1.Clinical value of systemic inflammatory response index in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and co-infection
Hui LI ; Haibin SU ; Jinhua HU ; Chenhui SHI ; Chen LI ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Jing CHEN ; Lilong YAN ; Yuhui PENG ; Peng NING ; Chongdan GUAN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(8):1620-1626
Objective To investigate the application value of systemic inflammatory response index(SIRI)in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)and co-infection.Methods A retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 579 ACLF patients with co-infection who were diagnosed and treated in The Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2014 to March 2016,including demographic features,laboratory markers,and complications,and SIRI,Model for End-Stage Liver Disease(MELD)score,MELD combined with serum sodium concentration(MELD-Na)score,and Child-Pugh score were calculated.According to the results of follow-up on day 90,the patients were divided into survival group with 210 patients and death group with 369 patients.The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the Mann-Whitney U rank sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the chi-square test were used for comparison of categorical data between two groups.The binary logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the independent risk factors for 90-day death.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and the area under the ROC curve(AUC)were used to assess the performance of SIRI,MELD-Na score,and Child-Pugh score in predicting the prognosis of ACLF patients with co-infection.The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed based on the optimal cut-off value of SIRI.Results Among the 597 ACLF patients with co-infection,384(66.32%)had HBV-related ACLF and 114(19.69%)had alcohol-related ACLF;as for the main infection sites,316(54.58%)had abdominal infection and 133(22.97%)had pulmonary infection;the 90-day mortality rate was 63.73%.The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that SIRI(odds ratio[OR]=1.177,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.117-1.239,P<0.05),blood ammonia(OR=1.009,95%CI:1.001-1.018,P<0.05),MELD-Na score(OR=1.047,95%CI:1.016-1.080,P<0.05),Child-Pugh score(OR=1.351,95%CI:1.054-1.730,P<0.05),age(OR=1.045,95%CI:1.021-1.070,P<0.05),comorbidity with hepatic encephalopathy(OR=2.269,95%CI:1.305-3.946,P<0.05),and comorbidity with acute kidney injury(OR=1.730,95%CI:0.990-3.023,P<0.05)were independent risk factors for 90-day death in ACLF patients with co-infection.The Pearson correlation analysis showed that SIRI was positively correlated with MELD-Na score(r=0.282,P<0.001)and Child-Pugh score(r=0.168,P<0.001).SIRI,MELD-Na score,and Child-Pugh score had an AUC of 0.855,0.734,and 0.690,respectively,in predicting 90-day death,and SIRI had a higher predictive efficiency than MELD-Na score and Child-Pugh score(Z=4.922 and 6.289,both P<0.001),with a sensitivity of 76.7%and a specificity of 82.9%.In addition,SIRI combined with MELD-Na score or Child-Pugh score improved the predictive efficiency of MELD-Na score(0.854 vs 0.734,Z=6.899,P<0.001)and Child-Pugh score(0.858 vs 0.690,Z=8.725,P<0.001).The patients with high SIRI(≥4.08)had a 90-day survival rate of 11.29%(36/319),which was significantly lower than that in the patients with low SIRI(<4.08)(χ2=225.24,P<0.001).Conclusion SIRI is an independent risk factor for death in ACLF patients with co-infection and has a good clinical value in predicting prognosis,with the advantages of convenience and low costs.
2.Clinical features of recompensation in autoimmune hepatitis-related decompensated cirrhosis and related predictive factors
Xiaolong LU ; Lin HAN ; Huan XIE ; Lilong YAN ; Xuemei MA ; Dongyan LIU ; Xun LI ; Qingsheng LIANG ; Zhengsheng ZOU ; Caizhe GU ; Ying SUN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(9):1808-1817
ObjectiveTo investigate the clinical features and outcomes of recompensation in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH)-related decompensated cirrhosis, to identify independent predictive factors, and to construct a nomogram prediction model for the probability of recompensation. MethodsA retrospective cohort study was conducted among the adult patients with AIH-related decompensated cirrhosis who were admitted to The Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital from January 2015 to August 2023 (n=211). The primary endpoint was achievement of recompensation, and the secondary endpoint was liver-related death or liver transplantation. According to the outcome of the patients at the end of the follow-up, the patients were divided into the recompensation group (n=16) and the persistent decompensation group(n=150).The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data with homogeneity of variance, and the Mann-Whitney U rank sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data with heterogeneity of variance; the chi-square test or the Fisher’s exact test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups; the Kaplan-Meier method was used for survival analysis; the Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to identify independent predictive factors, and a nomogram model was constructed and validated. ResultsA total of 211 patients were enrolled, with a median age of 55.0 years and a median follow-up time of 44.0 months, and female patients accounted for 87.2%. Among the 211 patients, 61 (with a cumulative proportion of 35.5%) achieved recompensation. Compared with the persistent decompensation group, the recompensation group had significantly higher white blood cell count, platelet count (PLT), total bilirubin (TBil), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), aspartate aminotransferase (AST), total bile acid, prothrombin time, international normalized ratio (INR), SMA positive rate, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, Child-Pugh score, and rate of use of glucocorticoids (all P0.05), as well as significantly lower age at baseline, number of complications, and death/liver transplantation rate (all P0.05). At 3 and 12 months after treatment, the recompensation group had continuous improvements in AST, TBil, INR, IgG, MELD score, and Child-Pugh score, which were significantly lower than the values in the persistent decompensation group (all P0.05), alongside with continuous increases in PLT and albumin, which were significantly higher than the values in the persistent decompensation group (P0.05). The multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that baseline ALT (hazard ratio [HR]=1.067, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.010 — 1.127, P=0.021), IgG (HR=0.463,95%CI:0.258 — 0.833, P=0.010), SMA positivity (HR=3.122,95%CI:1.768 — 5.515, P0.001), and glucocorticoid therapy (HR=20.651,95%CI:8.744 — 48.770, P0.001) were independent predictive factors for recompensation, and the nomogram model based on these predictive factors showed excellent predictive performance (C-index=0.87,95%CI:0.84 — 0.90). ConclusionAchieving recompensation significantly improves clinical outcomes in patients with AIH-related decompensated cirrhosis. Baseline SMA positivity, a high level of ALT, a low level of IgG, and corticosteroid therapy are independent predictive factors for recompensation. The predictive model constructed based on these factors can provide a basis for decision-making in individualized clinical management.
3.Analysis of the impact of tumor diameter on short-term prognosis in patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma-inducing acute-on-chronic liver failure
Yuhui PENG ; Jing CHEN ; Chen LI ; Chongdan GUAN ; Peng NING ; Hui LI ; Lilong YAN ; Yanhu WANG ; Haibin SU ; Xiaoyan LIU
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2025;33(11):1070-1079
Objective:To investigate the impact of the size of the liver tumor diameter on the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-inducing acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-HCC/ACLF).Method:A retrospective cohort study was conducted. Clinical data of patients with hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) diagnosed according to the Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASLT) guidelines who were admitted to the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital between January 2016 and January 2021 were collected. The patients were enrolled in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group (116 cases) and the HBV-ACLF group (348 cases). General information, medical history, biochemical parameters, complications, and liver cancer status were collected. Clinical data and prognoses at 28 days and 12 months of follow-up were compared between the two groups. Factors influencing mortality in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group were analyzed to determine the prognostic significance of tumor diameter. The t test, χ 2 test, and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to analyze factors influencing mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the sensitivity and specificity of tumor diameter for 28-day prognosis, and Kaplan-Meier curves were used for survival analysis. Result:There were statistically significant differences in the 28-day mortality rate [(55.17%, 64/116) vs. (38.51%, 134/348)] and 12-month mortality rate [(78.45%, 91/116) vs. (55.75%, 194/348)] between the HBV-HCC/ACLF group and the HBV-ACLF group ( P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve analysis for HBV-HCC/ACLF patients indicated that the tumor diameter was 0.707 (95% CI: 0.615-0.788). The survival group (52 cases) and the mortality group (64 cases) were divided into the HBV-HCC/ACLF group based on 28-day mortality. Univariate analysis showed that the levels of aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alkaline phosphatase, creatinine, alpha-fetoprotein, white blood cell count, international normalized ratio, model for end-stage liver disease score, acute kidney injury (AKI), the occurrence of infections and complications, and others were all significantly higher in the mortality group compared to the survival group ( P<0.05).The mortality group had a larger tumor diameter than the survival group ( P<0.01). The incidence of portal vein tumor thrombosis and distant liver cancer metastasis was also higher in the survival group ( P<0.01). The mortality group had a higher rate of HCC-related minimally invasive treatment within three months before ACLF diagnosis than the survival group ( P<0.01). AST levels, infection, size of tumor diameter, and minimally invasive treatment within three months before onset were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group. The optimal significant value for tumor diameter affecting prognosis was 3.3 cm, with a sensitivity of 67.19% and a specificity of 73.08%. Patients with liver tumor diameters >3.3 cm had significantly lower 28-day survival rates than those with a tumor diameter ≤3.3 cm [(24.56%, 14/57) vs. (64.41%, 38/59)]. Eighty case analyses had the same findings in patients who had not previously received any therapy. Conclusion:Patients with HBV-HCC/ACLF had a high 28-day mortality rate, and the size of the tumor diameter is important in determining the 28-day prognosis.
4.Short-term prognosis of patients with alcohol-related liver diseases-acute-on-chronic liver failure comorbid with infection
Yuhui PENG ; Jing CHEN ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Chen LI ; Manman SUN ; Peng NING ; Hui LI ; Lilong YAN ; Chongdan GUAN ; Haibin SU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(7):1388-1393
Objective To investigate the influencing factors for the short-term prognosis of patients with alcohol-related liver diseases-acute-on-chronic liver failure(ALD-ACLF)comorbid with infection.Methods A total of 89 ALD-ACLF patients with infection who were admitted to the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital from January 2019 to December 2021 were enrolled as subjects,and related clinical data were collected at baseline(time of patient enrollment).According to the 28-day survival status of patients,they were divided into survival group with 53 patients and death group with 36 patients,and baseline clinical data were compared between the two groups.The t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups,and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups;the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups.A non-conditional Logistic regression analysis was used to perform the multivariate analysis.The Z-test was used for comparison of the area under the ROC curve(AUC),and the diagnostic value of the model was assessed.Results Compared with the survival group,the death group had significantly higher hemoglobin(t=-2.397,P=0.019),alanine aminotransferase(Z=-3.437,P=0.001),gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase(Z=-2.617,P=0.009),creatinine(Z=-3.938,P<0.001),blood urea nitrogen(Z=-3.423,P=0.001),NH3(Z=-4.406,P<0.001),international normalized ratio(Z=-3.428,P=0.001),C-reactive protein(Z=-2.128,P=0.033),procalcitonin(Z=-2.441,P=0.015),Model for End-Stage Liver Disease(MELD)score(t=-4.817,P<0.001),incidence rate of acute kidney injury(χ2=21.602,P<0.001),incidence rate of pulmonary infection(χ2=4.866,P=0.027),and incidence rate of shock(χ2=16.285,P<0.001),as well as significantly lower albumin(Z=-2.473,P=0.013)and incidence rate of abdominal infection(χ2=5.897,P=0.015).The multivariate analysis showed that NH3(odds ratio[OR]=1.027,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.006-1.049,P=0.012),MELD score(OR=1.103,95%CI:1.011-1.203,P=0.027],and the incidence rate of shock(OR=6.326,95%CI:1.533-26.101,P=0.011)were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in ALD-ACLF patients comorbid with infection.Based on these factors,a predictive model was established as Y=0.027×NH3+0.098×MELD score+1.845×shock-4.111.The ROC curve analysis showed that the new model had an AUC of 0.861,a sensitivity of 77.78%,and a specificity of 88.68%,while MELD score had an AUC of 0.776,a sensitivity of 77.78%,and a specificity of 67.92%,suggesting that the new model had a significantly higher diagnostic value than MELD score(Z=2.136,P=0.032 6).Conclusion ALD-ACLF patients with infection tend to have a poor short-term prognosis,and MELD score,NH3,and shock are influencing factors for the short-term prognosis of such patients.The combination of these three factors has a high value in predicting short-term prognosis.
5.Short-term prognosis of patients with alcohol-related liver diseases-acute-on-chronic liver failure comorbid with infection
Yuhui PENG ; Jing CHEN ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Chen LI ; Manman SUN ; Peng NING ; Hui LI ; Lilong YAN ; Chongdan GUAN ; Haibin SU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(7):1388-1393
Objective To investigate the influencing factors for the short-term prognosis of patients with alcohol-related liver diseases-acute-on-chronic liver failure(ALD-ACLF)comorbid with infection.Methods A total of 89 ALD-ACLF patients with infection who were admitted to the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital from January 2019 to December 2021 were enrolled as subjects,and related clinical data were collected at baseline(time of patient enrollment).According to the 28-day survival status of patients,they were divided into survival group with 53 patients and death group with 36 patients,and baseline clinical data were compared between the two groups.The t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between groups,and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between groups;the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between groups.A non-conditional Logistic regression analysis was used to perform the multivariate analysis.The Z-test was used for comparison of the area under the ROC curve(AUC),and the diagnostic value of the model was assessed.Results Compared with the survival group,the death group had significantly higher hemoglobin(t=-2.397,P=0.019),alanine aminotransferase(Z=-3.437,P=0.001),gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase(Z=-2.617,P=0.009),creatinine(Z=-3.938,P<0.001),blood urea nitrogen(Z=-3.423,P=0.001),NH3(Z=-4.406,P<0.001),international normalized ratio(Z=-3.428,P=0.001),C-reactive protein(Z=-2.128,P=0.033),procalcitonin(Z=-2.441,P=0.015),Model for End-Stage Liver Disease(MELD)score(t=-4.817,P<0.001),incidence rate of acute kidney injury(χ2=21.602,P<0.001),incidence rate of pulmonary infection(χ2=4.866,P=0.027),and incidence rate of shock(χ2=16.285,P<0.001),as well as significantly lower albumin(Z=-2.473,P=0.013)and incidence rate of abdominal infection(χ2=5.897,P=0.015).The multivariate analysis showed that NH3(odds ratio[OR]=1.027,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.006-1.049,P=0.012),MELD score(OR=1.103,95%CI:1.011-1.203,P=0.027],and the incidence rate of shock(OR=6.326,95%CI:1.533-26.101,P=0.011)were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in ALD-ACLF patients comorbid with infection.Based on these factors,a predictive model was established as Y=0.027×NH3+0.098×MELD score+1.845×shock-4.111.The ROC curve analysis showed that the new model had an AUC of 0.861,a sensitivity of 77.78%,and a specificity of 88.68%,while MELD score had an AUC of 0.776,a sensitivity of 77.78%,and a specificity of 67.92%,suggesting that the new model had a significantly higher diagnostic value than MELD score(Z=2.136,P=0.032 6).Conclusion ALD-ACLF patients with infection tend to have a poor short-term prognosis,and MELD score,NH3,and shock are influencing factors for the short-term prognosis of such patients.The combination of these three factors has a high value in predicting short-term prognosis.
6.Clinical value of systemic inflammatory response index in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and co-infection
Hui LI ; Haibin SU ; Jinhua HU ; Chenhui SHI ; Chen LI ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Jing CHEN ; Lilong YAN ; Yuhui PENG ; Peng NING ; Chongdan GUAN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;41(8):1620-1626
Objective To investigate the application value of systemic inflammatory response index(SIRI)in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure(ACLF)and co-infection.Methods A retrospective analysis was performed for the clinical data of 579 ACLF patients with co-infection who were diagnosed and treated in The Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2014 to March 2016,including demographic features,laboratory markers,and complications,and SIRI,Model for End-Stage Liver Disease(MELD)score,MELD combined with serum sodium concentration(MELD-Na)score,and Child-Pugh score were calculated.According to the results of follow-up on day 90,the patients were divided into survival group with 210 patients and death group with 369 patients.The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the Mann-Whitney U rank sum test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the chi-square test were used for comparison of categorical data between two groups.The binary logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the independent risk factors for 90-day death.The receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve and the area under the ROC curve(AUC)were used to assess the performance of SIRI,MELD-Na score,and Child-Pugh score in predicting the prognosis of ACLF patients with co-infection.The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed based on the optimal cut-off value of SIRI.Results Among the 597 ACLF patients with co-infection,384(66.32%)had HBV-related ACLF and 114(19.69%)had alcohol-related ACLF;as for the main infection sites,316(54.58%)had abdominal infection and 133(22.97%)had pulmonary infection;the 90-day mortality rate was 63.73%.The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that SIRI(odds ratio[OR]=1.177,95%confidence interval[CI]:1.117-1.239,P<0.05),blood ammonia(OR=1.009,95%CI:1.001-1.018,P<0.05),MELD-Na score(OR=1.047,95%CI:1.016-1.080,P<0.05),Child-Pugh score(OR=1.351,95%CI:1.054-1.730,P<0.05),age(OR=1.045,95%CI:1.021-1.070,P<0.05),comorbidity with hepatic encephalopathy(OR=2.269,95%CI:1.305-3.946,P<0.05),and comorbidity with acute kidney injury(OR=1.730,95%CI:0.990-3.023,P<0.05)were independent risk factors for 90-day death in ACLF patients with co-infection.The Pearson correlation analysis showed that SIRI was positively correlated with MELD-Na score(r=0.282,P<0.001)and Child-Pugh score(r=0.168,P<0.001).SIRI,MELD-Na score,and Child-Pugh score had an AUC of 0.855,0.734,and 0.690,respectively,in predicting 90-day death,and SIRI had a higher predictive efficiency than MELD-Na score and Child-Pugh score(Z=4.922 and 6.289,both P<0.001),with a sensitivity of 76.7%and a specificity of 82.9%.In addition,SIRI combined with MELD-Na score or Child-Pugh score improved the predictive efficiency of MELD-Na score(0.854 vs 0.734,Z=6.899,P<0.001)and Child-Pugh score(0.858 vs 0.690,Z=8.725,P<0.001).The patients with high SIRI(≥4.08)had a 90-day survival rate of 11.29%(36/319),which was significantly lower than that in the patients with low SIRI(<4.08)(χ2=225.24,P<0.001).Conclusion SIRI is an independent risk factor for death in ACLF patients with co-infection and has a good clinical value in predicting prognosis,with the advantages of convenience and low costs.
7.Analysis of the impact of tumor diameter on short-term prognosis in patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma-inducing acute-on-chronic liver failure
Yuhui PENG ; Jing CHEN ; Chen LI ; Chongdan GUAN ; Peng NING ; Hui LI ; Lilong YAN ; Yanhu WANG ; Haibin SU ; Xiaoyan LIU
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2025;33(11):1070-1079
Objective:To investigate the impact of the size of the liver tumor diameter on the prognosis of patients with hepatitis B-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-inducing acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-HCC/ACLF).Method:A retrospective cohort study was conducted. Clinical data of patients with hepatitis B-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) diagnosed according to the Asia-Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASLT) guidelines who were admitted to the Fifth Medical Center of PLA General Hospital between January 2016 and January 2021 were collected. The patients were enrolled in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group (116 cases) and the HBV-ACLF group (348 cases). General information, medical history, biochemical parameters, complications, and liver cancer status were collected. Clinical data and prognoses at 28 days and 12 months of follow-up were compared between the two groups. Factors influencing mortality in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group were analyzed to determine the prognostic significance of tumor diameter. The t test, χ 2 test, and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to analyze factors influencing mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to assess the sensitivity and specificity of tumor diameter for 28-day prognosis, and Kaplan-Meier curves were used for survival analysis. Result:There were statistically significant differences in the 28-day mortality rate [(55.17%, 64/116) vs. (38.51%, 134/348)] and 12-month mortality rate [(78.45%, 91/116) vs. (55.75%, 194/348)] between the HBV-HCC/ACLF group and the HBV-ACLF group ( P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve analysis for HBV-HCC/ACLF patients indicated that the tumor diameter was 0.707 (95% CI: 0.615-0.788). The survival group (52 cases) and the mortality group (64 cases) were divided into the HBV-HCC/ACLF group based on 28-day mortality. Univariate analysis showed that the levels of aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alkaline phosphatase, creatinine, alpha-fetoprotein, white blood cell count, international normalized ratio, model for end-stage liver disease score, acute kidney injury (AKI), the occurrence of infections and complications, and others were all significantly higher in the mortality group compared to the survival group ( P<0.05).The mortality group had a larger tumor diameter than the survival group ( P<0.01). The incidence of portal vein tumor thrombosis and distant liver cancer metastasis was also higher in the survival group ( P<0.01). The mortality group had a higher rate of HCC-related minimally invasive treatment within three months before ACLF diagnosis than the survival group ( P<0.01). AST levels, infection, size of tumor diameter, and minimally invasive treatment within three months before onset were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in the HBV-HCC/ACLF group. The optimal significant value for tumor diameter affecting prognosis was 3.3 cm, with a sensitivity of 67.19% and a specificity of 73.08%. Patients with liver tumor diameters >3.3 cm had significantly lower 28-day survival rates than those with a tumor diameter ≤3.3 cm [(24.56%, 14/57) vs. (64.41%, 38/59)]. Eighty case analyses had the same findings in patients who had not previously received any therapy. Conclusion:Patients with HBV-HCC/ACLF had a high 28-day mortality rate, and the size of the tumor diameter is important in determining the 28-day prognosis.
8.Analysis of the clinical predictive value of lactate on the prognosis of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure combined with infection
Hui LI ; Haibin SU ; Yonggang WANG ; Lilong YAN ; Yuhui PENG ; Chen LI ; Xiaoyan LIU ; Jinhua HU ; Peng NING ; Chongdan GUAN
Chinese Journal of Hepatology 2023;31(3):300-306
Objective:To explore the predictive value of lactic acid for the adverse prognostic outcomes in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure combined with infection.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 208 cases of ACLF combined with infection who were hospitalized from January 2014 to March 2016. Patients were divided into a survival group ( n = 83) and a mortality group ( n = 125) according to the results of a 90-day follow-up. The clinical data were statistically analyzed between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression with two categorical variables was used to analyze the independent risk factors for 90-day disease mortality and establish a new prediction model. The receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC curve) was used to evaluate the predictive value of lactic acid, the MELD score, the MELD-Na score, lactic acid combined with the MELD score, lactic acid combined with the MELD-Na score, and the new model. Results:The 90-day mortality rate of 208 cases of ACLF combined with infection was 60.1%. There were statistically significant differences in white blood cell count, neutrophil count, total bilirubin (TBil), serum creatinine (Cr), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), blood ammonia, the international normalized ratio (INR), lactic acid (LAC), procalcitonin, the MELD score, the MELD-Na score, hepatic encephalopathy (HE), acute kidney injury (AKI), and bleeding between the two groups. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that TBil, INR, LAC, HE, and bleeding were independent risk factors for 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF combined with infection. After the establishment of MELD-LAC, MELD-Na-LAC, and a new prediction model, the ROC curve revealed that the AUC (95% confidence interval) of MELD-LAC and MELD-Na LAC were 0.819 (0.759 ~ 0.870) and 0.838 (0.780 ~ 0.886), respectively, and was superior than the MELD score [0.766 (0.702 ~ 0.823)] and MELD-Na score [0.788 (0.726 ~ 0.843)], with P < 0.05, while the new model had an AUC of 0.924, the sensitivity of 83.9%, specificity of 89.9%, and accuracy of 87.8%, which was higher than LAC, MELD score, MELD-Na score, MELD-LAC, and MELD-Na-LAC ( P < 0.01). Conclusion:Lactic acid is an independent risk factor for mortality in patients with ACLF combined with infection, and it improves the clinical predictive value of MELD and MELD-Na for the prognosis of mortality.
9.Fundus tessellation segmentation and quantization based on the deep convolution neural network
Zhen GUO ; Lingzhi CHEN ; Lilong WANG ; Chuanfeng LYU ; Guotong XIE ; Yan GAO ; Jun LI
Chinese Journal of Ocular Fundus Diseases 2022;38(2):114-119
Objective:To propose automatic measurement of global and local tessellation density on color fundus images based on a deep convolutional neural network (DCNN) method.Methods:An applied study. An artificial intelligence (AI) database was constructed, which contained 1 005 color fundus images captured from 1 024 eyes of 514 myopic patients in the Northern Hospital of Qingdao Eye Hospital from May to July, 2021. The images were preprocessed by using RGB color channel re-calibration method (CCR algorithm), CLAHE algorithm based on Lab color space, Retinex algorithm for multiple iterative illumination estimation, and multi-scale Retinex algorithm. The effects on the segmentation of tessellation by adopting the abovemetioned image enhancement methods and utilizing the Dice, Edge Overlap Rate and clDice loss were compared and observed. The tessellation segmentation model for extracting the tessellated region in the full fundus image as well as the tissue detection model for locating the optic disc and macular fovea were built up. Then, the fundus tessellation density (FTD), macular tessellation density (MTD) and peripapillary tessellation density (PTD) were calculated automatically.Results:When applying CCR algorithm for image preprocessing and the training losses combination strategy, the Dice coefficient, accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and Jordan index for fundus tessellation segmentation were 0.723 4, 94.25%, 74.03%, 96.00% and 70.03%, respectively. Compared with the manual annotations, the mean absolute errors and root mean square errors of FTD, MTD, PTD automatically measured by the model were 0.014 3, 0.020 7, 0.026 7 and 0.017 8, 0.032 3, 0.036 5, respectively.Conclusion:The DCNN-based segmentation and detection method can automatically measure the tessellation density in the global and local regions of the fundus of myopia patients, which can more accurately assist clinical monitoring and evaluation of the impact of fundus tessellation changes on the development of myopia.
10.Clinical features of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure and bacterial infection and influencing factors for prognosis
Xiaoyan LIU ; Jinhua HU ; Chen LI ; Jing CHEN ; Jingjing TONG ; Chongdan GUAN ; Yuhui PENG ; Peng NING ; Lilong YAN ; Haibin SU
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2021;37(9):2148-2152.
ObjectiveTo investigate the clinical features of infection in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and bacterial infection and the influencing factors for 90-day survival rate. MethodsThe patients with ACLF who were admitted to The Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2014 to December 2015 were enrolled, and related clinical data were collected and analyzed, including infection time and site, microbial culture, biochemical parameters and inflammatory markers, and 28- and 90-day prognosis after infection. The t-test or the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of continuous data between two groups, and the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. The life-table method was used to plot survival curves. The indices affecting prognosis in the univariate analysis were further included in the multivariate logistic regression analysis. ResultsA total of 1074 patients with ACLF were admitted, among whom 609 had bacterial infection, and the incidence rate of bacterial infection was 567%. Among these 609 patients, 16 underwent liver transplantation within 90 days and related data statistics were obtained for the remaining 593 patients. As for infection site, among the patients with infection, 70.15% had abdominal infection, 41.15% had pulmonary infection, 11.97% had sepsis, 5.40% had urinary system infection, 4.89% had thoracic infection, and 8.6% had infection at other sites. Among the patients with infection, 64.76% had infection at a single site. The positive rates of microbial culture of ascites, phlegm, urine, and pleural effusion were 22.70%, 52.82%, 40.63%, and 35.71%, respectively. Escherichia coli was the most common bacterium in ascites and accounted for 43.82%; Klebsiella pneumoniae, Pseudomonas aeruginosa, and Acinetobacter baumannii accounted for 22.67%, 2400%, and 22.67%, respectively, in phlegm; Escherichia coli, Klebsiella pneumoniae, and Staphylococcaceae accounted for 33.80%, 29.58%, and 15.49%, respectively, in blood culture. The 90-day survival rate after infection was 38.11% (226/593) in the patients with ACLF, and the multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age (P=0.006), stage of hepatic encephalopathy (HE) (P<0001), stage of liver failure (P<0.001), and acute kidney injury (AKI) (P<0.001) were independent risk factors for 90-day survival in patients with ACLF and infection. ConclusionThere is a high incidence rate of infection in patients with ACLF. The 90-day survival rate is relatively low, and the presence of AKI, HE stage III or above, and advanced liver failure may indicate poor prognosis.

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