1.Construction and analysis of machine learning models for preoperative prediction of glioma grading and isocitrate dehydrogenase mutation status
Yuting WANG ; Junle ZHU ; Shuang QIN ; Saifei SUN ; Xin ZHANG ; Qi LÜ
Chinese Journal of Clinical Medicine 2026;33(1):3-15
Objective To construct machine learning models based on preoperative inflammatory and radiological features for the prediction of glioma grading and isocitrate dehydrogenase (IDH) mutation status, and to analyze application values of these models and identify the optimal predictive models. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the data of pathologically confirmed glioma patients admitted to Tongji Hospital Affiliated to Tongji University from March 2019 to March 2023. LASSO regression was used to screen feature variables, and predictive models were constructed based on logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), gradient boosting decision tree (XGBoost) and K-nearest neighbor (KNN) algorithms. The model performance was comprehensively evaluated using metrics including discrimination ability, area under the precision-recall curve (AUC), accuracy, F1 score and Brier score. The DeLong test was adopted to compare the AUC values among different models; Friedman rank-sum test was used to determine the overall performance differences of the models, with the Nemenyi test applied for multiple comparison correction. Results In the task of glioma grading prediction, the LR model achieved the highest comprehensive score (0.726), and no significant difference was observed between the LR model and the other four models; age was positively correlated with glioma grading (P=0.003). In the task of IDH mutation status prediction, the XGBoost model obtained the highest comprehensive score (0.832), which was superior to the LR (0.762, P=0.035) and KNN models (0.754, P=0.025), while no statistical differences were found between the XGBoost model and the RF or SVM models. Conclusions The LR model for glioma grading prediction and XGBoost model for IDH mutation prediction constructed based on a task-oriented strategy achieve a favorable interpretability while ensuring optimized performance, thereby providing reliable decision support for the individualized diagnosis and treatment of glioma.
2.Interleukin-37 suppresses the cytotoxicity of CD8+ T cells in the peripheral blood and tumor microenvironments in breast cancer patients
ZHENG Pengfei ; DONG Liangpeng ; GAO Yanxin ; ZHANG Yifu ; QIN Shuang
Chinese Journal of Cancer Biotherapy 2025;31(8):839-846
[摘 要] 目的:观察白细胞介素-37(IL-37)在乳腺癌患者的表达变化对CD8+ T细胞活性的影响。方法:纳入2020年7月至2022年9月在新乡医学院第一附属医院就诊的46例乳腺癌患者、24例乳腺良性肿瘤患者、20例对照者。采集外周血,分离血浆和外周血单个核细胞(PBMC),收集接受手术治疗的乳腺癌患者肿瘤组织和癌旁组织,分离组织中肿瘤浸润淋巴细胞(TIL),纯化CD8+ T细胞。ELISA法检测IL-37、可溶型单免疫球蛋白IL-1受体相关蛋白(SIGIRR)表达,实时定量PCR法检测组织中IL-37 mRNA,流式细胞术检测CD8+ T细胞中IL-18受体α链(IL-18Rα)和SIGIRR表达。外源性IL-37刺激纯化的CD8+ T细胞,与乳腺癌细胞系MCF-7共培养,通过测定乳酸脱氢酶水平计算靶细胞死亡比例,ELISA法检测上清中穿孔素、颗粒酶B、干扰素-γ(IFN-γ)、肿瘤坏死因子-α(TNF-α)水平。结果:乳腺癌患者血浆IL-37水平高于乳腺良性肿瘤患者[(554.17 ± 96.63)pg/mL vs (499.52 ± 78.66)pg/mL,P = 0.020]和对照者[(483.97 ± 47.23)pg/mL,P = 0.003]。乳腺癌患者肿瘤组织中IL-37 mRNA相对表达量高于癌旁组织[(1.88 ± 0.21) vs (1.00 ± 0.53)pg/mL,P < 0.001]。外周血IL-18Rα+ CD8+细胞比例、SIGIRR+ CD8+细胞比例、血浆可溶型SIGIRR水平在乳腺癌患者、乳腺良性肿瘤患者、对照者之间的差异无统计学意义(均P > 0.05)。CD8+ TIL表达IL-18Rα和SIGIRR的比例在肿瘤组织和癌旁组织之间的差异无统计学意义(P > 0.05)。重组人IL-37刺激后,CD8+ T细胞诱导靶细胞死亡比例、上清中IFN-γ和TNF-α水平在直接接触和间接接触共培养系统中均低于无刺激(均P < 0.05)。在直接接触共培养系统中,IL-37刺激后上清中穿孔素和颗粒酶B水平均低于无刺激(均P < 0.001),但在间接接触共培养系统中,上清中穿孔素和颗粒酶B水平在无刺激和IL-37刺激之间的差异无统计学意义(均P > 0.05)。结论:乳腺癌患者中IL-37水平升高可能参与诱导外周血和肿瘤微环境中CD8+ T细胞功能衰竭。
3.Endoplasmic reticulum stress and autophagy interaction in pathogenesis of postmenopausal osteoporosis
Ru-na CHEN ; Li-wei WEI ; Shuang CHAI ; Hong ZHANG ; Na QIN
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(4):626-631
The endoplasmic reticulum is an important organelle responsible for the synthesis,folding and processing of proteins.When the endoplasmic reticulum protein folding ability is affect-ed,internal unfolded proteins or misfolded proteins accumulate in the endoplasmic reticulum accumulation,leading to endoplasmic reticulum structural dysfunction resulting in endoplasmic reticu-lum stress.Autophagy is the process by which cells selectively remove stress endoplasmic reticulum and error proteins.Under stress,the endoplasmic reticulum can maintain normal physiolog-ical functions through unfolded protein responses and autophagy.Postmenopausal osteoporosis is mainly due to an imbalance be-tween bone resorption by osteoclasts and bone formation by oste-oblasts.Endoplasmic reticulum stress and autophagy both modu-late bone cells status with consequences for bone homeostasis.This article provides a review of the progress of research on en-doplasmic reticulum stress and autophagy interaction in the path-ogenesis of postmenopausal osteoporosis.
4.Incidence,Mortality and Disease Burden of Malignant Tu-mors in Cancer Registration Areas of Hubei Province in 2020
Shuang YAO ; Jiyu TUO ; Yu QIN ; Yafen XIA ; Min ZHANG
China Cancer 2025;34(4):255-263
[Purpose]To analyze the prevalence and disease burden of malignant tumors in cancer registration areas of Hubei Province in 2020.[Methods]The incidence and mortality data of ma-lignant tumors in cancer registration areas in Hubei Province in 2020 were collected,and the data were quality controlled according to the quality evaluation standards and methods formulated by the National Cancer Center.The data from 24 registries met the inclusion criteria.Using descrip-tive epidemiological methods to calculate incidence/mortality rate,age-specific incidence/mortality rate,standardized incidence/mortality rate by Chinese standard population(ASRC),standardized incidence/mortality rate by world standard population(ASRW).Disability-adjusted life years(DALY)and DALY rates were calculated using formulas provided by the World Health Organization to as-sess the disease burden of malignant tumors.[Results]In 2020,the crude incidence of malignant tumors in cancer registration areas of Hubei Province was 311.36/105,the ASRC was 184.14/105,the ASRW was 197.37/105,and the cumulative rate of 0~74 years old was 20.52%.The age-spe-cific incidence of malignant tumors in the province and rural areas reached its peak in the age group of 75~79 years old,while in urban areas it reached its peak in the age group of 80~84 years old.In 2020,the crude mortality rate of malignant tumors in cancer registration areas of Hubei Province was 184.58/105,the ASRC was 96.91/105,the ASRW was 110.92/105,and the cumulative rate of 0~74 years old was 11.01%.The age-specific mortality rate of malignant tumors in the province and urban areas reached its peak in the age group of above 85 years old,while in rural areas it reached its peak in the age group of 80~84 years old.Lung cancer ranked first in the incidence and mortality of malignant tumors in the province.In the cancer registration area of Hubei Province,the DALY of malignant tumors in 2020 was 641 497 person-years,and the DALY rate was 28.6‰.[Conclusion]Common cancers such as lung cancer,female breast cancer and upper digestive tract cancer have a great impact on the incidence,mortality and disease burden of malignant tumors in Hubei Province.Targeted cancer screening and early diagnosis and treatment are the most effective means to improve social and economic benefits.
5.Analysis of the Epidemic Characteristics of Lung Cancer in 2020 and the Trend from 2012 to 2020 in Hubei Province
Yu QIN ; Shuang YAO ; Jiyu TUO ; Yafen XIA ; Min ZHANG
China Cancer 2025;34(4):264-271
[Purpose]To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of lung cancer in 2020 and the trend from 2012 to 2020 in Hubei Province.[Methods]Qualified lung cancer registry data reported by 24 cancer registries in Hubei Province was utilized to estimate the number of new lung cancer cases and deaths.Incidence/mortality rate,age-specific incidence/mortality rate,age-standardized incidence/mortality rate by Chinese standard population(ASIRC and ASMRC)and by world stan-dard population(ASIRW and ASMRW),cumulative rate of 0~74 years old and other indicators of lung cancer in urban and rural areas,different sex,age groups in 2020 were calculated.Annual percentage change(APC),average annual percentage change(AAPC)and 95%confidence interval(CI)were calculated to analyze the trends of incidence and mortality of lung cancer in cancer regi-stration areas of Hubei Province from 2012 to 2020.[Results]In 2020,the estimated number of new lung cancer cases in Hubei Province was 41 531,accounting for 23.17%of all new cancer cases.The incidence rate was 72.13/105,with the ASIRC of 38.19/105 and ASIRW of 42.75/105 respectively.The cumulative incidence rate of 0~74 years old was 4.82%.The estimated number of lung cancer deaths in Hubei Province in 2020 was 31 374,accounting for 29.52%of all cancer deaths.The mortality rate was 54.49/105,with the ASMRC of 27.66/105 and ASMRW of 31.95/105,respectively.The cumulative mortality(0~74 years old)was 3.36%.The incidence of lung cancer was higher in urban areas than that in rural areas,and higher in men than that in women.The in-cidence and mortality of lung cancer increased with age,and reaching the peak in the age groups of 75~79 and 80~85 years old respectively.From 2012 to 2020,the overall trend of crude inci-dence and mortality of lung cancer in Hubei Province was stable.The ASIRC and ASMRC showed a slow decline during 2012-2020,with the AAPCs of-0.51%(95%CI:-1.06%~-0.02%)and-1.84%(95%CI:-2.65%~-0.53%),respectively.The ASIRC showed a slow decline(APC=-1.76%,95%CI:-3.30%~-1.03%)during 2012-2018 and increase trend(APC=3.33%,95%CI:0.61%~5.02%)during 2018-2020,respectively,while ASMRC showed a significant decrease trend(APC=-3.00%,95%CI:-6.58%~-1.13%)during 2016-2020.[Conclusion]The incidence and mortality levels of lung cancer in Hubei Province were relatively high,resulted in a heavy disease burden and no significant downward trend.In the future,we should continue to strengthen the compre-hensive prevention and treatment of lung cancer,and promote lung cancer screening and early diagno-sis and treatment for target populations vigorously,especially in rural areas.
6.Analysis of Opportunistic Screening Results for Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer in Hubei Province from 2022 to 2023
Jiyu TUO ; Shuang YAO ; Yu QIN ; Yafen XIA ; Fandi MENG ; Min ZHANG
China Cancer 2025;34(4):272-278
[Purpose]To analyze the opportunistic screening results of upper gastrointestinal can-cer in Hubei Province from 2022 to 2023.[Methods]The data of upper gastrointestinal cancer opportunistic screening program in Hubei Province from January 1,2022 to December 31,2023 were summarized.The biopsy rate,positive lesion detection rate and early diagnosis rate were ana-lyzed.The differences in rates between/among different sexes,age groups and regions were com-pared by x2 test,trend x2 test.[Results]A total of 372 507 people were included in the oppor-tunistic screening of upper gastrointestinal cancer from 2022 to 2023.Among them,100 379 in-dividuals underwent biopsy histopathological examination,with a biopsy rate of 26.95%.A total of 4 678 positive cases(high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia,early-stage cancer and advanced can-cer)were detected in the opportunistic screening,with a positive lesion detection rate of 1.26%.The detection rates of positive lesion in the esophagus,cardia and stomach were 0.61%,0.07%and 0.58%,respectively.There were 721 cases of early upper gastrointestinal cancer(high-grade intraepithelial neoplasia,early-stage cancer),representing an early diagnosis rate of 15.41%.The early diagnosis rates for the esophagus,cardia and stomach were 14.53%,11.96%and 16.89%,respectively.[Conclusions]The implementation of opportunistic screening for upper gastrointesti-nal cancer is conducive to expanding the coverage of screening.It is necessary to strengthen stan-dardized and homogeneous training and complete high-quality endoscopic examination to improve the detection rate and early diagnosis rate of opportunistic screening program for upper gastroin-testinal cancer.
7.Weaving and Strengthening the Cancer Prevention and Control System,Creating a Model for Cancer Control in Hubei Province:Progress in Cancer Prevention and Control During the"323"Campaign in Hubei Province
Min ZHANG ; Jiyu TUO ; Shuang YAO ; Yu QIN ; Fandi MENG ; Yafen XIA ; Shaozhong WEI
China Cancer 2025;34(4):251-254
Malignant tumors,as chronic diseases that seriously affect human life and health,are one of the most serious public health problems worldwide in the 21st century.Hubei Province at-taches great importance to the prevention and control of chronic diseases such as cancer,and launched the"323"campaign in 2021.This paper reviews the progress of cancer prevention and control in the"323"campaign from 2021 to 2024 from the aspects of science popularization,tu-mor registration,cancer screening,standardized diagnosis and treatment,and grassroots capacity improvement,and explores the key points of cancer prevention and control work in Hubei Province in the next step.
8.Diffusion-weighted imaging features of patent foramen ovale-related cryptogenic stroke and correlation of infarct size with cardiac CT characteristics
Shuang ZHANG ; Chong ZHENG ; Rui QIN ; Wenlei GENG ; Lijie SUN ; Jing LI ; Jie LU
Chinese Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2025;22(7):465-473
Objective To characterize the features of patent foramen ovale(PFO)-related cryptogenic stroke using diffusion-weighted imaging(DWI)and to investigate the correlation between infarct size and cardiac CT characteristics of PFO.Methods A retrospective,consecutive cohort study was conducted on acute ischemic stroke patients admitted to Neurology Department of Xuanwu Hospital,Capital Medical University from January 2022 to September 2024.Patients were categorized into PFO group,arterio-arterial embolism(AAE)group,and atrial fibrillation(AF)group based on etiological diagnosis.Baseline clinical data,including age,height,body mass index,admission National Institutes of Health stroke scale(NIHSS)score,history of old cerebral infarction,hypertension,diabetes mellitus,coronary heart disease,dyslipidemia,and smoking history were collected and compared.All patients underwent head MR within 24 h of admission.DWI was used to analyze and compare infarct characteristics across the three groups,including lesion number(single or multiple),location(cortical+subcortical,deep white matter,cortical+subcortical+deep white matter,cerebellum+thalamus+brainstem),size(≥15 mm or<15 mm,based on maximum transverse diameter;for multiple lesions,if any lesion had a maximum diameter≥15 mm,it was categorized as≥15 mm),infarcted vascular territory(anterior,posterior,or both circulations),and specific arterial supply(anterior cerebral artery,middle cerebral artery,posterior cerebral artery,basilar artery,posterior inferior cerebellar artery,superior cerebellar artery,anterior choroidal artery,or multiple arteries).Patients in the PFO group additionally underwent cardiac CT to measure PFO-related parameters:tunnel length,width,height,septum secundum thickness,and fossa ovalis length.Spearman correlation analysis was performed to evaluate the relationship between infarct size and PFO cardiac CT features.Results A total of 232 acute ischemic stroke patients were included(mean age[57±17]years,ranged 19-86 years;141 males,91 females),comprising 116 in the PFO group,36 in the AAE group,and 80 in the AF group.(1)The proportion of males in the PFO group was higher than that in the AF group,it was lower than that in the AAE group.The age,body mass index and proportions of patients with hypertension,diabetes,hyperlipidemia,coronary heart disease were all lower than those in the other two groups(both P<0.016 7),while other baseline characteristics showed no significant differences(all P>0.05).(2)The PFO group exhibited a higher proportion of multiple infarcts compared to the AAE group(83.62%[97/116]vs.61.11%[22/36],P<0.016 7),but a lower proportion than the AF group(83.62%[97/116]vs.98.75%[79/80],P<0.016 7).The PFO group also showed a significantly higher proportion of cortical+subcortical infarcts(47.41%[55/116]vs.11.11%[4/36]and 6.25%[5/80],respectively,both P<0.016 7)and infarcts with a maximum diameter<15 mm compared to both AAE and AF groups(66.38%[77/116]vs.36.11%[13/36]and 11.25%[9/80],respectively,both P<0.016 7).Furthermore,the PFO group had a lower proportion of anterior circulation infarcts(27.59%[32/116]vs.69.44%[25/36]in AAE group and 67.50%[54/80]in AF group,both P<0.016 7),but a higher proportion of posterior circulation infarcts(62.07%[72/116]vs.16.67%[6/36]in AAE group and 8.75%[7/80]in AF group,both P<0.016 7).Specifically,middle cerebral artery infarcts were less common in the PFO group(18.97%[22/116]vs.66.67%[24/36]in AAE group and 52.50%[42/80]in AF group,both P<0.016 7),while posterior cerebral artery infarcts were more common(48.28%[56/116]vs.8.33%[3/36]in AAE group and 8.75%[7/80]in AF group,both P<0.016 7).(3)Spearman correlation analysis revealed that infarct size was negatively correlated with PFO tunnel length(rs=-0.429,P=0.029),fossa ovalis length(rs=-0.408,P=0.038),and septum secundum thickness(rs=-0.525,P=0.006),but not correlated with PFO width or height(both P>0.05).Conclusions PFO-related cryptogenic stroke is predominantly characterized by multiple small infarcts,primarily located in the cortical+subcortical regions and posterior circulation.Infarct size was found to be negatively correlated with PFO tunnel length,fossa ovalis length,and septum secundum thickness.Comprehensive assessment integrating DWI and cardiac CT features may facilitate the identification of PFO-related stroke.These findings warrant further validation through larger,prospective studies.
9.One case of contrast-free coronary intervention based on the integrated computed tomography angiography-intravascular ultrasound-fractional flow reserve strategy
Xiao-shuang WU ; Qin-ping ZHANG ; Wei WANG ; Yi LI ; Lei GAO
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2025;33(8):477-480
Contrast-free percutaneous coronary intervention demonstrates significant value in reducing contrast-associated risks.This article reports a case of a patient with iodine contrast allergy and complex coronary artery disease(involving the left main stem,left anterior descending artery,and diagonal branch),who successfully underwent contrast-free percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI)through the integration of CT angiography(CCTA),intravascular ultrasound(IVUS),and fractional flow reserve(FFR)technology.Preoperative CCTA delineated the anatomy and planned the procedural approach.Intraoperatively,IVUS assessed plaque burden and vascular remodeling,precisely guiding stent selection and positioning.FFR was combined to evaluate the functional significance of the left main stem lesion and the ischemic significance of the specific stenosis in the left anterior descending artery.Post-procedural assessment evaluated stent result and the degree of flow limitation in the diagonal branch.Through"structure-function"dual optimization,revascularization of the left anterior descending artery was achieved using a single-stent strategy,avoiding intervention on the left main stem.This case confirms that multi-modality imaging techniques can safely manage complex lesions,significantly reduce contrast volume,and are suitable for high-risk patients with allergies or renal insufficiency.Future efforts should focus on standardizing technical protocols and accumulating evidence-based evidence to facilitate the clinical implementation of contrast-free interventions.
10.Effects of risk management combined with exercise intervention on myocardial marker levels,cardiac function,quality of life and exercise endurance in elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction
Chun-yu LIU ; Lan QIN ; Shuang LIU ; Shuo LI
Chinese Journal of cardiovascular Rehabilitation Medicine 2025;34(5):699-704
Objective:To explore the effects of risk management combined with exercise intervention on myocardial mark-er levels,cardiac function,quality of life,exercise endurance and incidence of adverse events in elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction(AMI).Methods:This randomized controlled study enrolled 122 elderly AMI patients treated in Bei-jing Friendship Hospital,Capital Medical University between March 2021 and March 2023.Patients were randomly divided into control group(n=61)and intervention group(n=61).Patients in the control group were given conventional man-agement mode intervention,while those in the intervention group were given additional risk management combined exercise intervention.Both groups received intervention for 2 months,then followed up for 1 month.Myocardial markers,cardiac function,quality of life,exercise endurance and incidence of adverse events were compared between the two groups.Re-sults:Compared to those in the control group,patients in the intervention group had significantly lower levels of cardiac troponin I(cTnI)[(1.70±0.66)ng/mlvs.(2.32±0.90)ng/ml],brain natriuretic peptide(BNP)[(55.19±6.95)pg/ml vs.(85.25±8.12)pg/ml],left ventricular end-diastolic diameter(LVEDd)[(47.30±3.53)mm vs.(52.92±4.44)mm],left ventricular end-systolic diameter(LVESd)[(33.67±2.99)mm vs.(39.45±3.77)mm](P<0.001 all),and significantly higher left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF)[(69.97±5.21)%vs.(57.02±5.24)%],Seattle angina questionnaire(SAQ)score[(80.70±7.68)points vs.(75.57±7.77)points]and 6 min walking distance(6MWD)[(385.96±21.99)m vs.(339.51±24.49)m](P<0.001 all).There was significant lower total incidence of adverse events(7.02%vs.21.67%)in intervention group after intervention(P=0.025).Conclusion:Risk management combined with exercise intervention may significantly reduce the levels of myocardial markers,improve cardiac function,quality of life,exercise endurance and reduce the occurrence of adverse events in elderly AMI patients.

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