1.Preterm birth trends and risk factors in a multi-ethnic Asian population: A retrospective study from 2017 to 2023, can we screen and predict this?
Rachel Phoy Cheng CHUN ; Hiu Gwan CHAN ; Gilbert Yong San LIM ; Devendra KANAGALINGAM ; Pamela PARTANA ; Kok Hian TAN ; Tiong Ghee TEOH ; Ilka TAN
Annals of the Academy of Medicine, Singapore 2025;54(5):296-304
INTRODUCTION:
Preterm birth (PTB) remains a leading cause of perinatal morbidity and mortality worldwide. Understanding Singapore's PTB trends and associated risk factors can inform effective strategies for screening and intervention. This study analyses PTB trends in Singapore from 2017 to 2023, identifies risk factors in this multi-ethnic population and evaluates a predictive model for PTB.
METHOD:
A retrospective analysis of all PTBs between 22+0 and 36+6 weeks of gestation, from 1 January 2017 to 31 December 2023, was performed by extracting maternal and neonatal data from electronic medical records. These PTBs were taken from the registry of births for Singapore and SingHealth cluster data. Cochran- Armitage trend test and multinomial logistic regression were used. An extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) model was developed to test and predict the risk of PTB.
RESULTS:
The PTB rate in Singapore did not show a significant change. However, there was modest downward trend in the SingHealth population from 11.3% to 10.2%, mainly in late spontaneous PTBs (sPTBs). sPTBs accounted for ∼60% of PTBs. Risk factors for very/extreme sPTB included Chinese ethnicity, age ≥35 years, body mass index (BMI) ≥23 kg/m2, being unmarried, primiparity, twin pregnancy and maternal blood group AB. The XGBoost model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.75, indicating moderate ability to predict PTB.
CONCLUSION
The overall PTB rate in Singapore has not improved. This study underscores the importance of local factors, particularly advanced maternal age, BMI, primiparity, unmarried, Chinese ethnicity and maternal blood group AB influencing PTB risk. Artificial intelligence methods show promise in improving PTB risk stratification, ultimately supporting personalised care and intervention.
Humans
;
Singapore/epidemiology*
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Female
;
Risk Factors
;
Premature Birth/ethnology*
;
Pregnancy
;
Adult
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Asian People/statistics & numerical data*
;
Gestational Age
;
Body Mass Index
;
Maternal Age
;
Logistic Models
;
Ethnicity
4.Research advances in the mechanism of Toll-like receptor 4 mediated intestinal injury and inflammatory response in necrotizing enterocolitis.
Chinese Journal of Cellular and Molecular Immunology 2025;41(1):57-63
Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is an intestinal inflammatory and necrotic disease seen in premature infants, and remains the leading cause of death resulted from gastrointestinal diseases in premature infants. The specific pathogenesis of NEC is still unclear. In recent years, a lot of studies have reported that Toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) plays a key role in the pathogenesis of NEC. TLR4, which is abundantly expressed in intestinal epithelial cells of premature infants, binds to bacterial lipopolysaccharide (LPS) to activate downstream signaling pathways, leading to disruption of intestinal epithelial integrity and bacterial translocation, resulting in intestinal ischemic necrosis and inflammatory responses, which may rapidly progress to severe sepsis, multiple organ dysfunction, and death. This paper reviews the mechanism of TLR4-related signaling pathways in intestinal epithelial injury and inflammatory responses in newborns with NEC, providing a reference to study new therapeutic targets for NEC.
Enterocolitis, Necrotizing/pathology*
;
Toll-Like Receptor 4/metabolism*
;
Humans
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Signal Transduction
;
Inflammation/metabolism*
;
Animals
;
Intestines/immunology*
;
Intestinal Mucosa/pathology*
;
Infant, Premature
5.Clinical practice guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of anemia of prematurity (2025).
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(1):1-17
Anemia of prematurity (AOP) is a multifactorial condition associated with congenital iron deficiency, low erythropoietin levels, a short lifespan of red blood cells, and iatrogenic blood loss. AOP is a common complication in premature infants that can adversely affect growth, development, and long-term neurocognitive outcomes. To standardize the diagnosis and treatment of AOP, the Neonatal Clinical Practice Guidelines Expert Committee and the Neonatal Evidence-Based Medicine Group of the Commission of Neonatal Medicine of the Cross-Strait Medical and Health Exchange Association, along with the Editorial Office of the Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics, have developed the "Clinical practice guidelines for the diagnosis and treatment of anemia of prematurity (2025)", based on the World Health Organization's handbook for guideline development and the formulation/revision principles of Chinese clinical practice guidelines. This guideline addresses eight clinical issues related to AOP, including risk factors, early identification, etiological diagnosis, diagnostic criteria, early prevention, transfusion therapy, strategies to improve prognosis, and post-discharge follow-up. It presents 29 recommendations formed from current evidence and expert consensus, aiming to provide guidance and decision-making support for healthcare professionals in the diagnosis and treatment of AOP.
Humans
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Infant, Premature
;
Anemia, Neonatal/diagnosis*
;
Anemia/diagnosis*
;
Practice Guidelines as Topic
6.A quality improvement study on improving the follow-up rate of preterm infants after discharge.
He-Sheng CHANG ; Xue YANG ; Jun JU ; Wen-Ya XU ; Di WU ; Xiao-Man WAN ; Zheng-Hong LI
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(2):148-154
OBJECTIVES:
To explore the measures to improve the follow-up rate of preterm infants after discharge, and to evaluate the effectiveness of these measures using quality improvement methodology.
METHODS:
The follow-up status of preterm infants discharged from March to May 2017 was used as the baseline before quality improvement, and a specific quality improvement goal for the follow-up rate was proposed. The Pareto chart was used to analyze the causes of follow-up failure, and a key driver diagram was constructed based on the links involved in improving follow-up rate. The causes of failure were analyzed to determine the key links and intervention measures for quality improvement, and the follow-up rate was monitored weekly using a control chart until the quality improvement goal was achieved.
RESULTS:
The follow-up rate of preterm infants after discharge was 57.92% (117/202) at baseline before quality improvement, and the quality improvement goal was set to increase the follow-up rate of preterm infants from baseline to more than 80% within 12 months. The Pareto chart analysis showed that the main causes of follow-up failure were deficiencies in follow-up file management and irregular follow-up times (33.70%, 31/92), insufficient follow-up education and poor communication (25.00%, 23/92), and the inability to meet the diverse needs of parents (18.48%, 17/92). Based on the key links for quality improvement and the main causes of follow-up failure, the following intervention measures were adopted: (1) strengthen follow-up publicity and education; (2) build a follow-up team; and (3) establish a follow-up platform and system. The control chart indicated that with the implementation of the above intervention measures, the weekly follow-up rate increased to 74.09% (306/413) in July 2017 and 83.09% (511/615) in December 2017, finally achieving the quality improvement goal. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the follow-up rate of preterm infants fluctuated between 23.54% (460/1 954) and 70.97% (1 931/2 721), and subsequently, it returned to pre-pandemic levels starting in February 2023.
CONCLUSIONS
The application of quality improvement methodology can help to formulate intervention measures based on the main causes of follow-up failure, thereby improving the follow-up rate of preterm infants after discharge. This quality improvement method is feasible and practical and thus holds promise for clinical application.
Humans
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Quality Improvement
;
Infant, Premature
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Patient Discharge
;
Follow-Up Studies
;
Female
;
Male
7.Value of different calculation methods for weight growth velocity in predicting long-term neurological and physical development outcomes in preterm infants.
Pei-Hong JI ; Xuan SUN ; Jin-Zhi GAO ; Ling CHEN
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(2):165-170
OBJECTIVES:
To investigate the value of weight growth velocity, calculated using the Patel exponential model and the Z-score change method, in predicting the neurological and physical development outcomes of preterm infants with a gestational age of <30 weeks in the long term.
METHODS:
A retrospective study was conducted involving preterm infants with a gestational age of <30 weeks who were hospitalized and treated in the Department of Neonatology at Tongji Hospital, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, from January 2017 to June 2022, and were followed up at the outpatient service more than 18 months of age. The preterm infants were divided into high and low rate groups based on the two calculation methods, and the two methods were compared regarding their predictive value for neurological and physical development outcomes in the long term.
RESULTS:
The average age of the last follow-up was (23.0±3.6) months. For neurological development, according to the Patel exponential model, the low rate group exhibited a significantly higher abnormal rate in the fine motor domain compared to the high rate group (P<0.05). Using the Z-score change method, the low rate group had significantly higher abnormal rates in both gross motor and fine motor domains, and significantly lower developmental quotients for gross motor, fine motor, and adaptive behavior domains compared to the high rate group (P<0.05). For physical development, there were no significant differences in body length, body weight, head circumference, or the incidence rate of growth restriction between the low rate and high rate groups identified by either method (P>0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Weight growth velocity calculated using the Z-score change method is more effective in predicting long-term neurological outcomes in preterm infants, while weight growth velocity derived from both methods shows no significant association with long-term physical development outcomes.
Humans
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Infant, Premature/growth & development*
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Retrospective Studies
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Infant, Newborn
;
Child Development
;
Male
;
Female
;
Body Weight
;
Infant
;
Nervous System/growth & development*
8.Expert consensus on parenteral nutrition management in neonates (2025).
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(3):247-261
Parenteral nutrition (PN) is widely utilized in the field of neonatology and is a critical life-saving intervention for critically ill neonates or preterm infants who cannot meet their energy and nutrient needs through enteral feeding. To further standardize and optimize the clinical management of PN, this consensus was developed by a working group based on relevant research progress both domestically and internationally. Employing the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation, the consensus presents 24 recommendations covering seven aspects of PN: indications, administration routes, energy, fluid volume, composition of nutritional solutions, timing of cessation, and monitoring. The aim is to provide guidance for relevant practitioners in PN management to improve the short-term and long-term outcomes for neonates.
Humans
;
Parenteral Nutrition/methods*
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Consensus
;
Infant, Premature
9.Impact of different treatment attitudes on survival and risk factors for poor clinical outcomes in extremely preterm infants: a retrospective real-world study.
Meng-Meng LI ; Shu-Shu LI ; Miao QIAN ; Min ZHANG ; Shu-Ping HAN
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(3):269-278
OBJECTIVES:
To explore the impact of different treatment attitudes on the survival status of extremely preterm infants (EPIs) and evaluate the mortality and occurrence of severe complications in actively treated infants, as well as their risk factors.
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on perinatal data of EPIs born between January 1, 2016, and December 31, 2023, who were admitted to the neonatal intensive care unit of Nanjing Women and Children's Healthcare Hospital within 24 hours after birth. The analysis focused on the attributable risk of mortality associated with different treatment attitudes in EPIs of varying gestational ages and birth weights. A multivariate logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk factors for mortality and severe complications in the actively treated group.
RESULTS:
A total of 485 EPIs were included. As gestational age or birth weight increased, the attributable risk of mortality with care withdrawal increased. Active treatment significantly improved the survival status of EPIs born at a gestational age of ≥24 weeks. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that lower gestational age and the need for mechanical ventilation within 72 hours after birth were independent risk factors for mortality or severe complications in EPIs (P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Active treatment can significantly extend the survival time of EPIs born at a gestational age of ≥24 weeks. Lower gestational age and the need for mechanical ventilation within 72 hours after birth are closely associated with poor survival outcomes in EPIs.
Humans
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Retrospective Studies
;
Infant, Extremely Premature
;
Risk Factors
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Female
;
Male
;
Gestational Age
;
Logistic Models
;
Birth Weight
10.Predictive factors for hemodynamically significant patent ductus arteriosus in preterm infants and the construction of a nomogram prediction model.
Jun MU ; Shu-Shu LI ; Ai-Ling SU ; Shu-Ping HAN ; Jin-Gai ZHU
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(3):279-285
OBJECTIVES:
To explore the predictive factors for hemodynamically significant patent ductus arteriosus (hsPDA) in preterm infants and to construct a nomogram prediction model for hsPDA occurrence in this population.
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of preterm infants with gestational age <32 weeks diagnosed with patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) who were delivered at Nanjing Women and Children's Healthcare Hospital from January 2020 to December 2022. The subjects were divided into an hsPDA group (52 cases) and a non-hsPDA group (176 cases) based on the presence of hsPDA. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to screen predictive variables regarding the general information of the infants at birth, maternal pregnancy and delivery conditions, and relevant indicators during hospitalization. A nomogram prediction model for hsPDA occurrence was constructed using R software in preterm infants. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method. Finally, the predictive model was evaluated for calibration, discrimination ability, and clinical utility.
RESULTS:
Multivariate regression analysis showed that the ratio of the left atrium to aorta diameter (LA/AO), mode of delivery (vaginal), and duration of mechanical ventilation were independent predictive factors for hsPDA in preterm infants (P<0.05). Based on the results of univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis, variables used to construct the nomogram prediction model for hsPDA risk included: LA/AO ratio, mode of delivery (vaginal), duration of mechanical ventilation, 5-minute Apgar score, and the presence of neonatal respiratory distress syndrome requiring surfactant therapy. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for this model was 0.876 (95%CI: 0.824-0.927), and the calibrated curve was close to the ideal reference line, indicating good calibration. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test demonstrated that the model fit well, and the clinical decision curve was above the extreme curves.
CONCLUSIONS
The nomogram prediction model, constructed using five variables (LA/AO ratio, vaginal delivery, duration of mechanical ventilation, 5-minute Apgar score, and the presence of neonatal respiratory distress syndrome requiring surfactant therapy), has reference significance for predicting the occurrence of hsPDA in preterm infants and provides valuable guidance for the early clinical identification of hsPDA.
Humans
;
Ductus Arteriosus, Patent/etiology*
;
Nomograms
;
Female
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Infant, Premature
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Male
;
Hemodynamics
;
Logistic Models
;
Pregnancy

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