Objective To investigate the impact of holiday effects and prevention/control measures on the development characteristics and incidence trends of influenza in Hefei City using a Prophet-LSTM hybrid model, and to validate the applicability of the Prophet-LSTM model in influenza prediction by comparing the performance of different forecasting models. Methods Influenza incidence data from Hefei City (2016–2024) were collected to construct a Prophet-LSTM feature analysis and prediction model to analyze the impact of holiday effects and intervention measures on influenza incidence trends. Comparative models (ARIMA, GRU, and TimeGPT) were established and evaluated on the same test set. Results The data analysis revealed significantly increased influenza incidence during holidays (e.g., New Year's Day, Spring Festival, and National Day), while prevention and control measures led to declining trends. The Prophet-LSTM model demonstrated high consistency between the predicted and actual values, outperforming the comparative models with superior MAE (0.209), MSE (0.195), and IA (0.914), indicating higher prediction accuracy and trend-fitting capability. Conclusion The Prophet-LSTM model effectively captures spatiotemporal characteristics of influenza incidence, exhibits enhanced predictive performance when incorporating holiday effects and intervention measures, and demonstrates significant advantages and application value in influenza forecasting.

ObjectiveTo investigate whether Shixiaosan can improve neurological function and inhibit ferroptosis in rats with cerebral ischemia-reperfusion injury （CIRI） by regulating the nuclear factor E₂-related factor 2 （Nrf2）/solute carrier family 7 member 11 （SLC7A11）/glutathione peroxidase 4 （GPX4） pathway. MethodsA rat model of CIRI was established using the intraluminal filament method. Briefly， cervical blood vessels were separated， branches of the external carotid artery were ligated， and the common carotid artery and internal carotid artery were clamped. A nylon filament was inserted through the opening of the external carotid artery to the origin of the middle cerebral artery to block blood flow and induce cerebral ischemia. After 60-120 min of ischemia， the filament was withdrawn to restore blood flow， and the external carotid artery incision was ligated. The rats were divided into a CIRI group， a Shixiaosan low-dose （-L） group （intragastric administration of 1.26 g·kg^-1 Shixiaosan）， a Shixiaosan high-dose （-H） group （intragastric administration of 2.52 g·kg^-1 Shixiaosan）， a donepezil hydrochloride tablet （DON） group （intragastric administration of 0.45 mg·kg^-1 DON）， and a Shixiaosan -H + Nrf2 inhibitor （ML385） group （intragastric administration of 2.52 g·kg^-1 Shixiaosan combined with intraperitoneal injection of 30 mg·kg^-1 ML385）. An additional 12 rats underwent cervical artery separation followed by incision suturing and served as the control group. Equal volumes of double-distilled water were administered to the CIRI and control groups. Neurological function impairment was assessed using the modified Garcia JH score. Magnetic resonance imaging was used to determine the cerebral infarct volume ratio. Hematoxylin-eosin （HE） staining and Prussian blue staining were performed to observe neuronal injury and iron accumulation in the ischemic penumbra， respectively. Transmission electron microscopy was used to examine the ultrastructure of neuronal mitochondria in the ischemic penumbra. Commercial kits were used to measure ferrous iron （Fe²⁺）， malondialdehyde （MDA）， reduced glutathione （GSH） content， and reactive oxygen species （ROS） activity in the ischemic penumbra. The BODIPY （581/591） C11 fluorescent probe was used to detect intracellular lipid peroxidation levels. Western blot was performed to detect protein expression levels of Nrf2， SLC7A11， GPX4， transferrin receptor 1 （TFRC）， ferritin heavy chain （FHC）， and ferritin light chain （FLC） in the ischemic penumbra. ResultsCompared with the control group， the CIRI group exhibited neuronal injury in the ischemic penumbra， characterized by reduced neuron numbers， nucleolar shrinkage， and interstitial edema. Marked iron accumulation was observed in the tissue. Neuronal mitochondria showed atrophy and rupture， with reduced mitochondrial cristae and increased membrane density. The cerebral infarct volume ratio， Fe²⁺ content， MDA content， ROS activity， and lipid peroxidation levels were increased， whereas the modified Garcia JH score， GSH content， and protein expression levels of Nrf2， SLC7A11， GPX4， FHC， and FLC were decreased， and TFRC protein expression was increased （P<0.05）. Compared with the CIRI group， the Shixiaosan -L group， Shixiaosan -H group， and DON group showed attenuated neuronal injury in the ischemic penumbra， reduced iron accumulation， alleviated mitochondrial damage， decreased cerebral infarct volume ratio， Fe²⁺ and MDA contents， ROS activity， and lipid peroxidation levels， as well as increased modified Garcia JH scores， GSH content， and protein expression levels of Nrf2， SLC7A11， GPX4， FHC， and FLC， while TFRC protein expression was decreased （P<0.05）. The magnitude of changes in all indicators was greater in the Shixiaosan -H group than in the Shixiaosan -L group （P<0.05）. Compared with the Shixiaosan -H group， all measured indicators in the Shixiaosan -H + ML385 group showed opposite trends （P<0.05）. ConclusionShixiaosan may inhibit ferroptosis and restore neurological function in rats with CIRI by activating the Nrf2/SLC7A11/GPX4 pathway.

ObjectiveTo reveal the molecular mechanism by which the traditional Chinese medicine compound prescription Qiangjing tablets regulate the aging of the testicular tissue and Leydig cells in rats through the cyclin-dependent kinase 4 （CDK4）-early 2 factor （E2F） signaling pathway. MethodsFor the cell experiment， 2-month-old SPF-grade SD male rats were selected and randomly assigned into a blank control group （administrated with an equal volume of 0.9% sodium chloride injection） and a Qiangjing tablets group （20 rats in each group） according to body weight. The Leydig cell model of aging was established by treatment of TM3 cells with 100 μmol·L^-1 H₂O₂， and the modeling performance was evaluated based on the levels of p16 and p21 determined by Western blot. The antioxidant NAC （1 mmol·L^-1） was used as the positive control for eliminating reactive oxygen species （ROS）. Cells were intervened with Qiangjing tablets-containing serum at low （2.5%）， medium （5%）， and high （10%） concentrations. The testosterone level in the cell supernatant was determined by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay （ELISA）， and the protein levels of CDK4， E2F1， and E2F2 were analyzed by Western blot. In the animal experiment， 19-month-old naturally aging rats were used as the model group， and 2-month-old rats as the young control group. The positive control group was subcutaneously injected with 5.21 mg·kg^-1·d^-1 testosterone propionate. Qiangjing tablets were administered by gavage at low， medium， and high doses of 0.72， 1.44， 2.88 g·kg^-1·d^-1， respectively. The general conditions of rats were observed， and the protein levels of CDK4， E2F1， and E2F2 in the testicular tissue were determined by Western blot. ResultsIn the cell experiment， compared with the blank control group， the model group showed upregulated expression of CDK4 and E2F1 （P<0.05） and slightly downregulated expression of E2F2. Compared with that in the model group， the expression of CDK4 was upregulated in the NAC group and the low-dose Qiangjing tablets group （P<0.05）， slightly upregulated in the medium-dose Qiangjing tablets group， and downregulated in the high-dose Qiangjing tablets group （P<0.05）. The NAC group showed downregulated expression of E2F1 （P<0.05） and E2F2， and the low-， medium-， and high-dose Qiangjing tablets groups showed downregulated expression of both E2F1 and E2F2 （P<0.05）. Compared with that in the NAC group， the expression of CDK4 was upregulated in the low-dose Qiangjing tablets group and downregulated in the medium-dose and high dose （P<0.05） groups. The expression of E2F1 was down-regulated in all the three dose groups， with statistically significance in the high dose group （P<0.05）， and that of E2F2 were downregulated in all the three dose groups （P<0.05）. In the animal experiment， compared with the young control group， the model group exhibited downregulated expression of CDK4 （P<0.05） and slightly upregulated expression of E2F1 and E2F2. Compared with that in the model group， the expression of CDK4 decreased in the testosterone propionate group and the low-dose Qiangjing tablets group （P<0.05） but increased in the medium-dose （P<0.05） and high-dose groups. In addition， the expression of E2F1 decreased （P<0.05）， and that of E2F2 was slightly elevated. Compared with that in the NAC group， CDK4 expression was elevated in the Qiangjing tablets groups， with statistical significance in the medium- and high-dose groups （P<0.05）. Similarly， the E2F1 expression was also upregulated in the Qiangjing tablets groups， with statistical significance in the medium-dose group （P<0.05）. The expression of E2F2 was downregulated in all the Qiangjing tablets groups. ConclusionQiangjing tablets delay the aging process of Leydig cells and testicular tissue by up-regulating the expression of CDK4 and lowering the levels of E2F1 and E2F2.

Objective: To explore the relationship between beverage dependence and sleep quality among college students, providing empirical evidence for improving their sleep quality. Methods: From December 2024 to January 2025, a convenience sampling method was used to conduct a questionnaire survey among 3 974 college students from four universities in Anhui Province. The Beverage Addiction Scale for College Students (BASCS) was used to assess beverage dependence, and the Self rating Scale of Sleep(SRSS) was used to evaluate sleep quality. A multivariate Logistic regression model was employed to analyze the relationship between beverage dependence and sleep quality, and a restricted cubic spline model was used to examine the dose response relationship between the two. Results: The positive rate of beverage dependence symptoms among college students was 7.6%, with positive rates of 9.6%, 13.8%, and 7.4% for the withdrawal symptoms, health effects, and dependence symptoms dimensions, respectively. The detection rate of sleep disorders was 23.6%. Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that after adjusting for covariates such as grade, gender, and body mass index, compared with the no beverage dependence group, students with positive beverage dependence symptoms had a higher risk of sleep disorders( OR =3.71, 95% CI =2.87-4.80, P <0.01). The OR (95% CI ) for sleep disorders among students with positive symptoms in the withdrawal symptoms, health effects, and dependence symptoms dimensions were 2.80(2.22-3.53), 2.38(1.95-2.91), and 2.45(1.89-3.18)(all P <0.01). Further analysis using a restricted cubic spline model revealed that the overall beverage dependence score and its three dimensional scores were approximately linearly related to the risk of sleep disorders among college students (all nonlinear P >0.05). Conclusions Beverage dependence is associated with sleep quality among college students. Schools should take multiple approaches, such as health education on beverage awareness, to improve students sleep quality.

ObjectiveTo investigate the potential targets and mechanisms of Draconis Sanguis (DS), a valuable traditional Chinese medicine derived from the resin of the palm tree Daemonorops draco Bl (D. Sanguis, Xue Jie), in the treatment of myocardial infarction (MI).MethodsWe explored the potential mechanisms of DS in the treatment of MI using network pharmacology, bioinformatic techniques, and transcriptomic analysis, followed by validation through in vivo and in vitro experiments.ResultsNetwork pharmacology and bioinformatic analyses identified five genes (Fpr1, Glul, Mme, Mmp9, and Pla2g7) as potential targets for MI treatment. Moreover, DS significantly ameliorated cardiac function, inflammatory responses, and MI-induced myocardial fibrosis in vivo. Transcriptomic and bioinformatic analyses identified Pla2g7 as the most critical target in the DS treatment of MI. Molecular docking revealed that the key active ingredient in DS has a strong affinity for this gene. Furthermore, DS reduced the expression of Pla2g7 (P = .0009), NLRP3 (P = .003), interleukin-18 (P .001), and interleukin-1β (P = .004) mRNAs in vivo.ConclusionsThe results indicate that DS can downregulate the expression of Pla2g7 and reduce the inflammatory response. This demonstrates the potential therapeutic target of DS and the mechanism underlying its cardioprotective effects.

Objective To analyze the epidemiological and etiological characteristics of hand,foot and mouth disease(HFMD)in Nanning City,Liangqing District from 2012 to 2023.Methods Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to describe the three distribution characteristics of HFMD,and to predict the incidence trend of HFMD.Results From 2012 to 2023,Liangqing District of Nanning City reported a total of 19 715 cases of HFMD.The incidence rates varied significantly across different years,with statistically significant differences(P＜0.01).The urban area reported the highest number of cases.The disease primarily occurred from April to October,with the highest incidence among children aged 6 months to 5 years,mainly among children in daycare and preschools.From 2012 to 2023,a total of 588 cases were diagnosed through laboratory tests,with the highest detection rate of other enteroviruses,and a relatively lower detection rate of EV71.Predictions indicate that the incidence of HFMD in Liangqing District of Nanning City will decrease in 2025 compared to 2023.Conclusion Incidence of HFMD in Liangqing District,Nanning is high,especially among children aged 6 months to 5 years.It is suggested to strengthen the epidemic surveillance,continue to carry out pathogen surveillance.

Thoracic aortic aneurysm(TAA)significantly endangers the lives of individuals with Marfan syndrome(MFS),yet the intricacies of their biomechanical origins remain elusive.Our investigation delves into the pivotal role of hemodynamic disturbance in the pathogenesis of TAA,with a particular emphasis on the mechanistic contributions of the mammalian target of rapamycin(mTOR)signaling cascade.We un-covered that activation of the mTOR complex 1(mTORC1)within smooth muscle cells,instigated by the oscillatory wall shear stress(OSS)that stems from disturbed flow(DF),is a catalyst for TAA progression.This revelation was corroborated through both an MFS mouse model(Fbn1+/C1039G)and clinical MFS specimens.Crucially,our research demonstrates a direct linkage between the activation of the mTORC1 pathway and the intensity in OSS.Therapeutic administration of rapamycin suppresses mTORC1 activity,leading to the attenuation of aberrant SMC behavior,reduced inflammatory infiltration,and restoration of extracellular matrix integrity—collectively decelerating TAA advancement in our mouse model.These insights posit the mTORC1 axis as a strategic target for intervention,offering a novel approach to manage TAAs in MFS and potentially pave insights for current treatment paradigms.

OBJECTIVE To investigate the effect of hyperoside on high glucose-induced excessive proliferation of retinal endo-thelial cells(RECs)and its possible mechanism.METHODS Diabetic retinopathy(DR)models were established in male Sprague-Dawley(SD)rats.DR rats were treated with low-and high-dose hyperoside(DR+L-HY group and DR+H-HY group).Additional-ly,the normal control(NC)group,DR non-intervention(DR)group and DR+calcium dobesilate intervention(DR+CD)group were set up.The differences in the number of RECs in retinal blood vessels were observed and compared among all groups after intervention.In addition,RECs were inoculated into cell culture plates after normal culture and subculture.They were divided into 5 groups according to different treatments:normal glucose(NG)group,high glucose(HG)group,mannitol(MT)group,high glucose+low concentration of hyperoside(HG+H100)group and high glucose+high concentration of hyperoside(HG+H400)group.The activ-ity,cell migration and tubule formation of RECs in each group were detected and compared by CCK-8,cell migration and tubule for-mation assays.Western blot and qPCR were used to detect the expression of NADPH Oxidase 4(NOX4)and thioredoxin interacting protein(TXNIP)in each group.RESULTS The number of RECs in the DR group was significantly increased compared to the NC group(P<0.01).In contrast,the DR+L-HY,DR+H-HY,and DR+CD groups all showed significant decreases in RECs number compared to the DR group(P<0.05,P<0.01),and the reduction of RECs in the DR+H-HY group was significantly greater than that in the DR+L-HY group(P<0.05).Furthermore,the cell activity,migration number and tube formation number of RECs in the HG group were significantly higher than those in the NG group(P<0.05,P<0.01).The protein and mRNA expression levels of NOX4 and TXNIP in the HG group were also significantly higher than those in the NG group(P<0.01).However,the RECs activity,RECs mi-gration number and tube formation number in the HG+H100 group and the HG+H400 group were significantly lower than those in the HG group(P<0.05,P<0.01).The expression levels of NOX4 and TXNIP in both groups were significantly lower than those in the HG group(P<0.05,P<0.01),and the RECs activity,migration number,tube formation number,and the expression of NOX4 and TXNIP in the HG+H400 group were further significantly decreased compared with those in the HG+H100 group(P<0.01).CONCLU-SION Hyperoside could significantly inhibit the high glucose-induced excessive proliferation of RECs.The mechanism may be relat-ed to the inhibition of NOX4/TXNIP activation in high-glucose environment.

Objective To analyze the serum high-density lipoprotein 3 subtype cholesterol(HDL3-C)levels in patients with ischemic stroke(IS)and explore its clinical value in evaluating the condition and prognosis.Methods A total of 124 patients with IS and 47 healthy controls admitted to the Department of Neurology of the General Hospital of the Eastern Theater Command were continuously se-lected from January to June 2023.The serum samples of IS patients at admission and healthy controls were collected respectively,and the levels of HDL3-C,total cholesterol(TC),triglyceride(TG),high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C),low-density lipopro-tein cholesterol(LDL-C),blood glucose(Glu),albumin(Alb),interleukin 6(IL-6)and procalcitonin(PCT)were measured.The National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)score at admission,modified Rankin Scale(MRS)score at discharge,and Barthel index of the IS patients were calculated.All the IS patients were followed up for 1 year.The time of sequelae caused by stroke,and re-currence of acute cerebrovascular events were recorded in detail.Spearman's correlation analysis was used to explore the correlation be-tween HDL3-C levels and other clinical events and biochemical parameters in the IS patients.Logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the clinical value of serum HDL3-C levels in evaluating the presence of IS.Cox regression analysis was used to analyze the clin-ical value of serum HDL3-C levels in assessing the prognosis of patients with IS.Results Compared with controls,the levels of HDL3-C,HDL-C and Alb of the patients with IS decreased significantly,but the levels of TG and Glu of the IS patients increased sig-nificantly(all P＜0.05).The level of serum HDL3-C in patients with IS was significantly positively correlated with TC(r=0.231,P=0.003),HDL-C(r=0.831,P＜0.001),Alb(r=0.451,P＜0.001)and Barthel index at discharge(r=0.216,P=0.018),while it was significantly negatively correlated with the levels of TG(r=-0.396,P＜0.001),IL-6(r=-0.290,P=0.013),NIHSS at admis-sion(r=-0.187,P=0.041)and MRS at discharge(r=-0.227,P=0.012).Multivariate Logistic regression analyses showed that the decreased level of serum HDL3-C was still independently related to the presence of IS(OR=0.853,95％CI=0.740-0.984,P=0.030)after adjusting for the fectors of age,sex,TC,TG,HDL-C and LDL-C.Multivariate Cox regression analyses demonstrates that the de-creased level of serum HDL3-C was still independently related to the poor prognosis of IS patients(HR=0.710,95％CI=0.517-0.976,P=0.035)after adjusting for the fectors of age,sex,TC,TG,HDL-C and LDL-C.Conclusion The level of serum HDL3-C in pa-tients with IS decreased significantly,and it is independently correlated with poor prognosis.The level of HDL3-C has reference value in evaluating the condition and prognosis of the patients with IS.

Objective To investigate the regulatory effects and molecular mechanisms of extracellular vesicles(EVs)secreted by adri-amycin(ADR)-resistant breast cancer cells on vascular endothelial cells related to tumor microenvironment.Methods The ADR-sen-sitive breast cancer cell line(MCF-7)and its ADR-resistant counterpart(MCF-7-ADR)were established in vitro.Then,the EVs were isolated from the supernatant of cell culture using a commercial kit.The fluorescence labeling and tracking technology using PKH67 was used to validate the internalization of EVs by human umbilical vein endothelial cell(HUVEC).The effects of EVs on the proliferation,migration,and angiogenesis of HUVEC were assessed by the colony formation,scratch wound healing,and tube formation assays,re-spectively.The expression level of CD31 protein was detected by Western blot,and the levels of vascular endothelial growth factor(VEGF)in cell supernatant were determined by ELISA.The microRNA(miRNA)sequencing technology was utilized to identify the differentially expressed miRNAs in EVs secreted by ADR-resistant cells.Results Compared with the ADR-sensitive strain,the EVs secreted by the ADR-resistant strain significantly enhanced the proliferation(colony number increased by 38.7%,P=0.011),migra-tion(scratch healing rate improved by 42.3%,P=0.004),and tube formation ability(tube formation rates increased by 1.8 times and 2.3 times at 4 h and 16 h,respectively,P=0.044 and 0.010)of HUVEC.Western blot analysis showed that the expression level of CD31 in the EVs secreted by the ADR-resistant strain increased by 1.85 times compared with the ADR-sensitive strain(P=0.039).The results of ELISA showed that the expression level of VEGF increased by 2.12 times(P=0.012).The miRNA sequencing identified a differentially expressed miRNA profile.Conclusion The ADR-resistant breast cancer cells significantly enhance the proliferation,migration,and angiogenesis of vascular endothelial cells by secreting EVs rich in specific miRNA,and its mechanism may be related to the up-regulation of CD31/VEGF protein levels mediated by EVs,suggesting that the drug-resistant cells reshaping the tumor vascular microenvironment through EVs may become a new therapeutic target of chemotherapy resistance in breast cancer.