Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.

Objective To understand the status of body image disturbance and its influencing factors in patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS), so as to provide a scientific basis for the clinical management of AS. Methods A total of 353 AS patients admitted from January 2022 to December 2024 were selected as research subjects. Chinese version of Body Image Disturbance Questionnaire (BIDQ) was used to investigate the body image disturbance in AS patients. Single factor analysis was performed by t test and analysis of variance, and multiple factors were analyzed by multivariate linear regression. Results The total score of BIDQ in 342 AS patients was (25.01±4.22). Multivariate linear regression analysis results showed that self-paid medical expense, nighttime VAS score and negative emotion PANAS score could positively predict body image disturbance in AS patients (standardized regression coefficient=0.413, 0.413, 0.460, P<0.05), and PSSS score, positive emotion PANAS score and exercise management CDSSM score could negatively predict body image disturbance (standardized regression coefficient=-0.245, -0.134, -0.247, P<0.05). Conclusion The body image disturbance in AS patients is worthy of clinical attention. Nighttime pain, negative emotion and self-paid medical treatment can increase the risk of body image disturbance. Positive emotion, social support and high self-management level of exercise behavior can reduce the formation of body image disturbance, which can provide new ideas for clinical management of AS patients.

Objective To analyze the clinical characteristics and risk factors of noninfectious fever after endovascular repair of aortic dilatation diseases, and to explore management strategies. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of patients who underwent endovascular aortic repair for aortic dilatation diseases from January 2021 to October 2023. Based on inclusion and exclusion criteria, the enrolled patients were divided into a febrile group and an afebrile group according to the presence of postoperative fever. Clinical data, including demographics and surgical details, were compared between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed on indicators with P≤0.05 in the univariate analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to analyze the predictive value of risk factors for postoperative noninfectious fever. Results A total of 305 patients were included in the final analysis. Postoperative noninfectious fever occurred in 75.08% (229/305) of the patients, with 98.25% of cases occurring within the first two postoperative days. The febrile group (n=229) had a median age of 65.0 (IQR: 53.0, 73.0) years with 83.4% males, while the afebrile group (n=76) had a median age of 71.0 (IQR: 65.0, 76.7) years with 84.2% males. Univariate analysis showed that the age, prevalence of coronary heart disease, preoperative statin use, and prevalence of aortic aneurysm were significantly lower in the febrile group compared to the afebrile group. Logistic regression analysis indicated that age, surgical site, disease type, preoperative elevated body temperature, and stent type were significantly associated with noninfectious fever, while preoperative statin use was negatively correlated. ROC curve analysis demonstrated that age, surgical site, preoperative elevated body temperature, and stent type had significant predictive value for postoperative noninfectious fever (P<0.01). Conclusion Noninfectious fever is highly prevalent following aortic repair. The relationship between fever and infection should be comprehensively evaluated based on risk factors and changes in the patient&#39;s condition to promote the rational use of antibiotics.

[摘 要] 目的：探讨同源框蛋白C4（HOXC4）在胃癌组织和细胞中的表达及其对胃癌细胞增殖、迁移与侵袭的作用及其机制。方法：收集2020年5月至2021年4月期间在南阳市第一人民医院肿瘤科手术切除的16例进展期胃癌患者的癌及癌旁组织标本，以及人胃正常上皮细胞GES-1和胃癌细胞AGS、SGC-790和MGC-803，采用WB法检测胃癌组织和细胞中HOXC4的表达。通过RNA干扰技术对SGC-790及AGS细胞中HOXC4进行敲低或过表达，实验分为sh-HOXC4#1组、sh-HOXC4#2组、sh-Con组、sh-HOXC4 + pc-integrin β1组、pc-HOXC4组、pc-Con组、pc-HOXC4 + pc-integrin β1组。利用EdU、CCK-8、Transwell实验分别检测敲低或过表达HOXC4对各组细胞活力、增殖、侵袭、迁移和integrin β1表达的影响。用敲低HOXC4的胃癌AGS细胞构建荷瘤小鼠模型，观察敲低HOXC4对移植瘤体积及组织中Ki67和integrin β1蛋白表达的影响。结果：胃癌组织和细胞中HOXC4的表达均显著上调（均P < 0.01）。与sh-Con组相比，sh-HOXC4#1组和sh-HOXC4#2组SGC-790及AGS细胞中HOXC4、integrin β1蛋白表达水平，以及细胞的活力、增殖、迁移及侵袭能力均显著降低（均P < 0.01）。与sh-HOXC4组相比，sh-HOXC4 + pc-integrin β1组细胞活力、增殖、迁移及侵袭能力均显著增加（均P < 0.01）；与pc-Con组相比，pc-HOXC4组细胞活力、侵袭及迁移能力均显著增加（均P < 0.01）；与pc-HOXC4组相比，pc-HOXC4 + pc-integrin β1组细胞活力、迁移及侵袭能力均显著降低（均P < 0.01）。与sh-Con组相比，sh-HOXC4#1组和sh-HOXC4#2组小鼠移植瘤生长缓慢、体积变小，组织中Ki67和integrin β1表达均显著降低（均P < 0.01）。结论：HOXC4在胃癌组织与细胞中表达上调，其通过激活integrin β1信号促进胃癌细胞的增殖、迁移与侵袭。

[摘 要] 目的：探索预后营养指数（PNI）在接受诱导化疗联合免疫（化免）序贯放疗的局部晚期食管鳞状细胞癌（ESCC）中的疗效预测价值及预后影响。方法: 回顾性分析浙江省肿瘤医院2019年5月至2023年8月期间收治的126例行诱导化免序贯放疗的局部晚期ESCC患者的临床资料。绘制受试者工作特征曲线（ROC曲线），确定患者诱导化免前1周内、放疗前1周内、放疗开始后4 ± 1周的PNI最佳临界值并对患者进行分组。采用Kaplan-Meier法绘制生存曲线，并用Log-Rank法比较组间患者的总生存期（OS）及无进展生存期（PFS），采用Cox回归分析探讨诱导化免序贯放疗的局部晚期ESCC患者的预后影响因素。结果: 共纳入126例局部晚期ESCC患者，男性118例，女性8例，中位年龄65岁（44~78岁）。运用ROC曲线确认的患者诱导化免前、放疗前和放疗中PNI最佳临界值为46.2、48.3和37.9。放疗前PNI ≥ 48.3组中位OS、PFS分别为47.3、28.2个月，放疗前PNI < 48.3组中位OS、PFS分别为18.7、15.2个月（P < 0.01，P < 0.05）。放疗中PNI ≥ 37.9组中位OS未达到，中位PFS为25.7个月，放疗中PNI < 37.9组中位OS、PFS分别为17.0、12.5个月（P < 0.01，P < 0.05）。诱导化免后PNI升高组中位OS未达到，中位PFS为28.4个月；PNI降低组中位OS、PFS分别为20.4、16.0个月（P < 0.01，P < 0.05）。多因素分析显示，放疗中PNI[HR = 2.292，95% CI（1.264,4.159），P < 0.05]、诱导化免后PNI变化[HR = 2.120, 95% CI（1.007, 4.463），P < 0.05]为影响OS因素。结论: 放疗中PNI、诱导化免后PNI变化与患者治疗疗效及预后有一定相关性，可作为预测ESCC化免序贯放疗获益的重要指标。

Objective To establish an individualized nomogram model and evaluate its efficacy to provide a possible evaluation basis for the prognosis of lower third and abdominal part of oesophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC). Methods Lower third and abdominal part of EAC patients from 2010 to 2015 were chosen from the SEER Research Plus Database (17 Regs, 2022nov sub). The patients were randomly allocated to the training cohort and the internal validation cohort with a ratio of 7∶3 using bootstrap resampling. The Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to determine significant contributors to overall survival (OS) in EAC patients, which would be elected to construct the nomogram prediction model. C-index, calibration curve and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were performed to evaluate its efficacy. Finally, the efficacy to evaluate the OS of EAC patients was compared between the nomogram prediction model and TNM staging system. Results In total, 3945 patients with lower third and abdominal part of EAC were enrolled, including 3475 males and 470 females with a median age of 65 (57-72) years. The 2761 patients were allocated to the training cohort and the remaining 1184 patients to the internal validation cohort. In the training and the internal validation cohorts, the C-index of the nomogram model was 0.705 and 0.713, respectively. Meanwhile, the calibration curve also suggested that the nomogram model had a strong capability of predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of EAC patients. The nomogram also had a higher efficacy than the TNM staging system in predicting 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS rates of EAC patients. Conclusion This nomogram prediction model has a high efficiency for predicting OS in the patients with lower third and abdominal part of EAC, which is higher than that of the current TNM staging system.

Objective To investigate common problems in motor development in high-risk infants and explore related influencing factors. Methods The high-risk infants who underwent the Test of Infant Motor Performance (TIMP) at the Early Childhood Development Department of Ma';anshan Maternal and Child Health Hospital from January 2021 to June 2023 were selected as the research subjects. Professional evaluation was conducted, and demographic information variables were collected. Finally, effective data of 1106 cases were obtained. The 2 test, t-test, or F-test were used to compare differences, and multiple linear regression analysis was used to explore the relevant factors influencing TIMP scores. Results According to the TIMP assessment, the incidence rates of developmental deviation and abnormality were 32.73% (362 /1 106) and 3.98% (44/1 106), respectively. Gender, birth weight, gestational age, test week age, and clinical impression were the influencing factors for TIMP scores (t-values=2.33, 2.26, -2.78, 23.35, and -8.48, all P<0.05). In the elicited items, except for the midline position of 15^“ without vision and the upper limb defense of 30^“, the scores of deviant and abnormal subjects were lower than those of excellent and good subjects, and the differences were statistically significant (P values<0.05). Conclusion The Chinese version of TIMP can reflect the level of exercise ability in high-risk infants and is suitable for early assessment of high-risk infants.

[摘 要] 目的：探究β-半乳糖苷α-2-6唾液酸转移酶1（ST6GAL1）对结直肠癌（CRC）HCT116细胞糖酵解和迁移、侵袭的作用及可能的分子机制。方法：通过检索GEPIA2数据库，分析ST6GAL1在CRC患者和健康人群中的表达差异；WB法检测ST6GAL1在CRC细胞HCT116、SW480、Caco-2、HT29、LoVo和人正常结肠上皮细胞NCM460细胞中的表达差异；免疫组织化学法分析ST6GAL1在CRC组织和对应癌旁组织中的表达差异。通过慢病毒转染细胞的方法构建稳定敲低或过表达ST6GAL1的HCT116细胞，通过划痕愈合实验检测细胞迁移能力，Transwell实验检测细胞侵袭能力，WB法检测细胞糖酵解相关蛋白、Notch1受体胞内段（Notch1 ICD）以及PI3K/AKT/mTOR通路磷酸化水平，细胞免疫荧光实验观察Notch1 ICD表达水平和进入细胞核情况；加入Notch1受体激动剂Jagged1处理HCT116细胞，通过WB法检测糖酵解相关蛋白、Notch1 ICD表达水平以及PI3K/AKT/mTOR通路磷酸化水平。结果：ST6GAL1在CRC组织和细胞中均表达上调（均P < 0.05）。与对照组和过表达组相比，敲低ST6GAL1导致HCT116细胞内Notch1 ICD表达水平和PI3K/AKT/mTORC1磷酸化水平显著降低，细胞糖酵解相关蛋白表达水平降低，细胞迁移和侵袭能力减弱（均P < 0.05）；过表达ST6GAL1增加了HCT116细胞内Notch1 ICD表达水平并促进其进入细胞核，细胞糖酵解相关蛋白表达水平升高，细胞迁移和侵袭能力增强（均P < 0.05）。结论：ST6GAL1通过活化Notch1受体进而磷酸化激活PI3K/AKT/mTORC1通路，并增强CRC细胞糖酵解水平和迁移、侵袭能力。

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Filipino farmers face unique occupational challenges that increase the risk of mental health issues, particularly anxiety. This study aims to determine the different personal, environmental, socioeconomic, occupational, and psychosocial factors associated with anxiety symptoms among Filipino farmers in Central Luzon.

Chain referral sampling method was used to recruit participants for the study, who underwent screening based on the eligibility criteria. Eligible participants were then asked about anxiety symptoms using the Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7), while the validated, researcher-constructed Data Collection Tool for Factors Associated with Anxiety Symptoms (DCFAAS) was used to determine the farmers’ exposure to a variety of factors. Microsoft Excel was utilized in computing for frequency and percent distribution of participants, in each factor. Binary logistic regression was used to compute crude and adjusted odds ratio of each factor thru IBM SPSS Statistics®.

Among the 113 eligible farmers enrolled in the study, only 19 (16.8%) experienced anxiety symptoms, with excessive worrying, which was seen among 45 participants (39.8%). The mental health of Filipino farmers was significantly affected by the presence of physical illness (OR = 10.70 [95% CI 1.367, 83.773]) and having relatives affecting work completion (OR = 6.45 [95% CI 1.346, 30.896]). 

Despite the low prevalence of anxiety symptoms in this study, the findings suggest government policies to improve mental health service access to farmers, to integrate psychosocial support into agricultural programs, and to address family-related work pressures. By addressing these factors, it can improve farmer productivity and promote overall well-being, putting emphasis on the mental health of the Filipino farmers.

Endovascular interventional therapy is currently the main treatment for acute ischemic stroke，but some patients still have not achieved neurological function independence. Analysis of the predictive value of various factors for postoperative neurological function changes can provide more reference for selecting appropriate patient groups and treatment plans.