Humans ; Shock, Septic/diagnosis* ; Child ; Consensus ; Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use*

PURPOSE: Assessing fluid responsiveness relying on central venous oxygen saturation (ScvO₂) yields varied outcomes across several studies. This study aimed to determine the ability of the change in ScvO₂ (ΔScvO₂) to detect fluid responsiveness in ventilated septic shock patients and potential influencing factors. METHODS: In this prospective, single-center study, all patients conducted from February 2023 to January 2024 received fluid challenge. Oxygen consumption was measured by indirect calorimetry, and fluid responsiveness was defined as an increase in cardiac index (CI) ≥ 10% measured by transthoracic echocardiography. Multivariate linear regression analysis was conducted to evaluate the impact of oxygen consumption, arterial oxygen saturation, CI, and hemoglobin on ScvO₂ and its change before and after fluid challenge. The Shapiro-Wilk test was used for the normality of continuous data. Data comparison between fluid responders and non-responders was conducted using a two-tailed Student t-test, Mann Whitney U test, and Chi-square test. Paired t-tests were used for normally distributed data, while the Wilcoxon signed-rank test was used for skewed data, to compare data before and after fluid challenge. RESULTS: Among 49 patients (31 men, aged (59 ± 18) years), 27 were responders. The patients had an acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II score of 24 ± 8, a sequential organ failure assessment score of 11 ± 4, and a blood lactate level of (3.2 ± 3.1) mmol/L at enrollment. After the fluid challenge, the ΔScvO₂ (mmHg) in the responders was greater than that in the non-responders (4 ± 6 vs. 1 ± 3, p = 0.019). Multivariate linear regression analysis suggested that CI was the only independent influencing factor of ScvO₂, with R² = 0.063, p = 0.008. After the fluid challenge, the change in CI became the only contributing factor to ΔScvO₂ (R² = 0.245, p < 0.001). ΔScvO₂ had a good discriminatory ability for the responders and non-responders with a threshold of 4.4% (area under the curve = 0.732, p = 0.006). CONCLUSION ΔScvO₂ served as a reliable surrogate marker for ΔCI and could be utilized to assess fluid responsiveness, given that the change in CI was the sole contributing factor to the ΔScvO₂. In stable hemoglobin conditions, the absolute value of ScvO₂ could serve as a monitoring indicator for adequate oxygen delivery independent of oxygen consumption.
Humans ; Shock, Septic/blood* ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Prospective Studies ; Oxygen Saturation ; Aged ; Fluid Therapy ; Oxygen/blood* ; Oxygen Consumption ; Adult

PURPOSE: Septic shock is associated with high mortality and poor outcomes among sepsis patients with coagulopathy. Although traditional statistical methods or machine learning (ML) algorithms have been proposed to predict septic shock, these potential approaches have never been systematically compared. The present work aimed to develop and compare models to predict septic shock among patients with sepsis. METHODS: It is a retrospective cohort study based on 484 patients with sepsis who were admitted to our intensive care units between May 2018 and November 2022. Patients from the 908th Hospital of Chinese PLA Logistical Support Force and Nanchang Hongdu Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine were respectively allocated to training (n=311) and validation (n=173) sets. All clinical and laboratory data of sepsis patients characterized by comprehensive coagulation indexes were collected. We developed 5 models based on ML algorithms and 1 model based on a traditional statistical method to predict septic shock in the training cohort. The performance of all models was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and calibration plots. Decision curve analysis was used to evaluate the net benefit of the models. The validation set was applied to verify the predictive accuracy of the models. This study also used Shapley additive explanations method to assess variable importance and explain the prediction made by a ML algorithm. RESULTS: Among all patients, 37.2% experienced septic shock. The characteristic curves of the 6 models ranged from 0.833 to 0.962 and 0.630 to 0.744 in the training and validation sets, respectively. The model with the best prediction performance was based on the support vector machine (SVM) algorithm, which was constructed by age, tissue plasminogen activator-inhibitor complex, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio, white blood cells, and platelet counts. The SVM model showed good calibration and discrimination and a greater net benefit in decision curve analysis. CONCLUSION The SVM algorithm may be superior to other ML and traditional statistical algorithms for predicting septic shock. Physicians can better understand the reliability of the predictive model by Shapley additive explanations value analysis.
Humans ; Shock, Septic/blood* ; Machine Learning ; Male ; Female ; Retrospective Studies ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Sepsis/complications* ; ROC Curve ; Cohort Studies ; Adult ; Intensive Care Units ; Algorithms ; Blood Coagulation ; Critical Illness

This study reports the diagnosis and treatment of a 26-year-old pregnant woman with severe malnutrition combined with acute pyelonephritis causing sepsis, refractory septic shock and multiple organ failure. A female patient, 26 years old, was admitted to hospital mainly due to "menelipsis for more than 19 weeks, nausea and vomiting for 20 days, fever with fatigue for 3 days". At the end of 19 weeks of intrauterine pregnancy, the patient presented with fever accompanied by urinary tract irritation. Laboratory tests showed elevated inflammatory indicators, and ultrasonography showed bilateral pelvicalyceal dilation. She was diagnosed with acute pyelonephritis, sepsis, acute kidney injury (AKI) and severe malnutrition. After a whole-hospital consultation, the patient was treated with meropenem and vancomycin as antimicrobial therapy, and bilateral nephrostomy drainage was performed simultaneously. After that, the patient suffered a sudden decrease in blood pressure, blood oxygen saturation, and rapid heart rate. Septic shock with multiple organ dysfunction was considered, and she was transferred to intensive care unit (ICU) immediately. After the patient was transferred to ICU, emergency tracheal intubation and ventilator-assisted ventilation were performed. Rapid fluid resuscitation was administered for the patient. While pulse indicator continuous cardiac output (PICCO) monitoring was performed, norepinephrine, terlipressin, and methylene blue were administered to maintain peripheral vascular resistance. Since the patient developed septic cardiomyopathy and cardiogenic shock later, levosimendan and epinephrine were admi-nistered to improve cardiac function. While etiological specimens were delivered, meropenem, teicoplanin and caspofungin were given as initial empiric antimicrobial therapy. Unfortunately, the intrauterine fetal death occurred on the night of admission to ICU. On the 3rd day of ICU admission, a still-born child was delivered vaginally with 1/5 defect of the fetal membrane. On the 6th day of ICU admission, the patient had fever again with elevated inflammatory indicators. After excluding infection in other parts, intrau-terine infection caused by incomplete delivery of fetal membrane was considered. Then emergency uterine curettage was performed and the infection gradually improved. Later the laboratory results showed that the nephrostomy drainage was cultured for Escherichia coli and uterine, cervical and vaginal secretions were cultured for Candida albicans. Due to severe infection and intrauterine incomplete abortion, the patient developed disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC). Active antimicrobial therapy and blood product supplement were given. However, the patient was critically ill with significant decrease in hemoglobin and platelets combined with multiple organ failure. Thrombotic microangiopathy (TMA) was not excluded yet, so plasma exchange was performed for the patient in order not to delay treatment. The patient underwent bedside continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) for AKI. The patient was complicated with acute liver injury, and the liver function gradually returned to normal after liver protection, antimicrobial therapy and other treatments. Due to the application of large doses of vasoactive drugs, the extremities of the patient gradually developed cyanosis and ischemic necrosis. Local dry gangrene of the bilateral toes remained at the time of discharge. In general, the patient suffered from septic shock, cardiogenic shock, combined with DIC and multiple organ dysfunction. After infection source control, antimicrobial therapy, uterine curettage, blood purification treatment, nutritional and metabolic support, the patient was discharged with a better health condition.
Humans ; Female ; Pyelonephritis/complications* ; Pregnancy ; Adult ; Multiple Organ Failure/etiology* ; Shock, Septic/etiology* ; Sepsis/etiology* ; Pregnancy Complications ; Pregnancy Complications, Infectious ; Malnutrition/complications*

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the effect of avitinib for suppressing NLRP3 inflammasome activation and alleviating septic shock and explore the underlying mechanism. METHODS: Mouse bone marrow-derived macrophages (BMDM), human monocytic leukemia cell line THP-1, and peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC) isolated from healthy volunteers were pre-treated with avitinib, followed by activation of the canonical NLRP3 inflammasome using agonists including nigericin, monosodium urate (MSU) crystals, or adenosine triphosphate (ATP). Non-canonical NLRP3 inflammasome activation was induced via intracellular transfection of lipopolysaccharide (LPS). Western blotting was used to detect the secretory protein markers of NLRP3 inflammasome activation and assess pyroptosis, and the levels of inflammatory cytokines in cell culture supernatant were determined with ELISA. In a mouse model of LPS-induced septic shock, the effect of avitinib treatment on the levels of inflammatory cytokines in serum and peritoneal lavage fluid were examined with ELISA, and survival curves of the mice were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method. RESULTS: Avitinib significantly inhibited NLRP3 inflammasome activation in multiple cell types, and dose-dependently reduced IL-1β secretion and caspase-1 cleavage while suppressing GSDMD-mediated pyroptosis without obviously affecting IL-6 or TNF-α levels. In the mouse models of LPS-induced septic shock, avitinib significantly lowered IL-1β levels in serum and peritoneal fluid and extended survival time of the mice. CONCLUSIONS Avitinib suppresses NLRP3 inflammasome activation and alleviates septic shock in mice.
Animals ; Shock, Septic/metabolism* ; Mice ; NLR Family, Pyrin Domain-Containing 3 Protein ; Inflammasomes/drug effects* ; Humans ; Macrophages/metabolism* ; Interleukin-1beta/metabolism* ; Lipopolysaccharides

OBJECTIVE: To observe the characteristics of changes in non-invasive hemodynamic parameters in neonates with septic shock so as to provide clinical reference for diagnosis and treatment. METHODS: A observational study was conducted. The neonates with sepsis complicated with septic shock or not admitted to neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) of the First Affiliated Hospital of Shantou University Medical College were enrolled as the study subjects, who were divided into preterm infant (< 37 weeks) and full-term infant (≥ 37 weeks) according to the gestational age. Healthy full-term infants and hemodynamically stable preterm infants transferring to NICU after birth were enrolled as controls. Electronic cardiometry (EC) was used to measure hemodynamic parameters, including heart rate (HR), mean arterial pressure (MAP), stroke volume (SV), stroke volume index (SVI), cardiac output (CO), cardiac index (CI), systemic vascular resistance (SVR) and systemic vascular resistance index (SVRI), before treatment in the septic shock group, at the time of diagnosis of sepsis in the sepsis without shock group, and before the discharge from the obstetric department or on the day of transferring to NICU in the control group. RESULTS: Finally, 113 neonates with complete data and parental consent for non-invasive hemodynamic monitoring were enrolled, including 32 cases in the septic shock group, 25 cases in the sepsis without shock group and 56 cases in the control group. In the septic shock group, there were 17 cases at the compensated stage and 15 cases at the decompensated stage. There were 21 full-term infants (20 cured or improved and 1 died) and 11 premature infants (7 cured or improved and 4 died), with the mortality of 15.62% (5/32). There were 18 full-term infants and 7 premature infants in the sepsis without shock group and all cured or improved without death. The control group included 28 full-term infants and 28 premature infants transferring to NICU after birth. Non-invasive hemodynamic parameter analysis showed that SV, SVI, CO and CI of full-term infants in the septic shock group were significantly lower than those in the sepsis without shock group and control group [SV (mL): 3.52±0.99 vs. 5.79±1.32, 5.22±1.02, SVI (mL/m²): 16.80 (15.05, 19.65) vs. 27.00 (22.00, 32.00), 27.00 (23.00, 29.75), CO (L/min): 0.52±0.17 vs. 0.80±0.14, 0.72±0.12, CI (mL×s^-1×m^-2): 40.00 (36.67, 49.18) vs. 62.51 (56.34, 70.85), 60.01 (53.34, 69.68), all P < 0.05], while SVR and SVRI were significantly higher than those in the sepsis without shock group and control group [SVR (kPa×s×L^-1): 773.46±291.96 vs. 524.17±84.76, 549.38±72.36, SVRI (kPa×s×L^-1×m^-2): 149.27±51.76 vs. 108.12±12.66, 107.81±11.87, all P < 0.05]. MAP, SV, SVI, CO and CI of preterm infants in the septic shock group were significantly lower than those in the control group [MAP (mmHg, 1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa): 38.55±10.48 vs. 47.46±2.85, SV (mL): 2.45 (1.36, 3.58) vs. 3.96 (3.56, 4.49), SVI (mL/m²): 17.60 (14.20, 25.00) vs. 25.50 (24.00, 29.00), CO (L/min): 0.32 (0.24, 0.63) vs. 0.56 (0.49, 0.63), CI (mL×s^-1×m^-2): 40.01 (33.34, 53.34) vs. 61.68 (56.68, 63.35), all P < 0.05], while SVR and SVRI were similar to the control group [SVR (kPa×s×L^-1): 1 082.88±689.39 vs. 656.63±118.83, SVRI (kPa×s×L^-1×m^-2): 126.00±61.50 vs. 102.37±11.68, both P > 0.05]. Further analysis showed that SV, SVI and CI of neonates at the compensation stage in the septic shock group were significantly lower than those in the control group [SV (mL): 3.60±1.29 vs. 4.73±1.15, SVI (mL/m²): 19.20±8.33 vs. 26.34±3.91, CI (mL×s^-1×m^-2): 46.51±20.34 vs. 61.01±7.67, all P < 0.05], while MAP, SVR and SVRI were significantly higher than those in the control group [MAP (mmHg): 52.06±8.61 vs. 48.54±3.21, SVR (kPa×s×L^-1): 874.95±318.70 vs. 603.01±111.49, SVRI (kPa×s×L^-1×m^-2): 165.07±54.90 vs. 105.09±11.99, all P < 0.05]; MAP, SV, SVI, CO and CI of neonates at the decompensated stage in the septic shock group were significantly lower than those in the control group [MAP (mmHg): 35.13±6.08 vs. 48.54±3.21, SV (mL): 2.89±1.17 vs. 4.73±1.15, SVI (mL/m²): 18.50±4.99 vs. 26.34±3.91, CO (L/min): 0.41±0.19 vs. 0.65±0.15, CI (mL×s^-1×m^-2): 43.34±14.17 vs. 61.01±7.67, all P < 0.05], while SVR and SVRI were similar to the control group [SVR (kPa×s×L^-1): 885.49±628.04 vs. 603.01±111.49, SVRI (kPa×s×L^-1×m^-2): 114.29±43.54 vs. 105.09±11.99, both P > 0.05]. CONCLUSIONS Full-term infant with septic shock exhibit a low cardiac output, high vascular resistance hemodynamic pattern, while preterm infant with septic shock show low cardiac output and normal vascular resistance. At the compensated stage the hemodynamic change is low output and high resistance type, while at the decompensated stage it is low output and normal resistance type. Non-invasive hemodynamic monitoring can assist in the identification of neonatal septic shock and provide basis for clinical diagnosis and treatment.
Humans ; Shock, Septic/physiopathology* ; Infant, Newborn ; Hemodynamics ; Female ; Male ; Case-Control Studies ; Infant, Premature

Septic shock is a common acute and critical illness in intensive care medicine. It can lead to multiple organ failure, of which the heart is one of the target organs. Fluid resuscitation plays an important role in the treatment of septic shock, but when a patient develops septic-induced cardiomyopathy, the circulation is often not improved by fluid resuscitation, and may even lead to deterioration of circulation. On October 2, 2023, a 52-year-old female patient with septic shock was admitted to the department of intensive care medicine of Civil Aviation General Hospital, whose circulation deteriorated during fluid resuscitation. The main complaint of the patient was left face numbness for more than 20 days, aggravated with unconsciousness for 5 days. Upon admission, the patient was in a coma and intubated by oral tube. The blood pressure was 128/82 mmHg (1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa; intravenous pump of norepinephrine 0.2 μg×kg^-1×min^-1). Chest CT indicated lung infection, and infection markers were elevated. The main diagnoses were septic shock, pneumonia, acute cerebral infarction of left pontine arm and etc. At 12 hours after admission, according to arterial and central vein blood gas analyses, the oxygen uptake rate was 31% (> 30%), and the veno-arterial blood partial pressure of carbon dioxide (Pv-aCO₂) was 7 mmHg (> 6 mmHg), blood lactic acid (Lac) increased, combined with the width of the inferior vena cava of 1.0-1.6 cm, also indicated a relative insufficiency of effective circulating blood volume, so appropriate fluid resuscitation was given. After fluid resuscitation, the urine volume of the patient increased from 40 mL/h to 100 mL/h, but the blood pressure did not increase significantly, indicating that there was no volume responsiveness, so dobutamine 3 μg×kg^-1×min^-1 was added to enhance myocardial contractility. The heart rate did not increase significantly, and the blood pressure was relatively stable. At 21 hours after admission, the patient's systolic blood pressure (SBP) suddenly dropped from 110-120 mmHg to 60-70 mmHg, while heart rate dropped from 100-110 bpm to 80-90 bpm. Therefore, the dosage of norepinephrine was increased to 2 μg×kg^-1×min^-1, and the dosage of dobutamine was increased to 10 μg×kg^-1×min^-1, but the circulation could not be maintained. In addition, no tension pneumothorax was found in the chest radiography, and blood routine did not indicate the possibility of acute blood loss. Troponin I (TnI) decreased from 3 778.8 ng/L to 2 025.9 ng/L, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) increased from 15 ng/L to 1 638 ng/L. Myocardial enzymology changes were not consistent with acute myocardial infarction, and pulmonary hypertension was not found in cardiac color ultrasound. Therefore, it is considered that the decrease of blood pressure was caused by the decrease of cardiac function, which was combined with septic cardiomyopathy. After increasing the dobutamine pump dose to 20 μg×kg^-1×min^-1, lowering the infusion speed, reducing the cardiac preload, and continuing to use vasoactive drugs to boost blood pressure for about 1 hour, the patient's blood pressure increased, circulation became stable, and the rescue was successful. After 60 days of treatment, the pneumonia of the patient was effectively controlled, vasoactive drugs and dobutamine were successfully stopped, the patient was extubated, and was able to walk short distances with assistance when discharged. When the circulation of septic shock patients cannot be maintained, the three elements of maintaining blood pressure are effective circulating blood volume, cardiac function and peripheral vascular resistance. The three elements interact with each other and are affected by various factors. The difficulty of maintaining circulation in septic shock is to find out which is the main problem correctly. Individualized volume management, correct recognition and treatment of cardiac dysfunction, and rational use of vasoactive drugs are the keys to maintain circulation in septic shock patients.
Humans ; Shock, Septic/therapy* ; Middle Aged ; Female ; Fluid Therapy ; Resuscitation

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the risks and benefits of different resuscitation fluids in patients with early sepsis and septic shock by observing and comparing clinical indicators, clinical outcomes, and the concentration changes of glycocalyx biomarkers, and to determine how to appropriately select suitable resuscitation fluids for sepsis patients to aid fluid therapy. METHODS: A single center, prospective, randomized controlled trial was conducted. Patients with early sepsis and septic shock who have required fluid resuscitation after capacity status assessment admitted to the department of critical care medicine of Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from April to October 2023 were enrolled. Patients were randomly assigned to either the experimental group (balanced crystalloid solution+albumin) or the control group (balanced crystalloid solution) by a random number table method. Clinical data of both groups of patients before and after resuscitation at 3, 8, and 24 hours were monitored, and blood samples were collected, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to measure the concentration of plasma glycocalyx biomarker syndecan-1. The 28-day and 90-day survival rates and complications were also assessed. RESULTS: A total of 66 patients were enrolled, including 44 in the experimental group and 22 in the control group. The baseline data of two groups were balanced and comparable. There was no statistically significant difference in the plasma concentration of syndecan-1 between the experimental group and the control group before and after resuscitation, and both showed a trend of first increasing and then decreasing. However, the plasma syndecan-1 level in the control group at 8 hours and 24 hours after resuscitation were significantly higher than the baseline level before resuscitation [ng/L: 19.02 (14.41, 27.80), 18.95 (12.40, 22.50) vs. 14.67 (11.57, 21.14), both P < 0.05], while there was no statistically significant difference at any time point within the experimental group. The correlation analysis between plasma syndecan-1 level and lactic acid, albumin, and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) in all patients showed that a positive correlation between syndecan-1 level and SOFA score before resuscitation (r = 0.247, P = 0.046), and a negative correlation between syndecan-1 level and albumin level at 24 hours after resuscitation (r = -0.308, P = 0.012). There were no statistically significant differences in 28-day and 90-day mortality, length of hospital stay, length of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, duration of mechanical ventilation, blood purification time, number of organ injuries, and complications between the two groups. However, the baseline albumin level in the experimental group was significantly lower than that in the control group (g/L: 28.7±4.5 vs. 31.6±4.2, P < 0.05). Analysis of clinical treatment data showed that compared with the control group, the experimental group had lower absolute lactate level at 8 hours and 24 hours after resuscitation [mmol/L: 8 hours was 1.30 (1.00, 1.88) vs. 1.60 (1.30, 3.05), 24 hours was 1.15 (0.80, 1.78) vs. 1.55 (1.08, 2.05), both P < 0.05], and higher lactate clearance rate [8 hours was 45% (27%, 56%) vs. 20% (-4%, 46%), 24 hours was 55% (34%, 70%) vs. 34% (-14%, 59%), both P < 0.05]. However, there were no statistically significant differences in the amount of fluid resuscitation, use of vasoactive drugs, and oxygenation index between the two groups during the resuscitation process. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that body mass index (BMI) was independently correlated with 90-day mortality [odds ratio (OR) = 1.991, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.023-3.387, P = 0.043]. CONCLUSIONS There are no significant difference in plasma syndecan-1 level during fluid resuscitation of early sepsis and septic shock patients using balanced crystalloid fluid and balanced crystalloid fluid combined with albumin resuscitation, and there are no statistically significant differences in the impact on 28-day and 90-day prognosis, length of hospital stay, complications, and other aspects of the patients. However, compared to balanced crystalloid fluid, the combination of balanced crystalloid fluid and albumin for fluid resuscitation in sepsis patients has lower lactate level and better lactate clearance effect, but further validation is still needed through large-scale randomized controlled trials.
Humans ; Clinical Relevance ; Crystalloid Solutions/administration & dosage* ; Fluid Therapy/methods* ; Glycocalyx/metabolism* ; Isotonic Solutions/administration & dosage* ; Prospective Studies ; Resuscitation/methods* ; Sepsis/therapy* ; Shock, Septic/therapy* ; Syndecan-1/blood*

OBJECTIVE: To elucidate the predictive value of norepinephrine equivalence (NEE) score on the 28-day death risk in patients with sepsis and provide evidence for its application in the diagnosis and treatment of sepsis and septic shock. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted based on the data of patients with sepsis from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV 2.2 (MIMIC-IV 2.2). The patients who received vasoactive agents within 6 hours after the diagnosis of sepsis or septic shock were enrolled, and they were divided into survival and non-survival groups based on their 28-day outcomes. The baseline characteristics, vital signs, and treatment data were collected. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed to identify factors influencing the 28-day death risk. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn to analyze the predictive value of various parameters on the 28-day death risk of septic patients. Kaplan-Meier survival curve was used to evaluate cumulative survival rate in patients classified by different quantitative parameters based on the cut-off values obtained from ROC curve analysis. RESULTS: A total of 7 744 patients who met the Sepsis-3 diagnostic criteria and received vasopressor treatment within 6 hours post-diagnosis were enrolled, of which 5 997 cases survived and 1 747 died, with the 28-day mortality of 22.6%. Significant differences were observed between the two groups regarding age, gender, height, body weight, race, type of intensive care unit (ICU), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score, underlying comorbidities, and vital signs. Compared with the survival group, the non-survival group had poorer blood routine, liver and kidney function, coagulation function, blood gas analysis and other indicators. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age > 65 years old [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.892, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.801-0.994, P = 0.039] and male (HR = 0.735, 95%CI was 0.669-0.808, P < 0.001) were protective factors for 28-day death in patients with sepsis, and NEE score (HR = 1.040, 95%CI was 1.021-1.060, P < 0.001), shock index (HR = 1.840, 95%CI was 1.675-2.022, P < 0.001), APACHE II score (HR = 1.076, 95%CI was 1.069-1.083, P < 0.001), SOFA score (HR = 1.035, 95%CI was 1.015-1.056, P < 0.001), and CCI score (HR = 1.135, 95%CI was 1.115-1.155, P < 0.001) were independent risk factors for 28-day death in septic patients. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of NEE score for predicting the 28-day death risk of septic patients was 0.743 (95%CI was 0.730-0.756), which was comparable to the predictive value of APACHE II score (AUC = 0.742, 95%CI was 0.729-0.755) and ratio of mean arterial pressure (MAP)/NEE score (MAP/NEE; AUC = 0.738, 95%CI was 0.725-0.751, both P > 0.05), and better than SOFA score (AUC = 0.609, 95%CI was 0.594-0.624), CCI score (AUC = 0.658, 95%CI was 0.644-0.673), shock index (AUC = 0.613, 95%CI was 0.597-0.629) and ratio of diastolic blood pressure (DBP)/NEE score (DBP/NEE; AUC = 0.735, 95%CI was 0.721-0.748, all P < 0.05). According to the cut-off values of APACHE II and NEE scores obtained from ROC curve analysis, the patients were stratified for Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis, and the results showed that the 28-day cumulative survival rate in the septic patients with an APACHE II score ≤ 22.5 was significantly higher than that in those with an APACHE II > 22.5 (Log-Rank test: χ² = 848.600, P < 0.001), and the 28-day cumulative survival rate in the septic patients with an NEE score ≤0.120 was significantly higher than that in those with an NEE score > 0.120 (Log-Rank test: χ² = 832.449, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS NEE score is an independent risk factor for 28-day death in septic patients who received vasoactive treatment within 6 hours of diagnosis and possesses significant predictive value. It can be used for severity stratification in sepsis management.
Humans ; Retrospective Studies ; Sepsis/diagnosis* ; Male ; Female ; Norepinephrine/therapeutic use* ; Middle Aged ; Aged ; Prognosis ; Predictive Value of Tests ; Shock, Septic/mortality* ; Adult ; ROC Curve ; Risk Factors ; Survival Rate ; Aged, 80 and over

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the feasibility and prognostic implications of assessing volume status during early fluid resuscitation in septic patients based on estimated plasma volume status (ePVS). METHODS: A prospective study was conducted. Patients with sepsis admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) of the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University from March to December in 2023 were enrolled. The general information and laboratory indicators at ICU admission were recorded, and ePVS, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, acute physiology and chronic health status evaluation II (APACHE II) score were calculated. The vital signs, arterial blood gas analysis and volume status related indicators before liquid resuscitation (T0h) and 3 hours (T3h) and 6 hours (T6h) of fluid resuscitation were recorded. The diameter and variability of the inferior vena cava (IVC) were measured by ultrasound, and ePVS, percentage change value of estimated plasma volume status (ΔePVS%), difference in central venous-to-arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide (Pcv-aCO₂), and lactate clearance rate (LCR) were calculated. Patients were divided into sepsis group and septic shock group based on the diagnosis at ICU admission, and septic patients were subdivided into survival group and death group based on their 28-day survival status. The differences in clinical data between the groups were compared. The correlation between ePVS or ΔePVS% and volume status related indicators during early liquid resuscitation was analyzed by Spearman rank sum correlation test. The predictive value of each variable for 28-day survival in patients with sepsis was analyzed by receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), and 28-day death risk factors were analyzed by Logistic regression method. RESULTS: Fifty-four septic patients were enrolled in the final analysis, including 17 with sepsis and 37 with septic shock; 34 survived at 28 days and 20 died, with a 28-day survival rate of 63.0%. Compared with the sepsis group, the septic shock group had a lower venous ePVS at ICU admission [dL/g: 4.96 (3.67, 7.15) vs. 7.55 (4.36, 10.07), P < 0.05]. Compared with the death group, the survival group had higher T6h arterial and venous ΔePVS%, and albumin [Alb; T6h arterial ΔePVS% (%): 11.57% (-1.82%, 31.35%) vs. 0.48% (-5.67%, 6.02%), T6h venous ΔePVS%: 9.62% (3.59%, 25.75%) vs. 1.52% (-9.65%, 7.72%), Alb (g/L): 27.57±4.15 vs. 23.77±6.97, all P < 0.05], lower SOFA score, APACHE II score, AST, T0h Lac, and T3h and T6h norepinephrine dosage [SOFA score: 9.00 (8.00, 10.00) vs. 11.50 (9.25, 14.50), APACHE II score: 18.00 (14.75, 21.25) vs. 25.50 (21.00, 30.00), AST (U/L): 34.09 (23.20, 56.64) vs. 79.24 (25.34, 196.59), T0h Lac (mmol/L): 1.75 (1.40, 2.93) vs. 3.25 (2.33, 5.30), norepinephrine dosage (mg): 0.98 (< 0.01, 3.10) vs. 4.60 (1.05, 8.55) at T3h, 1.82 (0.38, 5.30) vs. 8.20 (2.80, 17.73) at T6h, all P < 0.05]. While there were no significantly differences in other basic data and ePVS at all of the time points before and after resuscitation between the two groups. Correlation analysis showed that T6h venous ePVS was significantly positively correlated with T6h IVC variability in septic patients (r = 0.360, P < 0.05), T0h arterial ePVS was significantly negatively correlated with T3h and T6h liquid intake volume (r₁ = -0.367, r₂ = -0.280, both P < 0.05), and venous ePVS at ICU admission was significantly positively correlated with NT-proBNP at ICU admission (r = 0.409, P < 0.05). T6h venous ΔePVS% was significantly positively correlated with T3h liquid intake volume and T6h LCR (r₁ = 0.286, r₂ = 0.286, both P < 0.05), and significantly negatively correlated with T6h urine volume and T6h change value of Pcv-aCO₂ (ΔPcv-aCO₂; r₁ = -0.321, r₂ = -0.371, both P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of T6h venous ΔePVS% for predicting 28-day survival in septic patients was 0.726 [95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.578-0.875, P = 0.006], with a sensitivity of 82.4%, a specificity of 60.0%, and an optimal cut-off value of 3.09%. Binary multifactorial Logistic regression analysis showed that an increase in T6h venous ΔePVS% was a protective factor for 28-day death in patients with sepsis on early fluid resuscitation [odds ratio (OR) = 0.900, 95%CI was 0.834-0.972, P = 0.007]. CONCLUSIONS ePVS may have potential for assessing the volume status of septic patients during early fluid resuscitation. The ΔePVS% during early fluid resuscitation may help to identify septic patients with a poor prognosis.
Humans ; Prognosis ; Fluid Therapy ; Sepsis/physiopathology* ; Prospective Studies ; Plasma Volume ; Intensive Care Units ; Resuscitation ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Shock, Septic/therapy*