1.Explainable Machine Learning Model for Predicting Prognosis in Patients with Malignant Tumors Complicated by Acute Respiratory Failure: Based on the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States
Zihan NAN ; Linan HAN ; Suwei LI ; Ziyi ZHU ; Qinqin ZHU ; Yan DUAN ; Xiaoting WANG ; Lixia LIU
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(1):98-108
To develop and validate a model for predicting intensive care unit (ICU) mortality risk in patients with malignant tumors complicated by acute respiratory failure (ARF) based on an explainable machine learning framework. Clinical data of patients with malignant tumors and ARF were extracted from the eICU Collaborative Research Database in the United States, including demographic characteristics, comorbidities, vital signs, laboratory test indicators, and major interventions within the first 24 hours after ICU admission.The study outcome was ICU death.Enrolled patients were randomly divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 7:3.Predictor variables were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression.Five machine learning algorithms-extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine (SVM), Logistic regression, multilayer perceptron (MLP), and C5.0 Decision Tree-were employed to construct predictive models.Model performance was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and other metrics.The optimal model was further interpreted using the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) algorithm. A total of 3196 patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF were included.The training set comprised 2, 261 patients and the validation set 935 patients; 683 patients died during ICU stay, while 2513 survived.LASSO regression ultimately selected 12 variables closely associated with patient ICU outcomes, including sepsis comorbidity, use of vasoactive drugs, and within the first 24 hours after ICU admission: minimum mean arterial pressure, maximum heart rate, maximum respiratory rate, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum blood urea nitrogen, maximum white blood cell count, maximum mean corpuscular volume, maximum serum potassium, and maximum blood glucose.After model evaluation, the XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance.The AUCs for predicting ICU mortality risk in the training and validation sets were 0.940 and 0.763, respectively; accuracy was 88.3% and 81.2%;sensitivity was 98.5% and 95.9%.Its predictive performance also remained optimal in sensitivity analyses.SHAP analysis indicated that the top five variables contributing to the model's predictions were minimum oxygen saturation, minimum serum bicarbonate, minimum mean arterial pressure, use of vasoactive drugs, and maximum white blood cell count. This study successfully developed a mortality risk prediction model for ICU patients with malignant tumors complicated by ARF based on a large-scale dataset and performed explainability analysis.The model aids clinicians in early identification of high-risk patients and implementing individualized interventions.
2.Nonlinear association of nap duration with anxiety and depressive symptoms among junior high school students
ZHOU Xin,LI Yanqiu,OU Junqi,LIN Jing,FENG Lihui,LIN Ziqiang,GAO Yanhui,LI Lixia
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(4):558-562
Objective:
To explore the association between nap duration with anxiety and depressive symptoms among junior high school students, in order to provide evidence for mental health interventions for adolescents.
Methods:
From May to June 2022, a combination of convenience sampling and cluster sampling was used to select 2 491 students from 2 junior high schools in Haizhu District, Guangzhou City for questionnaire survey and physical examination. The questionnaire collected nap duration, night time sleep duration, bedtime, physical activity, and sedentary behavior. Anxiety and depressive symptoms were assessed using Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) and Generalized Anxiety Disorder-7 (GAD-7), respectively. Log-binomial regression model was used to analyze the association of nap duration with anxiety and depressive symptoms, as well as comorbidity among junior high school students, and a restricted cubic spline (RCS) Log-binomial regression model was employed to analyze the non linear relationship after adjusting for covariates.
Results:
The detection rates of anxiety symptoms, depressive symptoms and comorbidity among junior high school students were 13.29%,14.65%,9.19%. After adjusting for covariates such as age, gender and nighttime sleep duration, compared with a school day nap duration of <30 min/d, a nap duration of 30-<60 min/d was associated with a reduced risk of anxiety symptoms ( APR =0.68, 95% CI =0.49-0.98) and comorbidity ( APR =0.56, 95% CI =0.39-0.87)(both P < 0.05 ). Compared with no napping on weekends, a nap duration of 30-<60 min/d was associated with a reduced risk of anxiety symptoms ( APR =0.62, 95% CI =0.41-0.88), depressive symptoms ( APR =0.52, 95% CI =0.34-0.75) and comorbidity ( APR = 0.52 , 95% CI =0.30-0.83)(all P <0.05). RCS curves showed a nonlinear relationship between weekend nap duration and the prevalence of anxiety, depressive symptoms and comorbidity among junior high school students(all P non linear <0.05); weekend nap duration of <120 min was associated with a lower risk of anxiety and depressive symptoms, and weekend nap duration of >180 min was associated with an increased risk.
Conclusions
Appropriate nap duration can help reduce the risk of anxiety, depressive symptoms, and the comorbidity among junior high school students. Adolescents should be guided to reasonably arrange nap duration for promoting physical and mental health.
3.Analysis of hepatitis B infection characteristics in HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ blood donors in Taiyuan
Zhiye LI ; Baifeng SHAN ; Liuming ZHANG ; Yixuan LI ; Aichun CHU ; Weiyu YUAN ; Lixia DOU ; Qiang ZHANG ; Yuan BAI ; Yuan ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(3):373-378
Objective: To analyze characteristics of hepatitis B infection in HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ blood donors in Taiyuan, so as to provide evidence for adjusting blood screening strategies. Methods: Blood samples of HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors were tested using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA), chemiluminescence assay, nucleic acid qualitative test, and nucleic acid quantitative test. Data on HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors in Taiyuan region from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2024 were statistically analyzed to evaluate the detection rate, demographic characteristics, influencing factors of detection rate, nucleic acid quantitative results, and serological patterns of HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors. Results: From January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2024, 991 565 donor samples underwent nucleic acid testing in Taiyuan. A total of 309 HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ samples were detected, resulting in an HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ detection rate of 3.12 per 10 000. The detection rate varied significantly across different years (P<0.05). Males had a significantly higher HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ detection rate than females, first-time donors had a higher rate than repeat donors, and whole blood donors had a higher rate than apheresis donors (P<0.05). The detection rate also differed significantly among age groups (P<0.05). Logistic regression analysis showed that gender, age, donation frequency, and donation type were all influencing factors for HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ detection (all P<0.05). The predominant serological patterns among HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors were HBsAb+/HBcAb+ (43.69%, 135/309) or HBcAb+ alone (24.27%, 75/309). Viral load was detectable in 53.40% (165/309) of the HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors. Among these, 61.21% (101/165) donors had a viral load<20 IU/mL, and 94.55% (156/165) had a viral load<200 IU/mL. Donors with viral load<200 IU/mL primarily exhibited HBsAb+/HBcAb+ (41.67%, 65/156) or HBcAb+alone (36.54%, 57/156) serological patterns. Conclusion: The prevalence of HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ is low among blood donors in Taiyuan. Higher detection rates were observed in the 46-55 years age group, males, first-time donors, and whole blood donors. HBsAg-/HBV DNA+ donors exhibit specific serological patterns and generally have low viral loads, indicating a potential residual transfusion risk. It is recommended to add HBcAb testing, together with high-sensitivity nucleic acid testing technologies and donor follow-up, to ensure blood safety and guide donor reentry.
4.Application value of fibrosis-4 index and liver transient elastography in liver fibrosis risk stratification for metabolic associated fatty liver disease in community health institutions
Haiqing GUO ; Yaning LI ; Xiaohui LIU ; Jing ZHANG ; Yumin WANG ; Li CAO ; Lixia QIU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2026;42(6):1294-1300
ObjectiveTo perform metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) screening among individuals attending community health institutions, to identify the patients at a low, moderate or high risk of advanced liver fibrosis based on fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) measured by liver transient elastography, and to implement stratified management. MethodsA cross-sectional study was conducted among 630 individuals attending Beijing Baizhifang Community Health Service Center from January to July 2024, and they were divided into MAFLD group and non-MAFLD group. According to body mass index (BMI), the MAFLD group was further divided into lean MAFLD group (BMI<23 kg/m2) and non-lean MAFLD group (BMI≥23 kg/m2). The above groups were compared in terms of demographic features, laboratory markers, hepatic steatosis, and LSM. Fibrosis risk stratification was performed for MAFLD patients based on FIB-4 and LSM, and a closed-loop management system involving referral to tertiary hospitals and follow-up at community health institutions was implemented. The Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups. ResultsThere were 445 individuals (70.6%) in the MAFLD group and 185 individuals (29.4%) in the non-MAFLD group. Compared with the non-MAFLD group, the MAFLD group had a significantly lower proportion of male individuals (χ2=4.299, P<0.05), a significant reduction in the level of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (Z=3.484, P<0.05), and significant increases in body weight (Z=-7.366, P<0.05), BMI (Z=-9.740, P<0.05), waist circumference (Z=-6.397, P<0.05), hip circumference (Z=-6.935, P<0.05), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (Z=-2.765, P<0.05), fasting blood glucose (Z=-3.646, P<0.05), triglyceride (TG) (Z=-6.569, P<0.05), total cholesterol (Z=-2.033, P<0.05), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (Z=-2.935, P<0.05), controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) (Z=-19.784, P<0.05), and LSM (Z=-5.703, P<0.05). Within the MAFLD group, there were 124 individuals (27.9%) in the lean MAFLD group and 321 individuals (72.1%) in the non-lean MAFLD group. Compared with the non-lean MAFLD group, the lean MAFLD group had significantly lower body weight (Z=-12.414, P<0.05), BMI (Z=-16.363, P<0.05), waist circumference (Z=-7.733, P<0.05), hip circumference (Z=-8.595, P<0.05), ALT (Z=-2.835, P<0.05), aspartate aminotransferase (Z=-1.972, P<0.05), TG (Z=-2.407, P<0.05), CAP (Z=-4.429, P<0.05), degree of steatosis (χ2=16.588, P<0.05), and LSM (Z=-3.908, P<0.05). Based on the results of FIB-4 and LSM, 76 patients at a moderate or high risk of liver fibrosis should be referred to a higher-level hospital for further management. ConclusionThe detection rate of MAFLD reaches 70.6% among the individuals attending community health institutions, among whom 76 (17.1%) should be referred to a higher-level hospital. Establishing a liver fibrosis risk stratification and management system based on FIB-4 and LSM among MAFLD individuals in communities provides a practical pathway for chronic disease management and referral system construction in community health institutions.
5.Global Trends and Research Hotspots in Exercise Intervention for Overweight and Obesity: A Bibliometric Analysis
Yuanchun ZHU ; Yuhang ZHANG ; Mingnan SHI ; Houqiang ZHANG ; Shufen LIU ; Qing LI ; Lixia CHEN
Medical Journal of Peking Union Medical College Hospital 2026;17(4):1051-1062
To analyze global trends and research hotspots in exercise intervention for overweight and obesity from 2010 to 2024, to provide novel perspectives for comprehensive management research on overweight and obesity. Relevant literature published between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2024, was retrieved from all sub-databases of the Web of Science Core Collection, including articles and reviews. CiteSpace 6.4.R1 was used to perform co-occurrence and burst analysis of journals, institutions, authors and keywords. VOSviewer 1.6.20 was applied to construct co-citation networks among countries/regions and references. SPSS 26.0 was utilized to analyze trends in publication volume and citation frequency. A total of 113 080 publications on exercise interventions for overweight and obesity were obtained, including 98 188 articles and 14 892 reviews. Both annual publications ( Over the past 15 years, the field of exercise intervention for overweight and obesity has received considerable academic attention. Key research hotspots focus on monitoring the incidence of overweight and obesity and the correlation between physical activity and the health outcomes of individuals with overweight and obesity. Future research directions emphasize the effect of high-intensity interval training on the cardiometabolic health of individuals with overweight and obesity, the interaction of dietary habits and physical activity, and the focus on enhance physical activity levels are the primary global trends in this research field.
6.High-throughput Sequencing of MET Mutational Landscape in Cancer Patients and the Value of IHC Screening for Targeted Therapy
Feicheng YANG ; Lixia JIANG ; Ruobing LIU ; Kai YANG ; Yewei LI ; Yi XIONG ; Hao DENG ; Jie HU
Journal of Sun Yat-sen University(Medical Sciences) 2026;47(1):172-181
ObjectiveTo investigate the mutation status of the MET gene in tumor patients, with a focus on its expression in lung cancer tissues and its impact on patient prognosis, providing theoretical basis and potential targets for precise diagnosis and treatment of the tumors. MethodsA total of 1,627 tumor patient samples were collected from January 2021 to September 2025. High-throughput sequencing technology was used to conduct DNA-level gene detection on 137 tumor patients with MET mutations. The distribution of mutation sites in exons and introns, as well as the occurrence frequencies of MET gene amplification and gene fusion were analyzed, with particular attention paid to the mutation frequencies of each exon and the high-frequency variant types. Immunohistochemical staining was performed to analyze the expression levels of c-MET protein in tumor tissues of the 137 patients. Immunohistochemical analysis was conducted on tumor tissues of 9 patients with MET gene exon 14 skipping mutations to study the association between c-MET protein expression and this specific mutation type. RNA sequencing results, immunohistochemical staining data, and follow-up prognosis of lung cancer from the GEPIA2 database and TCGA database were comprehensively analyzed to explore the potential relationship between MET gene expression in tumor tissues and patient prognosis. ResultsAmong 1,627 tumor patients, 137 MET mutation patients were detected, including 93 males with an average age of (66.85±9.61) years and 44 females with an average age of (59.43±11.08) years. Lung cancer was the most common tumor type (117 cases). MET gene expression was lower in breast cancer and glioblastoma multiforme, but higher in lung cancer and colorectal cancer as compared with the expression in normal tissues. Survival analysis showed that patients with high MET gene expression in lung adenocarcinoma had a shorter overall survival time than those with low expression. A total of 961 mutations were detected by next-generation sequencing, including 547 exon mutations and 374 intron mutations. MET gene amplification was found in 13 cases and gene fusion in 27 cases. The highest mutation frequency was in exon 2, followed by exon 5, exon 4, and exon 19. High-frequency variant types included c.2890C>A (p.L964M) on exon 4 and c.3028G>T (p.D1010Y) on exon 5. The c-MET protein expression was closely related to the type of gene mutation. Missense mutations often led to positive or strongly positive c-MET protein expression, while nonsense mutations often resulted in weak or absent c-MET protein expression. Among the 9 patients with MET gene exon 14 skipping mutations, the c-MET protein expression score was mostly 0 - 1, with only 1 case scoring 2. Among the 117 lung cancer patients, the incidence rate was higher in males than in females, and more common among stage Ⅲ-Ⅳ patients than among stage I-Ⅱ patients. Out of the 41 patients treated with surgery + targeted drugs (gutemitinib, savolitinib), 8 cases of recurrence or metastasis were found during follow-up. ConclusionMET gene mutations exhibit specific mutation characteristics in different tumor types, and its expression levels show significant differences between various tumor tissues and normal tissues. It is closely related to the poor prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma patients. We found that c-MET protein expression is closely related to the type of MET gene mutation, especially in patients with MET gene exon 14 skipping mutations, which presents a characteristic expression pattern. This provides an important basis for the preliminary screening using immunohistochemistry in clinical practice.
7.Optimization of HBV detection in NDR samples from blood donors
Qiang ZHANG ; Yuan ZHOU ; Liuming ZHANG ; Weiyu YUAN ; Baifeng SHAN ; Zhiye LI ; Lixia DOU ; Aichun CHU ; Xuehua HE
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2026;39(9):1223-1230
Objective: To evaluate the effect of repeated testing combined with cross-validation using different principles of NAT systems on improving the detection rate of occult HBV infection (OBI) in HBsAg-negative/NDR samples. Methods: A total of 89 NDR samples from the Taiyuan Blood Center between August 2024 and May 2025 were enrolled. All samples were tested for HBsAg by ELISA and subjected to NAT screening using the Roche system (PCR method). For all HBsAgnegative, MPNAT+/IDNAT (NDR) samples, further crossvalidation was performed using repeat IDNAT with the Roche system and the Grifols system (TMAbased) dHBV discriminatory assay; in addition, HBV serological markers were detected, and the results were confirmed by realtime quantitative PCR and nested PCR with sequencing genotyping. The NAT yield/window period ratio model was used to estimate the residual risk of HBV transfusion for the Roche single system in actual use, and the theoretical residual risk was calculated by assuming that the Grifols system was applied to individual screening of all blood donors. Results: The detection rate of HBsAg-negative/NDR was 0.99‰ (89/90 115), consistent with the national average. Among the 89 NDR samples, 4 were confirmed as HBV DNA-positive by nested PCR (viral load 15 - 20 IU/mL), including 3 of genotype C1 and 1 of genotype B2. Serological analysis showed that the anti-HBc positivity rate in NDR samples was 24.7% (22/89); all 4 OBI samples were antiHBcpositive (18.2%) and none were antiHB-spositive. In the single-NAT system, the residual risk for first-time donors (RR_FD) was 48.98/10
person-years for the Roche system and 21.01/10
person-years for the Grifols system, both higher than the corresponding residual risk for repeat donors (RR_RD: 15.23/10
and 9.80/10
person-years, respectively), but the differences showed no statistical significance (P>0.05). Conclusion: Implementing repeated testing combined with cross-validation using different principles of NAT systems can effectively increase the detection rate of low-viral-load OBI and reduce the risk of missed detection.
8.Association between moderate to vigorous intensity physical activity and sedentary behavior among primary and secondary school students and their parents
YAO Zifeng, YE Rongrong, CHEN Jiade, XU Peng, HUANG Yanhong, LI Lixia, LI Hongjuan, GAO Yanhui
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(1):68-72
Objective:
To explore the associations of moderate to vigorous intensity physical activity (MVPA) and sedentary behavior (SB) among primary and secondary school students and their parents, so as to provide a scientific basis for formulating targeted physical activity promotion strategies for children and adolescents.
Methods:
From 2021 to 2022, basic information and 24 h movement behaviors of 2 484 pairs of students and their parents were collected from five primary and secondary schools in Haizhu District, Guangzhou City, with a convenient sampling combining with cluster sampling method. Component regression models were constructed to analyze the relationship between parental MVPA, SB and primary and secondary school students MVPA and SB, and a component isochronous substitution model was used to explore the effects of mutual substitution between parental MVPA, residual components (time use components other than SB during the 24 h period), and SB on the behavioral activities of MVPA and SB in primary and secondary school students.
Results:
Parental MVPA and SB of students in grade 1 to 3 were positively correlated with both students MVPA and SB ( β=0.06, 0.12, P <0.01). The component isochronous substitution model showed that substituting 10 and 20 minutes of MVPA for SB by parents in grade 1 to 3 was associated with an increase in MVPA of students, and substituting 10 and 20 minutes of residual ingredients for SB was associated with a decrease in SB of students, with mean changes of 0.8 (95% CI =0.4-1.2) and 1.4 (95% CI =0.7-2.2) and -1.4 (95% CI =-1.7 to -1.1) and -2.9 (95% CI =-3.4 to -2.3)( P <0.05). No statistically significant associations were observed between parents of students in grades 4 to 6 and 7 to 9 and students physical activity and sedentary behaviour ( P >0.05).
Conclusions
Parents of students in grades 1 to 3 increases MVPA and decrease SB are beneficial to increase MVPA and decrease SB of students. Parents could promote physical activity among primary and secondary school students, and the intervention gateway should be advanced, with the low grades as the optimal intervention period.
9.Role of amino acid metabolism in autoimmune hepatitis and related therapeutic targets
Peipei GUO ; Yang XU ; Jiaqi SHI ; Yang WU ; Lixia LU ; Bin LI ; Xiaohui YU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(3):547-551
Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is a chronic inflammatory liver disease. The pathogenesis of AIH remains unclear, but it is mainly autoimmune injury caused by the breakdown of autoimmune tolerance due to the abnormal activation of the immune system, while the specific molecular mechanism remains unknown. Recent studies have shown that abnormal amino acid metabolism plays an important role in the development and progression of AIH. This article reviews the research advances in amino acid metabolic reprogramming in AIH, in order to provide a theoretical basis for amino acid metabolism as a new target for the clinical diagnosis and treatment of AIH.
10.Effect of a nurse-led fluid responsiveness monitoring protocol in preventing fluid accumulation syndrome in patients with septic shock
Lixia YE ; Ye XU ; Qin LI ; Kexin JI ; Hong ZHOU
Chinese Journal of Nursing 2025;60(16):1959-1966
Objective To develop a nurse-led dynamic monitoring protocol for fluid responsiveness and to evaluate its effectiveness in preventing fluid accumulation syndrome in patients with septic shock.Methods A nurse-led dynamic monitoring protocol for fluid responsiveness was developed through literature review and expert panel discussion.Using convenience sampling,160 patients with septic shock admitted to the emergency department of a tertiary hospital in Hangzhou,Zhejiang Province,were enrolled.According to admission period,80 patients admitted from November 2023 to August 2024 were assigned to an intervention group,and 80 patients admitted from January 2023 to October 2023 were assigned to a control group.The intervention group received the nurse-led dynamic monitoring in addition to routine care,while the control group received routine care and conventional fluid responsiveness monitoring.The therapeutic outcomes and incidence of complications were compared between the 2 groups.Results All 80 patients in each group completed the study.The intervention group demonstrated higher lactate clearance rates at 6 and 24 hours after fluid resuscitation,lower incidences of acute pulmonary edema and fluid accumulation syndrome,and shortened durations of mechanical ventilation and ICU stay(all P<0.05)compared to the control group.There was no statistically significant difference in 28-day mortality between the 2 groups(P=0.212).Conclusion The nurse-led dynamic monitoring protocol for fluid responsiveness in patients with septic shock is both scientific and practical.Its implementation can effectively improve lactate clearance,reduce the incidence of fluid accumulation syndrome and acute pulmonary edema,and shorten the duration of mechanical ventilation and ICU stay.


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