1.Trends in incidence and mortality of acute myocardial infarction in Xiaoshan District, Hangzhou City from 2017 to 2023
Yuanyuan GAO ; Fenjuan WANG ; Dongfei WANG ; Yurong LI ; Yuanyuan JIANG ; Fangfang ZHAO ; Duanduan XIAO ; Junying LIN
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(3):249-254
ObjectiveTo analyze the incidence rate and mortality of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and their changing trends among the registered residents in Xiaoshan District, Hangzhou City from 2017 to 2023, so as to provide references for formulating policies related to AMI prevention. MethodsThe morbidity and mortality data of AMI among the registered residents in Xiaoshan District from 2017 to 2023 were collected through the Hangzhou Chronic Disease and Death Cause Monitoring System. Software such as Excel 2019, SPSS 25.0 and Joinpoint 4.9.1.0 were used to calculate the incidence rate, mortality, and average annual percentage change (AAPC) of AMI. ResultsFrom 2017 to 2023, the average annual crude incidence rate, age-standardized incidence rate using China standard population (ASIRC), and the age-standardized incidence rate using World standard population (ASIRW) of AMI in Xiaoshan District were 48.25/100 000, 29.14/100 000, and 21.64/100 000, respectively, and, from which the AAPCs were 5.495%, 6.010%, and 6.533%, respectively, all showing an upward trend. The average annual crude mortality rate, the age-standardized mortality rate using China standard population (ASMRC), and the age-standardized mortality rate using World standard population (ASMRW) were 11.76/100 000, 6.52/100 000, and 4.71/100 000, respectively, from which the AAPCs were -9.669%, -10.433% and -9.615%, respectively, all showing a downward trend. The average annual crude incidence rate of AMI was higher in males (65.87/100 000) than that in females (31.31/100 000). Moreover, the average annual crude mortality rate of AMI was higher in males (14.08/100 000) than that in females (9.52/100 000), and the difference was statistically significant (all P<0.001) .After age grouping, the crude incidence rate of AMI among the residents aged 35-, 45-, 55-, and 65- years in Xiaoshan District from 2017 to 2023 showed an upward trend over time, with AAPCs of 16.993%, 17.149%, 8.523%, and 5.002%, respectively. While the crude mortality rate in residents aged 35-, 75-, and 85-102 years showed an decreasing trend over time, with AAPCs of -23.977%, -15.467%, and -17.415%, respectively, but there was no statistically significant difference in the trends in incidence rate and mortality of other age groups (all P>0.05). ConclusionThe situation of AMI prevention and control among the registered residents in Xiaoshan District is not optimistic, and targeted measures should be strengthened for the male residents aged ≥35 years old.
2.Trend in incidence of colorectal cancer in Xiaoshan District from 2010 to 2024
LI Yurong ; WANG Dongfei ; GAO Yuanyuan ; JIANG Yuanyuan ; LIN Junying ; XIAO Duanduan
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(9):927-931,936
Objective:
To analyze the incidence trend of colorectal cancer in Xiaoshan District, Hangzhou City from 2010 to 2024, and predict the incidence of colorectal cancer from 2025 to 2027, so as to provide the evidence for improving the prevention and control strategies of colorectal cancer.
Methods:
Colorectal cancer incidence data from 2010 to 2024 in Xiaoshan District were collected through the Hangzhou Municipal Chronic Disease Monitoring Management System. The crude incidence of colorectal cancer was calculated, and standardized using the data from the Sixth National Population Census in 2010 (Chinese standardized rate) and the Segi's world standard population (world standardized rate). The trend of colorectal cancer incidence from 2010 to 2024 was analyzed using the average annual percent change (AAPC). An exponential smoothing state space model with trigonometric seasonality, box-cox transformation, ARMA errors, trend and seasonal components (TBATS) was established to forecast the crude incidence of colorectal cancer from 2025 to 2027.
Results:
There were 10 726 new cases of colorectal cancer in Xiaoshan District from 2010 to 2024. The crude incidence, Chinese standardized rate, and world standardized rate of colorectal cancer were 59.25/100 000, 38.62/100 000 and 29.50/100 000, respectively. The crude incidence, Chinese standardized rate, and world standardized rate of colorectal cancer in males were 70.56/100 000, 44.44/100 000and 35.58/100 000, respectively, while those in females were 48.37/100 000, 32.69/100 000 and 23.70/100 000, respectively. The Chinese standardized rate of colorectal cancer was significantly higher in males than in females (P<0.05). The crude incidence of colorectal cancer in males, females and the whole population showed upward trends from 2010 to 2024 (AAPC=4.916%, 3.795% and 4.442%, all P<0.05). The crude incidence of colorectal cancer in the groups of 0-<35, 35-<50, 50-<75 and ≥75 years were 1.75/100 000, 19.86/100 000, 112.28/100 000 and 272.99/100 000, respectively, showing an increasing trend with age (P<0.05). From 2010 to 2024, the crude incidence of colorectal cancer in the ≥75 years group showed an increasing trend (AAPC=4.470%, P<0.05), while no significant trend was observed in other age groups (all P>0.05). TBATS model demonstrated good fitting (predictive) performance, indicating a year-by-year increase in the crude incidence of colorectal cancer across the whole population from 2025 to 2027, with an estimated rate reaching 70.45/100 000 in 2027.
Conclusions
The crude incidence of colorectal cancer in Xiaoshan District showed an increasing trend from 2010 to 2024, and it is predicted to continue to increase from 2025 to 2027. Males and the elderly are the key populations for colorectal cancer prevention and control.
3.The incidence and mortality trend of breast cancer among women with registered residence in Xiaoshan District of Hangzhou City in Zhejiang Province from 2014 to 2023
Junying LIN ; Yuanyuan GAO ; Dongfei WANG ; Yurong LI
Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(12):998-1002
ObjectiveTo analyze the trend of incidence, mortality rate and survival rate of breast cancer among women with registered residence in Xiaoshan District of Hangzhou City in Zhejiang Province from 2014 to 2023, and to provide a basis for improving breast cancer prevention and control strategies. MethodsData on the incidence and mortality of breast cancer among women with registered residence in Xiaoshan District from 2014 to 2023 were collected through Zhejiang Chronic Disease Monitoring and Management System. The crude incidence and mortality rate, as well as the age-standardized incidence and mortality rate using both the 2000 Chinese standard population (abbreviated as “Chinese ASR”) and Segi’s 1960 world standard population (“world ASR”) were calculated. Joinpoint model was employed to analyze the trends in incidence and mortality rate, while R software (version 4.1.1) was used to analyze the 5-year relative survival rate to assess the survival status of breast cancer patients. ResultsFrom 2014 to 2023, the crude incidence rate, the Chinese age-standardized incidence rate (ASIRC) and the world age-standardized incidence rate (ASIRW) of breast cancer among women with registered residence in Xiaoshan District were from 70.00/100 000 to 128.35/100 000, from 52.92/100 000 to 94.29/100 000, and from 40.82/100 000 to 72.07/100 000, respectively, with the corresponding average annual percentage changes (AAPC) of 5.80%, 4.63% and 4.71%, respectively, showing a significant increasing trend over the decade (all P<0.05). The incidence rate of breast cancer among people aged 30‒<40 years old or 50‒<75 years old exhibited a significant increase trend from 2014 to 2023 (all P<0.05). The crude mortality rate of breast cancer in female was from 7.75/100 000 to 12.34/100 000, the ASMRC of breast cancer in female was from 4.62/100 000 to 7.53/100 000, and the ASMRW of breast cancer in female was from 3.58/100 000 to 5.71/100 000, and the AAPC had no statistically significance. However, the mortality rate of breast cancer was increased with age (P<0.001). The 5-year age-standardized relative survival rate of breast cancer in female in Xiaoshan District was significantly higher in the 2016‒2018 period (94.46%) compared to the 2013‒2015 period (91.02%) (P<0.05). ConclusionFrom 2014 to 2023, the annual incidence of breast cancer among women with registered residence in Xiaoshan District of Hangzhou City in Zhejiang Province showed an increasing trend, while the change in mortality rate was not statistically significant. The 5-year survival rate of breast cancer in female was at a high level, indicating notable achievements in comprehensive prevention and control efforts. It is essential to continue to strengthen public awareness campaigns for breast cancer prevention and control, control breast cancer risk factors, actively carry out early diagnosis and treatment of breast cancer among target groups, and improve the quality of life for breast cancer patients.
4.Summary of the best evidence for the management of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma receiving hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy
Yan JI ; Yi WANG ; Xin LIN ; Junying HUANG ; Qian ZHONG ; Meng WANG ; Li LI
Journal of Interventional Radiology 2025;34(8):888-893
Objective To evaluate and summarize the best evidence for the management of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)receiving hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy(HAIC),so as to provide evidence-based basis for guiding clinical nursing practice.Methods According to the"6S"evidence model,a computerized retrieval of domestic and foreign academic papers concerning the management of HCC patients receiving HAIC,including guidelines,clinical decisions,systematic evaluation,evidence summaries,expert consensus and relevant high-quality original studies,from the databases was conducted.The retrieval time period was from the establishment of the database to January 2025.Two researchers independently assessed the quality of literature and extracted evidence.Results A total of 13 articles,including one guideline,one evidence summary,4 expert consensus documents,4 randomized controlled trials(RCT),2 cross-sectional surveys,and one case report,were included in this study.A total of 4 pieces of best evidence,involving 24 aspects,were summarized.Conclusion This summary of the best evidence provides evidence-based support for the management of HCC patients receiving HAIC.It is recommended that the formulation of most appropriate management plan should be based on each patient's own condition and the environment of medical resources while transforming and applying the evidence in clinical practice.
5.Influencing factors for atrial fibrillation in elderly patients with heart failure and construction of a nomogram model
Yakun SU ; Tingting LIN ; Qiong WANG ; Fengde LI ; Junying SONG
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2025;27(8):1010-1015
Objective To elucidate the independent risk factors for AF in elderly patients with HF,develop a nomogram prediction model,and assess its predictive value for AF in elderly HF pa-tients.Methods A retrospective study was conducted on 299 patients of first HF hospitalization in Hengshui People's Hospital from June 2019 to December 2023,and based on the presence or absence of AF,they were divided into an AF group(133 cases)and a non-AF group(166 cases).The patients admitted from June 2019 to December 2022 were assigned into a modeling cohort(206 cases),while those from January 2023 to December 2023 into a validation cohort(93 cases).The general data were collected.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed on the modeling cohort to identify the independent predictors of AF in elderly HF patients,and a nomo-gram prediction model was constructed.ROC curve,calibration curve and clinical decision curve analyses were applied to evaluate the discrimination,calibration and clinical practicability of the prediction model.Results Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the etiology of HF(CHD vs HP,OR=0.610,95%CI:0.301-1.250,P=0.178;CMD vs HP,OR=0.213,95%CI:0.052-0.883,P=0.033),LAD(OR=1.081,95%CI:1.020-1.152,P=0.015),HF classifi-cation(HFmrEF vs HFrEF,OR=5.897,95%CI:2.448-14.201,P=0.000;HFpEF vs HFrEF,OR=7.211,95%CI:2.522-20.640,P=0.001),pre-albumin(PALB)(OR=0.438,95%CI:0.217-0.901,P=0.030),UAC(OR=2.186,95%CI:1.075-4.430,P=0.025),and direct biliru-bin(DBi)(OR=4.531,95%CI:2.052-9.990,P=0.000)were independent risk factors for AF in the elderly HF patients.ROC curve analysis showed the AUC value of the prediction model based on these factors in the modeling cohort was 0.831,and the AUC value in the validation cohort was 0.840.Decision curve analysis indicated that the model possessed clinical practicability within a probability threshold range of 10%-82%for the modeling cohort and 12%-100%for the vali-dation cohort.Conclusion Our nomogram prediction model based on multivariate logistic regres-sion analysis exhibits good predictive value for the occurrence of AF in elderly HF patients,and can facilitate clinical decision-making on diagnosis and treatment.
6.Influencing factors for atrial fibrillation in elderly patients with heart failure and construction of a nomogram model
Yakun SU ; Tingting LIN ; Qiong WANG ; Fengde LI ; Junying SONG
Chinese Journal of Geriatric Heart Brain and Vessel Diseases 2025;27(8):1010-1015
Objective To elucidate the independent risk factors for AF in elderly patients with HF,develop a nomogram prediction model,and assess its predictive value for AF in elderly HF pa-tients.Methods A retrospective study was conducted on 299 patients of first HF hospitalization in Hengshui People's Hospital from June 2019 to December 2023,and based on the presence or absence of AF,they were divided into an AF group(133 cases)and a non-AF group(166 cases).The patients admitted from June 2019 to December 2022 were assigned into a modeling cohort(206 cases),while those from January 2023 to December 2023 into a validation cohort(93 cases).The general data were collected.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed on the modeling cohort to identify the independent predictors of AF in elderly HF patients,and a nomo-gram prediction model was constructed.ROC curve,calibration curve and clinical decision curve analyses were applied to evaluate the discrimination,calibration and clinical practicability of the prediction model.Results Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that the etiology of HF(CHD vs HP,OR=0.610,95%CI:0.301-1.250,P=0.178;CMD vs HP,OR=0.213,95%CI:0.052-0.883,P=0.033),LAD(OR=1.081,95%CI:1.020-1.152,P=0.015),HF classifi-cation(HFmrEF vs HFrEF,OR=5.897,95%CI:2.448-14.201,P=0.000;HFpEF vs HFrEF,OR=7.211,95%CI:2.522-20.640,P=0.001),pre-albumin(PALB)(OR=0.438,95%CI:0.217-0.901,P=0.030),UAC(OR=2.186,95%CI:1.075-4.430,P=0.025),and direct biliru-bin(DBi)(OR=4.531,95%CI:2.052-9.990,P=0.000)were independent risk factors for AF in the elderly HF patients.ROC curve analysis showed the AUC value of the prediction model based on these factors in the modeling cohort was 0.831,and the AUC value in the validation cohort was 0.840.Decision curve analysis indicated that the model possessed clinical practicability within a probability threshold range of 10%-82%for the modeling cohort and 12%-100%for the vali-dation cohort.Conclusion Our nomogram prediction model based on multivariate logistic regres-sion analysis exhibits good predictive value for the occurrence of AF in elderly HF patients,and can facilitate clinical decision-making on diagnosis and treatment.
7.Effectiveness of defocus lenses with multi-zone positive optical defocus design versus high aspheric micro-lens design in controlling myopia
Lingling LIANG ; Ya ZHANG ; Ming SU ; Yidan WU ; Lin CHENG ; Dongmei GONG ; Yingchun XIAN ; Junying ZHANG ; Shuang QIU
Journal of Clinical Medicine in Practice 2024;28(20):39-43
Objective To compare the effectiveness of Defocus Incorporated Multiple Segments (DIMS) and High Aspheric Lenslet (HAL) defocus lenses in controlling myopia. Methods A total of 214 children and adolescents who were fitted with defocus lenses (DIMS or HAL) in our hospital from January to June 2023 were selected, including 100 cases in DIMS group and 114 cases in the HAL group. Changes in parameters such as spherical lens power, cylindrical lens power, spherical equivalent (SE), corneal curvature (K), axial length (AL), binocular accommodative response (BCC), positive/negative relative accommodation (PRA/NRA), distance/near latent phoria (DLP/NLP), and accommodative convergence to accommodation ratio (AC/A) were compared between the two groups before wearing and after wearing the lenses for 6 months, and the effectiveness of myopia control between DIMS and HAL was further compared. Results After wearing the lenses (DIMS or HAL) for 6 months, the average increase in axial length was (0.09±0.14) mm, the average increase in spherical lens power was (-0.11±0.23) D, the average increase in astigmatism was (-0.07±0.16) DC, and the average increase in spherical equivalent was (-0.15±0.24) D, with statistically significant differences observed for all these changes (
8.Prognosis of patients with cervical lymph node oligometastasis after esophageal cancer surgery who underwent different therapeutic modalities: a real-world study
Yong AO ; Junying CHEN ; Xi LIN ; Quan ZHANG ; Ming SONG ; Baoqing CHEN ; Jianhua FU
Chinese Journal of Digestive Surgery 2024;23(10):1316-1325
Objective:To investigate the prognosis of patients with cervical lymph node oligometastasis after esophageal cancer surgery who underwent different therapeutic modalities.Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinicopathological data of 5 692 pati-ents with esophageal cancer who were admitted to Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center from May 2007 to June 2023 were collected. There were 4 473 males and 1 219 females, aged 61 (rang, 55-66)years. Of 5 692 patients, 127 patients developed cervical lymph node oligometastasis, including 23 cases undergoing surgery alone who were divided into the surgery along group, 74 cases under-going radiotherapy, chemotherapy, or combined chemoradiotherapy who were divided into the chemo-radiotherapy group, 30 cases undergoing surgery combined with radiotherapy, chemotherapy, or chemoradiotherapy who were divided into the combined treatment group, respectively. Measure-ment data with skewed distribution were represented as M (range). Count data were expressed as absolute numbers or percentages, and comparisons between groups were performed using the chi-square test or Fisher exact probability. Baseline differences were adjusted using the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). The optimal cut-off value for prognosis was determined using X-tile software (v3.6.1). Median follow-up time was calculated using the inverse Kaplan-Meier method, and missing data were handled by multiple imputations. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curve, and the Log-rank test was used for survival analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model, and clinicopathological factors with P<0.2 in the univariate analysis were included in the multivariate analysis. Results:(1) Survival situations. The median follow-up time for the 127 patients was 47 months, with a median progression-free survival time of 31 months and a median overall survival time of 53 months. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year progression-free survival rate were 61.5%, 43.0%, and 36.5%, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rate were 85.6%, 60.2%, and 45.7%, respectively. After IPTW adjustment, the median progression-free survival time of the surgery along group, chemoradiotherapy group, and combined treatment group were 55, 23, and 61 months, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year progression-free survival rate of the surgery along group were 72.9%, 69.7%, and 43.6%, versus 61.1%, 37.3%, and 32.6% for the chemoradiotherapy group, and 60.9%, 52.9%, and 52.9% for the combined treatment group, showing no significant difference among the three groups ( χ2=0.34, P>0.05). The median overall survival time of the surgery along group, chemoradiotherapy group, and combined treatment group were not reached, 60 months, and 45 months, respectively. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rate were 87.6%, 82.0%, and 55.1% for the surgery along group, versus 91.3%, 57.4%, and 46.8% for the chemoradiotherapy group, and 87.1%, 64.3%, and 32.2% for the combined treatment group, showing no significant difference among the three groups ( χ2=0.10, P>0.05). (2) Prognosis analysis. After IPTW adjustment, results of multivariate analysis showed that comorbidity and neoadjuvant therapy were independent risk factors affecting progression-free survival time for patients with cervical lymph node oligometastasis ( hazard ratio=2.25, 2.74, 95% confidence interval as 1.08-5.65, 1.49-5.06, P<0.05), and neoadjuvant therapy and oligometastasis occurring ≤24 months were independent risk factors affecting overall survival time for patients with cervical lymph node oligometastasis ( hazard ratio=2.85, 2.08, 95% confidence interval as 1.52-5.34, 1.04-4.17, P<0.05). Results of further analysis showed that the 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rate were 83.7%, 35.3%, and 16.4% for patients with neoadjuvant therapy, versus 91.6%, 72.6%, and 56.2% for patients without neoadjuvant therapy, showing a significant difference between them ( χ2=9.26, P<0.05). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year overall survival rate were 84.9%, 53.9%, and 40.1% for patients with oligometastasis occurring ≤24 months, versus 97.8%, 80.5%, and 59.9% for patients with oligometastasis occurring>24 months, showing a signifi-cant difference between them ( χ2=9.20, P<0.05). Conclusions:There was no significant difference in prognosis of patients with cervical lymph node oligometastasis after esophageal cancer surgery who underwent surgery alone, chemoradiotherapy or combined treatment. Comorbidity is an inde-pendent risk factor affecting progression-free survival time for patients with cervical lymph node oligometastasis, oligometastasis occurring ≤24 months is an independent risk factor affecting overall survival time, and neoadjuvant therapy is an independent risk factor affecting both progression-free survival time and overall survival time.
9.Application of production-oriented approach for consultation ability teaching in general practice residency training
Jia MENG ; Chunyu ZHONG ; Qiujun WANG ; Junying WANG ; Mingming ZHANG ; Lin LIN ; Lihong JIANG
Chinese Journal of General Practitioners 2024;23(3):273-278
Objective:To investigate the application effect of production-oriented approach (POA) for consulting ability teaching in general practice standardized residency training.Methods:Eighteen third-year general practice residents in the Second Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University received a special training course on the consulting ability based on POA with the situational simulation teaching from September 2021 to March 2022. The consulting ability of residents was evaluated with Objective Structured Clinical Examination (OSCE) and Leichester Assessment Package (LAP) before and after the training, and the results were compared. Meanwhile, a questionnaire survey and semi-structured interviews were conducted to assess residents′ satisfaction with the course.Results:All 18 resident trainees (11 females and 7 males) aged 25 to 34 (27.3±2.4) years successfully completed the training. Both OSCE scores and LAP scores after the training were significantly higher than those before training (66.25±5.84 vs. 44.44±12.80, t=8.46, P<0.001; 65.78±7.05 vs. 38.33±14.2, t=1.47, P<0.001, respectively). The ability of medical history collection, physical examination, patient management, problem solving, doctor-patient relationship, preventive care and medical record writing were all significantly improved after the training compared with those before training ( t=2.464, 4.278, 8.997, 2.385, 10.35, 5.212, 7.578, all P<0.05). The questionnaire survey showed that all the 18 residents were satisfied with the reasonableness of the teaching content, the class time arrangement, the teaching progress arrangement and the instructors. In the dimension of training effectiveness, 18 participants all believed that the course was helpful to improve their humanistic quality and confidence in reception. In terms of self-promotion, all respondents believed that this course was able to promote their reflection ability and stimulate their learning interest. By coding and analyzing the contents of the semi-structured interviews with the residents, nine main themes were constructed, namely course deficiencies, course characteristics, course advantages, course suggestions, trainees′ deficiencies, trainees′ gains, trainees′ goals, previous teaching deficiencies, and instructor′s role. The results showed that all residents had a high degree of satisfaction with the course, and they thought the course was vivid and interesting and it is able to mobilize the enthusiasm of learning, promote learner to reflect. The residents also suggested to increase the teaching hours and to enrich teaching cases. Conclusion:The consulting ability training of general practice based on POA can effectively improve consulting ability, stimulate learning interest and improve independent learning ability of residents, which gains recognition from both faculty and trainees.
10.The role of effective albumin in chronic liver disease
Jun LIN ; Zepeng LI ; Junying YU
Basic & Clinical Medicine 2024;44(12):1707-1711
Effective albumin refers to serum albumin with intact structure and function.In the course of chronic liver disease,some serum albumin loses its functional integrity through different post-translational modifications such as oxidation and glycosylation.Level of effective albumin is lower in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and is significantly correlated with patient survival,underscoring that they are more sensitive than total serum al-bumin in reflecting the actual state of liver function.In addition,effective albumin not only serves as a predictor,but also plays a key role in the treatment of chronic liver disease by improving albumin preparations and develo-ping new therapeutics.


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