OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance of machine learning models and traditional Cox regression model in predicting postoperative outcomes of patients with esophagogastric junction adenocarcinoma (AEG). METHODS: This study was conducted among 203 AEG patients with complete clinical and follow-up data, who were treated in our hospital between September, 2015 and October, 2020. The clinicopathological data of the patients were processed for analysis using R language package and divided into training and validation datasets at the ratio of 3:1. The Cox proportional hazards regression model and 4 machine learning models were constructed for analyzing the datasets. ROC curves, calibration curves and clinical decision curves (DCA) were plotted. Internal validation of the machine learning models was performed to assess their predictive efficacy. The predictive performance of each model was evaluated by calculating the area under the curve (AUC), and the model fitting was assessed using the calibration curve. RESULTS: For predicting 3-year survival based on the validation dataset, the AUC was 0.870 for Cox proportional hazard regression model, 0.901 for eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), 0.791 for random forest, 0.832 for support vector machine, and 0.725 for multilayer perceptron; For predicting 5-year survival, the AUCs of these models were 0.915, 0.916, 0.758, 0.905, and 0.737, respectively. For internal validation, the AUCs of the 4 machine learning models decreased in the order of XGBoost (0.818), random forest (0.758), support vector machine (0.0.804), and multilayer perceptron (0.745). CONCLUSION The machine learning models show better predictive efficacy for survival outcomes of patients with AEG than Cox proportional hazard regression model, especially when proportional odds assumption or linear regression models are not applicable. XGBoost models have better performance than the other machine learning models, and the multi-layer perception model may have poor fitting results for a limited data volume.
Humans ; Adenocarcinoma ; Prognosis ; Machine Learning ; Esophagogastric Junction

Objective To evaluate the clinical value of holographic image navigation in urological laparoscopic and robotic surgery.Methods The data of patients were reviewed retrospectively for whom accepted holographic image navigation laparoscopic and robotic surgery from Jan.2019 to Dec.2019 in Beijing United Family Hospital and other 18 medical centers,including 78 cases of renal tumor,2 cases of bladder cancer,2 cases of adrenal gland tumor,1 cases of renal cyst,1 case of prostate cancer,1 case of sweat gland carcinoma with lymph node metastasis,1 case of pelvic metastasis after radical cystectomy.All the patients underwent operations.In the laparoscopic surgery group,there were 27 cases of partial nephrectomy,1 case of radical prostatectomy,2 cases of radical cystectomy and 2 cases of adrenalectomy.In the da Vinci robotic surgery group of 54 cases,there were 51 cases of partial nephrectomy,1 case of retroperitoneal lymph node dissection,1 case of retroperitoneal bilateral renal cyst deroofing and 1 case of resection of pelvic metastasis.There were 41 partial nephrectomy patients with available clinical data for statistic,with a median age of 53.5 years (range 24-76),including 26 males and 15 females.The median R.E.N.A.L score was 7.8 (range 4-11).Before the operation,the engineers established the holographic image based on the contrast CT images and reports.The surgeon applied the holographic image for preoperative planning.During the operation,the navigation was achieved by real time fusing holographic images with the laparoscopic surgery images in the screen.Results All the procedures had been complete uneventfully.The holographic images helped surgeon in understanding the visual three-dimension structure and relation of vessels supplying tumor or resection tissue,lymph nodes and nerves.By manipulating the holographic images extracorporeally,the fused image guide surgeons about location vessel,lymph node and other important structure and then facilitate the delicate dissection.For the 41 cases with available clinical data including 23 cases of robotic-assisted partial nephrectomy and 18 cases of laparoscopic nephrectomy,the median operation time was 140 (range 50-225) min,the median warm ischemia time was 23 (range 14-60) min,the median blood loss was 80(range 5-1 200) ml.In the robotic surgery group,the median operation time was 140 (range 50-215)min,the median warm i schemia time was 21 (range 17-40)min,the median blood loss was 150(range 30-1 200)ml.In the laparoscopic surgery group,the median operation time was 160(range 80-225)min,the median warm ischemia time was 25 (range 14-60)min,the median blood loss was 50 (range 5-1 200) ml.All the patients had no adjacent organ injury during operation.There were 2 cases with Clavien Ⅱ complications.One required transfusion and the other one suffered hematoma post-operation.However,the tumors were located in the renal hilus for these 2 cases and the R.E.N.A.L scores were both 11.Conclusions Holographic image navigation can help location and recognize important anatomic structures during the surgical procedures..This technique will reduce the tissue injury,decrease the complications and improve the success rate of surgery.

Objective:To analyze and summarize the basic characteristics and clinical features of botulism patients caused by cosmetic injection of botulinum toxin.Methods:Retrospective investigation and analysis method were used to analyze the data of botulism patients caused by cosmetic injection of botulinum toxin admitted to the Poisoning Treatment Center of the PLA from March 2016 to June 2019.Results:Total of 380 cases were included in this study, including 114 hospitalized cases and 266 emergency cases. The majority patients (97.4%) were female, and most of them (39.5%) were among 30-39 years old. Most of the cases occurred in beauty salons or beauty studios, and most of the botulinum toxin injected was fake and inferior products. Onset latency were mainly distributed in 3 to 6 days. Common clinical symptoms included dizziness, blurred vision, eyes open weakness, dysphagia, chest tightness of breath, fatigue, diplopia, nausea, bilateral eyelid drooping, and dysarthria. The "4D" sign of cranial nerve injury occurred less frequently, mainly with mild and moderate poisoning; The occurrence rates of dysarthria, dysphagia, eyes open weakness, blurred vision, choking in drinking water, chewing weakness, bilateral eyelid drooping, decreased limb muscle strength, and chest tightness of breath in the hospitalized case were significantly higher than those in the emergency cases (all P < 0.05). Three hundred and nine patients received botulinum antitoxin therapy. The dose of botulinum antitoxin was 20 000 (20 000-30 000) U, with a total treatment duration of 4 (3-7) days in the emergence cases, and 30 000 (30 000-50 000) U with a total treatment time of 8 (5-11) days in the hospitalized cases, and there were significant differences between the two groups ( P < 0.05). All cases were followed up with good prognosis. Conclusions:Cosmetic injection of botulinum toxin has certain risk. If symptoms of poisoning occur such as dizziness, blurred vision, eyes open weakness and dysphagia, patients should be treated promptly, and early treatment with botulinum antitoxin can improve the prognosis.

AIM: To explore the regulatory effect of adrenomedullin (ADM) on pulmonary oxidative stress in the rats with pulmonary hypertension induced by high blood flow.METHODS: Healthy male SD rats (n=22) were randomly divided into control group, shunt group and shunt with ADM group.Abdominal aorta and inferior vena cava shunting was produced in the rats in shunt group and shunt with ADM group.After 8 weeks, ADM (1.5 μg·kg-1·h-1) was administered into the rats in shunt with ADM group subcutaneously by mini-osmotic pump for 2 weeks.Mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP) was evaluated by a right cardiac catheterization procedure.The ratio of right ventricular mass to left ventricular plus interventricular septal mass [RV/(LV+SP)] and relative medial thickness (RMT) in pulmonary muscularized arteries were calculated.The content of malonaldehyde (MDA), total antioxidative capacity (T-AOC), and activity of superoxide dismutase (SOD) and glutathione peroxidase (GSH-Px) in lung tissues were detected by colorimetry.The expression of NADPH oxidase 4 (NOX4) in the lung tissue was analyzed by Western blot.RESULTS: Compared with control group, the mPAP, RV/(LV+SP) and RMT in pulmonary muscularized arteries in shunt group were all significantly increased.The content of MDA and the expression of NOX4 in the lung tissues were significantly increased.The T-AOC, and activity of SOD and GSH-Px in the lung tissues were significantly decreased.However, mPAP, RV/(LV+SP) and RMT in pulmonary muscularized arteries in shunt with ADM group were significantly decreased as compared with shunt group.Meanwhile, ADM decreased the content of MDA and the expression of NOX4 in the lung tissues, but increased the T-AOC, and activity of SOD and GSH-Px in the lung tissue of shunt rats.CONCLUSION: ADM inhibits oxidative stress response in the development of pulmonary hypertension and pulmonary vascular structural remodeling induced by high pulmonary blood flow in the rats by down-regulating the NOX4 expression and strengthening the anti-oxidation response.

Objective To evaluate the functional and oncological outcomes of patients with locally advanced prostate cancer (PCa) treated by hormone therapy combined with extra-fascia1 laparoscopic radical prostatectomy (LRP) plus extended lymph node dissection (ePLND).Methods From January 2004 to June 2016,a total of 255 PCa cases (pT3-4NxM0) who received LRP plus ePLND were enrolled into our study.The mean age of the patients was 67 (range 44-88) years,and median PSA level was 21.2 (range 0.6-454.0) ng/ml.The patients were divided into earlier group (from January 2004 to December 2011,160 cases) and later group (from January 2012 to June 2016,95 cases) according to different treatment periods.The baseline demographics between the two groups were similar.All patients routinely received adjuvant hormone therapy (AHT) postoperatively.The patients in the later group underwent collapsin response mediator protein 4 (CRMP4) methylation study on the prostatic biopsy preoperatively.Those with a CRMP4 methylation level ＞ 15％ or rectum/bladder neck invasion,were treated by neoadjuvant hormone therapy (NHT) for 3-6 months.Positive surgical margin (PSM),progression-free survival (PFS),cancer-specific survival (CSS),overall survival (OS) and postoperative continence rates between the two groups were analyzed and compared.Results The mean operative time of the earlier and later group were (239 ±65) min and (203±51) min,mean blood loss were (109-±65) ml and (96-±44) ml,mean dissected nodes were (19 ± 5) and (21 ± 7),respectively (all P ＞ 0.05).The total PSM rate was 19.2％,and PSM rates of the two groups were 23.1％ and 12.6％ (P =0.04).All the 255 cases received AHT and 25 cases in the later group underwent NHT.The median follow-up time was 73 months (range 10-152 months).The total 5-year PFS,CSS and OS rates were 77.7％,94.3％ and 87.1％,respectively,and the rates between groups were 73.8％ vs.86.1％ (P=0.03),93.1％ vs.98.6％ (P=0.07),and 85.0％ vs.92.8％ (P =0.11),respectively.The 1-year postoperative continence rates were 91.9％ vs.97.9％ (P =0.09).Conclusions Hormone therapy combined with LRP plus ePLND represents an oncological and functional effective option in patients with locally advanced PCa,and improved PFS might be acquired by preoperative tumor staging.

[ ABSTRACT] AIM:To explore the regulatory effect of intermedin ( IMD) on pulmonary collagen synthesis and ac-cumulation in rats with pulmonary hypertension induced by high pulmonary blood flow.METHODS: Healthy male SD rats (n=20) were randomly divided into control group (n=7), shunt group (n=7) and shunt with IMD group (n=6).The shunting of abdominal aorta and inferior vena cava was produced in rats of shunt group and shunt with IMD group.After 8 weeks, IMD was administered into the rats of shunt with IMD group subcutaneously by mini-osmotic pump for 2 weeks.Mean pulmonary artery pressure (mPAP), relative medial thickness (RMT) of pulmonary arteries, contents of hydroxyproline, collagen type I and III, bone morphogenetic protein-2 (BMP-2), and the mRNA expression of procollagen I and III in lung tissues were measured and compared.RESULTS:Compared with control group, mPAP and RMT of medium and small pul-monary arteries in the rats of shunt group were significantly increased.Meanwhile, the lung hydroxyproline, collagens I and III and BMP-2 contents, and the mRNA expression of lung procollagen I and III were all significantly increased compared with control group.However, IMD significantly decreased mPAP, alleviated the changes of pulmonary vascular micro-struc-ture, decreased the collagen accumulation and pulmonary tissue homogenate BMP-2 contents, and inhibited the mRNA ex-pression of procollagen I and III in the lung tissue of shunting rats.CONCLUSION:IMD plays a protective role in the de-velopment of pulmonary hypertension and pulmonary vascular structural remodeling induced by high blood flow by inhibiting pulmonary collagen synthesis and accumulation, possibly in association with the BMP-2 pathway.

Objective To explore the effect of application of continue performance test (CPT) in screening of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder( ADHD ). Methods Thirty-five children with ADHD and65 normal children had been applied with CPT and Conner questionnaire test. Used rank sum test to examine the outcome, established receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, analyzed the most valuable index among various data, formulated abnormal critical value, and carried on a consistency check between CPT screening outcome and clinical diagnosis outcome. Results Each CPT index of 35 children with ADHD was obviously higher than those of normal children(P＜ 0.05 ). Most indexes' area under the ROC curve exceeded 0.7, reactive time of VST was the highest among each index which achieved 0.915. It was high conformity between CPT screening outcome and clinical diagnosis outcome (Kappa = 0.935 ). Conclusion CPT can be applied in ADHD screening.

Marked by the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the CPC, Shanghai health care started a journey of reform and opening up as with other sectors. This essay reviews various stages Shanghai health care experienced and the achievements for the last 30 years since reform and opening up, and analyzes the challenges Shanghai health care faces currently. On this basis, the essay summaries the experiences and lessons learned from Shanghai health care reform and development.

Objective: To report our prelimilary experience of laparoscopic radical prostatectomy (LRP) for clinically localized prostatic cancer.Methods:23 cases with localized prostatic cancer underwent LRP in our institution from October 2000 to August 2003. The median age was 64.5 years old, the median PSA was 13 ng/ml and median Gleason score of biopsy specimens was < 7. The operations were performed according to Montsouris technique. Briefly, operations were carried out transperitonealty, combining posterior and anterior approachs to the prostate, transecting the bladder neck, lateral dissection of the prostate, urcthrovesical anastomosis, completing the operation.Results:No death and no conversion rate were observed in this series of 23 cases of LRP. No re-intervention was needed. The median operating time was 325 minutes (range 270 to 660 min) including the lymphadenectomy phase that was considered necessary in the case whose PSA value was 51ng/ml and pathological reading was negative to thoses lymph nodes; The median intraoperative blood loss was 430 ml(rang 200 to 1100 ml). Postoperative bladder catheterization time was 20 days. Surgical positive margin was found in I case of pathlogical stage of pT2b and Casodex 50 mg had been used on this case for 3 mon after the PSA value was < 0.2 ng/ml. Postoperation follow-up of 3 to 24 mo. showed no signs of complications such as urethral stricture or urine incontinence. The PSA concentrations was < 0.3 ng/ml in all cases.Conclusions: LRP provides a clear and magnified anatomical image to allow a more precise and safer dissection.

Objective To evaluate the technique of laparoscopic pyeloplasty. Methods 11 cases with ureteropelvic junction (UPJ) obstruction underwent laparoscopic pyeloplasty via post abdominal cavity approach. Results All the operations have been successful,the operating time being 2 to 4 h and the blood loss 40 to 90 ml. Ultrasound B investigation 3 to 24 months after the procedure showed no hydronephrosis in all and IVU analysis in 6 cases one year after the operation disclosed good outcome with less morbidity. Conclusions Laparoscopic pyeloplasty is an effective way to treat UPJ obstruction with minimal trauma to the patient.