3.The Disease Burden of Asthma in China, 1990 to 2021 and Projections to 2050: Based on the Global Burden of Disease 2021.
Rui Yi ZHANG ; Miao Miao ZHANG ; Yu Chang ZHOU ; Jia Huan GUO ; Xuan Kai WANG ; Mai Geng ZHOU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(5):529-538
OBJECTIVE:
Asthma imposes a significant global health burden. This study examines changes in the asthma-related disease burden from 1990 to 2021 and projects future burdens for 2050 under different scenarios.
METHODS:
Using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study, we analyzed asthma incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from 1990 to 2021. We projected the disease burden for 2050 based on current trends and hypothetical scenarios in which all risk factors are controlled. Temporal trends in age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALY rates were explored using Annual Percent Change.
RESULTS:
In 2021, the age-standardized rates for asthma incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs in China were 364.17 per 100,000 (95% uncertainty interval [ UI]: 283.22-494.10), 1,956.49 per 100,000 (95% UI: 1,566.68-2,491.87), 1.47 per 100,000 (95% UI: 1.15-1.79), and 103.76 per 100,000 (95% UI: 72.50-145.46), respectively. A higher disease burden was observed among Chinese men and individuals aged 70 years or older. Compared to the current trend, a combined scenario involving improvements in environmental factors, behavioral and metabolic health, child nutrition, and vaccination resulted in a greater reduction in the disease burden caused by asthma.
CONCLUSION
Addressing modifiable risk factors is essential for further reducing the asthma-related disease burden.
Humans
;
Asthma/mortality*
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Child
;
Adolescent
;
Global Burden of Disease/trends*
;
Child, Preschool
;
Young Adult
;
Infant
;
Cost of Illness
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Prevalence
;
Incidence
;
Infant, Newborn
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Risk Factors
4.Forecast of the Burden of Lower Respiratory Infections in the Elderly Aged 70 and above in China from 1990 to 2050, GBD2021.
Miao Miao ZHANG ; Rui Yi ZHANG ; Yu Chang ZHOU ; Mai Geng ZHOU
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(5):539-546
OBJECTIVE:
This study aims to analyze the burden of lower respiratory infections in Chinese elderly people aged 70 and above.
METHODS:
This study utilized Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 1990-2050 prediction data to analyze changes in mortality rates and disability-adjusted life year (DALY) rates for lower respiratory infections in the elderly population (aged 70 and above) in China from 1990 to 2050. It also discusses future trends in the burden of lower respiratory infections (LRI) in China under different scenarios.
RESULTS:
According to GBD predictions, the burden of lower respiratory infections in the elderly aged 70 years and above in China is lower than the global average. The burden has been decreasing from 1990 to 2020, but is projected to increase from 2020 to 2050. Scenario-based predictions suggest that, under scenarios involving improvements in nutrition and vaccination, the burden of lower respiratory infections in the elderly in China is expected to be the lowest in 2050.
CONCLUSION
This study indicates that the burden of lower respiratory infections in elderly people aged 70 years and above in China remains a significant public health issue and may worsen. The government should consider strengthening the preventive measures and management strategies for respiratory infections in the elderly population.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Aged
;
Respiratory Tract Infections/mortality*
;
Aged, 80 and over
;
Male
;
Female
;
Forecasting
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Global Burden of Disease
;
Cost of Illness
5.Burden of Headache Disorders in China and its Provinces, 1990-2021.
Zhe LIU ; Xue Hua HU ; Lin YANG ; Jin Lei QI ; Jiang Mei LIU ; Li Jun WANG ; Mai Geng ZHOU ; Peng YIN
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(5):547-556
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the prevalence and burden of headache disorders in China and its provinces from 1990 to 2021.
METHODS:
Using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021, the number of prevalent cases, prevalence rate, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and age-standardized DALY rates were analyzed by sex, age group, and province for headache disorders and their subtypes (migraine and tension-type headache [TTH]) between 1990 and 2021. Percentage changes during this period were also estimated.
RESULTS:
In 2021, approximately 426 million individuals in China were affected by headache disorders, with an age-standardized prevalence rate of 27,582.61/100,000. The age-standardized DALY rate for all headache disorders was 487.15/100,000. Between 1990 and 2021, the number of prevalent cases increased by 37.78%, while the prevalence of all headache disorders, migraine, and TTH increased by 6.92%, 7.57%, and 7.86%, respectively. The highest prevalence was observed in the 30-34 age group (39,520.60/100,000). Migraine accounted for a larger proportion of DALYs attributable to headache disorders, whereas TTH has a greater impact on its prevalence. In 2021, the highest age-standardized DALY rates for headache disorders were observed in Heilongjiang (617.85/100,000) and Shanghai (542.86/100,000).
CONCLUSION
The prevalence of headache disorders is increasing in China. Effective health education, improve diagnosis and treatment are essential, particularly for middle-aged working populations and women of childbearing age.
Humans
;
China/epidemiology*
;
Female
;
Male
;
Adult
;
Middle Aged
;
Prevalence
;
Young Adult
;
Adolescent
;
Aged
;
Child
;
Headache Disorders/epidemiology*
;
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
;
Child, Preschool
;
Cost of Illness
;
Infant
;
Aged, 80 and over
6.Divergent activation patterns of BRS3 revealed by two Chinese herb-derived agonists.
Jie LI ; Changyao LI ; Qingtong ZHOU ; Wei HAN ; Mingzhu FANG ; Youwei XU ; Yiting MAI ; Yao ZHANG ; Jiahua CUI ; H Eric XU ; Yan ZHANG ; Wanchao YIN ; Ming-Wei WANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(10):5231-5243
Bombesin receptor subtype-3 (BRS3) is an orphan G protein-coupled receptor (GPCR) that plays critical roles in energy homeostasis, glucose metabolism, and insulin secretion. Recent structural studies have elucidated BRS3 signaling mechanisms using synthetic ligands, including BA1 and MK-5046. However, the molecular basis of BRS3 activation by bioactive natural compounds and their derivatives, particularly those derived from traditional Chinese medicine, remains unclear. Here, we present high-resolution cryogenic electron microscopy (cryo-EM) structures of the human BRS3-Gq complex in both unliganded and active states bound by two herb-derived compounds (DSO-5a and oridonin), at resolutions of 2.9, 2.8, and 2.9 Å, respectively. These structures display distinct ligand recognition patterns between DSO-5a and oridonin. Although both compounds bind to the orthosteric pocket, they differentially engage the interaction network of BRS3, as demonstrated by mutagenesis studies assessing calcium mobilization and inositol phosphate 1 (IP1) accumulation. These findings enhance our understanding of BRS3 activation and provide valuable insights into the development of small-molecule BRS3 modulators with therapeutic potential.
7.Aucubin alleviates knee osteoarthritis in mice by suppressing the NF‑κB signaling pathway.
Yongxin MAI ; Shuting ZHOU ; Ruijia WEN ; Jinfang ZHANG ; Dongxiang ZHAN
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(10):2104-2110
OBJECTIVES:
To assess the therapeutic effect of aucubin in mice with knee osteoarthritis (KOA) and investigate the underlying mechanism.
METHODS:
Sixty C57BL/6J mice were randomized equally into sham operation group, KOA model group, glucosamine (positive control) treatment group, and low-, medium-, and high-dose aucubin treatment groups (2, 4, and 8 mg/kg, respectively). KOA mouse models were established by transection of the anterior cruciate ligament (ACL), and the treatment was initiated on day 1 postoperatively and administered weekly for 8 weeks. Safranin O-fast green staining, immunohistochemistry, and microCT were used to evaluate the changes in cartilage pathology, inflammatory protein expression, and subchondral bone volume fraction (BV/TV). The expression levesl of COL2, SOX9, p-P65, IL-1β and MMP13 proteins in the cartilage tissues were detected using Western blotting. In a chondrocyte model with IL-1β treatment for mimicking KOA, the effect of aucubin on chondrogenic differentiation was observed with Alcian blue and Safranin O staining, and cellular COL2, SOX9 and TNF‑α mRNA expressions were detected with RT-qPCR.
RESULTS:
Compared with those in the model group, the mouse models receiving aucubin treatment showed significantly upregulated COL2 and SOX9 protein levels and downregulated p-P65, IL-1β and MMP13 expressions in the cartilage tissues. In the IL-1β-induced chondrocyte model, aucubin treatment significantly upregulated the mRNA expressions of SOX9 and COL2 but lowered the mRNA expression of TNF-α. Alcian blue and Safranin O staining confirmed that aucubin promoted the synthesis of cartilage extracellular matrix and enhanced chondrogenic differentiation of the cells.
CONCLUSIONS
Aucubin can effectively alleviate KOA in mice by inhibiting NF‑κB-mediated cartilage inflammation, promoting cartilage matrix synthesis, and improving subchondral bone microstructure.
Animals
;
Mice, Inbred C57BL
;
Mice
;
Osteoarthritis, Knee/drug therapy*
;
Signal Transduction/drug effects*
;
NF-kappa B/metabolism*
;
Iridoid Glucosides/therapeutic use*
;
SOX9 Transcription Factor/metabolism*
;
Chondrocytes/drug effects*
;
Male
;
Interleukin-1beta/metabolism*
;
Matrix Metalloproteinase 13/metabolism*
;
Collagen Type II/metabolism*
;
Disease Models, Animal
8.Epidemic Characteristics and disease burden trend of cervical cancer in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, 2010-2017
Yuejiao MAI ; Zihan ZHOU ; Qiulin LI ; Jiahua YU ; Jiawei LIAN ; Yuanzheng MO ; Lianying GE ; Ji CAO ; Hongping YU
Chinese Journal of Oncology 2025;47(6):491-497
Objective:To analyze the changing trend of cervical cancer epidemiological characteristics and disease burden in cancer registration areas of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region (Guangxi) from 2010 to 2017, and to provide scientific basis for the development of cervical cancer prevention and control strategies in Guangxi.Methods:Using descriptive analysis method, based on the incidence and death data of cervical cancer in the tumor registration areas of Guangxi from 2010 to 2017, Crude morbidity, crude mortality, age-standardized morbidity and mortality (referred to as the winning rate), disability adjusted life years (DALYs) rate and the annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC) of the above indicators were calculated, and stratified analysis was conducted for urban and rural areas and different age groups.Results:From 2010 to 2017, the crude incidence rate of cervical cancer in Guangxi showed a significant upward trend, rising from 10.31/10 5 in 2010 to 19.94/10 5 in 2017, with an average annual growth rate of 7.9% ( P<0.05). However, after age standardization, the trend of the age-standardized incidence rate of cervical cancer was not statistically significant ( P>0.05). During the same period, the crude mortality rate of cervical cancer increased from 2.69/10 5 to 6.21/10 5, with an average annual growth rate of 13.1% ( P<0.05), and the trend of the age-standardized mortality rate was basically consistent with that of the crude mortality rate. The analysis of urban-rural differences showed that the growth rates of the crude incidence rate and crude mortality rate of cervical cancer in rural areas were higher than those in urban areas from 2010 to 2017 (AAPC incidence rate: 21.3% vs. 2.3%; AAPC mortality rate: 20.1% vs. 8.4%). The analysis of age differences showed that the crude incidence rate and crude mortality rate of cervical cancer in all age groups increased to varying degrees, among which the growth rate of the incidence rate (AAPC=16.2%, P<0.05) and mortality rate (AAPC=14.7%, P<0.05) of cervical cancer in women aged 65 and above was the fastest. In addition, the DALYs rate of cervical cancer in Guangxi increased from 50.6/10 5 in 2010 to 111.0/10 5 in 2017, with an average annual increase of 11.9% ( P<0.05). The growth rate of the DALYs rate in rural areas was higher than that in urban areas, and the growth rate of the DALYs rate in the 50-59 age group was higher than those in other age groups. Conclusions:From 2010 to 2017, the incidence rate, mortality rate and DALYs rate of cervical cancer in Guangxi showed an upward trend. Comprehensive prevention and control measures for cervical cancer, such as improving the early diagnosis and treatment system, promoting the popularization of HPV vaccination and strengthening health education, should be taken to reduce the disease burden of cervical cancer.
9.Develop and assessment of a predictive model for the first-course efficacy of acute myeloid leukemia
Feng ZHU ; Yile ZHOU ; Yi ZHANG ; Liping MAO ; De ZHOU ; Liya MA ; Chunmei YANG ; Wenjuan YU ; Xingnong YE ; Juying WEI ; Haitao MENG ; Min YANG ; Wenyuan MAI ; Jiejing QIAN ; Yanling REN ; Yinjun LOU ; Jian HUANG ; Gaixiang XU ; Wanzhuo XIE ; Hongyan TONG ; Huafeng WANG ; Jie JIN
Chinese Journal of Hematology 2025;46(4):336-342
Objective:To identify the relevant factors for the first-course remission of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) and to develop a predictive model as well as assess its predictive capability.Methods:Clinical data of 749 patients newly diagnosed with AML admitted to the Department of Hematology, the First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University, School of Medicine from January 1, 2019, to April 30, 2023, were collected and randomly divided into training and validation sets. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine variables associated with complete remission in the first course of induction therapy, and a predictive model was established based on these variables. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve of the predictive model was plotted, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated.Results:The indicators predicting the first remission course included peripheral blood white blood cell count during onset, CBF::MYH11 fusion gene, CEBPA bZIP region mutation, myelodysplastic syndrome-related gene mutation, and induction chemotherapy regimen selection as independent factors for the first remission course. The model’s area under the training and validation curves was 0.738 (95% CI: 0.696-0.780) and 0.726 (95% CI: 0.650-0.801), respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test results yielded P-values of 0.993 and 0.335, respectively. Conclusion:In this study, the developed model demonstrates a strong predictive capability for the efficacy of the first course of patients with AML, providing valuable guidance to clinicians in assessing patient prognosis and selecting appropriate treatment strategies.
10.The impact of intraoperative lumbar anteroposterior fluoroscopy under anesthesia on the selection of the lowest instrumented vertebra in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis plus lumbar curves
Lang MAI ; Yankui LIU ; Ruijue ZHU ; Jiawei DI ; Pan ZHOU ; Zifang HUANG ; Lei HE
Chinese Journal of Orthopaedic Trauma 2025;27(4):322-328
Objective:To investigate the impact and clinical outcomes of intraoperative prone-position lumbar anteroposterior (AP) fluoroscopy under anesthesia on the selection of the lowest instrumented vertebra (LIV) in the patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) plus structural lumbar curves.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted of the clinical data of 35 patients (29 females and 6 males) with AIS who had undergone surgical posterior correction and fusion at Scoliosis Center, The Third Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University between January 2020 and October 2023. The mean age was (17.9±5.7) years. Lenke's classification: 6 cases of type 3, 12 cases of type 4, 7 cases of type 5 and 10 cases of type 6. Preoperatively, all patients underwent standing AP and lateral radiographs of the full-length spine, left and right bending radiographs of the spine, and full-spine CT. Intraoperatively, all patients underwent prone-position lumbar AP fluoroscopy under anesthesia. The criteria for LIV selection were: (1) it should be the most cephalad vertebra touched by the central sacral vertical line (CSVL); (2) its rotation should be ≤ grade Ⅱ by the Nash-Moe classification; (3) its tilt angle should be <25°. The preoperative and postoperative LIV rotation angles were compared, and the number of lumbar fusions was compared between preoperative planning and actual surgery. Comparisons were also made between preoperation, postoperation and the final follow-up, examining Cobb angle of the major curve, Cobb angle of the minor curve, LIV inclination, coronal balance distance (CBD), sagittal vertical axis (SVA), and distance between CSVL and LIV (CSVL-LIV). The correction rates of the major curve and the minor curve, and change in LIV inclination were compared between postoperation and the final follow-up.Results:The patients were followed for (18.0±3.0) months. The LIV rotation decreased from 8.34°±4.95° preoperatively to 5.03°±2.99° postoperatively. The intraoperative fluoroscopy reduced at least one segment fusion for 57.1% (20/35) of the patients so that the number of lumbar fusions decreased significantly from 4.2±0.7 in preoperative planning to 3.6±0.8 after actual surgery ( P<0.05). The Cobb angles of the major and minor curves, LIV inclination, and CSVL-LIV at postoperation and the final follow-up were significantly lower than the preoperative values ( P<0.05), but there were no significant differences between the final follow-up and postoperation in the Cobb angle of the major cure, Cobb angle of the minor curve, or LIV inclination ( P>0.05). None of the patients required surgical revision for distal junctional complications. Conclusions:In the surgical treatment of AIS patients with structural lumbar curves, compared to the preoperative X-rays using the same criteria, intraoperative prone-position lumbar AP fluoroscopy under anesthesia can not only be a safe and effective method for LIV selection but also effectively reduce the number of lumbar fusions to preserve more lumbar mobility.

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