1.Predictive value of changes in prealbumin for the prognosis of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure after artificial liver treatment
Chengzhi BAI ; Bo DENG ; Huaqian XU ; Xue ZHANG ; Qunru WANG ; Xue WANG ; Beijin CHEN ; Si LIU ; Su YANG ; Shanhong TANG
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2025;45(7):462-468
Objective:To explore the predictive value of changes in prealbumin for the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) after artificial liver treatment.Methods:From January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2021, the clinical data (including prealbumin, platelet count, lymphocyte count, alanine transaminase (ALT), etc.) of 87 patients with HBV-ACLF who received artificial liver treatment at the Department of Gastroenterology of the General Hospital of Western Theater Command PLA were retrospectively collected. The 90-day survival status of all the patients was followed up, and the patients were divided into the survival group and the mortality group according to the survival status. The clinical characteristics and the changes of prealbumin on day 1 to 3, day 3 to 7, and day 1 to 7 after artificial liver treatment were compared between the 2 groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent influencing factors of the 90-day prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients after artificial liver treatment, and the nomogram prediction model was established and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was drawn to assess the area under the curve (AUC). Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, calibration curve and clinical decision curve were performed to evaluate the goodness of fit, consistency and clinical value of the prediction model. Paired t-test and Mann-Whitney U test were used for statistical analysis. Results:There were 69 cases enrolled into the survival group, and 18 cases enrolled into the mortality group. The levels of albumin, prealbumin, platelet count, lymphocyte count, and ALT before treatment, and the level of prealbumin at the 3rd day after treatment of the survival group were all higher than those of the mortality group (32.5 (30.6, 35.2) g/L vs. 29.4 (27.6, 32.3) g/L, 66.0 (52.5, 81.5) mg/L vs. 56.5 (39.2, 65.0) mg/L, 103.0 (72.5, 145.0)×10 9/L vs. 63.5 (40.0, 92.5)×10 9/L, 1.1 (0.8, 1.4)×10 9/L vs. 0.9 (0.5, 1.1)×10 9/L, (514.7±86.4) U/L vs. (328.2±93.4) U/L, 90.0 (69.5, 102.5) mg/L vs.68.5(60.0, 75.8) mg/L), and the age, the level of total bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and prothrombin time before treatment of the survival group were all lower than those of the mortality group (48.0 (42.0, 57.0) years old vs. 48.5 (47.0, 56.0) years old, 323.9 (261.2, 409.2) μmol/L vs. 452.2 (405.8, 510.8) μmol/L, 1.5 (1.3, 1.9) vs. 1.9 (1.4, 2.1), 17.3 (14.6, 20.8) s vs. 21.4 (16.6, 23.2) s), and the differences were statistically significant ( Z=-3.38, -2.87, -2.38 and -2.01, t=2.39, Z=-4.11, 3.00, 3.64, 2.18 and 2.37; all P<0.05). The change of prealbumin on day 1 to 3 after treatment in the mortality group was greater than that in the survival group (-0.182 (-0.321, -0.026) vs. -0.043 (-0.133, 0.093)), and the difference was statistically significant ( Z=-3.42, P=0.001). The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the age, total bilirubin before treatment, and the change of prealbumin on day 1 to 3 after treatment were independent influencing factors for the 90-day prognosis in HBV-ACLF patients after artificial liver treatment (all P<0.05), and the nomogram model was established based on the above 3 factors. The results of ROC analysis showed that the AUC of the prediction model was 0.933 (95% confidence interval: 0.866 to 1.000, P<0.001), with a sensitivity of 0.933 and a specificity of 0.825. The results of the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed that the prediction model had a good fit( P=0.700). The results of calibration curve analysis indicated that the actual curve of the prediction model was close to the calibration curve, with an average absolute error of 0.034, the consistency between the predicted probability and the actual probability was good. The clinical decision curve analysis suggested that the prediction model had significant clinical benefits. Conclusions:The changes of prealbumin after artificial liver treatment in HBV-ACLF patients can reflect the recovery of liver function. The nomogram prediction model based on the change of prealbumin on day 1 to 3 after treatment, age, and total bilirubin before treatment can better predict the 90-day prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients after artificial liver treatment.
2.Value of alpha-fetoprotein combined with prealbumin in evaluating the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure
Meijuan CHEN ; Chunyan LI ; Huaqian XU ; Shanhong TANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;42(5):855-861
Objective To investigate the association of alpha-fetoprotein(AFP)and prealbumin(PAB)with the 90-day prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure(HBV-ACLF),as well as the difference in 90-day prognosis between the patients with different levels of AFP and PAB.Methods A total of 371 HBV-ACLF patients who were hospitalized in The General Hospital of Western Theater Command from January 2018 to January 2023 were enrolled,and according to the follow-up results on day 90 after discharge,they were divided into survival group with 216 patients and death group with 155 patients.The medical record system was used to collect general data,AFP,PAB,and other related laboratory markers.The t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups;a one-way analysis of variance was used for comparison between multiple groups,and the least significant difference t-test was used for comparison between two groups.The Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups,and the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison between multiple groups and further comparison between two groups.The chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups.The multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify the influencing factors for the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve was plotted for AFP and PAB to determine their cut-off values.The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves,and the Log-rank test was used for comparison.Results Compared with the death group,the survival group had significantly higher levels of hemoglobin(Hb),PAB,AFP,and platelet count(PLT)(all P<0.05)and significantly lower age,total bilirubin(TBil),white blood cell count(WBC),cystatin,creatinine,urea,international normalized ratio(INR),Model for End-Stage Liver Disease(MELD)score,proportion of patients with Child-Pugh class C,and incidence rates of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy(all P<0.05).The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that PAB(odds ratio[OR]=0.985,95%confidence interval[CI]:0.972-0.998,P=0.024),AFP(OR=0.998,95%CI:0.996-1.000,P=0.028),PLT(OR=0.989,95%CI:0.982-0.996,P=0.003),age(OR=1.046,95%CI:1.018-1.075,P=0.001),TBil(OR=1.004,95%CI:1.002-1.006,P<0.001),and WBC(OR=1.237,95%CI:1.110-1.379,P<0.001)were independent influencing factors for 90-day prognosis in HBV-ACLF patients.According to the cut-off values of AFP and PAB on ROC curves,the patients were divided into group A with 102 patients(AFP≥73.19 ng/mL and PAB≥22.55 mg/L),group B with 170 patients(AFP≥73.19 ng/mL and PAB<22.55 mg/L;AFP<73.19 ng/mL and PAB≥22.55 mg/L),and group C with 99 patients(AFP<73.19 ng/mL and PAB<22.55 mg/L).There were significant differences between these three groups in age,Hb,INR,MELD score,and Child-Pugh class(all P<0.05).The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that group A had a significantly higher 90-day cumulative survival rate than groups B and C(χ2=19.825,P<0.001).Conclusion AFP combined with PAB can better predict the 90-day prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients,and patients with high levels of AFP and PAB tend to have a lower mortality rate on day 90.
3.Value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte and platelet ratio in predicting recompensation in patients with hepatitis B cirrhotic ascites and establishment of a nomogram model
Meiling XIAN ; Jie CHEN ; Huaqian XU ; Shanhong TANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(11):2329-2335
ObjectiveTo investigate the association between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte and platelet ratio (NLPR) and recompensation in patients with hepatitis B cirrhotic ascites, and to establish an individualized risk prediction model. MethodsThe patients with hepatitis B cirrhotic ascites who were hospitalized in Department of Gastroenterology, The General Hospital of Western Theater Command of Chinese PLA, from January 2015 to December 2022 were enrolled. General information and laboratory markers were collected, and NLPR was calculated. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test or the chi-square test with correction was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The subjects were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7∶3. In the training set, univariate and multivariate binary Logistic regression analyses were used to investigate the independent influencing factors for recompensation in patients with hepatitis B cirrhotic ascites, and a nomogram was established; the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the value of the new model in predicting recompensation in patients with hepatitis B cirrhotic ascites, and the Delong test was used for comparison of the area under the ROC curve (AUC). The calibration curve and the decision curve were plotted for the model, and the model was assessed in terms of degree of fitting and predictive benefits. ResultsA total of 360 patients were enrolled, among whom134 achieved recompensation. There were 252 patients in the training set and 108 patients in the validation set, and there were no significant differences in baseline characteristics between the two groups (all P>0.05). The Logistic regression analysis showed that the onset of hepatic encephalopathy (odds ratio [OR]=0.066, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.008 — 0.545, P=0.012), NLPR (OR=0.950, 95%CI: 0.912 — 0.989, P=0.012), alpha-fetoprotein (OR=1.012, 95%CI: 1.005 — 1.020, P<0.001), and albumin (OR=1.096, 95%CI: 1.031 — 1.166, P=0.003) were independent influencing factors for recompensation in patients with hepatitis B cirrhotic ascites. The above four factors were included in a nomogram predictive model, which had an AUC of 0.776, a sensitivity of 66.5%, and a specificity of 76.3% in the training set and an AUC of 0.746, a sensitivity of 63.4%, and a specificity of 75.7% in the validation set, while Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score, Child-Pugh score, and albumin-bilirubin score had an AUC of 0.574, 0.628, and 0.621, respectively. The nomogram model had a better performance than the other three scores in predicting recompensation in patients with hepatitis B cirrhotic ascites (Z=4.191, 3.369, and 3.527, P<0.001, P=0.001, and P<0.001). The calibration curve and the decision curve showed that the model had a good degree of fitting, and the decision made using this model could bring net benefits. ConclusionNLPR has a good value in predicting recompensation in patients with hepatitis B cirrhotic ascites, and the nomogram model established can help to predict recompensation in such patients in clinical practice.
4.Value of alpha-fetoprotein combined with prealbumin in evaluating the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure
Meijuan CHEN ; Chunyan LI ; Huaqian XU ; Shanhong TANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(5):855-861
ObjectiveTo investigate the association of alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and prealbumin (PAB) with the 90-day prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF), as well as the difference in 90-day prognosis between the patients with different levels of AFP and PAB. MethodsA total of 371 HBV-ACLF patients who were hospitalized in The General Hospital of Western Theater Command from January 2018 to January 2023 were enrolled, and according to the follow-up results on day 90 after discharge, they were divided into survival group with 216 patients and death group with 155 patients. The medical record system was used to collect general data, AFP, PAB, and other related laboratory markers. The t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups; a one-way analysis of variance was used for comparison between multiple groups, and the least significant difference t-test was used for comparison between two groups. The Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the Kruskal-Wallis H test was used for comparison between multiple groups and further comparison between two groups. The chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. The multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify the influencing factors for the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted for AFP and PAB to determine their cut-off values. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves, and the Log-rank test was used for comparison. ResultsCompared with the death group, the survival group had significantly higher levels of hemoglobin (Hb), PAB, AFP, and platelet count (PLT) (all P<0.05) and significantly lower age, total bilirubin (TBil), white blood cell count (WBC), cystatin, creatinine, urea, international normalized ratio (INR), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, proportion of patients with Child-Pugh class C, and incidence rates of ascites and hepatic encephalopathy (all P<0.05). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that PAB (odds ratio [OR]=0.985, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.972 — 0.998, P=0.024), AFP (OR=0.998, 95%CI: 0.996 — 1.000, P=0.028), PLT (OR=0.989, 95%CI: 0.982 — 0.996, P=0.003), age (OR=1.046, 95%CI: 1.018 — 1.075, P=0.001), TBil (OR=1.004, 95%CI: 1.002 — 1.006, P<0.001), and WBC (OR=1.237, 95%CI: 1.110 — 1.379, P<0.001) were independent influencing factors for 90-day prognosis in HBV-ACLF patients. According to the cut-off values of AFP and PAB on ROC curves, the patients were divided into group A with 102 patients (AFP≥73.19 ng/mL and PAB≥22.55 mg/L), group B with 170 patients (AFP≥73.19 ng/mL and PAB<22.55 mg/L; AFP<73.19 ng/mL and PAB≥22.55 mg/L), and group C with 99 patients (AFP<73.19 ng/mL and PAB<22.55 mg/L). There were significant differences between these three groups in age, Hb, INR, MELD score, and Child-Pugh class (all P<0.05). The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that group A had a significantly higher 90-day cumulative survival rate than groups B and C (χ2=19.825, P<0.001). ConclusionAFP combined with PAB can better predict the 90-day prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients, and patients with high levels of AFP and PAB tend to have a lower mortality rate on day 90.
5.Predictive value of changes in prealbumin for the prognosis of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure after artificial liver treatment
Chengzhi BAI ; Bo DENG ; Huaqian XU ; Xue ZHANG ; Qunru WANG ; Xue WANG ; Beijin CHEN ; Si LIU ; Su YANG ; Shanhong TANG
Chinese Journal of Digestion 2025;45(7):462-468
Objective:To explore the predictive value of changes in prealbumin for the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) after artificial liver treatment.Methods:From January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2021, the clinical data (including prealbumin, platelet count, lymphocyte count, alanine transaminase (ALT), etc.) of 87 patients with HBV-ACLF who received artificial liver treatment at the Department of Gastroenterology of the General Hospital of Western Theater Command PLA were retrospectively collected. The 90-day survival status of all the patients was followed up, and the patients were divided into the survival group and the mortality group according to the survival status. The clinical characteristics and the changes of prealbumin on day 1 to 3, day 3 to 7, and day 1 to 7 after artificial liver treatment were compared between the 2 groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the independent influencing factors of the 90-day prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients after artificial liver treatment, and the nomogram prediction model was established and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was drawn to assess the area under the curve (AUC). Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, calibration curve and clinical decision curve were performed to evaluate the goodness of fit, consistency and clinical value of the prediction model. Paired t-test and Mann-Whitney U test were used for statistical analysis. Results:There were 69 cases enrolled into the survival group, and 18 cases enrolled into the mortality group. The levels of albumin, prealbumin, platelet count, lymphocyte count, and ALT before treatment, and the level of prealbumin at the 3rd day after treatment of the survival group were all higher than those of the mortality group (32.5 (30.6, 35.2) g/L vs. 29.4 (27.6, 32.3) g/L, 66.0 (52.5, 81.5) mg/L vs. 56.5 (39.2, 65.0) mg/L, 103.0 (72.5, 145.0)×10 9/L vs. 63.5 (40.0, 92.5)×10 9/L, 1.1 (0.8, 1.4)×10 9/L vs. 0.9 (0.5, 1.1)×10 9/L, (514.7±86.4) U/L vs. (328.2±93.4) U/L, 90.0 (69.5, 102.5) mg/L vs.68.5(60.0, 75.8) mg/L), and the age, the level of total bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and prothrombin time before treatment of the survival group were all lower than those of the mortality group (48.0 (42.0, 57.0) years old vs. 48.5 (47.0, 56.0) years old, 323.9 (261.2, 409.2) μmol/L vs. 452.2 (405.8, 510.8) μmol/L, 1.5 (1.3, 1.9) vs. 1.9 (1.4, 2.1), 17.3 (14.6, 20.8) s vs. 21.4 (16.6, 23.2) s), and the differences were statistically significant ( Z=-3.38, -2.87, -2.38 and -2.01, t=2.39, Z=-4.11, 3.00, 3.64, 2.18 and 2.37; all P<0.05). The change of prealbumin on day 1 to 3 after treatment in the mortality group was greater than that in the survival group (-0.182 (-0.321, -0.026) vs. -0.043 (-0.133, 0.093)), and the difference was statistically significant ( Z=-3.42, P=0.001). The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that the age, total bilirubin before treatment, and the change of prealbumin on day 1 to 3 after treatment were independent influencing factors for the 90-day prognosis in HBV-ACLF patients after artificial liver treatment (all P<0.05), and the nomogram model was established based on the above 3 factors. The results of ROC analysis showed that the AUC of the prediction model was 0.933 (95% confidence interval: 0.866 to 1.000, P<0.001), with a sensitivity of 0.933 and a specificity of 0.825. The results of the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed that the prediction model had a good fit( P=0.700). The results of calibration curve analysis indicated that the actual curve of the prediction model was close to the calibration curve, with an average absolute error of 0.034, the consistency between the predicted probability and the actual probability was good. The clinical decision curve analysis suggested that the prediction model had significant clinical benefits. Conclusions:The changes of prealbumin after artificial liver treatment in HBV-ACLF patients can reflect the recovery of liver function. The nomogram prediction model based on the change of prealbumin on day 1 to 3 after treatment, age, and total bilirubin before treatment can better predict the 90-day prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients after artificial liver treatment.
6.Value of Δtotal bilirubin-alpha-fetoprotein scoring model in predicting the short-term prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure
Yuqi CHEN ; Chunyan LI ; Shanhong TANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2024;40(12):2399-2405
ObjectiveTo investigate the association of the dynamic changes of serum total bilirubin (ΔTBil) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) with the short-term prognosis of patients with hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF), to establish a new scoring model, and to investigate the value of this model in evaluating the short-term prognosis of HBV-ACLF through comparison with Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score and other scoring systems. MethodsThe patients with HBV-ACLF who were hospitalized and treated in Department of Gastroenterology, The General Hospital of Western Theater Command, from January 2015 to December 2022 were enrolled as the retrospective study cohort. Clinical data within 24 hours after admission were collected from all patients, and the patients were divided into survival group and death group according to the survival after 90 days of follow-up. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups; the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of continuous data with skewed distribution between groups; the chi-square test or the corrected chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A multivariate Logistic regression analysis was used to determine the risk factors for the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients and establish a predictive model for prognosis, and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to investigate the value of the new model in predicting the short-term prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients. ResultsA total of 361 patients were included in the analysis, with a 90-day survival rate of 67.3% (243/361). Compared with the survival group (n=243), the death group (n=118) had significantly higher age, incidence rates of upper gastrointestinal bleeding and hepatic encephalopathy, international normalized ratio, prothrombin time (PT), leukocytes, monocytes, neutrophils, creatinine, ΔTBil, MELD score, and ALBI score (all P<0.05), as well as significantly lower levels of total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein, low-density lipoprotein, albumin, AFP, platelet count, lymphocytes, and Na+ (all P<0.05). The multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that AFP, PT, Na+, and ΔTBil were independent influencing factors for the 90-day prognosis of patients with HBV-ACLF (all P<0.05). The new ΔTBil-AFP scoring model was established as 11.987+1.168×ΔTBil (%)-0.095×Na+ (mmol/L)+0.25×PT (s)-0.002×AFP (ng/mL), which had a relatively high predictive value, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.796, a sensitivity of 0.766, and a specificity of 0.723, and the decision curve showed good benefits. ConclusionCompared with the commonly used prediction models such as MELD score and ALBI score, the ΔTBil-AFP scoring model has a better prediction performance.
7.Value of platelet count and related scoring models in predicting the prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure
Ying TU ; Xue LI ; Meijuan CHEN ; Huaqian XU ; Shanhong TANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2023;39(6):1308-1312
Objective To investigate the association between platelet count (PLT) and the prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF), to establish a new PLT-related scoring model, and to assess its value in predicting the short-term prognosis of HBV-ACLF. Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted among the patients with HBV-ACLF who were hospitalized and treated in Department of Gastroenterology, The General Hospital of Western Theater Command, from January 2018 to January 2022. Clinical data within 24 hours after admission were collected from all patients, and according to the survival after 180 days of follow-up, the patients were divided into survival group and death group. The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups, and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups; the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. The Pearson correlation coefficient was used to investigate the correlation between different indicators, and the logistic regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors for prognosis. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess the predictive value of the prognostic model, and the Kaplan-Meier curve analysis was used to investigate the survival condition of the high AIP group and the low AIP group. Results A total of 236 patients were enrolled, with a 180-day survival rate of 75.85% (179/236). Compared with the survival group, the death group had significantly higher age (53.98±10.45 vs 47.44±12.46, P =0.001), international normalized ratio (INR) [1.78 (1.46-2.04) vs 1.47 (1.23-1.68), P < 0.001], total bilirubin [275.60 (165.00-451.45) vs 230.60 (154.90-323.70), P =0.035], Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score [21.47 (18.14-24.76) vs 18.67 (15.70-21.62), P < 0.001], and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score [-1.06 (-1.64~-0.86) vs-1.32 (-1.73~-1.01), P =0.034], as well as significantly lower PLT [80.00 (50.00~124.50) vs 115.00 (82.00~143.00), P =0.001] and platelet-to-white blood cell ratio (PWR) [13.40 (9.54~20.70) vs 18.49 (13.95~24.74), P =0.001]. The Pearson correlation analysis showed that PLT was negatively correlated with liver cirrhosis and INR ( r =-0.332 and -0.194, P < 0.001 and P =0.003). The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age (odds ratio [ OR ]=1.045, 95% confidence interval [ CI ]: 1.015-1.076), PLT ( OR =0.990, 95% CI : 0.983-0.998), and INR ( OR =2.591, 95% CI : 1.363-4.925) were independent risk factors for the 180-day prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients. The new predictive model was established as follows: AIP=0.006×age+0.187×INR-0.001×PLT. The AIP scoring model had an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.718 in predicting the 180-day prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients, with a sensitivity of 81.1% and a specificity of 54.1%, while PLT, PWR, LPACLF score, MELD score, and ALBI score had an AUC of 0.673, 0.659, 0.588, 0.647, and 0.578, respectively. The AIP scoring model had an optimal cut-off value of 0.48. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that the high AIP group had a significantly lower survival rate than the low AIP group ( P < 0.001). Conclusion The PLT-related scoring model has a better value than other models in predicting the prognosis of HBV-ACLF, and HBV-ACLF patients with a relatively high PLT level tend to have a high overall survival rate.
8.The current status of learned helplessness among family caregivers of advanced digestive tract tumor patients and its influence factors
Wenqian SUN ; Yan LIN ; Liuqi CHEN ; Shanhong YAN ; Xiuming HUANG ; Lingyao BAO ; Chongling YOU ; Chengying ZHENG
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2022;38(8):624-629
Objective:To investigate the current status of family caregivers learned helplessness in patients with advanced digestive tract tumor and analyze its influencing factors, so as to provide reference for the physical and mental management of cancer families.Methods:Totally 181 family caregivers of advanced digestive tract tumor patients from July 2018 to November 2019 in 4 gradeⅢclass A hospitals in Fuzhou were selected by convenient sampling method for investigation with the general information questionnaire and Learned Helplessness Scale. Multiple linear regression analysis was used to analyze the influencing factors of learned helplessness of family caregivers of patients with advanced digestive tract tumor.Results:The total score and the average items score of learned helplessness was (38.61 ± 15.40), (2.15 ± 0.88) points, which was at a lower level. Multiple linear regression analysis showed that the gender of caregiver, physical condition of caregivers, average monthly household income were significant influencing factors of family caregivers learned helplessness in patients with advanced digestive tract tumor ( P<0.05). Conclusions:The learned helplessness of family caregivers of patients with advanced digestive tract tumor is at a mild level. Nurses should focus on the physical and mental conditions of low-income groups and female caregivers with advanced digestive tract tumor, and regularly assess their nursing needs and health status to improve their quality of life.
9.Analysis of prognosis-related factors in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure
Mengying SUN ; Beijin CHEN ; Hao LI ; Xiaoping WANG ; Sen QIN ; Shanhong TANG
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2021;29(10):983-986
Objective:To investigate the prognosis-related factors and its predictive value in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF).Methods:Sixty-three cases with HBV-ACLF were enrolled. According to the prognosis of 4-weeks, patients were divided into survival and death group. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed on the clinical data of the two groups of patients to screen the risk factors affecting prognosis, evaluate its predictive value, and compare them with the MELD score, CTP score, and CLIFACLF score. The data were analyzed using t-test, Mann-Whitney U test, χ2 test. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used for multiple risk factors. Results:There were 63 cases with HBV-ACLF, with 16 cases (25.40%) in the 4-week survival group, and 47 cases (74.60%) in the death group. The survival group age was 38.38 ± 14.50 years, which was significantly lower than the age of the death group 52.28 ± 12.51 years ( P < 0.001). The survival group alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level was 91.21 (8.38 ~ 154.10)μg/L, which was significantly higher than the level of the death group [12.60 (5.70 ~ 33.80) μg/L, P = 0.039]. The survival group alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level was 925.65 (523.43 ~ 1 364.80) U/L, which was much higher than that of the death group [371.60 (117.30 ~ 895.30) U/L, P = 0.040]. The survival group serum sodium level was (136.59 ± 4.03) mmol /L, which was significantly higher than the level of the death group [(132.22 ± 6.37) mmol/L, P = 0.013]. The survival group ascites severity level was much lower than that of the death group ( P = 0.008). The survival group creatinine level was 56.50(49.43 ~ 86.25) μmol/L, which was much lower than the level of the death group [86.20 (68.00 ~ 143.00) μmol/L, P = 0.003]. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that ascites ( OR = 0.470, 95% CI: 0.226 ~ 0.977) and age ( OR = 0.941, 95% CI: 0.888 ~ 0.996) were risk factors affecting the HBV-ACLF prognosis. The area under the curve predicted liver failure prognostic score for ascites and age was 0.821, and the sensitivity and specificity were 68.8% and 87.2%, which was higher than the area under the curve predicted by the MELD score, CTP score, and CLIFACLF score, respectively. Conclusion:Age and ascites can be used to predict the clinical outcome in patients with HBV-ACLF. Younger patients without ascites have a higher survival rate at 4-weeks, but older patients with ascites are more likely to have a lower survival rate.
10.Effect of intraoperative Viatorr stent implantation for shunting of blood flow in the left or right branch of the portal vein and its effect on clinical outcome in patients with cirrhotic portal hypertension undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt
Xin YAO ; Hao ZHOU ; Shanhong TANG ; Shan HUANG ; Xueling CHEN ; Jianping QIN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2020;36(9):1970-1974
ObjectiveTo investigate the effect of intraoperative Viatorr stent implantation for shunting of blood flow in the left or right branch of the portal vein on the clinical outcome of patients with cirrhotic portal hypertension undergoing transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS). MethodsA retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 120 patients with cirrhotic portal hypertension who underwent TIPS in The General Hospital of Western Theater Command from March 2016 to December 2019, and according to the target position of portal vein puncture determined by intraoperative angiography, the patients were divided into left branch group and right branch group. The two groups were compared in terms of the incidence rates of postoperative recurrence and bleeding, stent dysfunction, and hepatic encephalopathy (HE) and survival. The t-test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The Kaplan-Meier curve was used to calculate rebleeding rate, stent patency rate, incidence rate of HE, and survival rate. ResultsThe surgical success rate was 100% for all 120 patients, with a short-term hemostasis rate of 100%. Among the 120 patients, 52 underwent shunting of the left branch of the portal vein and 68 underwent shunting of the right branch. There was a significant reduction in portal venous pressure after surgery (9.98±2.84 mm Hg vs 24.72±5.11 mm Hg, t=37.76, P<0.01). The cumulative rebleeding rates at 12 and 24 months after surgery were 3.2% and 11.0%, respectively, and the cumulative incidence rates of HE at 3, 6, 12, and 24 months after surgery were 10.8%, 13.6%, 21.2%, and 24.5%, respectively. Among the 29 patients who experienced HE, 23 had grade Ⅰ-Ⅱ HE and 6 had grade Ⅲ HE. The cumulative incidence rates of stent dysfunction at 12 and 24 months after surgery were 7.1% and 21.4%, respectively. The cumulative survival rates at 12 and 24 months after surgery were 92.0% and 86.5%, respectively. As for comparison of the left branch group and the right branch group, there were no significant differences in postoperative stent patency rate, rebleeding rate, incidence rate of HE, and survival rate(all P<0.05). ConclusionTIPS is a safe and effective method for the treatment of cirrhotic portal hypertension, and intraoperative Viatorr stent implantation, no matter for establishing the shunt of the left or right branch of the portal vein, will not affect the clinical outcome of patients.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail