Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.

Objective To understand the status of body image disturbance and its influencing factors in patients with ankylosing spondylitis (AS), so as to provide a scientific basis for the clinical management of AS. Methods A total of 353 AS patients admitted from January 2022 to December 2024 were selected as research subjects. Chinese version of Body Image Disturbance Questionnaire (BIDQ) was used to investigate the body image disturbance in AS patients. Single factor analysis was performed by t test and analysis of variance, and multiple factors were analyzed by multivariate linear regression. Results The total score of BIDQ in 342 AS patients was (25.01±4.22). Multivariate linear regression analysis results showed that self-paid medical expense, nighttime VAS score and negative emotion PANAS score could positively predict body image disturbance in AS patients (standardized regression coefficient=0.413, 0.413, 0.460, P<0.05), and PSSS score, positive emotion PANAS score and exercise management CDSSM score could negatively predict body image disturbance (standardized regression coefficient=-0.245, -0.134, -0.247, P<0.05). Conclusion The body image disturbance in AS patients is worthy of clinical attention. Nighttime pain, negative emotion and self-paid medical treatment can increase the risk of body image disturbance. Positive emotion, social support and high self-management level of exercise behavior can reduce the formation of body image disturbance, which can provide new ideas for clinical management of AS patients.

Objective To analyze the clinical characteristics and risk factors of noninfectious fever after endovascular repair of aortic dilatation diseases, and to explore management strategies. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of patients who underwent endovascular aortic repair for aortic dilatation diseases from January 2021 to October 2023. Based on inclusion and exclusion criteria, the enrolled patients were divided into a febrile group and an afebrile group according to the presence of postoperative fever. Clinical data, including demographics and surgical details, were compared between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed on indicators with P≤0.05 in the univariate analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to analyze the predictive value of risk factors for postoperative noninfectious fever. Results A total of 305 patients were included in the final analysis. Postoperative noninfectious fever occurred in 75.08% (229/305) of the patients, with 98.25% of cases occurring within the first two postoperative days. The febrile group (n=229) had a median age of 65.0 (IQR: 53.0, 73.0) years with 83.4% males, while the afebrile group (n=76) had a median age of 71.0 (IQR: 65.0, 76.7) years with 84.2% males. Univariate analysis showed that the age, prevalence of coronary heart disease, preoperative statin use, and prevalence of aortic aneurysm were significantly lower in the febrile group compared to the afebrile group. Logistic regression analysis indicated that age, surgical site, disease type, preoperative elevated body temperature, and stent type were significantly associated with noninfectious fever, while preoperative statin use was negatively correlated. ROC curve analysis demonstrated that age, surgical site, preoperative elevated body temperature, and stent type had significant predictive value for postoperative noninfectious fever (P<0.01). Conclusion Noninfectious fever is highly prevalent following aortic repair. The relationship between fever and infection should be comprehensively evaluated based on risk factors and changes in the patient&#39;s condition to promote the rational use of antibiotics.

[摘 要] 目的：系统评价CD19 CAR-T细胞免疫疗法对比标准治疗在复发/难治性弥漫性大B细胞淋巴瘤（R/R DLBCL）患者中疗效与安全性，通过探索性分析探索不同CAR-T细胞产品对疗效的潜在影响，为临床治疗决策提供循证参考。方法：计算机检索中国知网、万方数据库、维普期刊数据库、中国生物医学文献数据库、PubMed、Embase和Cochrane Library数据库，搜集CD19 CAR-T细胞疗法对比标准治疗用于R/R DLBCL的随机对照试验（RCT），检索时限均为建库至2025年10月25日。由2位研究者独立进行文献筛选、数据提取和质量评价，采用R4.2.2软件进行Meta分析。结果：共纳入2项Ⅲ期RCT研究（ZUMA-7、TRANSFORM），各结局指标均根据异质性检验结果选择固定效应模型合并数据。疗效方面，CD19 CAR-T细胞疗法可显著改善患者无事件生存期（HR=0.455，95%CI：0.363~0.570，P < 0.001）和降低死亡风险（HR = 0.738，95%CI：0.575~0.947，P = 0.017）；同时可显著提高完全缓解率（RR = 1.879，95%CI：1.574~2.242，P < 0.001）。按产品类型的探索性分析显示，liso-cel和axi-cel均优于标准治疗（liso-cel：HR = 0.380，95%CI：0.260~0.540，P < 0.001；axi-cel：HR = 0.510，95%CI：0.380~0.680，P < 0.001），但该分析为不同试验间的对比，证据等级有限。安全性结局显示：CAR-T细胞疗法的免疫效应细胞相关神经毒性综合征（ICANS）发生率显著升高（RR = 22.387，95%CI：4.353~115.132，P < 0.001）；≥3级细胞因子释放综合征（CRS）发生率数值升高（RR = 8.181，95%CI：0.935~71.574，P = 0.058），差异无统计学意义。纳入研究的偏倚风险整体为低；敏感性分析证实结果稳健。结论：基于2项RCT的Meta分析结果，CD19 CAR-T细胞（liso-cel/axi-cel）可作为R/R DLBCL二线治疗的选择之一，其疗效优于标准治疗，且特征性不良反应（CRS/ICANS）经规范管理后可控，可根据患者基线状态个体化选择CAR-T细胞产品。本研究证据基础薄弱，上述结论尚需更多高质量、大样本RCT验证。

Objective To explore the efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy in patients with locally advanced resectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Methods The clinical data of patients with stage ⅡA-ⅢB NSCLC who underwent surgical treatment after receiving neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy or chemotherapy alone at the First People’s Hospital of Jining between April 2021 and January 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. According to the preoperative neoadjuvant regimens, the patients were divided into a combined group and a chemotherapy group, and the clinical data of the two groups were compared. Results A total of 66 patients were included, including 61 males and 5 females. There were 53 patients in the combined group with a mean age of (63.40±6.80) years, and 13 patients in the chemotherapy group with a mean age of (58.62±8.30) years. There was a statistical difference in age between the two groups (P＜0.001), while no statistical difference was observed in other baseline data (P>0.05). The major pathological response rates in the combined group and the chemotherapy group were 54.7% and 23.1%, respectively (P=0.041), and the pathological complete response rates were 39.6% and 0.0%, respectively (P=0.006). The operative time in the combined group was shorter (P=0.039). There were no statistical differences between the two groups in intraoperative blood loss, duration of postoperative tube carrying, incidence of postoperative complications, overall survival, or event-free survival (P>0.05). Conclusion Surgical treatment following neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy is safe and feasible, and its long-term efficacy requires further follow-up for confirmation.

The surgical management of empyema (excluding those caused by mycobacterium tuberculosis and non-tuberculous mycobacteria) is rapidly evolving towards minimally invasive, precise, and stepwise approaches. The traditional three-stage classification (exudative, fibrinopurulent, and organizing) has limitations in guiding dynamic clinical decision-making. For the first time, this consensus explicitly identifies two critical junctures in the pathological progression of empyema: "early transformation" (stage Ⅰ to Ⅱ) and "late transformation" (stage Ⅱ to Ⅲ), and thereby constructs a corresponding "identification-early warning-intervention" stepwise therapeutic framework. The consensus emphasizes that proactive debridement via video-assisted thoracoscopic surgery should be performed during the early transformation phase to halt disease progression. Conversely, during the late transformation phase, therapeutic goals should be rationally adjusted to prioritize adequate drainage, avoiding futile pleural decortication. Moreover, the consensus underscores the pivotal role of precise perioperative etiological diagnosis (e.g. metagenomic nest-generation sequencing) and standardized anti-infective therapy. Integrating practical experiences from multiple thoracic surgery centers in China and relevant evidence-based literature, this consensus formulates recommendations on the precise definitions of staging, surgical indications for each phase, key technical points, perioperative management, and training systems. It aims to promote the standardized and individualized surgical management of empyema, ultimately optimizing patient prognosis.

Objective To observe the efficacy and safety of neoadjuvant sintilimab combined with chemotherapy in the treatment of patients with locally advanced resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Methods Clinical data were collected from patients with locally advanced resectable ESCC who received neoadjuvant immunotherapy combined with chemotherapy followed by surgical treatment at the Department of Thoracic Surgery of Jining No.1 People&#39;s Hospital from April 2020 to April 2022. The endpoints included major pathological response (MPR), pathological complete response (pCR), R0 resection rate, safety, and postoperative survival. Results A total of 43 patients with ESCC who received at least one cycle of neoadjuvant immunotherapy before surgery were included. Among them, there were 31 males and 12 females with a median age of 65 years (interquartile range: 58-69). All patients successfully completed the surgery without any surgical delays. The pCR rate was 14.0% (6/43), the MPR rate was 58.1% (25/43), and the R0 resection rate was 97.7% (42/43). Patients exhibited reliable safety during neoadjuvant therapy and postoperatively. The 2-year overall survival and disease-free survival rates were 90.7% and 81.4%, respectively. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank test revealed lower recurrence rates and better survival in the MPR patients compared to the non-MPR patients. Conclusion The combination of neoadjuvant sintilimab and chemotherapy in the treatment of patients with locally advanced resectable ESCC has demonstrated significant clinical efficacy, while also being safe and reliable.

Objective To analyze the predictive value of different obesity indicators on acute cerebral infarction in patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA). Methods A total of 310 patients with TIA admitted to Tangdu Hospital of Air Force Medical University from March 2022 to September 2025 were selected and classified into non-event group (276 cases) and cerebral infarction group (34 cases) based on acute cerebral infarction within 90 days. The basic data and obesity-related indicators [body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio, body adiposity index (BAI), conicity index (C-index) and a body shape index (ABSI were compared. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was utilized to screen the independent influencing factors. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was drawn to analyze the predictive efficiency. Results The age, proportions of concurrent hypertension and concurrent diabetes mellitus, ABCD2 score, waist-to-hip ratio, ABSI, C-index, BMI and BAI in the cerebral infarction group were older or higher than those in the non-event group, and the symptoms duration was longer (P<0.05). The above indicators were all related factors for acute cerebral infarction in patients with TIA within 90 days (P<0.05), and ABSI and ABCD² score were independent influencing factors (P<0.05). The prediction model was manifested as Logit (P)=− 4.205 + 0.482 × ABCD² score + 1.120 × ABSI × 100. ABSI and ABCD2 score had predictive value on the occurrence of acute cerebral infarction (P<0.05), and the predictive efficiency of combined model was higher than that of single indicator (P<0.05). Conclusion Among different obesity indicators, ABSI has the highest value on predicting recent acute cerebral infarction in TIA. The prediction model based on ABSI and ABCD2 score exhibits the best predictive efficiency.

Objective To explore the correlation between nutritional status and frailty in elderly patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD), and to provide suggestions for the prevention of frailty occurrence in elderly patients with CVD. Methods A retrospective study was conducted on 357 elderly CVD patients who were admitted to the Third Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu Medical College from May 2024 to July 2024. These patients were divided into a frailty group and a non-frailty group based on the presence or absence of frailty. Data on the patients&#39; nutritional status indicators [body mass index (BMI), weight loss, calf circumference, albumin, and grip strength], general demographic and clinical data, laboratory and physiological indicators, and functional and activity indicators were collected. The influencing factors of frailty and the correlation between nutritional status indicators and frailty were analyzed. Results Among the 357 patients, 69 cases (19.33%) were detected with frailty, while 288 (80.67%) were without frailty. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that age (OR=1.120, 95% CI: 1.023–1.225) and weight loss (OR=2.776, 95% CI: 1.145–6.732) were risk factors influencing the occurrence of frailty in elderly CVD patients (P<0.05), while grip strength (OR=0.902, 95% CI: 0.831–0.980), albumin level (OR=0.892, 95% CI: 0.806–0.988), and calf circumference (OR=0.900, 95% CI: 0.829–0.978) were protective factors of frailty occurrence in elderly CVD patients (P<0.05). Conclusion The incidence rate of frailty is relatively high in elderly patients with CVD. Age and weight loss are independent risk factors for frailty, while high grip strength level, high albumin level, and large calf circumference are independent protective factors of frailty.

Objective To analyze the epidemiological characteristics and spatiotemporal clustering of varicella in Lu&#39;an City from 2005 to 2023, and to provide a scientific basis for optimizing varicella prevention and control strategies. Methods Data on varicella cases were collected through the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention Information System. Descriptive epidemiology, temporal trend analysis, seasonal analysis, spatiotemporal clustering analysis, and spatial autocorrelation analysis were conducted using QGIS, JoinPoint, SaTScan and GeoDa software. Results The average annual reported incidence rate of varicella in Lu&#39;an City from 2005 to 2023 was 34.55/100,000, showing a trend of initial increase followed by a decrease. The peak incidence occurred from October to January of the following year (RR=1.97, LLR=1743.95, P=0.001). Students aged 0 to 19 was the primary affected group. Spatiotemporal scan analysis revealed four types of spatiotemporal clusters, with the cluster in Jin&#39;an District from October 2017 to December 2023 being particularly prominent (RR=2.87，LLR=1734.15，P<0.001). Spatial autocorrelation analysis indicated significant clustering of varicella cases in the main urban area (Moran&#39;s I=0.216，Z=4.786，P=0.003). Conclusion The incidence of varicella in Lu&#39;an City exhibits distinct seasonal and spatial clustering, and schools and kindergartens in the main urban area are the key to varicella prevention and control. It is necessary to enhance the monitoring of disease outbreaks during peak periods and in key areas, and to increase the two-dose vaccination rate for varicella in areas with case aggregation and among key populations.