Objective: To compare the predictive performance of the seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model, the Prophet model, and the Bayesian structural time series (BSTS) model in forecasting the incidence of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) , so as to provide a basis for optimizing the early warning system of this disease. Methods: Weekly incidence data of HFMD in Longgang District, Shenzhen City from 2014 to 2024 were collected. The HFMD incidence data from 2014-2019 and 2023 were used as the training set to construct SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS models, while the data from 2024 were used as the test set to compare and evaluate the predictive performance of the three models. The technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method was employed to calculate the C-value. This approach integrates multiple evaluation metrics, such as the mean absolute error (MAE), mean squared error (MSE), root mean squared error (RMSE), and symmetric mean absolute percentage error (SMAPE), to comprehensively assess model performance. Results: A total of 150 111 cases of HFMD were reported in Longgang District from 2014 to 2024, with an average annual incidence of 400.72/105. The weekly incidence fluctuated between 0 and 63.78/105, exhibiting a bimodal seasonal pattern characterized by a primary peak from May to July and a secondary peak from September to October. In the training set, all three models demonstrated a good fit to the bimodal epidemic trend of HFMD, with the BSTS model achieving the best fit. The BSTS model yielded performance metrics as follows: MAE=0.124, MSE=0.050, RMSE=0.223, SMAPE=0.021, and a C-value of 1.000. In the test set, all three models, including SARIMA, Prophet, and BSTS, performed well for short-term predictions (≤16 weeks), with the Prophet model showing relatively superior predictive performance. However, the prediction accuracy of all models declined as the forecast horizon extended. During the primary peak period (May-July), the Prophet model exhibited better predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model performed relatively better during the secondary peak period (September-October). Conclusions For the short-term forecasting of weekly HFMD incidence, the Prophet model outperformed both the SARIMA and BSTS models. During the primary peak period, the Prophet model demonstrated superior predictive performance, whereas the BSTS model exhibited better accuracy in forecasting the secondary peak period.

Objective To investigate the role of quercetin(QUE)in ferroptosis during intestinal ischemia-reperfusion(IR)injury and elucidate its underlying mechanisms.Methods ① Potential target genes of QUE were predicted using the TCMSP,PharmMapper,and SwissTargetPredictive databases.Target genes associated with intestinal IR injury and ferroptosis were collected from GeneCards,PharmGKB,and OMIM databases.After overlapping genes were identified and analyzed,protein-protein interaction(PPI)networks were constructed using the STRING database and then visualized with Cytoscape 3.10.0.Molecular docking was performed to validate the binding conformations between QUE and key targets.② In vivo experiments were conducted to verify QUE's protective effects against intestinal IR injury.Thirty-six SPF-grade male C57BL/6J mice(6～8 weeks old,body weight:22±2 g)were randomly divided into Sham,Sham+QUE,IR,IR+QUE,IR+QUE+erastin(IR+QUE+Era),and IR+QUE+kevetrin hydrochloride(IR+QUE+KH)groups,with 6 mice in each group.Mouse model of intestinal IR injury was induced by 45 min ischemia of the superior mesenteric artery followed by 60 min reperfusion.HE staining was used to observe histopathological changes in the intestinal tissues.ELISA was employed to the serum or intestinal contents of diamine oxidase(DAO),pro-inflammatory cytokines(TNF-α,IL-6,IL-1β),and ferroptosis markers[glutathione(GSH)and Fe2+].Western blotting was utilized to detect the protein expression of glutathione peroxidase 4(GPX4),acyl-CoA synthetase long-chain family member 4(ACSL4),and tumor protein 53(p53).Results ① Network pharmacology identified 460 QUE targets,1 552 intestinal IR injury targets,and 1 967 ferroptosis-related targets,and 92 overlapping genes were identified as potential therapeutic targets.Molecular docking revealed a strong binding affinity between QUE and p53(binding energy:-6.8 kcal/mol).② In vivo experiments demonstrated that the IR+QUE group exhibited reduced intestinal damage and lower Chiu's score(P<0.05),decreased serum DAO content but elevated intestinal DAO content(P<0.05),decreased levels of TNF-α,IL-6,and IL-1β in the serum and intestinal tissues(P<0.05),reduced Fe2+accumulation,and increased GSH content(P<0.05),and up-regulated GPX4(P<0.05)and down-regulated ACSL4 and p53 expression(P<0.05)at protein level when compared with the IR group.While,the administration of ferroptosis agonist Era,or p53 agonist KH resulted in diminished therapeutic effects of QUE(P<0.05)when compared with the IR+QUE group.Conclusion QUE alleviates intestinal IR injury by inhibiting ferroptosis,which may be associated with its down-regulating p53 expression.

Objective To investigate whether remimazolam attenuates intestinal ischemia-reperfusion(I/R)injury in mice by regulating ferroptosis through connexin-43(CX43).Methods Molecular docking was applied to predict the binding affinity of remimazolam to CX43.A total of 72 SPF-grade adult male C57BL/6J mice(6～8 weeks old,weighing 20～25 g)were subjected.Thirty of them were randomly divided into sham operation group(Sham group),I/R group 1,and I/R+10,20 and 40 mg/kg remimazolam groups(RM10,RM20 and RM40 groups),with 6 mice in each group.Another 30 mice were randomly assigned into 5 groups(n=6),I/R group 2,erastin group(E group),I/R+40 mg/kg remimazolam group 2(RM40 group 2),I/R+Fer-1 group(Fer-1 group),and erastin+40 mg/kg remimazolam group(ERM group).The left 12 mice were randomly and equally grouped into I/R+RM+oe-NC group(oe-NC group)and I/R+RM+oe-CX43 group(oe-CX43 group).The Fer-1 group was given an intraperitoneal injection of 5 mg/kg Fer-1 in 1 h prior to reperfusion,the E group was given 10 mg/kg erastin intraperitoneally 1 d before modeling,and all the remimazolam groups,the oe-NC group and the oe-CX43 group were injected intravenously with corresponding doses of remimazolam 30 min pre-modeling,while the oe-NC and oe-CX43 groups were injected with empty vector virus and overexpression of CX43 vector virus,respectively,48 h before the administration of remimazolam.A mouse intestinal I/R injury model was constructed by clamping the superior mesenteric artery for 45 min and reperfusion for 30 min.The small intestine tissues were harvested and observed for pathological changes,and the intestinal mucosal damage was assessed with Chiu's score.The contents of Fe2+,total iron,malondialdehyde(MDA),glutathione(GSH),and superoxide dismutase(SOD)were detected by colorimetric assay;the production of reactive oxygen species(ROS)was determined by DHE probe;the expression of ferroptosis-related genes was determined by RT-qPCR;and the expression levels of CX43,GPX4,and SLC7A11 were detected by Western blotting.Results Molecular docking indicated that remimazolam had a binding energy of-6.699 kcal/mol with CX43 protein,suggesting good binding affinity between them.Compared with the Sham group,the I/R group 1 showed increases in Chiu's scores and CX43 expression(P<0.05),along with pathological damage to intestinal tissues,and elevated contents of Fe2+,total iron,ROS and MDA(P<0.05),and down-regulated GPX4 and SLC7A11(P<0.05).Compared with the I/R group 1,Chiu's score was reduced in the RM40 group,and CX43 was significantly down-regulated(P<0.05),contents of Fe2+,total iron,ROS,and MDA were decreased(P<0.05),and expression levels of GPX4 and SLC7A11 were enhanced(P<0.05),and severity of intestinal histological damage was attenuated in both the RM40 and Fer-1 groups.Compared with the E group,the ERM group had the decreases in CX43 expression level(P<0.05),Fe2+,total iron,ROS,and MDA contents(P<0.05),and increases in GPX4 and SLC7A11 expression levels(P<0.05),with the improvement in intestinal tissue.Compared with the oe-NC group,overexpression of CX43 resulted in the increased CX43 expression,elevated contents of Fe2+,total iron,ROS and MDA(P<0.05)and decreased expression of GPX4 and SLC7A11(P<0.05),leading to the exacerbated injury in intestinal tissue.Conclusion Remimazolam attenuates intestinal I/R injury by inhibiting ferroptosis through down-regulating CX43 expression.

AIM:To investigate the mechanism by which resveratrol(RSV)alleviates intestinal ischemia-re-perfusion(I/R)injury through modulation of the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway.METHODS:Twenty-four male C57BL/6J mice were randomly allocated into four experimental groups:the sham group,I/R group,I/R+RSV(treatment)group,and I/R+RSV+XAV939(inhibitor)group,with 6 mice per group.In the I/R,treatment,and inhibitor groups,the superior mesenteric artery was clamped for 45 minutes and then reperfused for 2 hours to establish the intestinal I/R injury model.The sham group underwent vascular dissection without occlusion.The treatment and inhibitor groups received dai-ly intraperitoneal injections of 15 mg/kg resveratrol for 5 d preoperatively,and the other two groups were intraperitoneally injected with an equal volume of 0.1%dimethyl sulfoxide.The inhibitor group additionally received 10 mg/kg XAV939 30 minutes pre-ischemia.HE staining was used to observe the pathological changes in the intestinal tissues,and the Chiu score standard was used to evaluate the pathological damage.Apoptosis was evaluated through TUNEL staining and the apoptotic index(AI).Diamine oxidase(DAO)level was measured by ELISA.The expression levels of B-cell lymphoma 2(Bcl-2),Bcl-2-associated X protein,cleaved caspase-3,Wnt3a and β-catenin proteins were detected by Western blot.RESULTS:Compared with sham group,the mice in I/R group showed significantly increased Chiu score,elevated DAO level and AI(P<0.05),up-regulated cleaved caspase-3 and Bax protein levels,and down-regulated Bcl-2,Wnt3a and β-catenin protein levels(P<0.05).Treatment with RSV reversed these alterations(P<0.05).XAV939 co-administration abolished the protective effects of RSV(P<0.05).CONCLUSION:Resveratrol ameliorates intestinal I/R injury by acti-vating the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway and suppressing apoptosis.

Objective To provide a reference for the clinical individualized medication of hypertension,the antihypertensive efficacy of Gouteng Xuanshen prescription in the treatment of hypertension was verified,and its improvement on the discomfort symptoms of patients was explored.Methods This study adopted a retrospective cohort study design.The data were derived from the electronic medical records of 6770 hypertensive patients in the Affiliated Hospital of Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 1,2013 to January 1,2023.The exposure factor was the treatment of Uncaria rhynchophylla,Scrophularia ningpoensis,and Radish Seed.After the propensity score was used to deal with the confounding factors,the changes in blood pressure of the patients after treatment were observed.At the same time,in order to analyze the improvement of patients'symptoms,the Apriori algorithm to mine the core symptoms of patients was explored,and the patient symptom network was constructed.The BGLL algorithm was used to divide the symptoms into communities to form a symptom map.Finally,survival analysis and Cox regression were used to find the sensitive symptom community of Gouteng Xuanshen prescription,and the related factors were analyzed.Results 468 people were included in the exposure group and the control group.After treatment,more patients in the exposure group reached the target blood pressure(P<0.01),and the effect was better in lowering systolic blood pressure(P<0.05),and no obvious abnormalities in safety indicators were found.In terms of symptom improvement,the 134 symptoms recorded in the medical records were divided into 6 groups.As the medication time increased,the patient's head discomfort was easier to relieve.The effect was best at 8 weeks of treatment,and it was more sensitive to patients with extremely high cardiovascular risk or grade 3 hypertension.Conclusion This study verified the clinical efficacy of the Gouteng Xuanshen prescription in the treatment of hypertension through electronic medical record data,which preliminarily revealed the potential role and law of the Gouteng Xuanshen prescription in the treatment of hypertension.

Objective To provide a reference for the clinical individualized medication of hypertension,the antihypertensive efficacy of Gouteng Xuanshen prescription in the treatment of hypertension was verified,and its improvement on the discomfort symptoms of patients was explored.Methods This study adopted a retrospective cohort study design.The data were derived from the electronic medical records of 6770 hypertensive patients in the Affiliated Hospital of Shandong University of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 1,2013 to January 1,2023.The exposure factor was the treatment of Uncaria rhynchophylla,Scrophularia ningpoensis,and Radish Seed.After the propensity score was used to deal with the confounding factors,the changes in blood pressure of the patients after treatment were observed.At the same time,in order to analyze the improvement of patients'symptoms,the Apriori algorithm to mine the core symptoms of patients was explored,and the patient symptom network was constructed.The BGLL algorithm was used to divide the symptoms into communities to form a symptom map.Finally,survival analysis and Cox regression were used to find the sensitive symptom community of Gouteng Xuanshen prescription,and the related factors were analyzed.Results 468 people were included in the exposure group and the control group.After treatment,more patients in the exposure group reached the target blood pressure(P<0.01),and the effect was better in lowering systolic blood pressure(P<0.05),and no obvious abnormalities in safety indicators were found.In terms of symptom improvement,the 134 symptoms recorded in the medical records were divided into 6 groups.As the medication time increased,the patient's head discomfort was easier to relieve.The effect was best at 8 weeks of treatment,and it was more sensitive to patients with extremely high cardiovascular risk or grade 3 hypertension.Conclusion This study verified the clinical efficacy of the Gouteng Xuanshen prescription in the treatment of hypertension through electronic medical record data,which preliminarily revealed the potential role and law of the Gouteng Xuanshen prescription in the treatment of hypertension.

AIM:To investigate the mechanism by which resveratrol(RSV)alleviates intestinal ischemia-re-perfusion(I/R)injury through modulation of the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway.METHODS:Twenty-four male C57BL/6J mice were randomly allocated into four experimental groups:the sham group,I/R group,I/R+RSV(treatment)group,and I/R+RSV+XAV939(inhibitor)group,with 6 mice per group.In the I/R,treatment,and inhibitor groups,the superior mesenteric artery was clamped for 45 minutes and then reperfused for 2 hours to establish the intestinal I/R injury model.The sham group underwent vascular dissection without occlusion.The treatment and inhibitor groups received dai-ly intraperitoneal injections of 15 mg/kg resveratrol for 5 d preoperatively,and the other two groups were intraperitoneally injected with an equal volume of 0.1%dimethyl sulfoxide.The inhibitor group additionally received 10 mg/kg XAV939 30 minutes pre-ischemia.HE staining was used to observe the pathological changes in the intestinal tissues,and the Chiu score standard was used to evaluate the pathological damage.Apoptosis was evaluated through TUNEL staining and the apoptotic index(AI).Diamine oxidase(DAO)level was measured by ELISA.The expression levels of B-cell lymphoma 2(Bcl-2),Bcl-2-associated X protein,cleaved caspase-3,Wnt3a and β-catenin proteins were detected by Western blot.RESULTS:Compared with sham group,the mice in I/R group showed significantly increased Chiu score,elevated DAO level and AI(P<0.05),up-regulated cleaved caspase-3 and Bax protein levels,and down-regulated Bcl-2,Wnt3a and β-catenin protein levels(P<0.05).Treatment with RSV reversed these alterations(P<0.05).XAV939 co-administration abolished the protective effects of RSV(P<0.05).CONCLUSION:Resveratrol ameliorates intestinal I/R injury by acti-vating the Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway and suppressing apoptosis.

Objective:To establish the evaluation criteria for the quality of nursing care in orthopaedic trauma specialties, and to provide a basis for scientific evaluation of the quality of nursing care in orthopaedic trauma specialties.Methods:From February to October 2023, John Hopkinson evidence-based method was used to synthesize the evidence, clinical investigation and semi-structured interview were used to draw up the "quality standard of nursing care in orthopaedic trauma specialty", and two rounds of Delphi method of expert inquiry were used to screen, demonstrate and calibrate the evaluation standard of nursing quality in orthopaedic trauma specialty.Results:The questionnaire recovery rate of 2 rounds of expert consultation was 100.00%, the coefficient of familiarity and authority of 2 rounds of expert consultation were 0.92 and 0.93. Through 2 rounds of expert letter consultation, the quality evaluation criteria of orthopaedic trauma specialist care were established, including 3 first-level indicators (structural quality, process quality and outcome quality), 22 second-level indicators and 85 third-level indicators.Conclusions:The process of constructing the evaluation standard of nursing quality in orthopaedic trauma specialty is scientific and reliable, which can provide standard guidance for clinical practice and is conducive to the development of specialized nursing.

Carcinoma-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) are the main cellular components of the tumor microenvironment and promote cancer progression by modifying the extracellular matrix (ECM). The tumor-associated ECM is characterized by collagen crosslinking catalyzed by lysyl oxidase (LOX). Small extracellular vesicles (sEVs) mediate cell-cell communication. However, the interactions between sEVs and the ECM remain unclear. Here, we demonstrated that sEVs released from oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC)-derived CAFs induce collagen crosslinking, thereby promoting epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT). CAF sEVs preferably bound to the ECM rather than being taken up by fibroblasts and induced collagen crosslinking, and a LOX inhibitor or blocking antibody suppressed this effect. Active LOX (αLOX), but not the LOX precursor, was enriched in CAF sEVs and interacted with periostin, fibronectin, and bone morphogenetic protein-1 on the surface of sEVs. CAF sEV-associated integrin α2β1 mediated the binding of CAF sEVs to collagen I, and blocking integrin α2β1 inhibited collagen crosslinking by interfering with CAF sEV binding to collagen I. CAF sEV-induced collagen crosslinking promoted the EMT of OSCC through FAK/paxillin/YAP pathway. Taken together, these findings reveal a novel role of CAF sEVs in tumor ECM remodeling, suggesting a critical mechanism for CAF-induced EMT of cancer cells.
Humans ; Paxillin/metabolism* ; Protein-Lysine 6-Oxidase/metabolism* ; Carcinoma, Squamous Cell/pathology* ; Epithelial-Mesenchymal Transition ; Integrin alpha2beta1/metabolism* ; Mouth Neoplasms/pathology* ; Collagen/metabolism* ; Fibroblasts ; Extracellular Vesicles/metabolism* ; Cell Line, Tumor ; Tumor Microenvironment

Objectives:To investigate the relationship between visceral adipose index and glomerular filtration rate in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.Methods:A total of 1 036 patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus who received treatment in The Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University from May 2017 to May 2018 were included in this study. The visceral adipose index was detected using a bioresistance assay. These patients were divided into four groups using the quartile method: Visceral adipose index < 8.10 (q1 group, n = 246), 9.60 > visceral adipose index ≥ 8.10 (q2 group, n = 64), 11.10 > visceral adipose index ≥ 9.60 (q3 group, n = 423), visceral adipose index ≥ 11.10 (q4 group, n = 233). One-way analysis of variance was performed to compare the differences among groups. Partial correlation and multiple regression were used to analyze the correlation between body mass index, waist circumference, waist-to-height ratio, waist-to-hip ratio, body fat content, visceral adipose index, and urinary microalbumin and glomerular filtration rate. Results:With the increase in the visceral adipose index, the glomerular filtration rate gradually decreased. The glomerular filtration rate in the q1, q2, q3, q4 groups was (112.19 ± 31.74) mL·min -1·1.73 m -2, (106.14 ± 28.26) mL·min -1·1.73 m -2, (104.73 ± 23.63) mL·min -1·1.73 m -2, (103.40 ± 27.51) mL·min -1·1.73 m -2, respectively. In the female group, with the increase in visceral adipose index, the glomerular filtration rate decreased gradually. After controlling for age, sex, diabetes, and hypertension, the visceral adipose index was significantly correlated with the glomerular filtration rate ( r = -0.10, P < 0.001). Multiple regression analysis showed that visceral adipose index and waist-to-height ratio were closely related to glomerular filtration rate ( F = 6.00, P < 0.001). Conclusion:With the increase of visceral adipose index, body mass index, waist circumference, waist-to-height ratio, waist-to-hip ratio, body fat content, and urinary microalbumin increased gradually. When the visceral adipose index is greater than 9.60, the glomerular filtration rate is significantly decreased. Therefore, it is suggested to adopt various methods to evaluate obesity in clinical work, and visceral fat index should be paid more attention, especially when the visceral fat index is greater than 9.60.