1.Application of time series and machine learning models in predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai
WANG Zhengzhong, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, YUAN Linlin, ZHAI Yani, SUN Lijing, LUO Chunyan
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(3):426-430
Objective:
To analyze the temporal variation patterns of sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students in Shanghai, so as to explore models suitable for predicting peaks and intensity of absenteeism rates.
Methods:
The seasonal and trend decomposition using loess (STL) method was used to analyze the seasonal and long term trend changes in sickness absenteeism among primary and secondary school students from September 1 in 2010 to June 30 in 2018, in Shanghai. A hierarchical clustering method based on Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) was employed to classify absenteeism symptoms with similar temporal patterns. Based on historical data, the study constructed and evaluated different time series algorithms and machine learning models to optimize the accuracy of predicting the trend of sickness absenteeism.
Results:
During the research period, the average new absenteeism rate due to illness was 16.86 per 10 000 person day for every academic year, and the trend of sickness absenteeism exhibited both seasonality and a long term upward trend, reaching its highest point in the 2017 academic year (22.47 per 10 000 person day). The symptoms of absenteeism were divided into three categories: high incidence in winter and spring (respiratory symptoms, fever and general discomfort, etc.), high incidence in summer (eye symptoms, nosebleeds, etc.) and those without obvious seasonality (skin symptoms, accidental injuries, etc.).The constructed time series models effectively predicted the trend of absenteeism due to illness, although the accuracy of predicting peak intensity was relatively low. Among them, the multi layer perceptron (MLP) model performed the best, with an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 8.96 and an mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37, reducing 36.51% and 39.02% compared to the baseline model.
Conclusion
Time series models and machine learning algorithms could effectively predict the trend of sickness absenteeism, and corresponding prevention and control measures can be taken for absenteeism caused by different symptoms during peak periods.
2.Establishment of a Rat Model of Alzheimer's Disease by Introducing Human Triple Mutant APP Gene into Hippocampus via Brain Stereotactic Technology
Linlin XIAO ; Yixuan YANG ; Shanshan LI ; Lanshiyu LUO ; Siwei YIN ; Juming SUN ; Wei SHI ; Yiqiang OUYANG ; Xiyi LI
Laboratory Animal and Comparative Medicine 2025;45(3):269-278
Objective To establish a rat model of Alzheimer's disease (AD) expressing human triple mutant amyloid precursor protein (APP) in the hippocampus, and to provide a model for the study of disease mechanisms and drug development. Methods Twenty-four 12-week-old SPF-grade female SD rats were randomly divided into a blank control group, a virus control group and an experimental group, with eight rats in each group; among them, the experimental group received a stereotaxic injection of adeno-associated virus (AAV) carrying the human triple mutant APP and NanoLuc luciferase genes into the hippocampus. In vivo imaging was used to observe viral expression in the brains of rats in each group, the novel object recognition test was used to assess the recognition memory of the rats in each group, real-time fluorescent quantitative PCR was used to detect the expression level of the APP gene, HE staining was used to examine the brain histopathology, Nissl staining was used to assess the hippocampal lesions, and immunohistochemistry was used to detect the deposition of amyloid β-protein (Aβ). Results In vivo imaging showed that reporter fluorescence was detected in the brains of rats in both experimental and virus control groups. Fluorescence quantitative PCR showed that the expression level of the APP gene was significantly increased in the brains of rats in the experimental group (P<0.01). Novel object recognition test revealed that the recognition memory of rats in the experimental group was significantly reduced compared with that of the blank control group (P<0.01). Six months after recombinant AAV virus infection, HE staining and Nissl staining of brain tissues showed that the number of neurons and Nissl bodies in the CA1 region of the hippocampus in the experimental group was reduced and disorganized; immuno-histochemistry testing of the CA1 region of the hippocampus and the pyramidal cell layer of the experimental group revealed prominent brown deposits, indicating Aβ protein deposition. Conclusion The rat model successfully established by stereotaxic injection and AAV-mediated delivery of human triple mutant APP gene exhibits typical AD features, providing a valuable animal model for studying AD pathology and developing drug therapies targeting Aβ protein deposition.
3.Establishment of a Rat Model of Alzheimer's Disease by Introducing Human Triple Mutant APP Gene into Hippocampus via Brain Stereotactic Technology
Linlin XIAO ; Yixuan YANG ; Shanshan LI ; Lanshiyu LUO ; Siwei YIN ; Juming SUN ; Wei SHI ; Yiqiang OUYANG ; Xiyi LI
Laboratory Animal and Comparative Medicine 2025;45(3):269-278
Objective To establish a rat model of Alzheimer's disease (AD) expressing human triple mutant amyloid precursor protein (APP) in the hippocampus, and to provide a model for the study of disease mechanisms and drug development. Methods Twenty-four 12-week-old SPF-grade female SD rats were randomly divided into a blank control group, a virus control group and an experimental group, with eight rats in each group; among them, the experimental group received a stereotaxic injection of adeno-associated virus (AAV) carrying the human triple mutant APP and NanoLuc luciferase genes into the hippocampus. In vivo imaging was used to observe viral expression in the brains of rats in each group, the novel object recognition test was used to assess the recognition memory of the rats in each group, real-time fluorescent quantitative PCR was used to detect the expression level of the APP gene, HE staining was used to examine the brain histopathology, Nissl staining was used to assess the hippocampal lesions, and immunohistochemistry was used to detect the deposition of amyloid β-protein (Aβ). Results In vivo imaging showed that reporter fluorescence was detected in the brains of rats in both experimental and virus control groups. Fluorescence quantitative PCR showed that the expression level of the APP gene was significantly increased in the brains of rats in the experimental group (P<0.01). Novel object recognition test revealed that the recognition memory of rats in the experimental group was significantly reduced compared with that of the blank control group (P<0.01). Six months after recombinant AAV virus infection, HE staining and Nissl staining of brain tissues showed that the number of neurons and Nissl bodies in the CA1 region of the hippocampus in the experimental group was reduced and disorganized; immuno-histochemistry testing of the CA1 region of the hippocampus and the pyramidal cell layer of the experimental group revealed prominent brown deposits, indicating Aβ protein deposition. Conclusion The rat model successfully established by stereotaxic injection and AAV-mediated delivery of human triple mutant APP gene exhibits typical AD features, providing a valuable animal model for studying AD pathology and developing drug therapies targeting Aβ protein deposition.
4.Association between QRS voltages and amyloid burden in patients with cardiac amyloidosis.
Jing-Hui LI ; Changcheng LI ; Yucong ZHENG ; Kai YANG ; Yan HUANG ; Huixin ZHANG ; Xianmei LI ; Xiuyu CHEN ; Linlin DAI ; Tian LAN ; Yang SUN ; Minjie LU ; Shihua ZHAO
Chinese Medical Journal 2024;137(3):365-367
5.Correlation between stress and Internet addiction among middle school students in Shanghai
YUAN Linlin, ZHANG Zhe, ZHOU Xinyi, ZHAI Yani, YIN Xiaoya, LI Shuman, SUN Lijing
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(12):1757-1760
Objective:
To understand the relationship between stress and Internet addiction among middle school students in Shanghai, so as to provide a scientific basis for promoting students mental health and preventing Internet addiction.
Methods:
From May to June 2021, a stratified random cluster sampling method was used to select 6 123 middle and high school students in Shanghai for health risk behavior monitoring. Daily Stressors Evaluation Scale for Urban Secondary School Students was used to evaluate students' stress, and the Internet Addiction Test compiled by Young was used to evaluate students Internet addiction. The correlation between student stress and Internet addiction was analyzed by Kruskal-Wallis H test , Chi square test and multiple Logistic regression.
Results:
Total stress score of middle school students in Shanghai was 24 (12, 39), academic stress score was 8 (5, 13), physical and psychological stress score was 6 (2, 10), interpersonal stress score was 5 (1, 9), and family stress score was 4 (1, 8). The detection rate of Internet addiction was 4.7%. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that the risk of Internet addiction among middle school students with high levels of stress was 8.05 times(95% CI =4.59-14.12) that of students with low levels of stress( P <0.05). The risk of Internet addiction among middle school students with high levels of academic stress, physical and psychological stress, interpersonal stress and family stress was 5.98(95% CI =3.69-9.70), 6.92(95% CI =4.03-11.88), 4.85(95% CI =3.11-7.55), and 4.18(95% CI =2.73-6.40) times that of students with low levels of stress, respectively( P <0.05).
Conclusion
The academic stress, physical and psychological stress, interpersonal stress, and family stress among middle school students can all lead to an increased risk of Internet addiction.
6.Association between dietary habits and sleep duration among middle school students in Shanghai
YIN Xiaoya, ZHAI Yani, YUAN Linlin, YAN Qiong, ZHOU Xinyi, LUO Chunyan, SUN Lijing
Chinese Journal of School Health 2024;45(8):1140-1143
Objective:
To explore the association between dietary behaviors and sleep duration among middle school students in Shanghai, so as to provide reference for interventions targeting insufficient sleep.
Methods:
From May to June 2021, a stratified cluster random sampling method was employed to select a sample of 10-17yearold middle school students for monitoring their healthrisk behaviors. A total of 5 538 valid questionnaires were collected. The survey included items such as daily sleep duration, weekly consumption of sugary beverages, freshly squeezed fruit juice, fresh fruits, fresh vegetables, fried foods, milk and yogurt, breakfast habits, and frequency of eating outside. Statistical analysis was conducted using Chisquare test, Wilcoxon ranksum test, and multivariable Logistic regression model.
Results:
About 73.7% of middle school students reported insufficient sleep in Shanghai. There was a positive correlation between the average daily consumption of fresh fruits and breakfast consumption with sleep duration. In other words, a higher frequency of consuming fresh fruits (OR=1.29) and eating breakfast (OR=1.07) were associated with a higher likelihood of sufficient sleep. Conversely, there was a negative correlation between the frequency of consuming desserts (OR=0.78) and fried foods (OR=0.88) and sleep duration (P<0.05).
Conclusions
Increasing the consumption of fresh fruits and maintaining regular breakfast habits while reducing the intake of fried foods can contribute to achieving sufficient sleep among middle school students. When implementing interventions to improve sleep among middle school students, promoting healthy and balanced diets can be considered as one of the intervention strategies.
7.Establishment and methodological validation of a nucleic acid detection method for human parvovirus B19
Yue WANG ; Xiaobei ZHENG ; Yajing ZHENG ; Yu SUN ; Qin GONG ; Linlin ZHANG ; Ying ZHAO ; Dandan YANG ; Yi YANG ; Lin LI ; Boran LI ; Jin ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2024;37(11):1234-1240
[Objective] To establish a real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR nucleic acid detection method of human parvovirus B19 and validate the method systematically. [Methods] Specific primers and probes for the highly conserved regions of the three genotypes of B19 virus were designed, and B19 quantitative amplification standard curves were established. The accuracy, precision (repeatability and intermediate precision), linear range, quantification limit, detection limit, specificity, anti cross contamination, genotyping and anti-interference ability of this method were verified. [Results] When the quantitative reference range for B19 virus was 2.0×101 to 1.0×108 IU/mL, a double logarithmic regression analysis was performed between the measured values and the theoretical values, and the regression equation R2≥0.98 showed good linear correlation. The quantification limit was 20 IU/mL, with a detection rate of 100%. The detection limit was 10 IU/mL, and the detection rate is 95.23%. Three genotypes of B19 virus samples can be effectively detected. The plasma of seven non B19 pathogens, including hepatitis A virus, hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus, human immuno-deficiency virus, human cytomegalovirus, hepatitis E virus and Treponema pallidum, was non reactive and has good species specificity. Simultaneously, in the presence of seven other concurrent pathogens, positive samples with a weak positive concentration of E3 IU/mL could be stably detected, and the B19 nucleic acid testing method was not interfered with. When the hemoglobin concentration was 431 mg/dL, triglycerides (1 269 turbidity) and unconjugated bilirubin concentration was 20 mg/dL, this method was non reactive for all three common plasma interfering substances. In the presence of three common plasma interfering substances, positive samples with a weak positive concentration of E3 IU/mL could be stably detected, and the B19 nucleic acid testing method was not interfered with. The deviation between the detection values of standard substances at two concentration levels of S1 (E5 IU/mL) and S2 (E4 IU/mL) and the target values were≤±0.5 log value. The CV values of positive sample 1 (concentration level E5 IU/mL) and positive sample 2 (concentration level E4 IU/mL) for daily precision confirmation and continuous 5-day intra-day precision confirmation were both≤5%. [Conclusion] This method has strong specificity, high sensitivity, wide linear range, stability, reliability and high accuracy, and can be used for the detection of human parvovirus B19 nucleic acid in plasma.
8.Effect of Early Intervention of Yishen Huazhuo Prescription on Learning and Memory of Accelerated Aging SAMP8 Mice and Its Mechanism
Shujie ZAN ; Kai WANG ; Jiachun XU ; Weiming SUN ; Daoyan NI ; Linlin ZHANG ; Shuang LIU ; Yan MA ; Pengjuan XU ; Lin LI
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(8):91-99
ObjectiveTo investigate the impact of early intervention with Yishen Huazhuo prescription (YHP) on the learning and memory of accelerated aging model mice, as well as its underlying mechanism. MethodForty-eight 3-month-old male SAMP8 mice were randomly assigned into four groups, including the model group, low-dose YHP group, high-dose YHP group, and donepezil group. Additionally, 24 SAMR1 mice of the same age were divided into a control group and a YHP treatment control group, each consisting of 12 mice. The YHP groups received YHP at doses of 6.24 g·kg-1 and 12.48 g·kg-1, while the donepezil group was treated with donepezil at a dose of 0.65 mg·kg-1. The model group and control groups were given physiological saline. The mice were gavaged once daily for a duration of four weeks. Spatial learning and memory abilities of mice were assessed using the Morris water maze test. Immunofluorescence staining was employed to evaluate neuronal density as well as expression levels of M1 microglial (MG) polarization marker inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS) and M2 MG polarization marker arginase-1 (Arg-1) in the hippocampus region. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to measure serum levels of pro-inflammatory factor interleukin 1β (IL-1β) and anti-inflammatory factor transforming growth factor-β1 (TGF-β1). Furthermore, Western blot analysis was conducted to determine expressions of amyloid β peptide1-42 (Aβ1-42) along with triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells 2 (TREM2)/nuclear factor kappa B (NF-κB) signaling pathway-related proteins TREM2, phospho (p)-NF-κB p65, and phospho-inhibitory kappa B kinase β (IKKβ) in the hippocampus. ResultCompared with the control group, the model group exhibited a significantly prolonged escape latency (P<0.01), a significant reduction in neuron-specific nuclear protein (NeuN) expression in the hippocampus, a significant increase in iNOS expression in MG, and a significant decrease in Arg-1 expression. The serum IL-1β content was significantly increased, while the TGF-β1 content was significantly decreased. Additionally, there was a significant decrease in TREM2 expression in the hippocampus and significant increases in p-NF-κB p65, p-IKKβ, and Aβ1-42 expressions (P<0.05, P<0.01). However, no significant changes were observed in escape latency, times of crossing the platform, and hippocampal NeuN expression in the YHP treatment control group. Conversely, iNOS expression in MG as well as the hippocampal p-NF-κB p65, p-IKKβ, and Aβ1-42 expressions were significantly decreased. Furthermore, TREM2 expression was significantly increased (P<0.05, P<0.01). In comparison to the model group, the low-dose YHP group showed a significantly shortened escape latency and an increased number of crossing the platform (P<0.05, P<0.01). In the high-dose YHP group, the escape latency was significantly shortened (P<0.05). In the low-dose YHP group, high-dose YHP group, the expression of NeuN in the hippocampus was significantly increased, the expression of iNOS in MG was significantly decreased, and the expression of Arg-l was significantly increased. The serum IL-1β content was significantly decreased, while the TGF-β1 content was significantly increased. Furthermore, the expression of TREM2 in the hippocampus was significantly increased, and the expressions of p-NF-κB p65, p-IKKβ, and Aβ1-42 were significantly decreased (P<0.01). ConclusionEarly YHP intervention may promote the transformation of hippocampal MG from M1 to M2 by regulating the TREM2/NF-κB signaling pathway, reduce the release of neuroinflammatory factors, protect hippocampal neurons, and reduce the deposition of Aβ1-42, and finally delay the occurrence of learning and memory decline in SAMP8 mice.
9.Changes of M1/M2 macrophages polarization associated with active pulmonary tuberculosis and the effect of ESAT6 on macrophage polarization
Linlin GAI ; Weice SUN ; Jinjin CHU ; Donghua XU
The Journal of Practical Medicine 2024;40(20):2867-2873
Objective To investigate the alteration of M1/M2 polarization of monocyte-macrophages from the peripheral blood of patients with active pulmonary tuberculosis,and the effect of Mycobacterium tuberculosis ESAT6 on the polarization of human THP-1 cells.Methods Whole blood and serum samples were collected from 14 patients with active pulmonary tuberculosis and 10 healthy controls.Peripheral blood mononuclear cells(PBMCs)were isolated from whole blood with heparin sodium using lymphocyte fluid.The mRNA levels of HLA-DR,CD11C,CD68,CD206 and Arg-1 in PBMCs from patients with active pulmonary tuberculosis were detected by real-time quantitative PCR.The secretion of cytokines(IL-2,IL-6,TNF-α,IFN-γ,IL-4,etc.)was detected by flow cytometry.Human THP-1 cells were induced by phorbol ester(PMA)to differentiate into macrophages-like cells,which were divided into M0 group,M1 group,M2 group,and M0+ESAT6 group.After 24 hours of stimulation,the mRNA levels of HLA-DR,CD11C,CD68,CD206 and Arg-1 were detected by real-time PCR.Following stimulation with ESAT6 for 6 h,12 h and 24 h,the levels of cytokines(IL-2,IL-6,TNF-α,IL-4,etc.)in cell culture supernatant from THP-1 cells were detected by flow cytometry.Results Compared with the healthy control group,the mRNA expression levels of M1-polarized phenotypic molecules HLA-DR,CD11C and CD68 in PBMCs of the active pulmonary tuberculosis group were up-regulated(P<0.05).The mRNA expression level of M2-polar-ized phenotype molecule CD206 was decreased(P<0.05),while the expression level of Arg-1 mRNA was not statistically significant(P>0.05).Serum levels of M1-related proinflammatory cytokines IL-2,IL-6,IFN-γ and TNF-α were increased in patients with active pulmonary tuberculosis(all P<0.05),whereas decreased level of anti-inflammatory cytokine IL-4(P<0.05)were found in serum samples from patients with active pulmonary tuber-culosis.THP-1 macrophages were induced to differentiate into different phenotypes in vitro,and the HLA-DR mRNA expression level of cell M1 polarization phenotype molecule was statistically significant among all groups(F=21.83,P=0.000).Pairwise comparison results showed that expressions of HLA-DR mRNA in M1 group and M0+ESAT6 group were significantly upregulated compared with M0 group(P<0.05),there was no significant difference between the other groups(P>0.05).However,there was no significant difference in the expression of CD68 mRNA among all groups(F=2.480,P=0.135).There was no significant difference of mRNA expressions of CD206 and Arg-1 among all groups(F=1.233,P=0.3597;F=6.059,P=0.068).There were no significant differences between the M1-related pro-inflammatory cytokine IL-2 and anti-inflammatory cytokine IL-4 at different time points of cell culture(P>0.05).Compared with the M0 and ESAT6 phenotypes,the levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines IL-6 and TNF-α in the M1 phenotype group were significantly increased at 12 h and 24 h(P<0.05,P<0.05,P<0.001,P<0.001;P<0.05,P<0.05,P<0.01,P<0.01);but there was no significant difference between the other groups(P>0.05).Conclusions The ability of peripheral blood monocyte-macrophages to polarize to M1 is enhanced,while the ability to polarize to M2 is weakened in patients with active pulmonary tuberculosis.Mycobacterium tuberculosis ESAT6 can promote the polarization of macrophages to M1,which affects the activity and progression of tuberculosis.
10.Dexmedetomidine attenuates osteoporosis in rats
Na SUN ; Linlin SONG ; Jinjin CHI ; Lulu ZHONG ; Zhensheng WANG ; Xinyun WEI
Basic & Clinical Medicine 2024;44(12):1656-1662
Objective To investigate the effects of dexmedetomidine(Dex)on osteoporosis(OP)rats and possible mechanisms.Methods The rats were divided into sham operation group,osteoporosis model group(OP,replica-ting the OP rat model with bilateral ovariectomies),Dex-L,M,and H(Dex low,medium,and high dose treat-ments)groups and Dex-H+XAV-939 group(Wnt/β-catenin pathway inhibitor).Micro-CT was applied to meas-ure bone mineral density(BMD)and bone microstructure of rat femurs.The three-point bending experiment was applied to analyze the biomechanics of the femur(maximum load,fracture deflection,elastic modulus).HE stai-ning was applied to observe pathological changes in the femur of rats.ELISA method was applied to evaluate bone metabolism indicators such as alkaline phosphatase(ALP),typeⅠ procollagen amino-terminal peptide(PINP)and typeⅠcollagen cross-linked C-telopeptide(CTX-Ⅰ).The expression of Runx2 and Wnt3a was examined by Immunohistochemistry.Western blot was applied to detect the protein expression of Runx2 and Wnt3a/β-catenin pathway in femoral tissue.Results Compared to the Sham group,the bone volume and number of trabeculae in OP group were obviously reduced,the maximum load,fracture deflection,elastic modulus,BMD,Tb.Th,Tb.N,BV/TV,ALP,PINP,Runx2,Wnt3a,β-catenin expression decreased,CTX-Ⅰ increased(P<0.05).Compared to the OP group,the bone trabecular structure in the Dex-L,M,and H groups was restored,the maxi-mum load,fracture deflection,elastic modulus,BMD,Tb.Th,Tb.N,BV/TV,ALP,PINP,Runx2,Wnt3a,β-catenin expression all increased but CTX-Ⅰ decreased(P<0.05).Compared to the Dex-H group,the bone trabecular injury in the Dex-H+XAV-939 group showed a more severe damage.The maximum load,fracture de-flection,elastic modulus,BMD,Tb.Th,Tb.N,BV/TV,ALP,PINP,Runx2,Wnt3a,β-catenin expression decreased while CTX-Ⅰ increased(P<0.05).Conclusions Dex may antagonize OP effects by improving bone density,biomechanical properties and microstructure.The underlying mechanism might be related to the activation of the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway.


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