1.Genomic variant surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 positive specimens using a direct PCR product sequencing surveillance (DPPSS) method.
Nicole Ann L. Tuberon ; Francisco M. Heralde III ; Catherine C. Reportoso ; Arturo L. Gaitano III ; Wilmar Jun O. Elopre ; Kim Claudette J. Fernandez
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(1):57-68
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) as the causative agent of COVID-19 has significantly challenged the public health landscape in late 2019. After almost 3 years of the first ever SARS-CoV-2 case, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared the end of this global health emergency in May 2023. Although, despite the subsequent drop of COVID-19 cases, the SARS-CoV-2 infection still exhibited multiple waves of infection, primarily attributed to the appearance of new variants. Five of these variants have been classified as Variants of Concern (VOC): Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, and the most recent, Omicron. Therefore, the development of methods for the timely and accurate detection of viral variants remains fundamental, ensuring an ongoing and effective response to the disease. This study aims to evaluate the feasibility of the application of an in-house approach in genomic surveillance for the detection of SARS-CoV-2 variants using in silico designed primers.
METHODSThe primers used for the study were particularly designed based on conserved regions of certain genes in the virus, targeting distinct mutations found in known variants of SARS-CoV-2. Viral RNA extracts from nasopharyngeal samples (n=14) were subjected to quantitative and qualitative tests (Nanodrop and AGE). Selected samples were then analyzed by RT-PCR and amplicons were submitted for sequencing. Sequence alignment analysis was carried out to identify the prevailing COVID-19 variant present in the sample population.
RESULTSThe study findings demonstrated that the in-house method was able to successfully amplify conserved sequences (spike, envelope, membrane, ORF1ab) and enabled identification of the circulating SARS-CoV-2 variant among the samples. Majority of the samples were identified as Omicron variant. Three out of four designed primers effectively bound into the conserved sequence of target genes present in the sample, revealing the specific SARSCoV-2 variant. The detected mutations characterized for Omicron found in the identified lineages included K417N, S477N, and P681H which were also identified as mutations of interest. Furthermore, identification of the B.1.448 lineage which was not classified in any known variant also provided the potential of the developed in-house method in detecting unknown variants of COVID-19.
CONCLUSIONAmong the five VOCs, Omicron is the most prevalent and dominant variant. The in-house direct PCR product sequencing surveillance (DPPSS) method provided an alternative platform for SAR-CoV-2 variant analysis which is accessible and affordable than the conventional diagnostic surveillance methods and the whole genome sequencing. Further evaluation and improvements on the oligonucleotide primers may offer significant contribution to the development of a specific and direct PCRbased detection of new emerging COVID-19 variants.
Sars-cov-2 ; Polymerase Chain Reaction ; Dna Primers ; Oligonucleotide Primers ; Computer Simulation ; Conserved Sequence ; Coronavirus ; Covid-19 ; Disease ; Emergencies ; Evaluation Studies As Topic ; Genes ; Genome ; Global Health ; Health ; Identification (psychology) ; Infection ; Infections ; Membranes ; Methods ; Mutation ; Oligonucleotides ; Organizations ; Population ; Public Health ; Rna ; Rna, Viral ; Sars Virus ; Sequence Alignment ; Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome ; Syndrome ; Viruses ; Whole Genome Sequencing ; World Health Organization
2.Quality of care among patients with acute heart failure at the emergency room and adherence of physicians at the University of the Philippines – Philippine General Hospital to the division of cardiovascular medicine – heart failure pathway:A retrospective cohort study.
Mark John D. Sabando ; Felix Eduardo R. Punzalan ; Frances Dominique V. Ho ; Tam Adrian P. Aya-ay ; Kevin Paul Da. Enriquez ; Marie Kirk A. Maramara ; Ronald Allan B. Roderos ; Lauren Kay M. Evangelista
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(2):22-32
OBJECTIVES
Clinical pathways (CPs) ensure adherence to heart failure (HF) management guidelines. To optimize quality care in a low resource setting, an evidence-based care pathway for the management of acute HF was implemented at the emergency department (ED) of the Philippine General Hospital (PGH), the designated national tertiary hospital and referral center. This study aimed to describe the characteristics of adults with acute HF admitted at the ED and evaluate the quality of care they received, measured using physician adherence to the hospital’s acute heart failure CP.
METHODSThis was a retrospective, descriptive cohort study. We reviewed the inpatient charts of all adult patients with acute HF admitted to the ED of the PGH and referred to the Division of Cardiovascular Medicine between December 1, 2022 and May 31, 2023. Quality of care was assessed based on adherence to quality indicators adapted from routine and conditional order sets detailed in the pathway. Descriptive statistics was utilized to describe patient characteristics, quality of care, and outcomes.
RESULTSTwo hundred thirty-six (236) patients were included, with a mean age of 51.8 years. Majority were male (53.4%); hypertension (61.4%) and ischemic heart disease (53.8%) were the most common comorbidities, and infection the most common precipitant of decompensation (60.6%). There were optimal adherence rates to routine orders, which included referrals to Internal Medicine and Cardiology, baseline vital signs monitoring, fluid intake and output monitoring, chest radiograph, complete blood count, blood urea nitrogen, sodium, potassium, prothrombin time, partial thromboplastin time, arterial blood gas, urinalysis, and N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide. Conditional orders, such as oxygen support, focused echocardiography, thyroid - stimulating hormone, and the use of vasopressors, diuretics, and venous thromboembolism prophylactic agents, were optimally performed when warranted. However, we noted suboptimal adherence to certain resource-intensive conditional orders, such as hourly monitoring of urine output (61.4%), hooking to cardiac monitor (53.8%), and performance of 12-lead ECG within 10 minutes (56.8%). Further, only 43.9% of patients were referred to the intensive care unit. Troponin I, calcium, magnesium, and albumin were ordered in excess.
CONCLUSIONOverall adherence rate of physicians to the hospital’s Acute Heart Failure Pathway was satisfactory. Work is needed to improve adherence to hourly urine output monitoring, consistent hooking to cardiac monitor, and timely performance of 12-lead ECG – an effort that begins with expanding in-hospital diagnostic equipment and human resource supply. We recommend continuous pathway implementation with periodic evaluation and stakeholder feedback to further improve quality of care.
Human ; Male ; Female ; Middle Aged: 45-64 Yrs Old ; Adult ; Albumins ; Blood ; Blood Urea Nitrogen ; Calcium ; Cardiology ; Chart ; Charts ; Cohort Studies ; Critical Care ; Critical Pathways ; Diagnostic Equipment ; Disease ; Diuretics ; Echocardiography ; Electrocardiography ; Emergencies ; Emergency Service, Hospital ; Equipment And Supplies ; Evaluation Studies As Topic ; Feedback ; Heart ; Heart Diseases ; Heart Failure ; Hormones ; Hospitals ; Hospitals, General ; Humans ; Hypertension ; Indicators And Reagents ; Infection ; Infections ; Inpatients ; Intensive Care Units ; Internal Medicine ; Lead ; Magnesium ; Male ; Medicine ; Myocardial Ischemia ; Natriuretic Peptide, Brain ; Natriuretic Peptides ; Nitrogen ; Overall ; Oxygen ; Partial Thromboplastin Time ; Patients ; Peptides ; Philippines ; Physicians ; Potassium ; Prothrombin ; Prothrombin Time ; Quality Of Health Care ; Referral And Consultation ; Sodium ; Statistics ; Tertiary Care Centers ; Thorax ; Thromboembolism ; Thromboplastin ; Thyroid Gland ; Time ; Troponin ; Troponin I ; Universities ; Urea ; Urinalysis ; Urine ; Venous Thromboembolism ; Vital Signs ; Work ; Workforce
3.A bibliometric analysis of research productivity on Kawasaki disease in Southeast Asia: Trend and socioeconomic drivers.
Maria Llaine J. Callanta ; Karol Ann T. Baldo
Acta Medica Philippina 2026;60(2):33-40
OBJECTIVES
The increasing prevalence of Kawasaki disease in Southeast Asia (SEA) and its potential relation with Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection resulted in heightened interest in KD in the region, thus, this paper aimed to determine the trend and the socioeconomic facilitators of scientific productivity of KD research within the region. Specifically, this article determined the number of publication and citations related to KD per country, institution, and journal. We also explored the networks of countries within the region to the rest of the world and the keywords mostly associated with KD research in the region. Lastly, correlation of these bibliometric indices with socioeconomic factors in the region was analyzed.
METHODSA literature search of KD papers in SEA was performed using Scopus database. We obtained bibliographic data from the available literature and visualized network of existing collaborations and keywords using VOSviewer software.
RESULTSA total of 196 papers were included in the study. Bibliometric analysis showed a rising trend in publication within the region, most of which were from institutions in Singapore and Thailand. The most common topics on KD studies included clinical features, complications, treatment, and comorbidities.
Country characteristics such as gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, research and development (R&D) expenditure (% GDP), and number of physician and R&D researchers were positively correlated with bibliometric indices of KD research in SEA. Moreover, number of international linkages was significantly associated with KD research productivity in the region.
CONCLUSIONIn summary, we showed an increasing trend of KD research in SEA. Funding allocation and capacity building are necessary to strengthen research productivity within the region.
Asia ; Asia, Southeastern ; Bibliometrics ; Capacity Building ; Coronavirus ; Covid-19 ; Database ; Disease ; Efficiency ; Gross Domestic Product ; Guanosine Diphosphate ; Infection ; Infections ; Literature ; Mucocutaneous Lymph Node Syndrome ; Paper ; Physicians ; Prevalence ; Publications ; Research ; Research Personnel ; Rest ; Singapore ; Socioeconomic Factors ; Software ; Thailand ; Therapeutics
4.Orbital apex syndrome secondary to chronic invasive fungal rhinosinusitis and its diagnostic challenges: A case report.
Diane Frances M. Peralta ; Yvette Marie B. Santiago ; Marie Joan V. Loy
Philippine Journal of Ophthalmology 2026;51(1):48-52
OBJECTIVE
To present a case of chronic invasive infection rhinosinusitis (CIFRS) complicated by orbital apex syndrome, highlighting the significant diagnostic challenges and delays encountered before establishing the diagnosis.
METHODSThis is a case report.
CASE PRESENTATIONThis patient is a 65-year-old diabetic female, status post-kidney transplantation with immunosuppressant use presented with headache and sudden painless vision loss and extraocular limitation of the right eye. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) revealed a right-sided ill-defined nasopharyngeal mass, with nasopharyngeal carcinoma as the radiologic consideration. Biopsy revealed bacterial and fungal elements. During admission, antibiotics, antifungals, and tumor debulking was done but symptoms persisted. Histopathology showed reactive inflammatory tissue; hence, a short course of intravenous high-dose steroids was given. Overall health declined and patient eventually expired.
CONCLUSIONThis case highlights the importance of maintaining high clinical suspicion for fungal infection despite non-specific radiologic findings in immunocompromised patients with vague, localized symptoms. Prompt recognition and tissue diagnosis are critical for early intervention.
Human ; Female ; Aged: 65-79 Yrs Old ; Mycoses ; Fungal Infection ; Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma
5.Accuracy of selective postoperative surgical site infection surveillance among high-risk patients compared with traditional surveillance in a tertiary university hospital.
Health Sciences Journal 2026;15(1):1-9
Introduction:
Surgical site infection (SSI) surveillance is resource-intensive, particularly in low-resource settings. This study evaluated whether selective surveillance of high-risk patients can accurately identify
postoperative SSI compared with traditional surveillance of all surgical patients.
Methods:
A cross-sectional study was conducted among 587 patients who underwent selected general surgical procedures from January 2022 to June 2023 in a tertiary university hospital. Patients were classified as high-risk or low-risk for SSI using eight perioperative variables. Logistic regression analysis identified factors independently associated with SSI. The accuracy and agreement of selective surveillance versus traditional surveillance were assessed using sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, and Cohen’s kappa.
Results:
The overall SSI rate was 12% (71/587). Independent predictors of SSI included resident service cases (OR 2.57, 95% CI 1.37–4.83), ASA score 3–5 (OR 6.28, 95% CI 3.30–11.93), clean-contaminated to dirty wounds (OR 21.73, 95% CI 6.26–75.48), operative duration beyond the 75th percentile (OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.24–4.38), and failure to maintain perioperative normothermia (OR 39.49, 95% CI 3.35–465.06). Selective surveillance demonstrated 100% sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative
predictive value, with perfect agreement with traditional surveillance (Cohen’s kappa = 1.00).
Conclusion
Selective surveillance focused on high-risk patients demonstrated excellent agreement with traditional surveillance and may serve as a cost-effective alternative for SSI monitoring in resource-limited settings.
Surgical Wound Infection
;
Cross Infection
;
6.Warburg Effect-Associated Non-Insulin-Mediated Hypoglycemia in Chronic Infection
Tilagamaty Murthy ; Sharifah Noor Adrilla Long Mohd Noor Affendi ; Shazatul Reza Mohd Redzuan ; Gayathri Devi Krishnan ; Subashini Rajoo
Journal of the ASEAN Federation of Endocrine Societies 2026;41(S1):67-
Introduction:
The Warburg effect refers to a metabolic shift in which cells
preferentially utilize aerobic glycolysis rather than oxidative
phosphorylation despite adequate oxygen availability. This
phenomenon is increasingly recognized as the mechanism
for tumor-associated hypoglycemia, or paraneoplastic
syndromes such as insulin-like growth factor-2 (IGF-2)–
mediated non-islet cell tumor hypoglycemia. We present
a case of Warburg effect with management challenges.
Case:
A 47-year-old male with advanced, treatment-naive retroviral disease presented with chronic cough, progressive
right thigh swelling, constitutional symptoms over several
months, followed by reduced responsiveness for 2 days
prior to admission. Clinically, he was delirious, cachectic
with generalized lung crepitations and right thigh mass.
He was diagnosed with smear-negative disseminated
tuberculosis, and thigh mass was considered either a
tuberculous granuloma or sarcoma.
During hospitalization, he developed recurrent hypoglycemia with lactatemia despite intravenous dextrose,
optimized enteral feeding and a 1-day course of intravenous
octreotide. His blood investigations showed full blood
count, renal function test, liver function test, and serum
ketone within normal range. His arterial blood gas analysis
showed type B lactic acidosis with persistent lactatemia.
At the time of hypoglycemia (RBS: 3.1 mmol/L), his serum
insulin was suppressed, C-peptide was low–normal,
morning cortisol was elevated, and IGF-1 was markedly
reduced suggestive of non-insulin-mediated hypoglycemia
secondary to Warburg effect.
Conclusion
In patients with retroviral disease and tuberculosis,
Warburg effect may lead to poorer clinical outcomes
and management may be challenging. Thus, definitive
antimicrobial therapy with second generation somatostatin
analogues (Pasireotide) may be considered in selected
cases to modulate dysregulated hormonal and metabolic
pathways. Early identification and timely targeted
intervention are crucial to improving outcomes in this
high-risk population.
Persistent Infection
;
Hypoglycemia
7.A microbiological profile of acute burn wounds received within 24 hours post-injury in a tertiary hospital in the Philippines
Philippine Journal of Surgical Specialties 2025;80(2):56-56
INTRODUCTION
Burn wound infection is a significant risk factor in the morbidity and mortality of burn wound patients. Previous studies in our institution showed bacterial colonization in burn patients seen beyond 24 hours post-injury. The microbiological profile of burn wounds seen within 24 hours, including the presence and risk factors for wound colonization, has not been determined in our Burn Center.
OBJECTIVESTo identify the presence and risk factors for burn wound colonization in burn patients seen less than 24 hours after injury and determine the microbiological profile and antibiotic susceptibility patterns in colonized burn wounds.
METHODSOne hundred eighty-nine burn patients who were seen at and admitted to the UP Philippine General Hospital ATR Burn Center within 24 hours of the burn injury from June 2021 until July 2023 were included in the study. Demographic and clinical data were collected upon admission. A total of 635 swab samples were collected from 189 patients and were sent for identification of aerobic organisms by standard culture methods and antibiotic sensitivity tests using the Kirby-Bauer disc diffusion method. Association of patient characteristics (area of injury, time received post-injury, previous hospital care, place of injury, percent burn injury, etiology, mode of transport, and type of dressing prior to admission) were determined using Chi square test of independence.
RESULTSOut of 189 burn patients seen within 24 hours after injury included in the study, 58.73% (n = 111) of patients, and 49.29% (n = 313) of swabs showed bacterial colonization. Burn wound colonization was associated with area of injury/body region (χ2 5 = 16.29, p = .0061), time received post-injury (χ2 3 = 24.62, p < 0.0001, post hoc Fisher’s test for 6-12 hours vs. within the first 6 hours: p < 0.0001), place of burn injury (χ2 2 = 18.17, p = 0.0001, post hoc Fisher’s test work vs. home: p = 0.0006, work vs. outdoors: p = 0.0015), percent burn injury (χ2 4 = 21.40, p = 0.0003, post hoc Fisher’s test 25-49% vs. 0-9%: p = 0.004, 50-75% vs. 0-9%: p = 0.002), and etiology of burn injury (χ2 2 = 37.05, p < 0.0001, post hoc Fisher’s test scald vs. flame: p = 0.0012, electrical vs. flame: p < .0001). From 313 positive samples, 357 isolates were identified. Staphylococcus (58.8%) was the most common organism isolated. It was noted that out of the total isolates, 15 (4.2%) were identified to be methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA) while 5 isolates (1.4%) were methicillin-resistant S. epidermidis (MRSE). Streptococcus (10.4%) and Acinetobacter (6.2%) were the second and third most common organisms, respectively. Other groups identified were Aeromonas, Bacillus, Enterobacter, Pseudomonas, Klebsiella, and diphtheroids. Frequency of bacterial isolates differed across body regions, time received post-injury, percent burn injury, and etiology of burn injury. Resistance to one antibiotic was observed in 36.84%, 6.25%, and 63.64% of Staphylococcus, Streptococcus, and Acinetobacter isolates tested, respectively. Resistance to more than 1 antibiotic was observed in 48.68% of Staphylococcus isolates and 50.0% of Streptococcus isolates tested. Among the 51 S. aureus isolates, 29.1% were methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA).
CONCLUSIONIn burn patients seen within 24 hours after injury, about half of burn wounds and more than half of patients showed the presence of microbial growth. Potential risk factors for positive microbial growth in a burn wound during this timeframe were area of injury/ body region, place of injury, time received post-injury, percent TBSA burn, and etiology of burn injury. The most common isolate was Staphylococcus spp. More than half of Staphylococcus isolates showed antibiotic resistance, with a significant number showing multidrug resistance. More than a quarter of S. aureus isolates were methicillin-resistant S. aureus (MRSA). These results suggest that bacterial isolates can colonize burn wounds even within 24 hours post-injury and may exhibit antibiotic resistance.
Human ; Burns ; Wounds And Injuries ; Wound Infection ; Methicillin ; Klebsiella ; Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus Aureus ; Drug Resistance, Multiple
8.Analysis of risk factors, pathogenic bacteria characteristics, and drug resistance of postoperative surgical site infection in adults with limb fractures.
Yan-Jun WANG ; Zi-Hou ZHAO ; Shuai-Kun LU ; Guo-Liang WANG ; Shan-Jin MA ; Lin-Hu WANG ; Hao GAO ; Jun REN ; Zhong-Wei AN ; Cong-Xiao FU ; Yong ZHANG ; Wen LUO ; Yun-Fei ZHANG
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(4):241-251
PURPOSE:
We carried out the study aiming to explore and analyze the risk factors, the distribution of pathogenic bacteria, and their antibiotic-resistance characteristics influencing the occurrence of surgical site infection (SSI), to provide valuable assistance for reducing the incidence of SSI after traumatic fracture surgery.
METHODS:
A retrospective case-control study enrolling 3978 participants from January 2015 to December 2019 receiving surgical treatment for traumatic fractures was conducted at Tangdu Hospital of Air Force Medical University. Baseline data, demographic characteristics, lifestyles, variables related to surgical treatment, and pathogen culture were harvested and analyzed. Univariate analyses and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to reveal the independent risk factors of SSI. A bacterial distribution histogram and drug-sensitive heat map were drawn to describe the pathogenic characteristics.
RESULTS:
Included 3978 patients 138 of them developed SSI with an incidence rate of 3.47% postoperatively. By logistic regression analysis, we found that variables such as gender (males) (odds ratio (OR) = 2.012, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.235 - 3.278, p = 0.005), diabetes mellitus (OR = 5.848, 95% CI: 3.513 - 9.736, p < 0.001), hypoproteinemia (OR = 3.400, 95% CI: 1.280 - 9.031, p = 0.014), underlying disease (OR = 5.398, 95% CI: 2.343 - 12.438, p < 0.001), hormonotherapy (OR = 11.718, 95% CI: 6.269 - 21.903, p < 0.001), open fracture (OR = 29.377, 95% CI: 9.944 - 86.784, p < 0.001), and intraoperative transfusion (OR = 2.664, 95% CI: 1.572 - 4.515, p < 0.001) were independent risk factors for SSI, while, aged over 59 years (OR = 0.132, 95% CI: 0.059 - 0.296, p < 0.001), prophylactic antibiotics use (OR = 0.082, 95% CI: 0.042 - 0.164, p < 0.001) and vacuum sealing drainage use (OR = 0.036, 95% CI: 0.010 - 0.129, p < 0.001) were protective factors. Pathogens results showed that 301 strains of 38 species of bacteria were harvested, among which 178 (59.1%) strains were Gram-positive bacteria, and 123 (40.9%) strains were Gram-negative bacteria. Staphylococcus aureus (108, 60.7%) and Enterobacter cloacae (38, 30.9%) accounted for the largest proportion. The susceptibility of Gram-positive bacteria to Vancomycin and Linezolid was almost 100%. The susceptibility of Gram-negative bacteria to Imipenem, Amikacin, and Meropenem exceeded 73%.
CONCLUSION
Orthopedic surgeons need to develop appropriate surgical plans based on the risk factors and protective factors associated with postoperative SSI to reduce its occurrence. Meanwhile, it is recommended to strengthen blood glucose control in the early stage of admission and for surgeons to be cautious and scientific when choosing antibiotic therapy in clinical practice.
Humans
;
Surgical Wound Infection/epidemiology*
;
Male
;
Female
;
Risk Factors
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Case-Control Studies
;
Fractures, Bone/surgery*
;
Aged
;
Drug Resistance, Bacterial
;
Logistic Models
;
Anti-Bacterial Agents/therapeutic use*
;
Incidence
;
Bacteria/drug effects*
9.Postoperative laboratory markers as predictors of early spinal surgical site infections: A retrospective cohort study.
Tianhong CHEN ; Renxin CHEN ; Hongliang ZHANG ; Qinyu FENG ; Lin CAI ; Jingfeng LI
Chinese Journal of Traumatology 2025;28(6):412-417
PURPOSE:
To screen laboratory markers with predictive value in early spinal surgical site infections (SSI) that are diagnosed within 30 days postoperatively.
METHODS:
Patients who underwent surgical treatment for internal spinal fixation between March 2022 and March 2023 in our hospital were retrospectively studied. The inclusion criteria were aged >18 years, undergoing internal fixation surgery, complete medical records with >30 days of postoperative follow-up, diagnosis was made within 30 days postoperatively, and an informed consent form was obtained. The exclusion criteria were abnormal white blood cell count or neutrophil percentage in the preoperative blood routine and combined diseases that may affect the C-reactive protein (CRP) or procalcitonin (PCT) values, including lower respiratory tract infection, renal insufficiency, and liver disease. We collected patients' personal information, surgical information, and blood laboratory data, including CRP, PCT, lymphocyte-neutrophil ratio, platelet-neutrophil ratio, and routine blood tests on preoperative and postoperative days 3, 5, and 7, from these patients. These data were statistically analyzed to determine which laboratory markers were statistically significant. The diagnostic value and optimal diagnostic threshold of these laboratory markers were further determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.
RESULTS:
A total of 106 patients were enrolled in this study, of whom 8 patients were diagnosed with early SSI. A total of 4 laboratory markers were screened, namely, CRP on postoperative day 7 (optimal diagnostic threshold of ≥64.1 mg/L, sensitivity of 100%, specificity of 76.5%, area under the curve (AUC) of 0.908), PCT on postoperative day 7 (optimal diagnostic threshold of ≥0.2 ng/mL, sensitivity of 87.5%, specificity of 94.1%, AUC of 0.967), lymphocyte count on postoperative day 5 (optimal diagnostic threshold of ≤0.67 × 109/L, sensitivity of 50%, specificity of 95.9%, AUC of 0.760), and lymphocyte count on postoperative day 7 (optimal diagnostic threshold of ≤1.32 × 109/L, sensitivity of 87.5%, specificity of 55.1%, AUC of 0.721).
CONCLUSION
We concluded that CRP and PCT levels on postoperative day 7 and lymphocyte counts on postoperative days 5 and 7 are useful markers in screening for early spinal SSI.
Humans
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Male
;
Female
;
Biomarkers/blood*
;
Middle Aged
;
C-Reactive Protein/analysis*
;
Surgical Wound Infection/blood*
;
Procalcitonin/blood*
;
Adult
;
Aged
;
Postoperative Period
;
ROC Curve
;
Predictive Value of Tests
;
Spine/surgery*
10.Early warning model of postoperative infection of internal fixation device in maxillofacial fracture based on the synthetic minority over-sampling technique algorithm.
Jinfeng JIANG ; Haiyan WANG ; Yanfeng SHI ; Ke XU
West China Journal of Stomatology 2025;43(6):837-844
OBJECTIVES:
This study investigates independent risk factors for postoperative internal fixation device infection in patients with maxillofacial fractures and proposes an early warning model based on the synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) algorithm.
METHODS:
A total of 1 104 patients who underwent surgical treatment for maxillofacial fractures at Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery Department, Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University from January 2021 to December 2024 were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were divided into two groups based on the presence of postoperative internal fixation device infection: the infection group (27 cases) and non-infection group (1 077 cases). Clinical data from both groups were collected and subjected to statistical analysis. Univariate and binary Logistic regression analysis were used to identify risk factors for postoperative internal fixation device infection in maxillofacial fractures. Subsequently, a Logistic regression model was established, and the dataset was improved based on the SMOTE algorithm to construct an early warning model with the improved dataset. The prediction performance of the models was compared and validated.
RESULTS:
Among the 1 104 patients who underwent surgical treatment for maxillofacial fractures, 27 cases of postoperative internal fixation device infections were identified, corresponding to an infection rate of 2.45% (27/1 104). Age, diabetes history, fracture severity, and oral hygiene status were all identified as risk factors for postoperative internal fixation device infections in maxillofacial fractures (all P<0.05). The prediction model based on the original data (P1). The prediction model based on the SMOTE algorithm (P2). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis shows that the area under curve (AUC) for the P2 model was 0.882, the P1 model was 0.861, indicating the superior predictive performance of the P2 model. The DeLong test results show that the difference in AUC between the two models was statistically significant (P<0.05).
CONCLUSIONS
Age, diabetes history, postoperative fracture severity, and oral hygiene status are all risk factors for infections associated with internal fixation devices after maxillofacial fracture surgery. The proposed early warning model demonstrated good predictive performance. Medical professionals can utilize this model to effectively intervene and anticipate infections related to internal fixation devices after maxillofacial fracture surgery.
Humans
;
Algorithms
;
Retrospective Studies
;
Male
;
Female
;
Fracture Fixation, Internal/instrumentation*
;
Risk Factors
;
Middle Aged
;
Adult
;
Logistic Models
;
Surgical Wound Infection/epidemiology*
;
Aged
;
Internal Fixators/adverse effects*
;
Maxillofacial Injuries/surgery*
;
Adolescent


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