1.Trends of heart disease death and prediction of life expectancy without cause of death in Qidong City in 1990-2019
Lulu DING ; Yonghui ZHANG ; Yuanyou XYU ; Yongsheng CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Jian ZHU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2024;35(2):30-33
Objective To analyze the trend of heart disease death and the life expectancy without cause of death in Qidong City, Jiangsu Province from 1990 to 2019, and to provide reference for the prevention and control of heart disease. Methods Data on heart disease deaths among residents in Qidong City from 1990 to 2019 were collected through the Qidong City Death Registration and Monitoring System. The crude mortality rate (CR) and Chinese age-standardized mortality rate (CASR), potential years of life loss (PYLL), average years of life loss (AYLL), potential life loss years rate (PYLLR), life expectancy, and life expectancy without cause of death were calculated, and the annual percentage change (APC) was used to analyze the trend of heart disease death. Using SAS9.2 software, the death trend prediction was conducted by the ARIMA model in time series analysis. Results From 1990 to 2019, 27,762 residents died of heart disease in Qidong City, with a CR of 81.20/100 000 and an APC of 3.734%. There were 12 358 deaths of heart disease in men, with a CR of 73.24/100 000 and an APC of 3.86%, while there were 15 404 deaths of heart disease in women, with a CR of 88.95/100 000 and an APC of 3.63%. CR showed an upward trend (all P < 0.001). The PYLL for heart disease was 66 192.00 person-years, the AYLL was 13.23 person-years, and the PYLLR was 2.16‰. The life expectancy loss from heart disease was gradually increasing: 0.89 years in 1990 to 1.85 years in 2019, with an APC of 0.405% (P<0.001, a statistically significant trend). The prediction results showed that in 2029, the life expectancy after heart disease would reach 88.17 years. Conclusion From 1990 to 2019, the crude mortality rate of heart disease in Qidong City has showed an increasing trend, leading to an increasing loss of life due to heart disease year by year. The mortality rate and life loss of heart disease in women are higher than those in men. Targeted intervention measures should be further adopted to reduce the mortality rate of heart disease among residents in Qidong.
2.Risk factors for liver cancer in chronic hepatitis B patients and construction of a nomogram prediction model
Yichen ZHU ; Chunxia SHA ; Chunsun FAN ; Tiejun ZHANG
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2024;40(12):2441-2449
ObjectiveTo investigate the risk factors for liver cancer in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in the Qidong Chronic Hepatitis B cohort, and to construct a nomogram model for predicting the risk of liver cancer in CHB patients. MethodsA structured questionnaire survey was conducted among the CHB patients, aged ≥18 years, who attended the outpatient service of Qidong Third People’s Hospital from January 1 to December 31, 2016. The onset of liver cancer was defined as the primary outcome, and the outcomes of the cohort were obtained from Qidong Cancer Registry. Baseline clinical features were compared ;between the liver cancer group and the non-liver cancer group. The independent-samples t test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. The Cox regression model was used to analyze the risk factors for liver cancer in CHB patients and calculate their hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI); the variables with statistical significance in the univariate Cox regression analysis were included in the LASSO regression analysis, and then the variables obtained were included in the multivariate Cox regression analysis to establish a predictive model. The nomogram was used to visualize the complex model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, index of concordance (C-index), and the calibration curve were used to assess the predictive efficacy of the model, and the decision curve was used to evaluate the clinical practicability of the nomogram. ResultsA total of 1 479 CHB patients were selected, among whom 58 patients with a confirmed diagnosis of liver cancer, 15 with missing data on testing indicators, and 164 with missing data on important information in the questionnaire were excluded, and finally 1 242 subjects were included in the study. Up to December 31, 2023, there were 67 new cases of liver cancer after a median follow-up time of 7.71 years, and the incidence density of liver cancer was 729.78/100,000 person-years. There were significant differences between the liver cancer group and the non-liver cancer group in age, sex, educational level, liver cirrhosis, duration of liver cirrhosis, history of diabetes mellitus, albumin, total bilirubin (TBil), direct bilirubin, aspartate aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT), and alkaline phosphatase (all P<0.05). The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that the increase in age (HR=1.07, 95%CI: 1.05 — 1.10, P<0.001), a relatively high level of TBil (HR=1.98, 95%CI: 1.15 — 3.42, P=0.014), a relatively high level of GGT (HR=2.41, 95%CI: 1.43 — 4.08, P=0.001), and a long duration of liver cirrhosis (HR=1.09, 95%CI: 1.02 — 1.15, P=0.009) were independent risk factors for liver cancer in CHB patients. A nomogram prediction model was constructed based on the above four indicators, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.790, 0.845, and 0.829, respectively, in predicting the risk of liver cancer in CHB patients at 1, 3, and 5 years, and the bootstrap resampling method was used for internal validation and showed a C-index of 0. 778. The calibration curve showed that the prediction model had good stability, and the decision curve showed that it had certain clinical practicability. ConclusionThe increase in age, relatively high levels of TBil and GGT, and a long duration of liver cirrhosis are independent risk factors for liver cancer in CHB patients, and the nomogram model constructed based on these factors has a good predictive value and can be used in clinical practice to help develop strategies for the long-term monitoring of liver cancer.
3.Characteristics and influencing factors of cognitive impairment in children with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder
Yuanyuan Huang ; Qidong Zhu ; Fengchen Wang ; Feng Geng ; Yulong Zhang ; Ling Zhang ; Huanzhong Liu
Acta Universitatis Medicinalis Anhui 2023;58(8):1387-1392
Objective :
The differences of cognitive impairment between children with attention deficit hyperactivity
disorder (ADHD) and normal children were compared , the influencing factors of cognitive impairment of children with ADHD were analyzed .
Methods :
A total of 133 children with ADHD were selected as the ADHD group , and 117 normal children were recruited as the control group . The severity of the subjects ′ clinical symptoms was assessed using the Swanson , Nolan , & Pelham Rating Scale⁃Fourth Edition ( SNAP⁃IV) and the Weiss Functional Impairment Rating Scale . The degree of cognitive functional impairment of subjects was assessed using the MATRICS cognitive suite (MCBB) , and the executive function impairment of the subjects was assessed by the Behavior Rating Inventory of Executive Function ( BRIEF) . The differences in cognitive functional impairment of the two groups were compared . The children with ADHD were further divided into three groups according to their clinical phenotype and age , respectively , and the differences of cognitive impairment among the three groups were compared . The influencing factors of the degree of cognitive impairment in children with ADHD were analyzed by multiple linear regression . The improvement of methylphenidate sustained⁃release tablets on cognitive and executive functional impairment in children with ADHD was observed .
Results :
The scores of SNAP⁃IV , Weiss Functional Impairment Rating Scale , connection test and BRIEF of ADHD patients were significantly higher than those of normal controls (P < 0. 05) . The scores of symbol coding test and maze test of ADHD patients were significantly lower than those of normal controls (P < 0. 05) . The score of symbol encoding test in children with ADHD⁃HI was significantly higher than that in ADHD⁃I and ADHD⁃C groups (P < 0. 05) , and the total BRIEF score of ADHD⁃C was significantly higher than that in ADHD⁃I and ADHD⁃HI groups (P < 0. 05) . With the increase of age , the score of connection test of ADHD children gradually decreased , while the scores of symbol coding test and maze test gradually increased (P < 0. 05) . The results of multiple linear regression analysis showed that age was the influencing factor of ADHD children ′s score in the connection test , symbol coding test and maze test (P < 0. 05) ; the scores of SNAP⁃IV and Weiss Functional Impairment Rating Scale were the influencing factors of BRIEF score of ADHD children (P < 0. 05) . After methylphenidate treatment , the scores of connection testand BRIEF significantly decreased (P < 0. 001) , while the scores of symbol coding test and maze test significantly increased (P < 0. 001) .
Conclusion
The younger the age and the more serious the clinical symptoms related to ADHD suggest that the cognitive impairment of children with ADHD is more serious . After methylphenidate treatment , the degree of cognitive and executive impairment in children with ADHD are improved .
4.Long-term trend analysis of liver cancer survival rate in Qidong region, Jiangsu Province, 1972-2019.
Yong Sheng CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Lu Lu DING ; Yuan You XU ; Yong Hui ZHANG ; Jian Guo CHEN ; Jian ZHU ; Jian FAN
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2023;31(6):634-639
Objective: To analyze the incidence and survival rate of liver cancer cases in the entire population in the Qidong region from 1972 to 2019, so as to provide a basis for prognosis evaluation, prevention, and treatment. Methods: The observed survival rate (OSR) and relative survival rate (RSR) of 34 805 cases of liver cancer in the entire Qidong region population from 1972 to 2019 were calculated using Hakulinen's method with SURV3.01 software. Hakulinen's likelihood ratio test was used for statistical analysis. Age-standardized relative survival (ARS) was calculated using the International Cancer Survival Standard. The Joinpoint regression analysis was performed with Joinpoint 4.7.0.0 software to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of the liver cancer survival rate. Results: 1-ASR increased from 13.80% in 1972-1977 to 50.20% in 2014-2019, while 5-ASR increased from 1.27% in 1972-1977 to 27.64% in 2014-2019. The upward trend of RSR over eight periods was statistically significant (χ (2) = 3045.29, P < 0.001). Among them, male 5-ASR was 0.90%, 1.80%, 2.33%, 4.92%, 5.43%, 7.05%, 10.78%, and 27.78%, and female 5-ASR was 2.33%, 1.51%, 3.35%, 3.92%, 3.84%, 7.18%, 11.45%, and 29.84%, respectively. There was a statistically significant difference in RSR between males and females (χ (2) = 45.68, P < 0.001). The 5-RSR for each age group of 25-34 years old, 35-44 years old, 45-54 years old, 55-64 years old, 65-74 years old, and 75 years old were 4.92%, 5.29%, 8.17%, 11.70%, 11.63%, and 9.60%, respectively. There were statistically significant differences in RSR among different age groups (χ (2) = 501.29, P < 0.001). The AAPC in Qidong region from 1972 to 2019 for 1-ARS, 3-ASR, and 5-ARS were 5.26% (t = 12.35, P < 0.001), 8.10% (t = 15.99, P < 0.001), and 8.96 % (t = 16.06, P < 0.001), respectively. The upward trend was statistically significant in all cases. The AAPC of 5-ARS was 9.82% in males (t = 14.14, P < 0.001), and 8.79% in females (t = 11.48, P < 0.001), and the upward trend was statistically significant in both. The AAPC of 25-34 years old, 35-44 years old, 45-54 years old, 55-64 years old, 65-74 years old, and 75 years old were 5.37% (t = 5.26, P = 0.002), 5.22% (t = 5.66, P = 0.001), 7.20% (t = 6.88, P < 0.001), 10.00% (t = 12.58, P < 0.001), 9.96% (t = 7.34, P < 0.001) and 8.83% (t = 3.51, P = 0.013), and the upward trend was statistically significant. Conclusion: The overall survival rate of registered cases of liver cancer in the Qidong region's entire population has greatly improved, but there is still much room for improvement. Hence, constant attention should be paid to the study on preventing and treating liver cancer.
Male
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Humans
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Female
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Adult
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Middle Aged
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Aged
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Survival Rate
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Liver Neoplasms/epidemiology*
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Prognosis
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Incidence
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Software
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China/epidemiology*
5.Metabolic Disease Management Guideline for National Metabolic Management Center(2nd edition)
Weiqing WANG ; Yufan WANG ; Guixia WANG ; Guang NING ; Dalong ZHU ; Ping LIU ; Libin LIU ; Jianmin LIU ; Zhaoli YAN ; Xulei TANG ; Bangqun JI ; Sunjie YAN ; Heng SU ; Jianling DU ; Sheli LI ; Li LI ; Shengli WU ; Jinsong KUANG ; Yubo SHA ; Ping ZHANG ; Yifei ZHANG ; Lei CHEN ; Zunhai ZHOU ; Chao ZHENG ; Qidong ZHENG ; Zhongyan SHAN ; Dong ZHAO ; Zhigang ZHAO ; Ling HU ; Tingyu KE ; Yu SHI ; Yingfen QIN ; Mingjun GU ; Xuejiang GU ; Fengmei XU ; Zuhua GAO ; Qijuan DONG ; Yi SHU ; Yuancheng DAI
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2023;39(6):538-554
The latest epidemiological data suggests that the situation of adult diabetes in China is severe, and metabolic diseases have become significant chronic illnesses that have a serious impact on public health and social development. After more than six years of practice, the National Metabolic Management Center(MMC) has developed distinctive approaches to manage metabolic patients and has achieved a series of positive outcomes, continuously advancing the standardized diagnosis and treatment model. In order to further improve the efficiency, based on the first edition, the second edition guideline was composed by incorporating experience of the past six years in conjunction with the latest international and domestic guidelines.
6.An analysis of long-term survival trends for nasopharyngeal carcinoma in Qidong, Jiangsu.
Yong Sheng CHEN ; Jian ZHU ; Jun WANG ; Hai Hui SHI
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2023;45(9):773-778
Objective: To analyze the survival of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients in Qidong from 1972 to 2016, and provide a basis for the prognosis evaluation and prevention for nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients. Methods: A total of 1 060 registered nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients were followed up for survival outcomes until December 31, 2021. Observed survival rate (OSR) and relative survival rate (RSR) was calculated by Hakulinen method in SURV3.01 software, and Hakulinen's likelihood ratio test was used for statistical difference comparison. Age-standardized relative survival rate (ARSR) was calculated according to the International Cancer Survival Standard (ICSS). Joinpoint 4.7.0.0 software was used to conduct the annual average percentage change (AAPC) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma survival rate. The period from 1972 to 2016 is divided into 9 periods for grouping processing according to 5 years. Results: The OSR of nasopharyngeal carcinoma at 1, 5, 10 years were 63.02%, 34.70% and 24.72%, the RSR at 1, 5, 10 years were 64.44%, 38.98% and 31.64%, respectively. The uptrends of RSR in the nine periods were statistically significant (χ(2)=112.16, P<0.001). The 1, 5, 10 years RSR for males were 62.66%, 35.89% and 27.94%, while the 1, 5, 10 years RSR for females were 68.30%, 45.67% and 39.68%, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference in RSR between males and females (χ(2)=14.16, P=0.656). The 5-year RSR for the age groups of 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, and over 75 years old were 52.83%, 40.92%, 42.64%, 38.65%, 27.23% and 28.88%, respectively. There was a statistically significant difference in RSR among different age groups (χ(2)=42.33, P=0.003). Moreover, the ARSR of nasopharyngeal carcinoma at 1, 5, 10 years were 63.64%, 37.33% and 27.10%, for males were 61.82%, 35.60% and 25.20%, for females were 68.36%, 43.12% and 32.93%. Period trend showed that the AAPC of 5-ARSR was 2.71% (t=7.47, P<0.001) from 1972 to 2016 in Qidong. The AAPC of 5-ARSR in males and females were 2.63% (t=4.98, P=0.002) and 2.71% (t=6.08, P=0.001). There was statistically significant increase in 5-year ARSR among both genders. Furthermore, the AAPC of 5-year RSR among 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-74 and 75+ years old were 2.16% (t=4.28, P=0.004), 3.38% (t=5.06, P=0.001), 1.99% (t=2.82, P=0.026), 2.82% (t=3.39, P=0.012), 2.20% (t=2.82, P=0.026) and -0.91% (t=-0.42, P=0.689), respectively. Except for the 75+ years old age group, the other age groups were significantly upward trend. Conclusions: The overall survival rate of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in Qidong from 1972 to 2016 has shown an upward trend. It is necessary to introduce standardized multi-disciplinary treatment mode to improve treatment effect and survival rate.
Humans
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Male
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Female
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Aged
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Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma
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Survival Rate
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Prognosis
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Software
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Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms
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China/epidemiology*
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Incidence
7.An analysis of long-term survival trends for nasopharyngeal carcinoma in Qidong, Jiangsu.
Yong Sheng CHEN ; Jian ZHU ; Jun WANG ; Hai Hui SHI
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2023;45(9):773-778
Objective: To analyze the survival of nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients in Qidong from 1972 to 2016, and provide a basis for the prognosis evaluation and prevention for nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients. Methods: A total of 1 060 registered nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients were followed up for survival outcomes until December 31, 2021. Observed survival rate (OSR) and relative survival rate (RSR) was calculated by Hakulinen method in SURV3.01 software, and Hakulinen's likelihood ratio test was used for statistical difference comparison. Age-standardized relative survival rate (ARSR) was calculated according to the International Cancer Survival Standard (ICSS). Joinpoint 4.7.0.0 software was used to conduct the annual average percentage change (AAPC) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma survival rate. The period from 1972 to 2016 is divided into 9 periods for grouping processing according to 5 years. Results: The OSR of nasopharyngeal carcinoma at 1, 5, 10 years were 63.02%, 34.70% and 24.72%, the RSR at 1, 5, 10 years were 64.44%, 38.98% and 31.64%, respectively. The uptrends of RSR in the nine periods were statistically significant (χ(2)=112.16, P<0.001). The 1, 5, 10 years RSR for males were 62.66%, 35.89% and 27.94%, while the 1, 5, 10 years RSR for females were 68.30%, 45.67% and 39.68%, respectively. There was no statistically significant difference in RSR between males and females (χ(2)=14.16, P=0.656). The 5-year RSR for the age groups of 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, and over 75 years old were 52.83%, 40.92%, 42.64%, 38.65%, 27.23% and 28.88%, respectively. There was a statistically significant difference in RSR among different age groups (χ(2)=42.33, P=0.003). Moreover, the ARSR of nasopharyngeal carcinoma at 1, 5, 10 years were 63.64%, 37.33% and 27.10%, for males were 61.82%, 35.60% and 25.20%, for females were 68.36%, 43.12% and 32.93%. Period trend showed that the AAPC of 5-ARSR was 2.71% (t=7.47, P<0.001) from 1972 to 2016 in Qidong. The AAPC of 5-ARSR in males and females were 2.63% (t=4.98, P=0.002) and 2.71% (t=6.08, P=0.001). There was statistically significant increase in 5-year ARSR among both genders. Furthermore, the AAPC of 5-year RSR among 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-74 and 75+ years old were 2.16% (t=4.28, P=0.004), 3.38% (t=5.06, P=0.001), 1.99% (t=2.82, P=0.026), 2.82% (t=3.39, P=0.012), 2.20% (t=2.82, P=0.026) and -0.91% (t=-0.42, P=0.689), respectively. Except for the 75+ years old age group, the other age groups were significantly upward trend. Conclusions: The overall survival rate of nasopharyngeal carcinoma in Qidong from 1972 to 2016 has shown an upward trend. It is necessary to introduce standardized multi-disciplinary treatment mode to improve treatment effect and survival rate.
Humans
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Male
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Female
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Aged
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Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma
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Survival Rate
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Prognosis
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Software
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Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms
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China/epidemiology*
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Incidence
8.Long-term trend of gastric cancer survival rate in Qidong, 1972-2016.
Chen XUE ; Lu Lu DING ; Jun WANG ; Yong Sheng CHEN ; Yong Hui ZHANG ; Jian Guo CHEN ; Jian ZHU ; Jing XIAO
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2022;44(12):1352-1356
Objective: The survival rate of gastric cancer cases in the whole population of Qidong City of Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2016 was analyzed to provide a data basis for prevention and control of gastric cancer. Methods: The observed survival rate (OSR) was calculated by the life table method, the relative survival rate (RSR) was calculated by SURV 3.01 software, and the trend test was performed by Hakulinen's likelihood ratio test. Age-standardized relative survival rate (ARSR) was calculated using the International Cancer Survival Standard (ICSS). The Joinpoint regression model was used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of survival rate, and the trend analysis of the overall survival rate of gastric cancer and the survival rates of different sexes and ages was conducted. The ARIMA model was used to predict the survival rate. Results: From 1972 to 2016, there were 18 067 new cases of gastric cancer in Qidong City. The OSRs at 1, 5, and 10 years were 37.12%, 17.16%, and 12.86%, respectively, and the RSRs at 1, 5, and 10 years were 38.83%, 21.73%, and 21.20%. Dividing 1972-2016 into 9 periods at 5-year intervals, compared with 1972-1976, the 5-year RSR in 2012-2016 increased from 12.53% to 36.26%, and the RSR in the 9 periods increased with statistical significance (χ(2)=747.19, P<0.001). Both OSR and RSR were slightly higher in men than in women, and decreased with age. The AAPC results showed that the AAPC of the 5-year RSR of gastric cancer in Qidong was 2.88%, 2.75% in males and 3.05% in females, and the upward trend was statistically significant (P<0.001). From 1972 to 2016, the 5-year RSR of gastric cancer in all age groups showed an upward trend. Except for the 35-44-year-old group (AAPC=1.07%, t=2.16, P=0.067), the age groups had statistical significance ( AAPC=2.59% in the 45-54-year-old group, AAPC=3.19% in the AAPCs of other 55-64-year-old group, AAPC=3.99% in the 65-74-year-old group, and AAPC=2.97% in the 75-year-old group, all P<0.05). The prediction results of the ARIMA model showed that in 2026, the 5-year OSR of gastric cancer in Qidong will increase to 39.82%, and the 5-year RSR will increase to 49.23%. Conclusion: The overall survival rate of registered gastric cancer cases in Qidong has been greatly improved, but there is still large room for improvement. More attention should be paid to the prevention and treatment of gastric cancer.
Adult
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Aged
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Female
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Humans
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Male
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Middle Aged
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China/epidemiology*
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Incidence
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Software
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Stomach Neoplasms
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Survival Rate
9.Long-term trend of colorectal cancer survival rate in Qidong, 1972-2016.
Ming Bo JIANG ; Yong Sheng CHEN ; Jun WANG ; Yuan You XU ; Lu Lu DING ; Yong Hui ZHANG ; Jian Guo CHEN ; Jian ZHU
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2022;44(12):1357-1361
Objective: The survival of colorectal cancer in Qidong City, Jiangsu Province from 1972 to 2016 was analyzed to provide a basis for the evaluation of prognosis and the formulation of prevention and control measures. Methods: Colorectal cancer data were obtained from the Qidong Cancer Registration and Reporting System, and the follow-up was up to December 31, 2021. The observed survival rate (OSR) and relative survival rate (RSR) were calculated by SURV 3.01 software, and the trend test was performed by Hakulinen's likelihood ratio test. The Joinpoint regression model was used to calculate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of survival, and the ARIMA model was used to predict the trend of colorectal cancer survival. Results: There were 8 637 new cases of colorectal cancer in Qidong from 1972 to 2016. Dividing 1972-2016 into 9 periods at 5-year intervals, the 5-year OSR from 1972-1976 to 2012-2016 increased from 21.86% to 48.86%, and the 5-year RSR increased from 26.45% to 59.91%. The increasing trend of RSR was statistically significant (χ(2)=587.47, P<0.001). From 1972 to 2016, the survival rates of colorectal cancer in different sexes in Qidong were similar, and the 5-year RSR was 44.63% for men and 44.07% for women. Since the 1990s, the 5-year OSR and RSR for men have been lower than those for women. From 1972 to 2016, the 5-year RSR of colorectal cancer in Qidong was significantly improved in the 65-74 and ≥75-year-old groups, but the survival rate of the ≥75-year-old group was still the lowest (36.78%), followed by the 35-44-year-old group ( 43.04%). The time trend showed that the overall AAPC of colorectal cancer 5-year RSR in Qidong from 1972 to 2016 was 2.50% (t=16.45, P<0.001). The upward trend of different sexes was consistent, and the increase was greater in women (AAPC for males=2.18%, AAPC for females=2.54%, both P<0.05). The 5-year RSR of colorectal cancer in each age group showed an upward trend, and the AAPCs of the 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65-74, and ≥75-year-old groups were 1.54%, 1.83%, 2.00%, 3.51% and 4.35%, respectively (all P<0.05). The prediction results of colorectal cancer survival rate showed that the 5-year RSR of colorectal cancer in Qidong will increase to 71.62% by 2026. Conclusions: The overall survival rate of colorectal cancer patients in Qidong has been greatly improved, but there is still room for improvement. We should continue to pay attention to the early diagnosis and early treatment of colorectal cancer.
Male
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Humans
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Female
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Aged
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Adult
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Survival Rate
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Prognosis
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Software
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Likelihood Functions
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Colorectal Neoplasms
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China/epidemiology*
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Incidence
10.Epidemic characteristics of stomach cancer mortality in Qidong during 1972-2016.
Yong Sheng CHEN ; Jian ZHU ; Jun WANG ; Lu Lu DING ; Yong Hui ZHANG ; Yuan You XU ; Jian Guo CHEN
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2022;44(1):99-103
Objective: To describe the epidemic characteristics of stomach cancer mortality in Qidong between 1972 and 2016. Methods: The cancer registry data of stomach cancer death and population during 1972-2016 in Qidong was collected. The mortality of crude rate (CR), China age-standardized rate (CASR), world age-standardized rate (WASR), 35-64 years truncated rate, 0-74 years cumulative rate, cumulative risk, percentage change (PC), annual percent change (APC) were calculated. Results: During 1972-2016, a total of 15 863 (male: 10 114, female: 5 749) deaths occurred attributed to stomach cancer, accounting for 16.04% of all cancers, with CR of 31.37/100 000 (CASR: 12.97/100 000, WASR: 21.39/100 000). The truncated rate of 35-64, cumulative rate of 0-74, and cumulative risk were 28.86/100 000, 2.54%, and 2.51%, respectively. For male, the CR, CASR, WASR were 40.53/100 000, 17.98/100 000, 30.13/100 000, respectively, and for female, the CR, CASR, WASR were 22.45/100 000, 8.52/100 000, 13.92/100 000, respectively. Age-specific mortality analysis showed that the mortality of each age group under 25-year-old group was less than 1/100 000. The CR increased with age. The 50-year-old group reached and exceeded the average mortality of the population, and more than 80-year-old group reached the peak of death. During 1972-2016 in Qidong, The PCs in CR, CASR, and WASR of stomach cancer were 55.43%, -52.02%, -43.60%. The APC were 0.54%, -2.30%, -2.08%, respectively. Period mortality analysis showed that except for the 75-year-old group, the mortality of stomach cancer decreased significantly. Conclusions: The crude mortality of stomach cancer increases slightly in Qidong, while the CASR and WASR decrease significantly. However, stomach cancer is still one of the malignant tumors that most affect health and seriously threat lives.
Adult
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Aged
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Aged, 80 and over
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China/epidemiology*
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Female
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Humans
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Incidence
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Male
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Middle Aged
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Registries
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Stomach Neoplasms/epidemiology*


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