1.Comparison of the prognostic predictive efficacy of three frailty screening scales in elderly patients in the emergency department
Huizhen LIU ; Guodong WANG ; Yong SHANG ; Na SHANG ; Junyu LI ; Na WANG ; Xiaomeng LIU ; Shubin GUO ; Suxia MA
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(1):55-61
Objective:To investigate the association between frailty and prognosis of elderly patients in the emergency department, and to validate frailty screening tools suitable for the emergency department.Methods:This was a prospective cohort study. Clinical data of elderly patients over 60 years old treated in the emergency department of Beijing Bo'Ai Hospital from January to December 2021 were collected. The Frailty Screening Questionnaire (FSQ), FRAIL Scale (FRAIL) and Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) were used to score patients, and patients were divided into frail or non-frail group according to the criteria of the above three scales. Twelve-month all-cause mortality was the primary endpoint, dependence and re-admission to the emergency department within 12 months were secondary outcomes. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate the ability of the FSQ, FRAIL and CFS scores to predict the primary and secondary endpoints, and the areas under the curve (AUC) were calculated and compared. Survival analysis was performed using Cox hazard proportional regression model, and relative risk was expressed as hazard ratio ( HR) and 95% CI. Results:A total of 406 patients were included in the study. The AUCs (95% CI) of FSQ, FRAIL and CFS scores for predicting 12-month all-cause mortality were 0.879 (0.844-0.909), 0.838 (0.798-0.872), 0.906 (0.873-0.933), respectively (all P<0.001). The AUCs of 3 scores for predicting secondary endpoints ranged from 0.820 to 0.889 (all P<0.001). Pairwise comparisons of the AUCs showed that the CFS was superior to one or both of the other frailty screening scales in predicting 12-month all-cause mortality and dependence except for re-admission to emergency room within 12 months after discharge (all P<0.05). Cox regression analysis revealed that, after adjusting for sex, age, body mass index and comorbidities, frailty as defined by the FSQ, FRAIL, and CFS scales was independently associated with 12-month all-cause mortality, with the HRadj of 3.267 (95% CI: 2.406-4.435), 2.465 (95% CI: 1.819-3.341), 3.523 (95% CI: 2.648-4.687), respectively (all P<0.001). Conclusions:FSQ, FRAIL and CFS scores can predict adverse outcomes, the CFS is a practical frailty screening tool in the emergency department, and frailty screening can improve the risk stratification of older patients.
2.Development and validation of a prediction model to estimate the probability of frailty in older emergency patients
Junyu LI ; Guodong WANG ; Na SHANG ; Na WANG ; Shubin GUO ; Huizhen LIU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(2):226-232
Objective:To develop and validate a prediction model by combining clinical data and biomarkers to evaluate the probability of frailty among older emergency patients.Methods:A cross-sectional study was conducted. From January 2021 to December 2021, patients aged 60 years and older admitted to the emergency department of China Rehabilitation Research Center were enrolled. Data of patient's clinical information were collected. The patients were divided into frail group and non-frail group according to the Fried's frailty phenotype and clinical data were compared between the two groups. LASSO regression was used to deal with dimension reduction and multivariate logistic regression was employed to construct a prediction model based on variables selected by the LASSO regression. Nomogram was used to visualize the prediction model. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, decision curve analysis and bootstrap were used to evaluate the discrimination, calibration, clinical applicability, and internal validity of the model respectively.Results:A total of 348 patients were enrolled, and the incidence of frailty was 53.74% (187/348). Education, coronary heart disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, albumin, fibrinogen, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide, decreased creatinine, and underweight were independent predictors for frailty in older emergency patients ( P < 0.05). A nomogram model was built based on the above predictors and the model showed good discrimination, calibration and clinical applicability. Conclusions:The study utilized objective clinical data and biomarkers to establish a predictive model for the occurrence of frailty in elderly emergency department patients. This model aids in risk stratification and targeted intervention for elderly emergency patients, thereby improving patient outcomes.
3.Expression and Prognostic Correlation Analysis of NUTF2 in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma(HNSCC)Patients
Shubin JIN ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Wenhua GENG ; Jianjun JIAO
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2025;46(6):103-110
Objective To explore the expression of nuclear transport factor 2(NUTF2)in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma(HNSCC)and analyze its relationship with prognosis.Methods 269 HNSCC patients from Handan Central Hospital between March 2016 and February 2017 were selected.Immunohistochemical staining was used to detect NUTF2 expression levels,comparing tumor tissues with adjacent tissues and NUTF2 expression across different tumor stages.The correlation between NUTF2 expression levels and tumor staging,as well as factors influencing HNSCC patient survival outcomes,were analyzed.Survival situations of HNSCC patients with different NUTF2 expression levels were compared.In vitro experiments were conducted to observe the effects of NUTF2 expression level changes on HNSCC cell proliferation and apoptosis.Results NUTF2 expression levels in HNSCC tumor tissues were higher than in adjacent tissues(P<0.05);NUTF2 expression levels were positively correlated with tumor staging(P<0.05).NUTF2 expression level(HR=3.478,95%CI 1.752~6.906)was a factor influencing HNSCC patient survival outcomes(P<0.05);HNSCC patients with high NUTF2 expression had lower survival rates compared to those with low NUTF2 expression(HR=0.486,95%CI 0.298~0.793,χ2=8.345,P=0.004).Knockdown of NUTF2 expression inhibited HNSCC cell proliferation and promoted cell apoptosis.Conclusion NUTF2 expression levels are abnormally elevated in HNSCC tumor tissues,directly affecting patient survival outcomes,with high NUTF2 expression indicating a poorer prognosis.
4.Study on frailty status and the association between vitamin D nutritional status and frailty in elderly patients in emergency department
Huizhen LIU ; Shubin GUO ; Na SHANG ; Junyu LI ; Xiaomeng LIU ; Guodong WANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2024;43(8):1043-1048
Objective:To examine the prevalence of frailty among elderly patients in the emergency department and to investigate the potential relationship between vitamin D nutritional status and frailty.Methods:This study collected clinical data from elderly patients aged over 65 years in the emergency intensive care unit and emergency observation ward of Beijing Bo'Ai Hospital from January to September 2021.The data included blood routine, biochemical indicators, circulating interleukin-6, cortisol, thyrotropin, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D[25(OH)D], which were detected within 24 hours after enrollment.Additionally, the Frailty Screening Questionnaire(FSQ), FRAIL scale, and Clinical Frailty Scale(CFS)were used to score the patients.Based on the scores, the patients were divided into frail or non-frail groups, and the prevalence of frailty was reported accordingly using the criteria of the aforementioned scales.The consistency of the three scales was evaluated using the Spearman rank test and Kappa coefficient.We compared the differences in clinical data and laboratory indicators of patients between the frail and non-frail groups.Additionally, we used a multivariable Logistic regression model to analyze the association between vitamin D nutritional status and frailty.We also analyzed the prevalence of frailty in different vitamin D nutritional statuses and evaluated the predictive ability of serum 25(OH)D for frailty using the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Results:A total of 317 patients were included in the study.The prevalence of frailty in elderly patients in the emergency department was found to be 47.0%, 55.2%, and 69.4% according to the FSQ, FRAIL, and CFS scales, respectively.The study evaluated the consistency of these three scales, revealing a Spearman rank correlation coefficient of 0.761(95% CI: 0.715-0.806, P<0.001)and a Kappa coefficient of 0.536(95% CI: 0.451-0.621, P<0.001)between FSQ and FRAIL, which were the highest correlations observed.Logistic regression analysis, after adjusting for age, gender, BMI, and other factors, indicated that vitamin D deficiency( OR=5.994, 95% CI: 1.232-29.169, P=0.027)was independently associated with an increased prevalence of frailty as defined by FSQ criteria.The prevalence of frailty increased with the severity of vitamin D malnutrition.In the vitamin D deficiency group, the prevalence was higher compared to the vitamin D insufficiency and sufficiency groups( P<0.05 for all).The area under the ROC curves(AUCs)of serum 25(OH)D levels to predict frailty, as defined by FSQ, FRAIL, and CFS, were 0.806(95% CI: 0.744-0.868), 0.748(95% CI: 0.679-0.817), and 0.768(95% CI: 0.701-0.826)( P<0.001 for all).The optimal cut-off values were 12.0, 9.76, and 11.65 μg/L, respectively, yielding a Youden index of 0.553, 0.419, and 0.462. Conclusions:FSQ, FRAIL, and CFS demonstrated a strong level of consistency in assessing frailty.Additionally, serum 25(OH)D can serve as an independent predictor of frailty, aiding in the identification of frail individuals and enhancing the risk stratification of elderly patients in the emergency department.
5.Analysis of causes and solutions for vacuum suction weakness of dental units
Xinya LI ; Yichen WANG ; Yansong LIU ; Anjia ZHENG ; Shubin WU ; Baolin FAN ; Jianxia WANG
China Medical Equipment 2024;21(2):193-195,199
An efficient vacuum suction system is a necessary prerequisite for the smooth operation of the oral diagnosis and treatment.During the use of the dental units,there is often a situation of vacuum suction weakness,resulting in the inability to discharge the mixture of blood,saliva,dental tissue and other mixtures in time,which affects the doctor's treatment field and increases the risk of aspiration pneumonia and cross-infection in patients.The working principle,pipeline system,filters and other aspects of the vacuum suction system that may affect the suction efficiency was analyzed.The causes and solutions of vacuum suction weakness were discussed,and operation suggestions were proposed to ensure the safe and effective use of equipment and ensure the safety of diagnosis and treatment.
6.Construction and efficacy evaluation of a short-term prognostic model for emergency patients with acute ischemic cerebral stroke
Xiaomeng LIU ; Junyu LI ; Wei HE ; Na WANG ; Shubin GUO ; Huizhen LIU
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;33(1):51-58
Objective:To establish a 14-day prognosis model for emergency patients with acute ischemic cerebral stroke and evaluate its predictive efficacy.Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted. Patients with acute ischemic stroke admitted to the emergency department of Beijing Bo’ai Hospital within 72 hours of onset from October 2018 to December 2020 were enrolled. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to screen the risk factors of poor prognosis. The ROC curve was drawn to determine the cut-off value of continuous variables and discretise data with reference to clinical practice. The corresponding scores were set up according to the β regression coefficient of each variable, and the clinical scale prediction model of short-term prognosis of acute cerebral infarction was established. Patients with ischemic stroke in the hospital from January to December 2021 were selected as the internal validation, to verify the constructed predictive model.Results:A total of 321 patients were included in the study, including 223 in the training set and 98 in the internal validation set. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, hypersensitive C-reactive protein, prealbumin (PA), infarct volume, Frailty Screening Questionnaire (FSQ) and National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) were independent risk factors for poor short-term prognosis of acute cerebral infarction. The total score of the clinical prediction scoring system for short-term prognosis of acute cerebral infarction in the emergency department was 15 points, including age ≥74 years (1 point), PA ≤373 mg/L (2 points), large artery atherosclerosis (1 point), cardiogenic embolism (2 points), infarct volume ≥ 2.18 cm 3 (2 points), FSQ ≥3 points (1 point), NIHSS ≥4 points (6 points); The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the scoring system for predicting short-term poor prognosis of acute cerebral infarction was 0.927 (95% CI: 0.894-0.960). The optimal cut-off value was ≥5 points, and the sensitivity and specificity were 0.770 and 0.976, respectively. In the internal validation set, the scoring system had similar predictive value for poor outcomes (AUC=0.892, 95% CI:0.827-0.957). Conclusion:The scoring system for short-term prognosis prediction of acute ischemic cerebral infarction has good diagnostic efficacy, and could guide clinicians to judge the prognosis of emergency patients in the early stage.
7.Association of frailty and serum C-terminal agrin fragment with the prognosis in elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome
Huizhen LIU ; Shubin GUO ; Na SHANG ; Junyu LI ; Xiaomeng LIU ; Guodong WANG
Chinese Journal of Geriatrics 2024;43(2):192-197
Objective:To explore the association of frailty and serum C-terminal agrin fragment(CAF)with the prognosis of elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome(ACS).Methods:In this prospective cohort study, clinical data of 207 older patients with ACS between January 2020 and May 2022 were collected.Serum samples were obtained within 24 hours after enrollment to detect CAF levels.Meanwhile, the thrombolysis in myocardial infarction(TIMI)and frailty screening questionnaire(FSQ)scores were assessed on admission.Patients were followed up for major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events(MACCE)for 90 days.Multivariate logistic regression was used to analyze the influencing factors of MACCE.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was performed to evaluate the predictive ability of the FSQ score, serum CAF and their combination for MACCE.According to 90-day mortality, patients were divided into a survival group(n=176)and a death group(n=31). The Cox proportional hazards regression model was used for survival analysis.Results:The FSQ score( Z=4.412, P<0.001)and serum CAF( Z=6.702, P<0.001)in the MACCE group were higher than those in the non-MACCE group.Logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for age, sex, TIMI score and complete revascularization, frailty defined by FSQ( OR=1.714; 95% CI: 1.059-2.775; P=0.028)and high serum CAF( OR=1.230; 95% CI: 1.122-1.350; P<0.05)were independent risk factors for MACCE.The area under the ROC curve(AUC)of the FSQ score for predicting MACCE was 0.797(95% CI: 0.735-0.850; P<0.001), the predictive cut-off point was an FSQ score >2, and the Youden index(YI)was 0.419, yielding a sensitivity of 0.708 and a specificity of 0.711.In addition, the AUC of serum CAF for predicting MACCE was 0.766(95% CI: 0.701-0.822; P<0.001), the predictive cut-off point was >6.01 μg/L, and YI was 0.460, yielding a sensitivity of 0.750 and a specificity of 0.710.The predictive ability of FSQ combined with CAF for MACCE was higher than FSQ( Z=2.294, P=0.022)or CAF( Z=2.545, P=0.011)alone.Cox regression analysis showed that frailty defined by FSQ( HR=3.487; 95% CI: 1.329-9.153; P=0.011)was independently associated with all-cause mortality within 90 days after ACS. Conclusions:Frailty assessment and serum CAF detection can improve the risk stratification of elderly patients with ACS.
8.The diagnostic value of cone beam CT in styloid process syndrome via logistic regression combined with receiver operating characteristic curve analysis
Chenglong ZHOU ; Ruitao LI ; Yugang LIU ; Shubin LUO
Journal of Practical Radiology 2024;40(9):1417-1420
Objective To analyze the predictive value of cone beam computed tomography(CBCT)in styloid process syndrome(SPS)via logistic regression combined with receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on imaging data of 186 patients who underwent styloid CBCT.Among them,65 patients were clinically diagnosed with SPS(patient group),while 121 constituted the healthy controls(control group).The styloid length,inclination angle,and anteversion angle were measured,respectively.Logistic regression analysis was employed,and ROC curves were plotted to calculate sensitivity,specificity,and Youden index,the diagnostic cut-off values for SPS was obtained.Results In the control group,the styloid length was(29.66±7.22)mm,inclination angle was(22.34±3.05)°,and anteversion angle was(31.01±4.13)°.In the patient group,the styloid length was(40.30±8.65)mm,inclination angle was(21.86±3.74)°,and anteversion angle was(35.88±6.37)°.Logistic regression analysis revealed that styloid length and anteversion angle were risk factors for diagnosing SPS(P<0.05),while inclination angle was not a risk factor for diagno-sing SPS(P>0.05).ROC curve analysis demonstrated that diagnosing SPS,the area under the curve(AUC),sensitivity,specificity,and optimal cut-off value for styloid length were 0.868,92.3%,69.7%,and 31.23 mm,respectively;and for anteversion angle were 0.765,63.1%,89.3%,and 35.15°,respectively.Conclusion CBCT measurements of styloid length,inclination angle,and antever-sion angle suggest that a styloid length exceeding 31.23 mm and an styloid anteversion angle greater than 35.15° may indicate a higher likelihood of SPS.CBCT is a convenient,cost-effective,and safe diagnostic tool with positive clinical implications.
9.Study on the association between serum interleukin-6, silencing information regulator-1 and frailty
Huizhen LIU ; Na WANG ; Na SHANG ; Junyu LI ; Xiaomeng LIU ; Shubin GUO ; Fei TENG
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2024;33(5):677-682
Objective:To investigate the association between serum interleukin (IL) -6 and silent information regulator (SIRT) -1 and frailty in elderly patients in the emergency department.Methods:This was a cross-sectional study. Patients aged 60 years and above treated in the emergency department of Beijing Bo'Ai Hospital from January to December 2022 were collected. Blood routine, biochemical indicators, and serum IL-6 were detected within 24 h after enrollment. At the same time, fasting venous blood 2 mL was collected and the serum was stored at minus 80℃ after centrifugation. The level of SIRT-1 was detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Nutritional risk screening 2002 was performed within 72 h, Barthel index was used to assess the ability of daily living and grip strength was measured. The patients were divided into frailty and non-frailty groups according to Fried frailty phenotype (FP). The differences of clinical data and laboratory indicators were compared between the two groups. Multivariable logistic regression model was used to analyze the association between serum IL-6, SIRT-1 and frailty. The predictive ability of serum IL-6 and SIRT-1 for frailty was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.Results:A total of 316 elderly patients in the emergency department were included in this study and divided into frailty group ( n=156) and non-frailty group ( n=160) according to Fried FP criteria. Univariate analysis showed that serum IL-6 [33.3 (13.0, 69.2) ng/L vs. 20.0 (9.2, 41.3) ng/L, P=0.001] and SIRT-1 [(9.98±1.23) μg/L vs. (8.98±1.65) μg/L, P<0.001] of patients in the frailty group were higher than those in the non-frailty group. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that serum IL-6 ( OR=1.006, 95% CI: 1.001-1.011, P=0.036) and SIRT-1 ( OR=1.838, 95% CI: 1.475-2.290, P<0.001) were independently associated with frailty after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, Barthel index and grip strength. The area under the curve (AUC) of serum IL-6 for predicting frailty was 0.671 (95% CI: 0.604-0.738, P<0.001), the predictive cut-off point was 33.8 ng/L. The AUC of SIRT-1 for predicting frailty was 0.736 (95% CI: 0.674-0.799, P<0.001), the predictive cut-off point was 9.13 μg/L. The AUC of the model of IL-6 combined with SIRT-1 was 0.765 (95% CI: 0.707-0.823, P<0.001), the sensitivity and specificity were 0.776 and 0.726, respectively, and its predictive efficacy was superior to that of IL-6 alone ( Z=2.119, P=0.034). Conclusion:Serum IL-6 and SIRT-1 are independent predictors of frailty in elderly patients in the emergency department.
10.Evaluation of Coronary Microcirculatory Function in Patients With Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy and Analysis of Preliminary Results
Haobo XU ; Fasheng ZHU ; Weixian YANG ; Jiansong YUAN ; Juan WANG ; Tianjie WANG ; Yilu LIU ; Yong WANG ; Tao TIAN ; Shubin QIAO
Chinese Circulation Journal 2024;39(10):983-988
Objectives:To evaluate the coronary microcirculatory function in patients with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy(HCM). Methods:Patients who diagnosed with HCM and underwent the measurement of index of microcirculatory resistance(IMR)using pressure-sensing guide wire from November 2021 to April 2023 were prospectively included.Coronary microcirculatory dysfunction(CMD)was defined as IMR≥25 U and patients were grouped accordingly to compare the clinical characteristics. Results:A total of 25 HCM patients were included.Mean age was(58.4±13.3)years,18 were men and mean body mass index was(26.7±3.6)kg/m2.Coronary microcirculatory function was successfully evaluated in all patients and the mean value of IMR was(30.5±15.3)U.There were 15 patients with CMD.Baseline clinical characteristics,laboratory examinations and medications were simialr between patients with and without CMD.The maximal left ventricular wall was significant thicker in patients with CMD compared with that in patients without CMD([20.2±2.8]mm vs.[16.9±2.3]mm,P=0.005).There was no significant difference in other echocardiographic parameters between two groups(all P>0.05).In the range of IMR value less than 50 U(n=22),there was a significant linear positive correlation between maximal left ventricular wall thickness and IMR(r=0.423,P=0.049).There was no significant difference in coronary flow reserve and fractional flow reserve between two groups. Conclusions:The severity of CMD is positively correlated with left ventricular wall thickness in HCM patients.

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