146a inhibitor control group ( t=23.23, 17.12; both at P<0.01). The relative expression of ICAM-1 mRNA in the miR-146a mimic group was 0.35±0.12, which was significantly lower than 1.00±0.13 in the miR-146a mimic control group; The relative expression of ICAM-1 mRNA in the miR-146a inhibitor group was 2.74±0.48, which was significantly higher than 1.00±0.16 in the miR-146a inhibitor control group ( t=3.58, 3.37; both at P<0.05). The relative expression of NF-кB p65 Ser536 in the miR-146a mimic group was 0.43±0.03, which was significantly lower than 1.07±0.09 in the miR-146a mimic control group ( t=6.74, P<0.01). The relative expression of NF-кB p65 Ser536 in the miR-146a inhibitor group was 2.08±0.12, which was significantly higher than 1.00±0.01 in the miR-146a inhibitor control group ( t=8.76; P<0.01). Conclusions:miR-146a can reduce inflammation of HREC in high glucose condition through inhibiting ICAM-1 expression and NF-кB phosphorylation.

Objective: To investigate the role and mechanism of Hydroxysafflor yellow A (HSYA) in the calcification of vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMC) induced by β-glycerol phosphate (β-GP). Methods: VSMC were cultured with 10% fetal bovine serum+1% double anti-high glucose DMEM medium at 37℃ and 5%CO₂ incubator, and were subcultured according to cell growth density at 1∶4 ratio. The cells were divided into three groups: control group (NC), high-phosphate-induced calcification (HP) group, and HSYA intervention (HSYA) group. The Calcium deposition amount was measured by alizarin red staining and calcium determination kit. The expressions of ALP, RUNX2, RANKL, α-SMA and inflammation indicators TLR4, TNF-α, IL-8 were detected by Western blotting method; Western blotting was also used to detect calcification index alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and Runt-related transcription factor 2 (RUNX2). Nuclear factor kappa B receptor activating factor ligand(RANKL), α-smooth muscle actin (α-SMA), and the expressions of TLR4/NF-κB pathway and inflammatory response-related indicators Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), interleukin-8 (IL-8) and tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-α). The nuclear protein and cytoplasmic proteins were respectively extracted. The expressions of p65 in nucleus and cytoplasm, as well as the expressions of p65 and phosphorylated p65 in total proteins were detected by Western blotting method. Superoxide dismutase (SOD) and malondialdehyde (MDA) kit were used to detect the content of antioxidant enzymes and oxidation end products in cells. Results: Western blotting showed that the expressions of ALP, RUNX2 and RANKL in HSYA group were significantly lower than that in HP group. The expression of α-SMA was increased than that of HP group (all P<0.01). The expression levels of TLR4, TNF-α, IL-8 and p-NF-κB/p65 in HSYA group were decreased compared with that in the HP group, and p65 was decreased in nucleus and increased in cytoplasm (all P<0.05). SOD content in HSYA group was significantly higher than that in HP group, and MDA content was significantly lower than that in HP group (all P<0.01). Conclusions HSYA can reduce calcification and calcium deposition of vascular smooth muscle cells induced by high phosphorus. The mechanism is related to the inhibition of the activation of TLR4/NF-κB pathway and the inhibition of oxidative stress.

Objective To investigate the influence mechanism of Cordyceps sinensis (CS) on β-glycerophosphate-induced vascular smooth muscle cell (VSMC) calcification.Methods The effect of CS on VSMC cell viability was detected by CCK-8.The cellular models of rat VSMC calcification were established by treating with β-glycerophosphate (β-GP,10 mmol/L);then CS (10 mg/L),autophagy inhibitor 3-methyladenine (3-MA,5 mmol/L),and AMPK inhibitor compound C (CC,10 μmol/L) were added to the cell cultures.There were a total of 5 experiment groups:VSMC cultured in normal medium (Control),VSMC treated with β-GP,VSMC treated with β-GP and CS,VSMC treated with 3-MA,β-GP and CS,and VSMC treated with CC,β-GP and CS.The calcium nodules and calcium content were examined with alizarin red S staining and the O-cresolphthaleincomplexone method,respectively.The autophagosomes within the VSMC were observed using transmission electron microscope (TEM).Immunofluorescence showed the accumulation of microtubule-associated protein 1 light chain 3 (LC3) puncta.In addition,levels of osteogenic related proteins,autophagy related proteins,and AMPK/mTOR pathway related proteins were evaluated by Western blotting.Results CS increased the number of autophagosomes and the accumulation of LC3 puncta within VSMC.It also upregulated the protein levels of LC3 Ⅱ/LC3 Ⅰ,beclin1,α-SMA,and p-AMPK;whereas,the protein levels of Runx2 and p-mTOR,as well as calcium nodules and calcium content were reduced (all P ＜ 0.01).When the cells were pretreated with 3-MA before treating with β-GP and CS,the autophagosomes,accumulation of LC3 puncta,and protein levels of LC3 Ⅱ/LC3 Ⅰ,beclinl,and α-SMA were decreased (all P ＜ 0.01);however,the protein level of Runx2,and the calcium nodules and calcium content were increased (all P ＜ 0.01).Nevertheless,when the cells were pretreated with CC before giving β-GP and CS,the autophagosomes,the accumulation of LC3 puncta,and the expression levels of p-AMPK,LC3 Ⅱ/LC3 Ⅰ,beclin1,and α-SMA were significantly down-regulated (all P ＜ 0.01);whereas,the expression levels of Runx2 and p-mTOR,as well as calcium nodules and calcium content were increased (all P ＜ 0.01).Conclusions CS can effectively alleviate β-GP-induced VSMC calcification,which may be due to the activation of autophagy by AMPK/mTOR signaling pathway.

Objective To investigate the possible mechanism of sclerostin/Lrp4 in calcification of VSMC induced by high phosphorus and the protective effect of Ginkgo biloba extract.Methods Aortic vascular smooth muscle cells (VSMCs) of SD rats were extracted and identified.VSMCs were divided into normal control group,high phosphorus induced calcification group (10 mmol/L β-glycerophosphate+50 μg/ml ascorbic acid),and high phosphorus induced calcification+Ginkgo biloba extract intervention group (10 mmol/L β-glycerophosphate+50 μg/ml ascorbic acid+0.5 mg/ml GBE),cultured in different mediums for 14 days.Vonkossa staining and alizarin red staining were used to detect the calcification of VSMCs.The mRNA level of BGP was detected by real time PCR,and the protein expressions of sclerostin and Lrp4 were detected by Western blot.Results Compared with normal control group,vonkossa staining and alizarin red staining showed significant calcium deposition in calcification group.Compared with calcification group,calcium salt deposition was significantly reduced in GBE treatment group.Real time PCR results showed β-catenin and BGP mRNA expressions in VSMC calcification group were higher than those in normal control group (P＜ 0.05).mRNA expressions of β-catenin and BGP in GBE treatment group were lower than those in calcification group (all P ＜ 0.05).Compared with normal control group,the protein expression of sclerostin was increased,but the protein expression of Lrp4 was decreased in calcified group (all P ＜ 0.05).Compared with calcification group,the protein expression of sclerostin decreased and the protein expression of Lrp4 increased in GBE treatment group (all P ＜ 0.05).Conclusions High phosphorus can induce VSMC calcification by activating Wn/β-catenin signaling pathway.Sclerostin/Lrp4 is involved in hyperphosphine-induced VSMC calcification.GBE can reduce the high phosphorus induced VSMC calcification by regulating the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway.