1.Predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk in hip fracture patients using explainable machine learning models
Fengting LU ; Xiaoming LI ; Dekui LI ; Xianyuan XIE ; Jiazhong WANG ; Qing YU ; Gan HUANG ; Jun SHEN
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(2):196-202
Objective: To investigate the factors influencing intraoperative blood transfusion in patients with hip fractures and to develop a machine learning (ML) model for predicting this risk. Methods: A total of 424 patients with hip fractures who underwent surgical treatment between November 2022 and March 2025 in our hospital were selected. Key feature variables of intraoperative blood transfusion risk were identified using the Boruta algorithm. Four different ML algorithms—support vector machine (SVM), linear discriminant analysis (LDA), mixed discriminant analysis (MDA), and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost)—were used to develop predictive models for intraoperative blood transfusion risk. The predictive performance of the four ML models were evaluated using accuracy, precision, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, precision-recall curves (PRC), precision-recall gain curves (PRGC), and F1 scores. Shapley additive interpretation (SHAP) was used to interpret the final model. Results: Among the 424 patients, 77(18.2%) received intraoperative blood transfusion. The Boruta algorithm identified albumin (ALB), activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), types of anesthesia, types of fracture, and hemoglobin (Hb) as key feature variables for predicting intraoperative blood transfusion risk. In model evaluation, the SVM model outperforms the other three models across multiple metrics, including the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), recall, recall gain, accuracy, precision, F1 score, and the area under the precision-recall curve (PRC-AUC). The SVM model, interpreted and visualized based on SHAP values, effectively predicted intraoperative blood transfusion risk in patients with hip fracture. A visual online application was developed based on the SVM model (https://pbo-nomogram.shinyapps.io/blood/). Conclusion: Preoperative low ALB and Hb levels, prolonged APTT, general anesthesia, and intertrochanteric fractures are risk factors for intraoperative blood transfusion in hip fracture patients. The risk prediction model for intraoperative blood transfusion constructed based on the SVM algorithm has optimal performance, which provides new ideas and methods for the clinical early identification of hip fracture patients with high transfusion risk and the implementation of targeted interventions.
2.Influencing factors for condom use among men who have sex with men
LIU Jing ; ZHU Han ; YIN Jue ; XIA Manman ; LU Yi ; DAI Qing ; GU Chengjie ; LUO Zhen
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2026;38(2):115-118
Objective:
To investigate the status of condom use and its influencing factors among men who have sex with men (MSM), so as to provide a basis for improving condom utilization rates and AIDS prevention and control in this population.
Methods:
From May to October 2024, a snowball sampling method was employed to recruit MSM in Songjiang District, Shanghai Municipality. Self-administered questionnaires were used to collect data on demographic characteristics, AIDS-related knowledge, sexual behaviors, pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) and post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP), and condom use in the past six months. Multivariable logistic regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors for consistent condom use.
Results:
A total of 921 MSM were surveyed, with a median age of 29.00 (interquartile range, 9.00) years. Among them, 697 (75.68%) were aware of AIDS-related knowledge, 826 (89.69%) expressed willingness to use PrEP, and 835 (90.66%) were willing to use PEP. Additionally, 787 (85.45%) MSM reported their age at first homosexual intercourse as ≥18 years, while 519 (56.35%) reported consistent condom use in the past six months. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that MSM who were aware of AIDS-related knowledge (OR=0.582, 95% CI: 0.423-0.801), willing to use PrEP (OR =0.611, 95% CI: 0.385-0.969), and whose age at first homosexual intercourse was <18 years (OR=0.480, 95% CI: 0.330-0.700) were less likely to consistent use condoms.
Conclusion
The proportion of consistent condom use among the MSM remains relatively low, which is primarily associated with AIDS-related knowledge, willingness to use PrEP, and the age at first homosexual intercourse.
3.Two cases of Non-classic adrenal hyperplasia: Diagnostic strategies and genetic variant analysis.
Qigang ZHANG ; Xia ZHAN ; Qing SHENG ; Mi YU ; Yinbao LU
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2026;43(4):273-280
OBJECTIVE:
To investigate the clinical characteristics, steroid hormone profiles, and genetic variants in two female patients with Non-classic adrenal hyperplasia (NCAH).
METHODS:
Clinical data and samples were collected from two patients who had visited Huaian Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital Affiliated to Medical College of Yangzhou University on September 27, 2022 and June 25, 2023, respectively, with an initial diagnosis of Polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS) and suspected NCAH. Seven steroid hormones in dried blood spots were analyzed using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). Single base variants and repeat/deletions in the CYP21A2 gene were analyzed by using a classic congenital adrenal hyperplasia (CAH) gene assay, and 10 related genes were analyzed by third-generation sequencing (TGS) should the variants be unclear. This study has been approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of the hospital (Ethics No.: 2025003).
RESULTS:
Patient 1 was a 14-year-old girl, and patient 2 was a 23-year-old woman with insulin resistance. Both patients had hirsutism, acne, bilateral polycystic ovarian morphology, in addition with significantly elevated serum testosterone by chemiluminescence. The steroid hormone profiles of both patients suggested a significant increase in 17-hydroxyproesterone, normal cortisol and 11-deoxycortisol. Patient 2 additionally showed a significant rise in 21-deoxycortisol. The presentation of both patients was indicative of NCAH, which was also evidenced by their respective medical histories. Sanger sequencing of long fragment PCR amplification combined with multiplex ligation-dependent probe amplification (MLPA) revealed that patient 1 harbored a mild c.92C>T (p.P31L) variant and a severe variant with a large segmental deletion in CYP21A2. Patient 2 was finally confirmed by TGS to carry mild CYP21A2 variants in the 5' untranslated region (5' UTR) promotor region (c.-126C>T, c.-113G>A, c.-110T>C) and a severe c.293-13C/A>G variant. The promotor region variants had resulted in decompression of the long fragment P1X/P2 amplification, leading to homozygous result of Sanger sequencing for c.293-13C/A>G, which in turn halved the amplification signal for the wt-113 SNP probe. In addition, the wtI2G-A probe was enhanced by interference in the MLPA assay.
CONCLUSION
This study demonstrated that NCAH should be excluded when PCOS is accompanied by a significant increase in serum testosterone, that mass spectrometry of steroid hormone profiles containing 17-hydroxyprogesterone is useful for the detection of NCAH, and that TGS is advantageous in confirming the diagnosis of NCAH when compared with conventional genetic testing methods.
Humans
;
Female
;
Adrenal Hyperplasia, Congenital/blood*
;
Adolescent
;
Steroid 21-Hydroxylase/genetics*
;
Young Adult
;
Genetic Variation
;
Adult
8.Analysis of risk factors for myopia in preschool children
Kang LU ; Jie XIAO ; Youhai WANG ; Kangrui LIU ; Qing WANG
International Eye Science 2025;25(8):1363-1370
AIM: To investigate the risk factors of myopia, and provide evidence for the prevention and treatment of myopia in preschool children.METHODS:This is a retrospective case-control study. A total of 168 preschool-aged children(168 eyes)were enrolled from the ophthalmology department at Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao University between September 2021 and September 2023, selecting the eye with poorer vision for inclusion; the right eye was selected when both eyes had equal vision. Grouping criteria: Children with spherical equivalent(SE)>0 D and age-appropriate normal visual acuity(≥0.5 for ages 3-5; ≥0.7 for ages 6-7)were directly assigned to the non-myopia group. Children with SE <0 D underwent cycloplegic refraction after 3 days of 1% atropine sulfate gel application(three times daily). Those with SE ≤-0.50 D and failure to achieve age-normal visual acuity(<0.5 for ages 3-5; <0.7 for ages 6-7)were assigned to the myopia group, with 84 children(84 eyes)in each group. All participants underwent measurements of visual acuity, intraocular pressure, refraction, and ocular biometric parameters. Parents or guardians completed risk factor questionnaires during the visit, covering daily outdoor activity duration, daily electronic device usage/reading time, parental myopia status, maternal delivery mode, and full-term birth status.RESULTS:Significant differences were observed in uncorrected visual acuity, spherical power, SE, and axial length between the two groups of children(all P<0.05). No statistically significant differences were found in daily sleep duration, daily reading/homework time, maternal myopia status, mode of delivery, or full-term delivery status(all P>0.05). However, significant differences existed in daily outdoor activity time, daily electronic device usage duration, maternal myopia degree, paternal myopia degree, maternal age of myopia onset, and paternal age of myopia onset(all P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis identified the following risk factors for myopia in preschool children: daily outdoor activity under 2 h, daily electronic device use exceeding 60 min, maternal myopia degree, maternal early-onset myopia, paternal high myopia, and paternal early-onset myopia. Analysis of interaction effects children gender and myopia-related factors on SE revealed significant interactions of children gender with paternal myopia degree, maternal and paternal age of myopia onset(P<0.05). Simple effects analysis further demonstrated that girls exhibited higher degree of myopia than boys in families with paternal early-onset myopia, maternal early-onset myopia, or paternal high myopia(P<0.05).CONCLUSION:Insufficient daily outdoor activity time(under 1 h), daily electronic device use exceeding 60 min, and parental myopia are significant risk factors for myopia development in preschool children. Among these children, girls' refractive status was particularly associated with parental refractive status.
9.Application and clinical efficacy of red blood cell therapeutic apheresis in erythropoietic protoporphyria and hereditary hemochromatosis
Haoqiang LIU ; Caihan ZHAO ; Qing YUAN ; Lixia XIE ; Yong ZOU ; Ying LU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(7):915-921
Objective: To explore the application and clinical efficacy of red blood cell therapeutic apheresis in erythropoietic protoporphyria (EPP) and hereditary hemochromatosis (HH). Methods: 1) The EPP patient was hospitalized twice for "abdominal pain, nausea, vomiting, and brown urine". One and two sessions of red blood cell exchange/therapeutic plasma exchange (RCE/TPE) were respectively performed during the two hospitalizations. During each session, one RCE with 6-8 units of leukoreduced RBCs and 3-4 TPE procedures with 1 800-2 000 mL of frozen plasma was conducted. Biochemical parameters were monitored before and after treatment. 2) The HH patient was hospitalized for “repeatedly elevated aminotransferases”. Erythrocytapheresis was performed once, removing 550 mL of red blood cells, and venous phlebotomy was conducted once every 2 months subsequently. Blood routine and ferritin levels were assessed before and after treatment. Results: 1) During the first hospitalization, the EPP patient was relieved of the abdominal pain and brown urine after therapeutic apheresis. The total bilirubin level decreased from 141.8 μmol/L on admission to 68.6 μmol/L at discharge, with a symptom remission duration of 10 months. During the second hospitalization, the EPP patient still had recurrent abdominal pain after therapeutic apheresis. He developed psychiatric symptoms and gastrointestinal bleeding subsequently, accompanied by elevated bilirubin levels. Liver function deteriorated and the patient went into the state of the end-stage liver disease (ESLD). 2) For the HH patient, the hemoglobin level prior to erythrocytapheresis and vein phlebotomy was 150-160 g/L, with the lowest value occurring two days after erythrocytapheresis, decreasing to 107 g/L. The ferritin level before erythrocytapheresis was 2 428.08 ng/mL and it declined gradually after theraphy, with the lowest value occurring two months after erythrocytapheresis, decreasing to 1 094 ng/mL. The ferritin level was 1 114 ng/mL two months following the first vein phlebotomy, however it increased to 1 472 ng/mL two months after the second vein phlebotomy. Conclusion: RCE/TPE may alleviate protoporphyrin liver disease and help patients with bridging liver transplantation before EPP developments to ESLD. For HH patients with significantly elevated ferritin levels, erythrocytapheresis reduces serum ferritin more quickly and maintains its level longer relative to phlebotomy.
10.Timosaponin BⅡ Combined with Icariin Maintains Osteoclast-osteoblast Coupling by Restoring Yin-Yang Balance
Zaishi ZHU ; Zeling HUANG ; Weiye CAI ; Hua CHEN ; Boen SONG ; Yue LU ; Qing LU ; Xiaofeng SHEN
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2025;31(18):48-57
ObjectiveTo explore the effect of timosaponin BⅡ (TBⅡ) combined with icariin (ICA) on osteoclast (OC)-osteoblast (OB) coupling and decipher the mechanism from the cellular level. MethodsThe cell counting kit-8 (CCK-8) was used to assess the effects of different concentrations of TBⅡ and different concentrations of TBⅡ+ICA on the growth of RAW264.7 cells. Soluble receptor activator of nuclear factor-κB ligand (sRANKL) was used to induce the differentiation of RAW264.7 pre-osteoclasts into osteoclasts. The cells were allocated into sRANKL, TBⅡ (1, 5, 10 μmol·L-1), and TBⅡ+ICA groups. Tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase staining was performed to assess the effects of TBⅡ and TBⅡ+ICA on osteoclast differentiation. Real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR) was conducted to examine the effects of TBⅡ+ICA on the expression of key genes involved in osteoclast differentiation and osteoclast-derived coupling factors. The osteogenic differentiation conditioned medium mixed with osteoclast supernatant was used to induce osteogenic differentiation of MC3T3-E1 cells. Alkaline phosphatase staining and alizarin red S staining were employed to determine the effect of TBⅡ+ICA on osteogenic differentiation. Real-time PCR was employed to evaluate the effects of conditioned medium on key genes involved in osteogenic differentiation. ResultsTBⅡ at 1, 5, 10 μmol·L-1 had no significant effect on the cell survival rate. Compared with the sRANKL group, TBⅡ inhibited osteoclast differentiation in a dose-dependent manner and achieved the best effect at 10 μmol·L-1 (P<0.01). Compared with the sRANKL group, different concentrations of TBⅡ down-regulated the mRNA levels of osteoclast differentiation-related genes c-Fos, RANK, and RANKL (P<0.05). None of 10 μmol·L-1 TBⅡ, 10 μmol·L-1 TBⅡ+10-4 μmol·L-1 ICA, or 10 μmol·L-1 TBⅡ+10-3 μmol·L-1 ICA affected the viability of RAW264.7 cells. TBⅡ and/or ICA inhibited osteoclast differentiation (P<0.01), and TBⅡ + ICA had the best effect (P<0.01). Compared with the sRANKL group, TBⅡ and/or ICA down-regulated the mRNA levels of c-Fos, RANK, and RANKL (P<0.05). The single application of TBⅡ and ICA had no significant effect on the mRNA levels of Wnt10b, Cthrc1, and C3a, while TBⅡ+ICA exerted up-regulating effects (P<0.05). Compared with those in the blank group, the bone differentiation and mineralization abilities of the normal osteogenic induction group and each osteogenic induction + osteoclast supernatant group were improved (P<0.01). Compared with the blank group, the normal osteogenic induction group and the osteogenic induction + osteoclast supernatant group showed up-regulated mRNA levels of Runx2 and OCN (P<0.01). ConclusionTBⅡ+ICA can inhibit osteoclast differentiation, maintain the normal osteoclast-osteoblast coupling, and promote osteogenic differentiation.


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