1.Analysis of follow-up and prognosis in pediatric rheumatic diseases associated with pulmonary embolism
Tong YUE ; Yuchun YAN ; Min KANG ; Jia ZHU ; Yingjie XU ; Dan ZHANG ; Ming LI ; Min WEN ; Feifei WU ; Jianming LAI
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2026;64(1):89-94
Objective:To explore the clinical characteristics, diagnosis and treatment strategies, and prognosis of pulmonary embolism (PE) complicating childhood rheumatic diseases.Methods:A retrospective case series study was performed on the demographic data, laboratory indicators, imaging features, treatment regimens, and follow-up data of 8 children with rheumatic diseases complicated by PE who were admitted to the Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Capital Center for Children′s Health, Capital Medical University from January 2014 to October 2023.Results:Among the 8 children, there were 4 boys and 4 girls, with an age of 12.0 (7.5, 13.0) years. Among the primary diseases, there were 3 cases of systemic lupus erythematosus, 2 cases of Beh?et′s disease, 2 cases of Takayasu arteritis, and 1 case of antiphospholipid syndrome. All children developed PE during the active phase of the primary disease. PE was detected at the onset of the primary disease in 3 cases, and the median time from the diagnosis of the primary disease to the development of PE was 10.0 (6.0, 25.0) months in the remaining 5 cases. Fever was present in all 8 children, 4 cases were accompanied by chest tightness, dyspnea, etc., and 2 cases only presented with fever. Laboratory examinations revealed the following results: erythrocyte sedimentation rate was 42.0 (17.0, 78.0) mm/1 h, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein was 12.7 (2.6, 78.7) mg/L, white blood cell count was 9.6 (7.2, 18.7)×10 9/L; D-dimer was 2.3 (0.9, 6.2) mg/L; and hemoglobin was (109±16) g/L.Imaging examinations revealed that 5 cases had involvement of the bilateral lower pulmonary arteries, 5 cases had peripheral embolism, and 3 cases had central PE. Complications included 3 cases of deep vein thrombosis, 2 cases of intracranial venous sinus thrombosis, and 1 case of mild pulmonary hypertension.In terms of treatment, 7 cases received anticoagulation with heparin followed by warfarin. Immunomodulation was mainly based on glucocorticoids combined with immunosuppressants, and 4 cases were combined with biological agents. The follow-up time of 4.17 (1.75, 7.17) years, the time for complete absorption of PE was 10.5 (6.0, 18.0) months; all 8 children had no target events, with no recurrence or chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension, and the pulmonary artery remodeling was good. Conclusions:PE complicating childhood rheumatic diseases is closely related to the activity of the primary disease. The clinical manifestations are insidious, with fever as the main symptom. Imaging examination is the key to diagnosis.Early adoption of heparin followed by warfarin anticoagulation and glucocorticoids combined with immunosuppressants and (or) biological agents to control the primary disease can achieve a favorable prognosis.
2.Analysis of Risk Factors and Establishment of Prediction Model for Turbidity Toxicity Accumulation Syndrome in Patients with Chronic Atrophic Gastritis
Yican WANG ; Chenggong ZHAO ; Pengli DU ; Jie WANG ; Yuxi GUO ; Haiyan BAI ; Yongli HUO ; Xiaomeng LANG ; Zheng ZHI ; Bolin LI ; Jianping LIU ; Yanru CAI ; Jianming JIANG ; Qian YANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(10):288-295
ObjectiveThis paper aims to explore the risk factors for chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG) with turbidity toxin accumulation syndrome and establish a prediction model. MethodsClinical data of 180 patients with CAG who participated in the "clinical study of Xianglian Huazhuo Particles blocking CAG cancer transformation" of Hebei Sheng Zhong Yi Yuan from July 2021 to March 2022 were collected. After confounding factors were controlled by propensity score matching, patients were divided into a training set (namely dev) and a validation set (namely vad) in a seven to three ratio. The risk factors for CAG with turbidity toxin accumulation syndrome in the training set were investigated by using univariate Logistic regression analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (namely Lasso) regression algorithms. Subsequently, a model, named model 1se, was developed by using the training set data to predict the risk factors for CAG with turbidity toxin accumulation syndrome. The accuracy of the prediction model was assessed by using various methods, including the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test (H-L), calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA). ResultsAge, body mass index (BMI), family history of cancer, job and life satisfaction, yellow and greasy fur with slippery pulse, and heavy body sensation were independent risk factors of the model. The prediction model showed excellent predictive value for both the training and validation sets. ConclusionThe established prediction model for CAG with turbidity toxin accumulation syndrome has high discrimination and excellent calibration, which could provide an excellent clinical basis for disease diagnosis and individualized treatment of patients.
3.Analysis of Risk Factors and Establishment of Prediction Model for Turbidity Toxicity Accumulation Syndrome in Patients with Chronic Atrophic Gastritis
Yican WANG ; Chenggong ZHAO ; Pengli DU ; Jie WANG ; Yuxi GUO ; Haiyan BAI ; Yongli HUO ; Xiaomeng LANG ; Zheng ZHI ; Bolin LI ; Jianping LIU ; Yanru CAI ; Jianming JIANG ; Qian YANG
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(10):288-295
ObjectiveThis paper aims to explore the risk factors for chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG) with turbidity toxin accumulation syndrome and establish a prediction model. MethodsClinical data of 180 patients with CAG who participated in the "clinical study of Xianglian Huazhuo Particles blocking CAG cancer transformation" of Hebei Sheng Zhong Yi Yuan from July 2021 to March 2022 were collected. After confounding factors were controlled by propensity score matching, patients were divided into a training set (namely dev) and a validation set (namely vad) in a seven to three ratio. The risk factors for CAG with turbidity toxin accumulation syndrome in the training set were investigated by using univariate Logistic regression analysis and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (namely Lasso) regression algorithms. Subsequently, a model, named model 1se, was developed by using the training set data to predict the risk factors for CAG with turbidity toxin accumulation syndrome. The accuracy of the prediction model was assessed by using various methods, including the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, Hosmer-Lemeshow test (H-L), calibration plot, and decision curve analysis (DCA). ResultsAge, body mass index (BMI), family history of cancer, job and life satisfaction, yellow and greasy fur with slippery pulse, and heavy body sensation were independent risk factors of the model. The prediction model showed excellent predictive value for both the training and validation sets. ConclusionThe established prediction model for CAG with turbidity toxin accumulation syndrome has high discrimination and excellent calibration, which could provide an excellent clinical basis for disease diagnosis and individualized treatment of patients.
4.Construction of Syndrome Diagnosis Scale for Chronic Atrophic Gastritis with Turbid Toxin and Stomach Accumulation Based on Delphi Method and Analytic Hierarchy Process
Zhihua LIU ; Xiaoyu LIU ; Yuman WANG ; Runze LI ; Hua LI ; Runxue SUN ; Shaopo WANG ; Jianming JIANG ; Yanru DU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(11):235-243
ObjectiveTo construct a scale for the diagnosis of chronic atrophic gastritis (CAG) with turbid toxin accumulating in the stomach. MethodsFirst, a research group was established to construct the scale framework. Relevant literature of CAG with syndrome of turbid toxin accumulating in the stomach was searched in CNKI, Wanfang Database (WF), and VIP Database (CQVIP) from April 1, 2003 to April 1, 2023, and items were preliminarily selected after standardization of terms. Through clinical investigation, the discrete trend method, correlation coefficient method, Cronbach's coefficient method, and factor analysis method were used to screen symptom items, and the frequency method was used to screen signs, tongue coating, and pulse conditions. Three rounds of Delphi expert consultation were conducted to determine the items of the scale. The weight of each item was obtained by the analytic hierarchy process. ResultsA total of 49 articles were included, and 45 items were obtained after primary screening, including 28 symptoms, 2 signs, 10 tongue coatings, and 5 pulse conditions. After clinical investigation, 15 symptoms were retained, and 8 signs and pulse conditions of tongue coating were retained. The positive coefficients of experts in three rounds of Delphi expert consultation were 100%, 96.67%, and 100%, respectively. The expert authority coefficients were 0.86, 0.87, and 0.87, respectively, and the coordination coefficients were 0.18, 0.25, and 0.30. After core group discussion, Delphi method investigation, and AHP weight assignment, the diagnostic scale items of CAG with turbid toxin accumulating in stomach syndrome were finally established, namely, dark red or purplish tongue proper with yellow greasy (or dry) coating (30 points), epigastric stuffiness and fullness or pain (15 points), sticky and unsmooth defecation (10 points), taste disturbance (sticky mouth, fetid breath, bitter taste, 7 points), heartburn or acid regurgitation (6 points), dizziness and clouding (5 points), general heaviness and fatigue (5 points), slippery, string‑slippery, or slippery‑rapid pulse (5 points), dysuria (or yellow or deep yellow urine, 4 points), poor appetite (4 points), dull complexion (3 points), sticky, greasy, and fetid secretions (3 points), and poor sleep (3 points). ConclusionBased on the establishment, screening, confirmation, and weighting of an item pool, combined with subjective and objective approaches as well as qualitative and quantitative methods, a diagnostic scale for CAG with the syndrome of turbid toxin accumulating in the stomach was successfully constructed.
5.Analysis of follow-up and prognosis in pediatric rheumatic diseases associated with pulmonary embolism
Tong YUE ; Yuchun YAN ; Min KANG ; Jia ZHU ; Yingjie XU ; Dan ZHANG ; Ming LI ; Min WEN ; Feifei WU ; Jianming LAI
Chinese Journal of Pediatrics 2026;64(1):89-94
Objective:To explore the clinical characteristics, diagnosis and treatment strategies, and prognosis of pulmonary embolism (PE) complicating childhood rheumatic diseases.Methods:A retrospective case series study was performed on the demographic data, laboratory indicators, imaging features, treatment regimens, and follow-up data of 8 children with rheumatic diseases complicated by PE who were admitted to the Department of Rheumatology and Immunology, Capital Center for Children′s Health, Capital Medical University from January 2014 to October 2023.Results:Among the 8 children, there were 4 boys and 4 girls, with an age of 12.0 (7.5, 13.0) years. Among the primary diseases, there were 3 cases of systemic lupus erythematosus, 2 cases of Beh?et′s disease, 2 cases of Takayasu arteritis, and 1 case of antiphospholipid syndrome. All children developed PE during the active phase of the primary disease. PE was detected at the onset of the primary disease in 3 cases, and the median time from the diagnosis of the primary disease to the development of PE was 10.0 (6.0, 25.0) months in the remaining 5 cases. Fever was present in all 8 children, 4 cases were accompanied by chest tightness, dyspnea, etc., and 2 cases only presented with fever. Laboratory examinations revealed the following results: erythrocyte sedimentation rate was 42.0 (17.0, 78.0) mm/1 h, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein was 12.7 (2.6, 78.7) mg/L, white blood cell count was 9.6 (7.2, 18.7)×10 9/L; D-dimer was 2.3 (0.9, 6.2) mg/L; and hemoglobin was (109±16) g/L.Imaging examinations revealed that 5 cases had involvement of the bilateral lower pulmonary arteries, 5 cases had peripheral embolism, and 3 cases had central PE. Complications included 3 cases of deep vein thrombosis, 2 cases of intracranial venous sinus thrombosis, and 1 case of mild pulmonary hypertension.In terms of treatment, 7 cases received anticoagulation with heparin followed by warfarin. Immunomodulation was mainly based on glucocorticoids combined with immunosuppressants, and 4 cases were combined with biological agents. The follow-up time of 4.17 (1.75, 7.17) years, the time for complete absorption of PE was 10.5 (6.0, 18.0) months; all 8 children had no target events, with no recurrence or chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension, and the pulmonary artery remodeling was good. Conclusions:PE complicating childhood rheumatic diseases is closely related to the activity of the primary disease. The clinical manifestations are insidious, with fever as the main symptom. Imaging examination is the key to diagnosis.Early adoption of heparin followed by warfarin anticoagulation and glucocorticoids combined with immunosuppressants and (or) biological agents to control the primary disease can achieve a favorable prognosis.
6.MiRSNP in MGMT 3′ untranslated region regulates low-dose radiation-induced senescence in lung cells
Lingyu ZHANG ; Yashi CAI ; Huixian LI ; Min ZHANG ; Changyong WEN ; Weixu HUANG ; Huifeng CHEN ; Jianming ZOU
China Occupational Medicine 2025;52(1):25-32
Objective To investigate the role of the O-6-methylguanine-DNA methyltransferase (MGMT) gene-3′ untranslated region (UTR) microRNA-associated single nucleotide polymorphism (miRSNP) (rs7896488 G>A) in affecting miR-4297-targeted modulation of MGMT in senescence of lung cells with polymorphic genotypes induced by fractionated low dose ionizing radiation (LDIR). Methods i) MiRSNPs were predicted and screened using bioinformatics, and DNA from two types of lung cells, A549 cells and human bronchial epithelioid cells (HBE cells), was extracted for target gene sequencing. After co-transfection of pGL3c-MGMT-3′UTR-rs7896488 G>A reporter gene recombinant plasmid, pRL-TK Vector with micrON mimic NC #22 or micrON hsa-miR-4297 mimic (set up as the mimic NC group and the miR-4297 mimic group) in these two types of lung cells, dual luciferase reporter gene assay was performed. The relative expression of MGMT mRNA was detected by real-time fluorescence quantitative polymerase chain reaction, and the relative expression of MGMT protein was detected by Western blotting. ii) These two types of lung cells were randomly divided into the control group and irradiation group, which received either 0 or 100 mGy X-rays irradiation seven times. After irradiation, the cells were transfected with either micrON mimic NC #22 or micrON hsa-miR-4297 mimic, resulting in mimic NC + control group, miR-4297 mimic + control group, mimic NC + irradiation group, and miR-4297 mimic + irradiation group. Cells were collected for senescence-associated-β-galactosidase (SA-β-Gal) staining, and the relative expression of matrix metalloproteinase-9 (MMP-9) and chemokine (C-X-C motif) ligand-1 (CXCL-1) proteins was detected via Western blotting. Results i) The rs7896488 G>A was the miRSNP located in the conserved binding region targeted by miR-4297 in the MGMT gene 3′UTR. A549 cells were the rs7896488 GG wild-type homozygous genotype, while HBE cells were the rs7896488 GA heterozygous mutant genotype. In the miR-4297 mimic group, A549 and HBE cells carrying the rs7896488 G allele showed significantly lower dual-luciferase activity compared with that in the mimic NC group (both P<0.01). However, there was no significant difference in dual-luciferase activity between the two groups in both A549 and HBE cells carrying the rs7896488 A allele (both P>0.05). The relative expression levels of MGMT mRNA and MGMT protein of A549 cells in the miR-4297 mimic group were lower than those in the mimic NC group (both P<0.05). However, there was no significant difference in MGMT mRNA and MGMT protein of HBE cells between these two groups (both P>0.05). ii) The relative activity of SA-β-Gal and the relative expression of MMP-9 and CXCL-1 proteins of A549 cells in the miR-4297 mimic+irradiation group were higher than those in the mimic NC + control group, the miR-4297 mimic + control group, and the mimic NC + irradiation group (all P<0.05). The relative activity of SA-β-Gal and the relative expression of MMP-9 and CXCL-1 proteins of HBE cells in the miR-4297 mimic + irradiation group were higher than those in the mimic NC + control group and the miR-4297 mimic + control group (all P<0.05), while there was no significant difference compared with those in the mimic NC + irradiation group (all P>0.05). Conclusion MGMT-3′UTR-miRSNP rs7896488 G>A plays a role in LDIR-induced senescence of lung cells with different polymorphic genotypes by affecting miR-4297-targeted regulation of MGMT.
7.Effects of fractionated low-dose ionizing radiation on differentially expressed genes in ferroptosis of human bronchial epithelial cells
Min ZHANG ; Lingyu ZHANG ; Yashi CAI ; Huixian LI ; Yanting CHEN ; Guanyou CHEN ; Xin LAN ; Changyong WEN ; Weixu HUANG ; Jianming ZOU ; Huifeng CHEN
Chinese Journal of Radiological Health 2025;34(3):310-317
Objective To investigate the effects of fractionated low-dose ionizing radiation (LDIR) on the ferroptosis in human bronchial epithelial (HBE) cells as well as the associated differentially expressed genes (DEGs), biological processes, and signaling pathways. Methods HBE cells were exposed to different single doses of X-ray irradiation (0, 25, 50, 75, and 100 mGy) for 24, 48, and 72 h, respectively. The change in cell viability was detected by MTT assay. Cells were irradiated with 0, 25, 50, and 100 mGy X-rays 5 times, with 48 h between each irradiation and a dose rate of 50 mGy/min. Cells were harvested 24 h after irradiation for the measurement of the expression of ferroptosis-related genes SLC7A11 and GPX4 at the mRNA and protein levels, cellular iron content, and the expression of FTH1 and FTL mRNAs. High-throughput sequencing was used to screen for the DEGs in each dose group, followed by Gene Ontology-Biological Process (GO-BP) analysis, Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) pathway analysis, and Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA). Results Compared with the control group, single-dose LDIR significantly increased cell proliferation at 75 mGy after 24 h (P < 0.05), at 50, 75, and 100 mGy after 48 h (P < 0.05), and at 75 and 100 mGy after 72 h (P < 0.05). Compared with the control group, at the end of the fifth fractionated LDIR, SLC7A11 and GPX4 mRNAs decreased at all doses (P < 0.05), SLC7A11 protein decreased at all doses, GPX4 protein decreased at 25 and 100 mGy, iron content increased at all doses, and FTH1 and FTL mRNAs decreased at all doses (P< 0.05). Sequencing analysis identified 248, 30, and 291 DEGs and 10, 2, and 9 ferroptosis-associated genes at the three doses compared to the control. Gene Ontology-Biological Process analysis showed that DEGs were mainly enriched in biological processes such as response to lipids, cell death, and response to unfolded proteins. Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes analysis showed that DEGs were mainly enriched in the JAK-STAT signaling pathway, lipids and atherosclerosis, ferroptosis, protein processing in the endoplasmic reticulum, and FoxO signaling pathway. Gene set enrichment analysis showed that DEGs were mainly enriched in ferroptosis, fatty acid degradation, and glutathione metabolism. Conclusion Fractionated low-dose radiation induced ferroptosis in HBE cells, and DEGs were predominantly enriched in biological processes and signaling pathways related to inflammation, ferroptosis, and endoplasmic reticulum stress.
8.Coagulation abnormalities in acute decompensated cirrhosis comorbid with infection:A prospective observational study based on thromboelastography
Ruiqing ZHANG ; Shumin CAI ; Xiuhua JIANG ; Jianming HUANG ; Beiling LI ; Jinjun CHEN
Journal of Clinical Hepatology 2025;42(5):907-913
Objective To investigate the changes in coagulation system in acute decompensated cirrhosis(ADC)patients with or without sepsis and the association of these changes with short-term prognosis.Methods A prospective study was conducted among 116 ADC patients who were hospitalized in Nanfang Hospital from January 2021 to July 2023,among whom there were 86 patients with sepsis and 30 patients without sepsis,and 54 patients with sepsis alone who had no chronic liver disease were enrolled as control group.Thromboelastography(TEG)and other conventional coagulation parameters were used to comprehensively evaluate the coagulation function of patients.The data including TEG results and short-term prognosis were collected,and a correlation analysis was performed.The independent-samples t test was used for comparison of normally distributed continuous data between two groups,and the Mann-Whitney U test was used for comparison of non-normally distributed continuous data between two groups;the chi-square test was used for comparison of categorical data between two groups.The Spearman correlation coefficient was calculated to investigate the correlation between different variables.The Logistic regression model was used to perform the univariate and multivariate analyses.Results For the ADC patients with sepsis,the lungs and bloodstream were the main infection sites,and bacteria were the main pathogenic microorganism.TEG results showed that compared with the patients with sepsis alone,the patients with ADC and sepsis had a significant reduction in median maximum amplitude(MA),a significant increase in coagulation time(K time),and a significant reduction in α angle(all P<0.05);the patients with ADC and sepsis had a significantly longer reaction time(R time)than those with ADC alone(P=0.02),and the patients with sepsis alone had a significantly longer R time than those with ADC and sepsis(P=0.04).There was no correlation between MA and platelet count in the patients with ADC and sepsis(r=-0.133,P=0.057),while there was a significant correlation between MA and platelet count in the patients with sepsis alone(r=0.595,P=0.001).SOFA score was negatively correlated with MA in sepsis patients with or without ADC(r=-0.503 and-0.561,both P<0.001),and for the patients with ADC and sepsis,R time,K time,and α angle were weakly correlated with SOFA score and had a relatively strong correlation with APTT(all P<0.05).The patients with ADC alone all survived within 90 days,and compared with the death group,the patients with sepsis alone who survived had significantly higher values of MA and α angle(all P<0.05);there was a significant difference in α angle on day 90 between the survival group and the death group,no matter whether the patients were comorbid with ADC or not(both P<0.01),while for the patients with ADC and sepsis,there was no significant difference in MA value on day 90 between the survival group and the death group(P>0.05).Conclusion For ADC patients comorbid with sepsis,coagulation function assessment and monitoring should be taken seriously in clinical practice,and TEG parameters and SOFA score should be monitored when necessary to develop individualized treatment regimens.
9.A CYP80B enzyme from Stephania tetrandra enables the 3'-hydroxylation of N-methylcoclaurine and coclaurine in the biosynthesis of benzylisoquinoline alkaloids.
Yaoting LI ; Yuhan FENG ; Wan GUO ; Yu GAO ; Jiatao ZHANG ; Lu YANG ; Chun LEI ; Yun KANG ; Yaqin WANG ; Xudong QU ; Jianming HUANG
Chinese Journal of Natural Medicines (English Ed.) 2025;23(5):630-640
Benzylisoquinoline alkaloids (BIAs) are a structurally diverse group of plant metabolites renowned for their pharmacological properties. However, sustainable sources for these compounds remain limited. Consequently, researchers are focusing on elucidating BIA biosynthetic pathways and genes to explore alternative sources using synthetic biology approaches. CYP80B, a family of cytochrome P450 (CYP450) enzymes, plays a crucial role in BIA biosynthesis. Previously reported CYP80Bs are known to catalyze the 3'-hydroxylation of (S)-N-methylcoclaurine, with the N-methyl group essential for catalytic activity. In this study, we successfully cloned a full-length CYP80B gene (StCYP80B) from Stephania tetrandra (S. tetrandra) and identified its function using a yeast heterologous expression system. Both in vivo yeast feeding and in vitro enzyme analysis demonstrated that StCYP80B could catalyze N-methylcoclaurine and coclaurine into their respective 3'-hydroxylated products. Notably, StCYP80B exhibited an expanded substrate selectivity compared to previously reported wild-type CYP80Bs, as it did not require an N-methyl group for hydroxylase activity. Furthermore, StCYP80B displayed a clear preference for the (S)-configuration. Co-expression of StCYP80B with the CYP450 reductases (CPRs, StCPR1, and StCPR2), also cloned from S. tetrandra, significantly enhanced the catalytic activity towards (S)-coclaurine. Site-directed mutagenesis of StCYP80B revealed that the residue H205 is crucial for coclaurine catalysis. Additionally, StCYP80B exhibited tissue-specific expression in plants. This study provides new genetic resources for the biosynthesis of BIAs and further elucidates their synthetic pathway in natural plant systems.
Cytochrome P-450 Enzyme System/chemistry*
;
Benzylisoquinolines/chemistry*
;
Hydroxylation
;
Plant Proteins/chemistry*
;
Alkaloids/metabolism*
;
Stephania tetrandra/genetics*
10.Assessment of risk factors for neonatal bacterial meningitis and establishment of a clinical prediction model
Guanchu CHEN ; Kun CHENG ; Shuyang HOU ; Yuan HUO ; Jianming TANG ; Fangping ZHAO ; Weiyang LI ; Hongxia GAO
Chinese Journal of Perinatal Medicine 2025;28(4):313-319
Objective:To investigate the risk factors and construct a nomogram prediction model for neonatal bacterial meningitis (BM).Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 1 228 neonates who underwent lumbar puncture for cerebrospinal fluid examination in the Department of Neonatology at Gansu Provincial Women and Child Healthcare Hospital from December 2019 to February 2024. The subjects were randomly divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort at a ratio of 7∶3 using a computer program. Rank sum test or Chi-square tests were used to compare differences between the two cohorts. The subjects were divided into BM and non-BM groups based on the presence or absence of BM. Multivariate logistic regression analysis (forward stepwise regression method) was used in the training cohort to identify risk factors for BM. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test were used to assess the discrimination and calibration of the model, respectively. Calibration curves were used to evaluate the accuracy of the model and to construct the nomogram. Internal validation was performed using the Bootstrap resampling method. Decision curve analysis was used to assess the clinical utility of the model. Results:Among the 1 228 neonates, 151 (12.3%) had BM. The training cohort included 859 neonates, of whom 106 (12.3%) had BM and 753 (87.7%) did not. The validation cohort included 369 neonates, of whom 45 (12.2%) had BM and 324 (87.8%) did not. The results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis in the training cohort showed that sepsis ( OR=4.446, 95% CI:2.583-7.653), convulsions ( OR=3.749, 95% CI:1.930-7.280), high maximum body temperature ( OR=2.027, 95% CI:1.636-2.513), and elevated C-reactive protein ( OR=1.007, 95% CI:1.003-1.012) were independent risk factors for BM, while greater gestational age at birth ( OR=0.946, 95% CI: 0.898-0.995) and higher hemoglobin levels ( OR=0.990, 95% CI:0.981-0.998) were protective factors for BM (all P<0.05). Based on these findings, a nomogram prediction model for neonatal BM was constructed and validated for accuracy. The AUC values of the nomogram model in the training and validation cohorts were 0.796 (95% CI: 0.750-0.843) and 0.781 (95% CI: 0.700-0.862), respectively. The Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test showed P>0.05 in both cohorts. The clinical decision curve analysis demonstrated good net benefit across most threshold ranges. Conclusions:Sepsis, convulsions, high maximum body temperature, and elevated C-reactive protein increase the risk of neonatal BM. The nomogram model constructed based on these factors, combined with gestational age and hemoglobin levels, provides a reference value for predicting the risk of neonatal BM.

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