1.A prediction model for stroke risk among middle-aged and elderly populations
CHU Chu ; XU Hong ; CAI Bo ; HAN Yingying ; MU Haixiang ; ZHENG Huiyan ; LIN Ling
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(7):649-653
Objective:
To create a prediction model for stroke risk among middle-aged and elderly populations, so as to provide a basis for early identification of high-risk population for stroke.
Methods:
From October to December 2023, residents aged ≥45 years in Chongchuan District, Nantong City, Jiangsu Province were selected using a multi-stage stratified random sampling method. The demographic information, life behavior, and chronic disease data were collected through a questionnaire survey. The standardized prevalence of stroke was calculated using data from the seventh National Population Census. The subjects were randomly divided into the training set and the internal validation set according to the ratio of 8∶2. The basic demographic information, life behavior, and chronic diseases of residents aged ≥45 years in Rugao City were collected from July to August 2023 as the external validation set. Predictive factors were selected using multivariable logistic regression model, and a nomogram for stroke among residents aged ≥45 years was established. The prediction effect was evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC), calibration curve, and Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test.
Results:
A total of 6 290 residents aged ≥45 years were included, including 2 975 males (47.30%) and 3 315 females (52.70%). The average age was (61.90±10.20) years. The prevalence of stroke was 3.80%, and the standardized prevalence was 3.36%. The multivariable logistic regression showed that age, smoking, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia were predictors of stroke risk among residents aged ≥45 years, and the prediction model was ln[p/(1-p)]=-4.619+0.046×age+0.383×smoking+0.887×hypertension+0.678×hyperlipidemia. The AUC values of the training set, internal validation set, and external validation set were 0.748, 0.755, and 0.738, respectively. The consistency indexes were 0.748, 0.755, and 0.738, respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit test showed a good fitting effect (P>0.05).
Conclusion
The prediction model based on age, smoking, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia has good discrimination and calibration, and can be used to predict the risk of stroke among middle-aged and elderly populations aged ≥45 years.
2.Predictive factors for hemodynamically significant patent ductus arteriosus in preterm infants and the construction of a nomogram prediction model.
Jun MU ; Shu-Shu LI ; Ai-Ling SU ; Shu-Ping HAN ; Jin-Gai ZHU
Chinese Journal of Contemporary Pediatrics 2025;27(3):279-285
OBJECTIVES:
To explore the predictive factors for hemodynamically significant patent ductus arteriosus (hsPDA) in preterm infants and to construct a nomogram prediction model for hsPDA occurrence in this population.
METHODS:
A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of preterm infants with gestational age <32 weeks diagnosed with patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) who were delivered at Nanjing Women and Children's Healthcare Hospital from January 2020 to December 2022. The subjects were divided into an hsPDA group (52 cases) and a non-hsPDA group (176 cases) based on the presence of hsPDA. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to screen predictive variables regarding the general information of the infants at birth, maternal pregnancy and delivery conditions, and relevant indicators during hospitalization. A nomogram prediction model for hsPDA occurrence was constructed using R software in preterm infants. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap method. Finally, the predictive model was evaluated for calibration, discrimination ability, and clinical utility.
RESULTS:
Multivariate regression analysis showed that the ratio of the left atrium to aorta diameter (LA/AO), mode of delivery (vaginal), and duration of mechanical ventilation were independent predictive factors for hsPDA in preterm infants (P<0.05). Based on the results of univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis, variables used to construct the nomogram prediction model for hsPDA risk included: LA/AO ratio, mode of delivery (vaginal), duration of mechanical ventilation, 5-minute Apgar score, and the presence of neonatal respiratory distress syndrome requiring surfactant therapy. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for this model was 0.876 (95%CI: 0.824-0.927), and the calibrated curve was close to the ideal reference line, indicating good calibration. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test demonstrated that the model fit well, and the clinical decision curve was above the extreme curves.
CONCLUSIONS
The nomogram prediction model, constructed using five variables (LA/AO ratio, vaginal delivery, duration of mechanical ventilation, 5-minute Apgar score, and the presence of neonatal respiratory distress syndrome requiring surfactant therapy), has reference significance for predicting the occurrence of hsPDA in preterm infants and provides valuable guidance for the early clinical identification of hsPDA.
Humans
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Ductus Arteriosus, Patent/etiology*
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Nomograms
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Female
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Infant, Newborn
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Infant, Premature
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Retrospective Studies
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Male
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Hemodynamics
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Logistic Models
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Pregnancy
3.The systemic inflammatory response index as a risk factor for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among individuals with coronary artery disease: evidence from the cohort study of NHANES 1999-2018.
Dao-Shen LIU ; Dan LIU ; Hai-Xu SONG ; Jing LI ; Miao-Han QIU ; Chao-Qun MA ; Xue-Fei MU ; Shang-Xun ZHOU ; Yi-Xuan DUAN ; Yu-Ying LI ; Yi LI ; Ya-Ling HAN
Journal of Geriatric Cardiology 2025;22(7):668-677
BACKGROUND:
The association of systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) with prognosis of coronary artery disease (CAD) patients has never been investigated in a large sample with long-term follow-up. This study aimed to explore the association of SIRI with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in a nationally representative sample of CAD patients from United States.
METHODS:
A total of 3386 participants with CAD from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2018 were included in this study. Cox proportional hazards model, restricted cubic spline (RCS), and receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) were performed to investigate the association of SIRI with all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Piece-wise linear regression and sensitivity analyses were also performed.
RESULTS:
During a median follow-up of 7.7 years, 1454 all-cause mortality occurred. After adjusting for confounding factors, higher lnSIRI was significantly associated with higher risk of all-cause (HR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.09-1.23) and CVD mortality (HR = 1.17, 95% CI: 1.05-1.30) but not cancer mortality (HR = 1.17, 95% CI: 0.99-1.38). The associations of SIRI with all-cause and CVD mortality were detected as J-shaped with threshold values of 1.05935 and 1.122946 for SIRI, respectively. ROC curves showed that lnSIRI had robust predictive effect both in short and long terms.
CONCLUSIONS
SIRI was independently associated with all-cause and CVD mortality, and the dose-response relationship was J-shaped. SIRI might serve as a valid predictor for all-cause and CVD mortality both in the short and long terms.
4.Mechanisms of acupuncture at Zusanli (ST36) and its combinational acupoints for stress gastric ulcer based on the correlation between Zang-fu and acupoints.
Mu HE ; Xue Yee LIM ; Jing LI ; Ling LI ; Tong ZHANG
Journal of Integrative Medicine 2025;23(1):1-11
Gastric ulcer (GU) is a common digestive system disease. Acupuncture, as one of the external treatments of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), has the characteristics of multi-target, multi-pathway and multi-level action in the treatment of GU. The relationship between meridian points and Zang-fu is an important part of the theory of TCM, which is crucial for the diagnosis and treatment of diseases. There is an external and internal link between acupoints and Zang-fu. The pathological reaction of Zang-fu can manifest as acupoint sensitization, while stimulation of acupoints can play a therapeutic role in the internal Zang-fu. Therefore, the acupoint has the functions of reflecting and treating diseases. This review explores the tender points on the body surface of patients with GU and the rules of acupoint selection. In addition, Zusanli (ST36), as one of the most used acupoints of the stomach meridian, was selected to show the mechanisms behind acupoint stimulation in the treatment of GU in greater detail, specifically in the well-studied model of the stress GU (SGU). Hence, the mechanisms of acupuncture at ST36 and points commonly used in combination with ST36 to treat SGU are discussed further. Treatment effects can be achieved through anti-inflammatory and antioxidant activities, gastric mucosal injury repair, and interaction with the brain-gut axis. In summary, this review provides evidence for a comprehensive understanding of the phenomena and mechanism of acupoint functions for GU. Please cite this article as: He M, Lim XY, Li J, Li L, Zhang T. Mechanisms of acupuncture at Zusanli (ST36) and its combinational acupoints for stress gastric ulcer based on the correlation between Zang-fu and acupoints. J Integr Med. 2025; 23(1): 1-11.
Acupuncture Points
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Humans
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Stomach Ulcer/therapy*
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Acupuncture Therapy/methods*
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Animals
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Meridians
5.Emerging evidence of inter-organ interaction on drug transporters under liver injury.
Ling JIANG ; Ying DENG ; Ruijing MU ; Wenke FENG ; Xiaonan LIU ; Li LIU
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(6):687-699
Dysfunction of drug transporters significantly affects therapeutic outcomes and drug efficacy in patients with liver injury. Clinical and experimental evidence demonstrates that liver injury involves complex inter-organ interactions among the brain, eye, liver, intestine, and kidney. Recent advances in basic and clinical research have illuminated the physiologic and molecular mechanisms underlying transporter alterations in liver injury, particularly those associated with bilirubin, reactive oxygen species, ammonia, bile acid, and inflammatory factors. Notably, the influence of these transporter modifications on drug pharmacokinetics in liver injury patients remains inadequately understood. Additional research is necessary to fully comprehend these effects and their therapeutic implications. The documented alterations of transporters in distant organs across various liver diseases indicate that dosage modifications may be required when administering transporter-substrate drugs, including both traditional Chinese and Western medicines, to patients with liver dysfunction. This strategy helps maintain drug concentrations within therapeutic ranges while reducing adverse reactions. Furthermore, when utilizing transporter inducers or inhibitors clinically, consideration of their long-term effects on transporters and subsequent therapeutic impact is essential. Careful attention must be paid to avoid compromising the elimination of toxic metabolites and proteins when inhibiting these transporters. Similarly, prudent use of inducers or inducer-type therapeutic drugs is necessary to prevent enhanced drug resistance. This review examines recent clinical and experimental findings regarding the inter-organ interaction of drug transporters in liver injury conditions and their clinical relevance.
Humans
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Liver/drug effects*
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Animals
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Chemical and Drug Induced Liver Injury/metabolism*
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Membrane Transport Proteins/metabolism*
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Biological Transport
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Liver Diseases/drug therapy*
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Pharmaceutical Preparations/metabolism*
6.Mechanism of Nephrotoxicity Induced by Ecliptasaponin A Based on Computational Toxicology
Han LI ; Ling SONG ; Yunhang GAO ; Tengfei CHEN ; Suzhen MU ; Weiya CHEN ; Guangping ZHANG ; Wang HUO
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2024;30(23):72-80
ObjectiveTo predict the potential nephrotoxic components in traditional Chinese medicine health food products based on the Traditional Chinese Medicine Toxicity Alert System and Basic Toxicology Database (TCMTAS-BTD), screen and validate the predicted components by cell and animal experiments, and decipher the mechanism of nephrotoxicity by network pharmacology. MethodTCMTAS-BTD was utilized to predict the toxicity of 3 540 compounds found in the catalogue of traditional Chinese health food ingredients. In the cell experiment, the top 5 compounds with high toxicity probability were screened by measurement of cell proliferation and viability (CCK-8) and high-content screening. ICR mice were randomized into a control group, a low-dose (2.91 mg·kg-1·d-1) ecliptasaponin A, and a high-dose (29.1 mg·kg-1·d-1) ecliptasaponin A group, with 10 mice in each group, and treated continuously for 28 days. During the experiment, the general conditions of the rats were observed, and the kidney index was calculated. The levels of serum creatinine (SCr) and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) in the serum as well as the content of malondialdehyde (MDA) and superoxide dismutase (SOD) in the renal tissue were measured. The pathological changes of the kidney were observed. Network pharmacology was employed to predict the potential pathways of nephrotoxicity. Finally, the pathway-associated proteins were validated by Western blot. ResultThe top 5 compounds with high probability of nephrotoxicity were ecliptasaponin A, chrysophanol, rutaecarpine, tanshinoneⅠ, and geniposidic acid. In the cell experiment, CCK-8 results showed that 10 μmol·L-1 ecliptasaponin A, 60 μmol·L-1 chrysophanol, 40 μmol·L-1 rutaecarpine, and 20 μmol·L-1 tanshinone I altered the viability of HK-2 cells. High-content analysis showed that 10 μmol·L-1 ecliptasaponin A, chrysophanol, rutaecarpine, and tanshinone Ⅰ reduced the cell number (P<0.05, P<0.01). The animal experiment showed that the mice in the high-dose ecliptasaponin A group presented slow movement, slow weight gain (P<0.01), increased kidney index (P<0.01), elevated SCr, BUN, and MDA levels (P<0.01), and lowered SOD level (P<0.01). Mild histopathological changes were observed in the high-dose ecliptasaponin A group. The network pharmacology results showed that the key targets of nephrotoxicity induced by ecliptasaponin A were mainly enriched in the phosphatidylinositol 3-kinase (PI3K)/protein kinase B (Akt) signaling pathway, prostatic cancer and lipid and atherosclerosis pathways. Western blot results verified that high dose of ecliptasaponin A raised the phosphorylation levels of PI3K and Akt (P<0.01). ConclusionOn day 28 of administration, 29.1 mg·kg-1 ecliptasaponin A was found to induce renal injury in rats. The mechanism may be related with the PI3K/Akt signaling pathway, which implied that excessive and prolonged usage of Ecliptae Herba may increase the incidence of adverse drug reactions.
7.The role of endoplasmic reticulum stress in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and related targeted therapies
Xiuyan LI ; Na LEI ; Hongfei SONG ; Ling ZENG ; Dong WANG ; Jie MU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2024;40(11):2300-2305
Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease(NAFLD)is a series of diseases characterized by hepatic steatosis and is also a metabolism-associated disease and an important factor for liver fibrosis,liver cirrhosis,and hepatocellular carcinoma.Endoplasmic reticulum is a core organelle for the regulation of lipid metabolism,and unfolded protein response is an important process of endoplasmic reticulum stress(ERS).Based on the important stress role of endoplasmic reticulum in metabolism-associated diseases,this article explores the influencing mechanism between ERS and NAFLD and reviews the research advances in lipid metabolism,inflammatory response,hepatocyte death,fibrosis,and ERS-targeted therapies in the pathological development of NAFLD.
8.Development and Item Screening of Quality of Life Scale for Premature Ovarian Insufficiency Using Delphi Method
Yun-Ling ZHENG ; Ling ZHU ; Yun-Yi LIANG ; Yi-Mu CHEN ; Yu-Ying WU ; Li-Zhi HUANG
Journal of Guangzhou University of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;41(5):1341-1347
Objective The items of quality of life scale for premature ovarian insufficiency were screened using the Delphi method,thus to provide a basis for the development of the scale.Methods The core researcher group of scale development was formed firstly,and then the theoretical framework of the scale was constructed and the original item pool was established on the basis of previous literature analysis,medical record review and patient interview,Secondly,the expert consultation questionnaire was formulated,the experts were screened,and two rounds of expert investigation were conducted by the Delphi method.Finally,the survey results were statistically analyzed,the expert opinions were sorted out,and the items were screened.Results A total of 15 experts were selected,and they were from 9 provinces or municipalities directly under the central government,exerting certain discipline representativeness and authority.The two rounds of expert investigation by Delphi method were conducted by issuing 15 questionnaires in each round of expert investigation,the positive coefficient of the experts was all 100%,the authority coefficient of the experts was 0.970 and 0.963 respectively,and the Kendall's W coefficient was 0.236 and 0.381 respectively(P<0.05).Finally,31 items(18 related with the physiological domain,8 related with the psychological domain and 5 related with the social domain)and 2 overall-evaluation items were determined.Conclusion The experts participating in the Delphi method have high authority and enthusiasm.The Kendall's W coefficient of the second-round expert investigation is higher than that of the first-round expert investigation,the experts'opinions reach unanimity,and the results are more reliable.The results of item screening of TCM quality of life scale for premature ovarian insufficiency can provide reference for the subsequent evaluation and research of the scale.
9.Comparison of Direct and Extraction Immunoassay Methods With Liquid Chromatography-Tandem Mass Spectrometry Measurement of Urinary Free Cortisol for the Diagnosis of Cushing’s Syndrome
Danni MU ; Jiadan FANG ; Songlin YU ; Yichen MA ; Jin CHENG ; Yingying HU ; Ailing SONG ; Fang ZHAO ; Qi ZHANG ; Zhihong QI ; Kui ZHANG ; Liangyu XIA ; Ling QIU ; Huijuan ZHU ; Xinqi CHENG
Annals of Laboratory Medicine 2024;44(1):29-37
Background:
Twenty-four-hour urinary free cortisol (UFC) measurement is the initial diagnostic test for Cushing’s syndrome (CS). We compared UFC determination by both direct and extraction immunoassays using Abbott Architect, Siemens Atellica Solution, and Beckman DxI800 with liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). In addition, we evaluated the value of 24-hr UFC measured by six methods for diagnosing CS.
Methods:
Residual 24-hr urine samples of 94 CS and 246 non-CS patients were collected.A laboratory-developed LC-MS/MS method was used as reference. UFC was measured by direct assays (D) using Abbott, Siemens, and Beckman platforms and by extraction assays (E) using Siemens and Beckman platforms. Method was compared using Passing–Bablok regression and Bland–Altman plot analyses. Cut-off values for the six assays and corresponding sensitivities and specificities were calculated by ROC analysis.
Results:
Abbott-D, Beckman-E, Siemens-E, and Siemens-D showed strong correlations with LC-MS/MS (Spearman coefficient r = 0.965, 0.922, 0.922, and 0.897, respectively), while Beckman-D showed weaker correlation (r = 0.755). All immunoassays showed proportionally positive bias. The areas under the curve were 0.975 for Abbott-D, 0.972 for LCMS/MS, 0.966 for Siemens-E, 0.948 for Siemens-D, 0.955 for Beckman-E, and 0.877 for Beckman-D. The cut-off values varied significantly (154.8–1,321.5 nmol/24 hrs). Assay sensitivity and specificity ranged from 76.1% to 93.2% and from 93.0% to 97.1%, respectively.
Conclusions
Commercially available immunoassays for measuring UFC show different levels of analytical consistency compared to LC-MS/MS. Abbott-D, Siemens-E, and Beckman-E have high diagnostic accuracy for CS.
10.Analysis of the application effect of hemoperfusion combined with continuous hemodialysis in patients with acute organophosphorus pesticide poisoning
Shiwei MU ; Xin WANG ; Ling LIU ; Peng ZHANG ; Yan HUA ; Yong TANG
Chinese Journal of Integrated Traditional and Western Medicine in Intensive and Critical Care 2024;31(1):68-72
Objective To observe the effects of hemoperfusion(HP)combined with hemodialysis on cholinesterase(ChE)activity and inflammatory factors in patients with acute organophosphorus pesticide poisoning(AOPP).Methods A retrospective cohort study was conducted.Seventy-three AOPP patients admitted to the department of emergency of Yingshang People's Hospital from January 2020 to December 2022 were enrolled.The patients were divided into HP group(31 cases)and HP+continuous renal replacement therapy(CRRT)group(42 cases)according to different treatment regimens.All patients were given supportive treatment according to the standard protocol after admission.HP was given to the patients as soon as possible after admission,and the treatment time was between 2 hours and 3 hours,with an interval of 24 hours.Patients in HP+CRRT group were treated with continuous veno-venous hemodiafiltration(CVVHDF)after HP.The serum ChE,tumor necrosis factor-α(TNF-α),and interleukins(IL-1,IL-6)levels were compared between the two groups after admission(T0),at the end of the first HP/HP+CRRT(T1),at the end of the second HP/HP+CRRT(T2),and at the end of the third HP/HP+CRRT(T3).The ChE recovery time,the incidence of intermediate syndrome(IMS),the length of hospital stay,and the rate of admission to ICU were also compared.Results With the extension of treatment time,the ChE activity at T1,T2,and T3 in the two groups was significantly higher than that at T0,and the levels of TNF-α,IL-1,and IL-6 were significantly lower than those at T0,reaching the trough value at T3,and the changes in HP+CRRT group were more significant than those in HP group[ChE activity(U/L):2 903.26±164.43 vs.2 292.98±350.96,TNF-α(ng/L):78.24±10.75 vs.100.55±15.58,IL-1(ng/L):95.98±22.56 vs.127.94±18.74,IL-6(ng/L):34.36±8.66 vs.58.74±10.46,all P<0.05].The recovery time of ChE activity and length of hospital stay in HP+CRRT group were significantly shorter than those in HP group[ChE activity recovery time(days):4.42±1.17 vs.7.31±1.46,length of hospital stay(days):9.25±2.14 vs.12.75±2.30,both P<0.05],the incidence of IMS and ICU admission rate were significantly lower than those in HP group[the incidence of IMS:33.33%(14/42)vs.61.29%(19/31),ICU admission rate:9.52%(4/42)vs.29.03%(9/31),both P<0.05].Conclusion For AOPP patients,HP+CRRT is superior to HP alone in the clearance of inflammatory factors,restoring ChE activity,reducing the incidence of IMS,and shortening the length of hospital stay,making it a valuable option for clinical application.


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