1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in ambient fine particulate matter with resident mortality: a case-crossover study
Sirong WANG ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Huijing LI ; Yi ZHENG ; Lu LUO ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Huoqiang XIE ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):6-11
Objective To quantitatively assess the association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with residents mortality. Methods A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted from 2020 to 2022 among 10606 non-accidental residents by using the Guangzhou Cause of Death Surveillance System in Conghua District, Guangzhou. Exposure levels of PAHs in PM2.5 and meteorological data during the study period were obtained from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention in Conghua District and the China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS-V2.0), respectively. Conditional Poisson regression model was used to estimate the exposure-response association between PAHs and the mortality risk. Results Fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene, and indeno[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality. For every one interquartile range increase in exposure levels, the non-accidental mortality risks increased by 8.33% (95% CI: 1.80%, 15.27%), 4.67% (95% CI: 1.86%, 7.57%), 6.07% (95% CI: 2.08%, 10.21%), 4.62% (95% CI: 1.85%, 7.47%), and 4.70% (95% CI: 0.53%, 9.03%), respectively. The estimated non accidental deaths attributable to exposure to fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluorine, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were 5.91%, 6.08%, 6.51%, 6.46%, and 4.21%, respectively. Conclusions Short-term exposure to PAHs in PM2.5, including fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene, was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality among residents.
3.Gut microbiota and their metabolites in hemodialysis patients.
Junxia DU ; Xiaolin ZHAO ; Xiaonan DING ; Qinqin REN ; Haoran WANG ; Qiuxia HAN ; Chenwen SONG ; Xiaochen WANG ; Dong ZHANG ; Hanyu ZHU
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(4):502-504
4.Potential utility of albumin-bilirubin and body mass index-based logistic model to predict survival outcome in non-small cell lung cancer with liver metastasis treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.
Lianxi SONG ; Qinqin XU ; Ting ZHONG ; Wenhuan GUO ; Shaoding LIN ; Wenjuan JIANG ; Zhan WANG ; Li DENG ; Zhe HUANG ; Haoyue QIN ; Huan YAN ; Xing ZHANG ; Fan TONG ; Ruiguang ZHANG ; Zhaoyi LIU ; Lin ZHANG ; Xiaorong DONG ; Ting LI ; Chao FANG ; Xue CHEN ; Jun DENG ; Jing WANG ; Nong YANG ; Liang ZENG ; Yongchang ZHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(4):478-480
5.Bardoxolone methyl blocks the efflux of Zn2+ by targeting hZnT1 to inhibit the proliferation and metastasis of cervical cancer.
Yaxin WANG ; Qinqin LIANG ; Shengjian LIANG ; Yuanyue SHAN ; Sai SHI ; Xiaoyu ZHOU ; Ziyu WANG ; Zhili XU ; Duanqing PEI ; Mingfeng ZHANG ; Zhiyong LOU ; Binghong XU ; Sheng YE
Protein & Cell 2025;16(11):991-996
6.Jasurolignoside from Ilex pubescens exerts a therapeutic effect on acute lung injury in vitro and in vivo by binding to TLR4.
Shan HAN ; Chi Teng VONG ; Jia HE ; Qinqin WANG ; Qiumei FAN ; Siyuan LI ; Jilang LI ; Min LIAO ; Shilin YANG ; Renyikun YUAN ; Hongwei GAO
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(9):1058-1068
Acute lung injury (ALI) is a severe disease caused by viral infection that triggers an uncontrolled inflammatory response. This study investigated the capacity of jasurolignoside (JO), a natural compound, to bind to Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) and treat ALI. The anti-inflammatory properties of JO were evaluated in vitro through Western blotting, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), immunofluorescence staining, and co-immunoprecipitation. The investigation utilized a lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-induced ALI animal model to examine the therapeutic efficacy and mechanism of JO in vivo. JO attenuated inflammatory symptoms in infected cells and tissues by modulating the NOD-like receptor family pyrin domain containing protein 3 (NLRP3) inflammasome and the nuclear factor κB (NF-κB)/mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway. Molecular docking simulations revealed JO binding to TLR4 active sites, confirmed by cellular thermal shift assay. Surface plasmon resonance (SPR) demonstrated direct interaction between JO and TLR4 with a Kd value of 35.1 μmol·L-1. Moreover, JO inhibited tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), and IL-6 secretion and reduced leukocyte, neutrophil, lymphocyte, and macrophage infiltration in ALI-affected mice. JO also enhanced lung function and reduced ALI-related mortality. Immunohistochemical staining demonstrated JO's ability to suppress TLR4 expression in ALI-affected mouse lung tissue. This study establishes that JO can bind to TLR4 and effectively treat ALI, indicating its potential as a therapeutic agent for clinical applications.
Toll-Like Receptor 4/chemistry*
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Animals
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Acute Lung Injury/chemically induced*
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Mice
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Humans
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Ilex/chemistry*
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Molecular Docking Simulation
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Male
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NF-kappa B/immunology*
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Mice, Inbred C57BL
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NLR Family, Pyrin Domain-Containing 3 Protein/immunology*
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Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/genetics*
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Interleukin-1beta/genetics*
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RAW 264.7 Cells
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Disease Models, Animal
7.Association between short-term exposure to air pollution and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases in Conghua District, Guangzhou from 2015 to 2022
Lu LUO ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Yi ZHENG ; Sirong WANG ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2025;42(11):1307-1314
Background Exposure to air pollutants increases the risk of diseases in multiple systems, including respiratory and cardiovascular systems, yet its association with neurological diseases remains unclear. Objective To quantitatively evaluate the association between short-term exposure to air pollutants and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases, identify potential susceptible populations, and quantify associated disease burden. Methods Daily 24-hour average concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), inhalable particulate matter (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and carbon monoxide (CO), daily maximum 8-hour average concentration of ozone (O3), daily meteorological data (24-hour average temperature, 24-hour average relative humidity), and data on daily outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases from two hospitals in Conghua District, Guangzhou, China, were collected from 2015 to 2022. A time-stratified case-crossover design was adopted, and a conditional Poisson regression model was constructed to analyze the association between air pollution exposure and neurological disease visits. Two-pollutant models and sensitivity analysis were used to validate model stability. Stratified analyses by season (cold season: from November to March; warm season: from April to October), sex (male, female), and age (≤45 years, 46–60 years, ≥61 years) were performed to identify vulnerable group. Additionally, the number and proportion of neurological disease visits attributable to short-term air pollutant exposure were calculated. Results A total of 72 673 outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were included during the study period. Most of the patients were middle-aged and elderly individuals (69.89% were over 45 years old) and females (60.25%). The results of single-pollutant models showed that for each interquartile range (IQR) increase in exposure to PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO, and O3, the risk of outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases increased by 7.54% (95%CI: 4.69%, 10.46%), 6.66% (95%CI: 3.92%, 9.46%), 16.72% (95%CI: 10.58%, 23.19%), 8.12% (95%CI: 4.82%, 11.53%), 5.60% (95%CI: 2.34%, 8.97%), and 6.11% (95%CI: 2.91%, 9.40%), respectively. The results of the two-pollutant model showed that the association between PM2.5 and SO2 exposure and outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were relatively stable. The stratified analyses showed that the effect of SO2 was stronger in the cold season. It was estimated that 8.32% (95%CI: 5.55%, 10.96%) and 6.65% (95%CI: 4.27%, 8.96%) of the outpatient and emergency department visits were attributable to short-term exposure to SO2 and PM2.5, respectively. Conclusion Exposure to PM2.5 and SO2 is associated with increased risks of outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases. SO2 shows stronger effects during the cold season, and exposure to air pollution contributes to up to 8.32% of neurological disease visits.
8.Effect of walking-cognition dual-task training combined with active self-disclosure on elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke
Qinqin HU ; Xueying SHI ; Anna WANG ; Pengchao WU ; Qin ZHOU ; Jiaojiao LI ; Xing YUAN ; Jian LI
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2025;27(2):197-201
Objective To observe the effect of specialist team-led walking-cognition dual-task train-ing combined with active self-disclosure on control and balance abilities in elderly patients with acute ischemic stroke(AIS).Methods A total of 90 elderly AIS patients treated in our hospital from January 2022 to January 2024 were enrolled and randomly assigned into the control group and the observation group,with 45 cases in each group.The control group received routine walk-ing training,while the observation group received specialist team-led walking-cognition dual-task training combined with active self-disclosure intervention.Control ability,balance ability,walking ability,cognitive function and psychological status were compared between the two groups.Results After intervention,the scores of Sheikh Trunk Control Scale and Fugl-Meyer Assessment(FMA),and the static balance score,dynamic balance score and total score of Berg Balance Scale(BBS)were significantly increased in both the observation and the control groups(P<0.05),and all above scores were obviously higher in the former group than the latter one(P<0.01).The two groups also obtained notably shorter single-and dual-task walking time after intervention,but there were no statistical difference in the single-task walking time in both groups before and after intervention(P>0.05).After intervention,the observation group had significantly shorter dual-task walking time(22.87±7.36 s vs 27.52±8.71 s,P=0.008)and lower walking time cost of dual task[(11.16±4.07)%vs(25.61±7.82)%,P=0.000]when compared with the control group.After intervention,the scores of Mini-Mental Status Examination were increased,and the scores of Hamilton Depression Rating Scale and Hamilton Anxiety Rating Scale were decreased in the two groups(P<0.05).Conclusion Specialist team-led walking-cognition dual-task training com-bined with active self-disclosure intervention can effectively improve trunk control ability,balance ability,walking ability,cognitive function and psychological state in elderly AIS patients,has cer-tian clinical application value.
9.Therapeutic effects of piperacillin/tazobactam combined with acetylcysteine solution on severe pneumonia after cerebral infarction
Yongfei ZHU ; Qinqin WANG ; Wenzheng XU ; Haichang LI
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(15):2258-2262
OBJECTIVE To explore the effects of piperacillin/tazobactam combined with acetylcysteine solution on severe pneumonia after cerebral infarction,and to analyze its impact on cardiopulmonary and neurological function.METHODS A total of 86 patients with severe pneumonia after cerebral infarction admitted to Yulin Xingyuan Hos-pital from Jan.2022 to Jun.2024 were selected and divided into a control group and a study group using the ran-dom number table method(single blind),with 43 cases in each group.The control group was treated with intrave-nous drip of piperacillin/tazobactam,while the study group received additional inhalation of acetylcysteine solution based on the control group's treatment.The levels of inflammatory factors[C-reactive protein(CRP),interleukin-6(IL-6)and procalcitonin(PCT)],lung function indicators[forced vital capacity(FVC),peak expiratory flow rate(PEF),forced expiratory volume in one second(FEV1)and mean maximal expiratory flow rate(MMEF)],cardiac function indicators[left ventricular ejection fraction(LVEF),cardiac output(CO),cardiac index(CI)and stroke volume(SV)],NIH Stroke Scale(NIHSS)score,clinical efficacy,and the occurrence of adverse reactions were compared before and after treatment.RESULTS Compared with the control group,the study group had low levels of CRP,IL-6,PCT and NIHSS scores after treatment(P<0.05),and high levels of FVC,PEF,FEV1,MMEF,LVEF,CO,CI,and SV after treatment(P<0.05).The overall response rate in the study group was 95.35%,higher than 81.40%in the control group(χ2=4.074,P=0.044).There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the control group and the study group during treatments(χ2=0.179,P=0.672).CONCLUSION Piperacillin/tazobactam combined with inhaled acetylcysteine solution for the treatment of severe pneumonia after cerebral infarction can improve clinical efficacy,reduce levels of inflamma-tory factors,and enhance cardiopulmonary and neurological functions in patients,which has a high safety profile.
10.Application of 18F-FDG PET/MR and its derived parameters in the diagnosis and staging of bladder cancer
Qinqin YOU ; Fei YU ; Rushuai LI ; Fengjiao YANG ; Shuyue AI ; Jun TANG ; Feng WANG
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2025;45(7):405-410
Objective:To investigate the application of 18F-FDG PET/MR and its derived parameters in the diagnosis and staging of bladder cancer. Methods:Forty patients (32 males, 8 females; age (66.8±11.2) years) with suspected bladder cancer between December 2019 and March 2022 were retrospectively included and underwent 18F-FDG PET/MR in Nanjing First Hospital. Parameters including SUV max, SUV mean, maximum tumor diameter and mean of apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC mean) were obtained, and bladder cancer muscle invasiveness and lymph node involvement were determined. The efficacy of 18F-FDG PET/MR and its derived parameters for tumor diagnosis and staging was analyzed using transurethral resection of bladder tumor (TUR-BT) or radical cystectomy (RC) and extended pelvic lymph node dissection (ePLND) histopathology as the " gold standard". Independent-sample t test, Mann-Whitney U test or χ2 test was used to analyze the data, and Delong test was used to compare different AUCs. Results:Of 40 patients, 8 were non-muscle invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC), 32 were muscle invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), and 5 were pathologically confirmed to have lymph node metastasis. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), and accuracy of 18F-FDG PET/MR for identifying MIBC were 96.9%(31/32), 7/8, 96.9%(31/32), 7/8, 95.0%(38/40), respectively, and those for lymph node metastasis were 4/5, 90.0%(18/20), 4/6, 18/19, 88.0%(22/25), respectively. For pathological tumor (pT) staging, significant differences were observed between pT2-3 and pT1 groups in maximum tumor diameter ( t=-2.37, P=0.024), SUV mean( Z=-2.11, P=0.035), and ADC mean( t=2.91, P=0.006). The AUCs of maximum tumor diameter, SUV mean and ADC mean in distinguishing MIBC were 0.781, 0.746, and 0.825, respectively. The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and accuracy of MRI alone in identifying MIBC were 87.5%(28/32), 1/8, 80.0%(28/35), 1/5 and 72.5%(29/40), respectively, with the AUC of 0.500. The AUC of 18F-FDG PET/MR in identifying MIBC was 0.796, which was better than MRI alone ( Z=5.54, P<0.001), and the accuracy of PET/MR was also higher than MRI alone ( χ2=7.44, P=0.006). Conclusion:Compared with MRI alone, 18F-FDG PET/MR significantly improves the diagnostic efficacy of bladder cancer and the accuracy of pT staging.


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