1.Retrospective cohort study on the relationship between Metformin and the risk of dementia in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus
Houyu ZHAO ; Sanbao CHAI ; Yexiang SUN ; Peng SHEN ; Hongbo LIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Diabetes 2024;32(8):567-575
Objective To assess the association between Metformin use and the risk of dementia in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus(T2DM).Methods The research data came from the big medical data platform of Yinzhou District,and we constructed a cohort of T2DM patients who had initiated treatment of Metformin or sulfonylurea since January 1,2009.The inverse probability of treatment weighting(IPTW)was used to control the baseline confounding factors,and the Cox regression model was used to estimate the HR(95%CI)of the association between Metformin use and dementia risk.Results The incidence rate of dementia in new users of Metformin(41181 persons)and sulfonylureas(38092 persons)was 128.4 per 100000 person years and 142.3 per 100000 person years respectively.Compared with sulfonylureas,the crude analysis with no adjustment for confounding factors showed that there was a negative association between the use of Metformin and the incidence of dementia,with an HR(95%CI)0.930(0.800~1.090).After adjusting for potential confounders with IPTW,Metformin was not significantly associated with the risk of dementia HR(95%CI)1.040(0.890~1.220).The subgroup analysis results for different baseline characteristics were consistent with the primary analysis results,and there were no statistically significant associations between Metformin and dementia incidence risk in all subgroups.Conclusions There is no significant association between the use of Metformin and the risk of dementia in T2DM patients in the Yinzhou District.
2.Comparison of Runzao Zhiyang capsules and loratadine tablets in drug-induced liver injury:a real-world cohort study
Zilin LONG ; Houyu ZHAO ; Yongqi ZHENG ; Lianxin WANG ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Pharmacoepidemiology 2024;33(3):241-250
Objective To compare the difference in risk of drug-induced liver injury(DILI)between Runzao Zhiyang capsules and loratadine tablets.Methods Based on electronic medical records obtained through active drug safety monitoring in China,a retrospective cohort study was conducted to collect clinical data of patients who took oral Runzao Zhiyang capsules or loratadine tablets between January 1,2004,and December 31,2021.After balancing the confounding factors with a 1∶1 propensity score,the logistic regression model was used to analyze the risk of DILI between the two groups.Additionally,the sensitivity analysis of the data before matching and after inverse probability weighting method was conducted.Results A total of 31 636 patients were included,with 26 840 patients taking Runzao Zhiyang capsules orally.After matching there were 4 072 patients in each group,the risk of DILI in the Runzao Zhiyang capsules group was significantly lower than in the loratadine tablets group(0.12%vs.0.83%),OR=0.15(95%CI 0.06 to 0.38).Before matching and after inverse probability weighting,the incidence of DILI in the Runzao Zhiyang capsules group was still lower than that in the loratadine tablets group,and the difference was statistically significant(P<0.001).Conclusion Runzao Zhiyang capsules have a better safety profile in terms of liver injury compared to the loratadine tablets.The hepatotoxicity of Polygonum multiflorum and its preparations should be scientifically evaluated and rationally treated to ensure medication safety and health.
3.Research Status and Trends of Cohort Studies on Efficacy Evaluation of Traditional Chinese Medicine:A Bibliometrix-based Visual Analysis on Literature from 2017 to 2022
Zilin LONG ; Houyu ZHAO ; Xing LIAO ; Junchang LIU ; Qi SUN ; Cheng WANG ; Yutong FEI ; Haibo SONG ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Journal of Traditional Chinese Medicine 2024;65(7):737-744
ObjectiveTo explore the research status and trends of cohort studies on traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) efficacy evaluation from 2017 to 2022 and provide ideas and references for research in this field. MethodsSix databases including Pubmed, Web of Science, Embase, Scopus, Cochrane Library and CNKI were searched from January 1st, 2017 to December 31st, 2022. The total number of annual publications, journals, highly cited literatures, and keywords were quantitatively and visually analyzed by Bibliometrix. ResultsA total of 328 articles were included, which were published in 141 journals. The number of articles published in this field showed an overall upward trend, and retrospective cohort studies (282 papers, 85.98%) accounted for the largest proportion. A total of 151 cohort studies (46.04%) were conducted based on the database and showed an overall upward trend. The subjects were mainly patients with tumors (77 papers, 23.48%), and cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases (64 papers, 19.51%). The top 3 highly cited literatures mainly explore the association between TCM and survival outcome and quality of life in patients with malignant tumors. Fourteen and twenty-five high-frequency keywords were included in Chinese and English literature respectively, which formed 3 clusters such as research methods, statistical analysis and diseases. ConclusionIt was the current status to focus on retrospective cohort studies and focus on patients with tumors or cardiovascular and cerebrovascular diseases. Using observational database to conduct cohort studies of TCM efficacy evaluation could be the future research direction.
4.Analysis methods and case analysis of effect modification (1): effect modification in epidemiology and traditional Meta-analysis
Fengqi LIU ; Zhirong YANG ; Shanshan WU ; Houyu ZHAO ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(1):148-154
This paper briefly introduces the definition, classification and significance of effect modification in epidemiological studies, summarizes the difference between effect modifier and confounders, and analyze the influence as well as the role of effect modification in epidemiological studies and Meta-analysis. In this paper, the possible scenarios of effect modification and related analysis strategy in Meta-analysis are indicated by graphics, aiming to arouse researchers' attention to effect modification. This paper also demonstrates how to identify and deal with effect modification in Meta-analysis through a study case of "Efficacy of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors in patients with type 2 diabetes", and shows the analysis process and interpretation of results of subgroup analysis and Meta-regression methods respectively. The advantages and disadvantages of these two methods are summarized to provide reference for the method selection of future research.
5.Analysis methods and case analysis of effect modification (2): effect modification in network Meta-analysis
Fengqi LIU ; Zhirong YANG ; Shanshan WU ; Houyu ZHAO ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(2):273-278
This paper briefly introduces the characteristics, research significance, and global reporting status of effect modification in network Meta-analysis, demonstrates the heterogeneity caused by effect modification in network Meta-analysis, and emphasizes the importance of exploring effect modification in network Meta-analysis. This paper also summarizes the normalized description and analysis strategies of effect modification in network Meta-analysis. Finally, by the case of "comparison of efficacy of three new hypoglycemic drugs in reducing body weight in type 2 diabetes patients", this paper demonstrates the realization of subgroup analysis and network Meta-regression in exploring effect modification, summarizes the advantages and disadvantages of the two methods, to provide references for future researchers.
6.Progress in methodological research on bridging the efficacy-effectiveness gap of clinical interventions (1): to improve the validity of real-world evidence
Zuoxiang LIU ; Zilin LONG ; Zhirong YANG ; Shuyuan SHI ; Xinran XU ; Houyu ZHAO ; Zuyao YANG ; Zhu FU ; Haibo SONG ; Tengfei LIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(2):286-293
Objective:Differences between randomized controlled trial (RCT) results and real world study (RWS) results may not represent a true efficacy-effectiveness gap because efficacy-effectiveness gap estimates may be biased when RWS and RCT differ significantly in study design or when there is bias in RWS result estimation. Secondly, when there is an efficacy- effectiveness gap, it should not treat every patient the same way but assess the real-world factors influencing the intervention's effectiveness and identify the subgroup likely to achieve the desired effect.Methods:Six databases (PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang Data, and VIP) were searched up to 31 st December 2022 with detailed search strategies. A scoping review method was used to integrate and qualitatively describe the included literature inductively. Results:Ten articles were included to discuss how to use the RCT research protocol as a template to develop the corresponding RWS research protocol. Moreover, based on correctly estimating the efficacy-effectiveness gap, evaluate the intervention effect in the patient subgroup to confirm the subgroup that can achieve the expected benefit-risk ratio to bridge the efficacy-effectiveness gap.Conclusion:Using real-world data to simulate key features of randomized controlled clinical trial study design can improve the authenticity and effectiveness of study results and bridge the efficacy-effectiveness gap.
7.Analysis methods and case analysis of effect modification (3): effect modification in individual patient data Meta-analysis
Fengqi LIU ; Zhirong YANG ; Shanshan WU ; Houyu ZHAO ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(3):447-454
This paper briefly introduces the unique advantages, overall analysis ideas and existing analysis methods of individual patient data Meta-analysis in terms of effect modification. In addition to Meta-regression and subgroup analysis, this paper also introduces the analysis methods based on part of individual patient data integrated with aggregated data and summarizes the current reporting of the above mentioned methods. In addition, the application and results interpretation of the above mentioned methods in individual patient data Meta-analysis are presented in this paper by taking "Effects of sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors on SBP in patients with type 2 diabetes" as an example and by introducing their advantages and limitations.
8.Progress in methodological research on bridging the efficacy-effectiveness gap of clinical interventions(2): to improve the extrapolation of efficacy
Zuoxiang LIU ; Zilin LONG ; Zhirong YANG ; Shuyuan SHI ; Xinran XU ; Houyu ZHAO ; Zuyao YANG ; Zhu FU ; Haibo SONG ; Tengfei LIN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(4):579-584
Objective:Randomized controlled trials (RCT) usually have strict implementation criteria. The included subjects' characteristics of the conditions for the intervention implementation are quite different from the actual clinical environment, resulting in discrepancies between the risk-benefit of interventions in actual clinical use and the risk-benefit shown in RCT. Therefore, some methods are needed to enhance the extrapolation of RCT results to evaluate the real effects of drugs in real people and clinical practice settings.Methods:Six databases (PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang Data, and VIP) were searched up to 31 st December 2022 with detailed search strategies. A scoping review method was used to integrate and qualitatively describe the included literature inductively. Results:A total of 12 articles were included. Three methods in the included literature focused on: ①improving the design of traditional RCT to increase population representation; ②combining RCT Data with real-world data (RWD) for analysis;③calibrating RCT results according to real-world patient characteristics.Conclusions:Improving the design of RCT to enhance the population representation can improve the extrapolation of the results of RCT. Combining RCT data with RWD can give full play to the advantages of data from different sources; the results of the RCT were calibrated against real-world population characteristics so that the effects of interventions in real-world patient populations can be predicted.
9.Development of a prediction model for incidence of diabetic foot in patients with type 2 diabetes and its application based on a local health data platform
Yexian YU ; Meng ZHANG ; Xiaowei CHEN ; Lijia LIU ; Pei LI ; Houyu ZHAO ; Yexiang SUN ; Hongyu SUN ; Yumei SUN ; Xueyang LIU ; Hongbo LIN ; Peng SHEN ; Siyan ZHAN ; Feng SUN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(7):997-1006
Objective:To construct a diabetes foot prediction model for adult patients with type 2 diabetes based on retrospective cohort study using data from a regional health data platform.Methods:Using Yinzhou Health Information Platform of Ningbo, adult patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2022 were included in this study and divided randomly the train and test sets according to the ratio of 7∶3. LASSO regression model and bidirectional stepwise regression model were used to identify risk factors, and model comparisons were conducted with net reclassification index, integrated discrimination improvement and concordance index. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were constructed, and a nomogram plot was drawn. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated as a discriminant evaluation indicator for model validation test its calibration ability, and calibration curves were drawn to test its calibration ability.Results:No significant difference existed between LASSO regression model and bidirectional stepwise regression model, but the better bidirectional stepwise regression model was selected as the final model. The risk factors included age of onset, gender, hemoglobin A1c, estimated glomerular filtration rate, taking angiotensin receptor blocker and smoking history. AUC values (95% CI) of risk outcome prediction at year 5 and 7 were 0.700 (0.650-0.749) and 0.715(0.668-0.762) for the train set and 0.738 (0.667-0.801) and 0.723 (0.663-0.783) for the test set, respectively. The calibration curves were close to the ideal curve, and the model discrimination and calibration powers were both good. Conclusions:This study established a convenient prediction model for diabetic foot and classified the risk levels. The model has strong interpretability, good discrimination power, and satisfactory calibration and can be used to predict the incidence of diabetes foot in adult patients with type 2 diabetes to provide a basis for self-assessment and clinical prediction of diabetic foot disease risk.
10.Identification process of time-related bias in pharmacoepidemiologic research based on a scoping review
Siwei DENG ; Houyu ZHAO ; Siyan ZHAN
Chinese Journal of Epidemiology 2024;45(9):1273-1282
Objective:To summarize the characteristics of pharmacoepidemiologic research involving diabetes patients, which were published in recent years, in terms of study design and analysis, and develop an identification process for time-related biases in pharmacoepidemiologic research.Methods:PubMed, Embase, CNKI and Wanfang were used for a systematical literature retrieval of relevant study papers published between January 1,2012 and September 26, 2022. Literature screening and data extraction were performed independently by two reviewers. Based on the mechanisms of different time-related biases and the characteristics of included study papers in terms of study design and analysis methods, an identification process for all types of time-related biases was developed.Results:A total of 281 study papers were included, of which 58 (20.64%) specifically mentioned certain time-related biases considered in the study. Based on the scoping review results, key points to identify time-related biases were summarized, involving data source, study design, control selection, comparator drugs, matching the duration of diabetes, identification of the washout period, identification of the induction/latency period, identification of the initiation of follow-up, identification of time window, statistical analysis methods, sensitivity analysis, and other design and analytical elements, in the identification process for time-related biases in pharmacoepidemiologic research.Conclusions:Time-related biases are common in pharmacoepidemiologic research and might significantly impact the study results. Based on scoping review results, this study further developed an identification process for time-related biases in pharmacoepidemiologic research, which will help researchers identify and avoid time-related biases and improve the reliability of related evidence in pharmacoepidemiologic research.

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