1.Prediction of neurological function rehabilitation outcome for stroke patients using interpretable machine learning models
Shun GUI ; Jianfei ZHANG ; Huizhi HUANG
Chinese Journal of Rehabilitation Theory and Practice 2026;32(4):463-472
ObjectiveTo develop a machine learning (ML)-based prediction model for neurological rehabilitation outcomes of stroke patients. MethodsA total of 420 stroke patients admitted to the Fuzhou First People's Hospital from October, 2022 to October, 2024 were enrolled as the training set. According to the modified Rankin Scale (mRS) scores three months after discharge, the patients were divided into prognosis group (n = 289) and poor prognosis group (n = 131). An additional 180 stroke patients hospitalized in the same hospital from November, 2024 to April, 2025 were selected as the validation set. Univariate analysis, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, and multivariate logistic regression were performed to identify independent influencing factors for the prognosis of neurological function recovery. Using the screened independent influencing factors as feature variables, six ML models were established, including logistic regression, linear discriminant analysis, naive Bayes, support vector machine, random forest and extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), confusion matrix indicators (accuracy, precision, recall and F1-score), calibration curve and decision curve analysis were adopted to evaluate the predictive efficacy, calibration degree and clinical net benefit of each model, with external validation conducted in the validation set. The SHapley Additive exPlanations framework was used to interpret the optimal model, and bar charts were applied to visualize the feature importance of the best model. ResultsAge, National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score, collateral circulation grading, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), lymphocyte percentage (LYMPH%), and homocysteine (Hcy) were independent risk factors for poor neurological rehabilitation prognosis (P < 0.05). For the XGBoost model, the AUC of the training and validation sets were 0.963 (95%CI 0.947 to 0.979) and 0.825 (95%CI 0.764 to 0.885), respectively, while the accuracy was 88.81% and 77.22%, the precision was 92.86% and 68.42%, the recall was 69.47% and 47.27%, and the F1-score was 79.48% and 55.91%, optimal in both calibration and clinical net benefit. The feature importance ranking for the XGBoost model from high to low was NIHSS score, age, collateral circulation grading, FPG, Hcy and LYMPH%. ConclusionThe interpretable XGBoost ML model exhibits excellent predictive efficacy and favorable clinical applicability in predicting neurological rehabilitation outcomes for stroke patients.
2.Study on the predictive value of ICH-LR2S2 score and ICH-APS score for stroke-associated pneumonia in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage
Yan LIU ; Xiumei ZOU ; Lishang LIAO ; Jianfei HUANG ; Ling ZHANG ; Yu RAN ; Guangzhen LI
Chongqing Medicine 2025;54(5):1111-1117
Objective To study the predictive value of the Prognostic Assessment Scale for Patients with Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage(ICH-LR2S2)and the Prehospital Risk Assessment Scale for Prehospital Deterioration Risk Assessment Scale(ICH-APS)for the development of stroke-associated pneu-monia(SAP)in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.Methods A total of 349 patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage who were hospitalized for the first time in this hospital from July 2023 to July 2024 were selected as the research subjects.The general demographic data and medical documentations of the patients were collected,and ICH-LR2S2 score and ICH-APS score were carried out within 48 hours after admission.According to whether pneumonia occurred within 7 days after admission,the patients were divided into the SAP group and the non-SAP group,and the diagnostic efficiency of the ICH-LR2S2 score and ICH-APS score for SAP in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage was evaluated.Results Among the 349 patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage,98 patients(28.08%)had pneumonia.The results of multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age,history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD),nasogastric tube,tracheal intubation,National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)score,Glasgow Coma Scale(GCS)score,C-reactive protein,fasting blood glucose,dysphagia,ICH-LR2S2 score,ICH-APS-A score,and ICH-APS-B score were independent influencing factors for SAP in patients with spontane-ous intracerebral hemorrhage(P<0.05).The results of the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve showed that the ICH-LR2S2 score had the highest diagnostic efficiency for SAP in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage,with an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.837,a sensitivity of 0.827,a specificity of 0.783,and a Youden index of 0.610.Conclusion ICH-LR2S2 score has a high predictive value for the occur-rence of SAP in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.
3.Safety and efficacy of flow diverter in the treatment of middle cerebral artery dissection aneurysms
Hao YAO ; Zhiwen LU ; Yina WU ; Shijie ZHU ; Jianfei SUN ; Qinghai HUANG
International Journal of Cerebrovascular Diseases 2025;33(1):12-17
Objective:To investigate the safety and efficacy of flow diverter (FD) in the treatment of middle cerebral artery (MCA) dissection aneurysms.Methods:Patients with MCA dissection aneurysm received FD treatment at the Department of Neurosurgery, Jinjiang Hospital and the Cerebrovascular Disease Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Naval Medical University from January 2021 to December 2023 were included retrospectively. The success rate of procedure, incidence of complications, occlusion rate of aneurysms, and clinical outcome were evaluated.Results:A total of 23 patients were included, with a success rate of 100% for FD implantation and a periprocedural complication rate of 8.7%. Nineteen patients (82.6%) completed angiography follow-up within an average of 7.2 months, of which the aneurysms of 16 patients (84.2%) were completely occluded, 3 (15.8%) were partial occluded, and 2 (10.5%) experienced in-stent restenosis; 14 (73.7%) showed stenosis of covered branch openings, of which 2 (10.5%) had branch occlusions, with no relevant clinical symptoms. The median clinical follow-up time was 23.2 months, with 95.7% of patients achieving good outcome (modified Rankin scale score ≤2).Conclusion:FD is safe and effective in the treatment of MCA dissection aneurysms, and precise device selection and release is the key to improving procedural safety.
4.Robotic surgery for complex bile duct stones:a retrospective single-center comparative study
Long HUANG ; Jianlin LAI ; Kangyu ZHENG ; Junjie CHEN ; Jianfei HU ; Yifeng TIAN ; Shi CHEN
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2025;34(8):1662-1670
Background and Aims:Complex biliary stones are often accompanied by hilar adhesions,distorted anatomy,biliary variations,or biliary-enteric fistulas.Conventional laparoscopic surgery is limited in such settings,with high conversion and complication rates.Robotic surgical systems provide high-definition 3D vision and enhanced dexterity,potentially improving surgical outcomes.This study compared the clinical efficacy of robotic vs.laparoscopic surgery for complex biliary stones.Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed on 145 patients with complex biliary stones who underwent minimally invasive surgery at Fujian Provincial Hospital,Fuzhou University,from January 2023 to January 2025.Patients were divided into a robotic group(n=62)and a laparoscopic group(n=83).Intraoperative outcomes,postoperative complications,and recovery parameters were compared.Stone recurrence was assessed during follow-up.Results:Baseline characteristics were comparable between groups(all P>0.05).The conversion rate was 0 in the robotic group vs.7.2%in the laparoscopic group(P=0.038).The postoperative complication rate was significantly lower in the robotic group(1.6%vs.10.7%,P=0.044).Time to first oral intake,first flatus,and postoperative hospital stay were all shorter in the robotic group(all P<0.05).No stone recurrence was observed in either group during follow-up until June 2025.Conclusion:Robotic surgery is a safe and feasible approach for complex biliary stones,offering reduced conversion and complication rates and faster recovery compared with laparoscopy.It holds promise for wider clinical application in complex biliary disease.
5.Robotic surgery for complex bile duct stones:a retrospective single-center comparative study
Long HUANG ; Jianlin LAI ; Kangyu ZHENG ; Junjie CHEN ; Jianfei HU ; Yifeng TIAN ; Shi CHEN
Chinese Journal of General Surgery 2025;34(8):1662-1670
Background and Aims:Complex biliary stones are often accompanied by hilar adhesions,distorted anatomy,biliary variations,or biliary-enteric fistulas.Conventional laparoscopic surgery is limited in such settings,with high conversion and complication rates.Robotic surgical systems provide high-definition 3D vision and enhanced dexterity,potentially improving surgical outcomes.This study compared the clinical efficacy of robotic vs.laparoscopic surgery for complex biliary stones.Methods:A retrospective analysis was performed on 145 patients with complex biliary stones who underwent minimally invasive surgery at Fujian Provincial Hospital,Fuzhou University,from January 2023 to January 2025.Patients were divided into a robotic group(n=62)and a laparoscopic group(n=83).Intraoperative outcomes,postoperative complications,and recovery parameters were compared.Stone recurrence was assessed during follow-up.Results:Baseline characteristics were comparable between groups(all P>0.05).The conversion rate was 0 in the robotic group vs.7.2%in the laparoscopic group(P=0.038).The postoperative complication rate was significantly lower in the robotic group(1.6%vs.10.7%,P=0.044).Time to first oral intake,first flatus,and postoperative hospital stay were all shorter in the robotic group(all P<0.05).No stone recurrence was observed in either group during follow-up until June 2025.Conclusion:Robotic surgery is a safe and feasible approach for complex biliary stones,offering reduced conversion and complication rates and faster recovery compared with laparoscopy.It holds promise for wider clinical application in complex biliary disease.
6.Chinese expert consensus on the diagnosis and treatment of osteoporotic periarticular fracture of the shoulder in the elderly (version 2023)
Yan HU ; Dongliang WANG ; Xiao CHEN ; Zhongmin SHI ; Fengjin ZHOU ; Jianzheng ZHANG ; Yanxi CHEN ; Liehu CAO ; Sicheng WANG ; Jianfei WANG ; Hongliang WANG ; Yong FENG ; Zhimin YING ; Chengdong HU ; Qinglin HAN ; Ming LI ; Xiaotao CHEN ; Zhengrong GU ; Biaotong HUANG ; Liming XIONG ; Yunfei ZHANG ; Zhiwei WANG ; Baoqing YU ; Yong WANG ; Lei ZHANG ; Lei YANG ; Peijian TONG ; Ximing LIU ; Qiang ZHOU ; Feng NIU ; Weiguo YANG ; Wencai ZHANG ; Shijie CHEN ; Jinpeng JIA ; Qiang YANG ; Tao SHEN ; Bin YU ; Peng ZHANG ; Yong ZHANG ; Jun MIAO ; Kuo SUN ; Haodong LIN ; Yinxian YU ; Jinwu WANG ; Kun TAO ; Daqian WAN ; Lei WANG ; Xin MA ; Chengqing YI ; Hongjian LIU ; Kun ZHANG ; Guohui LIU ; Dianying ZHANG ; Zhiyong HOU ; Xisheng WENG ; Yingze ZHANG ; Jiacan SU
Chinese Journal of Trauma 2023;39(4):289-298
Periarticular fracture of the shoulder is a common type of fractures in the elderly. Postoperative adverse events such as internal fixation failure, humeral head ischemic necrosis and upper limb dysfunction occur frequently, which seriously endangers the exercise and health of the elderly. Compared with the fracture with normal bone mass, the osteoporotic periarticular fracture of the shoulder is complicated with slow healing and poor rehabilitation, so the clinical management becomes more difficult. At present, there is no targeted guideline or consensus for this type of fracture in China. In such context, experts from Youth Osteoporosis Group of Chinese Orthopedic Association, Orthopedic Expert Committee of Geriatrics Branch of Chinese Association of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Osteoporosis Group of Youth Committee of Chinese Association of Orthopedic Surgeons and Osteoporosis Committee of Shanghai Association of Chinese Integrative Medicine developed the Chinese expert consensus on the diagnosis and treatment of osteoporotic periarticular fracture of the shoulder in the elderly ( version 2023). Nine recommendations were put forward from the aspects of diagnosis, treatment strategies and rehabilitation of osteoporotic periarticular fracture of the shoulder, hoping to promote the standardized, systematic and personalized diagnosis and treatment concept and improve functional outcomes and quality of life in elderly patients with osteoporotic periarticular fracture of the shoulder.
7.Imaging study of β-amyloid deposits in preclinical Alzheimer′s disease patients in communities of Shanghai
Mengjie WANG ; Shasha XU ; Donglang JIANG ; Junpeng LI ; Jianfei XIAO ; Shuhua REN ; Qi HUANG ; Yihui GUAN ; Xingmin HAN ; Lin HUANG ; Keliang CHEN ; Fang XIE ; Qihao GUO
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2023;43(1):20-24
Objective:To explore the β-amyloid (Aβ) deposition pattern of subjects with the preclinical Alzheimer′s disease (AD), community-derived amnestic mild cognitive impairment (aMCI) and normal cognition (NC) from communities of Shanghai.Methods:According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, 273 subjects (104 males, 169 females; age (64.2±7.6) years) were recruited from Shanghai community and memory clinics from December 2018 to July 2020. All subjects underwent MRI, 18F-AV45 PET imaging and neuropsychological scale tests and were grouped into AD, aMCI and NC groups based on clinical diagnosis. Differences in demographic information, the neuropsychological scale tests′ scores and positive rate of Aβ deposition among each group were analyzed by one-way analysis of variance or χ2 test. Aβ deposition patterns of AD and MCI groups were analyzed at voxel level, and the differences of Aβ deposition among different groups were compared. Results:Among 273 patients, the positive rates of Aβ deposition in AD, aMCI and NC groups were 84.4%(38/45), 36.4%(20/55) and 23.1%(40/173), respectively ( χ2=58.37, P<0.001). Among AD, aMCI, NC and NC (Aβ-) groups ( n=132), the education years of AD group was the lowest ((9.7±4.6) years; F=8.86, P<0.001). In addition, there were significant differences in the scores of several neuropsychological scale tests among AD, aMCI, NC groups and NC (Aβ-) group ( F values: 27.68-235.50, all P<0.001). Compared with subjects in NC(Aβ-) group, the Aβ depositions in the aMCI and AD groups were widely distributed in the whole cerebral cortex; and AD group had higher Aβ deposition in bilateral frontal, parietal, temporal, occipital lobe, cingulate gyrus and precuneus than aMCI group. Conclusions:The positive rate of Aβ deposition in the preclinical AD population from the Shanghai community is obtained. There are significant different Aβ deposition patterns in subjects at different stages of AD.
8.Distinguish mild cognitive impairment and normal cognitive change by β-amyloid PET imaging
Yue QIAN ; Mengjie WANG ; Junpeng LI ; Dan ZHOU ; Donglang JIANG ; Jianfei XIAO ; Shuhua REN ; Yihui GUAN ; Qi HUANG ; Qihao GUO ; Fang XIE
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2023;43(2):65-69
Objective:To explore the association of the impaired cognition and the deposition of β-amyloid (Aβ) in normal cognitive (NC) and mild cognitive impairment (MCI).Methods:From December 2018 to January 2021, 305 subjects (113 males, 192 females; age (64.0±7.7) years) who completed neuropsychological tests and MRI in Shanghai Sixth People′s Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University and 18F-florbetapir (AV45) PET imaging in Huashan Hospital, Fudan University were retrospectively analyzed. The subjects were divided into MCI group and NC group based on neuropsychological tests, and each group was further divided into Aβ-positive and Aβ-negative based on PET imaging results. Independent-sample t test, Mann-Whitney U test and χ2 test were used to analyze the data. Results:There were 118 subjects in MCI group and 187 subjects in NC group. The Aβ-positive rate in MCI group (37.3%, 44/118) was higher than that in NC group (26.2%, 49/187; χ2=4.19, P=0.041). The assessment performances of MCI group in general cognitive function, memory function, language function and executive function were inferior to those of NC group ( t values: from -10.63 to -6.31, z values: from -11.01 to -6.03, all P<0.001). The Auditory Verbal Learning Test-Long Delay Recall (AVLT-LDR) score of Aβ-positive subjects was lower than that of Aβ-negative subjects in MCI group (1.00(0.00, 3.00) and 3.00(1.00, 4.00); z=-2.49, P=0.013). The Montreal Cognitive Assessment Basic (MoCA-B) score of Aβ-positive subjects was lower than that of Aβ-negative subjects in NC group (25.29±2.67 and 26.36±2.42; t=-2.61, P=0.010). Conclusion:Compared to Aβ-negative subjects, MCI patients with Aβ-positive perform worse on memory tests, and NC subjects with Aβ-positive perform worse on general cognitive function.
9.Establishment and clinical verification of brain template for analyzing 11C-CFT PET imaging data
Chengfeng JIANG ; Ping WU ; Jingjie GE ; Zhemin HUANG ; Jianfei XIAO ; Yunhao YANG ; Xiuming LI ; Qian XU ; Huiwei ZHANG ; Yihui GUAN ; Chuantao ZUO
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2023;43(4):216-220
Objective:To establish standard spatial brain template and ROIs template of 11C-methyl- N-2β-carbomethoxy-3β-(4-fluorophenyl)tropane (CFT) PET images for automated quantitative analysis of dopamine transporter (DAT) distribution. Methods:From May 2014 to December 2015, 11C-CFT PET and MRI T 1 brain images of 16 healthy volunteers (3 males, 13 females; age (63.3±6.9) years) from Huashan Hospital, Fudan University were co-registered and smoothed using statistical parametric mapping(SPM)5 software based on MATLAB to create a standard spatial brain template. The ROIs template was established by ScAnVp procedures. These templates were clinically verified by using 11C-CFT PET images of 37 healthy volunteers (23 males, 14 females; age (61.7±7.1) years), 32 Parkinson′s disease (PD) patients (20 males, 12 females; age (61.1±5.4) years), 10 multiple system atrophy with predominant parkinsonism (MSA-P) patients (7 males, 3 females; age (60.8±7.1) years) and 10 progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) patients (5 males, 5 females; age (58.4±6.1) years) from Huashan Hospital, Fudan University between January 2014 and March 2019. One-way analysis of variance was used to analyze data. Results:Based on the 11C-CFT PET images and MRI T 1 images of healthy volunteers, a standard spatial brain template for normalization of 11C-CFT PET images was created. The ROIs template was established including seven regions: bilateral caudate, anterior putamen, posterior putamen (along the long axis) and the occipital cortex. The ROIs template was accurately aligned in each verification group. The normal reference values of semi-quantitative DAT distribution in caudate, anterior putamen and posterior putamen were obtained (1.84±0.13, 2.18±0.16, 1.77±0.11). The semi-quantitative values of 11C-CFT uptake in each ROI in patients were significantly lower than those in healthy volunteers ( F values: 49.79-283.83, all P<0.05). Conclusion:The established brain templates with accurate spatial alignment for 11C-CFT image analysis can provide foundational tools for the application of 11C-CFT PET imaging in clinical practice and scientific research.
10.18F-MK6240 PET imaging of tau protein in Alzheimer′s disease and cognitive correlation analysis
Weiyi WANG ; Ying WANG ; Mengjie WANG ; Jie WANG ; Junpeng LI ; Donglang JIANG ; Jianfei XIAO ; Shuhua REN ; Qi HUANG ; Kun HE ; Yihui GUAN ; Qihao GUO ; Binyin LI ; Fang XIE
Chinese Journal of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging 2023;43(10):583-587
Objective:To investigate the tau deposition pattern in Alzheimer′s disease (AD) and its correlation with cognition by 18F-MK6240 PET imaging. Methods:From August 2021 to February 2022, 46 elderly people over 55 years old (16 males, 30 females; age (68.9±7.7) years) were included from outpatient and community in Shanghai. Structural brain MRI, β-amyloid (Aβ) PET imaging, tau-PET imaging and comprehensive neuropsychological tests batteries were conducted. The subjects were divided into AD group ( n=16) and normal cognition (NC) group ( n=30) according to the 2018 National Institute on aging and Alzheimer′s Association (NIA-AA) diagnostic criteria. Quantitative analysis was conducted to investigate the tau deposition pattern in AD after preprocessing 18F-MK6240 PET images with MRI images. SUV ratio (SUVR) of brain regions such as entorhinal cortex, hippocampus, parahippocampal gyrus, amygdala, insular lobe, frontal lobe, precuneus, occipital lobe, thalamus and putamen were analyzed, with cerebellum as reference region. The differences of tau deposition in brain regions between AD and NC groups were analyzed by independent-sample t test. The associations between SUVR and Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) score and Montreal Cognitive Assessment-Basic (MoCA-B) score were analyzed by Pearson correlation analysis. Results:AD displayed a significant tau deposition in frontal lobes, temporal lobes and parietal lobes compared with NC. SUVR of brain regions in AD group were higher than those in NC group ( t values: 3.37-9.61, all P<0.05). SUVR in brain regions were negatively correlated with MMSE score ( r values: from -0.735 to -0.350, all P<0.05) and MoCA-B score ( r values: from -0.723 to -0.367, all P<0.05). Conclusion:18F-MK6240 PET can demonstrate the tau deposition in the brain of AD patients, and the tau deposition is related to cognitive function.

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