1.Application of optimized combination prediction model in the prediction of hand, foot and mouth disease
Weijie TIAN ; Qian GAO ; Kun YANG ; Zhirong ZHAO ; Jian CHEN
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):58-62
Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.
2.Mechanism of Mitochondrial Dynamics in Chronic Heart Failure and Treatment from Perspective of Yin at Peace and Yang Being Compact
Chang SU ; Peng TIAN ; Kun LIAN ; Weijun LI ; Lichong MENG ; Zizheng WU ; Lin LI ; Zhixi HU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(22):236-246
Chronic heart failure is the terminal stage of various cardiovascular diseases, and its occurrence and progression are closely associated with impaired myocardial energy metabolism and mitochondrial dysfunction. Mitochondrial dynamics maintain cardiomyocyte energy homeostasis through fusion, fission, and quality control. Disruption of mitochondrial dynamics may lead to mitochondrial network fragmentation, insufficient adenosine triphosphate (ATP) production, enhanced oxidative stress, and activation of ferroptosis. The theory of Yin at peace and Yang being compact originates from the Chapter Discussion on Interrelationship between Life and Nature in the Plain Questions, and emphasizes that the dynamic balance between Yin and Yang is fundamental to normal life activities. According to this theory and mitochondrial dynamics, this paper explores the pathogenic connotations of Yang failing to remain compact and Yin failing to remain at peace in chronic heart failure. In traditional Chinese medicine (TCM), chronic heart failure is characterized by deficiency in origin and excess in manifestation. Deficiency of heart Qi and Yang is the root, often accompanied by Yang deficiency or Yin deficiency, while blood stasis, phlegm turbidity, and water retention constitute the manifestations. When Yang fails to remain compact, cardiac propulsion becomes weakened and Qi transformation is impaired. When Yin fails to remain at peace, Yin pathogens are generated and Yin essence is consumed. At the microscopic level, imbalance of mitochondrial dynamics is manifested as insufficient mitochondrial fusion, excessive fission, reduced energy production, excessive ROS generation, expansion of the labile iron pool, and accumulation of lipid peroxidation products, which contribute to Yin-Yang imbalance in chronic heart failure. Furthermore, by integrating formula-pattern correspondence and the approach of inferring patterns from formula effects, this paper summarizes the possible molecular phenotypes corresponding to different syndrome elements and syndrome patterns. It further proposes keeping Yang compact and keeping Yin at peace as therapeutic principle for chronic heart failure, aiming to restore energy metabolism homeostasis by regulating mitochondrial dynamics with TCM and to provide new perspectives and ideas for the treatment of chronic heart failure.
3.Changes of early memory T lymphocytes in mice infected with influenza A virus PR8 and its significance
Journal of Jilin University(Medicine Edition) 2025;51(6):1584-1594
Objective:To discuss the changes of early memory T lymphocytes?in the mice infected with influenza A virus(H1N1)PR8,and to clarify its significance.Methods:A total of 32 C57BL/6 mice were randomly divided into control group and influenza virus(PR8)group,with 16 mice in each group.The mice in control group were intranasally administered 30 μL of sterile phosphate buffered saline(PBS),and the mice in PR8 group were intranasally administered 2 LD50 PR8 virus solution.The mice were sacrificed on the 10 th day,and bronchoalveolar lavage fluid(BALF),lung tissue,and lymphnodes were collected for subsequent experiments.HE staining was used to observe the pathomorphology of lung tissue in the mice in two groups;hemagglutination assay,real-time fluorescence quantitative PCR(RT-qPCR)method,and immunofluorescence method were used to detect the viral infection in lung tissue of the mice;flow cytometry was used to detect the percentages of T lymphocytes,effector T lymphocytes,central memory T lymphocytes(TCM),effector memory T lymphocytes(TEM),and nuclear protein(NP)/pdymerase acidic protein(PA)-specific TEM lymphocytes in BALF,lung tissue,and lymphnodes of the mice in two groups.Results:Compared with control group,the lung tissue of the mice in PR8 group showed significant pathological damage,and the lung tissue virus titer and NP protein expression level were significantly increased(P<0.01).Compared with control group,the percentages of CD4+T lymphocytes,CD8+T lymphocytes,effector CD4+T lymphocytes,effector CD8+T lymphocytes,CD4+TEM lymphocytes,and CD8+TEM lymphocytes in BALF and lung tissue of the mice in PR8 group were significantly increased(P<0.01).Compared with control group,the positive percentages of CD4+TCM,CD8+TCM,CD4+TEM,CD8+TEM,and NP/PA-specific CD4+TEM,CD8+TEM lymphocytes in BALF and lung tissue of the mice in PR8 group were significantly increased(P<0.05 or P<0.01),and the percentage of CD8+TCM lymphocytes in the lymph nodes was significantly increased(P<0.05).Conclusion:Influenza virus infection can induce the proliferation and differentiation of T lymphocytes into effector T lymphocytes,leading to the early establishment of virus-specific TM lymphocytes targeting the conserved NP/PA epitopes in the respiratory mucosa.
4.Association between preoperative cardiometabolic multimorbidity and postoperative delirium in elderly patients undergoing knee or hip replacement
Kun WANG ; Na TIAN ; Yuanlong WANG ; Wenjie KONG ; Yizhi LIANG ; Jiahan WANG ; Yanan LIN ; Chuan LI ; Hongyan GONG ; Xu LIN ; Bin WANG ; Yanlin BI
Chinese Journal of Anesthesiology 2025;45(10):1275-1279
Objective:To evaluate the association between preoperative cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM) and postoperative delirium (POD) in elderly patients undergoing knee or hip replacement.Methods:Based on a perioperative neurocognitive dysfunction and biomarker lifestyle cohort, a nested case-control study was conducted using medical records of patients scheduled for elective knee or hip joint replacement at Qingdao Municipal Hospital from January 2022 to November 2023. Patients were divided into POD group ( n=124) and non-POD group ( n=414) based on whether POD occurred. The influencing factors were collected, and intergroup differences were analyzed. Logistic regression was used to identify the risk factors for POD, and sensitivity analysis was conducted to assess the stability of the regression model. A mediation model was employed to examine whether cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers mediated the association between CMM and POD. Results:There were statistically significant differences in the rate of CMM, age, years of education, rate of hypertension, rate of diabetes mellitus, rate of coronary heart diseases, rate of stroke, Aβ 42 concentration, t-tau concentration, p-tau concentration, Aβ 42/t-tau ratio, and Aβ 42/p-tau ratio in CSF between POD group and non-POD group ( P<0.05). The results of logistic regression analysis showed that preoperative CMM was a risk factor for POD ( P<0.05). Mediation analysis revealed that the relationship between CMM and POD was partly mediated by Aβ 42 concentrations in CSF. Conclusions:Preoperative CMM is a risk factor for POD in elderly patients undergoing knee or hip replacement, and the CSF Aβ 42 concentration may play a partly mediating role in the association between preoperative CMM and POD.
5.Typical failure treatment of large-aperture 16-slice spiral Siemens SOMATOM Sensation Open CT
Yu-kun ZHU ; Shi-dong CHENG ; Ming YANG ; Fei WENG ; Jing TIAN ; Chen LIANG
Chinese Medical Equipment Journal 2025;46(11):112-114
Three typical failures of large-aperture 16-slice spiral Siemens SOMATOM Sensation Open CT were introduced in terms of phenomenon,cause and treatment method.References were provided for medical engineers to treat similar failures.
6.Difference in liver toxicity between normal rats and Yin deficiency rats treated with psoralen and preliminary exploration of its mechanism
Tian-xian PEI ; Fu-zhen LI ; Meng-ying CHEN ; Xue-tong WANG ; Li-zhen QIU ; Heng-yu XI ; Kun ZHOU
Chinese Pharmacological Bulletin 2025;41(5):843-850
Aim To study the difference in hepatotox-icity of psoralen on normal rats and Yin-deficiency rats from the perspective of lipid metabolism,so as to help explain the mechanism of psoralen cautiously used in patients with Yin deficiency recorded in ancient books.Methods SD rats were randomly divided into the nor-mal control group(carboxymethyl cellulose-Na,CMC-Na),normal administration group(CMC-Na+psor-alen),Yin-deficiency control group(CMC-Na+thy-roxine)and Yin-deficiency administration group(CMC-Na+thyroxine+psoralen).The model of Yin-deficiency was established by thyroxine(1 mg·kg-1)for ten days,and then psoralen(200 mg·kg-1)was given for three days.The serum indexes related to liver injury were detected by automatic biochemical analy-zer,the morphological changes of liver tissue were ob-served using HE and oil red O staining,and the relative transcription levels of lipid metabolism related enzymes and mRNA of transporter and endoplasmic reticulum stress related factors were detected using Real-time PCR.Results After intragastric administration of psoralen for three days,compared with the normal group,the levels of serum alanine aminotransferase(ALT),aspartate transaminase(AST),total bile acid(TBA)and triglyeride(TG)in Yin deficiency group increased more significantly,while TC,ALB and TP de-creased more significantly,and liver HE and oil red O staining showed more obvious lipid degeneration.TG synthesis factors adrenocortical carcinoma(ACC),fatty acid synthase(FASN)and sterolregulatory element binding protein-1(SREBP-1)were down-regulated more significantly,TG transport factors mili-total pro-tein(MTP)and lipoprotein pipase(LPL)were down-regulated more evidently,fatty acid β-oxidation related factors carnitine palmitoyltransferase 1A(CPT1A),carnitine/organic cation transporter 2(OCTN2)and peroxisome proliferators-activated receptors-alpha(PPARα)were down-regulated more apparently,TC transporter adenosine triphosphate binding cassette transporter G8(ABCG8)and bile acid receptor farne-soid X receptor(FXR)were down-regulated more ob-viously,and endoplasmic reticulum stress factor activa-ting transcription factor 4(ATF4)was up-regulated more significantly.Conclusions Psoralen can cause more severe hepatotoxicity in Yin deficiency rats than that in normal administration group,and its mechanism may be related to the disorder of hepatic lipid metabo-lism,aggravation of hepatic cholestasis and steatosis,and activation of endoplasmic reticulum stress re-sponse.
7.Effect of Electroacupuncture on TGF-β1/Smads Signaling Pathway and Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition-related Protein Expression in Rats with Neurogenic Bladder After Spinal Cord Injury
Xiaojing LUO ; Chuning TIAN ; Lifen ZHAN ; Qian LI ; Roujun LIANG ; Lubo XIAO ; Yue ZHUO ; Kun AI ; Ming XU ; Hong ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Information on Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;32(10):120-126
Objective To observe the effects of electroacupuncture(EA)on TGF-β1/Smads signaling pathway and epithelial-mesenchymal transition(EMT)related proteins in rats with neurogenic bladder(NB)after spinal cord injury;To explore the possible mechanism of EA in improving NB fibrosis.Methods Totally 36 female SD rats were randomly selected,with 10 rats in the sham-operation group and the remaining 26 rats undergoing complete transection of the spinal cord beneath the T8 vertebrae to establish a NB rat model.The modeling rats were randomly divided into model group and EA group,with 10 rats in each group.EA group was applied to"Ciliao","Zhongji"and"Sanyinjiao",20 min per time,once a day for 7 days.The general condition of the rats in each group was observed,the ultrasound index of the bladder was detected by ultrasound technique,the bladder function of the rats was detected by urodynamics,the body mass of the rats and the wet weight of the bladder were recorded,and the bladder index was calculated.HE staining was used to observe bladder tissue morphology,the degree of bladder tissue fibrosis and bladder wall thickness were detected by Masson staining.The positive expressions of E-cadherin,N-cadherin and Vimentin in bladder tissue were detected by immunohistochemistry.The protein expressions of TGF-β1,p-Smad2/3,E-cadherin,N-cadherin and Vimentin were detected by Western blot.Results Compared with the sham-operation group,the upper and lower diameter,anteroposterior diameter,transverse diameter,bladder volume of the model group significantly increased(P<0.001),the maximum bladder pressure,leak point pressure difference,perfusion time and maximum bladder capacity significantly increased(P<0.001),the bladder index increased significantly(P<0.001),the bladder epithelial cells were thickened and arranged irregularly,the bladder collagen volume fraction and bladder wall thickness significantly increased(P<0.001),the expressions of TGF-β1,p-Smad2/3,N-cadherin and Vimentin in bladder tissue increased(P<0.01),and the expression of E-cadherin decreased(P<0.001).Compared with the model group,the upper and lower diameter,anteroposterior diameter,transverse diameter,bladder volume of the EA group decreased significantly(P<0.05),the maximum bladder pressure,leak point pressure difference,perfusion time and maximum bladder capacity significantly decreased(P<0.05),the bladder index significantly decreased(P<0.05),the thickness of the bladder epithelial cell layer became thinner and arranged more neatly,and the bladder collagen volume fraction and bladder wall thickness of the bladder were significantly reduced(P<0.05),the expressions of TGF-β1,p-Smad2/3,N-cadherin and Vimentin in bladder tissue significantly decreased(P<0.05),and the expression of E-cadherin significantly increased(P<0.05).Conclusion EA may reduce the EMT of bladder epithelial cells and decrease the degree of bladder tissue fibrosis by inhibiting the activation of the TGF-β1/Smads signaling pathway,thereby improving bladder function in NB rats after spinal cord injury.
8.Comparison of osteogenic potential in STRO-1 positive and negative bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells
Wanlin ZHOU ; Bin HE ; Xiongcheng SHEN ; Kun HUANG ; Renyuan TIAN ; Ye YUAN ; Wenliang HUANG
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(36):7719-7727
BACKGROUND:With aging,the regenerative capacity and differentiation function of bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells progressively decline,reducing bone tissue repair efficacy.Thus,identifying bone marrow mesenchymal stem cell subpopulations with enhanced osteogenic potential is of significant importance for advancing bone tissue engineering.OBJECTIVE:To evaluate the osteogenic differentiation potential differences between STRO-1 positive and negative bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells under osteogenic induction conditions.METHODS:SD rat bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells were isolated and cultured.The expression of CD29,CD45,CD90,and STRO-1 was identified via flow cytometry and immunofluorescence.Immunomagnetic cell sorting was used to separate STRO-1 positive and negative bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells.The cells of two groups were subjected to osteogenic induction for 7 and 14 days.qRT-PCR and western blotting were performed to analyze differences in osteogenesis-related gene expression(Collagen I,Runt-related transcription factor 2,osteoprotegerin,and osteocalcin)and protein levels.Alizarin red staining and alkaline phosphatase staining were used to observe calcium nodule formation.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Flow cytometry showed high expression levels of CD29 and CD90 and low expression of CD45,with a positive STRO-1 expression rate of 12.8%.Immunofluorescence results were consistent with those of flow cytometry.After magnetic cell sorting,STRO-1 positive cells demonstrated a higher colony formation rate than STRO-1 negative cells.On day 14,STRO-1 positive cells showed significantly higher osteogenic differentiation potential than on day 7,with significantly elevated osteogenesis-related marker levels compared to STRO-1 negative cells(P<0.01).The findings indicate that STRO-1 positive bone marrow mesenchymal stem cells exhibit significant advantages in osteogenic potential,providing a theoretical basis for their selection as ideal seed cells in bone tissue engineering.In future applications,they may represent a promising therapeutic approach for bone defect repair.
9.Symptoms and quality of life benefits of successful percutaneous coronary intervention in left main disease and/or 3-vessel disease patients with diabetes
Bo-da ZHU ; Tian-tong YU ; Peng HAN ; Bo-hui ZHANG ; Xi ZHANG ; Ping YUAN ; Gang WANG ; Yi YANG ; Hui-li ZHU ; Pan-pan SUN ; Tong-tong LI ; Shuai ZHAO ; Cheng-xiang LI ; Kun LIAN
Chinese Journal of Interventional Cardiology 2025;33(2):93-100
Objective To investigate whether successful percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI)could improve symptoms and quality of life(QOL)in left main disease and/or 3-vessel disease patients with diabetes.Methods Patients with left main disease and/or 3-vessel disease who underwent PCI in the First Affiliated Hospital of Air Force Medical University from April 2018 to May 2021 were consecutively enrolled and subdivided into 2 groups:diabetes and no diabetes.Detailed baseline characteristics,symptoms,including dyspnea and angina,assessed with the Rose dyspnea scale(RDS),Seattle angina questionnaire(SAQ),the European quality of life-5 dimensions(EQ-5D)and 12-item short-form health survey(SF-12)questionnaire respectively,procedural details,and 1 month and 1 year follow-up data were collected.Results Among 440 left main disease and/or 3-vessel disease patients,disease was present in 176(40.00%),who had more hypertension,peripheral artery disease,and LCX lesion(all P<0.05).The incidence of major adverse cardiovascular events(MACE)and all-cause mortality were similar between the two groups(both P>0.05)at 1 month follow-up,while all-cause mortality in diabetes patients was significantly higher than those without diabetes at 1 year follow-up(P=0.013).Low left ventricular ejection fraction was an independent risk factor for MACE and all-cause mortality at 1 month and 1 year follow-up after successful revascularization(all P<0.05).Most importantly,symptoms,including dyspnea and angina,and QOL were markedly improved regardless of diabetes both at 1 month and 1 year follow-up(all P<0.05).Diabetes patients showed improved dyspnea and QOL at similar degree to the non-diabetes patients(all P>0.05)and a more significantly relieved angina(P=0.013).Additionally,the number of chronic total occlusion(CTO)per patient was identified as an independent risk factor of dyspnea(OR 0.723,95%CI 0.525~0.997,P=0.048)and angina relief(OR 0.686,95%CI 0.473~0.995,P=0.047),and the contrast volume(OR 0.995,95%CI 0.992~0.999,P=0.008)as an independent risk factor of QOL improvement in diabetic patients.Conclusions Successful PCI is beneficial for relieving symptoms and improving quality of life in patients with diabetes who have left main disease and/or 3-vessel disease.
10.A dual-targeting peptide-drug conjugate based on CXCR4 and FOLR1 inhibits triple-negative breast cancer.
Kun WANG ; Cong WANG ; Hange YANG ; Gong CHEN ; Ke WANG ; Peihong JI ; Xudong SUN ; Xuegong FAN ; Jie MA ; Zhencun CUI ; Xingkai WANG ; Hao TIAN ; Dengfu WU ; Lu WANG ; Zhimin WANG ; Jiangyan LIU ; Juan YI ; Kuan HU ; Hailong ZHANG ; Rui WANG
Acta Pharmaceutica Sinica B 2025;15(10):4995-5009
Triple-negative breast cancer is therapeutically challenging due to the low expression of tumor markers and 'cold' tumor immunosuppressive microenvironment. Here, we present a dual-targeting peptide-drug conjugate (PDC) for tumor inhibition. Our PDC efficiently and selectively delivers cytotoxic Monomethyl Auristatin E (MMAE) into tumor cells via C-X-C chemokine receptor type 4 (CXCR4) and folate receptor 1 (FOLR1) for synergistic inhibition of growth and metastasis. Our results show that the dual-targeting PDC has potent antitumor activity in cultured human cells and several murine transplanted tumor models without apparent toxicity. The combination of dual-targeting PDC and radiotherapy modulates the tumor immunosuppressive microenvironment by increasing CD8+ T cell infiltration and attenuating the proportion of myeloid-derived suppressor and regulatory T cells. Therefore, our dual-targeting PDC represents a promising new strategy for cancer therapy that rebalances the immune system and promotes tumor regression.


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