1.Construction of a predictive model for the development of chronic critical illness in patients with severe pneumonia
Qingna SONG ; Hongyan ZHANG ; Yan JIANG ; Qiang SU ; Xiaowen YAN
Chinese Journal of Emergency Medicine 2025;34(10):1418-1424
Objective:To identify independent risk factors for chronic critical illness (CCI) secondary to severe pneumonia and to develop and validate a clinical prediction model.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted using electronic medical records from 415 patients with severe pneumonia admitted between January 2023 and March 2024. Patients were randomly divided into a training set ( n = 290) and a validation set ( n = 125) at a 7:3 ratio. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors, and a nomogram was constructed. The model’s discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical utility were assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results:The overall incidence of CCI was 23.13% (96/415). Multivariate analysis identified five independent predictors: virus infection ( OR = 13.00, 95% CI: 5.07–33.35, P < 0.001), mechanical ventilation ≥72 hours ( OR = 8.06, 95% CI: 3.68–20.09, P < 0.001), neutrophil-to-albumin ratio (NAR) ( OR = 27848, 95% CI: 193.93–5542274.11, P < 0.001), oxygenation index ( OR =1.09, 95% CI: 1.01–1.09, P < 0.001), and age ( OR = 0.94, 95% CI: 0.91–0.97, P < 0.001). The model demonstrated excellent performance in both sets: training set AUC = 0.96 (95% CI: 0.94–0.98), sensitivity 0.93, specificity 0.89, Brier score 0.09; validation set AUC = 0.93 (95% CI: 0.88–0.98), sensitivity 0.89, specificity 0.64, Brier score 0.13. Calibration curves showed high consistency between predicted and observed risks (mean absolute error < 3%), and DCA indicated significant net clinical benefit within the threshold probability range of 15–60%. Conclusions:The developed prediction model integrates etiological, inflammatory, metabolic, and respiratory support parameters and demonstrates outstanding predictive performance (AUC > 0.90). It may serve as a quantitative tool for early risk stratification and intervention in patients with severe pneumonia. Further multicenter external validation and exploration of integrating dynamic biomarker monitoring are recommended.
2.Monitoring of effects of cleaning and disinfection of flexible endoscopes
Xia LI ; Jiahua ZHANG ; Qingna MU ; Zhigui SUN ; Shasha REN ; Yan DING ; Jia WANG ; Wei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(12):1858-1861
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the differences between the sampling methods of peristaltic pump+membrane filtration and rinsing for monitoring the cleaning and disinfection effectiveness of flexible endoscopes,and to pro-vide a reference for selecting an efficient sampling method for monitoring the cleaning and disinfection effectiveness of flexible endoscopes.METHODS A total of 305 cases of monitoring data on the cleaning and disinfection of flexi-ble endoscopes from People's Hospital of Rizhao in Shandong Province from Jan.2021 to Dec.2024 were selected.The results of 93 cases sampled by rinsing from Jan.2021 to Dec.2022 were compared with those of 212 cases sampled by peristaltic pump+membrane filtration from Jan.2023 to Dec.2024.The monitoring capabilities of different sampling methods for flexible endoscopes after cleaning and disinfection were evaluated,and the con-sumable costs of different sampling methods were also calculated.RESULTS The detection rate of pathogenic bac-teria after biological monitoring of the peristaltic pump+membrane filtration sampling method was 25.94%(55/212),which was higher than that of the rinsing sampling method(8.60%,8/93)(P<0.05).There was no sta-tistically significant difference in the sampling qualification rate between the two methods(P=0.075).There was no statistically significant difference in the qualification rate between manual and mechanical cleaning and dis-infection methods under the same sampling method.However,there was a statistically significant difference in the detection rate of pathogenic bacteria between manual cleaning and disinfection(36.21%)and mechanical cleaning and disinfection(22.08%)under the peristaltic pump+membrane filtration sampling method(P=0.036).The detection rate of pathogenic bacteria of the peristaltic pump+membrane filtration sampling method was higher than that of the rinsing sampling method for both cleaning and disinfection methods(P<0.05).The consumable cost per endoscope of the peristaltic pump+membrane filtration sampling method was(84.90±2.91)yuan,which was higher than that of the rinsing sampling method(32.24±4.73)yuan(P<0.001).CONCLUSION Al-though the peristaltic pump+membrane filtration sampling method has higher consumable costs,it can effec-tively improve the detection rate of pathogenic bacteria and enhance the sensitivity of biological monitoring of cleaning and disinfection.
3.Monitoring of effects of cleaning and disinfection of flexible endoscopes
Xia LI ; Jiahua ZHANG ; Qingna MU ; Zhigui SUN ; Shasha REN ; Yan DING ; Jia WANG ; Wei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(12):1858-1861
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the differences between the sampling methods of peristaltic pump+membrane filtration and rinsing for monitoring the cleaning and disinfection effectiveness of flexible endoscopes,and to pro-vide a reference for selecting an efficient sampling method for monitoring the cleaning and disinfection effectiveness of flexible endoscopes.METHODS A total of 305 cases of monitoring data on the cleaning and disinfection of flexi-ble endoscopes from People's Hospital of Rizhao in Shandong Province from Jan.2021 to Dec.2024 were selected.The results of 93 cases sampled by rinsing from Jan.2021 to Dec.2022 were compared with those of 212 cases sampled by peristaltic pump+membrane filtration from Jan.2023 to Dec.2024.The monitoring capabilities of different sampling methods for flexible endoscopes after cleaning and disinfection were evaluated,and the con-sumable costs of different sampling methods were also calculated.RESULTS The detection rate of pathogenic bac-teria after biological monitoring of the peristaltic pump+membrane filtration sampling method was 25.94%(55/212),which was higher than that of the rinsing sampling method(8.60%,8/93)(P<0.05).There was no sta-tistically significant difference in the sampling qualification rate between the two methods(P=0.075).There was no statistically significant difference in the qualification rate between manual and mechanical cleaning and dis-infection methods under the same sampling method.However,there was a statistically significant difference in the detection rate of pathogenic bacteria between manual cleaning and disinfection(36.21%)and mechanical cleaning and disinfection(22.08%)under the peristaltic pump+membrane filtration sampling method(P=0.036).The detection rate of pathogenic bacteria of the peristaltic pump+membrane filtration sampling method was higher than that of the rinsing sampling method for both cleaning and disinfection methods(P<0.05).The consumable cost per endoscope of the peristaltic pump+membrane filtration sampling method was(84.90±2.91)yuan,which was higher than that of the rinsing sampling method(32.24±4.73)yuan(P<0.001).CONCLUSION Al-though the peristaltic pump+membrane filtration sampling method has higher consumable costs,it can effec-tively improve the detection rate of pathogenic bacteria and enhance the sensitivity of biological monitoring of cleaning and disinfection.
4.Clinicopathologic analysis of 83 cases with large cell lung carcinoma
Rui LIANG ; Baocun SUN ; Tianxing CHEN ; Lianyu ZHANG ; Qingna YAN ; Zhiqiang WANG ; Lilin LUO ; Ming TANG ; Kewei JIN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Oncology 2013;(15):926-929
Objective:This study aimed to analyze and summarize the clinicopathologic characteristics and treatment protocols of large cell lung carcinoma (LCLC). Methods:Clinicopathologic data of 83 cases with LCLC confirmed by pathology in 2012 were retrospectively reviewed. Results:Exactly 83 cases of LCLC accounted for 5.4%of lung cancer in 2012. Sixty-three cases were male and twenty were female. The average age was 60.4 years old. The average maximum diameter of the tumor was 4.6 cm. The common manifestations in imageology were peripheral type. Only four cases were correctly diagnosed by sputum exfoliocytology, biopsy of bronchofibroscope, and paracentesis before surgery. Sixty-three cases (76%) underwent surgical resection, and pulmonary lobectomy was mainly selected. Postoperative pathology diagnosis indicated that 39 cases were classic large cell carcinoma, 31 were large cell neu-roendocrine carcinoma, 2 were combined large cell neuroendocrine carcinoma, 8 were basaloid carcinoma, 2 were clear cell carcinoma, and 1 was lymphoepithelioma-like carcinoma. Each subtype of LCLC had respective characteristics of pathomorphology and immuno-histochemistry. Lymph node metastasis occurred in 62 cases (75%). Conclusion:The incidence rate of LCLC, which is a highly aggres-sive malignancy, is low. The clinical manifestation and imageology characteristics of LCLC do not have specificity, and its final diagno-sis depends on pathology diagnosis. Operation is the main treatment method. Improving the diagnosis rate of LCLC and further subdi-viding the pathological subtypes are important for a normalized comprehensive treatment of LCLC.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail