OBJECTIVE:Based on different algorithms of machine learning,the prediction model of lumbar disc herniation has become a trend and hot spot in the development of precision medicine.However,there is limited evidence on the reporting quality and methodological quality of prediction models of lumbar disc herniation outcomes using machine learning.This article is aimed to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation by comprehensively analyzing the report quality and risk of bias of previous studies that developed and validated prognosis prediction models based on machine learning through a comprehensive literature search,in order to explore the performance of machine learning algorithms in predicting the prognosis of lumbar disc herniation.METHODS:The databases of CNKI,WanFang,VIP,SinOMED,PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,and The Cochrane Library were searched by computer.Studies on the use of machine learning to develop(and/or validate)prognostic prediction models for lumbar disc herniation were collected from the inception of the database to December 31,2023.Two researchers independently screened the literature,extracted data,and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies.The reporting quality and risk of bias of the included studies were assessed by the Multivariable Transparent Reporting of Predictive Models(TRIPOD)statement and the Predictive Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool(PROBAST).The results of the evaluation were analyzed using descriptive statistics and visual charts.RESULTS:(1)A total of 23 articles were included,and the TRIPOD compliance of each study ranged from 11％to 87％,with a median compliance of 54％.The quality of reporting of titles,detailed descriptions of treatment measures,blinding of predictors,handling of missing data,details of risk stratification,specific procedures for enrollment,model interpretation,and model performance was mostly poor,with TRIPOD adherence rates ranging from 4％to 35％.(2)Of all included studies,61％had a high risk of bias and 39％had an unclear overall risk of bias.The area under the curve,accuracy,sensitivity and specificity were used to evaluate the performance of the model.The areas under the curve of 20 models were reported,ranging from 0.561 to 0.999.Three models reported the accuracy of the model,ranging from 82.07％to 89.65％.(3)Among all included studies,the statistical analysis domain was most often assessed as having a high risk of bias,mainly due to the small number of valid samples,the selection of predictors based on univariate analysis and the lack of calibration and discrimination assessment of the model in the study.CONCLUSION:These results indicate that machine learning can achieve good predictive ability in the development and validation of prognostic models for lumbar disc herniation.The commonly used algorithms include regression algorithm,support vector machine,decision tree,random forest,artificial neural network,naive Bayes and other algorithms.Reasonable algorithms combined with clinical practice can improve the accuracy of prognosis prediction of lumbar disc herniation.However,the reporting and methodological quality of prognosis prediction models based on machine learning are poor,the prediction performance of different models varies greatly,and the generalization and extrapolation of research models are unclear.There is an urgent need to improve the design,implementation and reporting of such studies.To promote the application of machine learning in the clinical practice of lumbar disc herniation prediction models,it is necessary to comprehensively consider various predictors related to the prognosis of the disease before modeling,and strictly follow the relevant standards of PROBAST tool during modeling.

Objective:To investigate the main causes of failed endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) in children and the remedial treatment strategies.Methods:This retrospective cohort study analyzed the clinical data of 21 children who experienced failed ERCP at Beijing Children′s Hospital, Capital Medical University between January 2021 and December 2024. Data was collected included demographic information, clinical diagnoses, and ERCP outcomes. The annually trend in the ERCP failure rate was analyzed. Patients were categorized by etiology into the following groups: chronic pancreatitis, post-surgical status, pancreatic trauma, pancreas divisum, non-neoplastic pancreatic lesions, and ulcerative colitis. The relationship between etiologies and ERCP failure was analyzed by Fisher exact test.Results:A total of 175 ERCP procedures were included, of which 21 procedures failed (12.0%). The failure rate decreased annually from 2021 to 2024: 18.2% (4/22), 13.2% (5/38), 11.4% (5/44), and 9.9% (7/71), respectively. The etiological distribution among the 21 failed cases was as follows: chronic pancreatitis 28.6% (6/21), pancreatic duct stenosis following pancreatic trauma 23.8% (5/21), post-surgical status 14.3% (3/21), pancreas divisum 9.5% (2/21), acute pancreatitis 9.5% (2/21), non-neoplastic pancreatic lesions 9.5% (2/21), and pancreatic duct stenosis associated with ulcerative colitis 4.8% (1/21). Remedial treatments included surgical intervention (2 cases), ultrasound-guided percutaneous drainage (3 cases), and repeat ERCP (2 cases). For post-surgical and pancreatic trauma patients, failure was primarily due to bile duct stenosis, pancreatic duct stenosis, or pancreaticobiliary duct disruption. Active surgical interventions such as cholangiojejunostomy and pancreaticojejunostomy, and ultrasound-guided drainage following ERCP failure led to significant clinical improvement.Conclusions:A stratified management approach guided by etiology is essential following failed ERCP in children. Early and active remedial treatment, particularly surgical interventions, is recommended for post-surgical and pancreatic trauma cases.

To thoroughly implement the strategic deployment outlined in the Opinions of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council on Promoting the Inheritance and Innovative Development of Traditional Chinese Medicine regarding research on dominant diseases of traditional Chinese medicine and to uphold the development philosophy of equal emphasis on traditional Chinese medicine and western medicine，the China Association of Chinese Medicine has fully played a leading academic role by systematically organizing and conducting a series of academic youth salons on clinical dominant diseases of traditional Chinese medicine. On September 13，2024，the 36^th Youth Salon on Clinical Dominant Diseases was successfully held in Nanjing，focusing on the advantages of traditional Chinese medicine and the integrative traditional Chinese medicine and western medicine in the diagnosis and treatment of erectile dysfunction （ED）. The conference brought together leading experts from traditional Chinese medicine，western medicine，and interdisciplinary fields，facilitating in-depth multidisciplinary discussions that led to key consensus on optimizing traditional Chinese medicine treatment protocols for ED，researching and developing new drugs of traditional Chinese medicine，and advancing interdisciplinary development in traditional Chinese medicine. This salon systematically sorted out the clinical strengths and distinctive features of traditional Chinese medicine in the diagnosis and treatment of ED. Based on current research foundations and clinical needs，it identified key directions for future scientific layout and scientific research tackling： （1） Standardization of syndrome differentiation system of traditional Chinese medicine for ED. （2） Optimization and standardization of intervention methods of integrated traditional Chinese medicine and western medicine. （3） High-quality clinical research guided by evidence-based medicine. （4） In-depth analysis of the pharmacological mechanisms of traditional Chinese medicine in the treatment of ED. （5） Clinical translation and application promotion of new drugs of traditional Chinese medicine. （6） Interdisciplinary integration and innovation in traditional Chinese medicine. For each research direction，key focus areas，expected objectives，and clinical value were further refined，along with the establishment of a scientifically sound priority funding level evaluation system. Therefore，building on the series of salons on the ED-focused dominant diseases of traditional Chinese medicine，this paper provides standardized guidance for clinical practice of traditional Chinese medicine in ED management，effectively contributing to the high-quality development of traditional Chinese medicine. It serves as a valuable reference for national scientific and technological strategic layout， research and development decision-making in new drugs of traditional Chinese medicine，research topic planning，and clinical guideline formulation.

AIM:To investigate the effect of ranibizumab on blood flow density in different regions of the macula in patients with macular edema(ME)secondary to ischemic and non-ischemic branch retinal vein occlusion(BRVO).METHODS:This retrospective study enrolled patients with BRVO-ME who were treated at the hospital from September 2019 to March 2021. Patients were divided into ischemic and non-ischemic groups based on fundus findings. All patients received intravitreal injections of ranibizumab once monthly for three consecutive months. Best corrected visual acuity(BCVA), central macular thickness(CMT), and macular blood flow density were measured before treatment and at 1 d, 1 wk, 1 and 3 mo after treatment.RESULTS: A total of 46 patients(46 eyes)with BRVO-ME were included, comprising 21 eyes in the ischemic group(7 males, 14 females; mean age 55.81±10.36 y)and 25 eyes in the non-ischemic group(11 males, 14 females; mean age 54.84±9.81 y). At 3 mo after treatment, BCVA(LogMAR)in the non-ischemic group was superior to that in the ischemic group(0.19±0.19 vs 0.38±0.27, P=0.009). Analysis of CMT changes showed that the reduction amplitude in the ischemic group was significantly greater than that in the non-ischemic group at both 1 and 3 mo after treatment(all P<0.05). Blood flow densities in the whole, parafoveal, and perifoveal regions of the superficial capillary plexus(SCP), as well as in the whole and perifoveal regions of the deep capillary plexus(DCP), were significantly lower in ischemic patients than in non-ischemic patients, while blood flow density in the foveal region of DCP was significantly higher in the ischemic group(all P<0.05).CONCLUSION: Ranibizumab is effective for both types of patients. Non-ischemic patients have a better long-term visual prognosis, and the advantage may be related to better blood flow perfusion patterns in specific areas 3 mo after treatment. Monitoring changes in blood flow density in these areas can help provide personalized treatment for patients.

OBJECTIVE To prepare the β -cyclodextrin （ β -CD） inclusion complex with volatile oil from Qianghuo qushi qingwen granules， and to characterize and quantitatively analyze the inclusion complex. METHODS The comprehensive scores calculated by inclusion rate and inclusion compound yield were used as indicators for screening the inclusion method. The single-factor experiments and Box-Behnken response surface experiments were used to op timize the inclusion conditions， with the above comprehensive score as response value， and taking the ratio of β -CD to volatile oil， inclusion temperature and inclusion time as indexes. The volatile oil inclusion complex of Qianghuo qushi qingwen granules was prepared according to the determined optimal process， followed by validation. Ultraviolet （UV）-visible spectroscopy， thin-layer chromatography （TLC）， and microscopic imaging were also performed. Ultra-high performance liquid chromatography was used to determine the contents of perillaldehyde， pogostone and atractylodin. RESULTS The saturation aqueous solution method was adopted. The optimal inclusion process conditions were as follows： the ratio of β -CD to volatile oil was 7.5∶1， the inclusion temperature was 40 ℃， and the inclusion time was 2.2 h. In three verification experiments， the average inclusion rate was 72.32%， the average yield of inclusion compound was 74.45%， the average comprehensive score was 72.96 points， and the relative error with the predicted value （74.15 points） of the model was 1.61%. UV-visible spectroscopy， TLC and microscopic imaging showed that β -CD and volatile oil successfully formed a new inclusion complex. The average contents of perillaldehyde， pogostone and atractylodin were 4.498 2， 0.814 9， 0.905 7 mg/g， respectively， with RSDs of 0.31%， 0.56% and 0.63% （ n ＝3）. CONCLUSIONS A stable and feasible preparation process of the volatile oil inclusion complex of Qianghuo qushi qingwen granules is successfully established.

Objective To analyze the incidence of congenital syphilis in four regions of China from 2005 to 2020 and predict its change trend, and to provide a scientific basis for the prevention and control of congenital syphilis. Methods The incidence data of congenital syphilis in eastern, western, central and northeastern China from 2005 to 2020 were collected. The annual change percentage (APC) and average annual change percentage (AAPC) were calculated by Joinpoint software, and the change trend was analyzed. The ARIMA model was established by SPSS26.0 software to predict the incidence from 2021 to 2025. Results From 2005 to 2020, there were 107 504 cases of congenital syphilis, and the incidence reached the peak in 2011, which was 0.90/100 000, and decreased to 0.09/100 000 in 2020. The incidence of congenital syphilis in the eastern, central, western, and northeastern regions of China decreased to 0.07/100 000, 0.06/100 000, 0.12/100 000, and 0.15/100 000 in 2020, respectively. Joinpoint regression analysis found that from 2005 to 2020, the incidence of congenital syphilis showed a downward trend in the whole country (AAPC=-8.68%, t=-5.18, P＜0.05), the eastern region (AAPC=-12.01%, t=-6.81, P＜0.05), the central region (AAPC=-5.45%, t=-2.09, P＜0.05), and the western region (AAPC=-6.05%, t=-3.00, P＜0.05), while the incidence in the northeast region was relatively stable (AAPC=-1.66%, t=-1.18，P＞0.05). The ARIMA (2,2,0) model was constructed to predict that the annual incidence of congenital syphilis from 2021 to 2025 would be 0.06/100,000, 0.03/100,000, 0.02/100,000, 0.01/100,000, and 0.01/100,000, respectively. Conclusion From 2005 to 2020, the incidence of congenital syphilis in China shows an overall downward trend. The western and northeastern regions are the key prevention and control areas, and the work of ^"eliminating mother to child transmission of syphilis^" needs to be continuously promoted.

The importance of consensus research in medical decision-making has become increasinglyprominent. However, this field has long lacked unified terminology definitions and reporting standards, leading to significant heterogeneity in study design, implementation, and result presentation that affects the credibility and reproducibility of outcomes. The ACCurate COnsensus Reporting Document (ACCORD) in the field of biomedical research provides a structured writing framework for various consensus methods such as the Delphi method and nominal group technique, aiming to enhance the completeness and transparency of study reports. Combined with specific cases, this article interprets the core items of ACCORD, offering references for the design, implementation, and reporting of high-quality consensus research in China.

OBJECTIVE To conduct a comprehensive clinical evaluation of four nucleoside （acid） analogues that have been approved and marketed in China， such as entecavir， tenofovir disoproxil fumarate， tenofovir alafenamide fumarate， and tenofovir amibufenamide. METHODS According to the Guideline for the Administration of Clinical Comprehensive Evaluation of Drugs （2021 edition， trial implementation）， a comprehensive search was conducted across databases including CNKI， Wanfang Data， VIP， PubMed， the Cochrane Library， Embase， as well as relevant official websites. Drug package inserts， guidelines， consensus statements， and relevant literature for the four drugs were collected and subjected to a comprehensive evaluation across six dimensions： safety， efficacy， cost-effectiveness， innovativeness， suitability， and accessibility. RESULTS The scores for entecavir in terms of safety， efficacy， cost-effectiveness， innovativeness， suitability， and accessibility-along with its comprehensive score-were 13， 14， 13， 10， 18， and 6， totaling 74 points. For tenofovir disoproxil fumarate， the respective scores were 13， 17， 18， 8， 18， and 7， totaling 81 points. For tenofovir alafenamide fumarate， the scores were 14， 20， 12， 8， 18， and 5， totaling 77 points. Finally， for tenofovir amibufenamide， the scores were 10.5， 17， 10， 6， 15， and 4， totaling 62.5 points. CONCLUSIONS Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate， with the highest score， is recommended as the first-line option， suitable for adults， children， and pregnant women. However， caution is warranted for potential renal impairment. Tenofovir alafenamide fumarate is recommended as a second-line alternative， particularly for individuals at high risk for bone and renal damage. Entecavir has a score similar to tenofovir alafenamide fumarate but requires dosing on an empty stomach and dose adjustment based on renal function of patients. Tenofovir amibufenamide received the lowest score and is considered a weak recommendation. The clinical application of these nucleoside （acid） analogues should be individualized based on the patient’s age， physiological status， and risk factors.

Objective: To analyze the impact of premature death due to four major chronic diseases on life expectancy in Yangpu District, Shanghai Municipality from 2010 to 2021, so as to provide the evidence for formulating chronic disease prevention and control strategies. Methods : Mortality data of registered residents in Yangpu District from 2010 to 2021 were collected through the Death Information Registration and Management System of the Shanghai Municipal Disease Control and Prevention Information Management Platform. The premature death probability of malignant tumors, diabetes, cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases, and chronic respiratory diseases, and life expectancy of residents were calculated using the abridged life table method. Trends in premature death probability for four types of chronic diseases were analyzed using the average annual percent change (AAPC). The impact of premature death probability due to four chronic diseases on life expectancy was assessed by Arriaga's decomposition method. Results : The premature death probability due to four major chronic diseases in Yangpu District decreased from 9.88% in 2010 to 9.22% in 2021, showing an overall declining trend (AAPC=-0.540%, P<0.05). Among females, the premature death probability declined from 6.71% to 4.90% (AAPC=-2.715%, P<0.05), whereas no statistically significant trend was observed in males (P>0.05). Life expectancy increased from 82.52 years in 2010 to 84.50 years in 2021, with an overall upward trend (AAPC=0.244%, P<0.05). Life expectancy rose by 1.71 years for males and 2.34 years for females (AAPC=0.197% and 0.303%,both P<0.05). Declines in premature death probability from malignant tumors (AAPC=-0.967%, P< 0.05) and chronic respiratory diseases (AAPC=-3.071%, P<0.05) contributed to gains in life expectancy of 0.30 years and 0.03 years, with contribution rates of 12.18% and 1.29%, respectively. Changes in premature death probability due to diabetes as well as cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases were not statistically significant (both P>0.05), resulting in reductions in life expectancy of 0.05 years and 0.10 years, with contribution rates of -2.40% and -5.05%, respectively. Notably, an increase in premature death probability due to cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases among males (AAPC=1.673%) contributed to a decrease of 0.22 years in male life expectancy, whereas a decrease among females (AAPC=-3.824%) contributed to an increase of 0.03 years in female life expectancy, with contribution rates of -13.03% and 1.14%, respectively. Conclusions From 2010 to 2021, Yangpu District experienced an overall decline in premature death probability due to four major chronic diseases and an increase in life expectancy. Greater attention should be paid to the negative impacts of premature death probability from diabetes as well as cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases among males on life expectancy.

OBJECTIVE To form an expert consensus addressing clinical issues regarding the use of parenteral direct thrombin inhibitors （DTIs） in special populations. METHODS Led by the Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences & Sichuan Provincial People’s Hospital（the Affiliated Hospital of UESTC）， a multidisciplinary working group was formed comprising experts from multiple fields， including clinical pharmacy， cardiac surgery， obstetrics， pediatrics and evidence-based medicine. Through literature review and the Delphi method， clinical questions regarding the efficacy and safety of parenteral DTIs used in special populations were identified. A structured design was adopted using the “Population-Intervention-Comparison-Outcome” （PICO） framework；systematic searches were conducted in CJFD， PubMed， Embase and other databases. Relevant evidence from randomized controlled trials，cohort studies and systematic reviews were included and synthesized. Evidence quality was assessed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment，Development and Evaluation （GRADE） approach， and recommendations were formulated through three rounds of Delphi surveys and expert consensus meetings. RESULTS &CONCLUSIONS Seven clinical questions were ultimately selected （with a consensus rate exceeding 90%）， resulting in the formulation of seven recommendations on the use of parenteral DTIs in special populations， including children， pregnant women， patients with hepatic or renal impairment， patients with mesenteric venous thrombosis， and individuals with thrombophilia. These recommendations clarify the preferred agents， dosing ranges， monitoring parameters， and safety management strategies for parenteral DTIs in these special populations. This expert consensus， which is formulated based on the best available evidence， provides evidence-based guidance for standardized and individualized use of parenteral DTIs in special populations.