1.Characteristics and trends of pneumoconiosis incidence in Hebei Province from 1949 to 2024
Junqin ZHAO ; Guangyi BAI ; Zhenyu GONG ; Lixin YANG ; Junqing GAO ; Ye ZHAN
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2026;43(5):597-603
Background Pneumoconiosis remains a critical occupational disease in China. As a major industrial province, Hebei historically faced severe challenges regarding this condition. The 1986 national epidemiological survey ranked Hebei sixth in reported pneumoconiosis cases nationwide. Objective To analyze 76 years of pneumoconiosis data (1949–2024) in Hebei Province to provide evidence-based support for prevention and control strategies. Methods Occupational pneumoconiosis cases diagnosed in Hebei from 1949 to 2024 were included. Five-year intervals were used to analyze incidence composition, dust exposure duration, age at first diagnosis, and age at death. A hybrid model, integrating autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) with generalized regression neural network (GRNN), was employed to predict case numbers for the 2025−2030 period. Results A total of 36107 cases of pneumoconiosis were recorded (2.10% female) in Hebei from 1949 to 2024. Stages I, II, and III accounted for 77.35%, 16.45%, and 6.20%, respectively. Silicosis (55.60%), coal workers’ pneumoconiosis (27.24%), and pottery workers’ pneumoconiosis (8.88%) were the predominant types. Observed trends included a shortened dust exposure duration [silicosis: (12.78±7.063) years in 2020–2024] and an increasing age at first diagnosis [(54.01±7.499) years in 2020–2024]. The case-fatality rate was 14.84%, with a rising age at death [(82.26±9.632) years in 2015–2019]. Three incidence peaks (1963, 1984, and 2014) correlated with national policies and industrialization phases. The number of pneumoconiosis cases showed a decreasing trend from 2015 to 2024. Chengde and Tangshan were identified as current high-risk areas. The ARIMA-GRNN model projected annual cases between 416 and 429 during 2025–2030. Conclusion In the past decade,the number of pneumoconiosis cases in Hebei Province had shown a decreasing trend, it is projected to plateau with no significant decline over the next five years. Furthermore, challenges such as the proportion of silicosis remaining high and shortened dust exposure duration remain severe. It is recommended to focus on key regions like Chengde (ore mining) and Tangshan (ceramics industry). A comprehensive strategy integrating stricter regulation, technological controls, model innovation, and targeted interventions should be implemented to achieve a further substantial reduction in pneumoconiosis incidence.
2.Characteristics and trends of pneumoconiosis incidence in Hebei Province from 1949 to 2024
Junqin ZHAO ; Guangyi BAI ; Zhenyu GONG ; Lixin YANG ; Junqing GAO ; Ye ZHAN
Journal of Environmental and Occupational Medicine 2026;43(5):597-603
Background Pneumoconiosis remains a critical occupational disease in China. As a major industrial province, Hebei historically faced severe challenges regarding this condition. The 1986 national epidemiological survey ranked Hebei sixth in reported pneumoconiosis cases nationwide. Objective To analyze 76 years of pneumoconiosis data (1949–2024) in Hebei Province to provide evidence-based support for prevention and control strategies. Methods Occupational pneumoconiosis cases diagnosed in Hebei from 1949 to 2024 were included. Five-year intervals were used to analyze incidence composition, dust exposure duration, age at first diagnosis, and age at death. A hybrid model, integrating autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) with generalized regression neural network (GRNN), was employed to predict case numbers for the 2025−2030 period. Results A total of 36107 cases of pneumoconiosis were recorded (2.10% female) in Hebei from 1949 to 2024. Stages I, II, and III accounted for 77.35%, 16.45%, and 6.20%, respectively. Silicosis (55.60%), coal workers’ pneumoconiosis (27.24%), and pottery workers’ pneumoconiosis (8.88%) were the predominant types. Observed trends included a shortened dust exposure duration [silicosis: (12.78±7.063) years in 2020–2024] and an increasing age at first diagnosis [(54.01±7.499) years in 2020–2024]. The case-fatality rate was 14.84%, with a rising age at death [(82.26±9.632) years in 2015–2019]. Three incidence peaks (1963, 1984, and 2014) correlated with national policies and industrialization phases. The number of pneumoconiosis cases showed a decreasing trend from 2015 to 2024. Chengde and Tangshan were identified as current high-risk areas. The ARIMA-GRNN model projected annual cases between 416 and 429 during 2025–2030. Conclusion In the past decade,the number of pneumoconiosis cases in Hebei Province had shown a decreasing trend, it is projected to plateau with no significant decline over the next five years. Furthermore, challenges such as the proportion of silicosis remaining high and shortened dust exposure duration remain severe. It is recommended to focus on key regions like Chengde (ore mining) and Tangshan (ceramics industry). A comprehensive strategy integrating stricter regulation, technological controls, model innovation, and targeted interventions should be implemented to achieve a further substantial reduction in pneumoconiosis incidence.
3.Comparison of Two Methods of LPS-Induced Two-Hit Acute Lung Injury Models and Analysis of Clinical Syndrome Characteristics in Chinese and Western Medicine
Guofeng CHEN ; Junqing LIANG ; Xu HE ; Xiaojia HUANG ; Ye LIN ; Jing SUN ; Yan LI
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;27(8):2340-2350
Objective To explore the efficacy of two lipopolysaccharide(LPS)two-hit methods in establishing an acute lung injury(ALI)mouse model and analyze the characteristics of this model within the context of both Western and traditional Chinese medicine(TCM).Methods Healthy male C57BL/6 mice were randomly divided into six groups:PBS instillation control group,PBS nebulization control group,instillation two-hit group,nebulization two-hit group I,nebulization two-hit group Ⅱ,and nebulization two-hit group Ⅲ.Using LPS as a stimulant,a"two-hit"approach was employed to establish an ALI mouse model.Body temperature,weight,pulse oximetric oxygen saturation(SpO2),lung tissue wet-to-dry weight ratio(W/D),levels of tumor necrosis factor(TNF-α),interleukin-1β(IL-1β),and myeloperoxidase(MPO)activity in lung tissue,as well as total protein concentration and white blood cell count in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid were measured.Through evaluating the consistency between TCM and Western medical syndromes,the classification,characteristics,modeling methods,advantages,and disadvantages of the two-hit ALI animal model were summarized and analyzed based on the clinical diagnostic criteria and syndrome characteristics of ALI in both TCM and Western medicine.Results Compared with the control group,the body temperature,weight,and SpO2 of model group decreased,W/D increased,levels of TNF-α,IL-1β,and MPO activity in lung tissue increased.The alveolar walls thickened with a large exudate of red blood cells.The total protein concentration and white blood cell count in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid significantly increased.The existing two-hit ALI animal model showed a high degree of consistency with Western medical diagnostic main symptoms.Conclusion Both methods of two-hit can prepare mouse ALI models,among which the nebulization two-hit Group Ⅲ showed more pronounced effects in simulating the pathological changes and clinical symptoms of ALI.
4.Comparison of Two Methods of LPS-Induced Two-Hit Acute Lung Injury Models and Analysis of Clinical Syndrome Characteristics in Chinese and Western Medicine
Guofeng CHEN ; Junqing LIANG ; Xu HE ; Xiaojia HUANG ; Ye LIN ; Jing SUN ; Yan LI
World Science and Technology-Modernization of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2025;27(8):2340-2350
Objective To explore the efficacy of two lipopolysaccharide(LPS)two-hit methods in establishing an acute lung injury(ALI)mouse model and analyze the characteristics of this model within the context of both Western and traditional Chinese medicine(TCM).Methods Healthy male C57BL/6 mice were randomly divided into six groups:PBS instillation control group,PBS nebulization control group,instillation two-hit group,nebulization two-hit group I,nebulization two-hit group Ⅱ,and nebulization two-hit group Ⅲ.Using LPS as a stimulant,a"two-hit"approach was employed to establish an ALI mouse model.Body temperature,weight,pulse oximetric oxygen saturation(SpO2),lung tissue wet-to-dry weight ratio(W/D),levels of tumor necrosis factor(TNF-α),interleukin-1β(IL-1β),and myeloperoxidase(MPO)activity in lung tissue,as well as total protein concentration and white blood cell count in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid were measured.Through evaluating the consistency between TCM and Western medical syndromes,the classification,characteristics,modeling methods,advantages,and disadvantages of the two-hit ALI animal model were summarized and analyzed based on the clinical diagnostic criteria and syndrome characteristics of ALI in both TCM and Western medicine.Results Compared with the control group,the body temperature,weight,and SpO2 of model group decreased,W/D increased,levels of TNF-α,IL-1β,and MPO activity in lung tissue increased.The alveolar walls thickened with a large exudate of red blood cells.The total protein concentration and white blood cell count in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid significantly increased.The existing two-hit ALI animal model showed a high degree of consistency with Western medical diagnostic main symptoms.Conclusion Both methods of two-hit can prepare mouse ALI models,among which the nebulization two-hit Group Ⅲ showed more pronounced effects in simulating the pathological changes and clinical symptoms of ALI.
5.Guideline for Adult Weight Management in China
Weiqing WANG ; Qin WAN ; Jianhua MA ; Guang WANG ; Yufan WANG ; Guixia WANG ; Yongquan SHI ; Tingjun YE ; Xiaoguang SHI ; Jian KUANG ; Bo FENG ; Xiuyan FENG ; Guang NING ; Yiming MU ; Hongyu KUANG ; Xiaoping XING ; Chunli PIAO ; Xingbo CHENG ; Zhifeng CHENG ; Yufang BI ; Yan BI ; Wenshan LYU ; Dalong ZHU ; Cuiyan ZHU ; Wei ZHU ; Fei HUA ; Fei XIANG ; Shuang YAN ; Zilin SUN ; Yadong SUN ; Liqin SUN ; Luying SUN ; Li YAN ; Yanbing LI ; Hong LI ; Shu LI ; Ling LI ; Yiming LI ; Chenzhong LI ; Hua YANG ; Jinkui YANG ; Ling YANG ; Ying YANG ; Tao YANG ; Xiao YANG ; Xinhua XIAO ; Dan WU ; Jinsong KUANG ; Lanjie HE ; Wei GU ; Jie SHEN ; Yongfeng SONG ; Qiao ZHANG ; Hong ZHANG ; Yuwei ZHANG ; Junqing ZHANG ; Xianfeng ZHANG ; Miao ZHANG ; Yifei ZHANG ; Yingli LU ; Hong CHEN ; Li CHEN ; Bing CHEN ; Shihong CHEN ; Guiyan CHEN ; Haibing CHEN ; Lei CHEN ; Yanyan CHEN ; Genben CHEN ; Yikun ZHOU ; Xianghai ZHOU ; Qiang ZHOU ; Jiaqiang ZHOU ; Hongting ZHENG ; Zhongyan SHAN ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Dong ZHAO ; Ji HU ; Jiang HU ; Xinguo HOU ; Bimin SHI ; Tianpei HONG ; Mingxia YUAN ; Weibo XIA ; Xuejiang GU ; Yong XU ; Shuguang PANG ; Tianshu GAO ; Zuhua GAO ; Xiaohui GUO ; Hongyi CAO ; Mingfeng CAO ; Xiaopei CAO ; Jing MA ; Bin LU ; Zhen LIANG ; Jun LIANG ; Min LONG ; Yongde PENG ; Jin LU ; Hongyun LU ; Yan LU ; Chunping ZENG ; Binhong WEN ; Xueyong LOU ; Qingbo GUAN ; Lin LIAO ; Xin LIAO ; Ping XIONG ; Yaoming XUE
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(11):891-907
Body weight abnormalities, including overweight, obesity, and underweight, have become a dual public health challenge in Chinese adults: overweight and obesity lead to a variety of chronic complications, while underweight increases the risks of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and organ dysfunction. To systematically address these issues, multidisciplinary experts in endocrinology, sports science, nutrition, and psychiatry from various regions have held multiple weight management seminars. Based on the latest epidemiological data and clinical evidence, they expanded the guideline to include assessment and intervention strategies for underweight, in addition to the core content of obesity management. This guideline outlines the etiological mechanisms, evaluation methods, and multidimensional management strategies for overweight and obesity, covering key areas such as diagnosis and assessment, medical nutrition therapy, exercise prescription, pharmacological intervention, and psychological support. It is intended to provide a scientific and standardized approach to weight management across the adult population, aiming to curb the rising prevalence of obesity, mitigate complications associated with abnormal body weight, and improve nutritional status and overall quality of life.
6.A multi-center cross-sectional study on the status quo and influencing factors of moral distress of pediatric nurses
Kongjia QIAN ; Xian YE ; Junqing CHEN ; Cuiping ZHANG ; Yi WANG ; Yangxiu CHEN ; Dan WANG ; Hongzhen XU
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2025;41(14):1049-1055
Objective:To assess the level of moral distress among pediatric nurses in China and explore its influencing factors, providing a reference for future interventions.Methods:A cross-sectional survey was conducted using a convenience sampling method from May 2022 to March 2023. Pediatric nurses meeting the inclusion and exclusion criteria were selected from children′s specialized hospitals, general hospitals, and maternal and child health hospitals across 16 provinces in China. Moral distress was assessed using the Chinese version of the Moral Distress Scale-Revised (MDS-R). Data analysis included descriptive statistics, non-parametric analysis, and multiple linear regression.Results:A total of 509 pediatric nurses participated in the survey, including 10 males and 499 females. Among them, 45 were aged ≤25 years, 268 were aged 26-35 years, 172 were aged 36-45 years, and 24 were aged >45 years.The median moral distress score was 58.00 (26.00, 77.50). Factors independently associated with higher levels of moral distress included having a master′s degree ( t = 2.33), working in a ward with more than 40 beds ( t = 3.38), working in a ward without parental accompaniment ( t = 2.60), being passively assigned to the nursing profession ( t = 2.63), and considering resignation but not leaving the job ( t = 3.85) (all P<0.05). Conclusions:Pediatric nurses in China experience a moderate level of moral distress. Further research is needed to understand its underlying causes and to develop preventive and intervention strategies.
7.A multi-center cross-sectional study on the status quo and influencing factors of moral distress of pediatric nurses
Kongjia QIAN ; Xian YE ; Junqing CHEN ; Cuiping ZHANG ; Yi WANG ; Yangxiu CHEN ; Dan WANG ; Hongzhen XU
Chinese Journal of Practical Nursing 2025;41(14):1049-1055
Objective:To assess the level of moral distress among pediatric nurses in China and explore its influencing factors, providing a reference for future interventions.Methods:A cross-sectional survey was conducted using a convenience sampling method from May 2022 to March 2023. Pediatric nurses meeting the inclusion and exclusion criteria were selected from children′s specialized hospitals, general hospitals, and maternal and child health hospitals across 16 provinces in China. Moral distress was assessed using the Chinese version of the Moral Distress Scale-Revised (MDS-R). Data analysis included descriptive statistics, non-parametric analysis, and multiple linear regression.Results:A total of 509 pediatric nurses participated in the survey, including 10 males and 499 females. Among them, 45 were aged ≤25 years, 268 were aged 26-35 years, 172 were aged 36-45 years, and 24 were aged >45 years.The median moral distress score was 58.00 (26.00, 77.50). Factors independently associated with higher levels of moral distress included having a master′s degree ( t = 2.33), working in a ward with more than 40 beds ( t = 3.38), working in a ward without parental accompaniment ( t = 2.60), being passively assigned to the nursing profession ( t = 2.63), and considering resignation but not leaving the job ( t = 3.85) (all P<0.05). Conclusions:Pediatric nurses in China experience a moderate level of moral distress. Further research is needed to understand its underlying causes and to develop preventive and intervention strategies.
8.Guideline for Adult Weight Management in China
Weiqing WANG ; Qin WAN ; Jianhua MA ; Guang WANG ; Yufan WANG ; Guixia WANG ; Yongquan SHI ; Tingjun YE ; Xiaoguang SHI ; Jian KUANG ; Bo FENG ; Xiuyan FENG ; Guang NING ; Yiming MU ; Hongyu KUANG ; Xiaoping XING ; Chunli PIAO ; Xingbo CHENG ; Zhifeng CHENG ; Yufang BI ; Yan BI ; Wenshan LYU ; Dalong ZHU ; Cuiyan ZHU ; Wei ZHU ; Fei HUA ; Fei XIANG ; Shuang YAN ; Zilin SUN ; Yadong SUN ; Liqin SUN ; Luying SUN ; Li YAN ; Yanbing LI ; Hong LI ; Shu LI ; Ling LI ; Yiming LI ; Chenzhong LI ; Hua YANG ; Jinkui YANG ; Ling YANG ; Ying YANG ; Tao YANG ; Xiao YANG ; Xinhua XIAO ; Dan WU ; Jinsong KUANG ; Lanjie HE ; Wei GU ; Jie SHEN ; Yongfeng SONG ; Qiao ZHANG ; Hong ZHANG ; Yuwei ZHANG ; Junqing ZHANG ; Xianfeng ZHANG ; Miao ZHANG ; Yifei ZHANG ; Yingli LU ; Hong CHEN ; Li CHEN ; Bing CHEN ; Shihong CHEN ; Guiyan CHEN ; Haibing CHEN ; Lei CHEN ; Yanyan CHEN ; Genben CHEN ; Yikun ZHOU ; Xianghai ZHOU ; Qiang ZHOU ; Jiaqiang ZHOU ; Hongting ZHENG ; Zhongyan SHAN ; Jiajun ZHAO ; Dong ZHAO ; Ji HU ; Jiang HU ; Xinguo HOU ; Bimin SHI ; Tianpei HONG ; Mingxia YUAN ; Weibo XIA ; Xuejiang GU ; Yong XU ; Shuguang PANG ; Tianshu GAO ; Zuhua GAO ; Xiaohui GUO ; Hongyi CAO ; Mingfeng CAO ; Xiaopei CAO ; Jing MA ; Bin LU ; Zhen LIANG ; Jun LIANG ; Min LONG ; Yongde PENG ; Jin LU ; Hongyun LU ; Yan LU ; Chunping ZENG ; Binhong WEN ; Xueyong LOU ; Qingbo GUAN ; Lin LIAO ; Xin LIAO ; Ping XIONG ; Yaoming XUE
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(11):891-907
Body weight abnormalities, including overweight, obesity, and underweight, have become a dual public health challenge in Chinese adults: overweight and obesity lead to a variety of chronic complications, while underweight increases the risks of malnutrition, sarcopenia, and organ dysfunction. To systematically address these issues, multidisciplinary experts in endocrinology, sports science, nutrition, and psychiatry from various regions have held multiple weight management seminars. Based on the latest epidemiological data and clinical evidence, they expanded the guideline to include assessment and intervention strategies for underweight, in addition to the core content of obesity management. This guideline outlines the etiological mechanisms, evaluation methods, and multidimensional management strategies for overweight and obesity, covering key areas such as diagnosis and assessment, medical nutrition therapy, exercise prescription, pharmacological intervention, and psychological support. It is intended to provide a scientific and standardized approach to weight management across the adult population, aiming to curb the rising prevalence of obesity, mitigate complications associated with abnormal body weight, and improve nutritional status and overall quality of life.
9.Isoliquiritigenin Modulates the Effect of LINC01503 on Lung Squamous Carcinoma Cells
ZHANG MENGSHI ; CUI YISHUANG ; YAO YIHAN ; GE YANLEI ; GAN JUNQING ; JIN YE ; SUN GUOGUI
Chinese Journal of Lung Cancer 2024;27(8):565-578
Background and objective Isoliquiritigenin(ISL)is an important pharmacological constituent of Glycyrrhiza glabra,which possesses a range of physiological and pharmacological activities,as well as significant antitumor ac-tivity,and can be used as a potential drug for targeted cancer therapy.LINC01503 is an oncogene,which has been closely asso-ciated with the malignant biological processes of many cancers.The aim of this study was to investigate the effects of ISL on the proliferation,apoptosis,invasion and migration oflung squamous carcinoma cells by regulating LINC01503.Methods Plasma was collected from lung squamous carcinoma patients and healthy individuals treated at Tangshan People's Hospital from Janu-ary 2021 to December 2022.The expression of LINC01503 in lung squamous carcinoma plasma,tissues and cells was detected by real-time quantitative fluorescence polymerase chain reaction(qRT-PCR).Lung squamous carcinoma cells were treated with different concentrations of ISL for 24 h,and LINC01503 expression was detected by qRT-PCR.The cells were treated in groups:si-NC group,si-LINC01503 group,DMSO(0.1%dimethyl sulfone)group,ISL group,pc DNA3.1(+)-NC group,pc DNA3.1(+)-LINC01503 group,ISL+pc DNA3.1(+)-NC group and ISL+pc DNA3.1(+)-LINC01503 groups.CCK-8 assay,clone formation assay,flow cytometry,Transwell assay and scratch assay were used to explore the effect of LINC01503 on the functional phenotype of lung squamous carcinoma cells.Results Fluorescence in situ hybridization results showed that the average fluorescence intensity of LINC01503 in tissue microarrays of lung squamous carcinoma patients was higher than that in paracancerous tissues(P<0.05).The expression of LINC01503 in the plasma of patients with lung squamous carcinoma was higher than that in the plasma of healthy individuals(P<0.05).Knockdown of LINC01503 inhibited the proliferation,invasion and migration of lung squamous carcinoma cells and promoted apoptosis(P<0.05).ISL inhibited the proliferation,invasion,migration and promoted apoptosis of lung squamous carcinoma cells(P<0.05).Overexpression of LINC01503 followed by intervention with ISL reversed the promotional effect of overexpression of LINC01503 on the proliferation,invasion and migration of lung squamous carcinoma cells as well as the inhibitory effect on apoptosis(P<0.05).Conclusion LINC01503 was highly expressed in lung squamous carcinoma,and LINC01503 could promote the proliferation,invasion and migra-tion of lung squamous carcinoma cells and inhibit the apoptosis,ISL could inhibit the proliferation,invasion and migration of lung squamous carcinoma cells and promote apoptosis of lung squamous carcinoma cells by regulating the expression of LINC01503.
10.Diagnostic value of a combined serology-based model for minimal hepatic encephalopathy in patients with compensated cirrhosis
Shanghao LIU ; Hongmei ZU ; Yan HUANG ; Xiaoqing GUO ; Huiling XIANG ; Tong DANG ; Xiaoyan LI ; Zhaolan YAN ; Yajing LI ; Fei LIU ; Jia SUN ; Ruixin SONG ; Junqing YAN ; Qing YE ; Jing WANG ; Xianmei MENG ; Haiying WANG ; Zhenyu JIANG ; Lei HUANG ; Fanping MENG ; Guo ZHANG ; Wenjuan WANG ; Shaoqi YANG ; Shengjuan HU ; Jigang RUAN ; Chuang LEI ; Qinghai WANG ; Hongling TIAN ; Qi ZHENG ; Yiling LI ; Ningning WANG ; Huipeng CUI ; Yanmeng WANG ; Zhangshu QU ; Min YUAN ; Yijun LIU ; Ying CHEN ; Yuxiang XIA ; Yayuan LIU ; Ying LIU ; Suxuan QU ; Hong TAO ; Ruichun SHI ; Xiaoting YANG ; Dan JIN ; Dan SU ; Yongfeng YANG ; Wei YE ; Na LIU ; Rongyu TANG ; Quan ZHANG ; Qin LIU ; Gaoliang ZOU ; Ziyue LI ; Caiyan ZHAO ; Qian ZHAO ; Qingge ZHANG ; Huafang GAO ; Tao MENG ; Jie LI ; Weihua WU ; Jian WANG ; Chuanlong YANG ; Hui LYU ; Chuan LIU ; Fusheng WANG ; Junliang FU ; Xiaolong QI
Chinese Journal of Laboratory Medicine 2023;46(1):52-61
Objective:To investigate the diagnostic accuracy of serological indicators and evaluate the diagnostic value of a new established combined serological model on identifying the minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE) in patients with compensated cirrhosis.Methods:This prospective multicenter study enrolled 263 compensated cirrhotic patients from 23 hospitals in 15 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities of China between October 2021 and August 2022. Clinical data and laboratory test results were collected, and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was calculated. Ammonia level was corrected to the upper limit of normal (AMM-ULN) by the baseline blood ammonia measurements/upper limit of the normal reference value. MHE was diagnosed by combined abnormal number connection test-A and abnormal digit symbol test as suggested by Guidelines on the management of hepatic encephalopathy in cirrhosis. The patients were randomly divided (7∶3) into training set ( n=185) and validation set ( n=78) based on caret package of R language. Logistic regression was used to establish a combined model of MHE diagnosis. The diagnostic performance was evaluated by the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve. The internal verification was carried out by the Bootstrap method ( n=200). AUC comparisons were achieved using the Delong test. Results:In the training set, prevalence of MHE was 37.8% (70/185). There were statistically significant differences in AMM-ULN, albumin, platelet, alkaline phosphatase, international normalized ratio, MELD score and education between non-MHE group and MHE group (all P<0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that AMM-ULN [odds ratio ( OR)=1.78, 95% confidence interval ( CI) 1.05-3.14, P=0.038] and MELD score ( OR=1.11, 95% CI 1.04-1.20, P=0.002) were independent risk factors for MHE, and the AUC for predicting MHE were 0.663, 0.625, respectively. Compared with the use of blood AMM-ULN and MELD score alone, the AUC of the combined model of AMM-ULN, MELD score and education exhibited better predictive performance in determining the presence of MHE was 0.755, the specificity and sensitivity was 85.2% and 55.7%, respectively. Hosmer-Lemeshow test and calibration curve showed that the model had good calibration ( P=0.733). The AUC for internal validation of the combined model for diagnosing MHE was 0.752. In the validation set, the AUC of the combined model for diagnosing MHE was 0.794, and Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed good calibration ( P=0.841). Conclusion:Use of the combined model including AMM-ULN, MELD score and education could improve the predictive efficiency of MHE among patients with compensated cirrhosis.

Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail