Objective To identify clinical risk factors for early major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) following surgical correction of supravalvar aortic stenosis (SVAS). Methods Patients who underwent SVAS surgical correction between 2002 and 2019 in Beijing and Yunnan Fuwai Cardiovascular Hospitals were included. The patients were divided into a MACEs group and a non-MACEs group based on whether MACEs concurring during postoperative hospitalization or within 30 days following surgical correction for SVAS. Their preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative clinical data were collected for multivariate logistic regression. Results This study included 302 patients. There were 199 males and 103 females, with a median age of 63.0 (29.2, 131.2) months. The incidence of early postoperative MACEs was 7.0% (21/302). The multivariate logistic regression model identified independent risk factors for early postoperative MACEs, including ICU duration (OR=1.01, 95%CI 1.00-1.01, P=0.032), intraoperative cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time (OR=1.02, 95%CI 1.01-1.04, P=0.014), aortic annulus diameter (OR=0.65, 95%CI 0.43-0.97, P=0.035), aortic sinus inner diameter (OR=0.75, 95%CI 0.57-0.98, P=0.037), and diameter of the stenosis (OR=0.56, 95%CI 0.35-0.90, P=0.016). Conclusion The independent risk factors for early postoperative MACEs include ICU duration, intraoperative CPB time, aortic annulus diameter, aortic sinus inner diameter, and diameter of the stenosis. Early identification of high-risk populations for MACEs is beneficial for the development of clinical treatment strategies.

Objective To investigate the risk factors for arrhythmia after robotic cardiac surgery. Methods The data of the patients who underwent robotic cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) from July 2016 to June 2022 in Daping Hospital of Army Medical University were retrospectively analyzed. According to whether arrhythmia occurred after operation, the patients were divided into an arrhythmia group and a non-arrhythmia group. Univariate analysis and multivariate logistic analysis were used to screen the risk factors for arrhythmia after robotic cardiac surgery. Results A total of 146 patients were enrolled, including 55 males and 91 females, with an average age of 43.03±13.11 years. There were 23 patients in the arrhythmia group and 123 patients in the non-arrhythmia group. One (0.49%) patient died in the hospital. Univariate analysis suggested that age, body weight, body mass index (BMI), diabetes, New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification, left atrial anteroposterior diameter, left ventricular anteroposterior diameter, right ventricular anteroposterior diameter, total bilirubin, direct bilirubin, uric acid, red blood cell width, operation time, CPB time, aortic cross-clamping time, and operation type were associated with postoperative arrhythmia (P<0.05). Multivariate binary logistic regression analysis suggested that direct bilirubin (OR=1.334, 95%CI 1.003-1.774, P=0.048) and aortic cross-clamping time (OR=1.018, 95%CI 1.005-1.031, P=0.008) were independent risk factors for arrhythmia after robotic cardiac surgery. In the arrhythmia group, postoperative tracheal intubation time (P<0.001), intensive care unit stay (P<0.001) and postoperative hospital stay (P<0.001) were significantly prolonged, and postoperative high-dose blood transfusion events were significantly increased (P=0.002). Conclusion Preoperative direct bilirubin level and aortic cross-clamping time are independent risk factors for arrhythmia after robotic cardiac surgery. Postoperative tracheal intubation time, intensive care unit stay, and postoperative hospital stay are significantly prolonged in patients with postoperative arrhythmia, and postoperative high-dose blood transfusion events are significantly increased.

Objective To investigate the correlation between serum Sortilin(SORT)and insulin-like growth factor 1(IGF-1)levels and the occurrence and prognosis of cardiovascular disease(CVD)in maintenance hemodialysis(MHD)patients with end-stage renal disease(ESRD).Methods Eighty-four MHD patients with ESRD diagnosed and treated in the First People's Hospital of Kunshan from February 2017 to February 2018 were selected as the MHD group.With 5 years of follow-up,the MHD group was divided into the CVD group(n=35)and the non-CVD group(n=49)according to whether they had concurrent CVD,while 60 healthy individuals who underwent physical examination during the same period were used as the control group.Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay was used to detect serum SORT and IGF-1 levels.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to investigate the influencing factors of CVD in MHD patients with ESRD.The predictive value of serum SORT and IGF-1 for CVD in MHD patients with ESRD was analyzed by the receiver operating characteristic curve.The correlation between serum SORT and IGF-1 levels and the survival rate of MHD patients with ESRD was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.Results Compared to the control group,the MHD group had higher serum SORT level(413.37±55.41 ng/L vs 81.27±24.69 ng/L)and lower serum IGF-1 level(117.64±18.42 μg/L vs 421.34±14.58 μg/L),with significant differences(t=43.416,106.122,all P＜0.001).The age,dialysis time,and serum SORT level(488.73±55.41ng/L vs 359.54±58.29ng/L)of patients in the CVD group were higher than those in the non-CVD group,while serum IGF-1 level(88.25±17.92 μg/L vs 138.63±19.55μg/L)was lower than that of the non-CVD group,with significant differences(t=2.896,2.588,10.221,12.050,all P＜0.05).Age(OR=1.548,P＜0.001),dialysis time(OR=1.616,P＜0.001)and serum SORT(OR=1.353,P＜0.001)were independent risk factors for CVD in MHD patients,while serum IGF-1(OR=0.742,P=0.000)was a protective factor for CVD in MHD patients.The area under the curve(95％CI)of the combined serum SORT and IGF-1 test for predicting concomitant CVD in MHD patients was 0.931(95％CI:0.895～0.961),which was greater than that of the single detection[0.843(0.810～0.889),0.887(0.833～0.921)],and the differences were statistically significant(Z=5.117,4.895,all P＜0.001).The five-year cumulative survival rate of MHD patients in the SORT high expression group(48.39％)was lower than that in the low expression group(84.81％),while the five-year cumulative survival rate of MHD patients in the IGF-1 low expression group(51.52％)was lower than that in the high expression group(84.31％),and the differences were significant(Log-Rank x2=18.670,8.900,all P＜0.01).Conclusion The serum SORT levels increased while IGF-1 levels decreased in MHD patients.The combined detection of the two has high predictive value for the occurrence of CVD in MHD patients with ESRD,which is associated with poor survival prognosis in MHD patients with ESRD.

Objective: To investigate the spatio-temporal clustering characteristics of influenza in Yinzhou District, Ningbo City, Zhejiang Province from 2017 to 2021, so as to provide insights into prevention and control of influenza. Methods Data of influenza in Yinzhou District from 2017 to 2021 were collected from the Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The software ArcGIS 10.8 was employed for spatial autocorrelation analysis, and SaTScan 10.1 was employed for spatio-temporal scanning to analyze the temporal and spatial clustering characteristics of influenza incidence in Yinzhou District. Methods: Data of influenza in Yinzhou District from 2017 to 2021 were collected from the Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The software ArcGIS 10.8 was employed for spatial autocorrelation analysis, and SaTScan 10.1 was employed for spatio-temporal scanning to analyze the temporal and spatial clustering characteristics of influenza incidence in Yinzhou District. Results: Totally 60 543 influenza cases were reported in Yinzhou District from 2017 to 2021, with an incidence of 0.76%. The incidence of influenza peaked in December 2019 (9.35%) and January 2020 (9.28%) during the period between 2017 and 2021. Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that there was a positive spatial correlation of influenza incidence in Yinzhou District from 2018 to 2021 (all P<0.05), and a high clustering in 2019 and 2021. Zhonghe Street showed a low-high clustering from 2017 to 2020; Jiangshan Town showed a low-high clustering in 2017 and 2020, and a high-high clustering in 2019 and 2021; Shounan Street showed a high-high clustering from 2018 to 2020; Yunlong Street showed a high-high clustering in 2021. Spatio-temporal scanning analysis showed that the class Ⅰ clusters were located in the central region which centered in Dongqianhu Town, with aggregation time in August 2017, in the northwest region with aggregation time in December and January from 2018 to 2020, and in the west region with aggregation time in August 2021. Conclusion The incidence of influenza in Yinzhou District from 2017 to 2021 showed a spatio-temporal clustering in the northwestern region in winter and summer.

Objective:To investigate the value of multi-stage dynamic contrast enhanced MRI (DCE-MRI) histogram in predicting survival of patients undergoing surgical treatment of colorectal cancer (CRC).Methods:The retrospective cohort study was conducted. The clinico-pathological data of 81 patients with CRC who were admitted to the Jiuquan City People′s Hospital from January 2018 to February 2019 were collected. There were 47 males and 34 females, aged (62±6)years. All patients underwent routine MRI and DCE-MRI examination to extract relevant imaging parameters. Observation indicators: (1) treatment, imaging examination and follow-up; (2) imaging factors influencing postoperative disease-free survival of patients with CRC. Measurement data with normal distribution were represented as Mean± SD, and measurement data with skewed distribution were represented as M(range). Count data were described as absolute numbers. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted using the COX proportional risk model. Pearson correlation test was used to analyze and exclude factors with correlation in univariate analysis, and the multi-variate analysis was conducted on the rest of factors. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to calculate survival rates, and Log-Rank test was used for survival analysis. Results:(1) Treatment, imaging examination and follow-up. All 81 patients underwent preoperative MRI plain scan, enhanced imaging, and diffusion weighted imaging. After complete examination, all patients underwent radical resection of CRC and received postoperative chemotherapy using the FOLFOX regimen. All 81 patients were followed up for 42(range, 11-61)months after surgery. The 1-, 3-, 5-year overall survival rate of 81 patients after surgery was 98.8%, 96.3%, 93.8%, respectively. During the follow-up period, 56 of the 81 patients survived from disease-free and 25 patients had disease progressed. (2) Imaging factors influencing postoperative disease-free survival of patients with CRC. Results of multivariate analysis showed that the kurtosis value and skewness value of positive enhancement integral (PEI) were independent imaging factors influencing postoperative disease-free survival of patients of CRC ( odds ratio=1.840, 1.243, 95% confidence interval as 1.403-2.412, 1.020-1.516, P<0.05). Taking the median values of kurtosis value and skewness value of PEI as 4.864 and 5.042 for further analysis. The postoperative 5-year disease-free survival rate of patients with kurtosis value of PEI <4.864 and ≥4.864 was 89.7% and 10.3%, showing a significant difference between them ( χ2=31.265, P<0.05). The postoperative 5-year disease-free survival rate of patients with skewness value of PEI<5.042 and ≥5.042 was 63.4% and 36.6%, showing a significant difference between them ( χ2=8.164, P<0.05). Conclusions:The kurtosis value and skewness value of PEI in DCE-MRI are independent imaging factors influencing postoperative disease-free survival of patients of CRC. The DCE-MRI histogram can effectively evaluate the postoperative prognosis of patients of CRC.

Background and purpose:The Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention provides annual updates on cancer occurrence and trends in Shanghai.This study aimed to investigate the cancer incidence and mortality in 201 7 and their trends from 2002 to 2017 in Shanghai. Methods:Data of new cancer diagnoses and deaths from 2002 to 2017 were obtained from the Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention population-based cancer registry and Vital Statistics System.Cancer incidence and mortality stratified by year of diagnosis or death,gender and age group were analyzed.Number,proportion,crude rate,age-specific rate,age-standardized rate and others were calculated.The number,proportion and rates of common cancers in different groups were also calculated.Trends in age-standardized rate of incidence and death rates for all cancers combined and for the common cancer types by gender were estimated by joinpoint analysis and characterized by the annual percent change(APC)and average annual percent change(AAPC).Segi's 1960 world standard population was used for calculating age-standardized incidence and mortality. Results:The new cancer cases and deaths were 79 378 and 37 186 in Shanghai in 2017.The crude rate of incidence was 546.55/105,and the age-standardized rate was 246.31/105.The age-standardized rate of incidence was higher among females than among males.The crude rate of mortality was 256.04/1 05,and the age-standardized rate was 88.41/105.The age-standardized rate of mortality was higher among males than among females.The age-specific numbers and rates of incidence and mortality increased with age.The age-specific number and rate of incidence reached the peak at the age groups of 60-64 years and older than 85 years,and those of mortality among males reached the peak at the age groups of 60-64 years and older than 85 years,and those of mortality among females reached the peak at the age groups of older than 85 years,respectively.The sites of top 10 common cancer types sorted by the number of incidence cases among males were lung,colorectum,stomach,prostate,liver,thyroid,pancreas,bladder,kidney and oesophagus,and among females were lung,breast,thyroid,colorectum,stomach,pancreas,liver,brain,central nervous system(CNS),cervix uteri and gallbladder,the sites of those sorted by the number of deaths among males were lung,stomach,colorectum,liver,pancreas,prostate,oesophagus,bladder,lymphoma and gallbladder,among females were lung,colorectum,breast,stomach,pancreas,liver,gallbladder,brain,CNS,ovary and lymphoma.The top 10 common cancer types stratified by gender and the top 5 common cancer types stratified by common age groups merged of incidence and mortality had wide variations.Overall,the age-standardized rates of incidence were stable from 2002 to 2009,and increased 2.88％on average per year from 2009 to 201 7.The age-standardized rates of mortality were stable from 2002 to 2011,and decreased 2.66％on average per year from 2011 to 201 7.The trends differed by gender and cancer type. Conclusion:Lung cancer,colorectal cancer,pancreatic cancer,thyroid cancer,female breast cancer,cervical cancer and male prostate cancer are the most common cancers in Shanghai,the appropriate screening technical scheme should be formulated according to the current situation of malignant tumors in Shanghai,promote cancer opportunistic screening,promote appropriate technologies for intervention and management of cancer patients in the community,reduce the disease burden of malignant tumors.

Objective:To investigate the survival of cancer cases diagnosed during 2002-2013 in Shanghai. Methods:Data on new cancer cases with dead and follow-up information were obtained from the population-based cancer registry and vital statistics system of Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention.Survival indicators stratified by year of diagnosis,gender,site and age were analyzed.Number of cases and proportion were calculated.The observed survival rates were calculated based on the life table.The probabilities of surviving from 0 to 99 years old were estimated according to the Elandt-Johnson model,and then the cumulative expected survival rates were calculated according to the Ederer Ⅱ method.Finally,the relative survival rates and average annual percent changes of their trends were calculated.The age-standardized relative survival rates adjusted by International Cancer Survival Standard weights were calculated. Results:Total 644 520 new cancer cases were diagnosed during 2002-2013 in Shanghai,accounting for 643 545(99.85％)cases included in the observed cohort for survival analysis.The 5-year observed survival rate increased from 37.61％to 46.47％.The 5-year relative survival rate increased from 42.1 8％to 51.11％.The 5-year age-standardized relative survival rate increased from 40.57％to 49.80％.Among the 5-year relative survival rates of cases diagnosed during 2011 to 2013,99.43％of thyroid cancer was the highest,followed by female breast cancer(88.35％)and corpus uteri cancer(85.56％);5.87％of pancreas cancer was the lowest,followed by gallbladder cancer(13.64％)and oesophagus cancer(17.72％).the rate of lung cancer with the largest number of cases was 23.59％,followed by colorectal cancer(59.82％)and stomach cancer(38.65％).The 5-year relative survival rate of total cases of all sites increased from 40.55％in 2002 to 52.77％in 2013,with an average annual percent change of 2.40％.13 cancer types showed increasing trends,such as liver cancer and lung cancer,while the trends of other cancer types were not statistically significant,such as pancreatic cancer and gallbladder cancer. Conclusion:The diagnostic levels and survival rates of cancer cases have been improved continuously in Shanghai.The trends of different cancer types were varied.

Objective:To investigate the lung cancer incidence and mortality in 2016 and their trends from 2002 to 2016 in shanghai. Methods:The data of incidence and death on lung cancer in shanghai from 2002 to 2016 were obtained from the Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention population-based cancer registry and Vital Statistics System.Lung Cancer incidence and mortality stratified by age of diagnosis or death,gender and age-group were analyzed.The number of cases and deaths,proportion,crude rates,age-specific rates,age-standardized rates,corresponding truncated age-standardized rates(35-64 years)and cumulative rates were calculated.Segi's 1960 world standard population was used for calculating age-standardized rates of incidence and mortality as well as truncated age-standardized rates.Trends in age-standardized rates of incidence and death for lung cancer in Shanghai from 2002-2016 were estimated by Joinpoint analysis and characterized by the annual percent change(APC). Results:The new lung cancer cases and deaths were 14 395 and 9 170 in Shanghai in 2016.The crude rate of incidence was 99.41/105,and the age-standardized rate of incidence was 39.76/105.New cases of lung cancer accounted for 19.34％of all malignant tumors in shanghai,ranking the first in the incidence spectrum of malignant tumors.The crude rate of mortality was 63.33/105,and the age-standardized rate was 21.57/105.Deaths of lung cancer accounted for 24.78％of all malignant tumor deaths in shanghai,ranking the first in the mortality spectrum of malignant tumors.The age-standardized rates of incidence and mortality for males were higher than those for females.The age-specific numbers and rates of incidence and mortality increased with age.The age-specific number and rate of incidence reached the peak at the age group of 60-64 years and 80-84 years respectively,and those of mortality peaked at the age group of 80-84 years and older than 85 years respectively.The incidence of lung cancer increased from 33.70/105 in 2002 to 39.76/1 05 in 2016 in Shanghai.Joinpoint analyses showed that the age-standardized rate of lung cancer incidence remained stable from 2002 to 2010(APC=-0.79,t=-1.46,P=0.175)but showed a significant upward trend with an average annual increase rate of 5.12％from 2010 to 2016(APC=5.12,t=6.97,P＜0.001).The standardized mortality showed a downward trend with an average annual decrease rate of 0.87％from 2002 to 2016(APC=-0.87,t=-2.87,P=0.013). Conclusion:The incidence of lung cancer in Shanghai during 2002-2016 presented an upward trend while the mortality of lung cancer showed a gradual downward trend.There are differences in the incidence and mortality of lung cancer among different gender and age groups.

Objective:To investigate the liver cancer incidence and mortality in 2016 and their trends during 2002 through 2016 in Shanghai. Methods:Data on new liver cancer diagnoses and deaths during 2002 through 2016 were obtained from the Shanghai Municipal Center for Disease Control and Prevention population-based cancer registry and Vital Statistics System,the numbers,crude rates and age-standardized rates of incidence and mortality of liver cancer were calculated.Segi's 1960 world standard population was used to calculate age-standardized rates.Joinpoint analysis was used to analyze the trend changes and to estimate the annual percent change of incidence and mortality rates. Results:There were 3 842 new liver cancer cases in Shanghai in 201 6,69.44％of which were males,and 3 275 deaths of liver cancer,69.44％of which were males.Mortality to incidence ratio was 0.85.The crude rate of incidence was 26.53/105,and the age-standardized rate was 10.60/105.The crude rate of mortality was 22.62/105,and the age-standardized rate was 8.65/105.The Sex ratios for age-standardized incidence and mortality were 2.91∶1 and 2.97∶1,respectively.The age-specific numbers and rates of incidence and mortality increased with age.Overall,the age-standardized rate of incidence of liver cancer was decreased 3.69％on average per year during 2002 through 2016,and the age-standardized rate of mortality of liver cancer was decreased 3.82％on average per year. Conclusion:The incidence and mortality of liver cancer in Shanghai have been remarkably decreased to a low level countrywide,while liver cancer is still one of the leading malignancies and it brings serious threat to public health,comprehensive prevention and control efforts should be strengthened according to its epidemic characteristics and risk factors.

Objective:To describe the epidemiological features and temporal trends of colorectal cancer in urban Shanghai from 1973 to 2017. Methods:Data on colorectal cancer in urban Shanghai was obtained through Shanghai Cancer Registry and Vital Statistics System.Joinpoint analysis was used to describe the temporal trends and annual percent change(APC)and age-period-cohort analysis was used to estimate the association between age,period and birth cohort and colorectal cancer. Results:A total of 105 847 cases and 60 447 deaths of colorectal cancer were diagnosed in urban Shanghai over the 45-year study period.Both the number of new cases and the number of deaths showed an increasing trend.In the same period,the age-standardized incidence of colorectal cancer in urban areas of Shanghai increased significantly from 14.1/100 000 in 1973 to 27.7/100 000 in 2017,while the age-standardized mortality rate increased from 8.2/100 000 to 10.7/100 000.The overall average annual age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were 20.4/100 000 and 11.0/100 000,respectively.With the increase of age,the age-standardized morbidity and mortality of colorectal cancer showed an obvious upward trend.Taking 1993-1997 as reference,the risk of colorectal cancer in Shanghai reached the highest in 2013-2017,and the corresponding relative risk was 1.2(95％confidence interval:1.2-1.3),while the lowest was 0.9(95％confidence interval:0.8-1.0)during 1973-1977.Mortality risk,on the contrary,decreased with the increase of time.Before 1953-1957,the risk of colorectal cancer in urban Shanghai increased with the increase of birth cohort time,and then showed a downward trend.There was a corresponding decline in the risk of colorectal cancer death among people born after 1957. Conclusion:The incidence and mortality of colorectal cancer in Shanghai showed an increasing trend from 1973 to 2017,but the prevalence trend of colorectal cancer is still different among different populations.