1.Research on a satisfaction classification model based on the C5.0 algorithm
Odgerel B ; Javzmaa Ts ; Akhit T ; Baasandorj Ch ; Nyamdavaa U ; Oyuntsetseg S ; Ajnai L ; Purevdolgor L
Mongolian Journal of Health Sciences 2026;92(2):175-179
Background:
Likert-scale questionnaire data is widely used to evaluate satisfaction; however, in practical applications, both high classification accuracy and model interpretability are essential requirements. Rule-based machine learning methods provide the opportunity to satisfy both criteria simultaneously. Despite the rapid growth of research using machine learning for classification and prediction in recent years, there is a scarcity of studies employing the C5.0 classification algorithm for Likert-scale satisfaction data, which serves as the rationale for this study.
Aim:
To implement the C5.0 classification algorithm using a 10-fold cross-validation method to predict two levels of satisfaction (High/Medium) and to evaluate the model’s performance and interpretability.
Materials and Methods:
he study was conducted at the Department of Physics and Informatics, School of Bio-Medicine, MNUMS, utilizing satisfaction survey data from graduates majoring in Health Information Technology. Data consisting of four Likert-scale variables (V1–V4) were used. The C5.0 model was trained using a parametric grid search and evaluated within a 10-fold cross-validation framework using accuracy and a confusion matrix. Furthermore, IF–THEN rules were extracted from the final rule-based model, and the decision logic was visualized in the form of a flowchart.
Results:
The results indicated that the rule-based C5.0 model was selected as the optimal model, demonstrating stable performance throughout the cross-validation process. The confusion matrix results showed high precision in identifying the “High” satisfaction class. Among the generated rules, it became evident that variables V4 and V2 have the most significant influence on determining satisfaction levels.
Conclusion
Utilizing the C5.0 algorithm within a cross-validation framework enables effective and intelligible classification of satisfaction based on Likert data. It was confirmed that the rule-based structure offers distinct advantages for model interpretation and decision-support applications.
2.Results of voxel-based morphometry of the brain in children aged 9–11 years: a comparison between children with maxillary hypoplasia and those under neurological follow-up
Tuvshinjargal D ; Purevsuren E ; Otgonjargal L ; Choinyam B ; Darambazar G ; Amgalan B ; Purevdolgor L ; Munkh-Soyol E ; Xiling Jiang ; Damdindorj B
Mongolian Journal of Health Sciences 2026;94(4):7-12
Background:
The human head is an integrated biological structure composed of the brain, cranial bones, facial structures, neuromuscular systems, and sensory organs, all interconnected through coordinated signaling. The relationship between brain development, function, and craniofacial growth is most evident after birth, during which the head increases approximately fourfold in size before adulthood. Brain morphology and volume are associated not only with neurological disorders but also with cognitive and behavioral characteristics. For example, children with holoprosencephaly often present with varying degrees of facial anomalies, while studies have shown that adolescents with malocclusion exhibit higher levels of anxiety, depression, and psychological stress. With the increasing availability of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), it has become an essential diagnostic tool in clinical practice. MRI is particularly advantageous in pediatric populations due to the absence of ionizing radiation and its superior soft tissue contrast. Recent advances in image processing techniques have enabled comprehensive analysis of both brain structures and craniofacial morphology from a single MRI dataset, forming the basis of this study.
Aim:
To investigate the relationship between brain tissue volumes and maxillary hypoplasia using MRI-based voxelbased morphometry in children with neurological conditions.
Materials and Methods:
This study was conducted at the School of Biomedicine, Mongolian National University of Medical Sciences, in collaboration with Chifeng University, as part of the project titled “Investigation of the relationship between craniofacial anomalies and brain disorders using MRI”, funded by the Ministry of Education and Science. Voxel-based morphometry (VBM) analysis was performed on brain MRI scans of children aged 9–11 years.
Results:
Among the 25 children included in the study, 17 (68%) were male. The youngest average age was observed in the maxillary hypoplasia group (8.4±0.95 years). The signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) of MRI was lowest in the non-temporal epilepsy group (41.1±1.35) and higher in the maxillary hypoplasia group (49.6±8.22). Both epilepsy and maxillary hypoplasia groups demonstrated physiological asymmetry of the cerebral hemispheres, with left parietal lobe dominance (−0.1% and −0.3 cm, respectively). Right frontal lobe dominance (+1.1%) was observed only in the epilepsy group.
Conclusion
Children aged 9–11 years with maxillary hypoplasia showed a reduction in both gray and white matter volumes of the brain. These findings highlight the importance of early diagnosis of neurodevelopmental disorders affecting odontogenesis and emphasize the need for a multidisciplinary team-based management approach.
3.Predicting Diabetes Status Using the Random Forest Algorithm Based on the PIMA Dataset
Baasandorj Ch ; Odgerel B ; Ajnai L ; Javzmaa Ts ; Nyamdavaa U ; Oyuntsetseg B ; Enkh-Urel E ; Purevdolgor L
Mongolian Journal of Health Sciences 2026;97(7):227-232
Background:
Diabetes mellitus is a chronic metabolic disorder with an increasing global prevalence. Early detection and risk assessment are essential for preventing disease-related complications. In recent years, machine learning methods have been increasingly investigated for predicting disease status using medical data and supporting clinical decision-making.
Aim:
This study aimed to develop a predictive model for diabetes status using the Random Forest classification algorithm based on the PIMA Indians Diabetes Database and to evaluate its classification performance.
Materials and Methods:
The study used the PIMA dataset, comprising 768 observations, eight predictor variables, and one target variable. Zero values in selected measurements that were physiologically implausible were treated as missing values and imputed using the median. The dataset was split into training and test sets at an 80:20 ratio. Hyperparameters of the Random Forest model were optimized using 10-fold cross-validation on the training data. Model performance was evaluated using Accuracy, Sensitivity, Specificity, Balanced Accuracy, Cohen’s Kappa, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC). Variable importance was also assessed. All statistical analyses and machine learning procedures were performed in the R programming environment.
Results:
Cross-validation identified mtry=4 as the optimal configuration, achieving an Accuracy of 78.05% and a Cohen’s Kappa of 0.5062. On the test set, the model achieved an Accuracy of 72.55%, Sensitivity of 58.49%, Specificity of 80.00%, Balanced Accuracy of 69.25%, and Cohen’s Kappa of 0.3883. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.7802, indicating that the model could distinguish between individuals with and without diabetes better than random classification. Variable importance analysis identified blood glucose level as the most influential predictor, followed by body mass index (BMI), age, and number of pregnancies.
Conclusion
The Random Forest algorithm demonstrated the potential to predict diabetes status using the PIMA dataset; however, its sensitivity on the test set was relatively low. Therefore, the model should be considered a potential tool for preliminary risk assessment and supporting early detection rather than a replacement for clinical diagnosis. Further research is needed to improve sensitivity, compare the model with other machine learning algorithms, and validate its performance using larger and more diverse datasets.
4.Association rules: Comorbid chronic diseases among the elderly
Uuganbayar O ; Purevdolgor L ; Ajnai L ; Javzmaa Ts ; Odgerel B ; Baasandorj Ch
Mongolian Journal of Health Sciences 2025;88(4):248-252
Background:
The aging of the world’s population will determine global health trends. According to the 2021 report of the
Capital City Health Department, the average life expectancy of the Mongolian population is 71.3 years (male 67.3, female
76.7), the difference between male and female life expectancy is 9.4 years, and elderly people aged 60 and over account
for 8.1% of the total population. The report also shows that 6.5% of all outpatient visits are for people aged 60-64, and 9%
are for people aged 65 and over, which means that they do not receive adequate health care services. Therefore, it is important to increase the access to and quality of health care services provided to the elderly in order to improve their health
and quality of life. Comorbidities that are common among the elderly are one of the pressing issues in the health sector.
Aim:
We aimed to study the prevalence and risk factors of multi-morbidities among older adults (aged sixty years and
over) in urban and rural areas.
Materials and Methods:
To accomplish our aim, we conducted 156 lifestyle related questionnaires and 18 health related
questionnaires among 720 older people in Ulaanbaatar city and rural areas, and created the database. Pearson correlation
coefficient was used to determine the relationship between the quantitative influence of factors using single and multi-factor linear (β-coefficient) and binary logistic regression (odds ratio, CI 95%) methods, and p value less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. The Apriori algorithm in SPSS was used to determine the relationship between multiple
chronic diseases in the elderly people.
Results:
The prevalence of comorbidity was higher in urban areas (48.1%) and rural areas (51.9%), and ageing (urban
areas OR: 2.45, 95% CI: 0.9-6.2; rural areas OR: 6.35, 95% CI: 1.47-27.4, P<0.01) was a risk factor of multi-morbidities. Multimorbidity is defined as the presence of 2 or more chronic conditions, and 3, 4, and 5 chronic conditions were
co-occurred to older adults with chronic conditions, 28.7% (165). 11 common patterns of relationships in urban areas and
18 common patterns of relationships in rural areas (support (A→B)>3%, confidence (A→B)>30%, lift (A→B)>1) were
determined.
Conclusion
Multimorbidity was different in urban and rural areas, 11 common patterns in urban areas and 18 common
patterns in rural areas were determined. It has shown that the prevalence of multimorbidity was different in urban and
rural areas.
5.Comparision of Machine Learning Models for Adolescent’s Emotional and Behavioral Problems
Batnast G ; Akhyt T ; Javzmaa T ; Nyamdavaa U ; Bayarmaa V ; Purevdolgor L ; Ajnai L ; Enkh-Urel E ; Galbadrakh Ch ; Bat-Enkh O ; Baatarkhuu Ts
Mongolian Journal of Health Sciences 2025;86(2):116-120
Background:
Globally, an estimated 13% of adolescents aged 10–19 are affected by mental disorders. As of 2020, the
number of children under the age of 19 in Mongolia was reported to be 1,289,587, reflecting a 0.9% increase compared
to 2015. A 2013 study on adolescents found that 60.5% were categorized as mentally healthy, 30.5% exhibited emotional
and behavioral difficulties, and 9% were diagnosed with a mental disorder. A study conducted in Govi-Altai Province
between 2018 and 2019 reported that 58.6% of adolescents were classified as healthy, 36.1% experienced psychological
difficulties, and 5.2% were diagnosed with a mental disorder.
Internationally, adolescent mental health has been widely assessed using the Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire
(SDQ), with an increasing number of studies employing artificial intelligence-based predictive models. However, in Mongolia,
research utilizing artificial intelligence and machine learning for analyzing large-scale mental health data remains
limited. This gap underscores the need for the present study.
Aim:
Machine learning models were compared to determine adolescent emotional and behavioral problems using the
SDQ.
Materials and Methods:
Data was collected from teenagers, teachers, and parents in Govi-Altai Province, and the databases
were created for each group. The teenager database was divided into 10 folds by cross-validation, and the models
were developed using machine learning methods and evaluated using their performance measures. The results were
mainly analyzed using the Bayes model.
Results:
The teenagers have emotional and behavioral problems due to emotional and peer interactions, but they are at
risk of developing disorders due to hyperactivity and behavioral changes.
Conclusion
Comparing the model performance results with previous studies, Bayesian model accuracy decreased by
0.03, sensitivity decreased by 0.08, and specificity increased by 0.01. Also, the difference between the performance evaluation
metrics of the C50 and Bayesian models is very small, between 0.01 and 0.02. This shows that the performance of
the Bayesian method is good when the number of attributes in the database increases.
Compared to the results of the knowledge generated by the research, the participants are more likely to develop emotional
and behavioral disorders due to their peer relationship indicators, such as other children generally not liking them, getting
on better with adults, and due to emotional symptoms such as being unhappy and depressed.
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