1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons in ambient fine particulate matter with resident mortality: a case-crossover study
Sirong WANG ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Huijing LI ; Yi ZHENG ; Lu LUO ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Huoqiang XIE ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):6-11
Objective To quantitatively assess the association of short-term exposure to polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) in ambient fine particulate matter (PM2.5) with residents mortality. Methods A time-stratified case-crossover study was conducted from 2020 to 2022 among 10606 non-accidental residents by using the Guangzhou Cause of Death Surveillance System in Conghua District, Guangzhou. Exposure levels of PAHs in PM2.5 and meteorological data during the study period were obtained from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention in Conghua District and the China Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System (CLDAS-V2.0), respectively. Conditional Poisson regression model was used to estimate the exposure-response association between PAHs and the mortality risk. Results Fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene, and indeno[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality. For every one interquartile range increase in exposure levels, the non-accidental mortality risks increased by 8.33% (95% CI: 1.80%, 15.27%), 4.67% (95% CI: 1.86%, 7.57%), 6.07% (95% CI: 2.08%, 10.21%), 4.62% (95% CI: 1.85%, 7.47%), and 4.70% (95% CI: 0.53%, 9.03%), respectively. The estimated non accidental deaths attributable to exposure to fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluorine, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene were 5.91%, 6.08%, 6.51%, 6.46%, and 4.21%, respectively. Conclusions Short-term exposure to PAHs in PM2.5, including fluoranthene, chrysene, benzo[k]fluoranthene, benzo[a]pyrene and indine[1,2,3-cd]pyrene, was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality among residents.
3.Jasurolignoside from Ilex pubescens exerts a therapeutic effect on acute lung injury in vitro and in vivo by binding to TLR4.
Shan HAN ; Chi Teng VONG ; Jia HE ; Qinqin WANG ; Qiumei FAN ; Siyuan LI ; Jilang LI ; Min LIAO ; Shilin YANG ; Renyikun YUAN ; Hongwei GAO
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(9):1058-1068
Acute lung injury (ALI) is a severe disease caused by viral infection that triggers an uncontrolled inflammatory response. This study investigated the capacity of jasurolignoside (JO), a natural compound, to bind to Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) and treat ALI. The anti-inflammatory properties of JO were evaluated in vitro through Western blotting, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), immunofluorescence staining, and co-immunoprecipitation. The investigation utilized a lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-induced ALI animal model to examine the therapeutic efficacy and mechanism of JO in vivo. JO attenuated inflammatory symptoms in infected cells and tissues by modulating the NOD-like receptor family pyrin domain containing protein 3 (NLRP3) inflammasome and the nuclear factor κB (NF-κB)/mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) pathway. Molecular docking simulations revealed JO binding to TLR4 active sites, confirmed by cellular thermal shift assay. Surface plasmon resonance (SPR) demonstrated direct interaction between JO and TLR4 with a Kd value of 35.1 μmol·L-1. Moreover, JO inhibited tumor necrosis factor α (TNF-α), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), and IL-6 secretion and reduced leukocyte, neutrophil, lymphocyte, and macrophage infiltration in ALI-affected mice. JO also enhanced lung function and reduced ALI-related mortality. Immunohistochemical staining demonstrated JO's ability to suppress TLR4 expression in ALI-affected mouse lung tissue. This study establishes that JO can bind to TLR4 and effectively treat ALI, indicating its potential as a therapeutic agent for clinical applications.
Toll-Like Receptor 4/chemistry*
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Animals
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Acute Lung Injury/chemically induced*
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Mice
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Humans
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Ilex/chemistry*
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Molecular Docking Simulation
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Male
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NF-kappa B/immunology*
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Mice, Inbred C57BL
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NLR Family, Pyrin Domain-Containing 3 Protein/immunology*
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Tumor Necrosis Factor-alpha/genetics*
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Interleukin-1beta/genetics*
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RAW 264.7 Cells
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Disease Models, Animal
4.Evidence-based practice of perioperative patient-controlled analgesia management in patients with liver cancer receiving TACE treatment
Yongqi LIANG ; Yao LIU ; Jianbo ZHAO ; Wenxuan YU ; Fenfen LIN ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yunan LI
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2025;34(12):1376-1384
Objective To evaluate the application of evidence-based perioperative patient-controlled analgesia(PCA)management in patients with liver cancer receiving transcatheter arterial chemoembolization(TACE)treatment.Methods By using the application model of clinical evidence-based practice,the review indicators were formulated based on the best evidence.The baseline assessment was conducted,the barrier factors were analyzed,the best clinical decision was made,the implementation steps of PCA management,including training,monitoring,education,etc.were refined,and two rounds of clinical review were carried out.The knowledge-belief-practice level and the implementation of review indicators in 50 medical and nursing staff engaged in PCA management,as well as the changes in pain scores,the incidence of adverse reactions due to PCA management,and the patient's satisfaction in 159 patients after the application of evidence were compared with their corresponding values determined before the application of evidence.Results After implementing the evidence-based practice plan and applying the evidence,at multiple time points the pain scores and the incidences of adverse reactions were decreased significantly(P<0.05),the patient's satisfaction increased remarkably(P<0.01),the execution rate of medical and nursing staff for the review indicators were strikingly increased(P<0.01),and the knowledge-belief-practice level concerning PCA management was prominently improved(P<0.01).Conclusion The implementation of perioperative PCA management in patients with liver cancer receiving TACE treatment can help to reduce the perioperative pain level,improve the patient discomfort,increase the patient's satisfaction degree,and improve the ability of medical staff in performing PCA management and evidence-based practices.
5.Potential utility of albumin-bilirubin and body mass index-based logistic model to predict survival outcome in non-small cell lung cancer with liver metastasis treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors.
Lianxi SONG ; Qinqin XU ; Ting ZHONG ; Wenhuan GUO ; Shaoding LIN ; Wenjuan JIANG ; Zhan WANG ; Li DENG ; Zhe HUANG ; Haoyue QIN ; Huan YAN ; Xing ZHANG ; Fan TONG ; Ruiguang ZHANG ; Zhaoyi LIU ; Lin ZHANG ; Xiaorong DONG ; Ting LI ; Chao FANG ; Xue CHEN ; Jun DENG ; Jing WANG ; Nong YANG ; Liang ZENG ; Yongchang ZHANG
Chinese Medical Journal 2025;138(4):478-480
6.Association between short-term exposure to air pollution and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases in Conghua District, Guangzhou from 2015 to 2022
Lu LUO ; Zhi LI ; Yanmei CAI ; Chunming HE ; Yi ZHENG ; Sirong WANG ; Ruijun XU ; Yuewei LIU ; Qinqin JIANG
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2025;42(11):1307-1314
Background Exposure to air pollutants increases the risk of diseases in multiple systems, including respiratory and cardiovascular systems, yet its association with neurological diseases remains unclear. Objective To quantitatively evaluate the association between short-term exposure to air pollutants and outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases, identify potential susceptible populations, and quantify associated disease burden. Methods Daily 24-hour average concentrations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), inhalable particulate matter (PM10), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and carbon monoxide (CO), daily maximum 8-hour average concentration of ozone (O3), daily meteorological data (24-hour average temperature, 24-hour average relative humidity), and data on daily outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases from two hospitals in Conghua District, Guangzhou, China, were collected from 2015 to 2022. A time-stratified case-crossover design was adopted, and a conditional Poisson regression model was constructed to analyze the association between air pollution exposure and neurological disease visits. Two-pollutant models and sensitivity analysis were used to validate model stability. Stratified analyses by season (cold season: from November to March; warm season: from April to October), sex (male, female), and age (≤45 years, 46–60 years, ≥61 years) were performed to identify vulnerable group. Additionally, the number and proportion of neurological disease visits attributable to short-term air pollutant exposure were calculated. Results A total of 72 673 outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were included during the study period. Most of the patients were middle-aged and elderly individuals (69.89% were over 45 years old) and females (60.25%). The results of single-pollutant models showed that for each interquartile range (IQR) increase in exposure to PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, CO, and O3, the risk of outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases increased by 7.54% (95%CI: 4.69%, 10.46%), 6.66% (95%CI: 3.92%, 9.46%), 16.72% (95%CI: 10.58%, 23.19%), 8.12% (95%CI: 4.82%, 11.53%), 5.60% (95%CI: 2.34%, 8.97%), and 6.11% (95%CI: 2.91%, 9.40%), respectively. The results of the two-pollutant model showed that the association between PM2.5 and SO2 exposure and outpatient and emergency department visits for neurological diseases were relatively stable. The stratified analyses showed that the effect of SO2 was stronger in the cold season. It was estimated that 8.32% (95%CI: 5.55%, 10.96%) and 6.65% (95%CI: 4.27%, 8.96%) of the outpatient and emergency department visits were attributable to short-term exposure to SO2 and PM2.5, respectively. Conclusion Exposure to PM2.5 and SO2 is associated with increased risks of outpatient and emergency visits for neurological diseases. SO2 shows stronger effects during the cold season, and exposure to air pollution contributes to up to 8.32% of neurological disease visits.
7.Microbial population distribution on outer surface and in contents of SPF chicken embryos for vaccine production
Chinese Journal of Biologicals 2025;38(09):1025-1028+1034
Objective To research the microbial population distribution on the outer surface and in the contents of SPF chicken embryos, so as to standardize the production of SPF chicken embryos, guide the selection of disinfectants for vaccine production, and improve the sterile guarantee level of vaccine production.Methods The cotton swab method was used to isolate the external surface microorganisms of three batches of SPF chicken embryos before and after treatment with 70%isopropanol. The microorganisms of SPF chicken embryo contents were isolated with tryptose soya agar(TSA) medium from the urine sac fluid of three batches of SPF chicken embryos that died after 3 d inoculation with attenuated yellow fever 17D strain. The colony was purified using the three-zone streaking method, and the microorganisms were identified using 16s rRNA/ITS sequencing.Results After disinfection with 70% isopropanol, the number of microorganisms detected on the outer surface of SPF chicken embryos significantly decreased(t = 2. 67, P = 0. 011). The microorganisms on the outer surface of SPF chicken embryos were mainly Bacillus, with Bacillus genus accounting for 52. 6% and other types of bacillus accounting for36. 8%. There were significant differences in the detection rates of microorganisms in the contents of three batches of SPF chicken embryos. Proteobacteria, Enterococcus and Escherichia were detected the most frequently in the contents of SPF chicken embryos, and their detection numbers were significantly higher than other microorganisms.Conclusion The dominant microorganisms on the outer surface of SPF chicken embryos are Bacillus, and the dominant microorganisms in the contents are Proteobacteria, Enterococcus and Escherichia. The microbial population distribution provides basis for the selection of disinfectants for vaccine production, suggesting that the control measures should be carried out at multiple stages such as SPF chicken embryos production, storage, transportation, and selection to improve the sterile assurance level of vaccine production.
8.The clinical effect of the whole process blood glucose management on improving postoperative vision in T2DM cataract patients with non-diabetic retinopathy based on visual electrophysiology and OCTA study
Juan TANG ; Fen LAN ; Linxia MENG ; Qinqin ZHANG ; Chuanqiang DAI ; Zheng LEI ; Qilin FANG ; Ying LI ; Xiaoli WU ; Tao LI
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2024;40(20):2888-2899
Objective Visual electrophysiology and optical correlation tomography angiography(OCTA)were used to investigate differences in preoperative retinal function in patients with type 2 diabetic cataract(DC)without obvious retinopathy(NDR)and to determine the clinical application of whole-process blood glucose man-agement(WBGM)for improving postoperative vision in DC patients.Methods This study investigated the preop-erative and postoperative visual electrophysiology(N75,P100,photopic FERG,and scotopic FERG),peripapil-lary retinal nerve fiber layer(pRNFL)and peripapillary capillary vessel density(ppVD)data,as well as trends in these data changes during blood glucose management intervention.Results As the course of T2DM progressed,FBG and HbA1c increased,the N75 and P100 lategraduancy periods of patients gradually lengthened,and the photopic FERG,scotopic FERG,pRNFL,and ppVD values decreased at each postoperative time point.At the same time,the best corrected visual acuity(BCVA)of patients after surgery gradually decreased(P<0.05).Compared with that at 1 week after surgery,the BCVA of Group A(without whole-process blood glucose manage-ment)gradually increased at 1 month and 3 months after surgery but showed a downward trend at 1 year after sur-gery.The BCVA of Group B(with whole-process blood glucose management)gradually stabilized at 1 month after surgery,and at all time points after surgery,the BCVA of Group B was better than that of Group A.The results showed that N75 and P100 in Group A were greater than those in Group B,while the photopic and scotopic FERG,pRNFL,and ppVD(%)in Group A were lower than those in Group B.In addition,N75 and P100 in Group A showed a gradual prolongation trend at various time points after surgery,while photopic FERG,scotopic FERG,pRNFL,and ppVD(%)showed a gradually decreasing trend.However,the above data in Group B gradu-ally stabilized at 3 months after DC surgery,approaching the preoperative level of the group(P<0.05).In the state of whole blood glucose management,although N75 and P100 both reached their longest durations at 1 week af-ter surgery,N75,P100,photopic FERG,scotopic FERG,and pRNFL showed a gradually decreasing trend at 1 month and 3 months after surgery,while ppVD(%)gradually increased(P<0.05).At various time points from 3 months to 1 year after surgery,the overall trend of the above indicators remained stable and close to the preoperative values(P>0.05).Conclusion According to the results of the quantitative analysis of visual electrophysiology and OCTA,in DC patients without obvious retinopathy and with the worsening of diabetes,retinal function decreased,but whole-process blood glucose management effectively restored retinal function and improved visual quality after surgery.
9.Analysis of Helicobacter pylori Infection in the Main Urban Area of Chongqing
Qinqin LI ; Chunhui LAN ; Dongfeng CHEN ; Hanyang XIN ; Lang YU ; Wei MAO
Modern Interventional Diagnosis and Treatment in Gastroenterology 2024;29(8):909-911,922
Objective To investigate the prevalence of Helicobacter pylori(H.pylori)positivity in the urban areas of Chongqing and its relationship with age,season,and gender.Methods A total of 4,836 patients who underwent 14C-UBT testing at our hospital from April 2023 to March 2024 were selected.The detection rate of H.pylori and the infection status of H.pylori in different age groups,genders,and seasons were analyzed.Logistic regression analysis was performed on factors related to H.pylori infection identified in the univariate analysis.Results The positive detection rate of H.pylori in the 4,836 subjects was 29.3%,with a higher rate in males than in females,showing a statistically significant difference(P<0.05).The highest positive detection rate of H.pylori was in the summer season,and the peak positivity rate for H.pylori was observed in the 30-39 age group.There was a statistically significant difference in the positive detection rate of H.pylori across seasons and among different age groups(P<0.05).Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that gender,age,and season were all influential factors in the outcome of H.pylori infection(P<0.05).Conclusion The prevalence of H.pylori infection in the urban areas of Chongqing is relatively low,and gender,age,and season are all influential factors for H.pylori infection.
10.Application of"rotation-correction loop technique"in the retrieval of complex inferior vena cava filters
Jie HU ; Maolin QIAO ; Qinqin TIAN ; Heng WANG ; Sheng YAN ; Wenbo ZHAO ; Yongbin SHI ; Peilu SHI ; Miao XING ; Haifeng LI ; Haijiang JIN ; Ping WANG ; Wenkai CHANG ; Yuwen WANG ; Honglin DONG
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2024;33(3):289-294
Objective To discuss the application of the"rotating guidewire and correcting the filter recovery hook direction technique"("rotation-correction loop technique"for short),a technique invented by the authors in clinical practice,in the retrieval of complex inferior vena cava filter(IVCF),and to discuss its technical skills and advantages.Methods The clinical data of 417 patients carrying an IVCF,who were admitted to the Department of Vascular Surgery of Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University of China to retrieve IVCF between January 2022 and December 2022,were retrospectively analyzed.Taking the time spent on the retrieval of IVCF and the intraoperative radiation dose as the evaluation indicators,the advantages and disadvantages of the standard filter retrieval technique,the"rotation-correction loop technique"and the other loop-assisted techniques were compared.Results Both the intraoperative radiation dose and the time spent on the retrieval of IVCF using"rotation-correction loop technique"were remarkably lower than those of other loop-assisted techniques(P<0.000 1).Conclusion For the retrieval of complex IVCF,especially for the IVCF which is heavily tilted and/or its recovered hook is attached to the vascular wall,the use of"rotation-correction loop technique"can shorten the time spent on the the retrieval of IVCF and reduce the intraoperative radiation dose.This technique carries high safety and practicability,the device is simple and it can be manipulated by single physician,which is conducive to clinical application and promotion.(J Intervent Radiol,2024,33:289-294)


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