1.Establishment of a predictive model for the risk of hypoalbuminemia after partial hepatectomy based on machine learning methods
Dongqing CAI ; Shanhua TANG ; Yuancan XIAO ; Xiru LEI ; Suicheng LI ; Jie ZHOU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(5):1109-1118
ObjectiveTo investigate the application value of a machine learning model based on preoperative clinical indicators in predicting the risk of hypoalbuminemia after partial hepatectomy. MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 700 patients who underwent partial hepatectomy in Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, from January 2018 to January 2023, including demographic data, history of underlying diseases, tumor characteristics, preoperative laboratory markers, and perioperative indicators. The research data were divided into a training set and a test set at a ratio of 7∶3. The two-independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups; the two-independent-samples Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of continuous data with skewed distribution between two groups; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis was used to identify characteristic variables, and 7 machine learning algorithms were used to construct predictive models, i.e., logistic regression, decision tree, artificial neural network, K-nearest neighbors (KNN), support vector machine, eXtreme gradient boosting, and light gradient boosting machine. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve (AUC) were used to assess the discriminatory ability of models, and the DeLong test was used for comparison of AUC. The calibration curve and decision curve analysis were used to assess the calibration and clinical practicability of models, and the models were compared with albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) were used to interpret the key influencing factors for the optimal model. ResultsA total of 700 patients were finally enrolled, 283 (40.42%) developed hypoalbuminemia after surgery. The LASSO regression analysis identified 8 predictive factors of age, hepatitis B, fatty liver, blockade time, preoperative albumin (Alb), time of operation, intraoperative blood loss, and preoperative aspartate aminotransferase (AST). Among the 7 machine learning models, the KNN model showed the best overall predictive performance, with an AUC of 0.835 (95% confidence interval: 0.781 — 0.889), a sensitivity of 84.0%, and a specificity of 65.5% in the test set. ALBI and MELD scores had an AUC of 0.652 and 0.524, respectively, and the KNN model had a better predictive performance than these two scores (Z=5.309 and 8.945, both P <0.001). The calibration curve showed good consistency between predicted probabilities and actual incidence rates, and the decision curve analysis showed that the KNN model had net clinical benefit across a wide threshold range. The SHAP analysis showed that preoperative Alb, hepatitis B, time of operation, and age were the most significant influencing factors, and a synergistic effect was observed between hepatitis B and age/time of operation. ConclusionThe KNN machine learning model constructed based on preoperative clinical indicators can effectively predict the risk of hypoalbuminemia after partial hepatectomy and has a better performance than traditional scoring models, which provides a reference for the early identification of high-risk patients in clinical practice.
2.Total pancreatectomy in treatment of pancreatic diseases: a single center experience
Gang LI ; Zhenghua CAI ; Chenglin LU ; Yinyin FAN ; Yudong QIU ; Shanhua BAO
Chinese Journal of Hepatobiliary Surgery 2021;27(6):407-410
Objective:To review our clinical experience on total pancreatectomy in treatment of pancreatic diseases.Methods:The clinical data of 25 patients with pancreatic diseases who underwent total pancreatectomy at Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital from February 2016 to October 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. The data on general information, surgical methods, postoperative complications, changes in postoperative pancreatic endocrine and exocrine functions and quality of life were analyzed.Results:There were 16 males and 9 females, aged (60.9±9.4) years. Planned selective surgery was carried out in 16 patients while unplanned operations in 9 patients. There were 15 patients with pancreatic neoplasms with 4 patients who received neoadjuvant or conversion therapy, 6 patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms, 3 patients with chronic pancreatitis and 1 patient with pancreatic neuroendocrine carcinoma. The total postoperative complication rate was 36% (9/25). One patient died in the perioperative period, and one patient underwent a second operation. After 6 months of operation, 2 of 24 patients had died. The remaining patients had a fasting blood sugar of (8.9±1.6) mmol/L, with an insulin dosage of (30.7±10.6) U/d. The average dosage of trypsin was (1.1±0.3) g/d. The quality of life score reached or exceeded the preoperative levels.Conclusions:Total pancreatectomy was safe and feasible for some pancreatic diseases. For patients with pancreatic cancer, its long-term oncological outcomes need further studies.
3.Analysis of influencing factors for pancreatic endocrine and exocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy
Zhenghua CAI ; Gang LI ; Shanhua BAO ; Xiaojie BIAN ; Yinyin FAN ; Xiaoyuan CHEN ; Yudong QIU
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2020;19(4):414-420
Objective:To investigate the influencing factors for pancreatic endocrine and exocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy.Methods:The retrospective case-control study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 168 patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy in the Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital, the Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School from January 2016 to December 2017 were collected. There were 96 males and 72 females, aged (64±13)years, with a range from 38 to 75 years. Of the 168 patients, 36 had pancreatic endocrine insufficiency while 8 had pancreatic exocrine insufficiency preoperatively. All patients underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy. Observation indications: (1) surgical situations and follow-up; (2) analysis of influencing factors for pancreatic endocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy; (3) analysis of influencing factors for pancreatic exocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Follow-up using out-patient examination and telephone interview was performed to detect postoperative condition of blood glucose control, diet and nutrition, tumor recurrence and metastasis up to June 2018. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD, and comparison between groups was analyzed using the independent sample t test. Measurement data with skewed distribution were described as M (range), and comparison between groups was analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test. Count data were expressed as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparison between groups was analyzed using the chi-square test. Univariate analysis was conducted using the chi-square test. Multivariate analysis was conducted using the Logistic regression model. Results:(1) Surgical situations and follow-up: all the 168 patients underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy successfully and recovered well after operation. All patients were followed up for 6 months. The level of fasting and postprandial blood glucose of the 168 patients after surgery were 7 mmol/L(range, 5-9 mmol/L) and 10 mmol/L(range, 7-14 mmol/L), respectively. The defecation frequency was (2.4±1.2)times per day. No tumor recurrence or metastasis occurred in either patient. One hundred and thirty-two of the 168 patients were included in the study excepting patients with pancreatic endocrine insufficiency before operation. At postoperative 6 months, 47 patients developed pancreatic endocrine insufficiency, with an incidence of 35.61%(47/132). One hundred and sixty of the 168 patients were included in the study excepting patients with pancreatic exocrine insufficiency before operation. At postoperative 6 months, 68 patients had pancreatic exocrine insufficiency, with an incidence rate of 42.50%(68/160). (2) Analysis of influencing factors for pancreatic endocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Results of univariate analysis showed that gender, metabolic syndrome, chronic pancreatitis, excision point, and postoperative chemotherapy were the related factors for pancreatic endocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy ( χ2=5.300, 6.270, 4.473, 4.392, 5.397, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis revealed that male and metabolic syndrome were independent risk factors for pancreatic endocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy [ hazard ratio ( HR)=5.252, 5.364, 95% confidence interval ( CI): 1.362-6.382, 1.891-12.592, P<0.05)]. (3) Analysis of risk factors for pancreatic exocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy. Results of univariate analysis showed that body mass index (BMI), chronic pancreatitis, total bilirubin, excision point, postoperative pancreatic fistula as grade B or C, and pancreatic fibrosis were related factors for pancreatic exocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy ( χ2=1.691, 4.910, 7.763, 5.605, 4.663, 7.700, P<0.05). Results of multivariate analysis showed that BMI<18.5 kg/m 2, chronic pancreatitis, total bilirubin ≥171 μmol/L were independent risk factors for pancreatic exocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy ( HR=3.695, 5.231, 7.623, 95% CI: 1.232-7.324, 2.161-6.893, 1.562-5.235, P<0.05). Conclusions:Male and metabolic syndrome are risk factors for pancreatic endocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy. BMI<18.5 kg/m 2, chronic pancreatitis, and total bilirubin ≥171 μmol/L are risk factors for pancreatic exocrine insufficiency after pancreaticoduodenectomy.
4. Application of pegylated recombinant human granulocyte colony-stimulating factor to prevent chemotherapy-induced neutropenia in patients with lymphoma: a prospective, multicenter, open-label clinical trial
Huiqiang HUANG ; Bing BAI ; Yuhuan GAO ; Dehui ZOU ; Shanhua ZOU ; Huo TAN ; Yongping SONG ; Zhenyu LI ; Jie JIN ; Wei LI ; Hang SU ; Yuping GONG ; Meizuo ZHONG ; Yuerong SHUANG ; Jun ZHU ; Jinqiao ZHANG ; Zhen CAI ; Qingliang TENG ; Wanjun SUN ; Yu YANG ; Zhongjun XIA ; Hailin CHEN ; Luoming HUA ; Yangyi BAO ; Ning WU
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2017;38(10):825-830
Objective:
To evaluate the efficacy and safety of pegylated recombinant human granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (PEG-rhG-CSF) in prophylaxis neutropenia after chemotherapy in patients with lymphoma.
Methods:
This was a multicenter, single arm, open, phase Ⅳ clinical trial. Included 410 patients with lymphoma received multiple cycles of chemotherapy and PEG-rhG-CSF was administrated as prophylactic. The primary endpoint was the incidence of Ⅲ/Ⅳ grade neutropenia and febrile neutropenia (FN) after each chemotherapy cycle. Meanwhile the rate of antibiotics application during the whole period of chemotherapy was observed.
Results:
①Among the 410 patients, 8 cases (1.95%) were contrary to the selected criteria, 35 cases (8.54%) lost, 19 cases (4.63%) experienced adverse events, 12 cases (2.93%) were eligible for the termination criteria, 15 cases (3.66%) develpoed disease progression or recurrence, thus the rest 321 cases (78.29%) were into the Per Protocol Set. ②During the first to fourth treatment cycles, the incidences of grade Ⅳ neutropenia after prophylactic use of PEG-rhG-CSF were 19.14% (49/256) , 12.5% (32/256) , 12.18% (24/197) , 13.61% (20/147) , respectively. The incidences of FN were 3.52% (9/256) , 0.39% (1/256) , 2.54% (5/197) , 2.04% (3/147) , respectively. After secondary prophylactic use of PEG-rhG-CSF, the incidences of Ⅳ grade neutropenia decreased from 61.54% (40/65) in the screening cycle to 16.92% (11/65) , 18.46% (12/65) and 20.75% (11/53) in 1-3 cycles, respectively. The incidences of FN decreased from 16.92% (11/65) in the screening cycle to 1.54% (1/65) , 4.62% (3/65) , 3.77% (2/53) in 1-3 cycles, respectively. ③The proportion of patients who received antibiotic therapy during the whole period of chemotherapy was 34.39% (141/410) . ④The incidence of adverse events associated with PEG-rhG-CSF was 4.63% (19/410) . The most common adverse events were bone pain[3.90% (16/410) ], fatigue (0.49%) and fever (0.24%) .
Conclusion
During the chemotherapy in patients with lymphoma, the prophylactic use of PEG-rhG-CSF could effectively reduce the incidences of grade Ⅲ/Ⅳ neutropenia and FN, which ensures that patients with lymphoma receive standard-dose chemotherapy to improve its cure rate.
5.Study on the effects of tiotropium inhalation capsules on treating adult asthma
Wenling LUO ; Ruiqin WANG ; Feng YAN ; Shanhua CAI ; Rong CUI
Clinical Medicine of China 2012;28(9):945-949
ObjectiveTo observe the efficacy and safety of inhaled tiotropium capsule on adult bronchial asthma.MethodsThirty-four adult asthma patients were randomized into two groups.We evaluated the addition of tiotropium bromide to an inhaled glucocorticoid in the treatment group( n =17 ),as compared with the addition of the LABA Formoterol in the control group ( n =17 ).Serial measurements of lung function,symptom control and quality of life were performed.ResultsAfter 8 weeks of treatment,peak expiratory flow (PEF) in the addition of tiotropium bromide group[ ( 359 ± 12 ) L/min vs.( 275 ± 5 ) L/min,P < 0.05 ] and the addition of the LABA Formoterol group [ ( 346 ± 11 ) L/min vs.( 275 ± 9 ) L/min,P < 0.05 ] were significantly higher than those before treatment.The forced expiratory volumes in one second ( FEV1 )were also significantly elevated in both groups [ Tiotropium bromide group:( 2.80 ± 0.28 ) L vs.( 2.30 ± 0.28 ) L,P < 0.05 ; LABA Formoterol group:( 2.69 ± 0.34 ) L vs.( 2.25 ± 0.34 ),P < 0.05 ] compared with pre-treatment.Average dose of emergent drug ( ventolin ) usage were decreased in both groups after treatment [ Tiotropium bromide group:(0.96 ± 0.34 ) puff/d vs.(4.11 ± 1.03 ) puff/d,t =3.05,P < 0.05 ; LABA Formoterol group:( 0.88 ± 0.44 )puff/day vs.( 4.43 ± 0.87 ) puff/day,t =3.23,P < 0.05 ].Meanwhile,significantly improved quality of life scores and alleviation of asthma symptom were found in both groups as compared with baseline ( P < 0.05).However,no significant differences in the above variables after treatment were found between two groups( P >0.05 ).ConclusionWhen added to an inhaled glucocorticoid,tiotropium improved symptoms and lung function in patients with inadequately controlled asthma.Its effects appeared to be equivalent to the addition of Formoterol.

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