1.Establishment and validation of a model for femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fracture using logistic regression and SHAP analysis
Long LIAO ; Zepeng ZHAO ; Zongyuan LI ; Qinglong YU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jinyuan TANG ; Nan YE ; Han XU ; Bo SHI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):626-633
BACKGROUND:The most common complication of traumatic femoral neck fractures after internal fixation is femoral head necrosis.Currently,many studies have reported on the risk factors that affect the occurrence and development of postoperative femoral head necrosis,but there is still a lack of tools to predict the risk of femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.OBJECTIVE:To develop a predictive model that estimates the risk of femoral head necrosis shortly after patients with femoral neck fractures receive cannulated screw internal fixation.METHODS:A retrospective analysis reviewed clinical records of 172 patients who underwent cannulated screw internal fixation for femoral neck fractures at Department of Orthopedics of Mianyang Central Hospital from January 2013 to June 2023.Patients were categorized into two groups based on the presence or absence of femoral head necrosis within one year post-operation:the necrosis group and the non-necrosis group.Univariate analysis,Lasso regression,and multivariate Logistic regression techniques were employed to identify the determinants of femoral head necrosis.A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R language's"rms"package,version 4.0.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the model.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the model,and the decision curve analysis was used to determine its clinical application benefits.Internal validation of the study was conducted using the Bootstrap method,involving 1 000 repeated samplings.To delve deeper into the primary factors influencing femoral head necrosis post-internal fixation of the femoral neck,this paper employed the SHAP method for data set analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The risk factors leading to femoral head necrosis in the short term after cannulated screw fixation of femoral neck fractures include:smoking,diabetes,Garden classification,fracture line location,reduction quality,age,and operation time.(2)The prediction model demonstrated robust performance,evidenced by an area under the curve of 0.940(95%Confidence Interval:0.903 to 0.977),indicating a high level of prediction accuracy.The model achieved a sensitivity of 90.2%and a specificity of 87.6%,indicating that its diagnostic performance was stable.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded a chi-square value of 6.593 with a P-value of 0.581,confirming that the model's predictions closely align with the observed outcomes.(3)The calibration curve of the model also performed well,and its overall trend was very close to the ideal curve,further proving the high accuracy of the model.(4)The internal validation was carried out by the Bootstrap method with 1 000 repeated samplings,and the area under the curve of the model internal validation was still as high as 0.939,proving that the model had good stability.(5)Through the decision curve,it is found that within the probability threshold range of 1%to 92%,the model can obtain the maximum net benefit value.(6)The SHAP analysis results show that among the risk factors analyzed in this study,the location of the fracture line serves as the most significant predictor of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation with cannulated screws in femoral neck fractures,and subcapital fractures are extremely prone to femoral head necrosis after surgery.(7)It is concluded that the validated prediction model demonstrates strong discriminative power and reliability,offering practical clinical utility.It serves as a useful reference tool for short-term risk assessment of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.
2.Establishment and validation of a model for femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fracture using logistic regression and SHAP analysis
Long LIAO ; Zepeng ZHAO ; Zongyuan LI ; Qinglong YU ; Tao ZHANG ; Jinyuan TANG ; Nan YE ; Han XU ; Bo SHI
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2026;30(3):626-633
BACKGROUND:The most common complication of traumatic femoral neck fractures after internal fixation is femoral head necrosis.Currently,many studies have reported on the risk factors that affect the occurrence and development of postoperative femoral head necrosis,but there is still a lack of tools to predict the risk of femoral head necrosis after internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.OBJECTIVE:To develop a predictive model that estimates the risk of femoral head necrosis shortly after patients with femoral neck fractures receive cannulated screw internal fixation.METHODS:A retrospective analysis reviewed clinical records of 172 patients who underwent cannulated screw internal fixation for femoral neck fractures at Department of Orthopedics of Mianyang Central Hospital from January 2013 to June 2023.Patients were categorized into two groups based on the presence or absence of femoral head necrosis within one year post-operation:the necrosis group and the non-necrosis group.Univariate analysis,Lasso regression,and multivariate Logistic regression techniques were employed to identify the determinants of femoral head necrosis.A nomogram prediction model was constructed using R language's"rms"package,version 4.0.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the discriminatory ability of the model.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test was used to evaluate the goodness of fit of the model,and the decision curve analysis was used to determine its clinical application benefits.Internal validation of the study was conducted using the Bootstrap method,involving 1 000 repeated samplings.To delve deeper into the primary factors influencing femoral head necrosis post-internal fixation of the femoral neck,this paper employed the SHAP method for data set analysis.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)The risk factors leading to femoral head necrosis in the short term after cannulated screw fixation of femoral neck fractures include:smoking,diabetes,Garden classification,fracture line location,reduction quality,age,and operation time.(2)The prediction model demonstrated robust performance,evidenced by an area under the curve of 0.940(95%Confidence Interval:0.903 to 0.977),indicating a high level of prediction accuracy.The model achieved a sensitivity of 90.2%and a specificity of 87.6%,indicating that its diagnostic performance was stable.The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test yielded a chi-square value of 6.593 with a P-value of 0.581,confirming that the model's predictions closely align with the observed outcomes.(3)The calibration curve of the model also performed well,and its overall trend was very close to the ideal curve,further proving the high accuracy of the model.(4)The internal validation was carried out by the Bootstrap method with 1 000 repeated samplings,and the area under the curve of the model internal validation was still as high as 0.939,proving that the model had good stability.(5)Through the decision curve,it is found that within the probability threshold range of 1%to 92%,the model can obtain the maximum net benefit value.(6)The SHAP analysis results show that among the risk factors analyzed in this study,the location of the fracture line serves as the most significant predictor of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation with cannulated screws in femoral neck fractures,and subcapital fractures are extremely prone to femoral head necrosis after surgery.(7)It is concluded that the validated prediction model demonstrates strong discriminative power and reliability,offering practical clinical utility.It serves as a useful reference tool for short-term risk assessment of femoral head necrosis following internal fixation of femoral neck fractures.
3.The study on the characteristics of gut microbiota in Parkinson disease with depression and its correlation with self-regulation psychological factors
Fu XIE ; Gan TANG ; Nan YANG ; Jing CHEN ; Tao ZOU
Chinese Journal of Nervous and Mental Diseases 2025;51(5):274-279
Objective To explore the differences in gut microbiota among patients with Parkinson disease(PD),major depressive disorder(MDD)and PD with depression(dPD),as well as their correlation with psychological factors.Methods A cross-sectional control design was used for the study.Fecal samples were collected from 30 PD patients,21 dPD patients,and 20 MDD patients for high-throughput 16S rRNA sequencing analysis.The Snaith-Hamilton pleasure scale(SHAPS),ruminative responses scale(RRS),Connor-Davidson resilience scale(CD-RISC)and self-compassion scale short form(SCS-SF)were used for psychological assessments.Results The relative abundance of Megamonas was higher in the MDD group than in the dPD and PD groups,while Prevotella was lower in the MDD group than in the dPD and PD groups.The relative abundance of Escherichia-Shigella in PD was higher than that in the dPD and MDD groups,and the difference was significant(P<0.05).The score of the CD-RISC was positively correlated with the abundance of microbiota at Vibrio(r=0.598,P<0.001)and Shewanella(r=0.569,P<0.001),while the score of ruminative responses scale was positively correlated with the abundance of microbiota at Hydrogenophaga(r=0.625,P<0.001),Rhodococcus(r=0.510,P<0.001).Conclusion There are some differences in gut microbiota among patients with Parkinson disease,Parkinson disease with depression and major depression disorder.The specific microbiota such as Vibrio and Rhodococcus may be related to the psychological factors and depressive symptoms of dPD patients.
4.Posterior cranial fossa in- situ floating bone flap osteotomy for the treatment of syndromic craniosynostosis
Meirong TANG ; Xu KANG ; Yunhai SONG ; Pingping GAO ; Zeyang XIA ; Nan BAO
Chinese Journal of Plastic Surgery 2025;41(5):463-472
Objective:To investigate the efficacy of posterior cranial fossa in- situ floating bone flap osteotomy in the treatment of syndromic craniosynostosis(SCS). Methods:The clinical data of SCS children who underwent posterior cranial fossa in- situ floating bone flap osteotomy at the Shanghai Children’s Medical Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine from April 2020 to August 2022 were retrospectively analyzed. The surgical procedures were as follows. The occipital bone was cut into several mosaic bone flaps of varying sizes, without peeling it off the dura, which were left as a small free floating bone flap. The anteroposterior cranial diameter, cranial height, intracranial volume, and degree of improvement in tonsillar herniation and hydrocephalus of the children (hydrocephalus quantification was performed using the ratio of the ventricular diameter to the biparietal diameter)were measured preoperatively, 7 days postoperatively, 3 months postoperatively, and at the last follow-up (at least 12 months after the operation) to evaluate the surgical outcomes. The measurement data of normal distribution were expressed as Mean±SD. The paired t-test was used for comparison within the repeated measurement data groups at the two time points. One-way repeated measures analysis of variance (ANOVA) was performed on the repeated measurement data at multiple time points, and pairwise comparisons in post hoc tests were corrected using the Bonferroni method. Results:A total of 17 pediatric patients with SCS were included, comprising 10 males and 7 females, with ages ranging from 4 to 18 months (mean age: 9.5 months). Among them, 12 patients were complicated with Chiari malformation and hydrocephalus (1 severe case, 8 moderate cases, and 3 mild cases). Postoperative follow-up lasted 12 to 35 months, with an average of 17 months. After surgery, the posterior cranial appearance of the children was enlarged, with increased convexity of the occiput and a full contour. At the last follow-up, the middle cranial height [(107.80±10.72) mm vs. (102.82±10.09) mm, P<0.05], the posterior cranial height [(124.91±10.40) mm vs. (107.58±13.46) mm, P<0.01] and anteroposterior diameter [(153.30±11.26) mm vs. (123.64±17.44) mm, P<0.01] as well as the intracranial volume [(1 317.92±225.77) cm 3 vs. (1 014.93±231.81) cm 3,P<0.01] were increased compared with the preoperative period, and the average improvement rate of intracranial volume was 37.0% (18.1%-79.2%). Among the 12 cases of tonsillar herniation, 7 cases had improvement. Moreover, all the 12 cases of hydrocephalus witnessed a mitigation in severity, from (46.33±9.34)% preoperatively to (35.24±9.88)% postoperatively, with a statistically significant difference ( P<0.01). Conclusion:Posterior cranial fossa in- situ floating bone flap osteotomy can effectively improve the appearance of patients with SCS, increase the intracranial volume, relieve the degree of hydrocephalus, and reduce the intracranial pressure.
5.Research Progress of Melatonin in the Prevention and Treatment of Delirium in Critically Ill Patients
Wanchun TANG ; Nan LI ; Zhongqi ZHANG ; Xiangrong ZUO
Herald of Medicine 2025;44(8):1302-1308
Delirium is an acute brain dysfunction syndrome,mainly manifested by cognitive impairment and mental abnormalities.It is the most common manifestation of brain dysfunction associated with severe diseases.Critically ill patients with delirium often have poor prognosis,but there is currently no"miracle drug"for the prevention and treatment of delirium in clinical practice.Melatonin is an endogenous neurohormone secreted by the pineal gland,which has the functions of regulating sleep circadian rhythm,anti-inflammatory,antioxidant,and neuroprotective.When delirium occurs in critically ill patients,the serum melatonin level often changes,indicating that melatonin may be involved in the occurrence and development of delirium.Current research suggests that exogenous supplementation of melatonin may have a preventive and therapeutic effect on delirium.This article reviews researches on the mechanism and clinical efficacy of melatonin in the prevention and treatment of delirium in critically ill patients,with the aim of providing reference for basic and clinical research on the prevention and treatment of delirium in critically ill patients.
6.Exploring the medication rules of GU Nai-fang,in the treatment of skin diseases based on the real world
Qing XU ; Yun-fei LI ; Xi CHEN ; Kan ZE ; Ye TANG ; Ya-nan ZHANG
Fudan University Journal of Medical Sciences 2025;52(5):701-707,764
Objective To organize and summarize the medication rules of GU Nai-fang in treating skin diseases through real-world data.Methods We collected traditional Chinese medicine prescriptions for GU Nai-fang's treatment of skin diseases from the outpatient medical record system of Shanghai Traditional Chinese Medicine Hospital to establish a database.Statistical analysis of disease types,performance,and efficacy was conducted,and association rules and systematic clustering analysis were performed using SPSS Modeler 18.0 and SPSS 26.0 software,respectively.Results A total of 5 020 patients were included,and 5 020 prescriptions were collected,involving 241 traditional Chinese medicines with a total frequency of 85 758 uses.The frequency of using heat clearing drugs,deficiency tonifying drugs,blood activating and stasis removing drugs,surface clearing drugs,and wind and dampness dispelling drugs was relatively high;most drugs tended to be cold and warm,mainly targeting the heart,lungs,and colon meridians.The top 15 Chinese medicines with the highest frequency of use were Smilacis Glabrae Rhixoma,Cortex Moutan,Radix Paeoniae Rubra,Rehmanniae Radix,Scutellariae Radix,Cynanchi Paniculati Radix et Rhizoma,Schisandrae Chinensis Fructus,Violsse Herba,Mume Fructus,Herba Pyrolae,Hedyotis Diffusae Herba,Lonicerae Japonicae Flos,Cicadae Periostracum,Bombyx Batryticatus,Radix Salviae.Association rule analysis obtained 15 high-frequency combinations of 2 traditional Chinese medicines and 3 traditional Chinese medicines.Cluster analysis resulted in 7 clustered prescriptions.Conclusion GU Nai-fang commonly used heat clearing drugs,deficiency tonifying drugs,blood activating and stasis removing drugs,surface resolving drugs,and wind and dampness dispelling drugs in the treatment of skin diseases,and Smilacis Glabrae Rhixoma,Cortex Moutan,Radix Paeoniae Rubra,Rehmanniae Radix,and Scutellariae Radix were the most frequently used drugs.
7.An analysis influencing factors of subsequent fracture among elderly osteoporotic patients and nursing countermeasures
Nan TANG ; Yuan GAO ; Qingqing SU ; Mi SONG ; Chen QIU ; Mengqi SHAO
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2025;60(6):710-716
Objective To explore influencing factors of subsequent fracture among elderly osteoporotic patients and provide a basis for improving the management and early intervention after osteoporotic fracture.Methods A total of 14 349 elderly patients with osteoporotic fracture in 594 hospitals across 31 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)were selected by convenience sampling method from September to December 2023.A general information questionnaire and a clinical characteristics of fracture questionnaire were used.The univariate analysis and logistic regression were used to clarify the influencing factors and gender differences.Results A total of 11364 valid questionnaires were collected,with a valid questionnaire recovery rate of 79.20%.Gender,age,occupation,education,marital status,family history of osteoporosis,comorbid osteoarthropathies/rheumatism/ophthalmopathies,bone mineral density,risk of fall,risk of fracture grade,reasons and site for first fracture,whether to use walking aid and receive home rehabilitation guidance were associated with the occurrence of subsequent fracture.Gender comparisons found that widowhood,family history of osteoporosis,comorbid rheumatism,vertebral fracture,alcohol consumption,fall or no causative factor triggering the fracture,and educational level,home rehabilitation instruction were associated with the risk of subsequent fracture only in women(P<0.05).Smoking was associated with the risk of subsequent fracture only in men(P<0.05).Conclusion Osteoporotic subsequent fracture in the elderly is affected by multidimensional factors,with significant gender differences.The surveillance of key populations should be strengthened in prevention,control and intervention.
8.Clinical efficacy of olapalib in the treatment of platinum-sensitive recurrent breast cancer susceptibility gene-mutated ovarian cancer
Jing CHEN ; Nan TANG ; Yuanyuan WU ; Yan TIAN ; Tong LIU ; Yanli WANG ; Dongjie LI ; Runpu LI
Chinese Journal of Postgraduates of Medicine 2025;48(2):120-124
Objective:To explore the clinical efficacy of olapalib in the treatment of platinum-sensitive recurrent breast cancer susceptibility gene (BRCA)-mutated ovarian cancer.Methods:The clinical data of 105 patients with platinum-sensitive recurrent BRCA-mutated ovarian cancer confirmed by pathology/imaging from October 2020 to March 2023 in Baoding Second Central Hospital were selected retrospectively, and they were divided into the control group (52 cases) and the experimental group (53 cases) according to the treatment methods. The control group was treated with a platinum-containing regimen, followed by olaparib at the end of the treatment. The experimental group was treated with olaparib. The recent clinical outcomes, tumour marker levels, ovarian cancer functional assessment of treatment questionnaire (FACT-O) score, cancer fatigue scale (CFS) score, and adverse reaction were compared between the two groups. The survival curve was drawn by Kaplan-Meier, and the prognosis was compared.Results:The overall response rate clinical in the experimental group was higher than that in the control group: 64.15%(34/53) vs.44.23%(23/52), there was a statistical difference ( χ2 = 4.20, P<0.05). After treatment, the levels of serum glycoantigen (CA) 125, CA153, human epithelial protein 4 (HE4), and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) in the experimental group were lower than those in the control group: (42.35 ± 6.85) kU/L vs. (46.64 ± 7.11) kU/L, (24.26 ± 4.58) kU/L vs. (26.74 ± 5.20) kU/L, (144.25 ± 19.85) pmol/L vs. (155.64 ± 21.26) pmol/L, (335.32 ± 38.41) μg/L vs. (359.47 ± 41.24) μg/L; the FACT-O scores in the experimental group was higher than that in the control group: (55.24 ± 6.85)scores vs. (51.26 ± 7.19) scores; the CFS scores in the experimental group was lower than that in the control group: (38.51 ± 6.11) scores vs. (44.94 ± 8.38) scores, there were statistical differences ( P<0.05).After treatment, the rate of dizziness, nausea, leukopenia, neutropenia, thrombocytopenia, and anemia in the experimental group were lower than those in the control group ( P<0.05). The results of the survival curve showed that the median progression-free survival in the experimental group was longer than that in the control group ( P<0.05). Conclusions:Single-agent olaparib is effective in treating platinum-sensitive recurrent BRCA-mutated ovarian cancer, and can improve quality of life, reduce anemia and adverse reaction, and prolong patients′ median survival.
9.The study on the characteristics of gut microbiota in Parkinson disease with depression and its correlation with self-regulation psychological factors
Fu XIE ; Gan TANG ; Nan YANG ; Jing CHEN ; Tao ZOU
Chinese Journal of Nervous and Mental Diseases 2025;51(5):274-279
Objective To explore the differences in gut microbiota among patients with Parkinson disease(PD),major depressive disorder(MDD)and PD with depression(dPD),as well as their correlation with psychological factors.Methods A cross-sectional control design was used for the study.Fecal samples were collected from 30 PD patients,21 dPD patients,and 20 MDD patients for high-throughput 16S rRNA sequencing analysis.The Snaith-Hamilton pleasure scale(SHAPS),ruminative responses scale(RRS),Connor-Davidson resilience scale(CD-RISC)and self-compassion scale short form(SCS-SF)were used for psychological assessments.Results The relative abundance of Megamonas was higher in the MDD group than in the dPD and PD groups,while Prevotella was lower in the MDD group than in the dPD and PD groups.The relative abundance of Escherichia-Shigella in PD was higher than that in the dPD and MDD groups,and the difference was significant(P<0.05).The score of the CD-RISC was positively correlated with the abundance of microbiota at Vibrio(r=0.598,P<0.001)and Shewanella(r=0.569,P<0.001),while the score of ruminative responses scale was positively correlated with the abundance of microbiota at Hydrogenophaga(r=0.625,P<0.001),Rhodococcus(r=0.510,P<0.001).Conclusion There are some differences in gut microbiota among patients with Parkinson disease,Parkinson disease with depression and major depression disorder.The specific microbiota such as Vibrio and Rhodococcus may be related to the psychological factors and depressive symptoms of dPD patients.
10.Research progress in the study of melatonin in the treatment of sepsis
Nan LI ; Wanchun TANG ; Zhongqi ZHANG ; Xiangrong ZUO
Chinese Journal of Clinical Pharmacology and Therapeutics 2025;30(1):118-124
Sepsis poses a significant threat to hu-man health due to its widespread prevalence,high mortality rate,substantial treatment costs,and the absence of effective life-saving therapies.Melato-nin,a primary hormone regulating the circadian rhythm,has demonstrated potential as a promising therapeutic agent against sepsis.Its anti-inflamma-tory,antioxidant,immunomodulatory,mitochondri-al protective,and multi-organ protective effects are noteworthy.In this review,we summarize current research on the mechanisms of action and clinical efficacy of melatonin in sepsis treatment and multi-organ function preservation,aiming to offer new perspectives and support for sepsis research and therapy.

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