ObjectiveTo systematically evaluate the association between serum indirect bilirubin （IBIL） levels and the risk of stroke incidence in patients with cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic （CKM） syndrome stages 0-3. MethodsA total of 48 301 participants with CKM syndrome stages 0-3 were included， during which 2 904 stroke events were recorded. A prospective cohort study design was employed. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyze the relationship between IBIL and stroke risk， and restricted cubic spline （RCS） regression was applied to examine the dose-response relationship. Threshold effect analysis was conducted to identify potential inflection points in nonlinear relationships. ResultsMultivariable Cox regression analysis showed that in the overall population， each 1 μmol/L increase in IBIL level was associated with approximately a 1.2% reduction in stroke risk （HR = 0.988， 95% CI： 0.979-0.996， P < 0.05）. A significant interaction was observed between IBIL and CKM stages in relation to stroke risk （P_interaction < 0.05）. In individuals with stages 0–2 of CKM syndrome， higher IBIL levels showed a significant inverse association with stroke risk （P_trend < 0.05）； however， no such association was observed in stage 3 patients. RCS regression and threshold effect analysis further revealed a nonlinear relationship between IBIL levels and stroke risk in stage 3 CKM patients （P_{log-likelihood ratio} < 0.05）. When serum IBIL exceeded 10.980 μmol/L， each 1 μmol/L increase was associated with approximately 5.7% increase in stroke risk （HR = 1.057， 95% CI： 1.009–1.107， P < 0.05）. ConclusionThe correlation between serum IBIL and stroke varies across different stages of CKM syndrome， showing a significant negative association in individuals at stages \0–2， while in stage 3 patients， it exhibits a threshold effect with an inflection point at 10.980 μmol/L.

ObjectiveTo investigate the association between metabolic associated fatty liver disease （MAFLD） and the risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease （ASCVD）， and to provide data support for the prevention and treatment of such metabolic-associated diseases in clinical practice. MethodsAn observation cohort was established for the workers of Kailuan who underwent physical examination for the first time from June 2006 to October 2007 and had complete liver assessment data， without the history of malignant tumor， MAFLD or ASCVD. According to the presence or absence of MAFLD， the patients were divided into non-MAFLD group with 67 565 patients and MAFLD group with 29 004 patients， and according to the presence or absence of ASCVD， the patients were divided into non-ASCVD group with 69 141 patients and ASCVD group with 481 patients. The group t-test or the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of continuous data between the two groups. The χ² test was used for comparison of categorical data between the two groups. The life-table method was used to calculate the cumulative incidence rates of new-onset ASCVD and MAFLD； the Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot the survival curves of the cumulative incidence rates of ASCVD in the MAFLD group and the non-MAFLD group and the cumulative incidence rates of MAFLD in the ASCVD group and the non-ASCVD group， and the log-rank test was used for comparison of cumulative incidence rates between two groups. A multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression model analysis was used to investigate the impact of MAFLD on the risk of ASCVD and the impact of ASCVD on the risk of MAFLD. ResultsCompared with the non-MAFLD group， the MAFLD group had significantly higher levels of body mass index （BMI）， waist circumference， systolic blood pressure （SBP）， diastolic blood pressure （DBP）， resting heart rate， alanine aminotransferase， uric acid （UA）， fasting blood glucose （FBG）， triglyceride （TG）， total cholesterol， low-density lipoprotein cholesterol， and high sensitivity C-reactive protein （hs-CRP）， as well as significanty lower levels of estimated glomerular filtration rate （eGFR） and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol （all P <0.05）. Compared with the non-ASCVD group， the ASCVD group had significantly higher levels of BMI， waist circumference， SBP， DBP， UA， FBG， TG， and hs-CRP and a significantly lower level of eGFR （all P<0.05）. The incidence rate of new-onset ASCVD continued to increase over time in the MAFLD group and the non-MAFLD group， while the incidence rate of new-onset MAFLD firstly increased and then remained stable over time in the ASCVD group and the non-ASCVD group. There were 4 263 cases （14.70%） of new-osnet ASCVD in the MAFLD group， with an incidence density of 12.90 per 1 000 person-years， while there were 6 529 cases （9.66%） of new-osnet ASCVD in the non-MAFLD group， with an incidence density of 8.24 per 1 000 person-years， and there were significant differences in the incidence density and cumulative incidence rate of ASCVD between the two groups （χ²=519.09 and 531.80， both P<0.05）. There were 148 cases （30.77%） of new-onset MAFLD in the ASCVD group， with an incidence density of 40.10 per 1 000 person-years， while there were 32 194 cases （46.56%） of new-onset MAFLD in the non-ASCVD group， with an incidence density of 57.59 per 1 000 person-years， and there were significant differences in the incidence density and cumulative incidence rate of MAFLD between the two groups （χ²=19.29 and 30.78， both P<0.05）. The corrected multivariate Cox proportional-hazards regression model analysis showed that MAFLD was a risk factor for new-onset ASCVD （hazard ratio ［HR］=1.11， 95% confidence interval ［CI］： 1.06 — 1.16， P<0.001）， while ASCVD was a protective factor against new-onset MAFLD （HR=0.72， 95%CI： 0.61 — 0.85， P<0.001）. ConclusionThere is a significant association between MAFLD and ASCVD， with an increase in the risk of ASCVD in the MAFLD population and a reduction in the risk of MAFLD in the ASCVD population.

Objective:To explore the relationship between long-term blood pressure variability and arteriosclerosis in women with a history of hypertensive disorders in pregnancy (HDP).Methods:This study was a retrospective cohort study. Data were obtained from the Kailuan Research Database. Women with a history of HDP who delivered between January 1990 and December 2020 and completed brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) measurement in the postpartum period were enrolled. Baseline data were obtained from the first post-delivery health examination, while the outcome measure was the baPWV recorded during the last follow-up visit, synchronized with blood pressure measurements. Based on long-term blood pressure variability, the enrolled study subjects were divided into the first, second, and third tertile groups in ascending order using the tertile method, and intergroup differences in clinical characteristics were compared. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to evaluate the impact of long-term blood pressure variability levels on arteriosclerosis risk in women with a history of HDP. Sensitivity analyses excluded individuals with multiple deliveries to validate the robustness of findings. Subgroup analyses were conducted based on delivery age (<40 vs. ≥40 years) and blood pressure measurement frequency (3 vs. >3 times) to explore the potential impact of different population characteristics on the study results.Results:A total of 421 study subjects were enrolled, aged (36.07±6.05) years, with a baPWV value of (1 376.80±238.18) cm/s. Long-term blood pressure variability was 4.66 (3.41, 6.50) mmHg (1 mmHg=0.133 kPa). The first, second and third quartile group included 140, 141 and 140 individuals, respectively. In the total population, the incidence of arteriosclerosis was 40.4% (170/421). The incidence rates in the first, second, and third tertile groups were 34.3% (48/140), 39.0% (55/141), and 47.9% (67/140), respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that increased long-term blood pressure variability was an independent risk factor for arteriosclerosis in women with a history of HDP ( OR=1.702, 95% CI 1.018-2.844, P=0.043). The results of sensitivity analyses were consistent with that of the primary analysis ( OR=1.758, 95% CI 1.044-2.959, P=0.034). Subgroup analyses further indicated that in the subgroups with delivery age <40 years ( OR=2.116, 95% CI 1.153-3.885, P=0.016) and blood pressure measurement frequency >3 times ( OR=1.894, 95% CI 1.069-3.355, P=0.029), the association between long-term blood pressure variability and arterial stiffness risk was more significant. Conclusions:For women with a history of HDP, elevated long-term blood pressure variability may increase the risk of arteriosclerosis, and this effect is more pronounced in younger women (delivery age <40 years) and those with high-frequency blood pressure measurements (>3 times). Enhanced monitoring and management of blood pressure variability in this population are crucial to improving long-term cardiovascular health outcomes.

Objectives:To investigate the association between the triglyceride-glucose(TyG)index and risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD)in young and middle-aged(<60 years)adults.Methods:From June 2006 to October 2007,47 675 employees of Kailuan Group with no liver disease were selected as the study objects.Based on the TyG index quartile,participants were divided into Q1 group(TyG index≤8.08,n=11 924),Q2 group(8.0836.46,n=11 919),the association between TyG index,cum-TyG and cumulative exposure time and the risk of NAFLD was analyzed.Results:The average age of the study population was(44.3±8.7)years,36 345 participants were males(76.23%).During a median follow-up period of 11.55(7.28,13.89)years,4 635(9.72%)participants developed new-onset NAFLD.After adjusting for confounders,cox regression analysis showed that compared with the Q1 group,the HR(95%CI)for NAFLD in the Q2 to Q4 groups were 1.328(1.191-1.480),1.591(1.430-1.770),and 2.106(1.861-2.384),respectively,Ptrend<0.001.Compared with the cum-Q1 group,the HR(95%CI)for NAFLD in the cum-Q2 to cum-Q4 groups were 1.571(1.426-1.730),2.123(1.935-2.330)and 2.593(2.367-2.840),respectively,Ptrend<0.001.Compared with the TyG index for 0 year,the HR(95%CI)of NAFLD for 2,4 and 6 years was 1.333(1.196-1.486),1.879(1.690-2.088)and 3.184(2.860-3.545),respectively,Ptrend<0.001.Conclusions:Increased TyG index is an independent risk factor for the new-onset NAFLD in young and middle-aged population.

Objective:To explore the correlation between metabolic syndrome (MS), serum high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels, their combination and the risk of digestive system malignancies.Methods:A prospective cohort study was conducted in the participants from the Kailuan cohort who took health examination in July 2006. Anthropometric parameters, epidemiological information, and laboratory test results were collected. Incidence and mortality of digestive system malignant tumors were collected through biennial health examinations and questionnaires. The follow-up period ended on December 31, 2021.According to MS status and hs-CRP levels (hs-CRP≤3 or >3 mg/L), the cohort was divided into 4 groups, induding MS -hs-CRP -, MS -hs-CRP +, MS + hs-CRP -, and MS + hs-CRP + group. Chi-squared test, one analysis of variance, and the Kruskal-Wallis H test were used for inter-group comparison among groups. Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the cumulative incidence of digestive system malignant tumors, and log-rank test was performed to compare the cumulative incidence among groups. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate the effects of MS and hs-CRP levels on the overall risk of digestive system malignant tumors, as well as the effects of their combination on the risk of digestive system malignant tumors of different site, and relevant confounding factors were adjusted.A sensitivity analysis was conducted by excluding individuals diagnosed with digestive system malignancies within one year of follow-up, as well as those taking antihypertensive, antidiabetic, or lipid-lowering medications. Results:A total of 92 916 participants were included in this study. Among them, 57 933 cases were in the MS -hs-CRP - group, 10 949 cases in the MS -hs-CRP + group, 18 412 cases in the MS + hs-CRP - group, and 5 622 cases in the MS + hs-CRP + group.The median follow-up period was 15.01 years (14.66 to 15.20 years). By the end of follow-up, these were 1 992 cases of new-onset digestive system malignant tumors. The cumulative incidence rates of digestive system malignant tumors of MS -hs-CRP -, MS -hs-CRP +, MS + hs-CRP -, and MS + hs-CRP + groups were 2.0%(1 164/57 933), 2.3%(249/10 949), 2.4%(440/18 412), and 2.5%(139/5 622), respectively. The difference in the cumulative incidence among the 4 groups was statistically significant ( χ2=14.09, P=0.003).The results of multivariate Cox analysis showed that, after hs-CRP level and other confounding factors were adjusted, the risk of developing digestive system malignant tumors in participants with MS was 21.4% higher than that in those without MS ( HR=1.214 (95% confidence interval (95% CI): 1.086 to 1.340), P<0.001). After MS status and other confounding factors were adjusted, the risk of developing digestive system malignant tumors in participants with high hs-CRP level (>3 mg/L) was 17.2% higher than those with low hs-CRP level (≤3 mg/L) ( HR=1.172 (95% CI: 1.042 to 1.303), P=0.008). After relevant confounding factors were adjusted, the risks of developing digestive system malignant tumors in the MS -hs-CRP +, MS + hs-CRP -, and MS + hs-CRP + groups increased by 17.2%, 21.4%, and 35.9%, respectively, as compared with that of the MS -hs-CRP - group ( HR=1.172 (95% CI: 1.017 to 1.399), P=0.028; HR=1.214 (95% CI: 1.074 to 1.356), P=0.002; HR=1.359 (95% CI: 1.135 to 1.635), P=0.001). Among the 4 groups, the overall risk of developing digestive system malignant tumors of MS + hs-CRP + group was the highest. After relevant confounding factors were adjusted, the risks of colorectal cancer, liver cancer, and pancreatic cancer of the MS + hs-CRP + group increased by 46.2%, 35.7%, and 88.3%, respectively, as compared with those of the MS -hs-CRP - group ( HR=1.462 (95% CI: 1.088 to 1.956), HR=1.357 (95% CI: 1.132 to 2.089), HR=1.883 (95% CI: 1.052 to 3.342)), suggesting that MS combined with high hs-CRP was a significant risk factor for increased incidences of colorectal cancer, liver cancer, and pancreatic cancer ( P=0.012, 0.016 and 0.033). After participants diagnosed with new digestive system malignancies within one year of follow-up and those taking antihypertensive, antidiabetic, or lipid-lowering medications (108 cases, 10 680 cases, 2 344 cases, 906 cases) were excluded, the results of sensitivity analysis indicated the increased risk of digestive system malignant tumors in the MS -hs-CRP +, MS + hs-CRP -, and MS + hs-CRP + groups were 12.1%, 21.4%, 28.7%; 18.2%, 21.4%, 24.8%; 16.4%, 21.4%, 32.2%; 17.3%, 20.4%, 35.8%. Among the 3 groups, the increased risk of developing digestive system malignant tumors of MS + hs-CRP + group was the highest. Conclusion:MS and hs-CRP >3 mg/L are both independent risk factors for developing digestive system malignant tumors, and their combination further increases the risk of developing digestive system malignant tumors.

Objective To investigate the association between the variability of remnant cholesterol inflammatory index(RCII),a novel composite biomarker,and the risk of stroke,in order to provide a theoretical basis for stroke prevention.Methods A prospective cohort study was conducted on 38 659 Kailuan individuals who took annual physical examinations in 2006,2008,and 2010.These subjects were grouped based on the quartiles of RCII variability,which was represented by standard deviation(SD)and average real variability(ARV),and were followed up every 2 years,with the occurrence of stroke(including ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes),death,or the end of follow-up on December 31,2022 as the endpoints.Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the cumulative incidence rate of endpoint events across different groups,and log-rank test was used to compare the difference of cumulative incidence of endpoint events in each group.Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model was adopted to analyze the association between RCII variability and risk of stroke.Results Among the 38 659 participants,a total of 2 539 strokes occurred during a mean follow-up period of 11.22±2.26 years.After adjusting confounding factors,when the participants were grouped by the quartiles of RCII-SD,the hazard ratio(HR)for stroke was 1.034(95%CI:0.917～1.167,P=0.584),1.146(95%CI:1.018～1.290,P=0.025),and 1.209(95%CI:1.066～1.370,P=0.003),respectively in the Q2,Q3,and Q4 groups,when compared with the Q1 group(Ptrend<0.05).When they were grouped by the quartiles of RCII-ARV,the HR for stroke was 1.008(95%CI:0.894～1.136,P=0.901),1.109(95%CI:0.986～1.248,P=0.085),and 1.152(95%CI:1.018～1.303,P=0.025),respectively,in the Q2,Q3,and Q4 groups,when compared with the Q1 group.Furthermore,both sensitivity and stratified analyses yielded similar results.Conclusion RCII variability is significantly associated with stroke,and the risk of stroke is gradually increasing with increment of the variability.Countermeasures Relevant authorities can focus on reducing RCII variability as a central objective by establishing regular monitoring mechanism,strengthening lifestyle interventions,and standardizing dietary,exercise,and weight management in order to suppress the index fluctuations.The principle of stable lipid-lowering in medication and optimization of therapeutic regimens with stable efficacy should be emphasized to prevent the risk of additional vascular damage.

Objective:To explore the association between cardiovascular health status and cardiovascular events in hypertensive patients with different ages of onset.Methods:This study was a prospective cohort study. Participants who were free of hypertension, myocardial infarction, stroke, heart failure, and other cardiovascular diseases at their first annual health examination at Kailuan Group from 2006 to 2012, but were newly diagnosed with hypertension during subsequent follow-up, were included. Clinical data was collected, and cardiovascular health status was assessed using the Life′s Essential 8 (LE8) score (categorized as low level and moderate-to-high level). Based on changes in LE8 scores from the first to the second health examination, transitions in cardiovascular health status were classified into 4 patterns: consistently low, low to moderate-to-high, moderate-to-high to low, and consistently moderate-to-high. Newly diagnosed hypertensive patients were stratified by age at diagnosis into 3 groups:<45 years, 45-<60 years, and ≥60 years. Participants were followed up, with the primary outcome being cardiovascular events, including myocardial infarction and stroke. Multivariable Cox regression models with age as the time scale were used to analyze the association between cardiovascular health status, its transitions, and cardiovascular events across different ages of hypertension onset. Restricted cubic spline models were employed to examine the patterns of association between LE8 scores, their changes, and cardiovascular events.Results:A total of 22 217 newly diagnosed hypertensive patients were included, with a mean age of (53.68±11.45) years and 18 260 males (75.13%). The median follow-up time was 9.62 years. Across all three age strata, compared with participants with low cardiovascular health status, those with moderate-to-high cardiovascular health status had a lower risk of cardiovascular events: HR=0.53 (95% CI: 0.36-0.79) for onset age <45 years; HR=0.64 (95% CI: 0.58-0.82) for onset age 45-60 years; and HR=0.71 (95% CI: 0.54-0.93) for onset age ≥60 years. Among newly diagnosed hypertensive patients with onset age <45 years and 45-<60 years, those with consistently moderate-to-high cardiovascular health status had a reduced risk of cardiovascular events compared to those with consistently low status (all P<0.05); however, the difference was not statistically significant in patients with onset age ≥60 years ( P>0.05). The protective effect of consistently moderate-to-high cardiovascular health status was strongest in patients with onset age <45 years ( HR=0.47, 95% CI: 0.25-0.88). Across all age strata, the risk of cardiovascular events decreased with increasing LE8 score ( P<0.05), with the most pronounced reduction observed in patients with onset age <45 years. For every 10-point increase in LE8 score, the risk of cardiovascular events decreased by 29% in this group ( HR=0.71, 95% CI: 0.56-0.89). Restricted cubic spline analysis indicated a linear dose-response relationship between LE8 scores, their changes, and the risk of cardiovascular events ( P<0.05). Conclusions:Hypertensive patients with moderate-to-high cardiovascular health status across different ages of onset have a lower risk of cardiovascular events, with the strongest protective effect observed among younger individuals. Moreover, different patterns of change in cardiovascular health status have distinct impacts on cardiovascular events. Improvement in cardiovascular health status can reduce the risk of cardiovascular events in newly diagnosed hypertensive patients, and this protective effect is more pronounced in younger adults.

Objective:To investigate the influence of diabetes mellitus (DM) and high-sen-sitivity C-reactive protein (Hs-CRP) on the risk of digestive system malignancy.Methods:The pro-spective cohort study was conducted. The clinical data of 93 928 participants who participated health examination in 9 hospitals at Tangshan, including Kailuan General Hospital Affiliated to North China University of Science and Technology et al, in 2006 were selected. According to the presence or absence of DM and the level of Hs-CRP, all participants were divided into 4 groups, including the DM(-)CRP(-) group defined as absence of DM and Hs-CRP ≤3 mg/L, the DM(-)CRP(+) group defined as absence of DM and Hs-CRP>3 mg/L, the DM(+)CRP(-) group defined as presence of DM and Hs-CRP ≤3 mg/L, and the DM(+)CRP(+) group defined as presence of DM and Hs-CRP >3 mg/L. The data of participants were collected by a fixed team of physicians. The first physical examination in 2006 was taken as the starting point for follow-up. The end event of follow-up was defined as the occurrence of digestive system malignancy or death, and the follow-up was up to December 31, 2021. Observation indicators: (1) comparison of clinical data among the 4 groups of participants; (2) the incidence and cumulative incidence rate of digestive system malignancy in participants; (3) influence of DM and Hs-CRP level on the risk of digestive system malignancy; (4) the combined influence of DM and Hs-CRP level on the risk of digestive system malignancy; (5) sensitivity analysis. Comparison of measurement data with normal distribution among multiple groups was conducted using the one-way analysis of variance. For pairwise comparison, least significant difference test was used for homogeneity of variance, and Dunnett′s T3 test was used for heterogeneity of variance. Comparison of measurement data with skewed distribution among multiple groups was conducted using the Kruskal-Wallis rank sum test, and Dunn-Bonferroni test was used for pairwise comparison. Comparison of count data among multiple groups was conducted using the chi-square test, and Bonferroni test was used among multiple comparisons. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot cumulative incidence curve, and Log-rank test was used for cumulative incidence rate analysis. The Cox proportional risk model was used for multivariate analysis. All models were adjusted for relevant confounders. Results:(1) Comparison of clinical data among the 4 groups of participants. Of the 93 928 participants, there were 70 743 cases in the DM(-)CRP(-) group, 14 644 cases in the DM(-)CRP(+) group, 6 425 cases in the DM(+)CRP(-) group, and 2 116 cases in the DM(+)CRP(+) group. There were significant differences in gender, age, fasting blood glucose, Hs-CRP, triglyceride, alanine aminotransferase, body mass index, marrital status, smoking, drinking, high school degree or above, physical exercise, high salt diet, high fat diet, positive hepatitis B virus surface antigen, fatty liver, liver cirrhosis, gallstone, taking hypoglycemic drugs, taking lipid-lowering drugs among the 4 groups of participants ( P<0.05). (2) The incidence and cumulative incidence rate of digestive system malignancy in participants. At the end-up of follow-up, 2 008 cases developed digestive system malignancy in the 93 928 participants, including 717 cases of colorectal cancer, 456 cases of liver cancer, 396 cases of gastric cancer, 195 cases of esophageal cancer, 144 cases of pancreatic cancer, 65 cases of gallbladder cancer or extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, 35 cases of small bowel cancer. The cumulative incidence rates of digestive system malignancy were 2.19%, 2.42%, 2.86%, 3.59% in participants of the DM(-)CRP(-) group, DM(-)CRP(+) group, DM(+)CRP(-) group, DM(+)CRP(+) group, respectively, showing a significant difference among the 4 groups ( χ2=31.72, P<0.05). (3) Influence of DM and Hs-CRP level on the risk of digestive system malignancy. After adjusting for the confounding factors of the participants, results of multivariate analysis showed that DM and Hs-CRP >3 mg/L were independent influencing factors for the incidence of digestive system malignancy ( hazard ratio=1.32, 1.19, 95% confidence interval as 1.13-1.56, 1.06-1.33, P<0.05). Futher analysis showed that there was a significant difference in interaction between DM and Hs-CRP >3 mg/L ( P<0.05). (4) The combined influence of DM and Hs-CRP level on the risk of digestive system malign-ancy. After adjusting for confounding factors, results of multivariate analysis showed that using the DM(-)CRP(-) group as the control group, the risk of incidence of digestive system malignancy increased in the DM(-)CRP(+) group, DM(+)CRP(-) group, and DM(+)CRP(+) group, respectively ( hazard ratio=1.14, 1.23, 1.79, 95% confidence interval as 1.01-1.29, 1.02-1.48, 1.38-2.31, P<0.05). In the site-specific analysis of digestive system malignancy, using the DM(-)CRP(-) group as the control group, the risk of incidence of liver cancer increased in the DM(-)CRP(+) group ( hazard ratio=1.37, 95% confidence interval as 1.07-1.75, P<0.05), the risk of incidence of liver cancer and pancrea-tic cancer increased in the DM(+)CRP(-) group ( hazard ratio=1.60, 1.74, 95% confidence interval as 1.16-2.21, 1.00-3.02, P<0.05), the risk of incidence of small bowel cancer, pancreatic cancer and colorectal cancer increased in the DM(+)CRP(+) group ( hazard ratio=5.05, 2.31, 2.23, 95% confidence interval as 1.57-16.21, 1.00-5.31, 1.54-3.24, P<0.05). (5) Sensitivity analysis. After adjusting for confounding factors of excluding 3 types of participants (103 cases of digestive system malignancy within 1 year of follow-up, 2 370 cases of taking glucose-lowering drugs, and 915 cases of taking lipid-lowering drugs), results of multivariate analysis showed that using the DM(-)CRP(-) group as the control group, the risk of incidence of digestive system malignancy increased in the DM(+)CRP(-) group, and DM(+)CRP(+) group, respectively ( hazard ratioexcluding cases of digestive system malignancy within 1 year of follow-up=1.26, 1.66, 95% confidence interval as 1.04-1.52, 1.26-2.18, P<0.05; hazard ratioexcluding cases taking glucose-lowering drugs=1.23, 1.75, 95% confidence interval as 1.02-1.49, 1.31-2.33, P<0.05; hazard ratioexcluding cases taking lipid-lowering drugs=1.24, 1.80, 95% confidence interval as 1.03-1.49, 1.39-2.34, P<0.05). Conclusions:DM and Hs-CRP >3 mg/L are independent influencing factors for the incidence of digestive system malignancy. There is an interation and synergistic effect between DM and Hs-CRP to promote the incidence of digestive system malignancy.

ObjectiveTo investigate the association between cumulative atherogenic index of plasma （cumAIP） and the risk of new-onset nonalcoholic fatty liver disease （NAFLD） in young and middle-aged individuals. MethodsA prospective cohort study was conducted among the young and middle-aged individuals （aged 18 to <60 years） in the Kailuan study cohort who underwent physical examination in Kailuan General Hospital and its 10 affiliated hospitals in June 2006 to October 2010， and after screening based on the inclusion and exclusion criteria， 33 987 individuals were included in the observation cohort. The individuals were divided into Q1， Q2， Q3， and Q4 groups based on the quantiles of cumAIP. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate the cumulative incidence rate of new-onset NAFLD in the four groups， while the log-rank test was used for comparison between groups. A multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to obtain the hazard ratio （HR） and 95% confidence interval （CI） of the risk of new-onset NAFLD in the four groups. A one-way analysis of variance was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between multiple groups， and the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between multiple groups； the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical variables between groups. ResultsThe mean follow-up was 10.89±2.54 years， and there were 6 011 cases of new-onset NAFLD， including 995 cases in the Q1 group， 1 366 in the Q2 group， 1661 in the Q3 group， and 1 989 in the Q4 group， with an incidence density of 11.37， 16.02， 19.97， and 24.91 per thousand person-years. The log-rank test showed that there was a significant difference in cumulative incidence rate between the four groups （P<0.001）. With the presence or absence of NAFLD as the dependent variable and the quantiles of different exposure levels to cumAIP as the independent variable， the multivariate Cox regression model analysis showed that compared with the Q1 group， the Q2， Q3， and Q4 groups had an HR of 1.30 （95%CI： 1.20 — 1.41）， 1.52 （95%CI： 1.41 — 1.65）， and 1.79 （95%CI： 1.64 — 1.95）， respectively， for new-onset NAFLD， with a P_trend value of <0.001. With the presence or absence of new-onset NAFLD as the dependent variable and the cumulative exposure to AIP for 0， 2， 4， and 6 years as the independent variable， the Cox regression analysis showed that compared with cumulative exposure to AIP for 0 years， cumulative exposure to AIP for 2， 4， and 6 years had an HR of 1.24 （95%CI： 1.15 — 1.35）， 1.51 （95%CI： 1.40 — 1.64）， and 1.70 （95%CI： 1.56 — 1.84）， respectively， with a P_trend value of <0.001. A sensitivity analysis was performed after exclusion of the individuals with new-onset NAFLD within 2 years， the individuals who experienced atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events during follow-up， and the individuals taking antihypertensive， hypoglycemic， and lipid-lowering drugs， and the results were similar to those of the main analysis. Considering the competitive relationship between all-cause death and outcome events， a competing risk analysis of death was performed， which showed that the results of risk analysis were similar to those of the main analysis. ConclusionA high level of cumAIP exposure can increase the risk of new-onset NAFLD in young and middle-aged individuals.

Objective:To investigate the predictive value of different obesity indicators for colorectal cancer (CRC) risk in different gender populations.Methods:This observational study was conducted within the Kailuan Study (Registration Number: ChiCTR-TNC-11001489). From July 2006 to October 2007, a total of 101,510 employed and retired individuals underwent health examinations, including gastrointestinal disease screening, hematological tests, and questionnaires, at Kailuan General Hospital and its 10 affiliated hospitals. After excluding those with incomplete data, 93,606 participants were included in this study and divided into male (74 852) and female (18 754) groups. CRC incidence was collected through physical examinations and questionnaires every two years. Each participant's follow-up period began at the time of the questionnaire and ended upon CRC diagnosis, death, or December 31, 2021. Body Mass Index (BMI), waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) were quartiled (Q1, Q2, Q3, Q4), with Q1 serving as the control group. After adjusting for traditional risk factors such as age, total cholesterol, triglycerides, diabetes, hypertension, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and physical exercise, Cox regression models were used to calculate the correlations between BMI, waist circumference, WHR, WHtR, and CRC incidence in both male and female populations.Results:The age of all patients was (51±12) years, BMI was (25.06±3.49) kg/m 2, waist circumference was (86.94±9.97) cm, hip circumference was (97.30±8.81) cm, WHR was 0.89±0.07, and WHtR was 0.52±0.06.Female participants had significantly lower BMI, waist circumference, WHR, and WHtR compared to males, with statistically significant differences (all P<0.05). The mean follow-up duration for all participants was 15.01 (14.10±2.66) years, during which 718 CRC cases were identified, including 626 males (0.83%) and 92 females (0.49%). Cox proportional hazards models for males showed that CRC risk increased with waist circumference from Q3 (HR=1.43, 95%CI: 1.13-1.79, P=0.003) to Q4 (HR=1.45,95%CI: 1.14-1.82, P=0.002). Similarly, CRC risk increased with WHR from Q3 (HR=1.22, 95%CI: 1.01-1.53, P=0.007) to Q4 (HR=1.43, 95%CI: 1.14-1.79, P=0.002) and with WHtR from Q3 (HR=1.37, 95%CI: 1.08-1.74, P=0.009) to Q4 (HR=1.68, 95%CI: 1.33-2.12, P<0.001). For females, CRC risk increased with waist circumference from Q2 (HR=2.37, 95%CI: 1.20-4.67, P=0.012) to Q3 (HR=2.42, 95%CI: 1.21-4.84, P=0.013) but decreased in Q4 ( HR=2.08, 95%CI: 1.02-4.25, P=0.043). CRC risk increased significantly with WHR from Q2 (HR=2.20, 95%CI: 1.11-4.39, P=0.024) to Q3 (HR=2.89, 95%CI: 1.48-5.67, P=0.002) in females but was not statistically significant in Q4 ( P=0.074). Among females, CRC risk also increased significantly with WHtR in Q2 (HR=2.30, 95% CI: 1.16-4.56, P=0.017) and Q4 (HR=2.64, 95%CI: 1.32-5.29, P=0.006). There were no statistically significant differences in CRC risk associated with BMI in either male or female populations (both P>0.05). Conclusion:Waist circumference, WHR, and WHtR were better predictors of CRC risk than BMI in both male and female populations.