1.Multivariable risk prediction model for early onset neonatal sepsis among preterm infants
Health Sciences Journal 2025;14(1):43-52
INTRODUCTION
Neonatal sepsis is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality, particularly among preterm infants, and remains a pressing global health concern. Early-onset neonatal sepsis is particularly challenging to diagnose due to its nonspecific clinical presentation, necessitating effective and timely diagnostic tools to reduce adverse outcomes. Traditional methods, such as microbial cultures, are slow and often unavailable in resource-limited settings. This study aimed to develop a robust multivariable risk prediction model tailored to improve early detection of Early Onset Sepsis (EOS) among preterm infants in the Philippines.
METHODSWe conducted a retrospective analysis at a tertiary hospital in the Philippines using data from 1,354 preterm infants admitted between January 2019 and June 2024. Logistic regression models were employed, and predictors were selected through reverse stepwise elimination. Two scoring methods were developed: one based on beta coefficients divided by standard errors and another standardized to a total score of 100. The models were validated using Receiver Operator Characteristic curve analysis.
RESULTSVersion 1 of the scoring model demonstrated an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.991, with a sensitivity of 90.91% and a specificity of 98.10%. Version 2 achieved an AUC of 0.999, with a sensitivity of 96.4% and a specificity of 92.44%.
CONCLUSIONSThe developed models provide a reliable, region specific tool for early detection of neonatal sepsis. Further validation across diverse populations and the integration of emerging diagnostic technologies, such as biomarkers and artificial intelligence, are warranted to enhance their applicability and accuracy.
Human ; Bacteria ; Infant: 1-23 Months ; Neonatal Sepsis ; Logistic Models ; Infant, Premature ; Philippines
2.Assessment of the process of initial antibiotic therapy for patients with sepsis in the emergency department of a tertiary hospital in the Philippines: A mixed methodology
James Robert J. Go ; Marvin M. Mangulabnan ; Ma. Cecile S. Añ ; onuevo-cruz ; Evalyn A. Roxas
Acta Medica Philippina 2025;59(12):44-51
BACKGROUND
Sepsis is a life-threatening organ dysfunction in response to an infection, and immediate administration of the first antibiotic dose, along with other resuscitative efforts, improves patient outcomes. This paved the way for the development of evidence-based sepsis pathways in different health institutions.
OBJECTIVESThis study aims to assess the process of initial antibiotic therapy, from the time the loading dose of antibiotic was ordered to the time it was administered, for adult patients with sepsis admitted at the Emergency Department (ED) of the University of the Philippines – Philippine General Hospital (UP-PGH).
METHODSIn phase 1 of the study, a review of medical records was done to identify all adult patients diagnosed with sepsis in the ED from February 1 to August 31, 2022. A variant of time-motion analysis was used wherein three points in the sepsis pathway were identified: the t ime of diagnosis of sepsis/first chart order of antibiotics (point A), the time the chart order was noted by the nurse-in-charge (point B), and the documented time of f irst dose administration (point C). The mean and median duration (in hours) were then computed between these points. As an additional aim, we briefly presented the outcome of the population used. In phase 2, individual interviews and focused group discussions were done, involving key medical personnel in the sepsis pathway: physicians, nurses, pharmacists, and utility personnel. The data transcribed from these interviews was analyzed through a thematic examination.
RESULTSA total of 508 adult patients were diagnosed with sepsis on record review, 442 of whom met the inclusion criteria. The median time it took for the nursein-charge to acknowledge the antibiotic order (points A to B) is 0.73 hours (IQR 0.27-1.7). Meanwhile, the median time between acknowledgment of the order to administration of antibiotics is 1.94 hours (IQR 0.83-6.63). More importantly, the median time from diagnosis-to-first dose (points A to C) is 3.53 hours (IQR 1.59–7.96), while the corresponding mean duration is 5.72 hours. In all cases, 44.6% and 12.4% of loading doses were given within three hours and within one hour after diagnosis, respectively. The all-cause mortality of all qualified cases was 64.7%. A total of 28 key medical personnel were recruited for phase 2. Issues regarding governance, information systems, finances, service delivery, and human resources were identified. In particular, the electronic chart system, a more stable supply of antibiotics, and the new pharmacy at the ER helped facilitate antibiotic delivery. Lack of personnel, gaps in information, and repetitive paperwork were cited as areas for improvement in the existing system.
CONCLUSIONIn more than half of the study population, the target time from diagnosis to loading dose of at least 1 hour was not reached. The significant delays in sepsis treatment call for system-wide improvements to hasten the process of antibiotic delivery and reduce the poor outcomes associated with sepsis.
Human ; Sepsis
3.OGT-Mediated O-GlcNAcylation of ATF2 Protects Against Sepsis-Associated Encephalopathy by Inhibiting Microglial Pyroptosis.
Huan YAO ; Caixia LIANG ; Xueting WANG ; Chengwei DUAN ; Xiao SONG ; Yanxing SHANG ; Mingyang ZHANG ; Yiyun PENG ; Dongmei ZHANG
Neuroscience Bulletin 2025;41(10):1761-1778
Microglial pyroptosis and neuroinflammation have been implicated in the pathogenesis of sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE). OGT-mediated O-GlcNAcylation is involved in neurodevelopment and injury. However, its regulatory function in microglial pyroptosis and involvement in SAE remains unclear. In this study, we demonstrated that OGT deficiency augmented microglial pyroptosis and exacerbated secondary neuronal injury. Furthermore, OGT inhibition impaired cognitive function in healthy mice and accelerated the progression in SAE mice. Mechanistically, OGT-mediated O-GlcNAcylation of ATF2 at Ser44 inhibited its phosphorylation and nuclear translocation, thereby amplifying NLRP3 inflammasome activation and promoting inflammatory cytokine production in microglia in response to LPS/Nigericin stimulation. In conclusion, this study uncovers the critical role of OGT-mediated O-GlcNAcylation in modulating microglial activity through the regulation of ATF2 and thus protects against SAE progression.
Animals
;
Microglia/metabolism*
;
Pyroptosis/physiology*
;
Mice
;
Sepsis-Associated Encephalopathy/prevention & control*
;
Activating Transcription Factor 2/metabolism*
;
N-Acetylglucosaminyltransferases/genetics*
;
Mice, Inbred C57BL
;
Male
;
Mice, Knockout
4.Clinical characteristics of elderly patients with sepsis and development and evaluation of death risk assessment scale.
Fubo DONG ; Liwen LUO ; Dejiang HONG ; Yi YAO ; Kai PENG ; Wenjin LI ; Guangju ZHAO
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(1):17-22
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the clinical characteristics of elderly patients with sepsis, identify the key factors affecting their clinical outcomes, construct a death risk assessment scale for elderly patients with sepsis, and evaluate its predictive value.
METHODS:
A retrospective case-control study was conducted. The clinical data of sepsis patients admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) of the First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University from September 2021 to September 2023 were collected, including basic information, clinical characteristics, and clinical outcomes. The patients were divided into non-elderly group (age ≥ 65 years old) and elderly group (age < 65 years old) based on age. Additionally, the elderly patients were divided into survival group and death group based on their 30-day survival status. The clinical characteristics of elderly patients with sepsis were analyzed. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were used to screen the independent risk factors for 30-day death in elderly patients with sepsis, and the regression equation was constructed. The regression equation was simplified, and the death risk assessment scale was established. The predictive value of different scores for the prognosis of elderly patients with sepsis was compared.
RESULTS:
(1) A total of 833 patients with sepsis were finally enrolled, including 485 in the elderly group and 348 in the non-elderly group. Compared with the non-elderly group, the elderly group showed significantly lower counts of lymphocyte, T cell, CD8+ T cell, and the ratio of T cells and CD8+ T cells [lymphocyte count (×109/L): 0.71 (0.43, 1.06) vs. 0.83 (0.53, 1.26), T cell count (cells/μL): 394.0 (216.0, 648.0) vs. 490.5 (270.5, 793.0), CD8+ T cell count (cells/μL): 126.0 (62.0, 223.5) vs. 180.0 (101.0, 312.0), T cell ratio: 0.60 (0.48, 0.70) vs. 0.64 (0.51, 0.75), CD8+ T cell ratio: 0.19 (0.13, 0.28) vs. 0.24 (0.16, 0.34), all P < 0.01], higher natural killer cell (NK cell) count, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, ratio of invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) during hospitalization, and 30-day mortality [NK cell count (cells/μL): 112.0 (61.0, 187.5) vs. 95.0 (53.0, 151.0), APACHE II score: 16.00 (12.00, 21.00) vs. 13.00 (8.00, 17.00), IMV ratio: 40.6% (197/485) vs. 31.9% (111/348), 30-day mortality: 28.9% (140/485) vs. 19.5% (68/348), all P < 0.05], and longer length of ICU stay [days: 5.5 (3.0, 10.0) vs. 5.0 (3.0, 8.0), P < 0.05]. There were no statistically significant differences in the levels of inflammatory markers such as C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interferon-γ (IFN-γ), and interleukins (IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-10) between the two groups. (2) In 485 elderly patients with sepsis, 345 survived in 30 days, and 140 died with the 30-day mortality of 28.9%. Compared with the survival group, the patients in the death group were older, and had lower body mass index (BMI), white blood cell count (WBC), PCT, platelet count (PLT) and higher IL-6, IL-10, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), total bilirubin (TBil), blood lactic acid (Lac), and ratio of in-hospital IMV and continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis indicated that BMI [odds ratio (OR) = 0.783, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.678-0.905, P = 0.001], IL-6 (OR = 1.073, 95%CI was 1.004-1.146, P = 0.036), TBil (OR = 1.009, 95%CI was 1.000-1.018, P = 0.045), Lac (OR = 1.211, 95%CI was 1.072-1.367, P = 0.002), and IMV during hospitalization (OR = 6.181, 95%CI was 2.214-17.256, P = 0.001) were independent risk factors for 30-day death in elderly patients with sepsis, and the regression equation was constructed (Logit P = 1.012-0.244×BMI+0.070×IL-6+0.009×TBil+0.190×Lac+1.822×IMV). The regression equation was simplified to construct a death risk assessment scale, namely BITLI score. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) analysis showed that the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of BITLI score for predicting death risk was 0.852 (95%CI was 0.769-0.935), and it was higher than APACHE II score (AUC = 0.714, 95%CI was 0.623-0.805) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score (AUC = 0.685, 95%CI was 0.578-0.793). The determined cut-off value of BITLI score was 1.50, while achieving a sensitivity of 83.3% and specificity of 74.0%.
CONCLUSIONS
Elderly patients with sepsis often have reduced lymphocyte counts, severe conditions, and poor prognosis. BMI, IL-6, TBil, Lac, and IMV during hospitalization were independent risk factors for 30-day death in elderly patients with sepsis. The BITLI score constructed based above risk factors is more precise and reliable than traditional APACHE II and SOFA scores in predicting the outcomes of elderly patients with sepsis.
Humans
;
Sepsis/mortality*
;
Aged
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Risk Assessment
;
Case-Control Studies
;
Prognosis
;
Male
;
Female
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Risk Factors
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Logistic Models
;
Middle Aged
5.Effective implementation of hour-1 bundle for sepsis patients in emergency department based on crisis resource management.
Chengli WU ; Jiaqiong SU ; Libo ZHAO ; Qin XIA ; Lan XIA ; Wanyu MA ; Ruixia WANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(1):23-28
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the implementation effect of hour-1 bundle for sepsis patients based on crisis resource management (CRM) system.
METHODS:
A historical control study was conducted. The hour-1 bundle for sepsis based on CRM was used to train 24 nurses in the emergency department from October 2022 to March 2023. Clinical data of sepsis patients admitted to the emergency department of the First People's Hospital of Zunyi from April 2022 to September 2023 were collected. The patients were divided into three groups based on different stages of CRM system construction: control group (before construction, from April to September in 2022), improvement group (during construction, from October 2022 to March 2023) and observation group (after construction, from April to September in 2023). The baseline data, implementation rate of hour-1 bundle [including blood culture, antibiotic usage, blood lactic acid (Lac) detection, fluid resuscitation, hypertensors usage], identification and diagnosis time, and prognosis parameters [including correction rate of hypoxemia, intensive care unit (ICU) occupancy rate, and 28-day survival rate]. Sepsis cognition survey and non-technical skill (NTS) evaluation of nurses in emergency department were conducted before and after training.
RESULTS:
Finally 43 cases were enrolled in the control group, improvement group and observation group, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference in baseline data including the gender, age, primary site, heart rate, systolic blood pressure, acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) score, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, mechanical ventilation ratio among the three groups with comparability. With the gradual improvement of the CRM system, the implementation rate of 1-hour bundle was gradually increased, and the implementation rate in the control group, improvement group and observation group were 65.12% (28/43), 74.42% (32/43) and 88.37% (38/43), respectively, with statistically significant difference (P < 0.05). It was mainly reflected in the completion rate of blood culture, antibiotic usage rate, Lac detection rate and hypertensors usage rate within 1 hour, which were significantly higher in the observation group than those in the control group [completion rate of blood culture: 90.70% (39/43) vs. 62.79% (27/43), antibiotic usage rate: 88.37% (38/43) vs. 60.47% (26/43), Lac detection rate: 93.02% (40/43) vs. 72.09% (31/43), hypertensors usage rate: 88.37% (38/43) vs. 60.47% (26/43), all P < 0.05]. The fluid resuscitation rates within 1 hour in the three groups were all over 90%, with no statistically significant difference among the three groups. The recognition and diagnosis time in the observation group was significantly shorter than that in the control group and the improvement group (hours: 0.41±0.15 vs. 0.61±0.21, 0.51±0.18, both P < 0.05), the correction rate of hypoxemia and 28-day survival rate were significantly higher than those in the control group [correction rate of hypoxemia: 95.35% (41/43) vs. 74.42% (32/43), 28-day survival rate: 83.72% (36/43) vs. 60.47% (26/43), both P < 0.05], and ICU occupancy rate was significantly lower than that in the control group [72.09% (31/43) vs. 93.02% (40/43), P < 0.05]. After training in the CRM system, the score of the sepsis awareness survey questionnaire for emergency department nurses was significantly increased as compared with before training (60.42±5.29 vs. 44.17±9.21, P < 0.01), and NTS also showed significant improvement.
CONCLUSION
CRM plays a significant role in promoting the implementation of sepsis hour-1 bundle, which can improve the implementation rate of hour-1 bundle and NTS of medical staff, effectively improve patients' hypoxemia, reduce patients' ICU occupancy rate and 28-day risk of death.
Humans
;
Sepsis/therapy*
;
Emergency Service, Hospital
;
Patient Care Bundles
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Female
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
6.Effect of different filters on the efficacy in patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury.
Wenjie ZHOU ; Tian ZHAO ; Qi MA ; Xigang MA
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(1):48-52
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the effects of using different filters in continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) on the mortality, inflammatory mediator level and hemodynamics in patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI).
METHODS:
A prospective study was conducted. The patients with SA-AKI undergoing first CRRT admitted to the critical care medicine department of General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University from August 2022 to October 2023 were enrolled as the study objects, and they were divided into observation group and control group by random number table method. All patients received routine treatment including anti-infection, optimized volume management and organ function support. On this basis, the observation group was treated with oXiris filter for CRRT, while the control group was treated with ordinary filter for CRRT, and the first treatment time was ≥ 36 hours. General data of the two groups were collected and compared. At the same time, the inflammatory indicators [high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), interleukin-6 (IL-6)], sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score, mean arterial pressure (MAP), blood lactic acid (Lac), noradrenaline dosage and other related indicators were collected before CRRT treatment and 24 hours and 48 hours after treatment, and the 7-day and 28-day mortality of patients were recorded.
RESULTS:
Finally, 65 patients were enrolled, including 30 in the observation group and 35 in the control group. There were no significant differences in baseline data including age, gender, acute kidney injury (AKI) stage and infection source between the two groups. The 7-day mortality of observation group was significantly lower than that of control group [16.7% (5/30) vs. 42.9% (15/35), P < 0.05]. There was no significant difference in 28-day mortality between the observation group and the control group [36.7% (11/30) vs. 54.3% (19/35), P > 0.05]. There were no significant differences in inflammation indicators, SOFA score, MAP, Lac and norepinephrine dosage before treatment between the two groups. After 24-hour and 48-hour treatment, the hemodynamics of the two groups were stable compared with before treatment, the inflammatory indicators, SOFA score, Lac and norepinephrine dosage were reduced to varying degrees, and MAP was significantly increased. In the observation group, hs-CRP, PCT, IL-6, SOFA score, MAP, and norepinephrine dosage showed statistical significance at 24 hours after treatment as compared with before treatment [hs-CRP (mg/L): 125.0 (105.0, 171.2) vs. 280.5 (213.2, 313.8), PCT (μg/L): 51.0 (20.0, 62.8) vs. 71.0 (10.8, 100.0), IL-6 (ng/L): 1 762.2 (300.8, 4 327.5) vs. 4 447.5 (630.4, 5 000.0), SOFA score: 13.0 (12.0, 14.0) vs. 16.0 (15.0, 17.0), MAP (mmHg, 1 mmHg ≈ 0.133 kPa): 79.00±12.87 vs. 65.20±11.70, norepinephrine dosage (μg×kg-1×min-1): 0.82±0.33 vs. 1.63±0.51, all P < 0.05]. In the control group, PCT and MAP showed statistical significance after 48 hours of treatment as compared with before treatment. Compared with the control group, hs-CRP, SOFA score and norepinephrine dosage after 48 hours of treatment in the observation group were significantly decreased [hs-CRP (mg/L): 87.2 (74.2, 126.0) vs. 157.0 (88.0, 200.0), SOFA score: 11.0 (10.0, 12.0) vs. 12.0 (10.0, 14.0), norepinephrine dosage (μg×kg-1×min-1): 0.51±0.37 vs. 0.81±0.58, all P < 0.05], MAP was significantly increased (mmHg: 82.00±8.71 vs. 77.77±7.80, P < 0.05).
CONCLUSION
In the treatment of CRRT, oXiris filter can reduce the short-term mortality of SA-AKI patients, lower inflammatory mediators levels and improve hemodynamics, showing therapeutic advantages over conventional filters.
Humans
;
Acute Kidney Injury/etiology*
;
Sepsis/therapy*
;
Prospective Studies
;
Interleukin-6
;
Continuous Renal Replacement Therapy/methods*
;
C-Reactive Protein
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Hemodynamics
;
Procalcitonin
;
Aged
7.Research advance on the role of interleukin-18, interleukin-37b and basophils in sepsis.
Junling WANG ; Xin DONG ; Mengmeng ZHAN ; Bingyu QIN
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(1):77-80
Interleukin-18 (IL-18) and IL-37b have recently become a research hotspot because of their biological antagonistic role in inflammatory response. Sepsis is an abnormal inflammatory response-mediated life-threatening organ dysfunction induced by infection. Septic shock is the most severe form of sepsis, and has attracted great attention in clinical research due to its high mortality. Basophils are one of the classical effector cells in the inflammatory response, which are involved in many aspects of the pathological process of sepsis. IL-18 is an important pro-inflammatory cytokine and plays a key role in the inflammatory response, while IL-37b is known for its anti-inflammatory function. Both IL-18 and IL-37b can regulate the function of basophils and the inflammatory response in sepsis reversely through interleukin-18 receptor α (IL-18Rα). Therefore, it is of great clinical significance to investigate the role and mechanism of IL-18, IL-37b and basophils in the pathogenesis of sepsis. Herein, the relevant literatures on the roles and potential mechanisms of IL-18, IL-37b and basophils in the pathogenesis of sepsis are summarized, aiming to provide theoretical basis and novel ideas for the future research on the potential roles of IL-18, IL-37b and basophils in sepsis.
Humans
;
Sepsis/immunology*
;
Basophils/immunology*
;
Interleukin-18/metabolism*
;
Interleukin-1/metabolism*
;
Animals
8.Research progress on ICU-acquired weakness in sepsis patients.
Huiyao CHEN ; Xingsong LI ; Lixin ZHOU ; Xinhua QIANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(1):87-91
With the development of critical medical emergency technology, the success rate of sepsis treatment has been significantly improved, and the improvement of the long-term quality of life of sepsis survivors has also attracted more and more attention. ICU-acquired weakness (ICU-AW) refers to a group of syndromes with systemic and symmetrical muscle weakness during the intensive care unit (ICU) hospitalization and cannot be explained by the patient's own disease, which often involve diaphragm and skeletal muscle, resulting in difficulty in weaning and nosocomial infection. The incidence of ICU-AW in sepsis patients is over 50%, making it an important factor affecting the prognosis of these patients. The occurrence of sepsis ICU-AW is related to many factors, which can be summarized into two categories, including sepsis-related factors such as sepsis-associated inflammatory response, sepsis-associated encephalopathy (SAE), and treatment-related factors such as physical immobilization and insufficient nutritional support. The current ICU-AW risk assessment tools are mainly on subjective assessment scales, but there are some limitations in clinical application, and objective assessment tools including predictive model and imaging assessment, which are still in the research stage. "ABCDEF bundle strategy" is an important measure to prevent ICU-AW, in which early rehabilitation is the core element. This review of the literature from the risk factors, risk assessment and early rehabilitation of ICU-AW, and focuses on the timing, content, method and safety assessment of early rehabilitation, aims to improve the understanding of ICU-AW, strengthen the prevention of sepsis with ICU-AW, and improve the prognosis of sepsis patients, not only survive, but also live better.
Humans
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
Muscle Weakness/etiology*
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Prognosis
;
Quality of Life
9.Predictive value of oxygenation index at intensive care unit admission for 30-day mortality in patients with sepsis.
Chunhua BI ; Manchen ZHU ; Chen NI ; Zongfeng ZHANG ; Zhiling QI ; Huanhuan CHENG ; Zongqiang LI ; Cuiping HAO
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(2):111-117
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the predictive value of oxygenation index (PaO2/FiO2) at intensive care unit (ICU) admission on 30-day mortality in patients with sepsis.
METHODS:
A retrospective study was conducted. Patients with sepsis who were hospitalized in the ICU of the Affiliated Hospital of Jining Medical University from April 2015 to October 2023 were enrolled. The demographic information, comorbidities, sites of infection, vital signs and laboratory test indicators at the time of admission to the ICU, disease severity scores within 24 hours of admission to the ICU, treatment process and prognostic indicators were collected. According to the PaO2/FiO2 at ICU admission, patients were divided into Q1 group (PaO2/FiO2 of 4.1-16.4 cmHg, 1 cmHg ≈ 1.33 kPa), Q2 group (PaO2/FiO2 of 16.5-22.6 cmHg), Q3 group (PaO2/FiO2 of 22.7-32.9 cmHg), and Q4 group (PaO2/FiO2 of 33.0-94.8 cmHg). Differences in the indicators across the four groups were compared. Multifactorial Cox regression analysis was used to assess the relationship between PaO2/FiO2 and 30-day mortality of patients with sepsis. The predictive value of PaO2/FiO2, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) and acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II) on 30-day prognosis of patients with sepsis was analyzed by receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve).
RESULTS:
A total of 1 711 patients with sepsis were enrolled, including 428 patients in Q1 group, 424 patients in Q2 group, 425 patients in Q3 group, and 434 patients in Q4 group. 622 patients died at 30-day, the overall 30-day mortality was 36.35%. There were statistically significant differences in age, body mass index (BMI), history of smoking, history of alcohol consumption, admission heart rate, respiratory rate, APACHE II score, SOFA score, Glasgow coma score (GCS), site of infection, Combined chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), blood lactic acid (Lac), prothrombin time (PT), albumin (Alb), total bilirubin (TBil), pH, proportion of mechanical ventilation, duration of mechanical ventilation, proportion of vasoactive medication used, and maximal concentration, length of ICU stay, hospital stay, incidence of acute kidney injury, in-hospital mortality, 30-day mortality among the four groups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that after adjusting for confounding factors, for every 1 cmHg increase in PaO2/FiO2 at ICU admission, the 30-day mortality risk decreased by 2% [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.98, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.98-0.99, P < 0.001]. The 30-day mortality risk in the Q4 group was reduced compared with the Q1 group by 41% (HR = 0.59, 95%CI was 0.46-0.76, P < 0.001). The fitted curve showed that a curvilinear relationship between PaO2/FiO2 and 30-day mortality after adjustment for confounders. In the inflection point analysis, for every 1 cmHg increase in PaO2/FiO2 at PaO2/FiO2 < 28.55 cmHg, the risk of 30-day death in sepsis patients was reduced by 5% (HR = 0.95, 95%CI was 0.94-0.97, P < 0.001); when PaO2/FiO2 ≥ 28.55 cmHg, there was no statistically significant association between PaO2/FiO2 and the increase in the risk of 30-day death in sepsis (HR = 1.01, 95%CI was 0.99-1.02, P = 0.512). ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) for the prediction of 30-day mortality by admission PaO2/FiO2 in ICU sepsis patients was 0.650, which was lower than the predictive ability of the SOFA score (AUC = 0.698) and APACHE II score (AUC = 0.723).
CONCLUSION
In patients with sepsis, PaO2/FiO2 at ICU admission is strongly associated with 30-day mortality risk, alerting healthcare professionals to pay attention to patients with low PaO2/FiO2 for timely interventions.
Humans
;
Sepsis/mortality*
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Prognosis
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Oxygen
;
Male
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
10.Early lactate/albumin ratio combined with quick sequential organ failure assessment for predicting the prognosis of sepsis caused by community-acquired pneumonia in the emergency department.
Xinyan ZHANG ; Yingbo AN ; Yezi DONG ; Min LI ; Ran LI ; Jinxing LI
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(2):118-122
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the predictive value of early lactate/albumin ratio (LAR) combined with quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) for the 28-day prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by emergency community-acquired pneumonia (CAP).
METHODS:
The clinical data of patients with sepsis caused by CAP admitted to the department of emergency of Beijing Haidian Hospital from June 2021 to August 2022 were retrospectively analyzed, including gender, age, comorbidities, lactic acid (Lac), serum albumin (Alb), LAR, procalcitonin (PCT) within 1 hour, and 28-day prognosis. Patients were divided into two groups based on 28-day prognosis, and risk factors affecting patients' prognosis were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression methods. Patients were divided into two groups according to the best cut-off value of LAR, and Kaplan-Meier survival curves were used to analyze the 28-day cumulative survival of patients in each group. Time-dependent receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) were plotted to analyze the predictive value of sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II), and qSOFA+LAR score on the prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by CAP at 28 days. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated and compared.
RESULTS:
A total of 116 patients with sepsis caused by CAP were included, of whom 80 survived at 28 days and 36 died, 28-day mortality of 31.0%. There were no statistically significant differences in age, gender, comorbidities, pH, platelet count, and fibrinogen between the survival and death groups, and there were significantly differences in blood urea nitrogen (BUN), white blood cell count (WBC), hemoglobin, Lac, Alb, PCT, D-dimer, LAR, as well as qSOFA score, SOFA score, and APACHE II score. Univariate Cox regression analyses showed that BUN, WBC, pH, Lac, Alb, PCT, LAR, qSOFA score, SOFA score, and APACHE II score were associated with mortality outcome. Multifactorial Cox regression analysis of the above variables showed that BUN, WBC, PCT, and APACHE II score were independent risk factors for 28-day death in the emergency department in patients with sepsis caused by CAP [hazard ratio (HR) were 1.081, 0.892, 1.034, and 1.135, respectively, all P < 0.05]. The best cut-off value of early LAR for predicting the 28-day prognosis of sepsis patients was 0.088, the Kaplan-Meier survival curve showed that the 28-day cumulative survival rate of sepsis patients in the LAR ≤ 0.088 group was significantly higher than that in the LAR > 0.088 group [82.9% (63/76) vs. 42.5% (17/40), Log-Rank test: χ2 = 22.51, P < 0.001]. The qSOFA+LAR score was calculated based on the LAR cut-off value and qSOFA score, and ROC curve analysis showed that the AUCs of SOFA score, APACHE II score, and qSOFA+LAR score for predicting 28-day death of patients with sepsis caued by CAP were 0.741, 0.774, and 0.709, respectively, with the AUC of qSOFA+LAR score slightly lower than those of SOFA score and APACHE II score, but there were no significantly differences. When the best cut-off value of qSOFA+LAR score was 1, the sensitivity was 63.9% and the specificity was 80.0%.
CONCLUSION
The qSOFA+LAR score has predictive value for the 28-day prognosis of patients with sepsis caused by CAP in the emergency department, its predictive value is comparable to the SOFA score and the APACHE II score, and it is more convenient for early use in the emergency department.
Emergency Service, Hospital/statistics & numerical data*
;
Sepsis/etiology*
;
Prognosis
;
Community-Acquired Pneumonia/mortality*
;
Organ Dysfunction Scores
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Lactic Acid/blood*
;
Serum Albumin, Human/analysis*
;
Biomarkers/blood*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Kaplan-Meier Estimate
;
APACHE
;
Procalcitonin/blood*
;
ROC Curve
;
Area Under Curve
;
Humans


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail