1.Early warning of influenza epidemic based on CUSUM and EWMA models in Daxing District, Beijing
Hong LEI ; Qiuling LI ; Qi LIU ; Meichen LIU ; Enhuan DU ; Jinfeng TANG ; Zhiping LI ; Yadi GAN ; Lijie ZHANG
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):13-17
Objective To explore the effectiveness of the cumulative sum (CUSUM) and the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) for early warning of influenza epidemic using two datasets of reported influenza cases and influenza-like illness (ILI) cases. Methods Using the reported cases of influenza and ILI in Daxing District, Beijing, from week 23 of 2018 to week 22 of 2024 as data sets, the CUSUM and EWMA models were established, respectively. The positive rate of influenza etiology was used as the “gold standard”, and the Youden index was used as the evaluation index to compare the early warning effect of the two models under different data sets and different parameters. Results In CUSUM, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.751 and 0.635, respectively. In EWMA, the optimal Youden indices of the reported influenza cases set and the ILI cases set were 0.544 and 0.464, respectively. The optimal EWMA and CUSUM models could both issue early warning signals in advance of the “gold standard”. Conclusion In the influenza epidemic early warning in Daxing District, Beijing, the CUSUM model established with the reported cases of influenza can achieve good early warning effects, but the model parameters need to be dynamically adjusted according to the local epidemic characteristics.
2.Analysis of knowledge, attitude, and practice levels regarding health protection against air pollution and related factors among Chinese primary school students
Chinese Journal of School Health 2026;47(7):958-961
Objective:
To assess the current status of knowledge, attitude, and practice (KAP) regarding health protection against air pollution among primary school students in China, and to analyze the impacts of fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ) exposure, family, and individual factors on KAP levels, so as to provide empirical basis for implementing targeted interventions.
Methods:
Using stratified cluster random sampling method, a questionnaire survey was conducted among 19 297 primary school students from third to fifth grade across 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government) in China in 2024. The questionnaire was developed based on the Technical Guidelines for the Assessment of Civic Environmental and Health Literacy (Trial), and encompasses three dimensions:knowledge, attitude, and practice. Spearman correlation analysis, Chi-square test, multivariate Logistic regression, and Bootstrap mediation effect test was applied for data analysis.
Results:
The overall mean KAP score for health protection against air pollution among primary school students was (79.73±13.53), with an adequacy rate of 80.47% ( n =15 528). The dimension scores for knowledge, attitude, and practice were (41.34±8.01, 16.43± 2.61 ), and (21.97±5.71), respectively. Knowledge was positively correlated with attitude and practice, and attitude was positively correlated with practice ( r =0.51, 0.35, 0.32, all P <0.01). Multivariate Logistic regression showed that the northeast region ( OR =2.36, 95% CI =2.02-2.75), having parents with a bachelor s degree or higher ( OR =4.76, 95% CI =2.71-8.37), living with both parents ( OR =1.33, 95% CI =1.15-1.55), being in the fifth grade ( OR =1.22, 95% CI =1.11-1.33), outdoor PM 2.5 level exceeding standard limits at the survey site ( OR =1.25, 95% CI =1.16-1.34), history of allergy ( OR =1.47, 95% CI =1.31-1.64), and wearing masks during heavily polluted weather ( OR =1.19, 95% CI =1.07-1.31) were promoting factors for KAP adequacy rate (all P <0.05). Conversely, obesity was a detrimental factor ( OR =0.78, 95% CI =0.69-0.88, all P <0.05).
Conclusions
Primary school students in China exhibit a favorable KAP level regarding health protection against air pollution, though regional, familial, and individual disparities persist. Exposure to PM 2.5 levels exceeding standard limits exerts a direct positive effect on enhancing health protection literacy. Future efforts should focus on the western region, families with lower educational attainment children to implement tailored, stratified interventions.
3.A prediction model for high-risk cardiovascular disease among residents aged 35 to 75 years
ZHOU Guoying ; XING Lili ; SU Ying ; LIU Hongjie ; LIU He ; WANG Di ; XUE Jinfeng ; DAI Wei ; WANG Jing ; YANG Xinghua
Journal of Preventive Medicine 2025;37(1):12-16
Objective:
To establish a prediction model for high-risk cardiovascular disease (CVD) among residents aged 35 to 75 years, so as to provide the basis for improving CVD prevention and control measures.
Methods:
Permanent residents aged 35 to 75 years were selected from Dongcheng District, Beijing Municipality using the stratified random sampling method from 2018 to 2023. Demographic information, lifestyle, waist circumference and blood biochemical indicators were collected through questionnaire surveys, physical examinations and laboratory tests. Influencing factors for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years were identified using a multivariable logistic regression model, and a prediction model for high-risk CVD was established. The predictive effect was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.
Results:
A total of 6 968 individuals were surveyed, including 2 821 males (40.49%) and 4 147 females (59.51%), and had a mean age of (59.92±9.33) years. There were 1 155 high-risk CVD population, with a detection rate of 16.58%. Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that gender, age, smoking, central obesity, systolic blood pressure, fasting blood glucose, triglyceride and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol were influencing factors for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years (all P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve of the established prediction model was 0.849 (95%CI: 0.834-0.863), with a sensitivity of 0.693 and a specificity of 0.863, indicating good discrimination.
Conclusion
The model constructed by eight factors including demographic characteristics, lifestyle and blood biochemical indicators has good predictive value for high-risk CVD among residents aged 35 to 75 years.
4.Comparison of three artificial intelligence-assisted bone age assessment methods for predicting adult height in girls
Jinfeng CHEN ; Huiping SU ; Shuangyi LIU ; Shurong HUANG ; Li WANG ; Xiu ZHAO ; Qiru SU ; Rongfei ZHENG ; Zhe SU
Chinese Journal of Endocrinology and Metabolism 2025;41(6):460-466
Objective:To compare the accuracy and applicability of three adult height prediction methods based on artificial intelligence-assisted bone age assessment—the Bayley-Pinneau method(BP method), the Tanner-Whitehouse 3 method(TW3 method), and China 05 method—in girls.Methods:This bidirectional cohort study collected clinical data and 690 posteroanterior X-ray images of the left hand from 278 female children who underwent pubertal development assessments at Shenzhen Children′s Hospital between January 2014 and December 2020, with follow-up until adult height was reached. Adult height prediction was performed using BP, TW3, and China 05 methods on artificial intelligence-assisted bone age assessment.Results:The BP and TW3 methods overestimated adult height by(1.7±3.7) cm and(2.6±3.0) cm, respectively, while the China 05 method underestimated adult height by(2.3±3.5) cm. The proportion of PAH within±5 cm of FAH were 80.0% for the TW3 method, 77.0% for the BP method, and 74.2% for the China 05 method, with significant differences among them( P=0.038). Analysis of cases with prediction deviations>10 cm and subgroup comparisons revealed that the TW3 and BP methods were more likely to overestimate adult height in girls aged 6.0-<8.0 years, with delayed bone age, or in the prepubertal stage(all P<0.001). The China 05 method was more prone to underestimate adult height in those with advanced bone age( P<0.001). All three methods showed significantly greater prediction errors(absolute difference between PAH and FAH) in girls with early puberty compared to those with normal pubertal development(all P<0.05). Conclusions:The TW3 and BP methods tend to overestimate adult height in girls, while the China 05 method tends to underestimate it. Caution is warranted when predicting adult height, particularly in girls under 8 years of bone age, with delayed or advanced bone age, and those with early puberty.
5.Severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection in children with kidney disease undergoing immunosuppressive therapy
Yunfan ZHANG ; Huanhuan YANG ; Jun HUANG ; Ai FENG ; Guizhi XIA ; Chengfeng WANG ; Guangming CHEN ; Xiaobin CHEN ; Zengfeng WENG ; Yi CHEN ; Jinrong WU ; Jingjing LIU ; Yuen YANG ; Yuzhen ZHANG ; Jinfeng LIN ; Yuxian TANG ; Junyan CHEN ; Xiaojing NIE
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2025;63(5):529-534
Objective:To investigate the impact of immunosuppressive therapy on the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection and cytokine levels in pediatric patients with kidney diseases.Methods:A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 40 hospitalized pediatric patients who were diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 infection at the 900th Hospital of PLA Joint Logistic Support Force from December 2022 to February 2023. Based on their immunosuppressive status prior to SARS-CoV-2 infection, these patients were categorized into immunosuppressive group and non-immunosuppressive group. Independent sample t-tests, Mann-Whitney U tests, and χ2 test were employed to compare the clinical baseline characteristics and laboratory data, the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection, and the levels of cytokines between the 2 groups. Results:Among the 40 patients, 11 were in the immunosuppressive group (aged 13 (8, 14) years, 9 males and 2 females) and 29 in the non-immunosuppressive group (aged 2 (1, 4) years, 15 males and 14 females). In the immunosuppressive group, 2 were asymptomatic cases, 8 were mild cases, and 1 was moderate case, and there was no severe or critical cases. In the non-immunosuppressive group, 8 were mild cases, 5 were moderate, 15 were severe cases, 1 was critical case, and no asymptomatic cases. The underlying diseases in the immunosuppressive group included nephrotic syndrome (6 cases), IgA vasculitis nephritis (2 cases), lupus nephritis (1 case), post-renal transplantation (1 case), and renal failure (1 case), with a mean total immunosuppression score (TIS) of (3.6±1.4) points. In the non-immunosuppressive group, 2 patients had a history of epilepsy, and the remaining 27 cases had no underlying conditions, all with TIS scores of 0. Compared to the children in the non-immunosuppressive group, those in the immunosuppressive group were more likely to exhibit asymptomatic or mild infection, with lower risks of severe disease, cytokine storm, fever, and cough, but a higher risk of fatigue ( OR=1.22, 2.66, 0.48, 0.12, 0.12, 0.13, 1.22; 95% CI 0.93-1.62, 0.99-7.15, 0.33-0.70, 0.03-0.57, 0.03-0.57, 0.03-0.65, 0.93-1.62; all P<0.05). The levels of cytokine IL-6, interferon-α and interferon-γ in the immunosuppressive group were all lower than those in the non-immunosuppressive group ( Z=2.23, 2.51, 2.92, respectively; all P<0.05). Conclusion:Pediatric patients with kidney diseases receiving appropriate immunosuppressive therapy may mitigate the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection by suppressing the expression of cytokines.
6.Research progress on effects of spaceflight environmental factors on immune function and corresponding Traditional Chinese Medicine protection
Jinfeng LIU ; Wei ZHOU ; Xiaoying WANG ; Zhijie BAI ; Yue GAO
Space Medicine & Medical Engineering 2025;36(4):322-330
With the advancement of space exploration missions,space station operations have entered a routine phase,where single-flight missions last up to six months.Previous studies indicate that the spaceflight environment severely compromises the immune system,increasing the susceptibility to diseases.As primary responders to pathogenic challenges,immune cells exhibit exceptional sensitivity to gravitational alterations and background ionizing radiation in space,with their dysfunction being a critical health risk.For innate immunity,the complex space environment disrupts macrophage polarization and phagocytosis,neutrophil chemotaxis and killing,natural killer(NK)cell cytotoxicity,and dendritic cell maturation,leading to functional impairment of innate immune defenses.For adaptive immunity,microgravity and radiation induce cellular immune dysregulation by suppressing T cell proliferative capacity and perturbing Th1/Th2/Treg subset balance,while simultaneously undermining humoral immunity through interference with B-lymphocyte protein synthesis,blockade of developmental maturation,and reduction of effector B cell populations.This review summarizes recent advances in understanding space environment-induced immune perturbations and protection options using traditional Chinese medicine,focusing on microgravity and radiation.It not only deciphers molecular mechanisms underpinning immune cell dysfunction but also provides a theoretical foundation and drug-targeting strategies for developing countermeasures against spaceflight-specific immune dysfunction.
7.Comparison research of disease characteristics in three non-alcohol steatohepatitis models
Jingbo XUE ; Jinfeng YANG ; Kai HUANG ; Yuan PENG ; Yanyan TAO ; Chenghai LIU
Acta Laboratorium Animalis Scientia Sinica 2025;33(1):34-43
Objective To compare the serological and pathological characteristics of 3 nonalcoholic steatohepatitis(NASH)models:high-fat diet(HFD)with carbon tetrachloride(CCl4)injection,methionine and choline deficient diet(MCD),and Aymlin liver NASH(AMLN)diet-induced NASH models.Methods 3 NASH models were established by feeding mice an HFD with CCl4 injection for 10 weeks,MCD for 8 weeks and NASH for 26 weeks.After feeding,serum alanine aminotransferase(ALT),aspartate aminotransferase(AST),glucose(GLU),liver triglyceride(TG),total cholesterol(TC),and malondialdehyde(MDA)levels and superoxide dismutase(SOD)activity were measured.Insulin levels were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay(ELISA)and the homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistant(HOMA-IR)index was calculated.Hematoxylin-eosin(HE),Sirius red,and oil red staining were used to indicate pathological changes to the liver.The NAS score was used to grade the pathology.Results Compared to each normal control(NC)group mice,all mice in the 3 model groups had an obvious increase in serum transaminase and liver TG,TC,MDA levels and SOD activity.The levels of serum FINS,GLU and the HOMA-IR index were significantly increased in the AMLN and CCl4+HFD model groups but decreased in the MCD model group.According to the HE,oil red staining and NAS score,mice in all 3 groups had NASH phenotypic changes.Liver collagen deposition was most obvious in mice in theCCl4+HFD model group.Liver lipid droplets were most abundant in the AMLN model group.Conclusions All the above 3 animal models can stably simulate the serological and pathological changes of NASH in human.The AMLN model can simulate the progress and mechanism of the disease,as well as systemic metabolic disorders such as insulin resistance and oxidative stress.However,it is time-consuming and the fibrosis progression rate is slow.The MCD diet can simulate the serological and pathological features of NASH in 8 weeks,but no obesity or insulin resistance occurred.The CCl4 combined with HFD model can induce NASH model in 10 weeks,which can simulate its serological and pathological changes,and the liver has obvious fibrous deposition and oxidative stress damage.
8.Determination of potential genotoxic impurities in baritinib by GC
Zhao LI ; Gang LONG ; Wen LAN ; Jinfeng ZHENG ; Yanming LIU ; Xiaoyi SHI
Drug Standards of China 2025;26(2):232-236
Objective:A GC method was established for the determination of three potential genotoxic impuri-ties methyl ethanesulfonate,ethyl ethanesulfonate and isopropyl ethanesulfonate in baritinib raw materials.Methods:The chromatography was performed on Agilent J&W DB-1701(30 m×0.25 mm,1.0 μm)col-umn.The heating procedure was the initial temperature of 100℃,maintained for 3 min,at the rate of 5℃per minute to 180℃,maintained for 2 min,and then at the rate of 30℃per minute to 240℃,maintained for 5 min.The temperature of the injector was 240℃.The shunt ratio was 1∶10.The carrier gas was helium with a flow rate of 2.0 mL per minute.The temperature of the detector was 260℃and the injection volume was 2 μL.Results:The specificity,linearity and range,limit of quantification and detection,accuracy,pre-cision,repeatability and stability of the method meet the requirements.Conclusion:The analytical method is simple,accurate,sensitive and reproducible,and can be used for quality control of three potential genotoxic impurities in baritinib.
9.Determination of docusate sodium by ion-pair high-performance liquid chromatography
Lirong CAI ; Haiping SHU ; Sha XIAO ; Yue TAN ; Jinfeng ZHENG ; Changliang LI ; Yanming LIU
Journal of China Pharmaceutical University 2025;56(2):183-187
To reduce the dependency on high-carbon-load chromatographic columns,a new method has been established for the determination of the content of docusate sodium using ion-pair high-performance liquid chromatography(IP-HPLC).Tetrapropylammonium chloride was used as the ion-pair reagent with a mobile phase,composition of acetonitrile:10 mmol/L tetrapropylammonium chloride solution=66∶34,adjusting pH to 6.5 with 0.1%phosphoric acid solution,flow rate of 1.5 mL/min,detection wavelength of 214 nm,column temperature of 35℃,and an injection volume of 25 μL,and quantified by an external standard method.The main peak of docusate sodium exhibited a tailing factor of 1.34.The method showed good linearity within the range of 0.02 mg/mL to 0.40 mg/mL,with a correlation coefficient(r)of 0.999 9.It also demonstrated good repeatability,with recovery ranging from 97.0%to 98.2%(n=6).The quantification limit was 3.31 μg/mL,and the detection limit was 2.76 μg/mL.In summary,the new method shows good durability,a wide linear range,and high sensitivity,it is suitable for the determination of docusate sodium.
10.EvoNB:A protein language model-based workflow for nanobody mutation prediction and optimization
Danyang XIONG ; Yongfan MING ; Yuting LI ; Shuhan LI ; Kexin CHEN ; Jinfeng LIU ; Lili DUAN ; Honglin LI ; Min LI ; Xiao HE
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(6):1334-1343
The identification and optimization of mutations in nanobodies are crucial for enhancing their thera-peutic potential in disease prevention and control.However,this process is often complex and time-consuming,which limit its widespread application in practice.In this study,we developed a work-flow,named Evolutionary-Nanobody(EvoNB),to predict key mutation sites of nanobodies by combining protein language models(PLMs)and molecular dynamic(MD)simulations.By fine-tuning the ESM2 model on a large-scale nanobody dataset,the ability of EvoNB to capture specific sequence features of nanobodies was significantly enhanced.The fine-tuned EvoNB model demonstrated higher predictive accuracy in the conserved framework and highly variable complementarity-determining regions of nanobodies.Additionally,we selected four widely representative nanobody-antigen complexes to verify the predicted effects of mutations.MD simulations analyzed the energy changes caused by these mu-tations to predict their impact on binding affinity to the targets.The results showed that multiple mu-tations screened by EvoNB significantly enhanced the binding affinity between nanobody and its target,further validating the potential of this workflow for designing and optimizing nanobody mutations.Additionally,sequence-based predictions are generally less dependent on structural absence,allowing them to be more easily integrated with tools for structural predictions,such as AlphaFold 3.Through mutation prediction and systematic analysis of key sites,we can quickly predict the most promising variants for experimental validation without relying on traditional evolutionary or selection processes.The EvoNB workflow provides an effective tool for the rapid optimization of nanobodies and facilitates the application of PLMs in the biomedical field.


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