1.Establishment and evaluation of a Nomogram early prediction model for severe dengue fever
Li LIU ; Hongjun LI ; Lixian CHANG ; Hui CHEN ; Zhihui MA ; Zhijian DONG ; Lingjun SHEN ; Chunyun LIU
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2025;44(3):179-185
Objective:To analyze the influencing factors of severe dengue fever patients in the early stage, construct a early prediction model for severe dengue fever, and evaluate it.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted to collect early clinical data of dengue fever patients admitted to the People's Hospital of Mengla County and the Third People's Hospital of Kunming in Yunnan Province from July to December 2023. The multifactor logistic regression was used to analyze the factors affecting the severe dengue fever patients, and Nomogram prediction model was used for visualization. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve analysis were used to evaluate the model.Results:A total of 534 dengue fever patients were included, including 291 males and 243 females, aged (39.95 ± 15.69) years. Among them, there were 59 cases (11.05%) of severe dengue fever. The results of multifactor logistic regression analysis showed that age ( OR = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.02 - 1.08, P < 0.001), cardiovascular disease ( OR = 5.28, 95% CI: 2.08 - 13.40, P < 0.001), serous effusion ( OR = 4.34, 95% CI: 1.63 - 11.57, P = 0.003), aspartate aminotransferase ( OR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.02 - 1.04, P < 0.001), lactate dehydrogenase ( OR = 1.00, 95% CI: 1.00 - 1.01, P = 0.001), and fibrinogen ( OR = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.28 - 0.76, P = 0.003) were independent influencing factors in the early stage of severe dengue fever. The area under the ROC curve of the Nomogram prediction model constructed from the above six variables was 0.96 (0.93 - 0.98). The calibration curve analysis results showed that the mean absolute error between the predicted values of the Nomogram prediction model and the actual observed values was 0.014. Conclusions:Age, cardiovascular disease, serous effusion, aspartate aminotransferase, lactate dehydrogenase, and fibrinogen are independent influencing factors in the early stage of severe dengue fever. The Nomogram prediction model established based on these variables has good predictive ability for severe dengue fever.
2.Establishment and evaluation of a Nomogram early prediction model for severe dengue fever
Li LIU ; Hongjun LI ; Lixian CHANG ; Hui CHEN ; Zhihui MA ; Zhijian DONG ; Lingjun SHEN ; Chunyun LIU
Chinese Journal of Endemiology 2025;44(3):179-185
Objective:To analyze the influencing factors of severe dengue fever patients in the early stage, construct a early prediction model for severe dengue fever, and evaluate it.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted to collect early clinical data of dengue fever patients admitted to the People's Hospital of Mengla County and the Third People's Hospital of Kunming in Yunnan Province from July to December 2023. The multifactor logistic regression was used to analyze the factors affecting the severe dengue fever patients, and Nomogram prediction model was used for visualization. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve analysis were used to evaluate the model.Results:A total of 534 dengue fever patients were included, including 291 males and 243 females, aged (39.95 ± 15.69) years. Among them, there were 59 cases (11.05%) of severe dengue fever. The results of multifactor logistic regression analysis showed that age ( OR = 1.05, 95% CI: 1.02 - 1.08, P < 0.001), cardiovascular disease ( OR = 5.28, 95% CI: 2.08 - 13.40, P < 0.001), serous effusion ( OR = 4.34, 95% CI: 1.63 - 11.57, P = 0.003), aspartate aminotransferase ( OR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.02 - 1.04, P < 0.001), lactate dehydrogenase ( OR = 1.00, 95% CI: 1.00 - 1.01, P = 0.001), and fibrinogen ( OR = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.28 - 0.76, P = 0.003) were independent influencing factors in the early stage of severe dengue fever. The area under the ROC curve of the Nomogram prediction model constructed from the above six variables was 0.96 (0.93 - 0.98). The calibration curve analysis results showed that the mean absolute error between the predicted values of the Nomogram prediction model and the actual observed values was 0.014. Conclusions:Age, cardiovascular disease, serous effusion, aspartate aminotransferase, lactate dehydrogenase, and fibrinogen are independent influencing factors in the early stage of severe dengue fever. The Nomogram prediction model established based on these variables has good predictive ability for severe dengue fever.
3.Factors Influencing the Development of Extra-Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Patients with Viral Hepatitis Complicated by Pulmonary Tuberculosis
Lingjun SHEN ; Longfen LI ; Chunjing SHI ; Wenming LI ; Yuanqing HUANG ; Huajie ZHANG ; Yun LUO ; Jie LI ; Li LIU
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2025;46(2):103-109
Objective To investigate the factors influencing the development of extra-pulmonary tuberculosis(EPTB)in patients with viral hepatitis complicated by pulmonary tuberculosis(PTB).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on 427 patients with Hepatitis B Virus(HBV)and Hepatitis C Virus(HCV)infections complicated by PTB admitted to the tuberculosis department of Kunming Third People's Hospital from January 2015 to December 2020.Patients were divided into the EPTB complication group(n=72)and the non-EPTB complication group(n=355)based on the presence of EPTB.Clinical treatment data of patients were collected.Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyse were used to screen independent risk factors for EPTB as predictive factors.A nomogram prediction model was established for Extrapulmonary Tuberculosis(EPTB)complications in patients with viral hepatitis and Pulmonary Tuberculosis(PTB),evaluated using the Hosmer-Lemeshow test and ROC curve analysis.Results Among the 427 patients,292(68.3%)were male and 135(31.7%)were female,with 72 cases of EPTB,resulting in an incidence rate of 16.86%.In the EPTB group,there were 34 males(47.2%)and 38 females(52.8%).The types of EPTB included tuberculous pleuritis(21 cases,29%),tuberculous peritonitis(16 cases,22%),lymph node tuberculosis(13 cases,18%),tuberculous encephalitis(5 cases,6%),intestinal tuberculosis(6 cases,8%),bone tuberculosis(5 cases,6%),pelvic tuberculosis(3 cases,4%),and genitourinary tuberculosis(3 cases,4%).Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that gender(OR=0.425,95%CI:0.250-0.722,P=0.02),low triglyceride(TG)levels(OR=0.837,95%CI:0.717-0.978,P=0.025),the tuberculosis-specific antigen A(ESAT-6)(OR=1.007,95%CI:1.003~1.011 were independent influencing factors for EPTB in patients with PTB complicated by HBV and HCV infections.The optimal cutoff value for the nomogram model is 0.192,with a sensitivity of 0.611,specificity of 0.710,Youden index of 0.741,positive likelihood ratio of 2.103,and negative likelihood ratio of 0.548.The Hosmer-Lemeshow test yielded χ2=2.631,P=0.955.ROC curve analysis showed an AUC of 0.693,95%CI:0.629 1~0.7574.Conclusion The prediction model based on gender,low TG levels and ESAT-6 can well predict the occurrence of EPTB to some extent,providing a reference for clinical treatment.
4.The Value of Fitting NRS 2002,CONUT,RDW-SD and ALB in Assessing the Risk of Venous Thromboembolism in Patients with the Pulmonary Tuberculosis Based on Lasso-Logistic Regression Model
Chunjing SHI ; Wenming LI ; Yun LUO ; Huajie ZHANG ; Liuxin HAN ; Yanhong ZHAO ; Longfen LI ; Lingjun SHEN
Journal of Kunming Medical University 2025;46(8):33-42
Objective To evaluate the relationship between nutritional parameters and the risk of venous thromboembolicism(VTE)in patients with tuberculosis so as to identify the risk factors and predictors of thrombosis and assist in the early identification of high-risk factors for VTE in patients with the pulmonary tuberculosis.Methods A total of 323 patients diagnosed with the pulmonary tuberculosis and hospitalized in Kunming Third People's Hospital from August 2021 to August 2023 were collected.According to the VTE risk assessment of non-operative patients,they were divided into the high-risk group and the low-risk group respectively with 116 and 207 in each group.The nutritional indicators with statistically significant differences between the two groups were screened by Lasso regression.Multivariate Logistic regression was used to screen the independent risk factors for high VTE risk in pulmonary tuberculosis patients,and a nomogram prediction model was constructed.The prediction model was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve(ROC),calibration curve,decision curve,and influence curve.Results Patients in the high-risk group were significantly older than those in the low-risk group(59 vs.41,P<0.001),hypertension,gender,and Type 2 diabetes did not differ significantly(P values were 0.084,0.724 and 0.488,respectively).9 variables were selected from the inter-group comparison and Lasso regression,including ALB,HCT,NRS2002 scores,HBDH,RDW-SD,RDW-CV,TG,CONUT scores,and NEFA.Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that ALB,NRS2002 scores,RDW-SD,and CONUT scores were independent influencing factors for the high risk of VTE scores in patients with tuberculosis(P<0.005).Area under the ROC curve showed that the AUC(0.892)for high-risk VTE scores in patients with the pulmonary tuberculosis was greater than that of ALB(0.803),NRS2002 score(0.735),RDW-SD(0.685),and CONUT score(0.774).Fitting prediction model:Logit(P):Y=0.433×NRS-0.136×ALB+0.411×CONUT score+0.072×RDW-SD-1.770,P=1/(1+e-Y)(Y:prediction index,P:prediction probability).Calibration curve showed that the model prediction tended to be consistent with the actual results(U:>0.05),and the decision curve and influence curve showed that the model can bring clinical benefits.Conclusion ALB,NRS2002 scores,RDW-SD,and CONUT scores are independent influencing factors for the high risk of VTE scores in patients with tuberculosis.They can guide the clinical practice,improve these indicators as soon as possible,reduce VTE scores,and reduce the thrombosis risk.At the same time,the prediction model performs well in the verification cohort,with its discrimination ability,calibration accuracy and clinical utility(decision curve analysis)all reaching a satisfactory level.
5.Clinical application of metagenomic next-generation sequencing for identifying non-tuberculous mycobacteria from bronchoalveolar lavage fluid
Jieyuan ZHENG ; Dan ZHANG ; Jieting ZHOU ; Jingchao WANG ; Lingjun YUAN ; Mengxiao XIE ; Binxiao LI ; Dongsheng HAN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Infectious Diseases 2025;18(1):19-24
Objective:To evaluate the application of metagenomic next-generation sequencing(mNGS)in the identification of non-tuberculous mycobacteria(NTM).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on mNGS results of 358 bronchoalveolar lavage fluid(BALF)samples positive for NTM collected at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine from February 2021 to January 2024. The analysis included the distribution of NTM species,the detection of mixed pathogens,and the performance of conventional mycobacterial detection methods.Results:The results showed that 362 strains of 15 NTM species were identified from 350 specimens,8 specimens were not precise to the species level. The most frequently detected species were Mycobacterium intracellulare(37.3%,135/362), Mycobacterium abscessus(26.8%,97/362),followed by Mycobacterium avium(11.0%,40/362), Mycobacterium kansasii(8.0%,29/362)and Mycobacterium chelonae(7.7%,28/362). Single NTM species were detected in 339 specimens,while two or three NTM species were simultaneously detected in 11 specimens(3.1%,11/358). Non-NTM microorganisms co-infected were detected in 53.4%(191/358)of NTM-positive BALF samples,including common pathogens such as Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Staphylococcus aureus,and Aspergillus fumigatus;and difficult-to-identify pathogens such as Legionella pneumophila and Talaromyces marneffei. In NTM-positive patients detected by mNGS,the results supported the diagnosis of NTM infection in 298 cases(298/358,83.2%)and 105 cases(105/358,29.3%)initiated anti-NTM treatment accordingly;while in 60 cases(60/358,16.8%)the positive results were considered as colonization or unrelated to clinical infection. For samples tested with acid-fast staining,mycobacterial liquid culture,and DNA microarray,the positivity rates for NTM were 31.5%(73/232),48.7%(57/117),and 43.0%(46/107),respectively. Conclusions:mNGS demonstrates advantages in identification of NTM. However,the test may detect multiple microorganisms,in that case,the interpretation with clinical and radiological results is requried to determine the main pathogens.
6.Management maintenance and fault repair of fully automatic immunohistochemistry analyzer in university teaching
Chenliang LI ; Dan JIANG ; Yanru ZHENG ; Lingjun MENG
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(5):176-179
Immunohistochemistry(IHC)technique is one of the routine detection methods of pathology.At present,the fully automatic immunohistochemistry analyzer has been widely applied in many fields included biology,basic medicine and clinical pathology,which has been a valuable testing equipment of related pathological experiments in university.The use of this kind of equipment in experimental teaching for undergraduate can increased experimental efficiency,and reduce manual errors through standardized operations.At the same time,the possessed capability of this equipment for batch processing was suitable in teaching for class with large scale.This article explored the working principle,usage technique,daily maintenance and troubleshooting for the BOND Max fully automatic immunohistochemistry analyzer at Jilin University's National Biological Experimental Teaching Demonstration Center,and it also expounded its application in experimental teaching,which aim was to improve the efficiency of fully automatic immunohistochemistry analyzer.It can provide technical support for operator.
7.Management maintenance and fault repair of fully automatic immunohistochemistry analyzer in university teaching
Chenliang LI ; Dan JIANG ; Yanru ZHENG ; Lingjun MENG
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(5):176-179
Immunohistochemistry(IHC)technique is one of the routine detection methods of pathology.At present,the fully automatic immunohistochemistry analyzer has been widely applied in many fields included biology,basic medicine and clinical pathology,which has been a valuable testing equipment of related pathological experiments in university.The use of this kind of equipment in experimental teaching for undergraduate can increased experimental efficiency,and reduce manual errors through standardized operations.At the same time,the possessed capability of this equipment for batch processing was suitable in teaching for class with large scale.This article explored the working principle,usage technique,daily maintenance and troubleshooting for the BOND Max fully automatic immunohistochemistry analyzer at Jilin University's National Biological Experimental Teaching Demonstration Center,and it also expounded its application in experimental teaching,which aim was to improve the efficiency of fully automatic immunohistochemistry analyzer.It can provide technical support for operator.
8.Clinical application of metagenomic next-generation sequencing for identifying non-tuberculous mycobacteria from bronchoalveolar lavage fluid
Jieyuan ZHENG ; Dan ZHANG ; Jieting ZHOU ; Jingchao WANG ; Lingjun YUAN ; Mengxiao XIE ; Binxiao LI ; Dongsheng HAN
Chinese Journal of Clinical Infectious Diseases 2025;18(1):19-24
Objective:To evaluate the application of metagenomic next-generation sequencing(mNGS)in the identification of non-tuberculous mycobacteria(NTM).Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on mNGS results of 358 bronchoalveolar lavage fluid(BALF)samples positive for NTM collected at the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhejiang University School of Medicine from February 2021 to January 2024. The analysis included the distribution of NTM species,the detection of mixed pathogens,and the performance of conventional mycobacterial detection methods.Results:The results showed that 362 strains of 15 NTM species were identified from 350 specimens,8 specimens were not precise to the species level. The most frequently detected species were Mycobacterium intracellulare(37.3%,135/362), Mycobacterium abscessus(26.8%,97/362),followed by Mycobacterium avium(11.0%,40/362), Mycobacterium kansasii(8.0%,29/362)and Mycobacterium chelonae(7.7%,28/362). Single NTM species were detected in 339 specimens,while two or three NTM species were simultaneously detected in 11 specimens(3.1%,11/358). Non-NTM microorganisms co-infected were detected in 53.4%(191/358)of NTM-positive BALF samples,including common pathogens such as Pseudomonas aeruginosa, Staphylococcus aureus,and Aspergillus fumigatus;and difficult-to-identify pathogens such as Legionella pneumophila and Talaromyces marneffei. In NTM-positive patients detected by mNGS,the results supported the diagnosis of NTM infection in 298 cases(298/358,83.2%)and 105 cases(105/358,29.3%)initiated anti-NTM treatment accordingly;while in 60 cases(60/358,16.8%)the positive results were considered as colonization or unrelated to clinical infection. For samples tested with acid-fast staining,mycobacterial liquid culture,and DNA microarray,the positivity rates for NTM were 31.5%(73/232),48.7%(57/117),and 43.0%(46/107),respectively. Conclusions:mNGS demonstrates advantages in identification of NTM. However,the test may detect multiple microorganisms,in that case,the interpretation with clinical and radiological results is requried to determine the main pathogens.
9.Midazolam alleviates neuronal damage induced by oxygen glucose deprivation/restoration in mice
Tao CHEN ; Lingjun CHEN ; Yuan LI
Basic & Clinical Medicine 2024;44(4):459-466
Objective To investigate the impact of midazolam on neuronal injury induced by oxygen glucose depri-vation/reoxygenation(OGD/R)in mice.Methods An injury model of neuronal cell line HT22 was established by OGD/R induction.HT22 cells were divided into OGD/R group,low-dose group,medium-dose group and high-dose group,midazolam+KG-501(CREB inhibitor)group and control group.ELISA was applied to detect TNF-α and IL-6 levels;Commercialy available reagent kits were applied to detect superoxide dismutase(SOD),catalase(CAT),and malondialdehyde(MDA)levels;MTT and Edu experiments were applied to detect cell prolifera-tion;flow cytometry was applied to detect cell apoptosis rate;RT-qPCR method was applied to detect the ex-pression levels of CREB mRNA and PGC-1α mRNA;Western blot was applied to detect the expression levels of Ki-67,Bcl-2,Bax,CREB,and PGC-1α proteins.Results Compared with the control group,the A490 value(24,48 hours),proliferation rate,SOD and CAT activity,CREB mRNA and PGC-1α mRNA expres-sion,Ki-67,Bcl-2,CREB,and PGC-1α protein level in the OGD/R group were all significantly reduced(P<0.05);The apoptosis rate,TNF-α,IL-6,MDA,and Bax protein expression were significanty increased(P<0.05).Compared with the OGD/R group,the A490 values(24,48 hours),proliferation rate,SOD,CAT activity,CREB mRNA and PGC-1α mRNA expression,and Ki-67,Bcl-2,CREB,and PGC-1α protein expression were significantly increased in low,medium,and high dose midazolam groups;The apoptosis rate,TNF-α,IL-6,MDA,and Bax protein expression were obviously reduced(P<0.05).Compared with the high-dose midazolam group,A490 value(24,48 hours),proliferation rate,activity of SOD and CAT,CREB mRNA and PGC-1α mRNA expression as well as Ki-67,Bcl-2,CREB,and PGC-1α protein expression were all sig-nificantlu reduced in the high-dose midazolam+KG-501 group while the apoptosis rate,TNF-α,IL-6,MDA,and Bax protein expression were obviously increased(P<0.05).Conclusions Midazolam might alleviate nerve cell injury potentially through the mechaninsms of promoting OGD/R-induced proliferation and reducing cell apoptosis in HT22 cells.
10.Multicenter evaluation of the diagnostic efficacy of jaundice color card for neonatal hyperbilirubinemia
Guochang XUE ; Huali ZHANG ; Xuexing DING ; Fu XIONG ; Yanhong LIU ; Hui PENG ; Changlin WANG ; Yi ZHAO ; Huili YAN ; Mingxing REN ; Chaoying MA ; Hanming LU ; Yanli LI ; Ruifeng MENG ; Lingjun XIE ; Na CHEN ; Xiufang CHENG ; Jiaojiao WANG ; Xiaohong XIN ; Ruifen WANG ; Qi JIANG ; Yong ZHANG ; Guijuan LIANG ; Yuanzheng LI ; Jianing KANG ; Huimin ZHANG ; Yinying ZHANG ; Yuan YUAN ; Yawen LI ; Yinglin SU ; Junping LIU ; Shengjie DUAN ; Qingsheng LIU ; Jing WEI
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2024;62(6):535-541
Objective:To evaluate the diagnostic efficacy and practicality of the Jaundice color card (JCard) as a screening tool for neonatal jaundice.Methods:Following the standards for reporting of diagnostic accuracy studies (STARD) statement, a multicenter prospective study was conducted in 9 hospitals in China from October 2019 to September 2021. A total of 845 newborns who were admitted to the hospital or outpatient department for liver function testing due to their own diseases. The inclusion criteria were a gestational age of ≥35 weeks, a birth weight of ≥2 000 g, and an age of ≤28 days. The neonate′s parents used the JCard to measure jaundice at the neonate′s cheek. Within 2 hours of the JCard measurement, transcutaneous bilirubin (TcB) was measured with a JH20-1B device and total serum bilirubin (TSB) was detected. The Pearson′s correlation analysis, Bland-Altman plots and the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve were used for statistic analysis.Results:Out of the 854 newborns, 445 were male and 409 were female; 46 were born at 35-36 weeks of gestational age and 808 were born at ≥37 weeks of gestational age. Additionally, 432 cases were aged 0-3 days, 236 cases were aged 4-7 days, and 186 cases were aged 8-28 days. The TSB level was (227.4±89.6) μmol/L, with a range of 23.7-717.0 μmol/L. The JCard level was (221.4±77.0) μmol/L and the TcB level was (252.5±76.0) μmol/L. Both the JCard and TcB values showed good correlation ( r=0.77 and 0.80, respectively) and agreements (96.0% (820/854) and 95.2% (813/854) of samples fell within the 95% limits of agreement, respectively) with TSB. The JCard value of 12 had a sensitivity of 0.93 and specificity of 0.75 for identifying a TSB ≥205.2?μmol/L, and a sensitivity of 1.00 and specificity of 0.35 for identifying a TSB ≥342.0?μmol/L. The TcB value of 205.2?μmol/L had a sensitivity of 0.97 and specificity of 0.60 for identifying TSB levels of 205.2 μmol/L, and a sensitivity of 1.00 and specificity of 0.26 for identifying TSB levels of 342.0 μmol/L. The areas under the ROC curve (AUC) of JCard for identifying TSB levels of 153.9, 205.2, 256.5, and 342.0 μmol/L were 0.96, 0.92, 0.83, and 0.83, respectively. The AUC of TcB were 0.94, 0.91, 0.86, and 0.87, respectively. There were both no significant differences between the AUC of JCard and TcB in identifying TSB levels of 153.9 and 205.2 μmol/L (both P>0.05). However, the AUC of JCard were both lower than those of TcB in identifying TSB levels of 256.5 and 342.0 μmol/L (both P<0.05). Conclusions:JCard can be used to classify different levels of bilirubin, but its diagnostic efficacy decreases with increasing bilirubin levels. When TSB level are ≤205.2 μmol/L, its diagnostic efficacy is equivalent to that of the JH20-1B. To prevent the misdiagnosis of severe jaundice, it is recommended that parents use a low JCard score, such as 12, to identify severe hyperbilirubinemia (TSB ≥342.0 μmol/L).

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