1.Genomic variant surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 positive specimens using a direct PCR product sequencing surveillance (DPPSS) method.
Nicole Ann L. Tuberon ; Francisco M. Heralde III ; Catherine C. Reportoso ; Arturo L. Gaitano III ; Wilmar Jun O. Elopre ; Kim Claudette J. Fernandez
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(1):57-68
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) as the causative agent of COVID-19 has significantly challenged the public health landscape in late 2019. After almost 3 years of the first ever SARS-CoV-2 case, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the end of this global health emergency in May 2023. Although, despite the subsequent drop of COVID-19 cases, the SARS-CoV-2 infection still exhibited multiple waves of infection, primarily attributed to the appearance of new variants. Five of these variants have been classified as Variants of Concern (VOC): Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, and the most recent, Omicron. Therefore, the development of methods for the timely and accurate detection of viral variants remains fundamental, ensuring an ongoing and effective response to the disease. This study aims to evaluate the feasibility of the application of an in-house approach in genomic surveillance for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants using in silico designed primers.
METHODSThe primers used for the study were particularly designed based on conserved regions of certain genes in the virus, targeting distinct mutations found in known variants of SARS-CoV-2. Viral RNA extracts from nasopharyngeal samples (n=14) were subjected to quantitative and qualitative tests (Nanodrop and AGE). Selected samples were then analyzed by RT-PCR and amplicons were submitted for sequencing. Sequence alignment analysis was carried out to identify the prevailing COVID-19 variant present in the sample population.
RESULTSThe study findings demonstrated that the in-house method was able to successfully amplify conserved sequences (spike, envelope, membrane, ORF1ab) and enabled identification of the circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant among the samples. Majority of the samples were identified as Omicron variant. Three out of four designed primers effectively bound into the conserved sequence of target genes present in the sample, revealing the specific SARSCoV-2 variant. The detected mutations characterized for Omicron found in the identified lineages included K417N, S477N, and P681H which were also identified as mutations of interest. Furthermore, identification of the B.1.448 lineage which was not classified in any known variant also provided the potential of the developed in-house method in detecting unknown variants of COVID-19.
CONCLUSIONAmong the five VOCs, Omicron is the most prevalent and dominant variant. The in-house direct PCR product sequencing surveillance (DPPSS) method provided an alternative platform for SAR-CoV-2 variant analysis which is accessible and affordable than the conventional diagnostic surveillance methods and the whole genome sequencing. Further evaluation and improvements on the oligonucleotide primers may offer significant contribution to the development of a specific and direct PCRbased detection of new emerging COVID-19 variants.
Sars-cov-2 ; Polymerase Chain Reaction ; Dna Primers ; Oligonucleotide Primers ; Computer Simulation ; Conserved Sequence ; Coronavirus ; Covid-19 ; Disease ; Emergencies ; Evaluation Studies As Topic ; Genes ; Genome ; Global Health ; Health ; Identification (psychology) ; Infection ; Infections ; Membranes ; Methods ; Mutation ; Oligonucleotides ; Organizations ; Population ; Public Health ; Rna ; Rna, Viral ; Sars Virus ; Sequence Alignment ; Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome ; Syndrome ; Viruses ; Whole Genome Sequencing ; World Health Organization
2.Colon adenocarcinoma presenting as splenic abscess in a young filipino female, A case report.
Monikka PASAWA ; Dizza R. DUJALI
Philippine Journal of Internal Medicine 2026;64(1):81-85
The spleen is a very hostile environment for tumor cells due to its anatomic location, blood supply, and rich immunological property – which makes it one of the most unique organ to be involved in metastatic diseases.15 Splenic metastases from non-hematologic malignancies are rare ranging from 0.6 to 7.1% base on autopsy reports of cancer patients, and 1.1 to 3.4% base on review of splenectomy cases.14 Moreover, isolated splenic metastases are more infrequent with only 31 cases reported from 1969 to October 2015.16 A splenic abscess is an unusual formation and is usually caused by hematogenous spread from an infection. Such expected frequency varies in different autopsy studies between 0.14% and 0.7%.1 Albeit rare, abscess can also result from migration of gut flora brought about by direct invasion of tumor cells from a neighboring neoplasm.17 This is a case of a 36-year-old female who came in with a history of abdominal pain, chills and fever for seven months. CT scan of the whole abdomen revealed splenic abscess with suspicion of a splenic rupture. The patient underwent exploratory laparotomy with abscess evacuation, splenectomy and double barrel colostomy and given with intravenous antibiotics. Histopathology results showed metastatic adenocarcinoma in the spleen. Thorough deliberation of her case was done and she was eventually managed as a case of Colon Cancer Stage IV and underwent chemotherapy. Splenic abscess developing from splenic metastasis from a colonic adenocarcinoma is rare and with concomitant high mortality rate. More often than not, splenic metastasis is discovered in advanced stage together with metastatic tumor in other organs while isolated splenic metastasis is even more uncommon. A splenic abscess as an initial demonstration of a colon cancer is not a common daily encounter of physicians hence a high index of suspicion coupled with sensitive and specific imaging is necessary in order to provide prompt medical and surgical intervention.
Human ; Female ; Adult: 25-44 Yrs Old ; Abdomen ; Adenocarcinoma ; Autopsy ; Colostomy ; Gastrointestinal Microbiome ; Pain ; Research Report ; Infections ; History ; Splenic Rupture ; World Health Organization ; Neoplasms ; Disease ; Fever ; Hematologic Neoplasms
3.Quality of care among patients with acute heart failure at the emergency room and adherence of physicians at the University of the Philippines – Philippine General Hospital to the division of cardiovascular medicine – heart failure pathway:A retrospective cohort study.
Mark John D. Sabando ; Felix Eduardo R. Punzalan ; Frances Dominique V. Ho ; Tam Adrian P. Aya-ay ; Kevin Paul Da. Enriquez ; Marie Kirk A. Maramara ; Ronald Allan B. Roderos ; Lauren Kay M. Evangelista
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(2):22-32
OBJECTIVES
Clinical pathways (CPs) ensure adherence to heart failure (HF) management guidelines. To optimize quality care in a low resource setting, an evidence-based care pathway for the management of acute HF was implemented at the emergency department (ED) of the Philippine General Hospital (PGH), the designated national tertiary hospital and referral center. This study aimed to describe the characteristics of adults with acute HF admitted at the ED and evaluate the quality of care they received, measured using physician adherence to the hospital’s acute heart failure CP.
METHODSThis was a retrospective, descriptive cohort study. We reviewed the inpatient charts of all adult patients with acute HF admitted to the ED of the PGH and referred to the Division of Cardiovascular Medicine between December 1, 2022 and May 31, 2023. Quality of care was assessed based on adherence to quality indicators adapted from routine and conditional order sets detailed in the pathway. Descriptive statistics was utilized to describe patient characteristics, quality of care, and outcomes.
RESULTSTwo hundred thirty-six (236) patients were included, with a mean age of 51.8 years. Majority were male (53.4%); hypertension (61.4%) and ischemic heart disease (53.8%) were the most common comorbidities, and infection the most common precipitant of decompensation (60.6%). There were optimal adherence rates to routine orders, which included referrals to Internal Medicine and Cardiology, baseline vital signs monitoring, fluid intake and output monitoring, chest radiograph, complete blood count, blood urea nitrogen, sodium, potassium, prothrombin time, partial thromboplastin time, arterial blood gas, urinalysis, and N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide. Conditional orders, such as oxygen support, focused echocardiography, thyroid - stimulating hormone, and the use of vasopressors, diuretics, and venous thromboembolism prophylactic agents, were optimally performed when warranted. However, we noted suboptimal adherence to certain resource-intensive conditional orders, such as hourly monitoring of urine output (61.4%), hooking to cardiac monitor (53.8%), and performance of 12-lead ECG within 10 minutes (56.8%). Further, only 43.9% of patients were referred to the intensive care unit. Troponin I, calcium, magnesium, and albumin were ordered in excess.
CONCLUSIONOverall adherence rate of physicians to the hospital’s Acute Heart Failure Pathway was satisfactory. Work is needed to improve adherence to hourly urine output monitoring, consistent hooking to cardiac monitor, and timely performance of 12-lead ECG – an effort that begins with expanding in-hospital diagnostic equipment and human resource supply. We recommend continuous pathway implementation with periodic evaluation and stakeholder feedback to further improve quality of care.
Human ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged: 45-64 Yrs Old ; Adult ; Albumins ; Blood ; Blood Urea Nitrogen ; Calcium ; Cardiology ; Chart ; Charts ; Cohort Studies ; Critical Care ; Critical Pathways ; Diagnostic Equipment ; Disease ; Diuretics ; Echocardiography ; Electrocardiography ; Emergencies ; Emergency Service, Hospital ; Equipment And Supplies ; Evaluation Studies As Topic ; Feedback ; Heart ; Heart Diseases ; Heart Failure ; Hormones ; Hospitals ; Hospitals, General ; Humans ; Hypertension ; Indicators And Reagents ; Infection ; Infections ; Inpatients ; Intensive Care Units ; Internal Medicine ; Lead ; Magnesium ; Male ; Medicine ; Myocardial Ischemia ; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain ; Natriuretic Peptides ; Nitrogen ; Overall ; Oxygen ; Partial Thromboplastin Time ; Patients ; Peptides ; Philippines ; Physicians ; Potassium ; Prothrombin ; Prothrombin Time ; Quality Of Health Care ; Referral And Consultation ; Sodium ; Statistics ; Tertiary Care Centers ; Thorax ; Thromboembolism ; Thromboplastin ; Thyroid Gland ; Time ; Troponin ; Troponin I ; Universities ; Urea ; Urinalysis ; Urine ; Venous Thromboembolism ; Vital Signs ; Work ; Workforce
4.A bibliometric analysis of research productivity on Kawasaki disease in Southeast Asia: Trend and socioeconomic drivers.
Maria Llaine J. Callanta ; Karol Ann T. Baldo
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(2):33-40
OBJECTIVES
The increasing prevalence of Kawasaki disease in Southeast Asia (SEA) and its potential relation with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection resulted in heightened interest in KD in the region, thus, this paper aimed to determine the trend and the socioeconomic facilitators of scientific productivity of KD research within the region. Specifically, this article determined the number of publication and citations related to KD per country, institution, and journal. We also explored the networks of countries within the region to the rest of the world and the keywords mostly associated with KD research in the region. Lastly, correlation of these bibliometric indices with socioeconomic factors in the region was analyzed.
METHODSA literature search of KD papers in SEA was performed using Scopus database. We obtained bibliographic data from the available literature and visualized network of existing collaborations and keywords using VOSviewer software.
RESULTSA total of 196 papers were included in the study. Bibliometric analysis showed a rising trend in publication within the region, most of which were from institutions in Singapore and Thailand. The most common topics on KD studies included clinical features, complications, treatment, and comorbidities.
Country characteristics such as gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, research and development (R&D) expenditure (% GDP), and number of physician and R&D researchers were positively correlated with bibliometric indices of KD research in SEA. Moreover, number of international linkages was significantly associated with KD research productivity in the region.
CONCLUSIONIn summary, we showed an increasing trend of KD research in SEA. Funding allocation and capacity building are necessary to strengthen research productivity within the region.
Asia ; Asia, Southeastern ; Bibliometrics ; Capacity Building ; Coronavirus ; Covid-19 ; Database ; Disease ; Efficiency ; Gross Domestic Product ; Guanosine Diphosphate ; Infection ; Infections ; Literature ; Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome ; Paper ; Physicians ; Prevalence ; Publications ; Research ; Research Personnel ; Rest ; Singapore ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Software ; Thailand ; Therapeutics
5.A rare case of acute purulent pericarditis secondary to invasive streptococcal infection (S. pyogenes) with cardiac tamponade in an immunocompetent 37-year-old Female.
Raymond BANQUIRIGO ; Paul Daniel CORONADO ; Ariel MIRANDA
Philippine Journal of Cardiology 2026;54(S1):36-40
Purulent pericarditis is a rare occurrence in the era of modern antibiotics. It is most often caused by organisms such as Staphylococcus aureus, Streptococcus pneumoniae, Viridans streptococci, Haemophilus influenzae and anaerobic bacteria with Streptococcus pyogenes (S.pyogenes) being a possible, though very uncommon etiology. This case represents an occurrence of S. pyogenes pericarditis in an apparently healthy female with no known immunocompromising condition. A 37-year-old female, married, real estate agent with no comorbidities came in for chest pain radiating to the upper back, relieved with leaning forward. Cardiac biomarker was normal, ECG demonstrated diffuse ST-segment elevation and PR segment depression, while imaging showed lobar pneumonia. Blood tests showed leukocytosis with neutrophilic predominance and workup for immunocompromised state was negative. The 2D echo showed large pericardial effusion with tamponade physiology. An urgent pericardiocentesis was done. Cultures grew Streptococcus pyogenes confirming the diagnosis of acute purulent pericarditis. Daily drainage of pericardial effusion, colchicine, ibuprofen was initiated together with antibiotics and the patient had resolution of pericardial effusion. Acute pyogenic pericarditis with cardiac tamponade is a rare but serious condition that requires prompt recognition and intervention. Early diagnosis, through a combination of clinical suspicion, ECG and echocardiography is crucial for initiating timely treatment.
Human ; Female ; Adult: 25-44 Yrs Old ; Viridans Streptococci ; Streptococcus Pyogenes ; Streptococcus Pneumoniae ; Staphylococcus Aureus ; Streptococcal Infections ; Electrocardiography ; Echocardiography ; Early Diagnosis
6.Expert consensus on diagnosis and treatment of intra-abdominal candidiasis in critically ill patients (2025 edition).
Support PEKING UNIVERSITY CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE COMMITTEE OF CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE AND ORGAN ; Technology CHINA ASSOCIATION FOR PROMOTION OF HEALTH SCIENCE AND
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(6):509-526
Intra-abdominal candidiasis (IAC) is the most common invasive candidiasis, with a high incidence among critically ill patients, which can significantly increase medical costs and affect prognosis. In order to standardize the diagnosis and treatment of IAC in critically ill patients, experts in related fields were organized by the Peking University Critical Care Medicine (PKUCCM), Committee of Critical Care Medicine and Organ Support, China Association for Promotion of Health Science and Technology organized experts in related fields to initiate and form a working group. Expert writers drafted the consensus based on evidence-based medical evidence. A committee composed of critical care physicians, infectious disease physicians, surgeons, dermatologists specializing in antifungal fields, and clinical pharmacists discussed and revised the consensus draft through a standardized process, and finally formulated this consensus. This consensus contains a total of 20 core recommendations, mainly focusing on the epidemiology, high-risk factors, diagnostic techniques and methods (including traditional microbiological culture techniques, clinical risk prediction tools, serological tests, molecular biological tests, and histopathological examinations) of IAC, diagnostic criteria, stratified treatment strategies, antifungal drug selection, control the sources of infection, combined treatment, de-escalation strategies, drug treatment courses, prognosis, and special types of IAC. The aim is to provide expert guidance for the standardized clinical diagnosis and treatment of IAC in critically ill patients, with a view to improving prognosis of patients.
Humans
;
Critical Illness
;
Intraabdominal Infections/therapy*
;
Antifungal Agents/therapeutic use*
;
Consensus
;
Candidiasis/drug therapy*
;
Critical Care
;
Candidiasis, Invasive/diagnosis*
7.Meta-analysis of hydrocortisone in the treatment of severe community-acquired pneumonia.
Xue GU ; Penglei YANG ; Lina YU ; Jun YUAN ; Zhou YUAN ; Xiaoli ZHANG ; Lianxin CHEN ; Ying ZHANG ; Jikuan HU ; Yu HUANG ; Qihong CHEN
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(6):542-548
OBJECTIVE:
To explore whether hydrocortisone can improve the prognosis of patients with severe community-acquired pneumonia (sCAP) by Meta-analysis.
METHODS:
Randomized controlled trial (RCT) on hydrocortisone in the treatment of sCAP were extracted from the database including PubMed, Cochrane library, Web of Science, and Embase, and the search time was up to April 29, 2023. The patients in the standard treatment group received standard treatment such as antibiotics and supportive care, while those in the hydrocortisone group received hydrocortisone treatment on the basis of standard treatment. Meta-analysis was used to compare the mortality, duration of mechanical ventilation, mechanical ventilation rate and incidence of adverse reactions (hyperglycemia, gastrointestinal bleeding, secondary infection) between the two groups. The risk of literature bias was assessed. The studies that might have publication bias were corrected by the subtraction and complementation method. At the same time, trial sequential analysis (TSA) was conducted.
RESULTS:
A total of 5 RCTs involving 1 031 patients were finally enrolled, including 494 patients in the standard treatment group and 537 patients in the hydrocortisone group. Among the 5 studies, the research site of 2 studies was in the mixed ward. Considering the inclusion characteristics of the study population, there was doubt whether its research object was sCAP patients, which might have a certain impact on the results and introduce potential bias. Meta-analysis showed that the mortality in the hydrocortisone group was significantly lower than that in the standard treatment group [6.0% vs. 14.0%; odds ratio (OR) = 0.38, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.25-0.59, P < 0.01; I2 = 9%]. The studies that were asymmetric were corrected by the reduction and supplementation method. Even after filling the missing studies, hydrocortisone could still reduce the death risk of the patient (OR = 0.49, 95%CI was 0.32-0.73, P < 0.01; I2 = 31%). TSA showed that the average mortality of the standard treatment group was about 14.0%, and that of the hydrocortisone group was about 6.0%, with a relative risk reduction (RRR) = 57%. The calculated sample size was 699 cases, and the actual sample size was 1 031 cases. The actual sample size exceeded the required sample size, and the Z-curve crossed the O'Brien-Fleming boundary and the curve corresponding to P = 0.05, it meant that hydrocortisone could effectively reduce the mortality of sCAP. Compared with the standard treatment group, no statistical difference in the duration of mechanical ventilation was found in the hydrocortisone group [mean difference (MD) = -3.26, 95%CI was -6.72-0.21, P = 0.07; I2 = 0%], but the 8-day mechanical ventilation rate was significantly lowered (19.5% vs. 55.4%; OR = 0.24, 95%CI was 0.12-0.45, P < 0.01; I2 = 0%), and also no significantly difference was found in the incidence of hyperglycemia (54.3% vs. 44.6%, OR = 1.26, 95%CI was 0.56-2.84, P = 0.58; I2 = 61%), gastrointestinal bleeding (2.5% vs. 3.6%; OR = 0.70, 95%CI was 0.34-1.46, P = 0.34; I2 = 0%) and secondary infection (9.2% vs. 11.5%; OR = 0.46, 95%CI was 0.06-3.35, P = 0.45; I2 = 53%).
CONCLUSION
Hydrocortisone can reduce the mortality rate of sCAP patients, decrease their need for mechanical ventilation, and does not increase the risk of hyperglycemia, gastrointestinal bleeding, or secondary infections.
Humans
;
Hydrocortisone/therapeutic use*
;
Community-Acquired Infections/drug therapy*
;
Pneumonia/drug therapy*
;
Randomized Controlled Trials as Topic
;
Respiration, Artificial
;
Community-Acquired Pneumonia
8.Expert consensus on diagnosis and treatment of intra-abdominal candidiasis in critically ill patients (2025 edition).
Care CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE COMMITTEE OF CHINA INTERNATIONAL EXCHANGE AND PROMOTIVE ASSOCIATION FOR MEDICAL AND HEALTH ; Association HOSPITAL PHARMACY COMMITTEE OF CHINA PHARMACEUTICAL
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(7):605-619
Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) technology is an important life support method for critically ill patients. A large number of studies have found that ECMO can change the pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters of critically ill patients, thereby affecting the drug effect in vivo. However, there is still a lack of recommendations for the adjustment of commonly used drugs during ECMO support in China, and the selection or dosage adjustment of drugs during ECMO support is not clear. Therefore, a multidisciplinary group of domestic experts in clinical pharmacy and critical care medicine was established by Critical Care Medicine Committee of China International Exchange and Promotive Association for Medical and Health Care, and Hospital Pharmacy Committee of China Pharmaceutical Association, to develop the Expert consensus on drug adjustment during extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support (2025). Eight clinical issues of drug adjustment during ECMO support were discussed in this consensus: (1) Why does the patient's demand for drug dosage change during ECMO support? (2) What factors are related to the degree of drug loss during ECMO support? (3) Considering the features of drugs, which types of drugs may need to be adjusted during ECMO support? (4) How to adjust the dosage when using antibacterial drugs during ECMO support? (5) How to adjust antifungal drugs during ECMO support? (6) Does ECMO support change patients' dosage requirements for antiviral drugs? (7) How to adjust sedative and analgesic drugs during ECMO support? (8) Does ECMO support affect the dosage requirement of vasoactive agents? Eighteen consensus are elaborated based on the latest clinical evidence, aiming to provide recommendations for drug adjustment in critically ill patients receiving ECMO support to ensure the safety and effectiveness of medication.
Humans
;
Critical Illness
;
Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation
;
Consensus
;
Candidiasis/drug therapy*
;
Intraabdominal Infections/therapy*
9.Clinical features and sepsis-related factors in 159 patients with necrotizing soft tissue infection.
Hongmin LUO ; Xiaoyan WANG ; Xu MU ; Zeyang YAO ; Chuanwei SUN ; Lianghua MA ; Shaoyi ZHENG ; Huining BIAN ; Wen LAI
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(9):817-821
OBJECTIVE:
To explore the clinical features of patients with necrotizing soft tissue infection (NSTI) and the related factors for sepsis, so as to provide a basis for early intervention and improvement of patients' prognosis.
METHODS:
A retrospective case series study was conducted to analyze the clinical data of NSTI patients admitted to the department of burns and wound repair surgery of Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital from October 2021 to December 2024. Demographic information, underlying diseases, infection characteristics, laboratory test results and etiological findings at admission, treatment status, occurrence of complications (including sepsis) and prognosis were collected. Univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were used to identify the associated factors for sepsis in NSTI patients. Receiver operator characteristic curves (ROC curves) were plotted to evaluate the predictive value of individual and combined factors for sepsis.
RESULTS:
A total of 159 NSTI patients were enrolled, mainly middle-aged and elderly males. Most patients had comorbidities, including diabetes mellitus (110 cases, 69.2%) and hypertension (67 cases, 42.1%). The main infection site was the lower extremities (104 cases, 65.4%). Common symptoms included redness (96 cases, 60.4%), swelling (129 cases, 81.1%), local heat (60 cases, 37.7%), pain (100 cases, 62.9%), and skin ulceration or necrosis (9 cases, 5.7%). Imaging findings included soft tissue swelling (66 cases, 57.9%), gas accumulation (41 cases, 36.0%), and abnormal signal/density shadows (50 cases, 43.9%). Staphylococcus aureus was the main pathogenic bacterium [12.0% (31/259)], and drug-resistant Escherichia coli had the highest detection rate among drug-resistant bacteria [35.1% (13/37)]. Regarding debridement and repair, most patients (80 cases, 50.3%) underwent debridement ≥ 72 hours after admission, while only 10.1% (16 cases) received debridement within 6 hours. Most patients underwent multiple debridements, with 2 times of debridements being the most common (68 cases, 42.8%), and the maximum times of debridements reached 6. The largest number of patients received secondary suture (44 cases, 27.7%). In terms of complications, sepsis was the most common (66 cases, 41.51%), followed by acute kidney injury, respiratory failure requiring mechanical ventilation, and multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS), while disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) was the least common. During the follow-up period, 9 patients (5.66%) were readmitted within 90 days, and 11 patients died, with a mortality rate of 6.92%. Univariate analysis showed that diabetes, coronary heart disease, gout, body temperature, heart rate, C-reactive protein, platelet count, total bilirubin, albumin, creatinine, out-of-hospital treatment, and out-of-hospital use of antimicrobial agents were significantly associated with sepsis in NSTI patients (all P < 0.05). Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that coronary heart disease [odds ratio (OR) = 30.085, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 2.105-956.935], C-reactive protein (OR = 1.026, 95%CI was 1.009-1.054), and total bilirubin (OR = 1.436, 95%CI was 1.188-1.948) were independent associated factors for sepsis in NSTI patients (all P < 0.05). ROC curve analysis revealed that the combination of the three predictors yielded the highest AUC for predicting sepsis in NSTI patients compared to any individual predictor [area under the curve (AUC) = 0.799 (95%CI was 0.721-0.878)].
CONCLUSIONS
The clinical features of NSTI patients show certain regularity. Coronary heart disease, C-reactive protein, and total bilirubin are independent associated factors for sepsis in NSTI patients.
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Male
;
Sepsis
;
Soft Tissue Infections/microbiology*
;
Female
;
Middle Aged
;
Aged
;
Adult
;
Prognosis
;
Risk Factors
;
Necrosis
;
Logistic Models
;
Fasciitis, Necrotizing
10.Development and validation of a prediction model for bloodstream infection caused by carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae.
Shanshan JIN ; Fangqing ZHOU ; Dongpo WEI ; Jingjing ZHENG ; Changxing CHEN ; Ruilan WANG
Chinese Critical Care Medicine 2025;37(9):822-828
OBJECTIVE:
To develop and validate a predictive model for the risk of bloodstream infection (BSI) caused by carbapenem-resistant Klebsiella pneumoniae (CRKP).
METHODS:
A literature search was conducted in PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase databases from inception to July 2022 to identify studies reporting statistically significant risk factors for CRKP-BSI. Relative risks (RR) were extracted and pooled. Based on factor weights, a risk-scoring model was established. For external validation, hospitalized CRKP-infected patients from January 2016 to January 2022 at Shanghai First People's Hospital were included. Clinical data were used to calculate individual risk scores. The predictive accuracy was assessed using receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve). Patients were stratified into low-to-intermediate-risk and high-risk groups based on the optimal cut-off, and CRKP BSI incidence was compared between groups.
RESULTS:
The literatures related to the risk factors of CRKP-BSI published from database inception to July 2022 was retrieved and screened from PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Embase. Fourteen risk factors were included in the scoring model: cardiovascular disease, severe neutropenia or immunosuppression, intensive care unit (ICU) stay history, prior hospitalization, carbapenem exposure, aminoglycoside exposure, antifungal exposure, endotracheal intubation or tracheostomy, mechanical ventilation, hemodialysis, central venous catheter, indwelling urinary catheter, CRKP colonization, and Klebsiella pneumoniae positivity at non infection sites. The total score ranged from 0 to 173.5 points. In the validation cohort of 230 CRKP-infected patients, 41 developed CRKP BSI. The model yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.783 (95%CI was 0.689-0.876). The optimal cut off was 81.25 points, with sensitivity of 75.6% and specificity of 81.0%. Based on this cut off, 163 patients were categorized as low-to-intermediate risk and 67 patients as high risk. The incidence of CRKP BSI in the high-risk group was significantly higher than in the low-to-intermediate-risk group [64.2% (43/67) vs. 4.9% (8/163); RR = 13.175 (95%CI was 5.920-29.319), P < 0.001].
CONCLUSIONS
The model, based on 14 routinely available clinical parameters, demonstrated good performance in predicting CRKP BSI risk and may assist clinicians in early identification of high risk patients.
Humans
;
Klebsiella pneumoniae/drug effects*
;
Klebsiella Infections/microbiology*
;
Carbapenems/pharmacology*
;
Risk Factors
;
Bacteremia/microbiology*
;
ROC Curve
;
Carbapenem-Resistant Enterobacteriaceae


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