Objective: To investigate the epidemiological characteristics and spatial-temporal clustering of varicella in Changchun City from 2020 to 2024, so as to provide the evidence for formulating local varicella prevention and control measures. Methods: The individual case data of varicella were collected through the Surveillance and Reporting Management System of the Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System in Changchun City from 2020 to 2024. Descriptive epidemiological methods were used to analyze the population ,regional, and temporal distribution. Spatial autocorrelation and spatio-temporal scanning analyses were used to identify the spatial-temporal clustering characteristics. Results: A total of 8 850 varicella cases were reported in Changchun City from 2020 to 2024, with an average annual incidence of 19.64/105. There were 4 929 male cases and 3 921 female cases, with a male-to-female ratio of 1.26∶1. The age was mainly 0-<20 years (6 649 cases, 75.13%), and students were the predominant occupation (6 036 cases, 68.20%). The top three counties (cities, districts) with the highest number of cases were Chaoyang District (1 944 cases), Gongzhuling City (1 054 cases) and Nanguan District (987 cases), accounting for 45.03%. The peak incidence periods were from April to June and from October to December, with 2 166 and 4 226 cases, accounting for 24.47% and 47.75%, respectively. Spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that spatial clustering existed from 2020 to 2024. The high-high clustering areas were mainly some townships (streets) in Chaoyang District, Nanguan District, Changchun New District and Jingyue District. Spatio-temporal scanning analysis identified 6 high-risk clustering areas. The class Ⅰ clustering area was Nanhu Street in Chaoyang District, with the clustering period from September 2020 to February 2022. Conclusions Varicella cases in Changchun City were mainly males and students aged 0-<20 years from 2020 to 2024. The peak incidence was mainly in winter. Chaoyang District was a high-risk area, with obvious spatial-temporal clustering.

Abstract Upper cross syndrome (UCS) is an abnormal body posture phenomenon. The detection rate of UCS in adolescents is high in China, which has become a serious public health problem threatening the health of adolescents. Exercise therapy has a positive effect on the prevention and treatment of UCS.The article reviews the pathological mechanisms of muscle imbalance, muscle interaction inhibition, and neural control related to the occurrence and development of UCS both domestically and internationally in recent years.And it elucidates the effects and corresponding mechanisms of exercise interventions such as gentle exercise, stretching exercise and physical function training on UCS, so as to provide help for the correction of UCS.

Objective:To analyze the risk factors for fat liquefaction after surgery for pediatric appendiceal abscess and to construct and validate a predictive model for post-operative fat liquefaction.Methods:The training set collected clinical data from 60 children who developed fat liquefaction after appendiceal abscess surgery and 60 children who did not develop fat liquefaction for comparison.The validation set collected data from 97 children during the same period ac-cording to the same criteria to test the model's efficacy.LASSO logistic regression was used to screen potential diag-nostic factors,and a Logistic regression model was employed for univariate analysis.Collinearity diagnostic tests were conducted among the risk factors.The stepwise regression method using the training dataset was applied to evaluate the importance of each risk factor for fat liquefaction.A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to calcu-late the concordance index of the risk factors in both the training and validation sets.A predictive model was constructed using Logistic regression,and the clinical value of the predictive model was evaluated using ROC curves,calibration curves,and decision curves.Results:Compared with the non-liquefaction group,the liquefaction group had higher val-ues in terms of body weight,heart rate,diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,degree of appendiceal thickening,body temperature upon admission,fasting plasma glucose(FPG)level,surgical duration,intraoperative blood loss,wound healing time,length of hospital stay,volume of abdominal drainage fluid,and infection status(P<0.05).LASSO logistic regression analysis identified potential factors including body temperature upon admission,heart rate,body weight,diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,degree of appendiceal thickening,FPG level,sur-gical duration,and intraoperative blood loss.Univariate analysis revealed that body weight,diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,FPG level,surgical duration,and intraoperative blood loss were influencing factors for fat lique-faction after appendectomy(P<0.05).Body weight and FPG factors were mutually independent with no multicollinearity,while there was multicollinearity among the diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,surgical duration,and intraoperative blood loss.The risk model combining the diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,in-traoperative blood loss,FPG,surgical duration,and body weight had the highest concordance index in both the training and validation sets,with values of 0.811 and 0.814,respectively.The Logistic regression model established the predictive model as Logit(P)=-1.136+0.664×(diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen)+0.449×(surgical duration)+0.622×(intraoperative blood loss)+0.200×(body weight)+0.578×(FPG).The area under the ROC curve was 0.920(95%CI:0.869～0.942),with a sensitivity of 93.14%and a specificity of 85.73%.The calibration curve of the predictive model showed good fit with the ideal curve.The predictive model had a high net benefit.Conclusion:Body weight,diameter of the tender mass in the right lower abdomen,FPG level,surgical duration,and intraoperative blood loss are risk factors for fat liquefaction after appendectomy and have good predictive value for the occurrence of fat liquefaction.

Objective:To develop and validate machine learning models for predicting the cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) following in vitro fertilization (IVF) and to analyze key predictive features using SHAP values. Methods:This retrospective study included data from patients who underwent IVF-embryo transfer at the Department of Reproductive Medicine, Baoding Maternal and Child Health Hospital, between January 2017 and December 2022. Patients were categorized into two groups based on live birth outcome: the live birth group ( n=1 036) and the non-live birth group ( n=756). The dataset was randomly divided into a training set and a validation set in a ratio of 7∶3. Five algorithms were utilized for model development: logistic regression, random forest, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine, and neural networks. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve, F1 score, and calibration curves. Clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to evaluate the clinical utility of the models. SHAP values were used to interpret feature importance in the XGBoost model and enhance its explainability. Results:The XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance in predicting CLBR,with accuracy of 72.44%, AUC of 0.775, and F1 score of 0.654, accuracy and F1 score outperforming logistic regression (accuracy was 70.02%, F1 score was 0.585), random forest (accuracy was 71.69%, F1 score was 0.606), support vector machine (accuracy was 70.20%, F1 score was 0.607), and neural network (accuracy was 68.72%, F1 score was 0.560). The calibration curve of XGBoost closely aligned with the diagonal line, indicating that the predicted probabilities were very close to the actual outcomes, demonstrating good calibration. DCA indicated that the XGBoost model provided higher net benefits across a wide range of clinical decision thresholds. SHAP value analysis identified number of previous IVF failures, antral follicle count, anti-Müllerian hormone level, percentage of normal sperm morphology, and sperm DNA fragmentation index as key predictors of CLBR.Conclusion:The XGBoost model exhibits excellent predictive performance and calibration for CLBR, with SHAP values providing important insights into feature importance. This model has the potential to support the development of personalized treatment strategies in clinical practice. However, its generalizability needs to be validated using external datasets to ensure its applicability to diverse populations.

Purpose To explore the predictive value of intravoxel incoherent motion quantitative parameters and pathological grading for the survival prognosis of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma(HCC)after surgery.Materials and Methods A retrospective analysis was performed on 65 patients with HCC who had complete imaging data and underwent radical surgery at the Fourth Hospital of Hebei Medical University from October 2018 to November 2019.All patients were followed up for a 5-year survival period.The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to determine the optimal cut-off values for intravoxel incoherent motion quantitative parameters,including standard apparent diffusion coefficient(sADC),diffusion coefficient(D),pseudo-diffusion coefficient(D*)and perfusion fraction(F).Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to select independent predictive factors affecting the overall survival time of HCC patients after surgery.Results Univariate Cox regression analysis showed that pathological grading(HR=1.588,95%CI 0.936-2.692,P=0.086),microscopic vascular invasion(HR=2.512,95%CI 1.308-4.823,P=0.006),neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(HR=1.752,95%CI 1.000-3.068,P=0.050),sADC(HR=0.433,95%CI 0.235-0.796,P=0.007),D(HR=0.262,95%CI 0.121-0.565,P<0.001)and F(HR=2.268,95%CI 1.259-4.087,P=0.006)were all prognostic factors.Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that pathological grade(grade Ⅲ and Ⅳ)was the independent risk factor for the survival prognosis of patients after HCC surgery(HR=1.748,95%CI 1.003-3.045,P=0.049);the D value>0.916×10-3 mm2/s was the independent protective factor for their survival prognosis(HR=0.249,95%CI 0.113-0.550,P<0.001).Conclusion The pathological grade(Ⅲ/Ⅳ)as an independent risk factor and higher D values as a protective factor are the independent predictors of survival and prognosis of patients with HCC after surgery,and the combination of the two can provide a reference for clinical prognosis assessment.

Objective:To evaluate the predictive value of the tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion to systolic pulmonary artery pressure ratio(TAPSE/sPAP) in identifying precapillary pulmonary hypertension(pcPH) patients requiring repeat balloon pulmonary angioplasty(BPA) within 3 months after initial intervention, and to determine independent risk factors associated with postoperative reintervention.Methods:We retrospectively collected clinical data from 215 consecutive patients with pcPH undergoing BPA. After applying exclusion criteria, 200 patients were ultimately included in the analysis. The predictive value of the TAPSE/sPAP for short-term BPA reintervention was assessed using receiver operating characteristic( ROC) curve analysis and multivariable logistic regression. Internal validation was performed through bootstrap resampling with 1 000 iterations to evaluate model stability. Results:A risk model for echocardiography was constructed using multiple logistic regression, and the results showed that systolic pulmonary artery pressure(sPAP), peak tricuspid regurgitation velocity(TRV), tricuspid regurgitation pressure gradient(PGTR), and TAPSE/sPAP ratio were predictive factors for BPA surgery in patients with pulmonary hypertension within 3 months. Multivariate regression analysis suggests that the TAPSE/sPAP ratio is an independent influencing factor for BPA after 3 months( OR=0.023, P<0.05). The predicted area under the ROC curve( AUC) for BPA after 3 months is 0.62(95% CI: 0.530-0.648), P<0.01, which is better than other cardiac ultrasound indicators. At the same time, internal bootstrap method was used for internal self-validation, and the AUC of the internal self-validation set was 0.67. Conclusion:The TAPSE/sPAP ratio serves as an independent predictor for requiring repeat BPA within 3 months postoperatively in patients with pcPH.

Objective:To investigate the clinical efficacy and factors influencing treatment of pediatric noninfectious uveitis with Adalimumab (ADA).Methods:A retrospective clinical study. A total of 86 pediatric patients with non-infectious uveitis, diagnosed and treated with ADA at Department of Uveitis Specialist of Xi'an People's Hospital (Xi' an Fourth Hospital) from January 1, 2021 to December 31, 2023, were included in this study. The age of all patients was ≤16 years. Among them, 55 (63.95%, 55/86) patients received ADA combined with one immunosuppressive agent, 28 (32.56%, 28/86) patients received ADA combined with ≥2 immunosuppressive agents, and 3 (3.49%, 3/86) patients received ADA alone without any immunosuppressive agents. All patients underwent best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA) and optical coherence tomography (OCT) examinations. The thickness of the retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) in the macular region was measured using an OCT device. The cumulative treatment effectiveness rate at 12 months post-treatment was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Multivariate analysis was performed using the Cox proportional hazards regression model, and the optimal predictive model was selected based on the Bayesian information criterion. The association between different treatment regimens and various clinical outcomes was assessed.Results:Among the 86 pediatric patients, 42 were male and 44 were female, with a mean age of (10.47±3.23) years. The distribution of uveitis types was as follows: anterior uveitis in 37 cases, intermediate uveitis in 15 cases, posterior uveitis in 10 cases, and panuveitis in 24 cases. Anterior chamber cells (ACC), keratic precipitates, and synechiae were present in 66, 55, and 38 cases, respectively. The cumulative treatment effectiveness at 12 months was 85.1% [95% confidence interval ( CI) 71.9-92.2], with a median time to treatment effectiveness of 3 months. Compared with baseline, after 6 months of treatment, the BCVA, RNFL thickness ( Z=?6.323, ?8.017), and the grading of ACC and vitreous haze ( χ2= ?6.917, ?5.027) showed significant improvement, with statistically significant differences ( P<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that ACC (hazard ratio=22.31, 95% CI 2.43-204.68) and anterior uveitis (hazard ratio=3.88, 95% CI 2.03-7.42) were significantly associated with treatment effectiveness ( P<0.05). Patients with ACC had a median time to treatment effectiveness of 2 months, with a 12-month cumulative treatment effectiveness of 95.5% (95% CI 86.3-98.5). Patients with anterior uveitis had a median time to treatment effectiveness of 2 months, with a 12-month cumulative treatment effectiveness of 97.3% (95% CI 81.3-99.6). Patients without anterior uveitis had a median time to treatment effectiveness of 5 months, with a 12-month cumulative treatment effectiveness of 76.7% (95% CI 54.1-88.2). The cumulative recurrence risk at 12 months was 15.6% (95% CI 6.2-24.1). Conclusion:ADA is safe and effective in treating pediatric non-infectious uveitis, and ACC and anterior uveitis are associated with response rate.

Objective:To investigate the long-term efficacy, safety and prognostic factors of intraoperative radiotherapy (IORT) for narrow-margin (resection margin < 1 cm) hepatectomy in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) during radical surgery.Methods:A retrospective cohort study was conducted. The data of primary HCC patients undergoing radical surgery and narrow-margin hepatectomy IORT in the Cancer Hospital of the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences from November 2009 to February 2019 were collected. IORT applied 6 MeV or 9 MeV electron beams and a single irradiation was given to the margin. Kaplan-Meier method was used for the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) analysis; log-rank test was used for survival comparison among subgroups. The recurrence patterns and adverse reactions were recorded. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze the factors influencing the OS and DFS.Results:A total of 64 patients were enrolled, with the median age [ M ( Q1, Q3)] of 57 years (49, 63) years. All patients included 55 males (85.9%) and 9 females (14.1%). The median dose of IORT was 15 Gy (range: 12-17 Gy). The median follow-up time was 83.3 (64.4, 91.9) months. The 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, 7-year, 10-year OS rates were 90.4%, 80.6%, 75.5%, 71.4% and 47.6%, respectively; the 1-year, 3-year, 5-year, 7-year,10-year DFS rates were 77.8%, 68.1%, 59.6%, 57.6% and 38.4%, respectively. Univariate Cox regression analysis indicated that preoperative serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) > 400 ng/ml was an independent risk factor for poor OS (> 400 ng/ml vs. ≤ 400 ng/ml: HR = 6.57, 95% CI: 2.16-19.96, P < 0.001), while not the independent influencing factor of poor DFS ( HR = 1.71, 95% CI: 0.65-4.52, P = 0.277). The age ≤ 60 years or not, gender, viral hepatitis or not, American Joint Committee on Cancer stage, tumor diameter (> 5 cm or not), tumor number, degree of tumor differentiation, microvascular invasion or not, microsatellite nodules or not, anatomical liver resection or not, and the dose of IORT ≤15 Gy or not were not the independent influencing factors of poor OS and DFS (all P > 0.05). Kaplan-Meier method analysis showed that patients with preoperative serum AFP ≤ 400 ng/ml (48 cases) had better OS compared with those with preoperative serum AFP>400 ng/ml (16 cases) (5-year OS rate: 84.8% vs. 44.9%; 7-year OS rate: 79.9% vs.37.4%), and the difference was statistically significant ( P = 0.002). There was no statistically significant difference in the DFS between the 2 groups ( P = 0.134). During the follow-up, 28 patients (43.8%) relapsed, including 17 cases (26.6%) of early recurrence and 11 cases (17.2%) of late recurrence. No marginal recurrence was observed. There were 22 cases (34.4%) of intrahepatic recurrence alone, 2 cases (3.1%) of extrahepatic recurrence and 4 cases (6.3%) of stimutaneous recurrence inside and outside the liver. The 1-, 3-, 5- and 7-year cumulative recurrence rates inside the liver were 19.0%, 27.2%, 37.4% and 39.3% respectively, and the cumulative recurrence rates outside the liver were 6.4%, 8.0%, 9.6% and 9.6% respectively. There were no adverse reactions above grade 3 in the entire group. There were no surgery-related deaths within 30 d after the operation, and no radiation-induced liver disease occurred. Conclusions:Narrow-margin IORT helps HCC patients receiving hepatectomy to achieve favorable long-term survival and adverse reactions are tolerable. It can be used as a safe and effective adjuvant therapy alternative.

Objective To investigate the role of Toll-like receptor 4(TLR4)in the regulation of homocys-teine(Hcy)-induced ferroptosis in macrophages.Methods Mouse macrophage cells RAW264.7 were cultured and divided into control group,Hcy intervention group(Hcy group),and Hcy plus ferroptosis inhibitor group(Hcy+Fer-1 group).After transfection with interference fragments,macrophages were treated with Hcy,and then divided into control group,Hcy intervention group(Hcy group),TLR4 interference negative control plus Hcy intervention group(si-NC+Hcy group),and TLR4 interference plus Hcy intervention group(si-TLR4+Hcy group).Macrophages were transfected with overexpression lentivirus and treated with Hcy,then were divided into control group,Hcy intervention group(Hcy group),a TLR4 overexpression negative control plus Hcy intervention group(OE-NC+Hcy group),and a TLR4 overexpression plus Hcy intervention group(OE-TLR4+Hcy group).After 48 hours of intervention,real-time fluorescent quantitative PCR and western blot were used to detect the expression levels of TLR4 in macrophages treated with Hcy;western blot was used to detect the expression levels of ferroptosis-related proteins ACSL4,GPX4,and FTH1 in macrophages,and ferrous ion assay kit to detect the concentration of Fe2+in macrophages;reactive oxygen species(ROS)assay kit and laser confocal microscopy were used to detect the content of intracellular reactive oxygen species.Results Compared with those in the control group,the expression level of the pro-ferroptosis protein ACSL4 was increased in the Hcy group(P<0.05),while the expression levels of anti-ferroptosis proteins GPX4 and FTH1 were decreased(P<0.05);the concentration of Fe2+was increased(P<0.05),and the content of ROS was increased.Meanwhile,the protein and mRNA expres-sion levels of TLR4 were both increased in the Hcy group(P<0.05).After macrophages were transfected with TLR4 interference fragments,compared with those in the si-NC+Hcy group,the expression levels of GPX4 and FTH1 were increased(P<0.05);the expression level of ACSL4 was decreased(P<0.05);the concentration of Fe2+was decreased(P<0.05),and the content of ROS was reduced in the si-TLR4+Hcy group.After macro-phages were transfected with TLR4 overexpression lentivirus,compared with those in the OE-NC+Hcy group,the expression levels of GPX4 and FTH1 were decreased(P<0.05),and the expression level of ACSL4 was increased(P<0.05)in the OE-TLR4+Hcy group.Conclusion Hcy induces the occurrence of ferroptosis in macrophages,and Toll-like receptor 4 has a positive feedback regulatory effect on ferroptosis in macrophages.

Objective:To develop and validate machine learning models for predicting the cumulative live birth rate (CLBR) following in vitro fertilization (IVF) and to analyze key predictive features using SHAP values. Methods:This retrospective study included data from patients who underwent IVF-embryo transfer at the Department of Reproductive Medicine, Baoding Maternal and Child Health Hospital, between January 2017 and December 2022. Patients were categorized into two groups based on live birth outcome: the live birth group ( n=1 036) and the non-live birth group ( n=756). The dataset was randomly divided into a training set and a validation set in a ratio of 7∶3. Five algorithms were utilized for model development: logistic regression, random forest, extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), support vector machine, and neural networks. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC) curve, F1 score, and calibration curves. Clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) was employed to evaluate the clinical utility of the models. SHAP values were used to interpret feature importance in the XGBoost model and enhance its explainability. Results:The XGBoost model demonstrated the best performance in predicting CLBR,with accuracy of 72.44%, AUC of 0.775, and F1 score of 0.654, accuracy and F1 score outperforming logistic regression (accuracy was 70.02%, F1 score was 0.585), random forest (accuracy was 71.69%, F1 score was 0.606), support vector machine (accuracy was 70.20%, F1 score was 0.607), and neural network (accuracy was 68.72%, F1 score was 0.560). The calibration curve of XGBoost closely aligned with the diagonal line, indicating that the predicted probabilities were very close to the actual outcomes, demonstrating good calibration. DCA indicated that the XGBoost model provided higher net benefits across a wide range of clinical decision thresholds. SHAP value analysis identified number of previous IVF failures, antral follicle count, anti-Müllerian hormone level, percentage of normal sperm morphology, and sperm DNA fragmentation index as key predictors of CLBR.Conclusion:The XGBoost model exhibits excellent predictive performance and calibration for CLBR, with SHAP values providing important insights into feature importance. This model has the potential to support the development of personalized treatment strategies in clinical practice. However, its generalizability needs to be validated using external datasets to ensure its applicability to diverse populations.