Objective To analyze the risk factors for prolonged length of hospital stay in patients with peritoneal dialysis associated peritonitis(PDAP)and construct a nomogram based on Logistic regression model.Methods A retrospective study was conducted on patients with PDAP who were hospitalized at the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangsu University from January 2013 to December 2023.Using the 75th percentile of hospitalization time as the cutoff(>21 days),the patients were divided into prolonged length of hospital stay group and normal length of hospital stay group.Clinical data were compared between the two groups.Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors for prolonged hospital stay in PDAP patients and to construct a nomogram.Results A total of 131 PDAP patients were included in this study,including 40 cases in prolonged length of hospital stay group and 91 cases in normal length of hospital stay group.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that Gram-negative bacteria detected in ascites(OR=6.012,95% CI=1.878-19.248,P=0.003)and elevated platelet count(OR=1.010,95% CI=1.005-1.015,P<0.001)were independent risk factors for prolonged length of hospital stay,while elevated serum chloride(OR=0.885,95% CI=0.802-0.978,P=0.016)was a protective factor.Based on the above three indicators,a nomogram was constructed.The multivariate Logistic regression model showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)of 0.755,with an internal validation AUC of 0.727 using the Bootstrap method.The calibration curve indicated that the predicted probability was consistent with the actual probability.The decision curve showed that the model was clinically applicable when the threshold probabilities were 9%-10%,13% and 18%-92%.Conclusion A nomogram,based on the detection of gram-negative bacteria in ascites,platelet count and serum chloride,was helpful for clinical screening PADP patients at risk for prolonged length of hospital stay,and can provide a basis for optimizing clinical decision-making.
Humans ; Nomograms ; Risk Factors ; Peritoneal Dialysis/adverse effects* ; Retrospective Studies ; Length of Stay ; Peritonitis/etiology* ; Logistic Models ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged ; Aged

Objective To analyze the influencing factors of death in the elderly with coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19).Methods The case data of death caused by COVID-19 in West China Fourth Hospital from January 1 to July 8,2023 were collected,and surviving cases from the West China Elderly Health Cohort infected with COVID-19 during the same period were selected as the control.LASSO-Logistic regression was adopted to analyze the data after propensity score matching and the validity of the model was verified by drawing the receiver operating characteristic curve.Results A total of 3 239 COVID-19 survivors and 142 deaths with COVID-19 were included.The results of LASSO-Logistic regression showed that smoking(OR=3.33,95%CI=1.46-7.59,P=0.004),stroke(OR=3.55,95%CI=1.15-10.30,P=0.022),malignant tumors(OR=19.93, 95%CI=8.52-49.23, P<0.001),coronary heart disease(OR=7.68, 95%CI=3.52-17.07, P<0.001),fever(OR=0.51, 95%CI=0.26-0.96, P=0.042),difficulty breathing or asthma symptoms(OR=21.48, 95%CI=9.44-51.95, P<0.001),and vomiting(OR=8.19,95%CI=2.87-23.58, P<0.001)increased the risk of death with COVID-19.The prediction model constructed based on the influencing factors achieved an area under the curve of 0.889 in the test set.Conclusions Smoking,stroke,malignant tumors,coronary heart disease,fever,breathing difficulty or asthma symptoms,and vomiting were identified as key factors influencing the death risk in COVID-19.
Humans ; COVID-19/mortality* ; Aged ; Propensity Score ; China/epidemiology* ; Risk Factors ; Logistic Models ; Smoking ; SARS-CoV-2 ; Male ; Female ; Stroke ; Neoplasms

Objective To evaluate the diagnostic value of ultrasound in chronic appendicitis. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the ultrasound imaging features of the appendixes in 68 patients with chronic appendicitis (chronic appendicitis group) confirmed by pathological results at the Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University from January 2023 to December 2024,as well as 85 healthy volunteers (normal appendix group) of different ages with no history of abdominal pain during the same period.Multivariate Logistic regression was employed to investigate the sensitivity and specificity of different variables in diagnosing chronic appendicitis. Results The chronic appendicitis group had higher appendix diameter (Z=-8.47,P<0.001),unilateral wall thickness (Z=-7.16,P<0.001),and submucosal thickness (Z=-9.73,P<0.001) than the normal appendix group.Appendix diameter (OR=3.11,95%CI=1.37-7.02,P=0.006) and submucosal thickness (OR=5 492.73,95%CI=89.53-336 984.13,P<0.001) were identified as independent factors for diagnosing chronic appendicitis,while gender,age,unilateral wall thickness,and intraluminal conditions had no significant impact on the diagnosis of chronic appendicitis (all P>0.05).When appendix diameter combined with submucosal thickness was used as a joint diagnostic indicator,the model demonstrated the best performance,with the sensitivity of 92.65%,the specificity of 97.65%,and the accuracy increasing to 95.42%. Conclusion The combined use of appendix diameter and submucosal thickness can significantly improve the accuracy,specificity,and reliability of ultrasound in diagnosing chronic appendicitis.
Humans ; Appendicitis/diagnostic imaging* ; Ultrasonography ; Retrospective Studies ; Male ; Female ; Adult ; Chronic Disease ; Middle Aged ; Appendix/diagnostic imaging* ; Sensitivity and Specificity ; Young Adult ; Logistic Models ; Adolescent

OBJECTIVE: To study the clinical and laboratory characteristics of monoclonal gammopathy anemia and explore the risk factors associated with anemia in monoclonal gammopathy. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 5 539 patients who underwent immunofixation electrophoresis at the First Affiliated Hospital of Chengdu Medical College from January 2016 to February 2024. A total of 351 newly diagnosed M protein positive patients were selected as the study subjects, including 270 in the anemia group and 81 in the non-anemia group. Laboratory test results were compared between the two groups, and logistic regression models were used to analyze the risk factors for anemia. ROC curve analysis was performed to evaluate the predictive value of risk factors for anemia in monoclonal gammopathy. RESULTS: The proportion of non-anemic patients was 23.1% (81/351), with a median age of 67(60-75) years; the proportion of anemic patients was 76.9% (270/351), with a median age of 70(63-75) years. The total protein, globulin, urea, creatinine, uric acid, β₂-microglobulin, and ceruloplasmin levels in the anemia group were higher than those in the non-anemia group ( P < 0.05), while albumin, neutrophil count, lymphocyte count, monocyte count, complement C3, complement C4, haptoglobin, and transferrin levels were lower in the non-anemia group ( P < 0.05). After adjustment, multivariate logistic regression analysis shows that elevated GLB, increased β₂-MG, decreased ANC, and reduced complement C3 were independent risk factors for anemia in monoclonal gammopathy ( P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis demonstrates that GLB, β₂-MG, ANC, and complement C3 had good predictive value for anemia associated with monoclonal gammopathy. CONCLUSION Elevated GLB, increased β₂-MG, decreased ANC, and reduced complement C3 are independent risk factors for anemia in monoclonal gammopathy (P < 0.05). The combined assessment of these four factors has good predictive value for anemia in monoclonal gammopathy.
Humans ; Retrospective Studies ; Anemia/complications* ; Aged ; Middle Aged ; Paraproteinemias/diagnosis* ; Risk Factors ; Male ; Female ; Logistic Models ; ROC Curve ; Complement C3

Objective： The aim of this study is to explore the predictive value of biparametric magnetic resonance imaging(bpMRI)for pelvic lymph node metastasis in prostate cancer patients with PSA≤20 μg/L and establish a nomogram. Methods： The imaging data and clinical data of 363 patients undergoing radical prostatectomy and pelvic lymph node dissection in the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University from July 2018 to December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression were used to screen independent risk factors for pelvic lymph node metastasis in prostate cancer, and a nomogram of the clinical prediction model was established. Calibration curves were drawn to evaluate the accuracy of the model. Results： Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed extrocapusular extension (OR=8.08,95%CI=2.62－24.97, P<0.01), enlargement of pelvic lymph nodes (OR=4.45,95%CI=1.16－17.11,P=0.030), and biopsy ISUP grade(OR=1.97,95%CI=1.12－3.46, P=0.018)were independent risk factors for pelvic lymph node metastasis. The C-index of the prediction model was 0.834, which indicated that the model had a good prediction ability. The actual value of the model calibration curve and the prediction probability of the model fitted well, indicating that the model had a good accuracy. Further analysis of DCA curve showed that the model had good clinical application value when the risk threshold ranged from 0.05 to 0.70.Conclusion： For prostate cancer patients with PSA≤20 μg/L, bpMRI has a good predictive value for the pelvic lymph node metastasis of prostate cancer with extrocapusular extension, enlargement of pelvic lymph nodes and ISUP grade≥4.
Humans ; Male ; Prostatic Neoplasms/diagnostic imaging* ; Lymphatic Metastasis ; Retrospective Studies ; Nomograms ; Prostate-Specific Antigen/blood* ; Lymph Nodes/pathology* ; Pelvis ; Predictive Value of Tests ; Prostatectomy ; Lymph Node Excision ; Risk Factors ; Magnetic Resonance Imaging ; Logistic Models ; Middle Aged ; Aged

OBJECTIVES: Cardiovascular disease (CVD) poses a major threat to global health. Evaluating atherosclerosis in asymptomatic individuals can help identify those at high risk of CVD. This study aims to establish an individualized nomogram prediction model to estimate the risk of vascular plaque formation in asymptomatic individuals. METHODS: A total of 5 655 participants who underwent CVD screening at the Health Management Center of The Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, between January 2022 and June 2024 we retrospectively enrolled. Using simple random sampling, participants were divided into a training set (n=4 524) and a validation set (n=1 131) in an 8꞉2 ratio. Demographic and clinical data were collected and compared between groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent factors associated with vascular plaques and to construct a nomogram prediction model. The predictive performance and clinical utility of the model were evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test, calibration plots, and decision curve analysis (DCA). RESULTS: The mean age of participants was 52 years old. There were 3 400 males (60.12%). The overall detection rate of vascular plaque in the screening population was 49.87% (2 820/5 655). No statistically significant differences were observed in clinical indicators between the training and validation sets (all P>0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis identified age, systolic blood pressure, high-density lipoprotein (HDL), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), lipoprotein(a), male sex, smoking history, hypertension history, and diabetes history as independent risk factors for vascular plaque in asymptomatic individuals (all P<0.05). The area under the curve (AUC) of the nomogram model for predicting vascular plaque risk were 0.778 (95% CI 0.765 to 0.791, P<0.001) in the training set and 0.760 (95% CI 0.732 to 0.787, P<0.001) in the validation set. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test indicated good model calibration (training set: P=0.628; validation set: P=0.561). The calibration curve plotted using the Bootstrap method demonstrated good agreement between predicted probabilities and actual probabilities. DCA showed that the nomogram provided a clinical net benefit for predicting vascular plaque risk when the threshold probability ranged from 0.02 to 0.99. CONCLUSIONS The nomogram prediction model for vascular plaque risk, constructed using readily available and cost-effective physical examination indicators, exhibited good predictive performance. This model can assist in the early identification and intervention of asymptomatic individuals at high risk for cardiovascular disease.
Humans ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Female ; Nomograms ; Retrospective Studies ; Risk Factors ; Plaque, Atherosclerotic/diagnosis* ; Aged ; Adult ; Physical Examination ; Logistic Models ; Cardiovascular Diseases/epidemiology* ; ROC Curve

Objective:Inflammation has been confirmed to play an important role in the occurrence and development of sudden sensorineural hearing loss（SSNHL）, and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio（NLR） is a biomarker positively correlated with the degree of inflammation. This study aims to identify the difference in serum NLR between patients with SSNHL and normal population, and to evaluate the predictive efficacy of NLR for the occurrence and prognosis of SSNHL, thereby guiding the clinical diagnosis and treatment of SSNHL. Methods:In this study, 96 patients diagnosed with SSNHL admitted to our department from January 2023 to March 2024 and 96 patients diagnosed with vocal cord polyps admitted to our department during the same period were recruited as a control group. Multivariate Logistic regression was used to evaluate independent related factors, and a nomogram was constructed to predict the probability of SSNHL. The receiver operating characteristic（ROC） curve and calibration curve were used to evaluate the accuracy of prediction. Results:Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that a high level NLR（OR2.215; 95%CI1.597-3.073; P<0.001） were independently associated with the presence of SSNHL. High age（OR1.036; 95%CI1.009-1.067; P=0.012）, high FIB（OR2.35; 95%CI1.176-4.960; P=0.019） were the risk factor for SSNHL. Incorporating these 3 factors, a forest plot and a nomogram were generated. The ROC curve, nomogram and calibration curve showed that the model had good clinical practicability. A low NLR（OR0.598; 95%CI0.439-0.816; P<0.001） was significantly associated with a favorable prognosis of SSNHL. Conclusion:Elevated NLR can serve as an promising biomarker for assessing the risk of SSNHL. The nomograms calculation model may be utilized as a tool to estimate the probability of SSNHL. Low level NLR is significantly associated with a good prognosis of SSNHL.
Humans ; Neutrophils ; Female ; Male ; Lymphocytes ; Hearing Loss, Sensorineural/blood* ; Hearing Loss, Sudden/diagnosis* ; Middle Aged ; Prognosis ; Nomograms ; ROC Curve ; Adult ; Logistic Models ; Biomarkers/blood* ; Lymphocyte Count ; Inflammation/blood* ; Clinical Relevance

Objective:To summarize and analyze the clinical characteristics of patients with sudden sensorineural hearing loss（SSHL） accompanying diabetes mellitus, to explore whether diabetes affects the treatment outcomes during hospitalization, and to identify the factors influencing the efficacy of SSHL patients with diabetes. Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data from 939 patients with SSHL. The baseline characteristics, and onset conditions of the diabetes group（79 cases） and the non-diabetes group（860 cases） were compared. Propensity score matching（PSM） was applied in a 1︰ 2 ratio to match initial hearing levels with baseline characteristics such as age, sex, and BMI, resulting in 73 diabetes cases and 144 non-diabetes cases for treatment efficacy comparison. For the analysis of prognostic factors, a logistic regression model was established based on the treatment outcomes of 217 patients with SSHL. Results:The proportion of SSHL patients accompanying diabetes was 8.40%（79/939）. Compared to non-diabetic patients, those with diabetes were older（median age of 53 years in the diabetes group and 39 years in the non-diabetes group） and had a higher proportion of hypertension（43.04% vs 12.67%）, with significant difference observed（P<0.05）. After PSM, the treatment efficacy during hospitalization was better in the diabetes group than in the non-diabetes group（58.90% vs 47.92%）, although the difference was not statistically significant（P>0.05）. The prognosis of patients with SSNHL accompanied by diabetes was analyzed using a multivariate logistic regression model that included age, HDL-C, and INR as variables; however, no statistically significant differences were found（P>0.05）. Conclusion:Patients with SSHL accompanying diabetes are generally older with a higher incidence of hypertension. The presence of diabetes does not affect the treatment outcomes during hospitalization.
Humans ; Propensity Score ; Retrospective Studies ; Hearing Loss, Sensorineural/therapy* ; Hearing Loss, Sudden/therapy* ; Middle Aged ; Diabetes Mellitus ; Male ; Female ; Prognosis ; Adult ; Logistic Models ; Diabetes Complications ; Aged ; Treatment Outcome

Objective:To explore the factors influencing adherence to voice therapy among patients with voice disorders in China. Methods:Patients with voice disorders who visited the Voice Therapy Center at Sun Yat-sen Memorial Hospital, Sun Yat-sen University, from February to May 2022 were enrolled in the study. Adherence was assessed using the URICA-Voice scale, while influencing factors were assessed through the Voice Handicap Index（VHI） scale and a general information questionnaire. Correlation analysis was conducted using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis. Results:A total of 247 patients were included in the study, comprising 57 males（23.08%） and 190 females（76.92%）. The results revealed that: ①Female patients demonstrated higher likelihood of being in the contemplation stage（OR=0.22） compared to males. ②Patients with a monthly family income per capita>6 000 yuan were more likely to be in the contemplation stage than those with<3 000 yuan with an OR = 13.94. ③High vocal-demand occupations increased contemplation stage probability（OR=7.70） compared to moderate-demand occupations. ④Residence within 30-minute commute predicted action/maintenance stages（OR=7.14） versus≥60-minute commute. ⑤Patients whose occupations had high voice demands were more likely to be in the action and maintenance stages than those with average voice demands, with an OR of 16.20. Conclusion:Gender, monthly family income per capita, occupational voice demands, and distance to the hospital significantly impact the URICA-Voice compliance stages of patients. Patients who are female, have higher family income, have occupations with high voice demands, and live closer to the hospital exhibit higher compliance with voice training.
Humans ; Male ; Female ; Voice Disorders/therapy* ; Patient Compliance ; Voice Training ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; China ; Middle Aged ; Adult ; Voice Quality ; Logistic Models ; Aged

Objective:To explore the influencing factors related to olfactory dysfunction secondary to different types of chronic rhinosinusitis（CRS）. Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on 185 CRS patients treated at the Department of Otolaryngology-Head and Neck Surgery of Shanxi Provincial People's Hospital from July 2023 to July 2024. Based on the presence or absence of nasal polyps, CRS was divided into two groups: chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps（CRSwNP） and chronic rhinosinusitis without nasal polyps（CRSsNP）. Further, based on whether olfactory dysfunction was present, the CRSwNP and CRSsNP groups were divided into subgroups with olfactory dysfunction and normal olfaction. General data, laboratory tests, and modified sinus CT scores were compared between the subgroups. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to identify independent influencing factors based on the results of univariate analysis combined with clinical significance, and two nomogram models were established. The area under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic（ROC） curve, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis were used to assess the diagnostic performance, calibration, and clinical utility of the predictive model. Results:The proportion of blood eosinophils, blood urea nitrogen, and total modified CT scores of the bilateral olfactory region were identified as independent influencing factors in the CRSwNP group; the proportion of blood monocytes and modified CT scores of the bilateral posterior region were independent influencing factors in the CRSsNP group. The nomogram prediction model showed good diagnostic performance, calibration, and clinical utility in both the CRSwNP and CRSsNP groups. Conclusion:Olfactory dysfunction in CRSwNP patients is closely related to the proportion of blood eosinophils, blood urea nitrogen, and total modified CT scores of the bilateral olfactory region, while olfactory dysfunction in CRSsNP patients is closely related to the proportion of blood monocytes and modified CT scores of the bilateral posterior region. Moreover, the predictive model established in this study demonstrates good clinical performance and can be used for early identification and risk prediction of olfactory dysfunction secondary to CRS.
Humans ; Sinusitis/complications* ; Chronic Disease ; Retrospective Studies ; Olfaction Disorders/etiology* ; Nasal Polyps/complications* ; Rhinitis/complications* ; Female ; Male ; Logistic Models ; Middle Aged ; Smell ; Adult ; ROC Curve ; Nomograms ; Eosinophils ; Tomography, X-Ray Computed