Objective To explore scientific and accurate prediction methods for the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease in the post-pandemic era, and to address modeling challenges caused by abnormal fluctuations in case numbers from 2020 to 2023. Methods The seasonal index was used to pre-process the data. The traditional seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, singular spectrum analysis (SSA)-ARIMA model, ARIMA-Long short-term memory (LSTM) model, and SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model were used to fit the incidence from 2013 to 2023, and the incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease in 2024 was predicted. The real data collected in 2024 were used as the test set to compare the prediction performance of the models. Results The fitting performance of the constructed models was as follows: the ARIMA model had MAE=107.50 and RMSE=144.53, the SSA-ARIMA model showed MAE=2.84 and RMSE=4.33, the ARIMA-LSTM model achieved MAE=99.46 and RMSE=131.59, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model had MAE=96.35 and RMSE=132.13. In terms of prediction performance, the ARIMA model resulted in MAE=151.64 and RMSE=146.70, the SSA-ARIMA model demonstrated MAE=41.22 and RMSE=57.01, the ARIMA-LSTM model yielded MAE=220.75 and RMSE=257.89, and the SSA-ARIMA-LSTM model recorded MAE=58.83 and RMSE=72.06. Conclusion The SSA-ARIMA model has the best fitting degree and the highest prediction accuracy, and is suitable for predicting the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease.

ObjectiveTo establish a new noninvasive， simple， and convenient clinical predictive model by identifying independent predictive factors for rebleeding after endoscopic therapy in cirrhotic patients with esophagogastric variceal bleeding （EGVB）， and to provide a basis for individualized risk assessment and development of clinical intervention strategies. MethodsCirrhotic patients with EGVB who were diagnosed and treated in The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Medical University from September 2018 to October 2023 were enrolled as subjects， and according to whether the patient experienced rebleeding within 1 year after endoscopic therapy， they were divided into rebleeding group with 93 patients and non-rebleeding group with 84 patients. Clinical data were collected and analyzed. The independent samples t-test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups， and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups； the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups. A Logistic model was established based on the results of the univariate and multivariate analyses， and the receiver operating characteristic （ROC） curve and the area under the ROC curve （AUC） were used to assess the accuracy of the model. R software was used to visualize the model by plotting a nomogram， and the Bootstrap method was used for internal validation of the model. ResultsThe multivariate analysis showed that red blood cell count （RBC）， cholinesterase （ChE）， alkaline phosphatase （ALP）， albumin （Alb）， thrombin time （TT）， portal vein trunk diameter， sequential therapy， and primary prevention were independent predictive factors for rebleeding. Based on the results of the multivariate analysis， a logistic model was established as logit（P）=-0.805-1.978×（RBC）+0.001×（ChE）-0.020×（ALP）-0.314×（Alb）+0.567×（TT）+0.428×（portal vein trunk diameter）-2.303×［sequential therapy （yes=1， no=0）］-2.368×［primary prevention （yes=1， no=0）］. The logistic model （AUC=0.928， 95% confidence interval ［CI］： 0.893—0.964， P<0.001） had a better performance in predicting rebleeding than MELD score （AUC=0.603， 95%CI： 0.520—0.687， P=0.003）， Child-Pugh class （AUC=0.650， 95%CI： 0.578—0.722， P=0.001）， and FIB-4 index （AUC=0.587， 95%CI： 0.503—0.671， P=0.045）. The model had an optimal cut-off value of 0.607， a sensitivity of 0.817， and a specificity of 0.817. Internal validation confirmed that the model had good predictive performance and accuracy. ConclusionSequential therapy， implementation of primary prevention， an increase in RBC， and an increase in Alb are protective factors against rebleeding， while prolonged TT and widened main portal vein diameter are risk factors. The logistic model based on these independent predictive factors can predict rebleeding and thus holds promise for clinical application.

OBJECTIVE To study the improvement effect and mechanism of Dendrobium officinale on skin damage in mice with xeroderma. METHODS The mice were randomly divided into control group， model group， and D. officinale group， with 5 mice in each group. Except for the control group （which only underwent shaving treatment）， the mice in all other groups were induced to develop a xeroderma model using an acetone-ether mixture for five consecutive days. The mice in D. officinale group were treated with 200 μL of D. officinale suspension （0.2 mg/mL） two hours after the first modeling each day. Mice in the control group and the model group were applied with an equal volume of pure water； once a day， until the end of the modeling process. After last medication， skin lesions and pathological morphology of the mice were observed. Immunofluorescence was used to detect the expressions of Filaggrin， Loricrin and Ki67 proteins in skin tissue of the mice. The core pathways through which D. officinale improves skin damage in xeroderma were screened using 16S rRNA sequencing combined with gene ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes （KEGG） enrichment analyses， and subsequent validation was conducted. RESULTS Compared with the control group， the mice in the model group exhibited obvious scratching behavior， with a large amount of scale on the skin， excessive epidermal keratinization， and thickened stratum spinosum. The skin scale score， epidermal thickness， and the expression levels of Ki67， Filaggrin， and Loricrin proteins in the skin tissue were significantly increased/elevated （ P ＜0.05）. Compared with model group， the mice in the D. officinale group exhibited reduced scratching behavior and scaling， along with a mitigated degree of skin keratinization. The aforementioned quantitative indicators were significantly decreased/reduced （ P ＜0.05）. The results of core pathway screening revealed that the KEGG pathways involving differentially expressed genes included signaling pathways such as interleukin-17 （IL-17） and tumor necrosis factor （TNF）. Further validation experim ents found that after intervention with D. officinale ， mRNA expression of downstream effector molecules CCN1， Hbegf， Tnfrsf12a， and Thbs1 genes in skin tissues were all significantly reduced （ P ＜0.05）. CONCLUSIONS D. officinale can repair skin damage in mice with xeroderma， and its mechanism of action is related to restoring the balance of proliferation and differentiation in keratinocytes and down-regulating the mRNA expressions of CCN1， Hbegf， Tnfrsf12a， and Thbs1.

ObjectiveTo investigate the current professional competency among full-time and part-time personnel of the nosocomial infection control administration in Shanghai, so as to provide a scientific basis for future training programmes. MethodsIn December 2024, a questionnaire survey was conducted by the Shanghai Nosocomial Infection Quality Control Center among full-time and part-time personnel of the nosocomial infection control administration across medical institutions at various levels and types in Shanghai using convenience sampling method. The questionnaire consisted of two parts: demographic information and professional competency assessment. The professional competency scale comprised four dimensions: fundamental cognition, basic skills, professional expertise, and personal qualities, totaling 35 items. ResultsA total of 1 179 questionnaires were distributed, with 1 144 valid responses collected, yielding an effective response rate of 97.03%. Statistically significant differences were observed among full-time and part-time personnel of the nosocomial infection control administration in terms of age (t=5.32, P=0.021), professional background (χ²=9.90, P=0.019), educational qualifications (χ²=19.10, P<0.001), professional titles (χ²=12.60, P=0.002), and the levels of medical institutions (χ²=111.08, P<0.001). The scores of full-time personnel of the nosocomial infection control administration in fundamental cognition [92 (82, 99) points] and basic skills [88 (78, 96) points] were significantly higher than those of part-time personnel(Z=-2.21, P=0.027;Z=-2.74, P=0.006). Statistically significant differences were found in fundamental cognition scores between full-time and part-time personnel of the nosocomial infection control administration regarding occupational safety protection, definition of healthcare-associated infection outbreaks, types of drug-resistant bacteria and their prevention and control strategies, and transmission routes of different infectious diseases (all P<0.05). Statistically significant differences were also observed in basic skills scores including proficient use of monitoring platforms, formulation and revision of standard operating procedures (SOPs), independent completion of targeted surveillance, guidance on basic infection control skills, guidance for key departments, and follow-up of personnel with occupational exposure (all P<0.05). However, no statistically significant differences were found in scores of professional knowledge and personal qualities (P>0.05). ConclusionThere are certain differences in professional competency between full-time and part-time personnel of the nosocomial infection control administration in Shanghai in terms of fundamental cognition and basic skills. Part-time personnel can effectively improve their professional competency through systematic training on basic infection control knowledge and practical skills, thereby comprehensively enhancing the overall quality of the nosocomial infection administration team.

OBJECTIVE: To observe the regulatory effects of moxibustion at "Guanyuan" (CV4) on the synthesis of extragonadal estradiol (E₂) and the expression of estrogen receptor (ER) in ovariectomized rats, aiming to explore the mechanism of moxibustion treatment for perimenopausal syndrome. METHODS: Forty-eight SD female rats of SPF grade were randomly divided into a sham-operation group, a model group and a moxibustion group, with 16 rats in each group. The model group and the moxibustion group underwent bilateral ovariectomy by the back incision method. Ten days after surgery, moxibustion was applied at "Guanyuan" (CV4) in the moxibustion group, 30 min each time, once a day for 10 days. After intervention, in the 3 groups, the body mass and uterus weight were measured; the serum levels of follicle stimulating hormone (FSH), luteinizing hormone (LH) and E₂, as well as the skin and hypothalamus levels of E₂ were detected by ELISA; the mRNA expression of aromatase (P450arom) in the skin and hypothalamus was detected by real-time PCR; the expression of ERα and ERβ in the hypothalamus, skin, and uterus was observed by immunofluorescence staining, and the density of positive cells was calculated using the Aipathwell digital pathology image analysis software. RESULTS: Compared with the sham-operation group, the body mass was increased (P<0.01) and the uterus weight was decreased (P<0.001) in the model group. Compared with the model group, the body mass was decreased in the moxibustion group (P<0.01). Compared with the sham-operation group, in the model group, the serum, hypothalamus and skin levels of E₂ were decreased (P<0.01, P<0.05), while the serum levels of FSH and LH were increased (P<0.01); the expression of ERα and ERβ in the skin, hypothalamus and uterus was decreased (P<0.05, P<0.001). Compared with the model group, in the moxibustion group, the serum levels of E₂ and LH, as well as the hypothalamus and skin levels of E₂ were increased (P<0.05, P<0.01); the mRNA expression of P450arom, as well as the expression of ERα and ERβ in the skin and hypothalamus were increased (P<0.05). CONCLUSION Moxibustion at "Guanyuan" (CV4) reduces the body mass of ovariectomized rats by enhancing the synthesis of extragonadal E₂ and increasing the expression of ER in the skin and hypothalamus, yet it does not alleviate uterine atrophy.
Animals ; Female ; Moxibustion ; Rats ; Ovariectomy ; Acupuncture Points ; Rats, Sprague-Dawley ; Humans ; Receptors, Estrogen/genetics* ; Estrogens/metabolism* ; Estradiol/metabolism* ; Hypothalamus/metabolism* ; Follicle Stimulating Hormone/blood* ; Aromatase/genetics* ; Luteinizing Hormone/blood* ; Skin/metabolism*

Objective:To investigate the application value of self-pulling latter transection(SPLT)in esophagojeju-nal anastomosis during total laparoscopic total gastrectomy.Methods:From January 2021 to December 2023,80 pa-tients who underwent total laparoscopic total gastrectomy at the Department of General Surgery,Yancheng Third People's Hospital,were selected.Patients were grouped based on the intraoperative esophagojejunal anastomosis method:the SPLT group(35 cases,using SPLT esophagojejunostomy)and the Overlap group(45 cases,using esoph-agojejunal overlapping side-to-side anastomosis).Surgical related indicators,complication incidence,nutritional status,and quality of life assessment were compared between the two groups.Results:The time to first postoperative anal exhaust,the number of lymph nodes dissected,and the postoperative hospital stay were compared between the two groups(P＞0.05).The SPLT group had shorter operation time and esophagojejunal anastomosis time,and less intraopera-tive blood loss compared to the control group(P＜0.05).The incidence of postoperative complications in the SPLT group was 8.57%,and in the Overlap group was 11.11%,with no significant difference between the two groups(P＞0.05).The nutritional status at 6 months postoperatively in the SPLT group[Hb(116.97±10.94)g/L、ALB(39.74±1.29)g/L、PA(0.30±0.45)g/L]and Overlap group[Hb(119.78±12.84)g/L、ALB(39.64±1.42)g/L、PA(0.30±0.36)g/L]were compared(P＞0.05).The quality of life assessment(overall health status,functional domains,symptom domains)at 6 months postoperatively between the SPLT group and the Overlap group was compared(P＞0.05).Conclusion:The use of SPLT esophagojeju-nal anastomosis in total laparoscopic total gastrectomy can improve the surgical efficiency,achieve high anastomosis,and its medium and short-term safety is comparable to that of esophagojejunal overlap side-to-side anastomosis.

OBJECTIVE To investigate the current status and existing issues of hospital-associated infection manage-ment in non-public medical institutions,so as to provide data for the formulation of hospital-associated infec-tion management policies and the construction of a quality evaluation system for hospital-associated infection man-agement in non-public medical institutions.METHODS A qualitative research method was employed.In Dec.2023,semi-structured interviews were conducted with 38 directors of hospital-associated infection management depart-ments in primary,secondary and tertiary non-public medical institutions.The interview data were coded and ana-lyzed by Nvivo 12.0 software to refine themes.RESULTS Three themes were refined:the organizational system for hospital-associated infection management in non-public medical institutions had been basically established,but the division of functions and responsibilities was not yet fully clear,hospital-associated infection management had achieved certain results,including collaborating with other departments to standardize and implement infection control measures,enhancing staff awareness of infection control,and promoting the establishment of organization-al systems.There were issues in infection control works such as insufficient funding,personnel allocation not meeting requirements,and difficulties in implementing infection control measures.The most urgent assis-tance needed was to address the training and professional title promotion for full-time and part-time infection con-trol personnel.CONCLUSION Non-public medical institutions should strengthen staffing and training,enhance the pro-fessional capabilities of infection control personnel,and establish hospital-associated infection management standards that are tailored to the characteristics of non-public medical institutions at all levels.

Currently,the first-generation of proton pump inhibitors(PPIs)commonly utilized in clinical practice for the treatment of peptic ulcer include omeprazole,lansoprazole,and pantoprazole,and the second generation include rabeprazole and esomeprazole.The predominant mode of PPI administration is oral,which poses numerous challenges in clinical settings owing to their poor solubility,susceptibility to gastric acid degradation,short half-life,and limited stability.This article presents a comprehensive review of studies exploring the novel states of these five PPIs,include polymorphism,co-crystal drugs,and nanodrugs.Furthermore,it summarizes the advancements in research aimed at modifying the physicochemical properties of these drugs through innovative solid states,thereby enhancing their bioavailability and stability.This work offers a new perspective for researchers endeavoring to develop new states of pharmaceutical substances that incorporate PPIs.

Objective:To investigate the application in evaluating the course and the clinical effects of serum cytokines interleukin (IL)-2, IL-4, IL-6, IL-10, IL-17, tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), and interferon-γ (IFN-γ) levels, as well as neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in patients with brucellosis.Methods:Using case-control method, from February 2023 to March 2024, 274 confirmed brucellosis patients [divided into acute and chronic groups ( n = 165, 109) according to the course of the disease] and 70 healthy individuals (control group) were selected at Beidahuang Group General Hospital for serum cytokines detection using cytometric bead array (CBA) method. Blood routine test, serum agglutination test (SAT) and blood culture were performed at the same time, and NLR and PLR were calculated. Cytokine levels, NLR, and PLR were compared in patients with different disease duration, with or without complications, with different SAT titers [high ( > 1 ∶ 100) and low (≤1 ∶ 100)], and with different blood culture results, and the effects of each indicator on the course of brucellosis were analyzed by logistic regression. Results:The levels of IL-2, IL-6, IL-10, IL-17, TNF-α and IFN-γ in the acute group [ M ( Q1, Q3): 0.32 (0.15, 0.70), 18.97 (10.70, 36.86), 2.54 (1.49, 4.36), 1.41 (0.38, 3.05), 1.31 (0.77, 2.33), 11.60 (2.30, 36.75) ng/L] were higher than those in the chronic group [0.18 (0.06, 0.43), 1.68 (0.75, 5.74), 0.88 (0.40, 1.93), 0.29 (0.09, 0.87), 0.59 (0.31, 1.07), 0.72 (0.33, 1.42) ng/L] and control group [0.10 (0.05, 0.30), 1.52 (0.09, 2.80), 0.72 (0.35, 1.16), 0.08 (0.03, 0.20), 0.55 (0.20, 0.96), 0.68 (0.41, 1.25) ng/L, P < 0.05]. The IFN-γ level in the group with complications of brucellosis was lower than that in the group without complications, while the NLR and PLR were higher than those in the group without complications ( P < 0.05). The levels of IL-6, IL-17, TNF-α, and IFN-γ in the high titer group were higher than those in the low titer group, and the NLR was lower than that in the low titer group ( P < 0.05). The levels of IFN-γ and TNF-α of blood culture positive patients in the acute group were higher than those of blood culture negative patients ( P < 0.05). Univariate analysis showed that all 7 cytokines could affect the course of brucellosis ( P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis showed that IL-6, TNF-α, and IFN-γ were independent influencing factors of the course of brucellosis [ OR (95% CI) = 0.87 (0.83, 0.91), 0.55 (0.32, 0.97), 0.80 (0.72, 0.88), P < 0.05]. Conclusions:The levels of cytokines IL-2, IL-6, IL-10, IL-17, TNF-α, and IFN-γ can reflect the course progression of brucellosis patients, IL-6, IFN-γ and TNF-α can also serve as independent influencing factors for brucellosis progression. NLR and PLR may become inflammatory markers for predicting Brucella infection.

BACKGROUND:Rheumatoid arthritis is a complex autoimmune disease characterized by joint swelling,pain,and progressive damage.The basic pathological changes include synovitis and pannus formation,with T lymphocyte infiltration being the key to its pathogenesis.In recent years,the application of traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)monomers in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis has attracted increasing attention.They have shown long-lasting effcacy and fewer side effects by regulating the T helper cell 17(Th17)/regulatory T cells(Treg)balance in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis.OBJECTIVE:To discuss the mechanisms by which TCM monomers regulate the Th17/Treg balance to treat rheumatoid arthritis,based on the latest basic research,providing a solid theoretical basis for future applications of TCM in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis.METHODS:Using keywords such as"rheumatoid arthritis,Th17/Treg,traditional Chinese medicine,Chinese herbal monomer,"and their Chinese equivalents,literature searches were conducted in PubMed,Web of Science,Embase,Cochrane,VIP,CBM,CNKI,and WanFang databases for relevant studies from their inception to August 2024.Inclusion and exclusion criteria were established,and the articles were screened by reading the titles,abstracts,and full texts.Finally,57 relevant articles were included.RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:(1)TCM monomers have immunoregulatory effects in the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis.They exert therapeutic effects by maintaining the Th17/Treg balance through the regulation of transcription factors,cytokines,signaling pathways,and miRNAs.(2)There may be synergistic effects among some TCM monomers,but the specific mechanisms and enhancement effects in regulating the Th17/Treg balance require further exploration.(3)Regulating the Th17/Treg balance using TCM monomers may become a key clinical therapy for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis.