Objective: To compare the predictive performance of the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, the Prophet model, and the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model in forecasting the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) , so as to provide a basis for optimizing the early warning system of this disease. Methods: Weekly incidence data of HFMD in Longgang District, Shenzhen City from 2014 to 2024 were collected. The HFMD incidence data from 2014-2019 and 2023 were used as the training set to construct SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS models, while the data from 2024 were used as the test set to compare and evaluate the predictive performance of the three models. The technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method was employed to calculate the C-value. This approach integrates multiple evaluation metrics, such as the mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE), to comprehensively assess model performance. Results: A total of 150 111 cases of HFMD were reported in Longgang District from 2014 to 2024, with an average annual incidence of 400.72/105. The weekly incidence fluctuated between 0 and 63.78/105, exhibiting a bimodal seasonal pattern characterized by a primary peak from May to July and a secondary peak from September to October. In the training set, all three models demonstrated a good fit to the bimodal epidemic trend of HFMD, with the BSTS model achieving the best fit. The BSTS model yielded performance metrics as follows: MAE=0.124, MSE=0.050, RMSE=0.223, SMAPE=0.021, and a C-value of 1.000. In the test set, all three models, including SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS, performed well for short-term predictions (≤16 weeks), with the Prophet model showing relatively superior predictive performance. However, the prediction accuracy of all models declined as the forecast horizon extended. During the primary peak period (May-July), the Prophet model exhibited better predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model performed relatively better during the secondary peak period (September-October). Conclusions For the short-term forecasting of weekly HFMD incidence, the Prophet model outperformed both the SARIMA and BSTS models. During the primary peak period, the Prophet model demonstrated superior predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model exhibited better accuracy in forecasting the secondary peak period.

Autoimmune hepatitis （AIH） is a chronic inflammatory liver disease. The pathogenesis of AIH remains unclear， but it is mainly autoimmune injury caused by the breakdown of autoimmune tolerance due to the abnormal activation of the immune system， while the specific molecular mechanism remains unknown. Recent studies have shown that abnormal amino acid metabolism plays an important role in the development and progression of AIH. This article reviews the research advances in amino acid metabolic reprogramming in AIH， in order to provide a theoretical basis for amino acid metabolism as a new target for the clinical diagnosis and treatment of AIH.

Objective:To explore the effect of prognosis appearance of the combination of microneedle array radiofrequency and CO2 array laser on psychological stress response of patients with facial acne scar.Methods:A total of 100 patients with facial acne scar,who admitted to Chengdu Second People's Hospital from August 2020 to August 2020,were selected,and they were divided into study group and control group,with 50 cases in each group.Study group adopted combined treatment with microneedle array radiofrequency and CO2 array laser,and control group adopted microneedle array radiofrequency to conduct treatment.The curative effect after treatment was compared between two groups.The Vancouver scar scale(VSS)was adopted to score the scar condition of patients,and Hamilton anxiety(HAMA)rating scale,Hamilton depression(HAMD)of rating scale and self-esteem scale(SES)were adopted to evaluate the psychological stress response of patients,and the score of the comprehensive evaluation questionnaire of quality of life(GQOLI-74 score)was adopted to evaluate the difference of quality of life of patients between before and after treatment.Results:After treatment,the overall curative effect of study group was 92.00%,which was better than 72.00%of control group,and the difference was significant(x2=6.775,P<0.05).The VSS scores of study group after received treatment of 2,4 times were significantly lower than those before treatment,and were lower than those of control group,and the differences of those between two groups were significant(t=5.850,9.040,P<0.05),respectively.After treatment,the SES scores of two groups all rose,and the HAMD and HAMA scores of two groups all reduced,and the three scores of study group were all better than those of control group,and the differences of them between two groups were significant(t=3.456,3.909,6.063,P<0.05).Pearson correlation showed that the VSS score was negatively correlated with the SES score(r=-0.249,P<0.05),and was positively correlated with the HAMD score and the HAMA score(r=0.653,0.695,P<0.05),respectively.After treatment,the GQOLI-74 scores of each indicator(material and life,physical function,psychological function,and social function)of two groups rose all,and the GQOLI-74 scores of study group were all better than those of control group,and the differences of them between two groups were significant(t=4.324,7.497,3.870,4.534,P<0.05),respectively.Conclusion:The combination of microneedle array radiofrequency and CO2 array laser has better curative effect in treating facial acne scar,which can effectively promote prognosis appearance,and relieve psychological stress response,and improve the quality of life.

The proband was a 32-year-old female patient who sought medical attention for over 9 months of pregnancy, reduced fetal movement, and discomfort in the lower abdomen. The proband and her father had normal activated partial thromboplastin time and prothrombin time, decreased fibrinogen activity and antigen levels, and prolonged thrombin time, whereas the test results of her mother were normal. Ultrasonography showed intermuscular vein thrombosis in the left calf of the proband. Peripheral blood DNA was extracted from the proband and her parents, and Sanger sequencing was performed to detect the base sequences of the FGA, FGB, and FGG genes. The proband and her father had heterozygous missense mutations in exon 6 c.615A > C (p. Leu205Phe) and exon 8 c.1121A > C (p. Tyr374Ser) of the FGG gene. Bioinformatics analysis suggested that the two gene mutations may be the pathogenic mechanism of this congenital hypodysfibrinogenemia family.

Objective:To explore the morphological characteristics of tumor cells and the key diagnostic points of immunocytochemistry in neoplastic serous effusions.Methods:A retrospective case series study was conducted. A total of 522 samples which were ultimately diagnosed as neoplastic serous effusions by immunocytochemistry were collected in Shanxi Province Cancer Hospital from January 2019 to December 2023. The microscopic morphological characteristics of tumor cells in the samples were analyzed, and the diagnostic points of immunocytochemistry and the differential diagnostic points between rare tumors and adenocarcinoma were summarized.Results:Among the 522 samples of neoplastic serous effusion, there were 305 cases of pleural effusion, 178 cases of abdominal effusion, and 39 cases of pericardial effusion. Immunocytochemical diagnosis revealed 380 cases of adenocarcinoma [198 cases (52.1%) of pleural effusion, 155 cases (40.8%) of peritoneal effusion, and 27 cases (7.1%) of pericardial effusion], 55 cases of small cell carcinoma [47 cases (85.5%) of pleural effusion, 1 case (1.8%) of peritoneal effusion, and 7 cases (12.7%) of pericardial effusion], 23 cases of squamous cell carcinoma [18 cases (78.3%) of pleural effusion, 4 cases (17.4%) of peritoneal effusion, and 1 case (4.3%) of pericardial effusion], 5 cases of large cell neuroendocrine carcinoma (4 cases of pleural effusion and 1 case of pericardial effusion), and 31 cases of lymphoma [21 cases (67.7%) of pleural effusion, 7 cases (22.6%) of peritoneal effusion, and 3 cases (9.7%) of pericardial effusion], 20 cases of malignant mesothelioma [17 cases (85.0%) of pleural effusion and 3 cases (15.0%) of peritoneal effusion], 6 cases of ovarian borderline tumors (all of which were peritoneal effusions), and 2 cases of yolk sac tumors (both of which were peritoneal effusions). Under the microscope, the morphological characteristics of tumor cells in squamous cell carcinoma, large cell neuroendocrine carcinoma, lymphoma, malignant mesothelioma, ovarian borderline tumor, and yolk sac tumor were similar to those of adenocarcinoma cells, making them prone to misdiagnosis as adenocarcinoma. Immunocytochemical examination was necessary for the clear diagnosis.Conclusions:Adenocarcinoma accounts for the vast majority of neoplastic serous effusions, while the cell morphologies of other rare tumors overlap with adenocarcinoma. Careful observation and combination with clinical data and immunocytochemical examination results of patients are necessary for making the correct diagnosis.

Objective:To analyze the temporal distribution of other infectious diarrhea (OID) in Shenzhen and provide evidence for the prevention and control of OID.Methods:The incidence data of OID in Shenzhen from 2011 to 2023 were collected. The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL), seasonal index method, concentration degree and circular distribution method were used to analyze the incidence trend and temporal distribution of OID.Results:A total of 477 611 cases of OID were reported in Shenzhen from 2011 to 2023, with an average annual incidence rate of 260.19/100 000 showing a fluctuating upward trend. The seasonal index method indicated that October-January was period with high incidence of OID in Shenzhen and the seasonal intensity began to decrease in 2020. STL revealed an obvious incidence peak in winter. The concentration method showed that OID had a certain seasonality before 2018 except 2016, but the seasonality was not obvious after 2018. The circular distribution results showed that r was 0.05, mean angle ā was 1.92° and angular standard deviation s was 141.93° ( Z=1 033.37, P<0.001), with the peak on January 1 st and the high incidence period from August 11 th to May 25 th. Conclusions:OID had a certain degree of seasonality in Shenzhen, with an obvious incidence peak in winter. Since the seasonal intensity of OID decreased after 2018, the surveillance, early warning and risk assessment of OID should be continued, and prevention and control measures should be adjusted timely according to the change in the characteristics of the epidemic.

Objective:To evaluate the safety and effectiveness of fuzuloparib for the treatment of ovarian epithelial cancer patients in the real world setting.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the baseline data of 4 620 ovarian cancer patients who had received fuzuloparib monotherapy or combination therapy. Another 224 ovarian cancer patients who were willing to receive fuzuloparib monotherapy or combination therapy were prospectively enrolled, and their baseline characteristics, drug effectiveness, and safety data were analyzed.Results:(1) Among the 4 620 patients in the retrospective cohort, the median age of patients was 60 years; tumor types: 89.8% (4 149/4 620) had ovarian cancer. Among patients with clearly documented information, the vast majority had a histological type of serous carcinoma (82.9%, 3 770/4 546) and International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) staging of Ⅲ-Ⅳ (90.9%, 1 537/1 691). (2) Among the 224 patients in the prospective cohort, the median age of patients was 57 years; tumor types: 83.9% (188/224) had ovarian cancer. Among patients with clearly documented records, the predominant pathologic type was serous carcinoma (91.9%, 193/210), and FIGO stage was Ⅲ-Ⅳ in 79.9% (139/174). (3) Among the 224 prospective patients: 84 patients received first-line fluzoparib maintenance therapy, 92 patients received fluzoparib maintenance therapy after platinum-sensitive recurrence, 23 patients received direct fluzoparib treatment after platinum-sensitive recurrence, 19 patients received direct fluzoparib treatment after platinum-resistant recurrence. The median follow-up durations were 8.5, 8.7, 7.9, and 6.7 months, respectively. The median durations of fluzoparib treatment were 6.7, 4.8, 3.1, and 1.9 months, respectively. The median progression-free survival (PFS) times were not reached during follow-up, 12.6 months, not reached during follow-up, and 4.8 months, respectively. The 1-year PFS rates were 84.1%, 55.0%, 69.8%, and 45.5%, respectively. The remaining 6 patients received other fluzoparib regimens. (4) Among the 224 patients in the prospective dataset, 205 had safety data recorded. Of these, 127 patients (62.0%, 127/205) experienced treatment-related adverse events, with common events including anemia (24.4%, 50/205), thrombocytopenia (21.0%, 43/205), and leukopenia (19.5%, 40/205). Among the 205 patients, 43 (21.0%, 43/205) experienced grade 3 or higher treatment-related adverse events, with common events including anemia (8.3%, 17/205) and thrombocytopenia (8.3%, 17/205).Conclusions:The effectiveness of fuzuloparib in clinical application is generally consistent with other drugs in the same class, with good safety. This study provids new clinical evidence for the treatment of ovarian cancer with fuzuloparib.

Objective To investigate the distribution and antimicrobial resistance profiles of common pathogens isolated from cerebrospinal fluid(CSF)in CHINET program from 2015 to 2021.Methods The bacterial strains isolated from CSF were identified in accordance with clinical microbiology practice standards.Antimicrobial susceptibility test was conducted using Kirby-Bauer method and automated systems per the unified CHINET protocol.Results A total of 14 014 bacterial strains were isolated from CSF samples from 2015 to 2021,including the strains isolated from inpatients(95.3％)and from outpatient and emergency care patients(4.7％).Overall,19.6％of the isolates were from children and 80.4％were from adults.Gram-positive and Gram-negative bacteria accounted for 68.0％and 32.0％,respectively.Coagulase negative Staphylococcus accounted for 73.0％of the total Gram-positive bacterial isolates.The prevalence of MRSA was 38.2％in children and 45.6％in adults.The prevalence of MRCNS was 67.6％in adults and 69.5％in children.A small number of vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium(2.2％)and linezolid-resistant Enterococcus faecalis(3.1％)were isolated from adult patients.The resistance rates of Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae to ceftriaxone were 52.2％and 76.4％in children,70.5％and 63.5％in adults.The prevalence of carbapenem-resistant E.coli and K.pneumoniae(CRKP)was 1.3％and 47.7％in children,6.4％and 47.9％in adults.The prevalence of carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii(CRAB)and Pseudomonas aeruginosa(CRPA)was 74.0％and 37.1％in children,81.7％and 39.9％in adults.Conclusions The data derived from antimicrobial resistance surveillance are crucial for clinicians to make evidence-based decisions regarding antibiotic therapy.Attention should be paid to the Gram-negative bacteria,especially CRKP and CRAB in central nervous system(CNS)infections.Ongoing antimicrobial resistance surveillance is helpful for optimizing antibiotic use in CNS infections.

Objective To investigate the antimicrobial resistance of clinical isolates from elderly patients(≥65 years)in major medical institutions across China.Methods Bacterial strains were isolated from elderly patients in 52 hospitals participating in the CHINET Antimicrobial Resistance Surveillance Program during the period from 2015 to 2021.Antimicrobial susceptibility test was carried out by disk diffusion method and automated systems according to the same CHINET protocol.The data were interpreted in accordance with the breakpoints recommended by the Clinical and Laboratory Standards Institute(CLSI)in 2021.Results A total of 514 715 nonduplicate clinical isolates were collected from elderly patients in 52 hospitals from January 1,2015 to December 31,2021.The number of isolates accounted for 34.3％of the total number of clinical isolates from all patients.Overall,21.8％of the 514 715 strains were gram-positive bacteria,and 78.2％were gram-negative bacteria.Majority(90.9％)of the strains were isolated from inpatients.About 42.9％of the strains were isolated from respiratory specimens,and 22.9％were isolated from urine.More than half(60.7％)of the strains were isolated from male patients,and 39.3％isolated from females.About 51.1％of the strains were isolated from patients aged 65-＜75 years.The prevalence of methicillin-resistant strains(MRSA)was 38.8％in 32 190 strains of Staphylococcus aureus.No vancomycin-or linezolid-resistant strains were found.The resistance rate of E.faecalis to most antibiotics was significantly lower than that of Enterococcus faecium,but a few vancomycin-resistant strains(0.2％,1.5％)and linezolid-resistant strains(3.4％,0.3％)were found in E.faecalis and E.faecium.The prevalence of penicillin-susceptible S.pneumoniae(PSSP),penicillin-intermediate S.pneumoniae(PISP),and penicillin-resistant S.pneumoniae(PRSP)was 94.3％,4.0％,and 1.7％in nonmeningitis S.pneumoniae isolates.The resistance rates of Klebsiella spp.(Klebsiella pneumoniae 93.2％)to imipenem and meropenem were 20.9％and 22.3％,respectively.Other Enterobacterales species were highly sensitive to carbapenem antibiotics.Only 1.7％-7.8％of other Enterobacterales strains were resistant to carbapenems.The resistance rates of Acinetobacter spp.(Acinetobacter baumannii 90.6％)to imipenem and meropenem were 68.4％and 70.6％respectively,while 28.5％and 24.3％of P.aeruginosa strains were resistant to imipenem and meropenem,respectively.Conclusions The number of clinical isolates from elderly patients is increasing year by year,especially in the 65-＜75 age group.Respiratory tract isolates were more prevalent in male elderly patients,and urinary tract isolates were more prevalent in female elderly patients.Klebsiella isolates were increasingly resistant to multiple antimicrobial agents,especially carbapenems.Antimicrobial resistance surveillance is helpful for accurate empirical antimicrobial therapy in elderly patients.

The clinical data of a child with refractory systemic juvenile idiopathic arthritis (sJIA) who was admitted to the Children′s Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine in October 2023 were analyzed, and literature review was conducted.The patient was a 9-year-old boy, who was admitted due to recurrent fever, accompanied by rash and joint pain for more than 4 years.Four years ago, he was diagnosed with macrophage activation syndrome and sJIA.In the past 4 years, the condition recurred 3 times under treatment with glucocorticoids, Cyclosporine, and Methotrexate.He previously experienced allergic shock after 5 minutes of infusion of Tocilizumab.Due to Tocilizumab allergy, he was treated with Janus kinase inhibitors, but the disease still recurred.After informed consent was obtained from the guardian, 240 mg of Tocilizumab was administrated for desensitization once every 2 weeks and the process went smoothly.The patient has been followed up for more than 6 months and no allergic reactions had occurred.The condition was well controlled, and the Prednisone acetate tablet had been reduced to 2.5 mg orally once a day.At present, there are 10 patients undergoing desensitization treatment both domestically and internationally, including 2 males and 8 females, aged between 2.5 and 54.0 years.All of them have achieved a success in desensitization.Therefore, Tocilizumab desensitization therapy is of great significance for patients who are allergic to biologics in clinical practice.