1.Association of the total burden of cerebral small vessel disease with the level of tumor necrosis factor-α and prognosis in patients with acute ischemic stroke
Journal of Apoplexy and Nervous Diseases 2026;43(1):20-27
Objective To investigate the association of the total burden of cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) with the level of tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α) and prognosis in patients with ischemic stroke (AIS). Methods A total of 120 patients with AIS who were admitted to our hospital from January 2022 to December 2023 were enrolled as subjects, and all patients underwent cranial MRI scanning. Baseline data and TNF-α level were compared between the patients with different total burden scores of CSVD, and the correlation between TNF-α level and CSVD total burden score was analyzed. TNF-α level and CSVD total burden score were compared between the AIS patients with different prognoses to investigate the influence of TNF-α and CSVD total burden score on the short-term prognosis of AIS, as well as their value in predicting the short-term prognosis of AIS. Results There were significant differences in age, the proportion of patients with hyperlipidemia, the proportion of patients with smoking, and the levels of TNF-α and Hcy between the patients with different CSVD total burden scores (P<0.05). The level of TNF-α was positively correlated with the number of lacunar cerebral infarcts, Fazekas score of white matter lesions, and EPV score (r=0.654, 0.775, 0.820, P<0.05), but it had no linear correlation with the number of cerebral microbleeds (r=-0.035,P>0.05). The logistic regression analysis showed that before correction, age, hyperlipidemia, smoking, TNF-α,and Hcy were significantly correlated with lacunar infarction, white matter lesions, EPV severity, cerebral microbleeds,and CSVD total burden score (P<0.05), and after correction, TNF-α was still significantly correlated with lacunar infarction, white matter lesions,cerebral microbleeds, EPV severity, and CSVD total burden scores (P<0.05). There were significant differences in CSVD total burden score and TNF-α between the patients with a good prognosis and those with a poor prognosis(P<0.05).TNF-α combined with CSVD total burden score had the largest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC) of 0.912 in predicting the short-term prognosis of AIS,which was significantly higher than the AUC of TNF-α or CSVD total burden score used alone(P<0.05). Conclusion The increase in TNF-α level has a certain relationship with CSVD total burden score and short-term prognosis in AIS patients, and the combination of TNF-α level and CSVD total burden score has a relatively high clinical application value in predicting the short-term prognosis of AIS patients.
Prognosis
2.Clinical efficacy analysis of seven pediatric patients with Acute myeloid leukemia and the t(16;21)(p11;q22) FUS::ERG fusion gene.
Lihuan SHI ; Shan HUANG ; Xing XIE ; Pengkai FAN ; Haili GAO ; Yanna MAO
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2026;43(2):90-95
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the clinical characteristics, treatment, and prognosis of seven pediatric patients with Acute myeloid leukemia (AML) positive for the t(16;21)(p11;q22) FUS::ERG fusion gene.
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was carried out on the clinical data, treatment, and prognosis of seven AML patients with t(16;21)(p11;q22) FUS::ERG fusion gene admitted to Henan Children's Hospital between June 2015 and November 2024. Relevant literature was also reviewed. This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of the Hospital (Ethics No.: 2024-102-001).
RESULTS:
Among 297 pediatric patients with AML, 7 cases (2.36%) were positive for the t(16;21)(p11;q22) FUS::ERG fusion gene, including 3 males and 4 females, with a median age of 11 years (range: 3 ~ 12 years). According to the FAB classification, these included 1 case of M2, 3 cases of M5, and 3 cases of AML-not otherwise specified (non-M3). All 7 patients were found to harbor the t(16;21)(p11;q22) translocation, with 3 cases showing additional chromosomal abnormalities. Immunophenotyping revealed universal expression of CD13, CD33, CD34, and CD117, with partial expression of CD56, CD4, CD64, CD123, CD15, CD38, CD11b, HLA-DR, cMPO, and CD16. One patient achieved complete remission (CR) after the first course of DAE (cytarabine + daunorubicin + etoposide) induction chemotherapy but relapsed and discontinued the treatment. Six patients received DAH (cytarabine + daunorubicin + homoharringtonine) induction therapy, of whom 2 achieved CR after two courses and underwent allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT), resulting in an overall CR rate of 42.86%. Five children did not receive allo-HSCT and had a median overall survival of 9 months (range: 6 ~ 18 months). Two children who underwent transplantation achieved bone marrow morphological and molecular biological relapse at 6 and 9 months post-transplantation, respectively. After receiving combined chemotherapy and donor lymphocyte infusion, one child failed to achieve remission and died at 22 months post-transplantation, while the other has been followed up to date with positive fusion gene status. Their overall survival was 25 months and 30 months, respectively.
CONCLUSION
The t(16;21)(p11;q22) FUS::ERG fusion gene is rare in pediatric AML and associated with poor prognosis. Allo-HSCT may mitigate the adverse prognostic impact of the FUS::ERG fusion gene and contribute to prolonged survival.
Humans
;
Male
;
Child
;
Female
;
Leukemia, Myeloid, Acute/drug therapy*
;
Oncogene Proteins, Fusion/genetics*
;
Translocation, Genetic
;
Retrospective Studies
;
RNA-Binding Protein FUS/genetics*
;
Chromosomes, Human, Pair 16/genetics*
;
Adolescent
;
Child, Preschool
;
Chromosomes, Human, Pair 21/genetics*
;
Prognosis
;
Treatment Outcome
3.Analysis of ten cases of Acute lymphoblastic leukemia with non-KMT2A::AFF1 transcriptional variant 11q23 rearrangements.
Yuanyuan WANG ; Shuzhen FU ; Yong SHEN ; Qingxia XU
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2026;43(4):265-272
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the clinical characteristics of patients with 11q23 rearrangement acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) with non-KMT2A::AFF1 fusion genes.
METHODS:
The clinical data of 10 patients with KMT2A fusion gene positive and partner gene non-AFF1 ALL admitted to Henan Cancer Hospital from December 2016 to December 2024 were retrospectively summarized. The immunophenotype, molecular genetic characteristics, clinical manifestations and disease prognosis of these patients were analyzed. This research has been approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Henan Cancer Hospital (Ethics No.: 2019342).
RESULTS:
Among the 10 patients, the fusion genes were KMT2A::MLLT1 in 7 cases, KMT2A::MLLT4, KMT2A::MLLT3 and KMT2A::MLLT10 in 1 case each. The European Group for the Immunological Classification of Leukemias (EGIL) classification included 6 cases of T-ALL, 2 cases of pro-B-ALL, 1 case of Common-B-ALL and 1 case of pre-B-ALL. 4 cases of B-ALL all expressed CD19, cCD79a, CD38 and HLA-DR, and some expressed CD34 and CD22, without expression or weak expression of CD10, without expression of CD20. One case was accompanied by myeloid marker CD15 expression. 6 cases of T-ALL all expressed CD34, CD7, most expressed CD38, and some expressed CD3, CD5, CD2, CD4 and CD8, and 1 case expressed CD4 and CD8 together. Chromosomal abnormalities were detected in 3 cases, 5 cases were positive for WT1 fusion gene, and 6 cases had gene alterations. 9 patients achieved the first complete remission (CR1) during chemotherapy, and 1 patient relapsed within 6 months after CR1. At the last follow up, 1 patient (the fusion gene was KMT2A::MLLT4) remained unrelieved. There were 2 cases of KMT2A rearrangement (KMT2A-r) persistent positive (+/+) and 8 cases of KMT2A-r negative (+/-). The overall survival (OS) rate and leukemia-free survival (LFS) rate of patients with KMT2A-r persistent positive were significantly lower than those of patients with negative change, and the differences were statistically significant (P values were all < 0.05). Among the 3 patients who received chemotherapy+allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT), no relapse was observed until the follow up day. The OS rate and LFS rate of patients with KMT2A::MLLT1 and chemotherapy+allo-HSCT were higher than those of non-KMT2A::MLLT1 and single chemotherapy patients, and the differences were not statistically significant (P values were all ≥ 0.05). There was no significant difference in OS rate and LFS rate between T-ALL and B-ALL patients (P values were all ≥ 0.05). The median LFS time of the 10 patients was 32 (0 ~ 100) months, and the median OS time was 36 (1 ~ 101) months.
CONCLUSION
The 11q23 rearrangement ALL with non-KMT2A::AFF1 transcript is mainly KMT2A::MLLT1, T-ALL is more common, and the rate of chromosomal karyotype detection is relatively low. Persistent positive KMT2A-r is unfavorable for patient survival, and allo-HSCT during the CR1 period may improve patient survival.
Humans
;
Precursor Cell Lymphoblastic Leukemia-Lymphoma/genetics*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Myeloid-Lymphoid Leukemia Protein/genetics*
;
Histone-Lysine N-Methyltransferase/genetics*
;
Adult
;
Adolescent
;
Chromosomes, Human, Pair 11/genetics*
;
Child
;
Transcriptional Elongation Factors/genetics*
;
Gene Rearrangement
;
Oncogene Proteins, Fusion/genetics*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Young Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Prognosis
;
Child, Preschool
;
DNA-Binding Proteins/genetics*
4.Association between blood pressure variability and early neurological deterioration in patients with acute mild non-disabling ischemic stroke
Journal of Apoplexy and Nervous Diseases 2026;43(3):232-237
Objective To investigate the association of blood pressure variability (BPV) with early neurological deterioration (END) and prognosis in patients with acute mild non-disabling ischemic stroke. Methods The patients with acute mild non-disabling ischemic stroke who were admitted to Stroke Center of Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia University for Nationalities from January 2022 to August 2024 were enrolled, and according to the presence or absence of END, they were divided into non-END group and END group. General information, clinical data, and outcome measures were collected from all patients, and a binary logistic regression analysis was performed to determine independent risk factors for END. According to the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) score, the patients were divided into good prognosis group (mRS score ≤2 points) and poor prognosis group (mRS score >2 points), and a univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate the influence of END on the 90-day neurological function prognosis of patients. Results A total of 61 patients were enrolled, with 14 patients in the END group and 47 patients in the non-END group. There was a significant difference in the coefficient of systolic pressure variation between the END group and the non-END group (P<0.05). The binary logistic regression analysis showed that systolic BPV(BPV>75%) was an independent risk factor for END (OR=14.000, 95%CI 1.471‒133.233,P=0.011).Compared with the non-END group, the END group had a significantly higher proportion of patients with a poor 90-day prognosis.Of all patients, there were 11 patients with poor prognosis and 50 patients with good prognosis on day 90. The univariate logistic regression analysis showed that END (OR=19.556,95%CI 4.038‒94.696,P<0.001) was an independent risk factor for poor prognosis. Conclusion In patients with acute mild non-disabling ischemic stroke, the increase in coefficient of systolic pressure variation is an independent risk factor for END and affects the prognosis of neurological function on day 90.
Prognosis
5.Pattern of lymph node metastasis and p53 abnormal (p53abn) expression in preoperative early-stage endometrial cancer: A 5-year institutional experience.
Angeli Anne C. Ang ; Carolyn R. Zalameda-Castro ; Cecile C. Dungog ; Michele H. Diwa ; Karen Cybelle J. Sotalbo
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(8):98-106
BACKGROUND
Early-stage endometrial cancer often presents with favorable survival rates, but high-risk factors, including TP53 mutations and high-grade serous pathology, can lead to recurrence and poor prognosis. The standard primary treatment for endometrial cancer is surgical staging, and lymph node metastases significantly impact adjuvant therapy decisions. The subgroup of p53-abnormal (p53abn) indicates the worst prognosis and potential benefits from adjuvant chemotherapy. Molecular classification, while recommended, faces practical challenges due to resource constraints.
OBJECTIVESThe study aimed to assess the incidence of p53 abnormal expression in clinical stage 1 endometrial cancer cases that underwent surgery at a government tertiary hospital, and assess its relationship with clinicopathologic factors and pelvic and paraaortic lymph node metastasis (LNM).
METHODSA cross-sectional retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical early-stage endometrial cancer cases that underwent surgical primary treatment between January 2018 and December 2022. Patient records were reviewed to gather demographics, surgical information, and pathological evaluations. Preoperative clinical staging was determined through imaging, and surgical staging involved comprehensive lymphadenectomy. Immunohistochemistry studies for p53 were carried out on formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded tissue samples.
RESULTSA total of 233 endometrial cancer cases were included. The mean age at diagnosis was 53.7 years. Common comorbidities included hypertension (47.2%) and dyslipidemia (20.6%). Most cases were endometrioid histology (82.8%) and low-grade tumors (85.8%). Tumor grade (p=0.010), myometrial invasion (p<0.001) and lymphovascular space invasion (p<0.001) significantly correlated with lymph node metastasis. However, tumor size and p53abn were not significantly associated with lymph node metastasis. p53abn overexpression was significantly associated with non-endometrioid histology at 33% and Grade 3 tumors at 23%. Preoperative grading demonstrated moderate reliability (0.51) with postoperative grading, with an agreement of 65.4%.
CONCLUSIONTumor grade, myometrial invasion, and LVSI were all significantly associated with lymph node involvement. While p53 immunohistochemical stains show promise in predicting metastasis and has been associated with tumor aggressiveness, this should still be correlated with clinicopathological parameters to carry out a more accurate risk stratification of early-stage patients.
Therapeutics ; Survival Rate ; Risk Factors ; Recurrence ; Prognosis ; Pathology ; Endometrial Neoplasms ; Immunohistochemistry ; Tumor Suppressor Protein P53 ; Lymph Node Excision ; Risk Assessment
6.A prognostic model for multiple myeloma based on lipid metabolism related genes.
Zhengjiang LI ; Liang ZHAO ; Fangming SHI ; Jiaojiao GUO ; Wen ZHOU
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(4):517-530
OBJECTIVES:
Multiple myeloma (MM) is a highly heterogeneous hematologic malignancy, with disease progression driven by cytogenetic abnormalities and a complex bone marrow microenvironment. This study aims to construct a prognostic model for MM based on transcriptomic data and lipid metabolism related genes (LRGs), and to identify potential drug targets for high-risk patients to support clinical decision-making.
METHODS:
In this study, 2 transcriptomic datasets covering 985 newly diagnosed MM patients were retrieved from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. Univariate Cox regression and 101 machine learning algorithms were used for gene selection. An LRG-based prognostic model was constructed using Stepwise Cox (both directions) and random survival forest (RSF) algorithms. The association between the prognostic score and clinical events was evaluated, and model performance was assessed using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and the C-index. The added predictive value of combining prognostic scores with clinical variables and staging systems was also analyzed. Differentially expressed genes between high- and low-risk groups were identified using limma and clusterProfiler and subjected to pathway enrichment analysis. Drug sensitivity analysis was conducted using the Genomics of Drug Sensitivity in Cancer (GDSC) database and oncoPredict to identify potential therapeutic targets for high-risk patients. The functional role of key LRGs in the model was validated via in vitro cell experiments.
RESULTS:
An LRG-based prognostic model (LRG17) was successfully developed using transcriptomic data and machine learning. The model demonstrated robust predictive performance, with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.962, 0.912, and 0.842 for 3-, 5-, and 7-year survival, respectively. Patients were stratified into high- and low-risk groups, with high-risk patients showing significantly shorter overall survival (OS) and event-free survival (EFS) (both P<0.001) and worse clinical profiles (e.g., lower albumin, higher β2-microglobulin and lactate dehydrogenase levels). Enrichment analysis revealed that high-risk patients were significantly enriched for pathways related to chromosome segregation and mitosis, whereas low-risk patients were enriched for immune response and immune cell activation pathways. Drug screening suggested that AURKA inhibitor BMS-754807 and FGFR3 inhibitor I-BET-762 may be more effective in high-risk patients. Functional assays demonstrated that silencing of key LRG PLA2G4A significantly inhibited cell viability and induced apoptosis.
CONCLUSIONS
LRGs serve as promising biomarkers for prognosis prediction and risk stratification in MM. The overexpression of chromosomal instability-related and high-risk genetic event-associated genes in high-risk patients may explain their poorer outcomes. Given the observed resistance to bortezomib and lenalidomide in high-risk patients, combination therapies involving BMS-754807 or I-BET-762 may represent effective alternatives.
Humans
;
Multiple Myeloma/mortality*
;
Prognosis
;
Lipid Metabolism/genetics*
;
Transcriptome
;
Machine Learning
;
Male
;
Female
;
Gene Expression Profiling
;
Algorithms
7.Clinical significance of CD45 and CD200 expression in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma patients.
Xinyi LONG ; Jing LIU ; Rong HU ; Chen WANG ; Yunfeng FU
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(4):545-559
OBJECTIVES:
Multiple myeloma (MM) is a hematologically malignant clonal plasma cell disease. This study aims to explore the association between immunophenotypes and prognosis in patients with MM, to determine whether the expression of CD45 and CD200 is related to the prognosis of newly diagnosed MM (NDMM) patients, and to evaluate the significance of the combined expression of CD45 and CD200 in NDMM.
METHODS:
A total of 123 NDMM patients admitted to Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University from July 2015 to August 2019 were enrolled. Five key immunophenotypic markers (including CD38, CD138, CD45, CD56, and CD200) were screened through flow cytometry and identified using random forest analysis and univariate Cox regression analysis. Patients were divided into 3 groups: Group A, CD45 and CD200 double-positive; Group B, CD45 or CD200 single-positive; Group C, CD45 and CD200 double-negative. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to analyze overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) across groups. Multivariate Cox regression was performed to evaluate prognostic factors, and a nomogram was constructed based on these results.
RESULTS:
The OS and PFS of single-positive groups for CD38, CD138, CD45, CD56, and CD200 were all shorter than those of their respective single-negative groups (all P<0.05). Significant differences were observed in OS (P<0.001) and PFS (P=0.001) among Groups A, B, and C. Group A had shorter OS and PFS (all P=0.001) compared to the Group B+C (cases from Group B and Group C were combined). CD45 and CD200 double-positive was an independent prognostic factor for NDMM [hazard ratio (HR)=2.178, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.048 to 4.529; P=0.037]. The nomogram and calibration curves constructed from multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated good concordance (concordance index=0.706; 95% CI 0.661 to 0.751).
CONCLUSIONS
NDMM patients with double-positive expression of CD45 and CD200 have significantly shorter OS and PFS. Compared with the use of either marker alone, the combined assessment of CD45 and CD200 may provide better prognostic stratification for MM patients.
Humans
;
Multiple Myeloma/metabolism*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Antigens, CD/metabolism*
;
Prognosis
;
Leukocyte Common Antigens/metabolism*
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Immunophenotyping
;
Nomograms
;
Biomarkers, Tumor
;
Clinical Relevance
8.Nomogram and machine learning models for predicting in-hospital mortality in sepsis patients with deep vein thrombosis.
Hongwei DUAN ; Huaizheng LIU ; Chuanzheng SUN ; Jing QI
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(6):1013-1029
OBJECTIVES:
Global epidemiological data indicate that 20% to 30% of intensive care unit (ICU) sepsis patients progress to deep vein thrombosis (DVT) due to coagulopathy, with an associated mortality rate of 25% to 40%. Existing prognostic tools have limitations. This study aims to develop and validate nomogram and machine learning models to predict in-hospital mortality in sepsis patients with DVT and assess their clinical applicability.
METHODS:
This multicenter retrospective study drew on data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV; n=2 235), the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD; n=1 274), and the Patient Admission Dataset from the ICU of Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University (CSU-XYS-ICU; n=107). MIMIC-IV was split into a training set (n=1 584) and internal validation set (n=651), with the remaining datasets used for external validation. Predictors were selected via least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC), and a nomogram model was constructed. An extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm was used to build the machine learning model. Model performance was assessed by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, Brier score, decision curve analysis (DCA), and net reclassification improvement index (NRI).
RESULTS:
Five key predictors, age [odds ratio (OR)=1.02, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.03, P<0.001], minimum activated partial thromboplastin (APTT; OR=1.09, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.11, P<0.001), maximum APTT (OR=1.01, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.01, P<0.001), maximum lactate (OR=1.56, 95% CI 1.39 to 1.75, P<0.001), and maximum serum creatinine (OR=2.03, 95% CI 1.79 to 2.30, P<0.001), were included in the nomogram. The model showed robust performance in internal validation (C-index=0.845, 95% CI 0.811 to 0.879) and external validation (eICU-CRD: C-index=0.827, 95% CI 0.800 to 0.854; CSU-XYS-ICU: C-index=0.779, 95% CI 0.687 to 0.871). Calibration curves indicated good agreement between predicted and observed outcomes (Brier score<0.25), and DCA confirmed clinical benefit. The XGBoost model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.982 (95% CI 0.969 to 0.985) in the training set, but performance declined in external validation (eICU-CRD, AUC=0.825, 95% CI 0.817 to 0.861; CSU-XYS-ICU, AUC=0.766, 95% CI 0.700 to 0.873), though it remained above clinical thresholds. Net reclassification improvement was slightly lower for XGBoost compared with the nomogram (NRI=0.58).
CONCLUSIONS
Both the nomogram and XGBoost models effectively predict in-hospital mortality in sepsis patients with DVT. However, the nomogram offers superior generalizability and clinical usability. Its visual scoring system provides a quantitative tool for identifying high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
Humans
;
Sepsis/complications*
;
Machine Learning
;
Nomograms
;
Venous Thrombosis/complications*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Hospital Mortality
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Intensive Care Units
;
Prognosis
;
Bayes Theorem
9.Efficacy and prognostic factors of open surgical repair and endovascular repair in patients with ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm.
Lei ZHANG ; Dexiang XIA ; Pengcheng GUO ; Xin LI ; Chang SHU
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(7):1158-1166
OBJECTIVES:
Ruptured abdominal aortic aneurysm (rAAA) is a life-threatening vascular emergency with extremely high in-hospital mortality. Open surgical repair (OSR) was historically the only treatment option but is associated with substantial trauma and perioperative risk. In recent years, endovascular repair (EVAR) has gained widespread use due to its minimally invasive nature and faster recovery, becoming the preferred option for anatomically suitable patients in many centers. However, controversy remains regarding the long-term survival benefits of EVAR compared with OSR and key prognostic factors affecting outcomes. This study aims to evaluate the clinical efficacy of OSR and EVAR for rAAA and identify independent predictors of postoperative survival to guide clinical decision-making.
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on 83 patients diagnosed with rAAA and treated surgically in the Department of Vascular Surgery, the Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, between January 2013 and December 2022. Patients were divided into an OSR group and an EVAR group based on surgical approach. Baseline clinical characteristics, perioperative data, and follow-up outcomes were compared between groups. Long-term survival was analyzed, and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to determine independent prognostic factors.
RESULTS:
Among the 83 patients, 32 (38.6%) underwent OSR and 51 (61.4%) received EVAR, with the proportion of EVAR steadily increasing to nearly 80% in the most recent 5 years. Patients in the EVAR group were older [(68.76±8.57) years vs (60.59±13.24) years, P=0.012], and had a lower proportion of males (76.5% vs 96.9%, P=0.013). EVAR significantly reduced operating time [(181.86±69.87) min vs (291.09±60.33) min] and hospital stay [(12.14±6.31) days vs (16.22±7.89) days (P<0.05)], but total hospitalization costs were markedly higher [(208 735.84±101 394.19) yuan vs (84 893.35±40 668.56) yuan, P<0.001]. There were no significant differences between groups in 30-day mortality (15.6% vs 15.7%), aneurysm-related mortality (9.4% vs 11.7%), overall mortality (28.1% vs 29.4%), or re-intervention rate (0 vs 5.9%) (P>0.05). The median follow-up time was 54.6 months (range, 12-144 months). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed comparable cumulative survival rates between OSR and EVAR (82.7% vs 76.2%, P=0.420). Cox regression identified hyperlipidemia [hazard ratio (HR)=2.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.28 to 4.19, P=0.005] and elevated preoperative serum creatinine (HR=3.33, 95% CI 1.69 to 6.55, P<0.001) as significant predictors of poor prognosis. Both factors remained independently associated with mortality in the multivariate model (hyperlipidemia: HR=2.02, 95% CI 1.10 to 3.70; elevated serum creatinine: HR=2.77, 95% CI 1.40 to 5.47; P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
EVAR offeres advantages in operative and recovery times, though its long-term survival outcomes are comparable to OSR. A history of hyperlipidemia and elevated preoperative creatinine levels are independent predictors of poor prognosis. Surgical approach should be chosen based on anatomical feasibility and patient condition, with close management of lipid levels and renal function to improve outcomes.
Humans
;
Aortic Aneurysm, Abdominal/mortality*
;
Endovascular Procedures/methods*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Male
;
Female
;
Prognosis
;
Aged
;
Aortic Rupture/mortality*
;
Middle Aged
;
Treatment Outcome
;
Aged, 80 and over
10.Risk factors and prognosis of first extubation failure in neonates undergoing invasive mechanical ventilation.
Mengyao WU ; Hui RONG ; Rui CHENG ; Yang YANG ; Keyu LU ; Fei SHEN
Journal of Central South University(Medical Sciences) 2025;50(8):1398-1407
OBJECTIVES:
Prolonged invasive mechanical ventilation is associated with increased risks of severe complications such as retinopathy of prematurity and bronchopulmonary dysplasia. Although neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) follow the principle of early extubation, extubation failure rates remain high, and reintubation may further increase the risk of adverse outcomes. This study aims to identify risk factors and short-term prognosis associated with first extubation failure in neonates, to provide evidence for effective clinical intervention strategies.
METHODS:
Clinical data of neonates who received invasive ventilation in the NICU of Children's Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2021, were retrospectively collected. Neonates were divided into a successful extubation group and a failed extubation group based on whether reintubation occurred within 72 hours after the first extubation. Risk factors and short-term outcomes related to extubation failure were analyzed.
RESULTS:
A total of 337 infants were included, with 218 males (64.69%). Initial extubation failed in 34 (10.09%) infants. Compared with the successful extubation group, the failed extubation group had significantly lower gestational age [(31.37±5.14) weeks vs (34.44±4.07) weeks], age [2.5 (1.00, 8.25) h vs 5 (1.00, 22.00) h], birth weight [(1 818.97±1128.80) g vs (2 432.18±928.94) g], 1-minute Apgar score (6.91±1.90 vs 7.68±2.03), and the proportion of using mask oxygenation after extubation (21% vs 46%) (all P<0.05). Conversely, compared with the successful extubation group, the failed extubation group had significantly higher rates of vaginal delivery (59% vs 32%), caffeine use during mechanical ventilation (71% vs 38%), dexamethasone use at extubation (44% vs 17%), the highest positive end-expiratory pressure level within 72 hours post-extubation [6(5.00, 6.00) cmH2O vs 5 (0.00, 6.00) cmH2O] (1 cmH2O=0.098 kPa), the highest FiO2 within 72 hours post-extubation [(34.35±5.95)% vs (30.22±3.58)%], and duration of noninvasive intermittent positive pressure ventilation after extubation [0.5 (0.00, 42.00) hours vs 0 (0, 0) hours] (all P<0.05). Multivariate analysis identified gestational age <28 weeks (OR=5.570, 95% CI 1.866 to 16.430), age at NICU admission (OR=0.959, 95% CI 0.918 to 0.989), and a maximum FiO2≥35% within 72 hours post-extubation (OR=4.541, 95% CI 1.849 to 10.980) as independent risk factors for extubation failure (all P<0.05). Additionally, the failed extubation group exhibited significantly higher incidences of necrotizing enterocolitis grade II or above, moderate-to-severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia, severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia, retinopathy of prematurity, treatment abandonment due to poor prognosis, and discharge on home oxygen therapy (all P<0.05). Total hospital length of stay and total hospitalization costs were also significantly increased in the failed extubation group (all P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Gestational age <28 weeks, younger age at NICU admission, and FiO2≥35% after extubation are high-risk factors for first extubation failure in neonates. Extubation failure markedly increases the risk of adverse clinical outcomes.
Humans
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Male
;
Female
;
Airway Extubation/adverse effects*
;
Risk Factors
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Respiration, Artificial/methods*
;
Intensive Care Units, Neonatal
;
Prognosis
;
Gestational Age
;
Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia
;
Infant, Premature
;
Treatment Failure
;
Intubation, Intratracheal


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