1.Influenza prediction and holiday effects analysis based on Prophet-LSTM model
Wenlin CHENG ; Junjun MAO ; Yizhe WANG ; Jiabing WU
Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine 2026;37(1):8-12
Objective To investigate the impact of holiday effects and prevention/control measures on the development characteristics and incidence trends of influenza in Hefei City using a Prophet-LSTM hybrid model, and to validate the applicability of the Prophet-LSTM model in influenza prediction by comparing the performance of different forecasting models. Methods Influenza incidence data from Hefei City (2016–2024) were collected to construct a Prophet-LSTM feature analysis and prediction model to analyze the impact of holiday effects and intervention measures on influenza incidence trends. Comparative models (ARIMA, GRU, and TimeGPT) were established and evaluated on the same test set. Results The data analysis revealed significantly increased influenza incidence during holidays (e.g., New Year's Day, Spring Festival, and National Day), while prevention and control measures led to declining trends. The Prophet-LSTM model demonstrated high consistency between the predicted and actual values, outperforming the comparative models with superior MAE (0.209), MSE (0.195), and IA (0.914), indicating higher prediction accuracy and trend-fitting capability. Conclusion The Prophet-LSTM model effectively captures spatiotemporal characteristics of influenza incidence, exhibits enhanced predictive performance when incorporating holiday effects and intervention measures, and demonstrates significant advantages and application value in influenza forecasting.
2.Mechanisms of Liuwei Buqi Prescription in Regulating Macrophage Efferocytosis for Treatment of Lung-kidney Qi Deficiency Syndrome in COPD Based on Nrf2/MARCO Signaling Pathway
Jiankang JIANG ; Hui WANG ; Lu ZHANG ; Zegeng LI ; Jiabing TONG ; Fan WU
Chinese Journal of Experimental Traditional Medical Formulae 2026;32(7):222-229
ObjectiveTo investigate the mechanisms by which Liuwei Buqi prescription (LWBQ) regulates alveolar macrophage efferocytosis and improves inflammatory responses in rats with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) characterized by lung-kidney Qi deficiency based on the nuclear factor erythroid 2-related factor 2 (Nrf2)/macrophage receptor with collagenous structure (MARCO) pathway. MethodsSuccessfully modeled rats were randomly divided into a model group, low-dose LWBQ group (LWBQ-L, 2.25 g·kg-1·d-1), medium-dose LWBQ group (LWBQ-M, 4.5 g·kg-1·d-1), high-dose LWBQ group (LWBQ-H, 9 g·kg-1·d-1), and aminophylline group (AMIN, 50 mg·kg-1·d-1), with 8 rats in each group. Another 8 healthy rats were included as the blank group. Except for the blank group, rats in the remaining groups were subjected to smoke exposure combined with forced swimming, intratracheal lipopolysaccharide (LPS) instillation, and subcutaneous hydrocortisone injection to establish a COPD model with lung-kidney Qi deficiency. After successful modeling, rats were administered different doses of LWBQ or AMIN by gavage. Body weight, fur condition, and oral secretions were observed. Pulmonary function was measured using an animal lung function analyzer. Enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) was used to detect the expression levels of interferon-γ (IFN-γ), interleukin-6 (IL-6), interleukin-1 (IL-1), and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) in bronchoalveolar lavage fluid (BALF) and serum (SER). Hematoxylin-eosin (HE) staining was used to examine pathological changes in lung tissue. Giemsa staining was performed to detect eosinophils, basophils, and neutrophils in BALF. Terminal deoxynucleotidyl transferase-mediated dUTP nick-end labeling (TUNEL) was used to detect apoptosis in lung tissue. Western blot and real-time polymerase chain reaction (Real-time PCR) were employed to determine the protein and mRNA expression levels of efferocytosis-related proteins growth arrest-specific gene 6 (GAS6), milk fat globule-epidermal growth factor 8 (MFG-E8), and pathway-related proteins Nrf2 and MARCO in lung tissue. ResultsCompared with the blank group, the model group showed reduced food intake, nasal and oral secretions with sputum, and decreased body weight (P<0.01), decreased peak expiratory flow (PEF) (P<0.01), increased forced vital capacity (FVC) (P<0.01), and decreased forced expiratory volume in 0.3 s/forced vital capacity [FEV0.3/FVC (%)] (P<0.01). The expression levels of IFN-γ, IL-6, IL-1, and TNF-α in BALF and SER were increased (P<0.01). Lung tissue exhibited structural destruction, hyperplasia, inflammatory exudation, increased apoptotic cells, and increased mean optical density (P<0.01). The protein and mRNA expression levels of GAS6, MFG-E8, and MARCO, as well as Nrf2 mRNA expression, were increased (P<0.01). Compared with the model group, the LWBQ groups showed increased food intake, reduced nasal and oral secretions with sputum, and increased body weight (P<0.05, P<0.01). PEF was increased (P<0.01). FVC was increased in rats treated with low- and medium-dose LWBQ (P<0.01), and FEV0.3/FVC (%) was increased in rats treated with medium- and high-dose LWBQ (P<0.05, P<0.01). The expression levels of IFN-γ, IL-6, IL-1, and TNF-α in BALF and SER were decreased (P<0.01). Lung tissue structure was relatively intact, with improvement in hyperplasia and inflammatory exudation. The number of apoptotic cells in lung tissue was reduced, and mean optical density was decreased (P<0.05, P<0.01). The protein and mRNA expression levels of efferocytosis-related proteins GAS6 and MFG-E8 and pathway-related proteins Nrf2 and MARCO were increased (P<0.01). ConclusionLWBQ can alleviate pulmonary and systemic inflammation, improve lung function, and reduce lung tissue damage in rats with COPD characterized by lung-kidney Qi deficiency. The mechanism may be related to enhancement of alveolar macrophage efferocytosis through regulation of the Nrf2/MARCO pathway.
3.Prenatal diagnosis of 22q11.2 microduplication syndrome in a three-generation family: Clinical-genetic characteristics and literature review.
Yifan LIAO ; Yidong WEN ; Xiaoqin DENG ; Cimo WANG ; Zhirong SHANG ; Jinghong YANG ; Jiabing LI
Chinese Journal of Medical Genetics 2026;43(1):57-63
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the genetic etiology for a pregnant woman with a history of multiple adverse pregnancies and assess the phenotype-genotype correlation of 22q11.2 microduplication syndrome in her family.
METHODS:
Amniotic fluid sample was taken from a pregnant woman for whom non-invasive prenatal screening indicated chromosome 22 abnormalities in the fetus. Peripheral blood samples from the woman, her brother and parents were collected for high-throughput low-depth whole genome sequencing (CNV-seq). A pedigree traceability analysis of the results was conducted in conjunction with analysis of clinical manifestation. Relevant literature (from establishment to March 2025) was systematically searched. This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Mianyang Maternal and Child Health Care Hospital (Ethics No.: Lun Shen [2024]009).
RESULTS:
CNV-seq revealed that the fetus had harbored a 6.02 Mb duplication at 22q11.21q11.23. Karyotyping confirmed it as 46,X?dup(22)(q11.2). Pedigree verification demonstrated that the pregnant woman, her brother and mother had all carried the same duplication. Phenotypic analysis of the affected family members showed classic features of 22q11.2 microduplication syndrome, including hypernasal speech, low nasal bridge, congenital heart disease, and cognitive impairment. A total of 44 cases with full information (including three patients from this pedigree) were included in the analysis. The penetrance of 22q11.2 duplication was approximately 29.5% (13/44), and 52.3% (23/44) of the cases had inherited the variant from a phenotypically normal parent.
CONCLUSION
This study has identified the genetic basis for the woman's recurrent adverse pregnancies and phenotypic abnormalities in her family members. The scoliosis identified in her younger brother has not been previously reported, thereby may enrich the clinical phenotype of this syndrome. For fetuses identified with a 22q11.2 microduplication, detailed fetal imaging is recommended, and genetic counseling should be provided to the couples.
Humans
;
Female
;
Pregnancy
;
Prenatal Diagnosis/methods*
;
Chromosome Duplication/genetics*
;
Male
;
Pedigree
;
DiGeorge Syndrome/diagnosis*
;
Adult
;
Chromosomes, Human, Pair 22/genetics*
;
Abnormalities, Multiple
4.Investigation of use of disposable and reuseable supplies for prevention and control of infections in Shanghai
Meixia WANG ; Jiabing LIN ; Wei SUN ; Qingfeng SHI ; Hongfei MI ; Bijie HU ; Jue PAN ; Xiaodong GAO
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(17):2681-2684
OBJECTIVE To investigate the use of common disposable and reusable supplies for prevention and con-trol of infections in Shanghai.METHODS A survey was conducted for the use and reuse of disposable high-value consumables,disposable bronchoscopes and environmental cleaning and disinfection tools in Shanghai by using structured questionnaire.RESULTS Totally 81 medical institutions were involved in the survey,44(54.32%)of which were tertiary hospitals,and the median number of beds was 500.The orthopedic implants(70.37%),ul-trasound knife(69.14%)and endoscopic puncture instrument(66.67%)were the high-value consumables rank-ing the top 3 utilization rates.There was reuse of 18 types of high-value consumables in total among the 12 medi-cal institutions.The major causes of reuse of high-value consumables included fee less tan cost of consumables(58.33%)or being unable to included in charge items(33.33%).27.78%of the recycle high-value consumables were not treated with a dedicated disinfection and sterilization system and procedures for the disposable high-value consumables,and 33.33%did not have the report systems for related adverse reactions.49.09%of the medi-cal institutions reported to use the disposable bronchoscopes,4 of which reused them.The majority of the medi-cal institutions could carry out centralized cleaning and disinfection for the recycled floor cloths(60.81%)and cloth towels(56.76%),and 32.43%of the medical institutions reused the cloth towels by manual cleaning.The utilization rate of antiseptic wipes was 75.41%in adult intensive care unit,62.50%in neonatal intensive care unit.CONCLUSION The study reveals that there are some problems in the use of disposal and reusable supplies for prevention and control of infections,which may provide baseline data for management of the related supplies and the surveillance of disinfection of the recycled supplies so as to enhance the quality of management of hospital-asso-ciated infections.
5.Exercise therapy for the treatment of chronic nonspecific lower back pain through mechanical-chemical coupling
Jiale ZHANG ; Fusen WANG ; Zhenrui QIU ; Xinming FAN ; Jilong ZOU ; Zhenggang BI ; Jiabing SUN
Chinese Journal of Tissue Engineering Research 2025;29(11):2377-2384
BACKGROUND:Currently,exercise therapy is an effective non-pharmacological treatment for low back pain,and exercise therapy can maintain lumbar spine stabilization through mechanical-chemical coupling between bones and muscles,but there is no clear description of the research progress and optimal treatment protocols for exercise therapy to relieve chronic non-specific lower back pain through mechanical-chemical coupling. OBJECTIVE:To review the research progress related to the influence of paravertebral muscles on lumbar spine stabilization during exercise therapy through mechanical-chemical coupling,which in turn relieves chronic non-specific lower back pain,as well as the current optimal treatment protocols of exercise therapy for chronic non-specific lower back pain. METHODS:Literature searches were performed in WanFang database,CNKI,VIP,Web of Science,and PubMed database,with search terms of"chronic non-specific low back pain,lumbar spine stabilization,paravertebral muscles,exercise therapy"in Chinese and English.Relevant literature published from database inception to January 2024 was searched and 93 articles were included for final summarization. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION:Exercise therapy can act on the paravertebral muscles and bones through appropriate mechanical stimulation and produce corresponding changes.Exercise therapy is an important intervention for chronic non-specific lower back pain as it improves the quality of the paravertebral muscles,primarily through mechanical-chemical coupling,and thus maintains lumbar spine stabilization for better relief of chronic non-specific lower back pain.However,there are no clear reports on the exact effective protocols for exercise therapy to treat chronic non-specific lower back pain through lumbar spine stabilization.The development of an individualized exercise program is particularly important for the treatment and prognosis of chronic non-specific low back pain.Muscle mass and bone mass of the same individual are closely related,and imaging assessment of paravertebral muscle mass and quantity is important for disease detection and intervention.
6.Traditional Chinese medicine-facilitated redox-labile paclitaxel dimer nanoprodrug for efficient chemoimmunotherapy.
Fan LI ; Wenrui WANG ; Weisheng XU ; WanYing LI ; Yudi LU ; Rui WANG ; Zhonggui HE ; Zhihui FENG ; Jiabing TONG ; Zhenbao LI
Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis 2025;15(9):101348-101348
Various therapeuti modailities have been engineered for lung cancer treatment, but their clinic application is severely impeded by the poor therapy efficiency and immunosuppressive microenvironment. Herein, we fabricated a library of small molecule redox-labile nanoparticles (NPs) (i.e., diPTX-2C NPs, diPTX-2S NPs, and diPTX-2Se NPs) by the self-assembly of dimer paclitaxel (PTX) prodrug, and then utilized these NPs with the traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) Qi-Yu-San-Long-Fang (Q) for effective chemoimmunotherapy on Lewis lung carcinoma (LLC)-bearing mice models. Under the high concentration of glutathione (GSH) and H2O2, diPTX-2Se NPs could specifically release PTX in cancer cells and exert a higher selectivity and toxicity than normal cells. In LLC tumor-bearing mice, oral administration of Q not only effectively downregulated programmed death ligand-1 (PD-L1) expression, but also remodeled the immunosuppressive tumor immune microenvironment via the increase of CD4+ T and CD8+ T cell proportion and the repolarization of M2 into M1 macrophages in tumor tissues, collectively achieving superior synergistic treatment outcomes in combination with intravenous PTX prodrug NPs. Besides, we found that the combination regimen also demonstrated excellent chemoimmunotherapeutic performances on low-dose small established tumor and high-dose large established tumor models. This study may shed light on the potent utilization of Chinese and Western-integrative strategy for efficient tumor chemoimmunotherapy.
7.Investigation of use of disposable and reuseable supplies for prevention and control of infections in Shanghai
Meixia WANG ; Jiabing LIN ; Wei SUN ; Qingfeng SHI ; Hongfei MI ; Bijie HU ; Jue PAN ; Xiaodong GAO
Chinese Journal of Nosocomiology 2025;35(17):2681-2684
OBJECTIVE To investigate the use of common disposable and reusable supplies for prevention and con-trol of infections in Shanghai.METHODS A survey was conducted for the use and reuse of disposable high-value consumables,disposable bronchoscopes and environmental cleaning and disinfection tools in Shanghai by using structured questionnaire.RESULTS Totally 81 medical institutions were involved in the survey,44(54.32%)of which were tertiary hospitals,and the median number of beds was 500.The orthopedic implants(70.37%),ul-trasound knife(69.14%)and endoscopic puncture instrument(66.67%)were the high-value consumables rank-ing the top 3 utilization rates.There was reuse of 18 types of high-value consumables in total among the 12 medi-cal institutions.The major causes of reuse of high-value consumables included fee less tan cost of consumables(58.33%)or being unable to included in charge items(33.33%).27.78%of the recycle high-value consumables were not treated with a dedicated disinfection and sterilization system and procedures for the disposable high-value consumables,and 33.33%did not have the report systems for related adverse reactions.49.09%of the medi-cal institutions reported to use the disposable bronchoscopes,4 of which reused them.The majority of the medi-cal institutions could carry out centralized cleaning and disinfection for the recycled floor cloths(60.81%)and cloth towels(56.76%),and 32.43%of the medical institutions reused the cloth towels by manual cleaning.The utilization rate of antiseptic wipes was 75.41%in adult intensive care unit,62.50%in neonatal intensive care unit.CONCLUSION The study reveals that there are some problems in the use of disposal and reusable supplies for prevention and control of infections,which may provide baseline data for management of the related supplies and the surveillance of disinfection of the recycled supplies so as to enhance the quality of management of hospital-asso-ciated infections.
8.Pingchuanning Formula suppresses airway inflammation in a rat model of asthmatic cold syndrome by regulating the HMGB1/Beclin-1 axis-mediated autophagy.
Xinheng WANG ; Xiaohan SHAO ; Tongtong LI ; Lu ZHANG ; Qinjun YANG ; Weidong YE ; Jiabing TONG ; Zegeng LI ; Xiangming FANG
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(6):1153-1162
OBJECTIVES:
To explore the mechanism of Pingchuanning Formula (PCN) for inhibiting airway inflammation in rats with asthmatic cold syndrome.
METHODS:
A total of 105 SD rats were randomized equally into 7 groups, including a control group, an asthmatic cold syndrome model group, 3 PCN treatment groups at high, medium and low doses, a Guilong Kechuanning (GLCKN) treatment group, and a dexamethasone (DEX) treatment group. In all but the control rats, asthma cold syndrome models were established and daily gavage of saline, PCN, GLCKN or DEX was administered 29 days after the start of modeling. The changes in general condition, lung function and lung histopathology of the rats were observed, and inflammatory factors in the alveolar lavage fluid (BALF), oxidative stress, lung tissue ultrastructure, cytokine levels, and expressions of the genes related to the HMGB1/Beclin-1 axis and autophagy were analyzed.
RESULTS:
The rat models had obvious manifestations of asthmatic cold syndrome with significantly decreased body mass, food intake, and water intake, reduced FEV0.3, FVC, and FEV0.3/FVC, obvious inflammatory cell infiltration in the lung tissue, and increased alveolar inflammation score and counts of neutrophils, eosinophils, lymphocytes, macrophages, and leukocytes in the BALF. The rat models also had significantly increased MDA level and decreased SOD level and exhibited obvious ultrastructural changes in the lung tissues, where the expressions of HMGB1, Beclin-1, ATG5, TNF-α, IL-6,IL-1β, and IL-13 and the LC3II/I ratio were increased, while the levels of Bcl-2 and IFN-γ were decreased. PCN treatment significantly improved these pathological changes in the rat models, and its therapeutic effect was better than that of GLKCN and similar to that of DEX.
CONCLUSIONS
PCN can effectively alleviate airway inflammation in rat models of asthmatic cold syndrome possibly by modulating the HMGB1/Beclin-1 signaling axis to suppress cell autophagy, thereby attenuating airway inflammatory damages.
Animals
;
Rats
;
Autophagy/drug effects*
;
Rats, Sprague-Dawley
;
Asthma/pathology*
;
Beclin-1
;
HMGB1 Protein/metabolism*
;
Drugs, Chinese Herbal/therapeutic use*
;
Disease Models, Animal
;
Male
;
Lung/pathology*
;
Inflammation
9.Pingchuanning Formula suppresses airway inflammation in a rat model of asthmatic cold syndrome by regulating the HMGB1/Beclin-1 axis-mediated autophagy
Xinheng WANG ; Xiaohan SHAO ; Tongtong LI ; Lu ZHANG ; Qinjun YANG ; Weidong YE ; Jiabing TONG ; Zegeng LI ; Xiangming FANG
Journal of Southern Medical University 2025;45(6):1153-1162
Objective To explore the mechanism of Pingchuanning Formula(PCN)for inhibiting airway inflammation in rats with asthmatic cold syndrome.Methods A total of 105 SD rats were randomized equally into 7 groups,including a control group,an asthmatic cold syndrome model group,3 PCN treatment groups at high,medium and low doses,a Guilong Kechuanning(GLCKN)treatment group,and a dexamethasone(DEX)treatment group.In all but the control rats,asthma cold syndrome models were established and daily gavage of saline,PCN,GLCKN or DEX was administered 29 days after the start of modeling.The changes in general condition,lung function and lung histopathology of the rats were observed,and inflammatory factors in the alveolar lavage fluid(BALF),oxidative stress,lung tissue ultrastructure,cytokine levels,and expressions of the genes related to the HMGB1/Beclin-1 axis and autophagy were analyzed.Results The rat models had obvious manifestations of asthmatic cold syndrome with significantly decreased body mass,food intake,and water intake,reduced FEV0.3,FVC,and FEV0.3/FVC,obvious inflammatory cell infiltration in the lung tissue,and increased alveolar inflammation score and counts of neutrophils,eosinophils,lymphocytes,macrophages,and leukocytes in the BALF.The rat models also had significantly increased MDA level and decreased SOD level and exhibited obvious ultrastructural changes in the lung tissues,where the expressions of HMGB1,Beclin-1,ATG5,TNF-α,IL-6,IL-1β,and IL-13 and the LC3II/I ratio were increased,while the levels of Bcl-2 and IFN-γ were decreased.PCN treatment significantly improved these pathological changes in the rat models,and its therapeutic effect was better than that of GLKCN and similar to that of DEX.Conclusion PCN can effectively alleviate airway inflammation in rat models of asthmatic cold syndrome possibly by modulating the HMGB1/Beclin-1 signaling axis to suppress cell autophagy,thereby attenuating airway inflammatory damages.
10.Study on Data Mining of Cough Medical Records Treated by Xin'an Doctors Based on Syndrome-drugs
Hui WANG ; Huanzhang DING ; Qinjun YANG ; Cheng YANG ; Jiabing TONG ; Zegeng LI
Chinese Journal of Information on Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;31(3):34-41
Objective To study the syndrome-drug association rule and the medication law of cough medical cases treated by Xin'an doctors using the data mining method;To provide reference for the treatment of cough.Methods The medical records of Xin'an doctors were collected and summarized.The frequency analysis,topology analysis and Louvain clustering analysis were used to conduct data mining research on syndrome types and prescriptions,and the relationship between syndrome types and prescriptions in cough treatment medical records and the law of drug composition in prescriptions were discussed.Results A total of 525 medical cases were included,and 26 kinds of syndromes were obtained,such as wind-heat invading lung,phlegm-dampness holding lung,lung qi deficiency.There were 243 kinds of Chinese materia medica involved,and 18 kinds of Chinese materia medica were with more than 70 times in frequency.The main properties were cold,warm and mild,and the main tastes were sweet,bitter and pungent,mainly in lung meridian,or the main properties were mild and warm and the main taste was sweet,mainly in spleen and stomach meridian.There were 25 categories in efficacy,which were mainly tonics and heat-clearing medicine.30 core medicines and core medicinal networks were obtained,such as Glycyrrhizae Radix et Rhizoma,Poria and Armeniacae Semen Amarum.The core drug combination of main syndromes of exogenous cough and excess syndrome and deficient syndrome of endogenous cough were obtained by syndrome-drug clustering analysis.Conclusion Xin'an doctors have distinctive characteristics in the diagnosis and treatment of cough diseases,and pay attention to the use of the methods of"strengthening the basic and promoting original qi","nourishing yin and protecting yin","cultivating the soil and promoting gold"and the inheritance of the prescriptions on the basis of cough relieving,phlegm resolving,and syndrome-based treatment.


Result Analysis
Print
Save
E-mail