1.Global, regional, national incidence, and mortality of breast cancer in older women: A population-based cancer registry data analysis.
Chao LI ; Shaoyuan LEI ; Yan XU ; Yongqiang ZHANG ; Lin LI ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Li DING
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(22):2917-2924
BACKGROUND:
The burden of breast cancer for older adults has been rising with the increasing population aging. This study aims to describe the burden of breast cancer in older adults worldwide, analyze the temporal trends for older breast cancer incidence, and assess the socioeconomic inequalities of breast cancer incidence and mortality with human development index (HDI) levels, which will provide valuable information in preventing and controlling the increasing breast cancer burden in older women.
METHODS:
The incidence and mortality rates of specific cancer types in older individuals in 2022 were sourced from the Global Cancer Today database. Trends in breast cancer incidence acquired from the Cancer Incidence in Five Continents (CI5) database. HDI and other risk factors were obtained from the United Nations. We used a generalized linear model to estimate the rate ratio and 95% confidence interval (CI) between HDI levels and breast cancer burden in older people.
RESULTS:
It was estimated approximately 1,058,466 newly diagnosed breast cancer cases and 383,774 breast cancer deaths in women ≥60 years, accounting for 18.9% and 12.7% of global cancer cases and deaths. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) and age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) were 172.9 and 57.7 per 100,000, ranking first and second among all cancer incidence and mortality in older women. The highest ASIR and ASMR were four-fold higher than the lowest, with ASIR ranging from a peak of 399.1 per 100,000 in Australia-New Zealand to a low of 90.6 per 100,000 in South Central Asia, and ASMR varying from a high of 118.6 per 100,000 in Melanesia to a low of 28.8 per 100,000 in East Asia. The largest increases in ASIR from 1998-2002 to 2013-2017 were observed in South Korea, China, and Estonia. The corresponding estimated 5-year average percentage changes (EAPC) were 6.01%, 2.89%, and 1.93%, respectively.
CONCLUSIONS
The global burden of breast cancer in older women is increasing fast and varies greatly across countries. Effective prevention strategies are essential to address the increasing breast cancer burden for older women.
Humans
;
Female
;
Breast Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Aged
;
Incidence
;
Middle Aged
;
Registries
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Risk Factors
2.Canregtools: a tool package for routine statistical analysis of Chinese population-based cancer registry data based on R language
Qiong CHEN ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Shuzheng LIU ; Hongwei LIU ; Yin LIU ; Ranran QIE ; Shaokai ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(11):1074-1079
Objective:To develop a tool package that meets the routine statistical analysis requirements of population-based cancer registries in China based on R language, with the aim of improving data quality and efficiency, and promoting the nationwide scientific utilization of cancer registry data.Methods:The functional demands for statistical analysis of population-based cancer registry staff were collected through questionnaires or face-to-face interviews. Based on the concept of generic functions in R software's S3 object system, functions were developed by defining specific S3 classes for different data types, allowing the same function to perform diverse tasks depending on the class of input data. A stepwise development strategy was adopted to ensure logical coherence among functional modules, and all functions were systematically tested and validated in accordance with standard R package development guidelines.Results:Six categories of functions, including data reading, data manipulation, data processing, statistical calculation, visualization, and statistical reporting, were developed to support routine statistical analysis of population-based cancer registry data. Data reading functions support reading data formats required by the National Cancer Registry. Data manipulation functions empower conditional filtering of registry data and support regrouping, merging, or transforming the data based on registry attributes (such as urban/rural location) to accommodate different analytical needs. Data processing functions includes age grouping, International Classification of Diseases 10 th Revision (ICD-10) classification, childhood cancer classification, and population estimation. Statistical calculation functions permit the calculation of age-standardized rates, truncated rates, cumulative rates, cumulative risks, life tables, and expansion from abridged to complete life tables. Visualization functions can generate commonly used statistical charts, including population pyramids, bar charts, and line graphs. Statistical reporting functions can integrate key indicators, charts, and narrative descriptions into comprehensive cancer registry reports. Conclusion:An R package named Canregtools was developed based on the concept of S3 generic functions. This package is free of charge, open-source, and highly efficient. It can meet the diversified needs in cancer registry data analysis, visualization, and reporting through standardized data processing workflows, thereby enhancing the quality and efficiency of routine statistical analysis in population-based cancer registries in China.
3.Cancer Incidence in Five Continents and China:Review and Prospect
Siwei ZHANG ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Kexin SUN ; Lingbin DU ; Qingsheng WANG ; Xibin SUN ; Jijun DUAN ; Wenqiang WEI
China Cancer 2025;34(6):417-429
The Cancer Incidence in Five Continents(CI5)database are jointly maintained by the International Agency for Research on Cancer(IARC)and the International Association of Cancer Registries(IACR),both affiliated to the World Health Organization.This paper provides a histori-cal overview of cancer registration efforts in China,systematically summarizes the journey and en-deavors of Chinese cancer registries as they were incorporated into IARC and CI5.Furthermore,it offers a perspective on the strategies for advancing the high-quality development of cancer registra-tion activities within the nation.
4.Canregtools: a tool package for routine statistical analysis of Chinese population-based cancer registry data based on R language
Qiong CHEN ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Shuzheng LIU ; Hongwei LIU ; Yin LIU ; Ranran QIE ; Shaokai ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(11):1074-1079
Objective:To develop a tool package that meets the routine statistical analysis requirements of population-based cancer registries in China based on R language, with the aim of improving data quality and efficiency, and promoting the nationwide scientific utilization of cancer registry data.Methods:The functional demands for statistical analysis of population-based cancer registry staff were collected through questionnaires or face-to-face interviews. Based on the concept of generic functions in R software's S3 object system, functions were developed by defining specific S3 classes for different data types, allowing the same function to perform diverse tasks depending on the class of input data. A stepwise development strategy was adopted to ensure logical coherence among functional modules, and all functions were systematically tested and validated in accordance with standard R package development guidelines.Results:Six categories of functions, including data reading, data manipulation, data processing, statistical calculation, visualization, and statistical reporting, were developed to support routine statistical analysis of population-based cancer registry data. Data reading functions support reading data formats required by the National Cancer Registry. Data manipulation functions empower conditional filtering of registry data and support regrouping, merging, or transforming the data based on registry attributes (such as urban/rural location) to accommodate different analytical needs. Data processing functions includes age grouping, International Classification of Diseases 10 th Revision (ICD-10) classification, childhood cancer classification, and population estimation. Statistical calculation functions permit the calculation of age-standardized rates, truncated rates, cumulative rates, cumulative risks, life tables, and expansion from abridged to complete life tables. Visualization functions can generate commonly used statistical charts, including population pyramids, bar charts, and line graphs. Statistical reporting functions can integrate key indicators, charts, and narrative descriptions into comprehensive cancer registry reports. Conclusion:An R package named Canregtools was developed based on the concept of S3 generic functions. This package is free of charge, open-source, and highly efficient. It can meet the diversified needs in cancer registry data analysis, visualization, and reporting through standardized data processing workflows, thereby enhancing the quality and efficiency of routine statistical analysis in population-based cancer registries in China.
5.Cancer Incidence in Five Continents and China:Review and Prospect
Siwei ZHANG ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Kexin SUN ; Lingbin DU ; Qingsheng WANG ; Xibin SUN ; Jijun DUAN ; Wenqiang WEI
China Cancer 2025;34(6):417-429
The Cancer Incidence in Five Continents(CI5)database are jointly maintained by the International Agency for Research on Cancer(IARC)and the International Association of Cancer Registries(IACR),both affiliated to the World Health Organization.This paper provides a histori-cal overview of cancer registration efforts in China,systematically summarizes the journey and en-deavors of Chinese cancer registries as they were incorporated into IARC and CI5.Furthermore,it offers a perspective on the strategies for advancing the high-quality development of cancer registra-tion activities within the nation.
6.Global, regional, and national lifetime risk of developing and dying from lung cancer in 2022: A population-based study in 185 countries.
Meng LI ; Xin WEN ; Xin LIANG ; Mengwen LIU ; Li ZHANG ; Rongshou ZHENG
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(24):3101-3107
BACKGROUND:
Lifetime cancer risk is an index that indicates the cumulative probability of cancer at some age during a person's lifetime. Nevertheless, comparative evaluations regarding the probability of developing lung cancer and dying from the disease among diverse populations at the global, regional, and national levels are scarce.
METHODS:
Lung cancer data from 185 countries were obtained from GLOBOCAN 2022, and data on any other cause of death were acquired from the United Nations. The lifetime risks of lung cancer development and death were estimated using adjustment for multiple primary cancers (AMP) method. The lung cancer risks in countries or regions worldwide were compared by region and the Human Development Index (HDI).
RESULTS:
The global lifetime risk of developing and dying from lung cancer in 2022 was 3.49% and 2.69%, respectively. The lifetime probabilities of developing lung cancer in countries/areas with low, medium, high, and very high HDIs were 0.33%, 0.95%, 4.72%, and 5.29%, and dying from lung cancer in low, medium, high and very high HDI countries were 0.30%, 0.86%, 3.69% and 3.92%, respectively. After the age of 40 years, the remaining probability of lung cancer development and death decreased with age, leaving a residual risk of 2.00% and 1.71%, respectively, starting at 70 years.
CONCLUSIONS
The probability of developing lung cancer during one's lifetime is equivalent to 1 in 28 and 1 in 37 people suffering and dying from lung cancer. The age-related risk of developing and dying of lung cancer varies among geographic locations with different HDIs.
Humans
;
Lung Neoplasms/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Risk Factors
7.Global esophageal cancer epidemiology in 2022 and predictions for 2050: A comprehensive analysis and projections based on GLOBOCAN data.
Ling QI ; Mengfei SUN ; Weixin LIU ; Xuefeng ZHANG ; Yongjun YU ; Ziqiang TIAN ; Zhiyu NI ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Yong LI
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(24):3108-3116
BACKGROUND:
The burden of esophageal cancer varies across different regions of the world. The aim of this study is to analyze the current burden of esophageal cancer in 185 countries in 2022 and to project the trends up to the year 2050.
METHODS:
We extracted data on primary esophageal cancer cases and deaths from the GLOBOCAN 2022 database, which includes data from 185 countries. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) and mortality rates (ASMR) per 100,000 person-years were calculated by stratifying by Human Development Index (HDI) levels and regions. Considering changes in population size and age structure, we assumed that the risks of incidence and mortality remain constant at the levels of 2022 to forecast the number of new cases and deaths from esophageal cancer globally by 2050.
RESULTS:
In 2022, an estimated 511,054 people were diagnosed with esophageal cancer globally, and 445,391 died from the disease. The global ASIR and ASMR for esophageal cancer were 5.00 and 4.30 per 100,000, respectively. The highest rates were observed in East Africa (7.60 for incidence, 7.20 for mortality per 100,000), East Asia (7.60 for incidence, 5.90 for mortality per 100,000), Southern Africa (6.30 for incidence, 5.90 for mortality per 100,000), and South Central Asia (5.80 for incidence, 5.50 for mortality per 100,000). Among the 185 countries worldwide, esophageal cancer was among the top five causes of cancer incidence in 18 countries and among the top five causes of cancer mortality in 25 countries. In 2022, China had 224,012 new cases and 187,467 deaths from esophageal cancer, accounting for approximately 43.8% and 42.1% of the global total, respectively, which is higher than the proportion of China's population to the global population (17.9%). ASIR was 8.30 per 100,000, and ASMR was 6.70 per 100,000. The highest burden of esophageal cancer was in high HDI countries, with new cases and deaths accounting for 51.3% and 50.0% of the global total, respectively. The ASIR and ASMR were highest in the high HDI group (6.10 and 5.10 per 100,000, respectively), also exceeding the global averages. There was a trend of decreasing mortality to incidence ratio with increasing HDI, but no correlation was observed between HDI and ASIR or ASMR. In all regions worldwide, the incidence and mortality rates were higher in males than in females (with a male-to-female ASR ratio ranging from 1.10 to 28.7). Compared to 2022, it is projected that by 2050, the number of new esophageal cancer cases will increase by approximately 80.5%, and deaths will increase by 85.4% due to population growth and aging.
CONCLUSIONS
The burden of esophageal cancer remains heavy. Adopting a healthy lifestyle, including reducing tobacco and alcohol intake, avoiding moldy foods, and increasing intake of fresh fruits and vegetables, can help reduce the risk of stomach and esophageal cancer. In addition, the development and implementation of evidence-based and effective public health policies are critical to reducing the global disease burden of esophageal cancer.
Esophageal Neoplasms/mortality*
;
Humans
;
Male
;
Incidence
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Global Health
;
Aged
;
Adult
8.Cancer incidence and mortality in China, 2022
Rongshou ZHENG ; Ru CHEN ; Bingfeng HAN ; Shaoming WANG ; Li LI ; Kexin SUN ; Hongmei ZENG ; Wenqiang WEI ; Jie HE
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(3):221-231
Objective:The National Central Cancer Registry estimates the number of new cancer cases and deaths in China in 2022, using incidence and mortality data collected by the National Cancer Center.Methods:According to the data of 700 cancer registries in 2018 and the data of 106 cancer registries from 2010 to 2018, the age-period-cohort model was used to estimate the incidence rate and mortality rate of all cancers and 23 types of cancer in 2022, stratified by gender and urban and rural areas. We estimated the number of new cancer cases and deaths in China in 2022 based on the estimated rate and population data in 2022.Results:The estimated results showed that in 2022, there were approximately 4 824 700 new cancer cases in China (2 533 900 in males and 2 290 800 in females), with an age-standardized incidence rate of Chinese population (ASIR) of 208.58 per 100 000 (212.67 per 100 000 for males and 208.08 per 100 000 for females). Approximately 2 903 900 new cancer cases occurred in urban areas, with an ASIR of 212.95 per 100 000. It was estimated about 1 920 800 new cancer cases in rural areas, and the ASIR was 199.65 per 100 000. The top five cancers (lung cancer 1 060 600, colorectal cancer 517 100, thyroid cancer 466 100, liver cancer 367 700 and female breast cancer 357 200) accounted for 57.4% of all new cases. The estimated number of deaths from cancer in China in 2022 was 2 574 200 (1 629 300 in males and 944 900 in females), with an age-standardized mortality rate of Chinese population (ASMR) of 97.08 per 100 000 (127.70 per 100 000 in males and 68.67 per 100 000 in females). The number of deaths from cancer in urban and rural areas was about 1 400 600 and 1 173 400, with the ASMR of 92.37 and 103.97 per 100 000 in urban and rural areas, respectively. The top five leading cause of cancers death (lung cancer 733 300, liver cancer 316 500, gastric cancer 260 400, colorectal cancer 240 000 and esophageal cancer 187 500) accounted for 67.5% of all cancer deaths. Lung cancer ranked first in the incidence and mortality in men and women. The incidence rate in urban areas was higher than that in rural areas, while the mortality rate was lower than that in rural areas.Conclusions:The burden of cancer in China is still relatively heavy, with significant differences in cancer patterns in gender, urban-rural, and regional. The burden of cancer presents a coexistence of developed and developing countries, and the situation of cancer prevention and control is still serious in China.
9.Incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years of female breast cancer in China, 2022
Kexin SUN ; Bailin ZHANG ; Shaoyuan LEI ; Rongshou ZHENG ; Xin LIANG ; Li LI ; Xiaolong FENG ; Siwei ZHANG ; Hongmei ZENG ; Yifei YAO ; Peiqing MA ; Shaoming WANG ; Ru CHEN ; Bingfeng HAN ; Wenqiang WEI ; Jie HE
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(20):2429-2436
Background::Breast cancer is ranked among the most prevalent malignancies in the Chinese female population. However, comprehensive reports detailing the latest epidemiological data and attributable disease burden have not been extensively documented.Methods::In 2018, high-quality cancer surveillance data were recorded in 700 population-based cancer registries in China. We extracted data on female breast cancers (International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision [ICD-10]: C50) and estimated the incidence and mortality in 2022 according to the baseline data and corresponding trends from 2010 to 2018. Pathological types were classified according to the ICD for Oncology, 3rd Edition codes. Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were calculated as the sum of the years of life lost (YLLs) and years lived with disability (YLDs).Results::In 2022, approximately 357,200 new female breast cancer cases and 75,000 deaths occurred in China, accounting for 15.59% and 7.94% of total new cancer cases and deaths, respectively. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) was 33.04 per 100,000. When analyzed by pathological type, the ASIRs for papillary neoplasms, invasive breast carcinoma, rare and salivary gland-type tumors, and other types were 1.13, 29.79, 0.24, and 1.88 per 100,000, respectively. The age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) was 6.10 per 100,000. A total of 2,628,000 DALYs were found to be attributable to female breast cancer in China, comprising 2,278,300 YLLs and 349,700 YLDs. The ASIR, ASMR, and age-standardized rate (ASR) for DALYs in urban areas were consistently higher than those in rural areas. We observed a four-fold increase in the ASIR and ASR for DALYs and an eight-fold increase in the ASMR among females over 55 years compared with those aged under 55 years.Conclusion::These data provide invaluable insights into the latest epidemiology of female breast cancer in China and highlight the urgency for disease prevention and control strategy formulation.
10.Cancer incidence and mortality in China, 2022
Rongshou ZHENG ; Ru CHEN ; Bingfeng HAN ; Shaoming WANG ; Li LI ; Kexin SUN ; Hongmei ZENG ; Wenqiang WEI ; Jie HE
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2024;46(3):221-231
Objective:The National Central Cancer Registry estimates the number of new cancer cases and deaths in China in 2022, using incidence and mortality data collected by the National Cancer Center.Methods:According to the data of 700 cancer registries in 2018 and the data of 106 cancer registries from 2010 to 2018, the age-period-cohort model was used to estimate the incidence rate and mortality rate of all cancers and 23 types of cancer in 2022, stratified by gender and urban and rural areas. We estimated the number of new cancer cases and deaths in China in 2022 based on the estimated rate and population data in 2022.Results:The estimated results showed that in 2022, there were approximately 4 824 700 new cancer cases in China (2 533 900 in males and 2 290 800 in females), with an age-standardized incidence rate of Chinese population (ASIR) of 208.58 per 100 000 (212.67 per 100 000 for males and 208.08 per 100 000 for females). Approximately 2 903 900 new cancer cases occurred in urban areas, with an ASIR of 212.95 per 100 000. It was estimated about 1 920 800 new cancer cases in rural areas, and the ASIR was 199.65 per 100 000. The top five cancers (lung cancer 1 060 600, colorectal cancer 517 100, thyroid cancer 466 100, liver cancer 367 700 and female breast cancer 357 200) accounted for 57.4% of all new cases. The estimated number of deaths from cancer in China in 2022 was 2 574 200 (1 629 300 in males and 944 900 in females), with an age-standardized mortality rate of Chinese population (ASMR) of 97.08 per 100 000 (127.70 per 100 000 in males and 68.67 per 100 000 in females). The number of deaths from cancer in urban and rural areas was about 1 400 600 and 1 173 400, with the ASMR of 92.37 and 103.97 per 100 000 in urban and rural areas, respectively. The top five leading cause of cancers death (lung cancer 733 300, liver cancer 316 500, gastric cancer 260 400, colorectal cancer 240 000 and esophageal cancer 187 500) accounted for 67.5% of all cancer deaths. Lung cancer ranked first in the incidence and mortality in men and women. The incidence rate in urban areas was higher than that in rural areas, while the mortality rate was lower than that in rural areas.Conclusions:The burden of cancer in China is still relatively heavy, with significant differences in cancer patterns in gender, urban-rural, and regional. The burden of cancer presents a coexistence of developed and developing countries, and the situation of cancer prevention and control is still serious in China.

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