1.Comparison of the effects of three time series models in predicting the trend of erythrocyte blood demand
Yajuan QIU ; Jianping ZHANG ; Jia LUO ; Peilin LI ; Mengzhuo LUO ; Qiongying LI ; Ge LIU ; Qing LEI ; Kai LIAO
Chinese Journal of Blood Transfusion 2025;38(2):257-262
[Objective] To analyse and predict the tendencies of using erythrocyte blood in Changsha based on the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, long short-term memory (LSTM) and ARIMA-LSTM combination model, so as to provide reliable basis for designing a feasible and effective blood inventory management strategy. [Methods] The data of erythrocyte usage from hospitals in Changsha between January 2012 and December 2023 were collected, and ARIMA model, LSTM model and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were established. The actual erythrocyte consumption from January to May 2024 were used to assess and verify the prediction effect of the models. The extrapolation prediction accuracy of the models were tested using two evaluation indicators: mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE), and then the prediction performance of the model was compared. [Results] The RMSE of LSTM model, optimal model ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)12 and ARIMA-LSTM combination model were respectively 5 206.66, 3 096.43 and 2 745.75, and the MAPE were 18.78%,11.54% and 9.76% respectively, which indicated that the ARIMA-LSTM combination model was more accurate than the ARIMA model and LSTM model, and the prediction results was basically consistent with the actual situation. [Conclusion] The ARIMA-LSTM model can better predict the clinical erythrocyte consumption in Changsha in the short term.
2.Epidemiological survey on pubertal developmental characteristics of primary school students in Yangzhou City
DOU Chengyin, ZHANG Lei, GE Baojin, WANG Lei
Chinese Journal of School Health 2025;46(7):1019-1022
Objective:
To investigate the timing of puberty onset among primary school students, so as to provide the reference data for early identification of children with suspected precocious puberty.
Methods:
A study was conducted from October 23 to November 7, 2023, involving 10 225 students(5 412 boys, 4 813 girls) from grade 1 to 6 of four campuses in Meiling Primary School in Yangzhou. Breast development in girls and external genitalia in boys was assessed via visual inspection and palpation, with pubertal stages classified using the Tanner staging method. Puberty onset timing was determined based on age/sex reference values from Chinese Han children s pubertal milestone indicators. Descriptive analysis was performed using SPSS 26.0.
Results:
The median age for testicular volume reaching 4 mL in boys was 10.49 years, while the median age for breast development onset in girls was 9.70 years. Among boys with testicular volume ≥4 mL, 16.6%( n =217) were identified as suspected early puberty cases; among girls with Tanner stage Ⅱ and Ⅲ, 123(9.4%) and 165(18.5%) showed earlier breast development than the reference range. Overall, 14.4% of students exhibited suspected precocious puberty.
Conclusion
The onset age of puberty for girls in primary schools of Yangzhou aligns with findings from other regions, while boys show earlier pubertal initiation.
3.Epidemiological characteristics of scrub typhus in Huai'an, Jiangsu Province in 2006 - 2024
Lei XU ; Zhizhen CUI ; Qiang GAO ; Hao JU ; Chuanyu WAN ; Ranfeng HANG ; Shiyao WU ; Ben CAI ; Zheng ZHANG ; Haiyan GE
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2025;36(6):39-42
Objective To describe and analyze the epidemiological characteristics of scrub typhus in Huai'an, Jiangsu Province from 2006 to 2024 and explore the long-term incidence trend and distribution of high-risk areas, and to formulate targeted prevention and control strategies. Methods The scrub typhus case report data of Huai'an from 2006 to 2024 in the Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System were extracted for descriptive analysis. Results A total of 898 cases of scrub typhus were reported in Huai'an, with an average annual incidence rate of 0.96 per 100 000 from 2006 to 2024. There was a turning point in the incidence trend of scrub typhus in 2011. From 2006 to 2011, the annual percentage change (APC) was 47.09% (95% CI: 7.53 - 859.39), and the upward trend was statistically significant (P < 0.05). From 2012 to 2024, the APC was -2.12% (95% CI: -29.09 - 3.75), and the downward trend was not statistically significant. October and November were the high-incidence months, and the total concentration from 2006 to 2024 was 0.93, indicating that scrub typhus had strict seasonality. The circular distribution method estimated that the peak period of the epidemic was from October 11th to November 25th, and the peak day of incidence was November 3rd. Jinhu County was a high-incidence area. The ratio of male to female cases was 1.03. The age group with the highest reported incidence was 40 to < 80 years old. The occupation with the highest proportion was farmers, accounting for 78.03%. Conclusion From 2006 to 2024, scrub typhus in Huai'an shows a peak every 3 - 4 years. Middle-aged and elderly farmers are the key population at risk, and Jinhu County is a key area. In the future, targeted health education should be carried out to effectively control the prevalence of scrub typhus.
4.Reflection and recommendation on the current status of acupuncture direction selection and reporting.
Hongbo JIA ; Yibing LI ; Kangchen LEI ; Wenyi GE ; Wei LIU ; Songjiao LI ; Shuwen SHI ; Yutong DONG ; Congcong MA ; Li LI ; Jian LIU ; Xiaonong FAN
Chinese Acupuncture & Moxibustion 2025;45(8):1187-1194
The randomized controlled trials (RCTs) regarding acupuncture direction published from January 1st, 2013, to November 7th, 2023 were searched in China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), Wanfang Data Knowledge Service Platform, and VIP Chinese Journal Database. As a result, 21 RCTs were included. The problems identified included conceptual misunderstandings regarding acupuncture direction, incomplete selection strategies, confounding research factors, and inaccuracies in reporting. Based on the findings, four strategic approaches for enhancing therapeutic efficacy through acupuncture direction were summarized: aligning needle direction with the meridian pathway, directing the needle toward the lesion site, orienting the needle toward adjacent acupoints, and targeting special anatomical structures. Two additional strategies were proposed for optimizing the procedure: simplifying acupuncture operations and directing the needle toward safe anatomical sites. Recommendations were made to improve the rationality of research factor settings and the completeness of acupuncture operation reporting. Furthermore, three methods for reporting acupuncture direction were discussed: reporting the tip-pointed position, reporting the insertion angle and orientation, and reporting azimuth and polar angles, aiming to promote greater standardization and completeness in acupuncture practice and reporting.
Acupuncture Therapy/standards*
;
Humans
;
Acupuncture Points
;
Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
;
Meridians
5.Effects of dietary supplements on patients with osteoarthritis: A systematic review and network meta-analysis.
Chang-Shun CHEN ; Lei WEN ; Fei YANG ; Yong-Cheng DENG ; Jian-Hua JI ; Rong-Jin CHEN ; Zhong CHEN ; Ge CHEN ; Jin-Yi GU
Journal of Integrative Medicine 2025;23(4):357-369
BACKGROUND:
A growing body of research is exploring the role of antioxidant and anti-inflammatory dietary supplements in the treatment of osteoarthritis, highlighting an increasing emphasis on non-pharmacological interventions. Although more patients are turning to supplements to manage osteoarthritis, their actual effectiveness remains uncertain.
OBJECTIVE:
This study aims to provide a comprehensive evaluation of the available evidence concerning the efficacy of various dietary supplements in osteoarthritis treatment.
SEARCH STRATEGY:
We searched PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library and Web of Science for studies on the use of various dietary supplements in the treatment of osteoarthritis from the creation of each database until Jan 20, 2025.
INCLUSION CRITERIA:
(1) Research object: osteoarthritis. (2) Intervention measures: patients in the treatment group received dietary supplements, while the control group received placebos. (3) Research type: randomized controlled trials (RCTs).
DATA EXTRACTION AND ANALYSIS:
Two researchers independently examined the literature and retrieved data based on predefined criteria. The information gathered included the first author, year of publication, sample size, participant demographics, length of the follow-up period, intervention and control measures, and inclusion indications. RCTs comparing dietary supplements to placebo with the pain and function subscales of the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC) among patients with osteoarthritis were included. The optimal dietary supplement was identified based on the total ranking by summing the surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) of these two scores. Furthermore, the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation (GRADE) was used to confirm the quality of the evidence.
RESULTS:
Overall, 23 studies covering 21 dietary supplements and involving 2455 participants met the inclusion criteria. In the WOMAC pain score, the SUCRA of passion fruit peel extract was 91% (mean difference [MD]: -9.2; 95% confidence interval [CI]: [-16.0, -2.3]), followed by methylsulfonylmethane (89%), undenatured type II collagen (87%), collagen (84%), and Lanconone (82%). The SUCRA (99%) of passion fruit peel extract (MD: -41.0; 95% CI: [-66.0, -16.0]) ranked first in terms of the WOMAC function score, followed by Lanconone (95%), collagen (86%), ParActin (84%), and Lactobacillus casei strain Shirota (83%). The top three total rankings are passion fruit peel extract (95.0%), Lanconone (88.5%), and collagen (85.0%). However, the GRADE revealed low evidence quality.
CONCLUSION
Passion fruit peel extract was the best supplement for improving WOMAC pain and function scores in patients with osteoarthritis, followed by Lanconone and collagen. However, further large-scale, well designed RCTs are required to substantiate these promising findings. Please cite this article as: Chen CS, Wen L, Yang F, Deng YC, Ji JH, Chen RJ, Chen Z, Chen G, Gu JY. Effects of dietary supplements on patients with osteoarthritis: A systematic review and network meta-analysis. J Integr Med. 2025; 23(4): 357-369.
Humans
;
Dietary Supplements
;
Osteoarthritis/drug therapy*
;
Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
6.Comprehensive Analysis of Oncogenic, Prognostic, and Immunological Roles of FANCD2 in Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Potential Predictor for Survival and Immunotherapy.
Meng Jiao XU ; Wen DENG ; Ting Ting JIANG ; Shi Yu WANG ; Ru Yu LIU ; Min CHANG ; Shu Ling WU ; Ge SHEN ; Xiao Xue CHEN ; Yuan Jiao GAO ; Hongxiao HAO ; Lei Ping HU ; Lu ZHANG ; Yao LU ; Wei YI ; Yao XIE ; Ming Hui LI
Biomedical and Environmental Sciences 2025;38(3):313-327
OBJECTIVE:
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is sensitive to ferroptosis, a new form of programmed cell death that occurs in most tumor types. However, the mechanism through which ferroptosis modulates HCC remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate the oncogenic role and prognostic value of FANCD2 and provide novel insights into the prognostic assessment and prediction of immunotherapy.
METHODS:
Using clinicopathological parameters and bioinformatic techniques, we comprehensively examined the expression of FANCD2 macroscopically and microcosmically. We conducted univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses to identify the prognostic value of FANCD2 in HCC and elucidated the detailed molecular mechanisms underlying the involvement of FANCD2 in oncogenesis by promoting iron-related death.
RESULTS:
FANCD2 was significantly upregulated in digestive system cancers with abundant immune infiltration. As an independent risk factor for HCC, a high FANCD2 expression level was associated with poor clinical outcomes and response to immune checkpoint blockade. Gene set enrichment analysis revealed that FANCD2 was mainly involved in the cell cycle and CYP450 metabolism.
CONCLUSION
To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to comprehensively elucidate the oncogenic role of FANCD2. FANCD2 has a tumor-promoting aspect in the digestive system and acts as an independent risk factor in HCC; hence, it has recognized value for predicting tumor aggressiveness and prognosis and may be a potential biomarker for poor responsiveness to immunotherapy.
Humans
;
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular/diagnosis*
;
Liver Neoplasms/diagnosis*
;
Immunotherapy
;
Fanconi Anemia Complementation Group D2 Protein/metabolism*
;
Prognosis
;
Male
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Biomarkers, Tumor/metabolism*
7.Analysis on the diagnostic efficacy of different VMIs of DECT imaging for coracoclavicular ligament injury
Chao LIU ; Qian LUO ; Renbin GE ; Qinqin YU ; Lei ZHANG
China Medical Equipment 2025;22(2):31-36
Objective:To compare and analyze the parameters of image quality of virtual mono-energetic images(VMIs)and conventional computed tomography(CT)images of dual-energy CT(DECT)imaging for the coracoclavicular ligament,and to optimize the image quality of DECT imaging for coracoclavicular ligament.Methods:The DECT image data of shoulder joints of 50 patients who received DECT scan in the First People's Hospital Affiliated to Shanghai Jiao Tong University were retrospectively analyzed.450 VMIs at energy levels of 40 to 120 keV were obtained through the Syngo.via VB20 workstation,and these VMIs were divided into three groups:low energy level(40,50,60 keV),medium energy level(70,80,90 keV),and high energy level(100,110,120 keV).The contrast-to-noise ratio(CNR),the direction of coracoclavicular ligament's rows,and the displayed subjective quality scores of attachment points of VMIs were compared with those of conventional CT images.The results of MRI examination were used as the"gold standard"to assess the effectiveness of VMIs in diagnosing coracoclavicular ligament injuries of patients with acromioclavicular joint dislocation.The diagnostic efficacies of VMIs'the three groups and conventional images were assessed by using receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve.Results:The CNR values of diagonal ligament and conical ligament at 40 keV of low energy level group of VMIs for coracoclavicular ligament were respectively 14.09±3.27 and 13.9±3.06,and those of medium energy level group were respectively 11.89±4.01 and 12.17±4.08,and those of high energy level were respectively 9.69±4.25 and 9.78±4.33.The CNR value of low energy level group was significantly higher than that of medium and high energy level groups,and the differences were statistically significant(t=21.1,16.3,P<0.05),respectively.The results of ROC curve analysis indicated that the sensitivity,specificity and area under curve(AUC)value of the low energy level group were relatively higher in diagnosing coracoclavicular ligament injury,which were respectively 90.05%,91.95%and 0.965.There was high consistence in assessing coracoclavicular ligament injury between DECT's VMIs and MRI examination(Kappa=0.896).Conclusion:DECT's VMIs can better display the rows and attachment points of diagonal ligament and conical ligament,and the VMIs quality at low energy level(40 to 70 keV)is the best,which has better diagnostic efficacy in diagnosing coracoclavicular ligament injury.
8.Singular value decomposition combined with block-matching and three-dimensional filtering for improving imaging quality of contrast-enhanced ultrasound
Huarong YE ; Chen LIU ; Haiman HU ; Yumeng LEI ; Qi WANG ; Ge ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Medical Imaging Technology 2025;41(10):1720-1724
Objective To observe the value of singular value decomposition(SVD)combined with block-matching and three-dimensional(BM3D)filtering for improving imaging quality of contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS).Methods Three subject who would undergo liver,kidney and ovarian CEUS examination respectively were prospectively enrolled,and 250 images unaffected by respiratory movements were acquired in each one.SVD filtering was performed alone and combined with BM3D filtering,and contrast-to-tissue ratio(CTR),contrast-to-noise ratio(CNR)and signal-to-noise ratio(SNR)of the obtained CEUS images were calculated and compared.Results Compared with original CEUS images,CTR,CNR and SNR of SVD alone filtered CEUS images improved,which all further improved after combining with BM3D filtering.Conclusion SVD combined with BM3D filtering could significantly suppress the background tissue signals and remove noise,improving imaging quality of CEUS.
9.Surgical treatment strategy of thyroid cancer complicated with primary hyperparathyroidism
Anran DU ; Lei AN ; Changsheng TENG ; Zhicheng GE ; Zhongtao ZHANG ; Guoqian DING
China Modern Doctor 2025;63(22):31-35
Objective To explore the surgical treatment strategy for patients with thyroid cancer complicated with primary hyperparathyroidism(PHPT).Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on the case data of thyroid cancer patients who underwent surgical treatment at Beijing Friendship Hospital,Capital Medical University from January 2016 to January 2022.Among them,22 patients with PHPT were included in study group,and 44 patients were randomly selected from thyroid cancer patients during the same period at a ratio of 1∶2 and included in control group.The operation time,intraoperative blood loss,hospital stay and occurrence of complications of two groups of patients were compared.Results The operation time of patients in study group was significantly longer than that in control group(P<0.01).There was no statistically significant difference in intraoperative blood loss and hospital stay between two groups of patients(P>0.05).There were 5 cases of temporary hypocalcemia in study group,12 cases of temporary hypocalcemia and 1 case of incision infection in control group.There was no statistically significant difference in incidence of postoperative complications between two groups of patients(P>0.05).Conclusion Thyroid cancer complicated with PHPT increases the complexity of treatment.Through adequate preoperative diagnosis and reasonable surgical treatment strategies,the risks of secondary surgery and postoperative complications can be effectively reduced,and the prognosis of patients can be improved.
10.Study on the causal relationship between gut microbiota and giant cell arteritis and its treatment strategies based on mendelian randomization and bioinformatics
Zhouxuan LEI ; Zheming XIONG ; Jingxin GE ; Ling YE ; Hui ZHANG ; Xiankui SHU ; Yanfang YANG ; Hezhen WU ; Bo LIU
Chinese Journal of Rheumatology 2025;29(1):38-47
Objective:To explore the relationship between gut microbiota and giant cell arteritis (GCA), and to identifyits potential therapeutic strategies.Methods:Gut microbiota data were obtained from the MiBioGen consortium genome-wide association study (GWAS), and GCA data were obtained from the FinnGen consortium public GWAS. Causal associations between gut microbiota and GCA were assessed using two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses, including inverse-variance weighted (IVW), weighted median, MR-Egger regression, simple mode, and weighted mode methods. Heterogeneity and horizontal pleiotropy were evaluated, and false positive results were excluded by using the Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) method of multiple hypothesis testing. All analyses were completed using the TwoSampleMR and MRPRESSO software packages (version 4.3.0) in R language. The analysis of the intestinal flora data, followed by conducting network pharmacology analysis were carried out by Cytoscape 3.9.1 and perform molecular docking verification was performed with AutoDock Vina software.Results:IVW simulations revealed 13 gut microbiota taxa were associated with GCA, of which Lachnospiraceae was significantly negatively associated with GCA risk[nSNP=16, OR(95% CI)=0.32(0.16, 0.63), β=-1.15, Se=0.35, P=0.001, FDR<0.05], and there was no heterogeneity (Cochran′s Q test, Q=13.42, P=0.490) as well as horizontal pleiotropy ( P=0.370). Further literature search and computer simulation docking analysis showed that genistein binds to MMP2 with a binding energy of -43.1 kJ/mol. Conclusion:Lachnospiraceae in the gut microbiota was is negatively associated with GCA, and genistein may be able to regulate the abundance of Lachnospiraceae through the MMP2 target to treat GCA, providing a new therapeutic approach for giant cell arteritis.


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